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writer
andis Pakistan
a security consider
analyst.
CPEC a significant milestone in the
emerging politics of the region, it has the
potential to change the strategic and geo-
economic dynamics across the whole of
Eurasia.
Both sides appear enthusiastic about the
corridor, but for different reasons. For
China, CPEC is a flagship project, an
important component of its much larger
One Belt, One Road (OBOR) initiative. For
Pakistan, it is a strategic and economic
game changer in the region.
However, the excitement surrounding this
initiative also entails undercurrents of
frustration at times. China anticipated a
smooth implementation of CPEC-linked
projects, but the slow pace and patchy
consensus on the project within Pakistan
have annoyed Beijing. The Pakistani
establishment has attempted to use CPEC
and its friendship with China as a strategy
for balancing regional power, mainly
against India, with less focus on the
economic advantages of the initiative.
Despite these mixed feelings both sides can
learn a lot, to their mutual benefit. So far,
they have avoided taking impulsive steps
which could compound frustrations.
Pakistan is learning to simultaneously
manage and balance internal pressures and
compulsions with its foreign policy
orientation. China is experiencing a new
partnership; different from its African
experiences, but very useful for its OBOR
engagements in the region.
The Chinese success in Africa ie how
they won and executed mega infrastructure
projects in many parts of the continent is
commendable. However, these ample
opportunities for Chinese investors were
only achieved by Chinas unconditional
support for those countries unsavoury
regimes. Critics also point to corruption and
kickbacks, which fast-tracked
implementation and completion.
region.
the CPEC.
For China, the Xinjiang Uygur
disgruntlement.
CPEC.
There is also possible cause for concern
Communication (SLOC).
To counter the internal challenges,
Pakistan.)
THE EXPRESS TRIBUNE > OPINION
Significance of
CPEC
By Sabina Khan
Published: September 4, 2016
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The writer has a masters degree in conflict-resolution from
Monterey Institute of International Studies in California and blogs
at http://coffeeshopdiplomat.wordpress.com
CPEC: a positive
outlook
By Ahsan Iqbal
Published: August 28, 2016
CPEC A GAME
CHANGER
MUHAMMAD NAWAZ KHAN
JANUARY 15, 2016
NEWS PAPER ARTICLES
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By Mian Sanaullah
The Chinese government is concerned whether
projects related to the CPEC will ever be
completed in the wake of a growing security
threat to Chinese workers and the international
difficulties faced by Pakistan. In order to
convert existing challenges into opportunities,
the Chinese government has activated its
state-run think tanks to understand the
undercurrents impeding consensus between
the provincial and federal governments in
Pakistan.
BY KHURRAM HUSAIN
Importance of Pak-China
economic corridor
CPEC: china-Pakistan economic corridor is the
very important and joint venture of Pakistan and
china. This is known fact that paradigm of power
has been shifting towards east from west. Now
world will no longer remain uni-polar, soon it would
become bipolar, due to coming forth soft economic
Sino-Power.
CPEC is the part of china's new vision one belt one
road, and this is its Sothern corridor of Silk Road
project.
A
debate over the China-Pakistan Economic
Corridor (CPEC) was whether it would go
ahead at all. The history of economic
relations between China and Pakistan had
been routinely disappointing. Xi Jinping,
the Chinese president, kept putting off his
visit to Islamabad. The fantastical dollar
figures being thrown around by the
Pakistani government seemed to be plucked
from thin air. Even after Xi finally showed
up in April 2015, the global reaction to the
announcements of 46 billion dollars worth
of projects was one of pervasive scepticism.
We had seen these large numbers being
announced before, with very little of it
translating into action on ground.
Yet, moving into 2016, while many
questions and doubts remain, these are now
more concerned with how rather than if
the CPEC will happen. What are the debt
implications for the Pakistani economy?
Will Punjab be the disproportionate
beneficiary? What will be the local impact
of the projects? Which route will be
completed first? Does the government have
the capacity to build a set of projects on as
grand a scale as the CPEC includes?
Turbulent ties
23 COMMENTS
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ISLAMABAD: Pakistan Navy has assembled Task
Force-88 (TF-88) for the seaward security of
Gwadar port and protection of associated sea lanes
against both conventional and non-traditional
threats.
The creation of the special maritime force had been
necessitated by the operationalisation of China-Pakistan
Economic Corridor, which is expected to lead to a surge
in maritime activity at Gwadar the nodal point for
CPEC and the sea lanes. This has in turn increased
the maritime susceptibilities there.
A senior PN official said the TF-88 would comprise
ships, Fast Attack Craft, aircraft, drones (unmanned
aerial vehicles), and surveillance assets. Additionally,
marines would be deployed at sea and around Gwadar
for security operations.
The task force would be a force multiplier for overall
security of CPEC. The land route has already been
secured by Special Security Division and now Gwadar,
the centrepiece of CPEC, will also be safe and secure,
Chairman Parliamentary Committee on CPEC Senator
Mushahid Hussain said.
