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Composite Module - forecast based on astronomical cycles

The basic idea of this module is that the stock market has a kind of "memory" in regards to astronomical
parameters such as a planetary position (in different coordinates) and an angle between the planets. Thus,
knowing how the stock market has behaved in the past (when astro parameters were at some specific values),
we can assume what is going to happen (when these same parameters have same values again). In brief, the
whole process of working with this module is shown here:
Composites at First Glance
The Composite module serves to identify the presence of astronomical cycles in analyzed data. As an example,
download the price data for crude oil starting from March 1983 to May 2004. Click on this button:

Window's Outlook: You will get this window:

In our opinion, this window represents the maximum information regarding the annual cycles for the crude oil
price. The colored diagram (called "Summary Composite") shows how the price changes when the Sun moves
through the skies.You will get a similar picture after all necessary parameters are defined and the calculations
are performed. In the right side of this window, define the planetary pair to be analyzed. In the example, it is the
Sun-Sun (this means that the program is considering the position of the Sun in Zodiac; to consider the angle,
define two planets). It is possible to use different types of Zodiacs in this program. For example, it might be
more convenient to use heliocentric coordinates for planets while creating some models. For example, setting
options this way:

means that we will research the influence of Venus-Mars heliocentric cycle. The central part of this window
shows a diagram for the composite and three lines (red, blue and black). Each line represents the same
composite, calculated on different independent intervals. The number of lines corresponds to the number of
independent intervals for calculation. It helps if you choose the one you consider more reliable or preferable.
There is a narrow gray-and-red stripe along the bottom area (right under the composite diagram). It shows the
"predictable zones" - these are the regions where your forecast is more reliable. Look at the red zones; you will
see that there all three composites point at the same movement of the analyzed data, so these zones are
preferable when you are making a forecast.
Projection Line: Choosing any astro cycle, you can immediately see the projection line based on this cycle in
the Main window:
Composite Diagram: Let us look closer at the central area of this window, the composite diagram itself:

The program calculates it by comparing the price data and the Sun position in the selected Zodiac (as in our
example - in other cases, the price may be compared to the changing angle between two selected planets.).
From this diagram, we might expect that, when the Sun is in the beginning of the Libra sign ( ) - it happens
at the end of September, - the price reaches its maximum. Thus, it might be a turning point; however, is it really
so? To answer this question, look at those three colored lines. If they all point in the same direction, the answer
is "yes".
Predictable/Unpredictable Zones: In our case, two composites (the red and blue ones) confirm the turning
point (look at the vertical line that marks the corresponding time point). However, the third line (the black one)
goes in the other direction. It means that this conclusion is not confirmed at least inside one of the chosen
intervals.This area is marked on the "predictable zones" line as unpredictable. In other words, to make such a
conclusion (in regards to the maximum price for crude oil when the Sun is in Libra), we have to analyze other
factors.Now, look at the December area. Here all three lines go down. So, this area is marked as a red one - i.e.,
predictable. We can make a conclusion based on the analysis of three independent data intervals. It is stated that
every December crude oil prices go down (in the very beginning of that month):

In brief, looking at such a diagram and predictable zones, it is possible to make a reliable conclusion. The more
intervals we take, the more reliable is our conclusion - when the projected lines for every interval will go in the
same direction. The price diagram itself (a purple-green area) also shows downward movement in December. In
other words, we have found some factors that coincide with changes in crude oil prices at that time of the year
and can use them for making a forecast.
Correlation quality of projection line: You can see how the projection line fits the price chart here:
This line shows the correlation between the projection line and the price (to be exact, the target, usually this is a
detrended oscillator); in our example, it is 0.26. If the correlation is closer to 1.0, this means that this projection
line reflects the price movement very well; see more in Definitions chapter. Next parameter is the
interval that is used to calculate the correlation coefficient. You always get a good correlation on A interval,
because we use the price information from this interval to calculate the Composite (and the projection line as
well). To estimate the real performance of our model, it is better to use some independent interval (B or C). See
more about these intervals in Definitions chapter.Let us take a more complicated example: analyze how the
Moon phases affect crude oil prices. Does this relationship really exist?Composite for the angle between
planets: Before making any steps, let us understand what the Moon phases are. In a core, they reflect changes
of the angle between the Sun and the Moon. For example, the New Moon takes place when the Sun, the Moon
and the Earth are situated at the same "line" in the space, and the angle between the Sun and the Moon is zero.
The Full Moon is very similar to the New Moon, the difference is that the Earth is situated between the other
two, and the angle between the Sun and the Moon is 180 degrees. Thus, in the program, we will create a
composite of the angle between the Sun and the Moon. To do this, set up the following terms in the upper right
part of the Composite window:

Here is the composite diagram for the angle between the Sun and the Moon; it looks extremely interesting:

First of all, note that all three composite diagrams (red, blue and black - calculated for different data intervals)
move in totally different directions everywhere except the area where the angle between the Sun and the Moon
reaches 180 degrees. In other words, we may conclude that around the Full Moon the crude oil price reaches its
local minimum. For any other periods, it looks like the Sun-Moon angle has no effect upon the price. Basic
Interval: The feature discussed here has been observed only for one year (May 2003-May 2004; it is a month
when this feature has been added to the program). To make it more understandable, we have to use a new
definition: a basic interval. It is the smallest data amount that is sufficient enough to make a primary
conclusion. A basic interval is a very important definition. We have found experimentally that the same
phenomena have different effects, and these effects depend on the time frame. In other words, the effect of the
Moons aspects on the same stock market is different now than it was 10 years ago. So, the basic interval is the
interval with enough data to make a conclusion. For example, to calculate the Sun - Moon composite, the last
12 cycles are enough. This approach gives better results than taking a huge amount of data and facing the
impossibility to make any conclusion..This is a new and very important feature of the Composite module.

This option allows you to specify the period to calculate the composite curve.
Going into Depth
In this section, the different parts of the Composite window are described. Each one of them provides enormous
possibilities.
"Terms" panel : Here you can define the planetary pairs and types of Zodiac to use as
well as the harmonics number. For example, here are settings to search the effect of the angle between Mercury
and Venus, in Heliocentric Zodiac, for 3H harmonics:

While defining the harmonics number, we simply point out that some harmonics are important for this set of
data. It means that there is a kind of cycle symmetry. For example, 2H harmonics means that the data change
for the angle between these two planets in the range of 0 and 180 is similar to the data change for the angle in
the range of 180 and 360. If 3H harmonics is significant, it means that the effect of the angle of 0 will be the
same as for 120 and 240.

"Algorithm" panel : First of all, you should not change the settings of this panel often. It looks
like this:

The "Analyzed Index" means the index you use to calculate the composite. For example, you can create the
composite for "High" only. There are some recommendations; let's start with two of them. These
recommendations are based on our own experience:

1) For High, Low, Open, Close and all indices that possess a natural trend, use algorithm.
For example, to create the composite for "High" index: 1) click Edit button and chose High index; 2)
highlight the "Auto Adjust" option. The program normalizes the "High" index according to the period specific
to the composite's planetary pair and uses this index to calculate this composite:

2) For free of trend values (like Volatility, RSI, ADX) use this algorithm: .
You can easily create the composite for ADX index (as in the example) and analyze how the planetary position
(or the angle between the planets) impacts this index:
As an example, we consider the composite for Mars-Jupiter angle calculated for Dow Jones Industrial index
(1970-2005):

As you see, when the angle between Mars and Jupiter reaches 120 degrees, the ADX index goes to 40% (these
regions are shown on the picture). This tendency has been verified for three independent intervals.According to
Technical Analysis canons, the value 40 (and above) indicates the strong trend tendency (no matter, bullish or
bearish). Then the ADX decreases. So we can specify these zones as "... potential changes in the market from
trending to non-trending

3) This algorithm is original algorithm proposed by Bill Meridian.


This algorithm is used in his books to calculate composite diagrams. You can use this algorithm instead of
Auto Adjust. IMHO, I think that for long-term cycles (like 12 years Jupiter cycle) Auto Adjust algorithm
works better. In any case, you can work with both options."View" panel : This panel allows specifying
indices displayed in the Main window:

As an example, let's create the composite for Close index. The green line in the Main window corresponds to
the projection line for the chosen astro cycle:

Checking "Target for Composite" option, you can display in the Main window the index that is used to
calculate the Composite. For example, if we research the Annual (Sun) cycle for Close index, the program
normalizes the Close using relative price oscillator with period=73 days. This is the target. For shorter cycles
(like the Moons cycle), we need to concentrate on faster cycles. For the Moons cycle, I would recommend the
oscillator with a 5 days period. The options are necessary when you create the projection
line based on two or more astro cycles. It is explained further.

Active Zones
Let us explain what "Active Zones" are considering one simple example. Download the crude oil price from
1983 to 2004. Set these options in the "Active Zones" panel:

Click on "Zigzag Options" button. The window will be displayed where you may set these options for zigzag:

Set "critical change" parameter to 12.8% (this is the minimum height for a zigzag wing. In our example, it
corresponds to 65 turning points).In the "Terms" panel, set the Moon-Sun pair because we will analyze the
Moon phases:

Here is the composite diagram for


these settings:
"Active Zones" explanation: From 1983 to 2004, we found 65 top and bottom turning points. The red/blue
vertical lines represent how these turning points are located in respect to the Sun-Moon angle. In other words,
the program calculates all turning points (65) found for the changing angle between the Moon and the Sun and
draws lines corresponding to these angles (red lines for top points, blue lines for bottom points). Thus, the
active zones show where most of the turning points are located. If there are no turning points in some area (or
just a few), the area is called "Quiet Zone".
"Active Zones" reading: For this particular example, we can make some conclusions. The crude oil price
reaches its top 2-4 days after the New Moon. On the diagram above, 0 corresponds to the New Moon. The
"Region 1" (there are many top turning points) is located within the interval 10-50. Then, there is one more
active zone: "Region 2". It is not so strong as the previous one and corresponds to the bottom turning points.
The "Region 3" corresponds to the relatively quiet zone, it corresponds to 230 and happens 4-5 days after the
Full Moon lasting for 2-3 days. In the quiet zone, the price does not reach the turning points, but just follows
the existing trend.
"Active Zones" criterion: We can do this analysis for the turning points and for the points when big price
movements happen as well. In this case, set the parameters of the "Active Zones" as follows:

For these settings, the program will look for all days when price changes at least for 4% (within a day range of
the HLOC price bar; otherwise, it compares today's price and the price one day before). The minimum change
is 4%. The diagram follows (this is the annual cycle, or Sun-Sun, composite):

The region between Libra and Aries is marked by the yellow bar. This time period corresponds
approximately to the interval from the end of September to the end of March. We can see that strong move
points are located more often in this region. In other words, from October to March, the crude oil price makes
more strong movements (may be because it is a cold period in the Northern hemisphere...).
"Active Zones" histogram: If we analyze the long-term data series, it might be impossible to see all related
lines. Look at this diagram; these are turning points for Dow-Jones index from 1900 to 2004, minimal change
4%:

We cannot see it clearly because there are 967 turning points.But we can display this information as a
histogram and look at the density of the turning points. Set options as follows:
For these settings, the Active Zones Histogram for the annual cycle (Sun-Sun) will look like this:

The brighter red zones correspond to the areas where turning points happen more often. For example, such a
zone corresponds to the period starting from the end of September till the beginning of November. In other
words, the very strong possibility exists that there might be trend changes at this period, especially for bottom
turning points.Some useful statistics options for this feature can be found in the "Options" tab:

Go to the "Statistics" page:

We have Chi sq=2.5, which corresponds to the probability of 89%. Putting it in a different way, we can accept
this fact as a true one with the probability of 89%. To be exact, it means: "With probability 89%, we can
assume that turning points happen more often from the end of September to the beginning of November".In the
"Statistics" window, we recommend you to keep the parameters for minimal sample size and the amount of the
control groups as they are and change the "Critical Chi Sq" option only.

Predictable Zones
As mentioned before, the main idea behind the predictable zones is to calculate the composite for a few
independent intervals and see how the projection line is changing in respect to each interval. For this program,
we have applied and developed special math methods that will calculate these zones very fast. It is this "know-
how" of ours that makes this program so advanced. Before any discussion, some useful options should be
explained:

Split on %x intervals option allows specifying the number of independent intervals to use. The greater amount
of independent intervals, the more narrow predictable intervals are (however, these intervals are more reliable).
Adjust this parameter according to the data length for your analysis.
Calculate: if you do not need to use predicable zones, you can disable this option. The program will then
calculate the composites significantly faster.
Projection: if this option is activated, the program uses predictable zones to make projection curves. As an
example, here is the projection curve based on Moon phases cycle for crude oil:
However, as we have mentioned above, the Moon phases give the best forecast around the Full Moon. Check
the "Projection" option, and you will get this picture:

This diagram shows a part of the projection curve around the Full Moon. Other points are simply skipped.Be
careful using this option, especially for the Composite Box (when we combine many cycles). It is very
difficult to distinguish between the true price gap and the area within the end of the previous predictable zone
and the beginning of the next one.

