Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
45 12 46.58 11.11
46 13 48.33 5.44
46 14 50.08 5.44
45 10 43.08 11.11
54 15 51.83 32.11
54 14 50.08 32.11
MEAN 48.33 97.33
INTERCEPT 25.58
SLOPE 1.75
R Squared 0.503424658
R 0.7095242473
SSR SSE
3.06 2.51
0.00 5.44
3.06 16.67
27.56 3.67
12.25 4.69
3.06 15.34
49.00 48.33
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.7095242473
R Square 0.5034246575
Adjusted R Square 0.3792808219
Standard Error 3.4761089358
Observations 6
ANOVA
df SS MS F
Regression 1 49 49 4.0551724138
Residual 4 48.3333333333 12.083333333
Total 5 97.3333333333
0
2 3 4 5 6
ession Model
Excercise 1
5 6 7 8 9
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.770208
R Square 0.59322
Adjusted R 0.491525
Standard Er1.732051
Observatio 6
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 17.5 17.5 5.833333 0.0731395444
Residual 4 12 3
Total 5 29.5
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95% Upper 95%
Intercept 1 2.384474 0.41938 0.696482 -5.6203600183 7.62036
X Variable 1 0.414039 2.415229 0.07314 -0.1495574867 2.149557
Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
-5.62036 7.62036
-0.149557 2.149557
(Y) FINAL AVG (X) 1ST TEST GRADE Y PREDICTED
93 98 91.50
78 77 75.96
84 88 84.10
73 80 78.18
84 96 90.02
64 61 64.12
64 66 67.82
95 95 89.28
76 69 70.04
83 #2: 80.39751151
MEAN 79
INTERCEPT 18.99
SLOPE 0.74
R SQUARED (Coe. Of Determ 0.85
R (Correlation of Coefficien 0.92
SST SSR SSE
196.00 156.13 2.26 158.40
1.00 9.25 4.17 13.42
25.00 25.98 0.01 25.99
36.00 0.68 26.81 27.49
25.00 121.35 36.19 157.53
225.00 221.40 0.01 221.41
225.00 124.99 14.59 139.59
256.00 105.59 32.77 138.36
9.00 80.29 35.53 115.82
998 845.658875 152.3411249 998
MOVING AVG WEIGHTED AVG EXPONENTIAL SMOOTING
MAD MAD MAD
1 90
2 98 90
3 94 97.2
4 86 94 8 94.44 8.44 94.32
5 90 92.66667 2.666667 91.28 1.28 86.832
6 91 90 1 89.56 1.44 89.6832
7 92 89 3 89.57 2.43 90.86832
8 99 91 8 91.23 7.77 91.88683
9 98 94 4 94.93 3.07 98.28868
10 96 96.33333 0.333333 97.01 1.01 98.02887
3.857143 3.634286
Moving Average Weighted Moving Average
Y(Actual) Forecast Error Forecast(n=2, 70%/30%)
1 10
2 11
3 10.5 10.5 0 10.7
4 11 10.75 0.25 10.65
5 12 10.75 1.25 10.85
6 12.5 11.5 1 11.7
7 12.25 0.625 12.35
Weighted Moving Average Exponential Smoothing Trending
Error Forecast Error Forecast Error
10.02381 0.02381
10 10.48095 0.519048
0.2 10.8 0.3 10.9381 0.438095
0.35 10.56 0.44 11.39524 0.395238
1.15 10.912 1.088 11.85238 0.147619
0.8 11.7824 0.7176 12.30952 0.190476
0.625 12.35648 0.6364 12.76667 0.285714
intercept 9.566667
slope 0.457143
(X) AVERAGE PER SEMESTER
STEPS:
1-Deseasonalize
2-Project the trend (Regression)
3-Seasonalize
Seasonal Indeces Deseasonalized Amounts (Y) Regression Line
intercept 3157.9453295001
slope 19.9664896555 Char
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Column D Column G
Seasonalized Projection
3,983
3,782
1,814
4,058
3,853
1,848
4,133
3,924
1,882
4,208 1st
3,995 2nd 2017 (Forecast)
1,915 Summer
Chart Title
5000
4000
3000
2000
Column I
1000
Column H
0
1 2 Column G
3 4 5 6 7 8 Column D
9