Skittles

Project 5

Explain in general the purpose and meaning of a confidence interval.

A Confidence Interval is a range or interval of values used to estimate the true

value of a population parameter. Confidence Intervals are used to help us get a
single value and to see how good of an estimate that value is.

Identify the requirements for computing confidence intervals. List the

requirements separately for a confidence interval for a population proportion
and for a population mean.

Population proportion:

Simple Random Sample
n x p(hat) x (1 p(hat)) greater than or equal to 10
n is less than or equal to 0.05N

Population mean:

Simple Random Sample
n is less than or equal to 0.05N
population is normal or n is greater than 30

Using values for the class data that you computed in Part 2 of the project,
construct a 99% confidence interval estimate for the true proportion of yellow
candies using the class data as your sample. Remember that for this
computation, n is the number of CANDIES for the entire class data. Include all
your work, showing the formula used and appropriate values inserted (neatly
written and scanned or typed).

1-propZInterval: TI-84
n= 3228
x= 626
confidence level = .99
a= 0.01
a/2 = 0.05
Z a/2= 2.575
p(hat)= 626/3228 = 0.194
= (0.176, .21185)


Give an appropriate interpretation of your interval.

We are 99% confident that the true value of the population proportion is
contained between .176 and .21185

Based on your interval for the true proportion of yellow candies, was the
proportion of yellow candies in the single bag of candy you purchased a likely
value for the true population proportion? Explain how you know using actual
values from your data and computations.

The proportion of yellow candies in my bag is .186 compared to the class
proportion which is .194. My bag is .008 below the class proportion which makes
it a likely value for the population proportion.


Using values you computed in Part 2 of the project, construct a 95% confidence
interval estimate for the true mean number of candies per bag using the class
data as your sample, but for this computation, n is the number of BAGS. Include
all your work, showing the formula used and appropriate values inserted (neatly
written and scanned or typed).

T-Interval: TI-84
X= 59.8
S=2.2
n= 54
C-level= 95%
= (59.2, 60.4)

Give an appropriate interpretation of your interval.

With 95% confidence that the true value of the population mean of the number
of candies is contained between (59.2, 60.4)


Based on your interval for the true mean number of candies per bag, was the
total number of candies in the single bag you purchased a likely value for the
population mean? Explain how you know using actual values from your data
and computations

If we were to randomly select random samples from our class and construct a
confidence interval, eventually 95% will contain the mean.
With 95% confidence, my bag does contain the value of the population mean
.