The predictable zones are displayed in the bottom part of the diagram:

Bright red regions correspond to predictable zones, gray ones - to unpredictable.

Here you can specify what kind of the diagram you would like to see. "Split" allows
displaying of the composite diagrams calculated on different independent intervals. "Summary" corresponds to
the composite diagram (colored one) calculated for all price points of the optimizing (red) interval. By the
way, when the predictable zone is significant, the program displays this:

Composite Box: Forecast based on Composites


After finishing the analysis of different planetary pairs, you can put them in a special place called the
"Composite Box". It is easy to work with the Composite Box. Let's say that, while analyzing some set of data,
we have found that the annual cycle is important; save this cycle by clicking on this button:

. Further research shows that the Moon phase cycle is also important; put this cycle

into "Composite Box" as well: .


Now, let us see how these cycles work together, what projection line might be produced by these two cycles.
Click on this button: , and you will go to this window:
Here the black line is the summary curve - it shows the summary influence of two cycles: the annual cycle and
the Moon phase cycle. We can magnify any part of this diagram dragging the mouse. It is also possible to save
this model into a file and download it in the future. The program allows to manipulate by composite pairs:
delete any term, delete several unchecked terms, clear model (i.e., delete all terms), rate these terms by weights,
download/save the model, and put this model into the clipboard ("->Cl" button). When the model is saved into
the clipboard, it is saved in ULE format (the format of Universal Language of Events). After that, the model is
available for the process of creating a forecast based on Neural Net (NN) technology. To create the inputs for

NN, click on this button: (the program will take the model out of the clipboard).In this window,
you can see how the projection curve (a black line) fits the analyzed price index:

You can specify any index to be used to calculate the correlation (to do it, click on the "Edit" button). Please
pay attention to the time interval used to calculate correlation (see details in the section "Definitions" of the
documentation).

Composite Report

While working with the users of other programs for stock and commodities market analysis, our experience
reveal that sometimes it is difficult (especially for novices) to make a decision as to what cycle is important and
what is not important. To make this choice easier, in Timing Solution we provide a special procedure. This
procedure allows doing this automatically. The program compares cycles and produces a report that is helpful
in making this decision.
Click on the button . You will go to this dialog box:

Here, in this window, define parameters of the report.

Report Options:
"Action": Specify here what you would like to do with this report. You can create the report, save it as *.htm
file and later put it on the Internet (as an example, onto your web page or e-mail it to your friends/clients), or
you can choose to not create any report at all.
"Comments": Check this option if you would like to get our hints about how to use this report better.
"Active Zones" and "Predictable Zones": These options allow you to specify the information regarding
these zones. For example, for "Active Zones", it is possible to provide the statistical information.

Timing Model Options: You can use this report as a tool to create forecasting models.
"Add to Composite Box": If you check this option, the program puts the important cycles into the "Composite
Box", and the summary curve can be used for forecasting.
"Create FAM model": Allows to convert the model based on planetary cycles to ULE format (*.hyp files) or
to put this model into the clipboard (Clipboard option). Later you can use this model as inputs for the Neural
Net forecasting model. The technology of creating such a forecast is described in "Timing Solutions" module.
(FAM model stands for Floating Angle Model; it is the planetary cycle model converted into ULE format).

Parameters of FAM model These are parameters for the FAM model. First of
all, a few words about what actually the FAM model is. Its purpose is to explore the active points of the Zodiac.
The "Orb" parameter indicates the thoroughness of this exploration. In other words, if there is/are any active
point/s within the orb's limits, the program will use this area as one input for the Neural Net. Thus, if the
program chooses 8 composites as the important ones, the number of the NN inputs is more than 500 (550, to be
exact; it depends on "Orb" and XF values).
The bigger Orb makes this model's diagram smoother, but some details might be skipped (when it is too
smooth). The XF parameter defines the ability of this model to see details: the smaller XF, the more details this
model can see. However, the Neural Net will contain more inputs for smaller XF, and it can cause the over-
training effect. So, it is necessary to find a balance between the resolution of this model andover-training.One
practical recommendation for creating FAM model: If, while creating the FAM model, you get too many events
for the Neural Net (like 2.000 inputs), the Neural Net will be training too long. In this case, we recommend
increasing the Orb parameter (for example, make it 15 degrees). Also you can try different Filter criteria (see
below).

Filters Options: This is a very important option that allows defining the criterion in regards to the composite
cycle (we can specify this cycle as an important or non-important).
"Min Number of Cycles": Here you can specify what composites you take into account. It shows the
minimum number of cycles to be analyzed to create a composite, regarding the analyzed data. For example, we
analyze the annual cycle; this period should be at least 3 years, otherwise we have not enough information to
reveal this cycle.
"Filter"
There are several criteria to estimate the degree of importance for each cycle. These criteria are defined by
Filter setting. The program will choose the composites that correspond to the filter. The illustration shows three
of them.
1) The first one is used as the default option:.

It means that two conditions are applied to the composite: a) This composite should be predictable; in other
words, it should show the same price movement on the independent time interval AND AT THE SAME
TIME b) This composite should show a positive correlation between the projection curve and normalized price
on B interval (a positive correlation means that the projection line fits well to the price line). The correlation
between the target (which is the price or price oscillator) and the projection line provided by this composite is

calculated on this interval:

2) This filter is based on another criterion:

This filter allows us to choose the composites that are produced within Active Zones (AZ) only. In other words,
we can choose (for example) the composites that are related to the turning points, and active zones will show
some areas where the turning points happen more often. We recommend using these criteria if you create the
model to predict turning points. See the explanation for Active Zones (AZ).

3) One more filter:

Under these criteria, the program will choose only predictable composites, i.e. those composites that provide
the same diagram on different time intervals. See the explanation for Predictable Zones (PZ). In other words,
this type of composites means that the planetary pair produces the same effect on the market no matter what
time intervals are used.
All other variants are different logical combinations of the variants described above. Like this:
We recommend you to play with different criteria.

Zodiacs: In this section, you can specify the parameters of cycles used for the analysis:
"Angle Difference": The program analyzes composites for planets; when you check this option, it will analyze
the composites for the angle between planets as well.
"Middle Points": Check this option to create the composites for middle points.
Also, you can specify different types of Zodiacs and Harmonics.
While producing the calculations, the program "Timing Solution" analyzes hundreds of astronomical cycles
and shows you the most important ones. The results of the calculation look like this:

As an example, the program has found 7 important cycles. This is for crude oil data, 1983-2004. This feature of
the program saves you a lot of time.

Composite Module - Examples


The following examples are based on questions asked by users and friends of the program.

o The strongest price movements had happened when Jupiter came through the first part of
Zodiac (from Aries up to Libra), but when Jupiter came through the second part of
Zodiac the strong price movements were seldom. How to verify this observation?

o Doing the historical research for DJI index, I have found that it changes the trend more
often when the middle point between Jupiter and Saturn goes through these points of
Zodiac: 730' 2230' 3730' ... 730' +N x 15. How to verify this statement?
o

The strongest price movements had happened when Jupiter came through the first part of Zodiac (from
Aries up to Libra), but when Jupiter came through the second part of Zodiac the strong price
movements were seldom. How to verify this observation?

Download the DJI index from 1900 to November 2004. Run the Astronomy (Composite) module and set
options as it is shown in this picture:
We will work with the "Active Zones (AZ)" area. Setting the parameters as above will start the analysis for the
strong Up/Down points while the minimum price change is 7%. The program has found 33 such points during
104 years of available price history. The red and blue stripes correspond to the strong up (red) and down (blue)
movements regarding the Jupiter position.This diagram shows that 30 from 33 stripes are located in Aries -
Libra area. So, this observation is a true one

Timing Solution allows analyzing more complicated combinations. For example, we can analyze NOT ALL
points, but only those that have occurred at some special moments of time. Like to analyze the up/down points
that occur during the fall only. Click on this button ("Context"):

and fill in this form:

The program will analyze the up/down points that happen while the Sun is in Virgo, Libra or Scorpio. It is
possible to analyze price movements in regards to any planet being retrograde as well as many other things. Try
all options on the tabs in the middle of this window.
Doing the historical research for DJI index, I have found that it changes the trend more often when the
middle point between Jupiter and Saturn goes through these points of Zodiac: 730' 2230' 3730' ...
730' +N x 15. How to verify this statement?

Download the DJI from 1980 to November 2004. Run the Astronomy (Composite) module and set options as it
is shown in this picture:

Do not forget to click on this button: because we analyze middle points now (not the angle

between planets). Then choose this option: , because we will study turning points
now (not big up/down points). Next step is to specify what we understand under "top/bottom turning points".
Click on the "Zigzag Options" button to define the parameters of zigzag to calculate top/bottom points:

Let the minimum wing for this zigzag be 10%.


The last step is to uncheck this option:

This is the result of calculation:

The program has found 36 turning points for 24 years of available price history. I marked the 730' point. The
red stripes correspond to the top turning points, while the blue ones correspond to the bottoms. The turning
points are located evenly within the whole 0-15 area. So, the available data do not confirm the assumption.
If you analyze the longer time period of data or smaller zigzag wings, the result may look like this:

This is Top/Bottom diagram for DJI 1900-2004. The zigzag wing is 2%, and there are 2192 turning points
within the analyzed period. The diagram reveals that Libra - Scorpio is the active zone (the turning points
happen often here), while Leo is not the active period.

Composite - Introduction
The effect of astronomical cycles on the stock market is the most enigmatic phenomenon that I know. It is
enigmatic in many ways. First of all, my 10 years research of financial data definitely shows that the most
reliable projection line is provided by astronomical models. And this is the enigma for the scientific
community: they cannot accept this and they cannot prove that there is no such influence. This is enigmatic for
astrological community as well because very often the statements of classical astrology do not work while
being applied to real financial data. So I think that the best way is to study these phenomena without any
preliminary assumptions and any prejudice, to study them as they are.
This is what we will do now - study astro cycles. We start this study with the most familiar astro cycle - Annual
cycle. The annual cycle is formed by the Sun passing through all signs of Zodiac. This cycle was well known to
humans for thousands of years. Actually, we use it to measure the time. Let us look how the annual cycle may
be applied to financial data analysis. Download Dow Jones Industrial data from 1885 to the year 2006. To
reveal Annual cycle, click "Astronomy" button. You will get this picture:

This diagram shows how DJI changes when the Sun goes through different signs of Zodiac. You see here that
sometimes the value of DJI is very high, while for some other periods it is very low. This is the solar breath of
the stock market, and its rhythm is caused by the movement of the Sun.

This diagram allows to make some conclusion regarding DJI movement in respect to the Sun's position:

From the end of April to the end of June, the price usually goes down. From the end of June to the end of
August, we see the up trend followed by short though strong September correction etc.

The picture above is a "planetary portrait" of Dow index, or, more precisely, its solar portrait. However, for
practical needs, we are more interested in the information on real price movement in time. You can find it on
the Main screen: look at it now to see how this Annual cycle appears in time:
This cycle is just one of many possible cycles. We can create composites for every planet and compare these
cycles to the actual price movements. Plus we can consider more complicated (and more interesting) cycles,
like cycles of the mutual movement for two different planets. For example, one important cycle for DJI is
Jupiter - Saturn cycle. Its period is 20 years. Therefore, having 120 years of DJI historical data, we can try to
determine the effect of this cycle on DJI behavior. To do that, set these options in "Terms":

Here you can see the DJI movement (Y axis) in respect to the angle between Jupiter and Saturn (X axis). This
is Jupiter-Saturn portrait of DJI:
You can select four major periods on this diagram.

Period #1 - the angle between Jupiter-Saturn is 50deg-90deg; the market is growing during this period.

Period #2 - the angle reaches 90 degrees (square aspect); the market changes the trend and follows the
downtrend tendency. It reaches the bottom on 180 degrees.

Period #3 - the angle is 230-270 degrees providing the DJI more opportunity to grow. The peak is reached at
270 degrees (another square aspect).

Period #4 - 270-310 degrees; a fast downward movement.

This technique gives us a general outlook of this cycle. The most important conclusion here is that this 20 years
cycle exists. However, if you truly decide to make a forecast based on astrocycles, you need to consider other
cycles as well and then pick up the most important cycles only. This issue will be discussed in the next lesson.

