B.C.

POST-ELECTION

EMBARGOED UNTIL:
6 AM PST, MAY 16, 2017
PRINT EXCLUSIVE:
POSTMEDIA NETWORK
Methodology
Mainstreet surveyed a stratied random sample of
1,650 British Columbians from May 11-13, 2017
through Chimera IVR. Respondents were screened
to conrm voting eligibility. Landline and Cell lines
were included. Responses were weighed using
demographic information to targets based on the
2011 Census.
The margin of error for survey results is 2.41
percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For Greater
Vancouver specic results, the margin of error is
3.5 percentage points, 19 times out of 20. For
Vancouver Island specic results, the margin of
error is 4.8 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
For Rest of BC results, the margin of error is 4.64
percentage points, 19 times out of 20.
About Mainstreet
With 20 years of political experience at all three
levels of government, President and CEO Quito
Maggi is a respected commentator on Canadian
public aairs.
Dierentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet
Research has provided accurate snapshots of
public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP
government in Alberta, a majority Liberal
government in British Columbia and a majority
Liberal government in Ontario. Mainstreet has
been the most accurate polling rm in several by
elections and the most recent Toronto mayoral
election. Most recently, Mainstreet Research was
the only polling rm to correctly predict a Liberal
majority government in the 2015 federal election.
Contact Information
In Ottawa: Quito Maggi, President
quito@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Montreal: David Valentin, Executive Vice
President. david@mainstreetresearch.ca
In Toronto: Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President
joseph@mainstreetresearch.ca
Find us online at:
www.mainstreetresearch.ca
twitter.com/MainStResearch
facebook.com/mainstreetresearch
VOTE BY VOTE PREFERRED OVER COALITION

May 16, 2017 (Ottawa, ON) A new Mainstreet/Postmedia poll nds 58% of British Columbians would prefer
the Green Party support a government on a vote by vote basis rather than a coalition - but an almost equal
number of British Columbians say they would approve of a BC NDP-Green Party Coalition government. The
Mainstreet/Postmedia poll has a margin of error of +/- 2.41 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

49% of British Columbians say they are very or somewhat satised with the election results said Quito
Maggi, President of Mainstreet Research. Of course, there are recounts still to come so the result could
change, but overall we are seeing some disappointment from B.C. Voters. 63% of Liberal voters say they are
satised compared to 57% of NDP Voters who are dissatised - Green Voters are the most satised with
the result with 65% happy with the outcome.

Overall, 51% of Voters say the NDP should form the next government - including 27% of Liberal Voters.
Among NDP voters the number is overwhelming (89%) - perhaps more importantly Green Voters say the
NDP should form the next government over the Liberals (47%) but a signicant number of Green Voters are
not sure (36%).

58% of British Columbians tell us they prefer the Green Party support a government on a vote by vote
basis over a coalition. At the same time, 57% say they would approve of a coalition between the NDP and
the Greens, just 27% would approve of a coalition between the Greens and the Liberals. Interestingly, 40%
of Liberal voters would disapprove of a Green-Liberal coalition.

Lastly we asked British Columbians how long they thought this minority government might last. Most
expect it to live between one and two years. Parties should keep this in mind as anything shorter might be
punished at the ballot box. Ultimately, we still need to wait for recounts, if the Liberals are able to overturn
a 9 vote lead by the NDP in Courtney-Comox, theyll have their majority government, nished Maggi.
-30-

For additional information or to arrange an interview, contact:

Quito Maggi, President, quito@mainstreetresearch.ca

David Valentin, Executive Vice-President, (514) 913-5524 - david@mainstreetresearch.ca
Decided & Leaning Voters

STALEMATE

If an election were held today we would likely see

very similar results to the ones seen on Election
Day - though its impossible to know how close
contests that came down to 200 votes or less
would turn out.

The Greens are seeing a small two percent bump

in Voting intentions province-wide. At 22% overall
they would still have trouble adding any new
additional seats.

For now, they will have to be content with the two

additions to their caucus and hope they can
negotiate for ocial party status (almost a
certainty if the Minority government scenario
continues).

Despite the Election having just taken place, 1 in 5

British Columbians say that they would be
undecided if a vote took place today.

Indecision is highest in the rest of B.C. (21%) and

lowest on Vancouver Island (16%) where there is a
three-way race both among all voters and decided
and leaning voters.
Among All Voters
SATISFACTION BY PARTY AFFILIATION
 WHO SHOULD FORM GOVERNMENT?

82% 74% 53%

(+4) (-9) (-6)