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Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 2000 7|3, 211-220

Effects of overtime work and additional resources on


project cost and quality
H. LI*, P. E. D. LOVE & D. S. DREW*
*Department of Building and Real Estate, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hung Horn, Kowloon, Hong Kong and

School of Architecture and Building, Deakin University, Geelong, Victoria 3217, Australia

Abstract Delays are an endemic feature of the construc- Thus, using system dynamics modelling, the effects of
tion industry. Typically, when a delay occurs in a project, prolonged overtime work on project cost and quality are
the project manager often expedites progress through examined. To overcome project delays, several options
activity-crashing with respect to available float and time- representing various combinations of prescribing over-
cost relationships. An accelerated schedule is thus ob- time work and injecting additional resources are analysed.
tained either by prescribing overtime working hours or by Utility theory is then applied to determine the most
procuring additional resources or a combination of both. appropriate solution for mitigating project delays. The
However, excessively prolonged overtime work can gen- modelling approach offered in this paper should be partic-
erate quality problems, such as rework, and additional ularly useful for large projects and for projects on
resources. With this in mind, there is a need for a model confined sites where potential cost savings and improved
to assist project managers with understanding the com- quality standards are likely to be the most significant.
plex nature of attaining a trade-off between overtime Keywords cost, quality, rework, systems dynamics,
working and the procurement of additional resources. time, utility theory

INTRODUCTION tatively that excessive amounts of overtime work could


cause declines in performance and work quality, and
Delays are an endemic feature of construction indus- consequently could lead to an increase in rework.
tries worldwide (Bromilow et al. 1988; Okpala & Conversely, injecting additional resources into a par-
Aniekwu 1988; Scott 1997; Yogeswaran et al. 1997). ticular activity may crowd the workplace, which will
Consequently, there has been a wealth of research also negate productivity and performance. Thus, to
investigating project delays and the reasons for possi- understand the impact of activity-crashing on project
ble time and cost overruns in construction (Bromilow quality and productivity, there is a need to systemati-
et al. 1988; Morris & Hough 1989; Chan & Ku- cally analyse the impact it has on project cost and
maraswamy, 1995; Nkado 1995; Kumaraswamy & quality. In this paper, a system dynamics model is
Chan 1998; Majid & McCaffer 1998). When a delay developed to understand the effects of prolonged over-
occurs, a project manager is often faced with two time work on project costs and quality. T o mitigate
options: prescribing overtime work and injecting addi- project delays, several options for overtime work and
tional resources, in order to shorten (crash) the dura- injecting additional resources are analysed and stimu-
tion of certain activities. While injecting additional lated. Utility theory is then applied to determine the
resources can significantly increase project costs, pro- most appropriate solution for mitigating project delays.
longed overtime working may cause declines in pro-
ductivity and performance, which may also generate
rework (Love et al. 1999a). SYSTEM DYNAMICS
To understand how these options interact and deter- System dynamics is the result of the cross-fertilization
mine a project's overall duration is complex because of between the elements of traditional management, feed-
the interdependency that exists between process vari- back control theory and computer simulation (Mohap-
ables (Thomas 1992). Numerous studies have investi- atra et al. 1994). The feedback control provides both a
gated the impact of overtime work on project structure for building a model and a way of selecting
performance and productivity (Construction Industry the most appropriate information for decision-making.
Institute 1988; Halligan et al. 1994; Thomas & Raynar Consequently, system dynamics is often used as a
1997; Arditi 1998). These studies all concluded quali- methodology for improving the effectiveness of the

2000 Blackwell Science Ltd


211
212 Li. H. et al.

decision-making process and, in recent times, has be- tional resources increases the overall project cost as
come a popular technique for modelling change in compared with the overtime working mode, which
project management (Sterman 1992; Rodrigues & results in less rework being perceived. To examine the
Bowers 1996; Shen et al. in press). For a detailed combined effect of prescribed overtime work and addi-
review of the system dynamics methodology, refer to tional resources in activity-crashing, the authors have
Forrester (1961), Mohapatra et al. (1994) and Coyle developed a system dynamics model to simulate the
(1996). relationships among the key variables that are consid-
ered to be important for activity-crashing: additional
cost, cumulative work scope, quality and rework.
Reference mode