TF-88 would be commissioned this week.
Pakistan Navy is ensuring maritime security of CPEC
and Gwadar port through the deployment of available
assets, the navy officer said while talking to Dawn
about the new force. We are fully cognisant of the
challenges to security of CPEC and Gwadar port. Chal-
lenges to Pakistans maritime security have traditionally
come from India. But Chinese involvement in Gwadar
port and launch of CPEC has complicated the security
environment. India sees Gwadar as a foothold for China
in the Arabian Sea and as a counter-strategy to threats at
Malacca. Therefore, India is alleged to have stepped up
its activities in the broader region surrounding Gwadar
to undermine the project.
The botched attempt by an Indian submarine to intrude
into Pakistani waters when shipping activity under
CPEC began at Gwadar last month has been pointed out
by Pakistani observers as an indicator of Indian
intentions.
Similarly, it is feared that the CPEC maritime traffic
may face non-traditional threats, which include maritime
terrorism, drugs and arms trafficking, human smuggling
and piracy. The region is already grappling with most of
these problems.
Presence of extra-regional forces and their interests,
which could be threatened by the new port, heavily
factored in the consideration of Pakistani strategists,
who developed threat perception and strategised the
responses.
The complex security scenario, it is said, increases risks
for the sea traffic because of which cost of insurance of
the cargo has gone up exponentially.
Security is undoubtedly a crucial factor for the success
of CPEC, but the Chinese government has been very
particular about it. Chinese officials have invariably
insisted in their interactions with Pakistani interlocutors
on provision of safe and secure environment for the
corridor.
It should be recalled that the fourth Pak-China joint
naval exercise held in November, which was aimed at
promoting maritime security and stability in the region,
specifically focused on challenges to CPEC in security
domain. Navy has also raised a Coastal Security and
Harbour Defence Force for tackling threats along the
coast and stationed a Force Protection Battalion at
Gwadar for protection of Chinese workers.
Published in Dawn, December 12th, 2016
Foreign Policy
Challenges Confronting
Pakistan | Talat Masood
May 25, 2016 Opinion, Pakistan Leave a comment 766 Views
Chabahar: Indian
Strategic Maneuvering |
Dr Muhammad Khan
May 23, 2016 Economy, Opinion, Pakistan, World Leave a
comment 998 Views
Sequel to signing of China Pakistan Economic Corridor
(CPEC) in April 2015, India fostered its drive for
completion of Iranian Port in Chabahar. The project
started in 2003, but lingered on and later owing to
international sanctions on Iran; India almost abandoned
it until 2013. In November 2013, Pakistan handed over
the Gwadar Port to Chinese Overseas Ports Holding
Company Ltd (COPHCL) for further development and
operationalisation. This development promoted India
and it started consulting Iranian officials to re-start the
construction of the port. Chabahar is located
approximately 150 km from the Pakistani deep-sea
port, Gwadar. In a way, its development by India was in
strategic competition of Gwadar.
In a bid to start construction of the Chabahar port, India
even ignored the US warnings, as Iran was still under
sanction over its nuclear programme until 2015. In
December 2013, Indian officials collaborated with
Iranian and Afghan officials for a trilateral trade and
transit agreement, with Chabahar Port as the pivot.
Indeed, after its failure to get a transit trade route via
Pakistan (New Delhi-Lahore-Kabul) India convinced
Afghan Government to reduce its dependence on
Pakistan by having an alternative route for its global
and regional trade.
After Indian lobbying, Kabul felt that, Chabahar Port
could be valuable destination to Afghan businessmen
to conduct their trade and commerce relations easily
without facing hurdles and that, the Chabahar Port has
major significance to Afghan businessmen as compare
to other ports. It is worth mentioning that, India worked
on this project much earlier and even constructed a
highway in Afghanistan. This Highway-DelaramZaranj
is also called, as Route 606, has 220 km length and
connects Delaram (border city of Afghanistan) to Zaranj
(Capital of Nimruz province of Afghanistan). Indian
Border Roads Organisation (BRO) of India has
constructed this highway at the cost of 100 USDs from
2005 to 2009. The highway will be connected with
Chabahar on one-side and Central Asian states on the
other side.
In fact, through Iranian port, Chabahar, India gets easy
access overland route to Afghanistan and Central Asia.
In Afghanistan, India has made investment in the field
of economy, security cooperation and social sectors to
have ingress and securing its strategic and economic
interests. Whereas, the CPEC impelled India to faster
completion of the Chabahar Port, it is widely
recognised that, India did play a key role in the
brokering of nuclear deal between Iran and US,
formally between P5 plus one and Iran. India has its
regional ambitions and US has its global agenda
including containment of China through India. Then U.S
is in the process of making new allies in the Middle
East. Indian strategic and economic compulsions suit
U.S and surely U.S compulsions best exploited by
India. Indeed, there are stakes and complementarities
of both countries at regional and global level. Today,
Iran has a clear leaning towards US and India, which
disturbed the traditional power balance in the Middle
East. The Saudi led GCC countries are upset over this
US shift. On its part, India is gained even in the Arab
monarchs apart from Iran. Precisely, one can say that,
India has been the net beneficiary of entire
developments in the larger Asian region and US has
been at its back throughout.
