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Here is the key: Make sure that what you thought was worth $1 is still worth $1 !
3. The market is there to serve you, not the other way
around
Everyone has a plan 'till they get punched in the
mouth.
Mike Tyson
3. The market is there to serve you, not the other way
around
How do you remain rational when Mr. Market has just punched you in
the mouth by repricing your $1 stock from 50 cents to 30 cents?
Maybe Mr. Market is right and the fair value was never really $1 but
only 40 cents?
3. The market is there to serve you, not the other way
around
Total IQ = IQ x EQ
(where EQ <=1)
3. The market is there to serve you, not the other way
around
IQ our intellectual capacity to analyze problems will vary with the
problem in front of us.
Problem 2:
My EQ is not constant
My ability to process information effectively declines under stress.
The Consequence:
I either lose the big picture or overlook important details.
BUT: The higher my EQ is with regard to a particular company, the more likely
my Total IQ will not degrade when things go wrong.
3. The market is there to serve you, not the other way
around.
How do we increase our Total IQ?
a) We increase it by subtraction:
Shrinking our universe to stocks within both our IQ and EQ zones.
We are very careful about stocks when our IQ or EQ is low
Example:
Our IQ is low for a non-revenue-generating, single-future-product biotech
company.
We have zero analytical insights into this business!
In investing we only need 20-30 stocks
We get to choose which problems we want to tackle.
We usually like easy problems.
3. The market is there to serve you, not the other way
around
b) Find areas where your EQ is highest.
Maximizing both our IQ and EQ for individual stocks will maximize the
Total IQ of the portfolio.
If we get punched in the mouth we are able to rationally reanalyze:
Buy more, do nothing, or sell
3. The market is there to serve you, not the other way
around
We cautiously guard our EQ!
Its a mistake to let the outside world in unchecked to your daily work life.
You need to have clients who allow you to maintain your EQ. Otherwise,
following the Six Commandments is practically impossible.
3. The market is there to serve you, not the other way
around.
On January 25th, 2013 at 3:55 pm
I get this email from a client:
3. The market is there to serve you, not the other way
around.
Initial Buy
Buy More
4. Margin of Safety
Leave room in your buy price for being wrong.
Margin of safety is a function of two dimensions:
A companys quality
Its growth
$140