Now, some technical notes regarding Composite diagram:

Analyzing any astro cycle, always keep in mind the period of the analyzed cycle. The program displays this
information here:

You see here the period (19.9 years) of the analyzed cycle and a number of cycles considered (in our example,
we use 6.11 full Jupiter-Saturn cycles).

Pay attention you can analyze many zodiacs here:


If you research the long term cycles (like Jupiter-Saturn 20 years cycle), maybe it makes sense using
Heliocentric zodiac. Geocentric zodiac causes many irregularities due to the annual retrograde motion.

Also I highly recommend to apply Phase Zodiac:

I have found that practically all financial instruments are affected at least by one phase cycle. I recommend

using single planets phase cycles, like Moon phases , Mercury phases etc.

I believe that this table of periods for planetary phases is very useful, you may would like to remember it:

Phase Geo Helio


Planet
period period period
365.3 d
365.3
Sun (i.e.
d
Earth)
Moon 29.5 d 27.3 d
365.3
Mercury 116 d 88 d
d
365.3
Venus 584 d 225 d
d
Mars 780 d 687 d 687 d
Jupiter 399 d 11.9 y 11.9 y
Saturn 378 d 29.4 y 29.4 y
Uranus 370 d 84 y 84 y
367.5
Neptune 165 y 165 y
d
366.7
Pluto 245 y 245 y
d

The most used cycles are marked by the red font.

There are a lot of different astro cycles out there. I often been asked how select the best cycles. Let us say that
you have decided to analyze some new financial instrument (FTSE100). Start with Spectrum diagram - to get a
general outlook on the cycles' structure. As you can see below, there are 2 peaks marked (among the other
ones),114 and 767 days cycles:
It is very possible that these cycles are connected to some astronomical cycles (see the table, I chose Mercury
and Mars phases). This way you can reveal the major players for this market.

However, there is no proven method yet of choosing the appropriate cycle for some financial instrument. It is a
brand new field for research on markets and economics (mostly because of the absence of proper tools for the
analysis, including a proper software; this situation is changing now, due to the efforts of different researchers
and TS users among them). So, now we can only try different planetary combinations, using different types of
Zodiac in attempt to find a good correlation to available historical data.
It is a very interesting thing to see how the stock market responds to different astro cycles. Very often the
"pure" astronomical cycles are much stronger than the well known to economists Annual cycle. If you study the
financial data attentively, you will find that very often the strongest cycle is not the Annual cycle, but a cycle
that is close to it. As an example, for S&P500 index, one of the strongest cycles is 403-days cycle (it is found
by Spectrum analysis). Why is it so, why is it not the Annual cycle? No answer now. We can only assume that
the S&P500 index shows a very strong reaction to Jupiter synodic cycle (which is 399-days cycle). So, right
now we are in empiric stage of the market cycle research, we simply collect and record the cycles that have
some effect on different financial instruments. The more financial instruments and data we analyze, the more
we know about the astro cycles affecting them.

Split criteria and Correlation criteria: how to pick


up the most important cycles
In the previous lesson we have learned how to create a projection line based on astro cycles. It is our main goal
- to be able to create the projection line of the future movements for each and every financial instrument.
However, there is a very important question there: why should we trust our forecast? It leads to another
question, more relevant to our lesson's theme: how reliable are astro cycles if we use them for trading? There
are two sets of criteria in the program that provide the answer to this question.

Split criteria

Let us consider again the most known of astro cycles, the Annual cycle. We have found already that there is
some connection between this cycle and DJI (it is what I mean saying that "the Annual cycle affects DJI").
Look one more time at the Sun's composite diagram:
Consider two significant moments here (they are marked by red arrows). We can state that there are two major
seasonal movements: September drop and after Christmas growth. But - remember that this is the average
picture only; it is based on 120 years history. During these 120 years, American stock market has come through
a lot of changes. So the seasonal cycle in the beginning of 1900 worked differently than in 1950th and totally
different than in the beginning of 2000.

More over, if we look at the price chart of DJI for September 2006, we will not see the big drop, it simply does
not follow the Annual cycle:

Why has it happened? My guess is that the "economical gears" change with the time, so does the stock market
as well. Globalization makes the national economy less dependant on a seasonal component than 50 years ago.
Timing Solution allows you visually see the evolution of the Annual cycle.

Let us look at the September drop in details. There are 3 colored lines on this diagram: red, green and blue ones.
These lines represent the composite diagrams calculated for different independent intervals ("independent" here
means that the program takes three different time intervals among the available data, of the same length, and
not overlapped). The red line represents the last 40 years of history, i.e., the Annual cycle based on 1966-2006
DJI history. The blue diagram is based on 1925-1966 while the black one is based on 1885-1925 data.
If these three curves would point at the same price movement, we may think about high probability that this
movement will actually take place in the future. In reality we see that the red line based on the latest 40 years
history does not show a strong drop, while blue and black curves point on it. It looks like the September pattern
is not so strong now as it has been before. However the DJI still "remembers" this pattern, though the new
tendency and new factors are coming to the stage (I would say it has started in September 2004, partly in 2005).

Now, let us consider another pattern, after Christmas upward movement. Here you see all three lines pointing at
the same direction, and (what is very important) at the same turning point happening on January 5-6, 2007:

The program is very flexible: you can analyze any amount of independent intervals among your data (use
"Split" option), for different cycles and different Zodiac types. It does not matter how many composite curves
you have; the most important thing is to watch the intervals (or zones) where all these curves (or most of them)
show the same price pattern.
The zones where all three curves (or any other amount defined by you) point at the same movement are called
predictable zones. To identify them easily, these zones are marked by red color stripes at the bottom of
Composite diagram:

When any planet (or the angle between the planets) reaches this zone, we should pay a special attention to this
astro cycle.

Therefore, when you study astro cycles, first of all you must watch how these three curves move together. If
they point at the same tendency, we can accept this cycle for further consideration. For example, analyzing
Dow Jones Industrial from 1885 year, we have found this Venus synodic cycle (phase zodiac):

As you see all three curves point at the same tendency. The discrepancy still exists, but the general tendency is
visible. By the way, this cycle is not found by Spectrum analysis; very often the Spectrum cannot reveal this
kind of cycles.

Vise versa: if we watch Saturn synodic cycle with a period of 378 days, we cannot find any tendency there:
So, we will not consider this cycle further.

We call this approach split criteria, when split curves show us some tendency, we can accept this cycle as a
valid one in the terms of split criteria. You may use this cycle for your forecast.

The split criteria approach is a "qualitative" one. Some of you may find it time consuming. However, I
recommend you to play with the astro cycles actually. After some practice you will get a better feeling and
understanding of these cycles. Under this approach, you use your own judgment and evaluate a cycle visually.
There is another approach, a quantative one - when the computer calculates some parameters and provides you
the information for your decision.

Correlation criteria

Before discussing this approach, I would like to make it clear why we use correlation at all. Correlation is not a
final answer. Sure the higher correlation the better, However, as for today, there is still no theory or idea that
explains market moves in a most realistic way; we do not know the reason. Thus, the regular way of academic
science is not applicable here (like gather data, do this, check that, and you will get something). We have to go
by phenomenological (pre-scientific) way - gather the data, try one method, compare its results to the reality,
store the results, apply another method, etc. The stock market has so many faces/habits, and we can only study
these faces/habits. A time for a theory will come...

Back to astro cycles. I prefer to use several criteria in determining the influential cycles. The second method is
correlation criteria. The idea is pretty simple: we calculate the projection line based on analyzed cycle and
watch how this projection line fits to real price (to be precisely, not to price itself, but to its oscillator). The
correlation is calculated on the testing interval (red zone), this is important. (It is important because the
correlation on a training interval has no sense - it is high by definition.) The higher correlation, the better for
forecast - it means that the cycle with a higher correlation has more chances to move the market.
So, researching the Venus cycle, pay attention to a correlation coefficient:

If this coefficient is positive, we can accept this cycle as an important one. The correlation 0.03-0.05 is good
enough. More detailed explanation regarding the correlation coefficient see in the program's documentation.

Thus I recommend two steps while choosing the cycles for your forecast: checking the split criteria and
checking the correlation criteria.

I would like to add only this: do not be discouraged by 3-5% of correlation. It does not mean a forecast's
success (it is not about the forecast quality). It means only that your cycle is responsible for 5% of all market
moves - among all other reasons that might move your market. Is it big or is it small? I think it is big enough - it
is just one cycle among many. By the way, the modern civilization, with all its cars, trains, airplanes, rockets
and all appliances that we used to have - has started with a steam engine. Do you know its original efficiency?
Find it yourselves, it will be a good surprise.

Composite - playing around


In this article some nuances of Astronomy module usage will be explained.

Working with harmonics

For most financial instruments, we cannot use cycles of the slowest planets, because we have not enough price
history data to make a conclusion as to how these cycles work. As an example, consider one of the longest
historical data set available: Dow Jones Industrial index from the year 1789 till now. (The data before 1885
have been developed by Foundation of Cycles Research and Bill Meridian.) In total, we have 218 years of
historical data to research the American stock market. Unfortunately, we cannot use the Neptune cycle for these
data as Neptune's 165-year period is too long compared to the available data. For a proper research on
Neptune's cycle, we need at least 500 years of price history. However, there is a way out. We may apply some
kind of analogy: let us assume that the impact of Neptune in Aries is similar to its impact in Cancer, Libra and
Capricorn (the signs of Cardinal Cross). The impact of Neptune in Taurus is similar to Leo, Scorpio and
Aquarius, etc. In other words, we research the impact of a slow planet going by crosses.

To research this cycle, set 4H harmonics:

If our goal is a long-term forecast, it is better to work with Heliocentric Zodiac( to exclude the Annual
retrograde motion). This is the composite for Neptune 4H cycle:

As you see, there is some consistent pattern (split criteria) there, and this cycle provides a good projection line
(see correlation criteria).

Do the same thing to other crosses. This diagram shows Neptune's impact according to its position in different
crosses (cardinal, fixed, and mutable):
Consider another popular harmonics, 3H. It allows us to estimate the planetary effect according to their
positions in different elements. For example, analyzing 3H Sun composite for gold prices in 1975 - 2007, we
have received this diagram:

It gives us some hints regarding gold prices, like when the Sun is in Fire signs (Aries, Leo and Sagittarius) the
gold price goes up first two weeks and then it goes down. So we only need to know when the Sun ingresses the
Fire signs (it happens around March 21, July 23, and November 22).

Another possibility is the usage of fractal harmonics. For example, the Moon phase cycle is 29.5 days. Let us
assume that the Moon may affect some market with 59-days periodicity. In other words, we assume that the
cycle in question lasts two Moon phase cycles. To create such kind of a cycle, set this option:
It means that you will see the 720-degrees scale instead of usual 360:

The diagram represents how the market moves while the Moon makes 2 full cycles (i.e. 720 degrees).

You can work with cycles of single planets and/or you can research cycles that are based on the angle between
two planets. Just a note: for gold prices, the angle between Venus and Mars is important:

Active Zones

The Active Zones feature allows you to get the answers to questions like this one: "Has the angle between
Mercury and the Earth heliocentric any effect on DJI turning points?".

Let me show how it works for DJI data from the year 1885 till now. Download the data and set these options:

Click on "Zigzag" button to set the minimum swing for zigzag (that is used to calculate turning points). Let it
be 15%.

Now you can see an additional panel with red and blue stripes on the composite diagram:
These stripes correspond to the top (red) and bottom (blue) turning points in respect to the angle between
Mercury and the Earth helio (in heliocentric system, we use the Sun sign to designate the Earth).

As you see, there is a cluster of red stripes around Mercury-Earth opposition:

It means that this aspect may cause top turning points.

But you should be very cautious while working with this feature, as planetary motions are irregular. For
example, if you would research Mars-Sun geo cycle, these stripes are distributed like this:
There are practically no points around the opposition, but this effect means nothing as it is caused by
irregularity of Mars's motion.

Another application of active zones module gives the answers to the questions like this one: "When within a
year DJI may make a big move?". It is easy to answer this question, simply set these options in "Active Zones"
tab:

You will get this diagram for the Sun composite:

The red/blue stripes correspond to big up/down points in respect to the Sun position. This diagram definitely
shows that the big movements are more probable in the second part of the fall:
All these features allow you to obtain the full astro portrait for any financial instrument. Next lessons will be
devoted to calculation of the projection line based on these cycles.

Target - what forecast

"By default" the program uses Relative Price Oscillator to calculate the projection line. This is obvious - to
reveal cycles we need to eliminate trend component from financial data. Another important question is: "what
period of oscillator we should use".