Before a systems dynamics model is developed, a


MODEL DEVELOPMENT
reference mode needs to be established so as to cali-
brate the system's behaviour. A reference mode is the To examine the causal relationships among the vari-
graphical pattern of the problem over a period of time. ables previously identified by the authors (Love & Li in
It is used to create confidence in the model from both press; Love et al. 1999b) and from the literature, the
a structural and a behavioural perspective (Forrester & authors developed a causal loop diagram, identified in
Senge 1980). Using data derived from research under- Fig. 2, using the IThink software package (High Per-
taken by the authors (Love & Li in press; Love et al. formance Systems Inc. 1994).
1999b) and previously published literature, reference A causal loop diagram is used to identify the cause-
modes for overtime working and additional resources effect interactions, or feedback loops, among selected
have been developed and can be seen in Fig. 1. variables. Round rectangles represent selected sectors.
In Fig. 1, the X-axis represents time while the The model consists of seven sectors, namely progress,
Y-axis can represent overtime work, rework, quality or scope and rework, overtime work and additional resources,
additional cost, depending on which curve is selected cost, quality, human resource and fatigue and motivation.
for use. Overtime work is measured in number of The thick straight lines in Fig. 2 are the dynamic
hours; rework is measured as a percentage of its cost interactions among sectors, which indicate the high-
over the total project cost; quality is measured as a level map of the system dynamics model. The model is
percentage of work meeting quality standard; and ad- initialized to the situation where actual project pro-
ditional cost is measured as a percentage of the total gress is equal to the desired progress so there is no
cost. need for activity-crashing. The structure of the model
Figure 1(a) indicates that overtime working initially is large and consists of 100 basic building blocks. With
has a negative effect on a project's quality. After a this in mind, only a generic structure of the model is
period of time, this stabilizes at a level that is lower presented in this paper, which can be seen in Appen-
than the initial expected quality level. From a system dices 1 and 2. A full list of the equations used to
dynamics perspective, this process is known as goal develop the model is available upon request to the
adjustment and is considered to be a factor that con- authors.
tributes to the occurrence of rework in projects (Love Figure 2 suggests that as the work remaining in the
et al. in press). The additional costs that are incurred current project increases, it will generate schedule
as a result of overtime working can also be identified in pressure. This schedule pressure may force the project
Fig. 1(a). Figure 1(b) indicates that injecting addi- manager to prescribe overtime work and/or to inject

2000 Blackwell Science Ltd, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 7 | 3 , 211 -220
Effects of overtime work and additional resources on projects 213

additional resources in order to reduce the amount of In the overtime work and additional resources sector,
work remaining. However, sanctioning overtime work the parameter schedule pressure generates the need for
and/or injecting additional resources may cause de- prescribing overtime work and/or injecting additional
clines in quality, which can result in rework. resources. Thus, additional resources increase a
It is recognized that prescribing overtime work and/ project's cost, while prescribing overtime work affects
or assigning additional resources are activity-based (as the cost, schedule, additional recruitment of human
opposed to project-based) decisions. As such, the resources, personnel burnout, motivation and fatigue.
ordering of overtime work (or assigning additional The progress sector simulates desired progress based
resources) typically happens in a particular activity or on the scope of work, actual progress as a result of
some selected activities rather than in the entire pro- normal and overtime working hours and their differ-
ject. The model illustrated in Fig. 2 aims to simulate ence. The cost sector keeps track of the available
the interactions within a particular activity rather than budget from project revenues and the required budget
in the whole project. for resources. Additional cost is defined as the differ-
ence in the required and the available budget. Simi-
M O D E L SECTORS larly, the human resource sector simulates the inflow of
additional human resource requirements caused by
In the scope and rework sector, as shown in Appendix 1, prescribed overtime work and personnel burnout. The
schedule pressure is defined as a non-linear graphical changes in the levels of fatigue and motivation of the
function of schedule discrepancy and budget inade- personnel are modelled in the fatigue and motivation
quacy. Parameter schedule discrepancy is the differ- sector. A generic structure for each sector identified and
ence between desired and actual progresses at the job their respective functional relationships and parame-
site, while budget inadequacy is deemed to be the ratio ters can be seen in Appendices 1 and 2.
of the difference between available and required bud-
gets over the required budget. Work scope accumu-
lated as a result of schedule discrepancy and rework
MODEL V A L I D A T I O N
generated is drained through work outflow. The im-
pact of schedule pressure on quality is modelled in the Model validation is undertaken to ensure the sound-
quality sector. This sector simulates the decline of qual- ness and usefulness of the model (Forrester & Senge
ity when the pressure to expedite the project increases. 1980). Validation requires not only that the model