Indian Prime Minister is visiting Tehran next week and
is likely to sign a number of agreements and MoUs.
Among these, Chabahar Agreement will be an
agreement of strategic nature. During the visit of Indian
External Affairs Minister to Tehran early this month, it
was through debated at the level of foreign ministers.
This will be an agreement between Iran, India and
Afghanistan. Officials of these three countries have
now finalised the parameters of this trilateral
agreement; Chabahar Agreement. The agreement will
allow India access to Afghanistan via the strategically
located Iranian port of Chabahar, which sits on the Gulf
of Oman.
Upon signing of the agreement, Indian goods will reach
Afghanistan without having to pass through Pakistan.
New Delhi is optimistic that after this agreement and
finalisation of the Chabahar Port, there will be greater
regional connectivity and India will have a greater say
over Tehran and Kabul. Surely, through the
oprationalisation of Chabahar, India and other regional
countries will try down play the significance of Gwadar
port. India is otherwise promoted sub-nationalism and
terrorism in Balochistan to destabilize the Pakistan and
to create hurdles in the completion of CPEC, the
economic and strategic corridor for both Pakistan and
China.
New Delhi is creating an impression that, Chabahar
Agreement will contribute to economic growth of
Afghanistan and facilitate better regional connectivity,
including between India and connections to Afghanistan
and central Asia. India is also likely to invest in the
construction of 1380 km railway-line connecting
Chabahar with Zahedan-and Mashhad. India will
provide $400 million of steel rails for this railway
linkage. Contours of the Chabahar Agreement were
conceived in 2013 and have been debated and
negotiated between Indian and Afghan officials.
Earlier, this agreement was also discussed and agreed
upon between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and
Afghan President Ashraf Ghani in December 2015.
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has sought massive
Indian investment of $8 billion in the development of
infrastructure projects and wider economic
development and growth of Iran.
The Chabahar Agreement is an indirect Indian strategy
of isolating Pakistan; strategically and economically.
After the agreement Afghan trade and logistic through
Pakistan will reduce reasonably. Iran is otherwise more
biased towards India. Rather having an equation and
larger understanding between Pakistan, Iran and
Afghanistan, the emerging trends are anti-Pakistan. On
the part of Pakistan, there is no strategic planning
among its political elites, who largely protest their
corruption and ill-gotten wealth, rather the national
interests, the peoples mandate. Time is running out
and the national leadership must get back to its true
role and take measures for safeguarding the national
interest of Pakistan and in fact the future generation of
Pakistan, rather two families. The Chabahar Agreement
will seriously affect the implementation of CPEC and
Gwadar port operationalisation.
The writer is International Relations analyst based in
Islamabad.
Gwadar: A Future
Economic Hub | Dr
Muhammad Khan
Owing to its strategic location and God gifted natural
resources, the Balochistan Province of Pakistan has
always been at the centre stage of regional and global
politics. The famous writer and geographer, Robert D.
Kaplan describes the province of Balochistan as, One
key to its fate is the future of Gwadar, a strategic port
whose development will either unlock the riches of
Central Asia, or plunge Pakistan into a savage, and
potentially terminal civil war.
Source:http://nation.com.pk/blogs/12-Apr-2016/is-the-
western-route-of-cpec-dead
Source: http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/editorial/22-Mar-
2016/energy-crisis
CPEC: Symbol of
Regional Integration | Dr
Muhammad Khan
The concept of globalisation can well be defined as
global interconnectedness, which is achieved through
regional connectivity. The regional connectivity in turn
is achieved through the development of communication
network between two or more states and even within
the boundaries of a state. In summary, the essence of
globalisation is interconnectedness, achieved through
world-wide, Widening, deepening and speeding up of
communication. This entire process further integrates
the world on all three aspects; the political, economic
and social. Overall, the entire process can be
interpreted as the time and space compression, where
physical distances though remain same, but, squeesed
through the construction and development of
roads/highways, corridors and railways.
Source: http://pakobserver.net/2016/03/07/cpec-
symbol-of-regional-integration
CPEC and National
Development | Fazal
Hakeem
Certainly, China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) is
a splendid gift and demands equitable implementation.
Materialization of the project can be made possible with
investment from Chinese companies to develop
western part of both the countries through good
coordination provision of needed facilities, connectivity
enviable trading, financial integration and people to
people contact. Addressing the reservations of Khyber
Pukhtunkhawa and Balochistan will give a new impetus
to the execution process. Decision to form a 10-
member special committee under the Chairmanship of
the Prime Minister aims to defuse tension and remove
suspicions caused by misunderstanding and
communication gaps. It also conveys a message that
in democracy contentious issues are resolved by sitting
across the table.
Source: http://pakobserver.net/detailnews.asp?
id=287278