Let's create Annual cycle, the program shows the period of oscillator here:

In other words, to calculate the 365 days cycle the program uses the oscillator with period 73 bars.

If you analyze Moon phases cycle (period is 29 days) the program will use shorter oscillator with period 5 days
only:

So the program uses long term oscillator to to reveal long term cycles and short term oscillators to reveal short
term cycles.

As an example at the picture below you can see two oscillators, red - oscillator that has been used to calculate
Sun cycle and blue - to calculate Moon phases cycle:
If you would like to smooth the projection line we recommend to set ON this option in "Target Function" tab:

You see the red and blue lines became smoother now.

If you plan make projection line for non trend indicators, say MACD, RSI, ADX, Volatility etc. you need to
click this button and set the indicator you want to research:
More information about this issue you can find here: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Mini/8/index.htm

One more parameter is "Alpha"

This is simply coefficient between target oscillator period and astro cycle period. Like for Sun 365 days cycle
program uses oscillator with period

365 x 0.2 = 75 dyas.

Composite Module - preliminary description


This is the most impressive technology in Timing Solution. The composite module allows you to construct the
projection line based on several astrocycles. So, you can consider this article as an express class that shows you
the fast way to create the projection line based on astrocycles. Let us create the forecast for some data. Let it be
the latest data I have worked with: currency USD/CHF (1973-2006). This is the chart:
Click the "Astronomy" button: (By the way, I keep the name "Astronomy" instead of
"Astrology" taking into the consideration the chronic fear of the last word from the scientific community. Ok,
we can play with the toys they like.)

You immediately will get the Annual cycle diagram:

How to read this diagram? The colored diagram shows the price movement in respect to the Sun's position. To
calculate this diagram, all price history before LBC (learning border cursor) is used.

Can we be sure that this Annual cycle reflects the true price movement? Can we trust this cycle?

Common sense says that we can use as hints several independent witnesses and see whether they confirm this
Annual cycle. Where can we find these witnesses? We have them already: we can divide our almost 30 years of
price history on 3 independent interval, each one being about 10 years long (do not be scared, the program does
this work automatically). Here they are:

You see there now three additional diagrams (red, blue and black curves). These diagrams represent the same
Annual cycles from the point of view of these three witnesses. Witness #1 watches the price history within the
time frame 1991-2001 years, it works with the latest available price history data. Witness #2 works with the
data of 1982-1991, while Witness #3 observes 1972-1982. What do they say to us?

The common sense tells us that we need to consider those Zodiac zones where all three witnesses point at the
same tendency in price movement. These zones are marked by red stripes in the bottom of the diagram. Here
they are:

The red and blue arrows show the major trend directions in respect to the Sun's position. You can see that the
Sun is responsible for the major drives approximately 4 months a year (only!). Any other time we have got
mixed signals.

One additional fact that increases our confidentiality regarding Annual cycle is shown on the screen as well.
Look at this label: Correlation=0.1511

We did not use last 5 years of price history for the calculation of this cycle. This is Testing Interval (2001-
2006) - shown as pink region on the chart. This label says that the projection line based on Annual cycle
provides the correlation of 15% (actually, the program calculates the correlation between the projection line and
the relative price oscillator with period = 71 days, to eliminate the trend component).

We can look at our Annual projection line in the Main window:


In Composite window we can set the color of our projection line or to hide it:

Ok, we may assume that this cycle is good enough and we decide to use it for our projection line. Click here:

The program will immediately display one more window Composite Box. Here it is:
The Composite Box allows us to collect as many astrocycles as we like and calculate the summary projection
line based on these cycles.

Now it is a time to play with other astrocycles. I've found that Venus cycle works for these data (though it is
related to the annual, i.e., Sun cycle, it is still a different cycle). Set these parameters:

I got this Composite diagram:


Venus forecasts the price better when it is in the first half of Zodiac. I have added this cycle to the Composite
Box as well.

Look at the Main window. You can see here the thin blue line that represents the sum of Sun and Venus astro
cycles:

The next cycle that might work for these data is the cycle of the angle between the Moon and Venus:

This cycle is added to the Composite, as well as the Sun - Neptune cycle.

Also, I would recommend to use the phase Zodiac. For example, see this Composite for Uranus phase cycle:

This is the cycle that is close to the Annual cycle (period=370 days).
Look at the Composite Box now. We have selected 5 different astrocycles:

The program performs the huge work of revealing these cycles very quickly (I have spent more time describing
this than actually doing this). Mark them all. The program will optimize these cycles and produce the resulting
projection line. You can see it in the Main screen now:

Because this model is based on astrocycles, we can prolong it into the future as far as we like. If, for some
reason, we do not like the resulting projection line, we can go back to the Composite Box and disable one or
several cycles there. The program will do the recalculation and re-optimization and will give a new projection
line.

Sure we can manipulate with the screen image (magnify a part of the chart, shift it, etc.).

As I have said already, the program does this huge amount of calculation very quickly. My purpose was to find
the appropriate math methods to make this easier for you.
When you click "+" button, the program calculates the astrocycle and optimizes the content of the Composite
Box, trying to find the best input for each astrocycle. The information regarding the weight of each cycle is
shown on the screen (like Sun W 0.03465):

If you do not need this optimization, just disable "Auto Optimization" option in Composite window:

The program allows you to perform several scenarios of optimization (different optimizing intervals and
different algorithms). You can set these options yourself in the Composite Box window:

Here are these options:

MY FRIENDS, I NEED YOU ASSISTANCE. PLEASE TRY TO PLAY WITH DIFFERENT VARIANTS. I
STILL AM NOT SURE WHAT OPTIONS ARE MORE SUITABLE AS "DEFAULT".

ALSO I NEED TO KNOW IS IT GOOD TO SET "AUTO OPTIMIZATION" AS THE DEFAULT OPTION.
AS ALTERNATIVE, YOU CAN COLLECT ASTRO CYCLES WITHOUT OPTIMIZATION AND
PERFORM THE OPTIMIZATION ON THE FINAL STEP CLICKING "OPTIMIZE" BUTTON IN THE
COMPOSITE BOX.
One more very important issue is Target. It is what we would like to forecast and what is used in the
optimization process. Set the Target here (in Composite Box):

As an example, we can make a forecast for Relative Price Oscillator for (H+L+C)/3 with smoothing
window=50 bars:

or we can try to forecast ADX (analyzing the trend's strength):

In the end, I would like to make some general notes regarding the interface.

These options allow you to adjust the view of the Main window:

Also sliding this scroll bar:


you can make Composite window partially transparent. Thus you will be able to see the content of the Main
window through the Composite:

Composite Box - Projection line


Fast introduction

This is one of the most impressive technologies in Timing Solution. The composite module allows you to
construct the projection line based on several astrocycles.

As an example let's create together the projection line based on three astro cycles: the Sun cycle (its other name
is Annul Cycle), the Moon Phases cycle and the cycle of Mars phases.

We do it for Dow Jones Industrial from 1885 till April 2009 year.

After downloading the data, click "Astronomy" button: .

Immediately we get the Annual cycle (Sun-Sun geo), it is shown on the Main screen:
Now, put this cycle into the "Composite Box" clicking this button:

It is there, and we can repeat the procedure for other two cycles. First calculate the Moon's phases cycle (the
Moon - the Sun in Geo) and send it into "Composite Box":

Finally calculate the Mars phases cycle (Mars-Mars phase) and send it into "Composite Box" as well:
Look at the Main screen now. You can see two projection lines there:

One of them, the blue line, corresponds to the "Composite Box" projection line, i.e. this is a superposition of
three astro cycles (that we have created a minute ago). The other (the green line) is a projection line for a single
cycle. It is called "Current Composite", and it is the last cycle added to the Composite Box. For our particular
example, the "Current Composite" corresponds to Mars phases cycle.

We can hide "Current Composite" and display only Composite Box's projection line. Do it this way:
Now look at "Composite Box" window (the program displays it automatically when you click "+" button):

You can disable/enable any cycle there, save your work into some file or open a previously created and saved
variant.

If "Composite Box" window is closed, you can open it any time clicking this button:
Simple backtesting

The most interesting question is how this combination of cycles really works in the future. Remember that we
always can obtain a good projection line that perfectly fits to price movements IN THE PAST (it is just a test
for your tools).

Timing Solution provides you "no future leaks" technology that allows to get the answer to the question above.
Let's do it together:

1) Set Learning Border Cursor (LBC) on some date in past, Let it be the beginning of February 2004:

2) In a moment the program recalculates the projection line.

3) The data beyond LBC (February 2004) represent the REAL FORECAST. "Real" means that the program
"does not know" the price history beyond LBC (though you can see it on the screen). It does not use the price
history after LBC. The program is "blind" in respect to the future. (If you choose some other position for LBC,
you start a new case, and now the program uses the data before LBC to generate a projection line AFTER
(BEYOND) LBC.)

4) We recommend to vary LBC position several times to figure out how the projection line works after LBC.
Look at the "Composite Box" module, it shows how the Composite Box projection line fits the price. The
correlation coefficient tells you that; "by default" it is calculated using the price history after LBC:
5) Remember that you can set LBC at any place clicking RIGHT mouse button and choosing "Set LBC at ..."
item:

Also in Options->View, set this option ON:

The most important cycles

This is a very important and the most difficult question - what cycles are more meaning than others.
I always start with the Annual cycle: .

Then I check the phases of inner planets (Mercury and Venus): .

After that I check phases of Mars, Jupiter, and sometimes of Saturn. The phases of slow planets Uranus,
Neptune and Pluto are very close to the Annual cycle, so I do not use them.
If you have 30-40 years of price history, I recommend to check Jupiter cycle, it is close to a well-known Juglar
cycle.

What cycles are better to use? There is no simple answer. I recommend to look through Lesson 7, you can find
there some useful information.

Let me show one example. The downloaded price history is Dow from 1885 year, and LBC is set at the
beginning of the year 2008. It seems to me that for the whole year 2008 Mars heliocentric cycle has worked
very well. See yourselves (a red curve):

During 2008 and in the beginning of 2009, the correlation between this projection line and DJI is 0.7099 - this
is a very high correlation. The analyzed interval (2008 - the beginning of 2009) covers a bit more than the half
of Mars Helio cycle's period.
Does it mean that Mars Helio cycle always works for Dow?. The answer is NO! The time interval 2008 - the
beginning of 2009 - is too small to make this conclusion. The random mistake is too high here.

To demonstrate this to you, let us set the LBC in the beginning of the 1999. The program uses now 10 years of
price history to calculate the correlation between DJI and our projection line; it is more than 5 Mars Helio
cycles:

You see that the correlation for Mars Helio cycle is negative now. In other words, for the last year Mars cycle
works very well, though it did not work well for 10 last years.

Does it mean that this cycle is no use? Not either. May be this cycle has started to be involved in the last year,
and before that it has been inactive. In other words, this (and many other) cycle is not providing the same
results always, it really works from time to time. There are more persistent cycles, they just work most of the
time. So I recommend to start with the persistent cycles.

This is one working example. Let's consider Mars phase cycle:

LBC is set at the beginning of 2008


Looks like this cycle works in 2008 year. Can we get more confirmation regarding the workability of this
cycle?

Yes, we can. Set LBC on the beginning of 1999. You get this:
The projection line is still working, correlation 0.2 is good. 10 years cover about 5 full Mars phase cycles, it is
enough to evaluate the cycle's importance.

In other words you vary the LBC and watch how this cycle correlates to the price chart. The whole procedure
looks like this: you click the right mouse button on different places of the price chart and watch how the
correlation coefficient changes:
If this cycle "passes" this examination, consider it as a working cycle and put it into your "Composite Box"

"Garbage in - garbage out"

Be very picky while choosing the cycles. Do not use too many cycles in your Composite Box, use only several
the most important ones. Adding more cycles that are non working, we add more Chaos to your model. In this
case, you should not be suprized getting nothing in the end.

I also do not recommend to use "Auto selection" button:

It picks up dozens of astro cycles. Usually the projection line based on these cycles works good in the past and
does not work in the future. This button appeared in one of the previous versions of the software; at that time I
thought it might be useful. Then practice and research showed its useless, I even deleted it once, but still some
users wanted to see it. So, it is in the program, though I do not recommend using it.
Optimization

There is the additional feature "Optimization" in the "Composite Box":

There are four possible optimization algorithms in the program:

Weights optimization finds the best weights for all cycles that are present in the Composite Box. Genetic
optimization finds the best combination of these cycles, it disables cycles that do not improve the projection
line (in other words, the projection line is not changing with or without those cycles).