2000 Blackwell Science Ltd, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 7 | 3 , 211 -220
214 Li. H. et al.

complies with known 'physical laws' but also that its The total duration of a typical Harmony Type 1
results comply with the behaviour of the real world. project is 28 months. According to the schedule, the
Thus, the model was tested for both structural and planned progress at the end of the tenth month should
behavioural validity according to the guidelines de- be that 18% of the total work is completed. This
scribed in Forrester & Senge (1980). In addition, it has assumption is incorporated into the model and simula-
been examined for structural validation inasmuch as tion results are shown in Figs 3 and 4. Figure 3 shows
the major factors identified in Love et al. (1999b) and only the effect of overtime work on project cost, qual-
from the literature have been used and the values used ity and rework because no additional resources have
in the model have been derived from completed been prescribed. Similarly, Fig. 4 indicates only the
projects. The model is tested for behaviour prediction effect of additional resources on project cost, quality
so as to assist practitioners with particular scenarios and rework. Comparison of the simulation results of
that they may be faced with. Figs 3 and 4 with the respective reference modes in
To simulate the model for a base run, it was cali- Fig. 1 confirms the behavioural validation of the
brated to replicate the delay process according to data model. Specifically, in Fig. 3, a decline in quality is
collected from 14 projects carried out in Hong Kong. observed after proceeding with overtime work. In-
These projects are all Harmony Type 1, which is a creases in rework are also observed as quality declines.
standardized modular design adopted by the Hong This suggests that a decline in quality is a primary
Kong Housing Authority (1989-90). Of the 14 cause of rework. Similarly, simulation results in Fig. 4
projects, eight contained activity-crashing data as they indicate a considerable increase in cost, but a lesser
were used to generate the non-linear time-cost curves. decline in quality and less rework.

2000 Blackwell Science Ltd, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 7 | 3 , 211-220
Effects of overtime work and additional resources on projects 215

G E N E R A T I O N A N D A N A L Y S I S OF Using the simulation model, values for additional


ALTERNATIVE DECISIONS cost increase, quality decline and rework generation
caused by each alternative decision are shown in Table
When a delay occurs in a project, a project manager is
2. A decision-maker is then required to select the most
often faced with the task of generating and analysing a
suitable alternative by applying their value system
number of alternative options before they can make a
(Dozzi et al. 1996). Through the application of a
decision on whether to accelerate the schedule. Deci-
decision-maker's value system, relative ratings of the
sion analysis deals with the estimation of what will
alternatives can be evaluated using the utility theory.
happen if an alternative decision is adopted. In this
section, a number of alternative decisions, which rep-
resent various combinations of prescribing overtime
E V A L U A T I O N OF O U T C O M E S U S I N G
work and injecting additional resources to overcome
UTILITY THEORY
the identified schedule discrepancy, are analysed. The
criteria used for the analysis include additional cost According to Dozzi et al. (1996), the transformation of
(measured as a percentage of the additional cost in- outcomes as a result of analysis into relative ratings of
crease), quality decline and rework generation. The alternatives through application of the decision-mak-
following nine alternatives are analysed (Table 1). er's value system is designated as evaluation. Evalua-
Each alternative represents a typical combination of tion deals with estimation of the relative desirability of
overtime work and additional resources. what is expected to happen. The application of the
utility model for the evaluation of outcomes requires
that each criterion used for decision-making be defined
and represented by a utility function. The utility func-
Table 1 Nine combinations of overtime work and additional tions for all criteria represent preferences or trade-offs
resources between criteria and are measured on a scale so that
expected utilities of individual criteria can be com-
Alternative Overtime Additional resources bined to form a single expected utility. The methodol-
No. work (%) (%)
ogy used to develop the utility function of each
1 100 0 criterion can be summarized as follows:
2 100 50
3 0 100 specify the range of interest for each criterion, upper
4 50 100 and lower limits (y U ,y L );
5 50 50 identify the neutral point of contribution for each
6 50 40 criterion, threshold (y T ) and the most preferred
7 50 30
point (yM);
8 70 20
9 30 60 define the cardinal utility scale by anchoring relative
points; and

