Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
Change in percent of
traps with captures:
18 ± 5% increase
Percent Reduction in Mean Beetle Capture:
Two Wheat Flour Mills and 23 Fumigations
88±5% 71±5%
Fumigation Efficacy – Rebound in Beetle
Captures
Rebound after fumigation was highly variable: no single linear or
exponential function worked for all and r2 values typically low
Developed new thresholds to help evaluate data: 2.5 beetles/trap/2
week period and 50% of traps having captures of one or more beetles
174±33 days
(n=21, 8 did not reach)
120±21 days
(n=21, 4 did not
reach)
Risk Thresholds – Mean Trap Capture
Exponential growth: as
population increases,
rate of increase
increases
Difficult to detect in food
facilities – multiple
subpopulations and
increased interventions
Above thresholds, if trap
captures increased than
increase was greater
than below threshold
Rice Mills – Species Composition
Rice Mill #2 Rice Mill #4
Probability of
Capture
61% Reduction
52% Reduction
35% Reduction
Rice Mill #4
Mean Trap
Capture
62% Reduction
Probability of
Capture
40% Reduction
Percent Reduction After Fumigation (n=9)
81±5% 63±7%
Preliminary Comparison of Reduction in
Mean Trap Capture
85±4% (n=23) 81±5% (n=9)
384±33 days
(n=7, 4 did not reach)
260±56 days
(n=7, 2 did not reach)
Time To Event Analysis
Rebound rate slower in the rice mills than in wheat
mills, which may reflect differences in intrinsic
population growth and larger seasonal impacts
Mean Capture Threshold Probability of Capture Threshold
Discussion
Differences due to fumigant alone can’t be
determined at this point because effects confounded
by differences in mill type, but initial reduction in trap
captures should be the most comparable
Considerable variation in response complicates
evaluations based on small datasets
Data and analysis illustrates approach to developing
a statistical comparison of structural fumigations
As more fumigations and locations are incorporated
into the analysis will provide a powerful approach to
evaluate efficacy, factors that influence it, and
information to guide IPM programs
Questions? Acknowledgements:
Collaborators on
wheat mill analysis –
F. Arthur, M. Toews,
and T. Arbogast
Technical Support:
R. Hammel and many
undergraduates
Dow AgroSciences
for facilitating start of
monitoring programs
at some rice mills
Funded in part by –
USDA CSREES
james.campbell@ars.usda.gov RAMP, PMAP, Methyl
ars.usda.gov/npa/gmprc/spiru/campbell Bromide Alternatives
programs