If you conduct the final projection line, i.e. the projection line that is based on ALL available price history,
click this button:

The program will set LBC on the last available price bar.

Turbo Astro module

Turbo Astro module is a very simple module that allows calculating quickly the projection line based on
astronomical cycles. You can also calculate the projection line based on astronomical cycles through
"Astronomy" module. However this new module allows to perform this task very quickly similar to Turbo
Cycles http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/Turbo_Cycles/ module tat allows very fast calculation of the
projection line based on dominant cycles. All "Turbo" modules in Timing Solution mean fast and easy version
of possibilities presented in other modules of the software.Let's start. Download some price history. As an
example, I chose S&P500. Then click "Advanced"->"Turbo Astro". In an instant, you will get Annual cycle
(the Sun cycle) for S&P index:

Now calculate another astro cycle that may affect S&P. Let it be Mars synodic cycle (the period of this cycle is
a bit more than 2 years).

Uncheck Seasonal Cycle and set ON for Mars Synodic item. You immediately get the projection line based on
Mars synodic cycle:

Set ON for Seasonal Cycle and Mars Synodic to receive the projection line based on these two cycles:
Include Mercury synodic cycle in the same manner. The projection line becomes more detailed:

Going further, try to calculate the committee for this projection line. The committee allows to see several
variants of the same projection lines. (More about committee technique is here:
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Mini/12/index.htm )

To calculate committee you need to do just two mouse clicks:


Easy and effective! Isn't it?

Now the main question: how to pick up astro cycles? What cycles are important and what cycles are not
important?

I recommend to run Spectrum module, the peaks on spectrogram correspond to the strongest cycles presented in
S&P500 price history.

Just watch the period of astro cycles and choose only those that have peaks APPROXIMATELY on the same
period:
Like here the spectrogram shows the peak on 752 days cycle, while we have Mars synodic cycle with period
780 days. The astronomical cycles are irregular, so the small discrepancy between periods revealed by the
spectrogram and actual astronomical periods is quite possible.

BTW I forgot to include 584 days Venus synodic cycle; try to do it yourself. This cycle works very often for
different financial instruments.

Finally go to Options:

and play with these parameters:

- color legend for committee;

enable/disable projection lines in committee (SM means "stock memory"; see here:
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Mini/47/index.htm )
amount of overtones and minimal period for the overtone. More overtones means
the more detailed projection line, and more noise as well.

That's it!

Dominant Astro Cycles module


This module in Timing Solution allows to consider astronomical cycles from a totally different point of view. In
all modules discussed previously we have considered the astro based cycles as some constant entity. In other
words, when speaking about the Annual cycle (which is the Sun astro cycle) we discussed either the typical
September drop or Christmas rally. We assumed that the astro cycles always work the same way.Dominant
Astro Cycles module does not assume some constant pattern for any astro cycle. This module simply looks for
the period of time when this cycle has some impact on stock market behavior. The behavior pattern of astro
cycles may be totally different now; as an example the Annual cycle now may work totally different than ten
years ago. In general, both modules start with the definition of the cycle to be considered. Then, usually the
program looks for the pattern for that cycle and creates models based on these patterns. While in the Dominant
Astro Cycles module, there is no need to look for these patterns; the program simply looks for the time when
some particular cycle was active in regards to the stock market activity. Let's start to work with this new
module. After downloading price history (better daily data) run "Advanced"->"Dominant Astro Cycles" module
and click "Calculate" button there:

In a moment you will get this diagram:


You see the bunch of stripes there, each planet has its own horizontal colored stripe. The meaning of the colors
is this: the blue color means that this cycle has no impact on the stock market behavior, while the bright red
regions represent the time periods when this cycle correlates highly to the price movement.

Thus for the Sun (=Annual) we have these periods when this cycle has been especially strong:
Be advised that behavior patterns of these cycles are different at different time spans. and the red stripes simply
represent the moments when the market behavior is described very well by the planetary cycle.

How to use this information?

First of all pay attention to the most resent strong astro cycle (i.e. watch red stripes). For example now Mars
cycle becomes being very strong, while during the Great Financial Crisis the cycles of inner planets (Sun,
Mercury, Venus) have played the main roles on the stock market field (from the end of 2007 to the end of the
year 2010, though now (July 2010) Mars cycle is strong) :
Second, try to find some historical analogy, for example upcoming Mars cycle sends us to the years 1998, 2002
and 2004; check what was happening to the stock market at these years:
Third, you can calculate the projection line based on the most resent dominant cycles. Simply define here the
cycles you want to take into account (Mars in our example) and click this button:

In a moment you will get this projection line based on Mars dominant cycle:
Try to include the Sun cycle (which always strong practically for all markets), and you will get this projection
line based on two dominant astro cycles, the Sun and Mars:
I recommend to vary these two parameters, Stock Market Memory (SM) and the amount of overtones:

The first parameter (SM) indicates how long cycles live; you can find more about stock market memory here:

http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Mini/47/index.htm The more overtones you use the more detailed


projection line you get.Also try to play with different Zodiacs: geocentric, heliocentric and planetary phases.

Planetary Time Metrics - introduction to the theme


In this small article, I would like to introduce an absolutely new technology that allows to improve the
forecasting abilities of our models significantly. We (my friends and I) have begun our first numerical
experiments with this technique almost two years ago. At that time we considered this technique as a totally
experimental one. During the following years, we continued experiments and created a software that can deal
with it. Now we are ready to demonstrate this approach to the public. For me personally, the most exciting fact
is that this approach opens our eyes to a new kind of phenomena: it looks like the stock market follows not the
ordinary time that we all used to deal with and can measure by different kinds of clocks, but rather with the
special kind of time; this kind of time is very related to the planetary movements around the Sun (at least, the
Earth movement). This is a statistically approved fact (see the table of results below). I would like to say that
the moving planets generate a kind of their own time flows, and we can think of that time and apply it using
standard technique procedures, i.e. we can calculate the Spectrum in our usual way to reveal cyclic phenomena
persisting in that particular time, and then create the forecast model based on that time. Also, there are already
some physical experiments that provide a legitimate base for this approach (I will write more about these
scientific experiments in another article). This technology presents in Timing Solution software only, and all
rights regarding this approach belong to Sergey Tarassov.

Why Planetary Time?

To be brief, this technology deals with another kind of Time. Time is one of the most fundamental
characteristics of our World. Usually, describing any process, we assume that this process has some longevity
in time. We can measure the time - using atomic clocks (as we do now) or the Earth's rotation (as we did 100
years ago) or observing astronomical phenomena (as our predecessors did many years ago). In any case,
measuring the time, we link it to some physical process that looks constant and even. Then we divide it onto
smaller parts (years, hours, minutes and seconds, etc.) - to be able to apply these parts to other processes, to
measure them and get a kind of a control over our world. Thus, for our Universe, we use our Universal time.
And this universal time (as we know it) is based on the rotation of the Earth (what else could you expect from
the earthlings?). Skipping all intermediate thoughts (that is the issue of the next article), we have found that the
usage of a special kind of time measure (based on other planets positions) provides the better projection line
than the projection line obtained using the Universal time. This fact is statistically verified, see details
below.Technically, it means that we are considering the phenomena not in Universal time, but in Planetary
Time. (By the way, the Planetary Time differs from local time for different planets, it is a totally different
thing). In other words, the hands of the clocks designed for the Planetary Time are moving in respect to the
planetary position. The most appealing feature of Planetary Time is that it is not even in respect to the Universal
Time. As an example, consider the Mercury Time; it looks like this:

Sometimes this time is flowing in opposite direction. In other words, sometimes, for one point of planetary
time, we have several corresponding points of universal time. There is nothing unusual in it, we simply need to
change the way how we used to look at Time. It is like watching the football game and using different clocks -
yours, your friend's, the watches of the gentleman in the first row, etc. How do we know which one says the
"right" time? Because the "right" one is exactly like on that big clock on the wall? Or because you like your
watches more? We used to live in the Universal Time, but it is just a matter of opinion. Try to consider this
Planetary Time as a true time for some specific process. Then you can calculate the spectrum diagram based on
this time and reveal cyclic phenomena happening in that time.The first time when I calculated the spectrum
diagram based on Planetary Time the first impression was that: this spectrum looks better. The peaks
corresponding to different cyclic processes in Planetary Time look better in comparison to the same spectrum
diagram in Universal time. You can trust me with this: I look at these spectrum diagrams hundreds times a day,
and my eye is trained to see such a difference immediately. But to be sure that this is not an
artifact/dream/fantasy, I had to conduct the statistical research. It took me one year to find appropriate
math/software decisions to verify this fact.In other words, the planets define their own kind of Time. We did
not use it before - only because for all our earthly things the Universal Time was enough. But, at least, the
Planetary Time is very suitable for making forecasts, and some cyclic process may be considered in this Time.
This is the reason why these cycles might look irregular in the Universal time though they are regular in
Planetary Time. In other words, speaking poetically, the Planetary Time is habitable, at least some regular
cycles live there and we can use it for creating a projection line.

Timing Solution software provides a possibility to calculate the spectrum diagram using different time-kind
metrics. You can describe your process using different time parameters:

Universal time,
the price bars or trading days;
Planetary Time (planets positions or angle between planets).

In other words, if we do believe that price changes for some security have a cyclic nature, we can reveal
different cycles for the same set of data using different time coordinates. And we can get a better projection
line.In the table below you will see the results of some experiments. You can do it yourself following these
steps:1) Download the price data for different financial instruments;2) Divide this price history on two
independent intervals - the training interval and the testing interval;3) Calculate the spectrum for different
metrics using price points from the training interval;4) Extract the most significant regular cycles (in different
time metrics) from the spectrum diagram;5) Train Neural Network on the training interval. As inputs, use the
regular cycles (in different time metrics); as the output, use the detrended price oscillator with the period of 25
price bars;6) Calculate the Neural Network projection line and calculate the correlation between the projected
line and the oscillator on the testing interval. The "future leaks" are excluded here because we keep the
training and testing intervals independent.This is the table of results; it shows the correlation between the
price and the projection line based on different time models (cycles extracted from Spectrum based on
Universal Time and Planetary Times):

Regular Time Metrics Irregular Time Metrics


model based model
on cycles model based model based on model based on based on
calculated on cycles cycles calculated cycles calculated cycles
Instrument
for calculated for for for calculated
Universal Sun Time Mercury Time Venus Time for
Time Mars Time
Dow Jones from
1950 to Sep.
2005. r= 0.088 r= 0.233 ! r= 0.097 r= 0.064 r= -0.072
2109 test price
bars
S&P 500 from
1955 to Sep.
2005 r= -0.042 r= 0.169 ! r= 0.068 r= 0.033 r= 0.002
2084 test price
bars
NASDAQ from
1985 to Sep.
2005 r= 0.095! r= 0.094! r= 0.035 r= 0.010 ***
792 test price
bars
EURO/USD
index from 1991
to Sep. 2005 * r= -0.155 r= 0.108 r= 0.226 ! r= -0.154 ***
776 test price
bars
* Before 1998, EURO/USD was interpolated as Dollar index.

The table definitely shows that the models based on Planetary Time provide better results than the usual models
based on cycles in Universal Time. In any 3 of 4 cases, the model based on Planetary Time provides better
results than the model based on Universal Time.But the most reliable statistical approve for the usage of the
Planetary Time was received when I did the analysis of Sun spot activity (Wolf index). I used the data from
1848 year to 2003 year (here is the source: http://sidc.oma.be/html/sunspot.htm); in total, it gives 60,000
points!!! Using the data from 1848 to 1979 (my training interval), I have created a forecast model. The other
part of data, from 1979 to 2003, served as the testing interval, with 7,600 points; I used it to verify the
projection line, i.e. to calculate the correlation between the projected and normalized Wolf index. Then I
extracted the most significant cycles using different Times: Universal Time and Jupiter heliocentric Planetary
Time. The difference between these two time metrics is caused by the ellipticity of Jupiter's trajectory.The
model based on Universal Time provides the projection line that correlates with the index 0%1%, while the
projection line based on Jupiter Time provides the correlation of 5%2%. The big amount of testing points
(7,600) confirms the statistical approval of this approach with a very high probability.

PS. Timing Solution users can see the technical details here:
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/Spectrum/index.htm#A8

Astro based charting tools


These charting tools are based on different principles than standard math applications; they use astronomy's
rules. Some of them are just the continuation of ideas developed for previously discussed charting tools. The
difference comes mostly from a special way of dealing with the Time.