2000 Blackwell Science Ltd, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 7|3, 211-220
216 Li, H. et al.

develop the utility functions using either a straight- The utility functions are created by using either a
line or an exponential function and solve for the straight-line or an exponential relationship. The gener-
constants of each equation. alized equations of straight-line and exponential utility
functions are as follows:
The range of interest identifies the upper and lower
limits (yU,yL) for the options of each criterion and
Straight-line equation: uj(yj) = Ajyj + Bj (1)
formulates the boundaries for numeric inputs. The
threshold point (yT) of each criterion represents the
Exponential equation: uj(yj) = AjeBjyj + Cj (2)
point of neutral desirability. The most preferred point
(yM) represents the best possible option for the partic-
where uj(yj) = utility of criterion j and Aj, Bj and
ular criterion. The corporate policy and decision-mak-
Cj = constants for criterion j .
er's knowledge and experience of similar problems are
Based on the real world pattern, the authors have
usually used to define these points. Values for the
selected an exponential equation for developing utility
threshold points used in this paper are identified in
functions for each criterion. The constants of the
Table 3.
exponential equation are solved using two relative
Fixing the utility values with specific options for
points of the criteria for which the utility is known and
each criterion derives the scale for each utility func-
the hit and trial method to fulfil the need of a third
tion. These options are referred to as relative points
equation.
and a minimum of two is required, depending on the
Utility functions for each criterion are shown in Fig.
method used for developing the utility values. For two
4. The judgement of the decision-maker is required to
relative points, the yT and the yM are used. The utility
determine the most preferred number for each crite-
of the yT is set to 0 and the utility of the yM of each
rion (yM)j. The most preferred number represents the
criterion (j) is set to 1:
relative contribution of the criterion to the achieve-
u(yT)j = 0 and u(yM)j = 1 ment of project objectives. The numbers assigned are

Table 2 Outcomes of simulations-based analysis

Decision criteria

Rework generation
Alternative decisions Additional cost (% increase) Quality decline (% decline) (% scope)

1 ( O T = 1 0 0 % , AR = 0%) 17.47 28.00 5.01


2 ( O T = 1 0 0 % , AR = 50%) 26.10 25.33 4.73
3 (OT = 0%, AR = 100%) 25.00 14.93 1.93
4 (OT = 50%, AR = 100%) 28.00 16.20 2.43
5 (OT = 50%. AR = 50%) 23.50 14.40 2.49
6 (OT = 50%, AR = 40%) 22.56 13.99 2.51
7 (OT = 50%, AR = 30%) 20.20 13.77 2.50
8 (OT = 70%, AR = 20%) 20.28 18.72 3.40
9 (OT = 30%, AR = 60%) 22.57 14.01 2.06

OT = Overtime working, AR = additional resources employed.

Table 3 Definition of criterion, their range of interest and threshold points

Criterion Definition Scale Yu YT YL

Additional cost Cost incurred for accelerating the schedule % 0 20 50


Quality decline Negative effect on quality during accelerated schedule % 0 15 40
Rework generation Rework generated as a result of low quality and other factors % 0 10 25

2000 Blackwell Science Ltd, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 7|3, 211 -220
Effects of overtime work and additional resources on projects 217

Table 4 Expected utility calculations for candidate alternatives

Alternative 1 Alternative 2 Alternative 3

Criterion Wj Outcome uj Uj Outcome uj Uj Outcome uj Uj

Cost 250 17.47 0.1736 43.40 26.10 -0.4933 -123.32 25.00 -0.3954 -98.85
Quality 200 28.00 -1.6308 -326.16 25.33 -1.2130 -242.60 14.93 0.0064 1.27
Rework 175 5.01 0.5813 101.73 4.73 0.6086 106.50 1.93 0.8550 149.62
Expected utility -181.02 -259.42 52.05

Alternative 4 Alternative 5 Alternative 6

Outcome uj Uj Outcome uj Uj Outcome uj Uj

Cost 250 28.00 -0.6725 -168.13 23.50 -0.2684 -67.11 22.56 -0.1926 -48.14
Quality 200 16.20 -0.1135 -22.70 14.40 0.0544 10.88 13.99 0.0907 18.15
Rework 175 2.43 0.8143 142.50 2.49 0.8093 141.63 2.51 0.807 141.34
Expected utility -48.33 85.40 111.35
Alternative 7 Alternative 8 Alternative 9