Equidistant lines

Let us start with non astronomical charting tool - "Equidistant lines". This way you will easily understand how
all astronomy based charting tools are organized.
Dragging the mouse cursor from point A to point B (while "Equidistant lines" tool is activated), you simply
display a bunch of vertical lines equidistant one to another (59.4 calendar days step is used in this example):

In other words, these lines are based on equal steps on the time scale. If you use BAR scale, the distance is
calculated in bars (or in trade days for daily data):
For your convenience, you can set in parameters the color and thickness of these lines as you like; also you can
order displaying additional lines (overtones):

Planetary equidistant lines

Technically this charting tool is pretty close to "Equidistant lines" charting tool. The very important difference
is that the TIME is measured here in degrees of the angle separation between two planets or in degrees of the
planetary position of any single planet. (We can measure the time using the atomic clocks, or using the Moon
phases, or Venus phases. What time measurement is more appropriate? It depends on the task we deal with. If
we analyze some physical, chemical, or other process - no doubt, the time measured by the ceasium-133 atoms
oscillations is more suitable. However, for the processes where human activity is involved - like the stock
market - I do not know how appropriate atomic clocks are.) Thus, while with "Equidistant lines" charting tool
we measure time in DAYS (calendar or trade days), with "Planetary equidistant lines" we measure time in
planetary angles. Planetary angles play a role of TIME in this charting tool; see more about it here
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Articles/PT/index.htmThe example below shows "Planetary equidistant
lines" for Jupiter-Uranus heliocentric angle. Here the increment for the angle between these two planets (Jupiter
and Uranus) in the chosen system of coordinates (heliocentric) is 4 degrees 30 minutes of arc:
The other name for this procedure is "stepping".Technically it works this way. Clicking on "Planetary
equidistant lines", you get this dialog box; set there the planetary combination (in our example, this is Jupiter-
Uranus heliocentric angle separation):

If you prefer to display the charting tool for the Sun position (or any single planet), change this setting to Sun-
Sun (or some planet to the same planet).

Now drag the mouse cursor connecting two turning points:

Why this charting tool is so important? The answer is in non even planetary movements. This fact makes the
astro based charting tools irregular, and this is very typical for the stock market behavior.Here you can see
regular equidistant lines (blue) together with Jupiter-Uranus helio equidistant lines (red):
The difference between red and blue lines reaches two weeks within one year. In Options window you can
define the planetary combination, Zodiac, lines appearance - color and thickness.

In the example above, we chose only the planets and Zodiac. The step (degrees of the angle separation) was
defined by the change of that angle between the two turning points. And then we have applied that step (found
by the program) to create the charting tool. You can set the degree of angle separation manually as well.
Suppose that you set the step of angle separation as 17 degrees:

The program moves the second anchor to the new position that corresponds to the change of 17 degrees in
angle separation between Jupiter and Uranus, heliocentric, starting from the value of this angle in the first
turning point :
In other words, when you set the step manually, you actually define the planets and Zodiac (or the system of
coordinates) and the step and choose some starting point. The program uses the value of the angle separation
between your planets (initial angle) and shows the lines that correspond to the angles: (initial + 17 degrees),
(initial + 2*17),..., (initial - 17 degrees), (initial - 2*17), etc. Here is one recommendation while using this tool.
Try to draw "Planetary equidistant lines" connecting any two important turning points, then vary planetary
combinations and Zodiac types in the Options:

While doing that, watch how other lines hit other turning points. This is the way to look for the most
informative planetary combination for your stock market.

Planetary returns (same cycle)


This charting tool is based on the idea of returns - the moments when some planet comes again to some position
or when two planets make again the same angle between themselves. The actual job of calculation and
comparison is done by the program, your actions are just to define your intentions and operate the mouse.
While you drag the mouse cursor, the program calculates the Zodiacal position of the chosen planet or the angle
between two planets and displays a bunch of vertical stripes that correspond to the moments when this planet
reaches the same Zodiacal position (or when there is the same angle between two planets). Look at the example
below. Here the mouse cursor is located in the middle of February, 2009. The Mercury position was 3 degrees
17 minutes. Two additional vertical lines indicate the moments when Mercury has passed the same Zodiacal
position:
Planetary returns

This charting tool is very similar to the previous charting tool. The only difference is that this charting tool
covers all synodic cycles, and therefore more vertical lines are shown .

Planetary steps

Again, this charting tool is similar to the tool discussed above, "Planetary equidistant line". As for that tool,
here you can set the angle increment manually. And you can use not only the same step, but different steps (like
in Fibonacci sequence). In the example below the mouse cursor is set on the beginning of April, 2009, when
Mercury was in the first degree of Aries.The steps 15, 72 and 90 degrees are used. So vertical lines here point at
15 degrees of Aries, 12 degrees of Gemini (72 degrees) and first degree Cancer (90 degrees):

Planetary fan

This tool allows to display the bunch of planetary lines starting from point indicated by the mouse cursor. Here
you can see the planetary lines for Mercury, the 1H, 2H, 3H, and 4H harmonics are used:
Multi Planetary fan (fixed scale)

You can display the bunch of planetary lines for many planets at the same time. Here you can see the planetary
lines for major planets:

When you use more harmonics, these lines look this way:

Multi Planetary fan (free scale)

This charting tools works very similar to the previous charting tool, though there is one important difference.
You do not need to set the scale parameter for planetary lines, the program finds its automatically while you
drag the mouse cursor. In example below the mouse cursor moved between two points of the price chart; the
Sun's planetary line hits both points. The planetary lines for other planets are displayed using the same scale as
the scale for the Sun:

In options you define the planet to be used for Scaling:

Two Dimensional distance charting tools

You might hear sometimes phrases like this: "analyze price and time together", "price time chart". All these
phrases mean that we analyze price and time as a whole Universe. Not analyzing separately price and separately
time. Together, they form a kind of Universe, like South-North and East-West are not separate geographic
entities - but they describe one and the same entity - the Earth's surface. Exactly the same approach can be
applied to price-time Universe. These two charting tools represent our vision of on this problem. This set of
tools combines regular and astro based tools are the advanced version of the tools discussed above.

See here for more details: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Articles/ptd/

Remember that this is an experimental technology. We do not provide any recommendations here yet as we
need some time to understand how this approach really works. We will be able to do that after getting enough
response and feedback from users of these tools. However, even now this set of tools may provide some ideas
how price-time landscape looks like.The first thing we should to is to define the distance between two points on
this price-time landscape. Here you can see the example - the distances between turning points A, B, C and D;
they form the angles close to harmonics:

distance A-B=356.47 degrees, close to the whole cycle;

distance B-C =89.22 degrees, close to a quarter of the whole cycle;

distance C-D =46.13 degrees, close to the eighth part of the whole cycle.

Thus we can draw equidistant cycles on the price - time landscape. It is possible (once again this is an
experimental technique) that these cycles form a kind of attraction zones, like this:

Depending on the planetary combination used to calculate the geographic map for this price-time Universe, it
may look like this:
This "Terra Incognita" needs to be explored more.

Astrology without Natal chart


I would like to start this article with a quote from Robert Hand's foreword to Bill Meridian's book, "Planetary
Economic Forecasting". Here they are:
"Modern astrology is based on what is usually called the horoscope or birth chart... But there is also a kind of
astrology which does not use horoscope chart. Here the planets are used as indicators of cycles. For example,
we have the 20 year cycle of Jupiter and Saturn. We except to find cyclical patterns of twenty years duration in
terrestrial phenomena and these phenomena reliably and continuously correlate with the movements of Jupiter
and Saturn. Business and economic cycles fall into this category".We first faced with this problem in 1998,
when the first astrological Neural Net had been developed. The task was classical: to get a forecast for future
price movement taking into consideration the aspects to the Natal chart. Immediately the question has been
raised: what Natal chart is correct? In 1998, I had not doubt regarding Natal charts - we used charts found and
checked by such a professional in this field as Bill Meridian. However, while making a research, we always
have a nasty feeling "what if our Natal chart is not correct? It means that all our calculations are wrong". A
mistake of 10 minutes for the Natal chart can cause a significant discrepancy between the forecast and
reality.The solution has been found very unexpectedly. Instead of analyzing the aspects of transiting planets to
the Natal chart, we can analyze EACH degree of Zodiac. Thus, we move the accent from Natal chart to
sensitive points.

Look at this Composite diagram:


This diagram shows how the Volatility for Dow Jones Index changes in respect to Mars's position in different
parts of Zodiac. The peak in the beginning of Virgo indicates high volatility when Mars is in the beginning of
Virgo (geocentric system). It means that there is a lot of activity on the stock market when Mars passes this
sensitive point.We can assume that the beginning of Virgo is some sensitive point for DJI. It is quite possible
that some object of DJI's Natal chart is located in this point. The main idea of this approach is we do not care
what Natal chart is applied for the analyzed financial instrument, we simply reveal its sensitive points, and the
Composite module does this job very well.Thus, instead of arguing what Natal chart is true, we are watching
what happens to the stock market when different planets come through different parts of Zodiac. Like in this
example, DJI overreacts when Jupiter crosses 15 degrees of Leo:

Some other sensitive/Natal point is responsible for this fact (not the same one as in the previous example). The
advantage of this approach is that we do not need to know the exact time of the Natal chart, the program itself
finds the sensitive points and creates the forecast models. The most important fact is that these models
definitely provide the better forecasting models.So, how does Timing Solution software work with these
sensitive points? In the Neural Net module, define this:
In the appeared window, choose diagonal elements that correspond to the FAM model for planetary positions:

TS Neural Network will run a very sophisticated procedure called suboptimization. This procedure reveals the
sensitive points very accurately. Moreover, it find the best orbs for all sensitive points.This approach seems to
be more effective as it eliminates human preferences regarding true natal data, choice of the chart type
(corporation versus registration etc.) and the orbs.

Forecast based on astronomical cycles


The models applied in this forecast are based on the assumption that planetary positions or angles between the
planets are somehow related to the stock market movements. I would not say that the market moves because of
the Sun in Libra or because of the Mercury - Mars trine. We do not know yet how the links between the planets
and the market work. However, we can state that some connection exists between market's ups and downs and
the mutual disposition of the planets in the sky above. The statistics is behind this statement. However, it is a
subject for the scientists. For us, it is enough to know that there is a connection, and we can work with it. So,
we can use it for our forecast. Download any daily price history and click this button:

You will get something like this:


This curve shows how the price changes in regards to the Sun passing through different Zodiac signs. There is
no mystics here, it is a natural cycle that we all know. In other words, this is the Annual cycle. Now look at the
Main screen:

This green curve shows how the Annual cycle works in time. To display this curve together with the price chart
(not on a separate panel), click this button:

Similarly you can calculate any astronomical cycle. As an example, analyze the angle between the Moon and
the Sun, i.e. Moon phase cycle:

It is possible to use different Zodiacs (why not? they are nothing else but different coordinate systems where we
can observe the same planetary movement). See this cycle generated by a heliocentric position of Mercury:

"Mercury-Mercury" here means that the position of Mercury is being analyzed. When you change the
planets/Zodiacs, the program redraws the projection line automatically.
You may work with just one cycle (I always start with the Annual cycle). Better results are achieved if you
apply more than one cycle. Click on this button:

The cycle you are working with goes to "Composite Box". Thus you can add as many cycles as you need and
obtain the projection line which is based on several astronomical cycles. Look at this picture:

The blue line represents a composite cycle which is based on heliocentric positions of three planets: Mercury,
Venus and Mars.If you need to get more smooth projection line, not so choppy, increase the smoothing orb
parameter in "Options":

Astrological cycle based models in Timing Solution


This article is devoted to pure astrological models presented in Timing Solution. We have discussed already
two other types of models used in the program - based on math methods and based on astronomy. Now it is
time to look at totally different models - models based on astrological phenomena. This approach is very
interesting, and the most interesting part is that today we can combine thousands years of astrological wisdom
together with the newest math technologies (like Neural Network modeling) and hardware abilities (i.e.
computers, their memory, speed, etc.). However, before any discussion, I would like to explain the main
difference between astrological and astronomical/math based cycles. Do you have any idea as to what would a
mathematician and an astrologer think when somebody tells them about the Sun cycle?

Mathematician:
He sees it as the regular cycle with the period of 365.25 days. He may discuss how many figures are after the
point. Anyways, immediately the sinus curve appears in his brain, something like this:

The mathematician likes this curve very much, and he tends to describe the whole Universe as the Great
Combination of these Harmonic waves.