Outcome uj Uj Outcome uj Uj Outcome uj Uj

Cost 250 20.20 -0.0138 -3.45 20.28 -0.0196 -4.90 22.57 -0.1933 -48.34
Quality 200 13.77 0.1100 21.99 18.72 -0.3729 1 -74.58 14.01 0.0890 17.80
Rework 175 2.50 0.8085 141.48 3.40 0.7314 127.99 2.06 0.8445 14779
Expectant utility 160.03 48.51 117.25

scaling factors. The scaling factor for yj is designated also generate rework. This paper examines the com-
Wj,which is calculated as the multiplication of all of plex nature of attaining a trade-off between overtime
the most preferred numbers of other criteria (exclud- working and the procurement of additional re-
ing the most preferred number of criterion j). Using sources. The system dynamics model developed in
the scaling factor, each preliminary utility function this paper provides a useful way to capture the inter-
described in Fig. 4 can be transformed to an equiva- actions of process variables that exhibit the effect of
lent utility (Uj) value measured on a common scale. prolonged overtime work and additional resources on
The addition of all transformed utilities for all project cost and quality. From the system dynamics
criteria determines the expected utility value (Eu) of model, a number of options is obtained, which rep-
an alternative decision. An alternative with a higher resent different combinations of prescribing overtime
value of Eu represents a better decision. The En of work and injecting additional resources. Utility the-
all alternative decisions are presented in Table 4. ory is then applied to determine the most appropri-
According to the Eu, Alternative 7 is the best solu- ate solution for mitigating project delays.
tion among the alternatives for mitigating project de-
The method presented in this paper represents the
lays. Specificall, assigning 50% overtime work and
first attempt to analytically determine the effects of
30% additional resources is the best way to resolve
delays in the project. prescribing overtime work and injecting additional
resources on project cost and quality. We anticipate
that the method will be particularly useful in mitigat-
CONCLUSIONS ing delays of large projects and projects with
An accelerated schedule is obtained by either pre- confined sites. As in large projects, cost savings as a
scribing overtime working hours, by procuring addi- result of selecting the most appropriate combination
tional resources or a by combination of both. While of prescribing overtime work and injecting additional
excessively prolonged overtime work can generate resources can be significant. For projects with
quality problems, such as rework, and additional re- confined sites, the injection of additional resources
sources, prolonged overtime working may cause de- may result in overcrowded working conditions, thus
clines in productivity and performance, which may causing severe quality problems.

2000 Blackwell Science Ltd, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 7 | 3 , 211-220
218 Li, H. et al.

ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS Love, P.E.D., Li, H. & Mandal, P. (1999a) Reworka


symptom of a dysfunctional supply-chain. European Jour-
T h i s project has been supported by a R G C research nal of Purchasing and Supply Management, 5, 1-11.
grant (Ref N o . PolyU 5 0 0 2 / 9 9 E ) provided by the Love, P.E.D., Li, H. & Mandal, P. (1999b) Determining
H o n g K o n g Special Region Administrative Govern- the causal structure of rework influences in construction.
Construction Management and Economics, 17, 505-517.
m e n t , and an A R C small grant provided b y the Deakin
Love, P.E.D., Mandal, P., Smith, J. & Li, H. (in press)
University, Australia. Modelling the dynamics of design error induced rework
in construction. Construction Management and Economics.
Love, P.E.D. & Li, H. (in press) Quantifying the causes
and costs of rework in construction. Construction Manage-
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2000 Blackwell Science Ltd, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 7 | 3 , 211 -220
Effects of overtime work and additional resources on projects 219

A P P E N D I X 1 : THE S T R U C T U R E OF SCOPE AND REWORK, QUALITY, A N D OVERTIME WORK AND


ADDITIONAL RESOURCES SECTORS

2000 Blackwell Science Ltd, Engineering, Construction and Architectural Management 7 |3, 211 -220
220 Li, H. et al.

A P P E N D I X 2: THE S T R U C T U R E OF PROGRESS, COST, HUMAN RESOURCES, A N D FATIGUE


AND MOTIVATION SECTORS

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