Astrologer:
Astrologer sees a totally different picture. He sees Zodiac, either as a circle or something like this:

This picture demonstrates the movement of the Sun through 12 signs of Zodiac. Each year, on March 21, the
Sun ingresses the sign of Aries; it is there for a month, and during that month the Sun's quality is colored by
Aries sign. The astrologer also may use the phrases like this: "The Sun likes this sign because it exalts there".
Practically it means that the Ecliptic is divided into 12 equal sectors (signs of Zodiac), and the Sun "feels" itself
differently in each of these sectors. For example, in Leo (middle of summer) the Sun feels itself very good, like
being home (Leo is a sign ruled by the Sun, or the sign of the Sun's dignity). When the Sun ingresses Aries, it
feels itself there very good as well, like staying in the house of a very good friend (in Aries the Sun exalts). To
continue the analogy, there are some places where the Sun feels itself not comfortable. One of these places is
Libra (October), the Sun's fall place. Another is Aquarius (at the end of winter), a place of the Sun's detriment
- the Sun is weak there. The same picture comes to the astrologer's mind when he thinks about other planets,
they also feel themselves differently in different places of Zodiac.This approach came from ancient times,
astrology goes back for several thousands years! The ancient astrologers observed the celestial bodies and
simply compared what had happened on the Earth and on the Sky. You can get in touch with their feelings if
you try to watch the Moon in different signs of Zodiac within several years; simply memorize your attitude
during these 2-days intervals, year by year.Now you see the difference between the mathematician's and the
astrologer's view on Annual cycle. The mathematician sees a smooth wave, and the difference between 359th
and 1st degree of Ecliptic coordinates is not a big thing for him. For astrologer, there is the difference between
the two, a big difference: the Sun in Pieces and the Sun in Aries gives to us a totally different astrological
situation and results in two totally different outcomes. The astrologer takes into account not only quantities, but
qualities as well.There are more places in Zodiac associated with specific planets. One kind of them is terms.
This approach is based on the idea of rulership. The Zodiac is divided on 60 non equal sectors, and each sector
is ruled by some planet. For example, the sector 0-6 degrees of Aries is ruled by Jupiter. Next segment is wider,
6-14 degrees of Aries, and it is ruled by Venus. (Actually there are two systems of terms - Egyptian and
Ptolemy; here we speak about Ptolemy system).I like this table with planetary dignities from this website
http://www.astrologycom.com/dignities.html

The classical astrology says that the planet becomes stronger (i.e., its qualities are more obvious) when it
moves through its own term. (It is a hint for a good model, and I cannot imagine how this model could be done
manually, without a computer. Too many calculations...)Other division of the Zodiac is faces and decanates.
The Zodiac is divided here on 36 equal segments, each segment has 10 degrees. And each segment is ruled by
some planet.The faces and decanates use different planetary rulers. The face is more ancient system based on so
called Chaldean order (our 7 days of the week come from this system).I believe that you have now enough
reasons to try astrology based models. (I did not mention here aspects and midpoints for a reason. They are
rather recent additions to astrology. They combine astrology and astronomy, and nowadays there is a tendency
to more astronomy there. Remember the essential and accidental dignities; you will see my point.)

Technology

There is one more thing to tell you. I would like to share with you my experience in regards to applying
astrology for stock market. When I started to develop a trading system based on astrological factors, my first
attempt was to use aspects. It was a very appealing idea - turning points would occur when important aspects
culminate. But the results were not good. Then I tried to use middle points, planetary pictures etc. The models
became more and more complicated while the results were not good at all. Finally I recognized the obvious
truth that we have to start with the most important factors, and in Classical Astrology this truth is essential
dignities (related to planetary positions and planetary qualities; as the source of information, see Bonatti, Lilly's
books). Now we are ready to discuss the technology; it is time to apply this ancient knowledge to stock market
forecast. The time is right because we have now modern computers that are able to conduct in seconds the
calculations that would take many years of hard work for the ancient astrologer.Running Neural Network
module, set this forecast model:

You will get the window where you can define the parameters of forecast models:

These controls allow you to analyze the position of the planets in different places of Zodiac, it can be Dignity,
Detriment, Exaltation, Fall, Terms, Faces and Decanates:
Thus the program will find how the position of the planets in different Zodiacal places affects the stock market.

This option allows to research different divisions of the Zodiac. Take it


as an analysis of different Zodiacal symmetries.As an example, consider the Sun in one of the triplicities. Let it
be the event "The Sun is in Fire signs". This event involves three signs - Aries, Leo, and Sagittarius. The
diagram shows them as red-colored sectors:

The example of cardinality event is "The Sun is in Cardinal sign", here it is:

The example of hemisphere event is "The Sun is in upper hemisphere". It looks:


Try to create the model setting this option only:

You will see how the ancient techniques work. Try also to use Geo and Geo+Helio combinations.Here you can
set different Zodiacs. Use "In Mundo" Zodiac for intraday data. It is obvious that ancient astrologers worked
with Geo only:

Here you can set the scheme of rulership:


If you choose the "Own rulership", the program will analyze the positions of the planets when they are in
places of their dignities, like "The Sun moves through its own sign of exaltation", or "Jupiter moves through
Ptolemy Term that is ruled by Jupiter". If you choose "Mutual rulership", the more advanced events that
involve two planets will be available for you, like: "The Sun moves through Jupiter's sign of exaltation", or
"Jupiter moves through Ptolemy Term that is ruled by Venus". I highly recommend to try this option.

This is a totally experimental feature:

It allows to research the angle between the planets. In other words the Zodiacal position is defined as an angle
between planets.

The next very important parameter that I recommend to vary is the amount of price bars that is used to train
Neural Network:

I recommend to use this model for daily price history.

Usually I start to work using all available data (before Learning Border Cursor) to train Neural Net ("All"
button). After that I use 1000 bars (4 years = Presidential cycle), then 2000 bars and 5000 bars.

Clicking "Train" button

we tell the program to calculate the projection line based on these events.
Ancient + Modern Technology

You definitely hear the statements like this (from website http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Triplicity):

In medieval systems of astrology, each essential dignity was given a different weight. Domicile rulers were
given 5 points of weight; exaltation rulers were given 4 points; and triplicity rulers were assigned 3 points of
weight. This gives some idea of how much power medieval astrologers accorded to each essential dignity. [7]

In other words, we weight planetary positions in attempt to evaluate their rank in the situation. This ancient
technique fits well to the modern technology. I have download Dow Jones Industrial index data for the last 18
years. Then I ran Neural Net module using the model based on astrological events and trained it.

After that I click this button:

Here you can see the ranked list of events for this model:
The first item here is "Saturn in Cardinal signs", this is the strongest term in this model. The second strong is
"Mars is in own sign of dignity". Next is "Saturn in Air signs", etc.

Now highlight %X first the strongest events there (push "Shift" key and select these items). I highlighted first
24 events.

Click this button to put these events into Universal; Language of Events (ULE) module.
You may like to hide Neural Network results panel now; push this button:
You will get the projection line based on these 24 astrological events.

To see inside of this model, click "Edit ULE" button:

Simply read this formula as it is. To forecast Dow, we need to set these weights for astrological events:

Event Weight
Saturn in Cardinal signs (designated as L1) -18.2
Mars in own sign of dignity (designated as L2) +14.2
Saturn in AIR signs (designated as L3) -13.4

Overview of astro cycle based models in Timing Solution


Pro et Contra
Working with astro based cycles, I always face with a sociological phenomenon of non acceptance of astrology.
This attitude has no rational explanation, it just reflects the social status of astrology. However, for
medium/long term forecasts the astro based models provide very good projection lines, and it would be simply
stupid to not use them.Here I put several random projection lines based on so called "Dynamic Model". There
was no selection here, just a mere fact as it is. This model is based on astronomical factors, and I did the
detailed back testing of this model many times. The conclusions are:

1) This model is not ideal, it explains only some part of the stock market behavior. But - while working on the
stock market forecast, any information is important.

2) This model is really able to forecast for one year (250 daily bars) ahead, it is a statistically verified fact.

3) This model is not a combination of well-known Annual cycles, some other factors are playing here.

I very often ask myself: "Does the astrology works?" Actually the Timing Solution's architecture reflects my
search for the answer. With this software, we can create the astro based models as well as very complicated
math based models (like spectrum analysis, auto regression and others). And we can compare these models. I
love the astrology; however my scientific background requires to test all statements before putting them into
models that TS users apply for their trading. I feel myself responsible for the provided information.
So, I will introduce astronomical/astrological techniques available in Timing Solution. I tried to be fair here, i.e.
the examples were not selected with the purpose of making a good appearance. See yourselves...

Bradley Model

This is a model based on Ptolemy aspects applied for market forecast by Donald Bradley in 1946. This is how it
looks like:

The turning points A and B projected by Bradley model are very impressive, are not they?

To get a better understanding of this model, view it in a bigger time frame:


It is obviously not ideal, and we need to work more with this model.

In Timing Solution you can adjust this model using slides on the right side. You can vary this model in a
thousand ways: using different weights for aspects, playing with the orbs and Zodiacs; you may even create
something like a kind of Bradley model based on middle points.

Here you will find some information regarding Bradley model


http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/Bradley/index.htm

I love Donald Bradleys book "Stock Market Prediction". It looks like he was the first one to try to present
astrological techniques using a language understandable not to the astrological community only. However we
need to develop this technique further. I believe he would do the same if he would be alive.

Evolution of Bradley Model


The model proposed by Donald Bradley (he called it siderograph) in 1947 is the most fractionated technique
in financial astrology. I personally believe that Bradley opened for astrology the door to financial analysis. At
least, since that moment the financial astrology started speaking the language understandable to somebody else,
not only to astrology fellows.

Technically speaking, the siderograph is nothing more than a curve based on transiting aspects. So we can
consider the siderograph as the summary effect of transiting aspects.
The aspects are divided on three groups:
middle term - the aspects that include the Sun, Mercury, Venus and Mars;

long term - the aspects for slow planets (from Jupiter to Pluto)

declination factor - "..half the algebraic sum of the given declination of Venus and Mars ..."

This article is devoted mostly to technical issues of using the Bradley type indicators for traders needs.
If you would like to know more regarding the history of Bradley barometer. please see this interesting article by
Larry Pesavento:

http://www.esignallearning.com/education/marketmaster/archive/0706/070706.asp

Of course, the original book of Donald A. Bradley is highly recommended.

When the theory comes to the open World, the first question that usually arises is: how to improve this theory.
Regarding Bradley model, there have been a lot of questions there:

- do we need to take into account the North Node?


- what orb is better (Bradley used 15 degrees orb)?
- what about heliocentric aspects?
- what about creating a model based on Natal Chart?
- what weights for different aspects are better to use?

In 1947, when most of the calculations were performed manually, it was practically impossible to answer these
questions. The only available computers (like ENIAC) were used for army and nuclear physics needs only.

Nowadays, we can answer these questions. Each one was a step in developing the Bradley models as we now
them now.

So, this is the story of developing Bradley models. The Bradley model has been presented in the earlier versions
of Market Trader software (see http://www.alphee.com). In 2004, it was developed as a stand alone Bradley
Barometer program. This program allows to create all possible Bradley type models (with Natal chart,
Heliocentric Zodiac on others). You can find Alphee Lavoie's video explanation regarding this software here:
http://www.alphee.com/videos/index.htm

The most interesting feature here is that we can adjust the weights for all terms and immediately see how the
projection line changes:
Now, as a part of Timing Solution project (http://www.timingsolution.com), the Bradley models use genetic
optimization procedure. It helps to find the best fitting projection line based on these models. The idea of
optimization is pretty simple - we are looking for the weights for all aspects in order to describe the past price
movement in the best way.

Let's demonstrate how to get the optimized Bradley model. We do just one example. Download the Dow Jones
Industrial Index from February 2006 to July 17, 2006. This is short price history, five months only. The Neural
Network does not allow to make the projected line based on such a short price history. However, Bradley
module does this job very well.

The classical Bradley provides this projection into the future:

Let's optimize this Bradley model. Click button. You will get this window:
Here you should define the "target" - it is what we need to forecast. In this example, I work with the relative
price oscillator with the period of 10 price bars. You can try to make forecast for other indicators like volatility,
ADX, RSI, etc.

Click "Start" button to see how the red projection line changes while adjusting to available price history.

Be advised that to optimize we use the price data on TRAINING INTERVAL only:

The red zone is TESTING INTERVAL to verify our projection line.

After the optimization procedure, the projection line looks:


Now, I would like to add some technical notes regarding the usage of Advanced Bradley Barometer in Timing
Solution software.

When you work with long price history data, the program shows you the projection line not for ALL available
price history points, but for the LAST %x price bars only:
We have done that to speed up the process of recalculation of the projection line when you vary the weights
corresponding to different terms.

You can increase this parameter like this: to see the projection line for all
available price history (do not forget to clock "OK" after the increase).

When you run the Bradley model, choose one of the following models:

"Custom FAM 1" model allows to create so called FAM model that analyses the active zones of Zodiac.

Try to apply this type of models (I mean, Bradley models) for the short price history data. Comparing to Neural
Net based models (that need a lot of data for training), this is a very important and unique feature.

Planetary Time
It is a popular technique among TS users.

It is simple: we display the vertical lines that are equidistant in respect to some planetary position (or to the
angle between two planets). The example above shows the lines that correspond to 5-degree step from some
initial position of Saturn in Leo (to be exact, 5 degrees and 42 minutes). Thus, instead of time intervals, we
watch planetary position related intervals. This technique is described here
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Articles/PT/

Astronomy Module
This module allows to reveal astronomical cycles inside the financial data.

The simplest astronomical cycle is Annual cycle. It uses the Sun position only. See how this cycle looks for
S&P 500:

And this is a projection line calculated for the Sun's cycle:

We can calculate more complicated cycles as well. For example, this is a composite for the Moon phases (the
Moon - the Sun angle):
The diagram shows that in average S&P500 is higher when the angle between the Moon and the Sun is between
0 and 150 degrees (increasing light/Waxing Moon).

You can combine many different cycles creating models based on that combination of several astro cycles.

This module is described in details in Classes: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/index.htm

Universal Language of Events (ULE)


You can calculate practically any astro phenomena using this module.

As an example, see the speed difference between Mars and Venus in Declination Zodiac (a red diagram):

or Berg astro indicator:


or the Moon tidal force:

All these events as well as many and many others can be calculated there.

Moreover you can provide the statistical analysis for all these events avoiding any kind of dicing/guessing so
dangerous for trader. This is a very powerful module, and I recommend to everybody to study it really well.
You will be able to test in seconds any statements that may affect your trading. Try it any time when you hear
about some magical aspect/astro combination/ astro hint from some advisor - you will see immediately whether
it is just one time magic or there is something behind it that worth of your attention.
This module is described in Classes as well: http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Study/index.htm

Planetary Lines

This module is available in Timing Solution. See the documentation.

Neural Network Module

This is a universal forecast system that allows to make a forecast based on any astro and non astro event/events.

This is the list of the most used models in Neural Network module:

The model can be based on:

planetary speed (the description is here http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Uphistory/upgrade_27.doc);


waxing/waning planetary phases (the description is here
http://www.timingsolution.com/TS/Articles/waxwan/);
planetary positions (FAM model)
aspects between planets (improved Bradley model)
the old technique of planetary positions in different terms/faces (this is a surprisingly effective model);
and many other things.

You could use midpoints, planetary pictures, Zodiacal positions, planetary hours (for intraday), and more.

Our strong point is that any of these models can be back tested providing a trader a solid background for his/her
decisions.

Forecast models based on planetary speeds


In this upgrade I have found a way to work with planetary speeds smarter. Actually you were able to work with
planetary speeds before, using this ULE event:
For example, this is the diagram of Mercury speed:

However, the usage of this type of events for the forecast is not a good idea. It is much better to forecast with
the planetary speeds if we apply the ideas that come from Fuzzy Logic science. Instead of using the speed itself,
we deal with events like this one: "Mercury is direct and its speed is the highest" or "Mercury is retrograde, and
its speed is medium".
To create this kind of events in the Neural Network module, follow these steps:

Here choose this tab:


See what events the program creates for the Moon (as an example):

1) 20% of the time ("20" - because the amount of grades=5) the speed of the Moon is lower than 12252
2) Another 20% of the time the speed of the Moon is between 12252 and
124445
3) Next speed range is 12d4445 and 133424
4) 133424 and 141302
5) and finally 20% of time the speed of the Moon is higher than 141302

The most important issue regarding this way of breaking the Moon's speed is that they are of equal time
intervals. See how these events for graded Moon's speed look in time:
Starting from this upgrade, you are able to apply these events to generate the Neural
Network projection line using all planets in geo and helio Zodiacs:

These are the random projection lines based on planetary speeds:


Here I use planetary speeds for the planets in Geo and Helio Zodiacs; training interval = 1000 bars:

The detailed Back Testing for this model shows that the best training interval for the short/medium term
forecast is 500 bars (2 years). Here is the statistics that shows how these models forecast future %X bars ahead:
Forecast %X bars ahead % positive correlations Average correlation
between price and
projection line
10 bars 62.5% (+125/-75) 0.153
20 bars 60.0% (+120/-80) 0.145
30 bars 60.5% (+121/-79) 0.124

Also this model is good to forecast 1 year ahead (250 bars). To make a long term forecast, set the
training interval to 2.000 bars (8 years). This is the statistical result for this model:
The Back Testing report is here (800Kb)

Dozen of projection lines based on the best model are here

See here the detailed Back Testing reports for this model.

Phenomenological Solution in Timing Solution

Among standard solutions provided by the program is one called "Phenomenological" (based on
phenomenological models). I will explain in this small article how this model works.

Phenomenological models are based on astronomical ideas. Inside the models, the program not only calculates
the positions and physical parameters of involved physical bodies, it also defines the importance (weight) of
each factor in a general picture. To make the weight decisions, we use Neural Network technology.

Before running this solution, you should break the whole available price history data on two parts, "training"
and "testing" intervals:
The border between them is called LBC (the learning border cursor).

The general idea of this model is: we optimize many models using the price history from the testing interval.
After that we compare how all these models can forecast; we do it on the testing interval. Thus we estimate the
forecast ability of all these models. We analyze many astronomy based models. Then we choose three of them
that provide the best forecast on the testing interval. To obtain the final forecast, the program sets LBC on the
last available price bar and optimizes these Neural Nets once again, now taking into account all available price
history. Thus we find the models that have provided the best forecast in the past and use these models to
forecast the future. Here the future starts right after the last available price bar (the position of LBC), and for the
forecast all available price history is taken into account.

Let's do it together.

First of all, download the price history; it should be daily data. To apply this solution, the minimum price data
is 5 years.

Next step is to break the whole price history on two intervals, training and testing ones. There are many ways to
do that in Timing Solution; the easiest way is using the right mouse button. Move the cursor to the place on the
price chart where you want to set LBC, click right mouse button:
and choose "Set LBC ... " item in the menu.

Then clicking this button

and highlighting "Phenomenological.ts" item, we run this solution:

The program will analyze 33 different models based on astronomical factors, choose the best ones and provide
the final forecast based on the chosen models:
The only parameter I recommend to vary is the length of the testing interval. Try to put the LBC at different
places on the price chart. I usually do two variants: one uses two last months as a testing interval (thus we try to
find the models that have provided a good forecast recently), another uses several years for a testing interval
(because we are looking for permanent models).

Phenomenological Models
A good forecast is based on a proper model. It means that the choice of the forecasting model is important.
Actually, this is the first thing to do in forecasting - choose the model that is the best for the problem that needs
to be solved.Let look at one practical example. Somebody wants to know what is most likely to happen to the
financial instrument X. In other words, we need to do a forecast for this financial instrument (here I do not
provide the name and actual data file for the financial instrument X as it is a part of a commercial project for
one of our users; however, I understand that it is an additional information that helps to choose the proper
model). The available data file covers more than 200 years of history. And the task is to make a long term
forecast.First question is: what this forecast should be based on? The Timing Solution has a huge arsenal of
methods that allow to make a forecast easily, just by few mouse clicks:

models based on fixed cycles (extracted from Spectrum module of the program);
astronomy based cycles;
auto regression (nonlinear auto regression + Fuzzy Logic + Neural Net, see Back Testing results for this
method);
wavelet analysis.

The specially developed Object Oriented Neural Network allows to get the projection line that uses the
maximum of all available historical data.

The question is: what technique is more suitable for this particular task?

We state that the use of astronomy based models is the best approach for this task. It looks like this is simply
the best choice. The long and hard Back Testing work shows that the regular spectrum based model very often
reminds the kite without the rope. It is there, and we cannot do much; it follows some high winds that we may
not be even aware of. The Spectrum module reveals the playing cycles very well; however, this approach fits
very well to the short term forecast. But when we try to apply this technique to the long term forecast, we fail.
To make a long term forecast, we should find a support of something more fundamental. Astronomical cycles
are the best for this task.So, we download the price history (sorry, the price chart is not displayed due to reasons
mentioned above; the main idea of this Study article is just to show how to make a long term forecast):

Usually we divide the price history on two intervals: blue - training interval - we use this interval to research
our data and train the Neural Net. Red - Testing interval serves to verify our models. The "future leaks" are
excluded.These are monthly data, and we need to decide what astronomical cycles can help with our research.
Keep in your mind this table of planetary periods:
I marked the cycles that are more suitable to research 200 years of monthly price history.

Do a mouse click somewhere in the middle of 2006, to mark down where we are now:

Run module to reveal the astronomical cycles and set this parameter in "Options":

In other words, to calculate the composite, we will use all price history on TRAINING INTERVAL.
This option reflects different approaches to the nature of astronomical cycles' impact on markets. Setting "All
Points" option, we state the permanent approach. We assume that some planet affects the stock market the same
way in the year 1790, in the year 1850, in 1900, and now - the effect is always the same; we speak here about
the infinite memory of the market.
Another approach is finite memory (under this approach, we believe that the Moon's impact on the stock market
in 1980 differs from what it is now).

We have not find a final answer to that question; however, it looks like this scheme works better for slow
planets.

Now we need to look at all composite diagrams one-by-one.

Look at this Jupiter cycle composite:

Besides the major colored diagram, you can see three red, blue and black lines that correspond to composites
calculated on three different independent price intervals.
We can take this cycle as an important one if these three lines demonstrate the same tendency. We speak about
tendency as it is very difficult to make formal criteria to estimate the cycle's importance. This diagram gives us
some hints though we understand that these criteria are not mathematically complete, the intuition is very
important here. It is why we call these models "phenomenological".

Something tells us that Jupiter is very important for this financial instrument, the diagram confirms this fact.

Please be aware that the "inversions" are possible in our diagram:

The existence of inversions points at the non-obvious and/non-linear reaction of the stock market to this cycle.
The black vertical line on this diagram shows the cursor position; we set it in the middle of 2006. It is necessary
to figure out what phase of this cycle we are now in.

When you decide that this cycle is important, click "+" button:
Another important cycle is Jupiter-Neptune cycle:

Click "+" button again.

Also, the Saturn cycle looks appealing:

Thus, we choose three cycles that we believe are able to move this financial instrument.

To prepare these cycles for the Neural Network module, send them into the clipboard:
You can play with "orb" parameter as well, let's set it on 15 degrees.

Now is the time to make a projection line based on these 3 cycles.

Run Neural Network module.

We need to define what we want to forecast. Because our financial instrument has a trend, we recommend to
use the relative price oscillator:

We can play with different variants.

The next step is to define "inputs" - what this forecast is based on. We just need to pick up these cycles from the
clipboard:

Train the Neural Network ("Training" button) and look at the projection line:
Here the red interval is Testing interval, we do not use the price points from this interval neither to calculate
cycles, nor to train the Neural Network. The "future leaks" are excluded.

The red curve is Neural Network projection line, while the black line is the Relative Price Oscillator for our
financial instrument.
You see that the red line reflects the major movements of the real price rather well. This gives us the some
confirmation that we are on the right track.

Now we are ready for the final optimization - ready to make the final forecast that is based on ALL available
price information. Click here to set LBC (Learning Border Cursor) to the last available price point:

This is the forecast:


To be sure that I am not missing any important factor, I have created the Neural Net projection line with more
astronomical cycles added. They might be not so important, however it is good to see...

This is the forecast:

Compare this with the projection line produced by Spectrum based model; we will face the "reaction" effect.
The Spectrum model does not support fundamental cycles, and it looks like it is blind regarding the long term
forecast. This model is good enough to pick up the latest cycles and make short term forecast. If we apply the
Spectrum model to our instrument, we will get:

Our financial instrument has a big up trend within several last years while the Spectrum model tells that the
trend will be finished immediately (you can easily see that varying LBC position). The usage of fundamental
cycles allows to avoid this effect.

The difference between Spectrum and Astronomical models is like the difference between a person who makes
his/her decisions based on rumors and gossip and a person who prefers to know fundamental factors. But, as I
said earlier, for short term forecast, the Spectrum model is pretty good. (Why I consider the astronomical cycles
being fundamental is a theme for another article.)
These are some notes regarding this kind of models:

1. Do not set too many astronomical cycles. In our example, we have defined three cycles only:

These are major astronomical cycles that rule this particular financial instrument.
2. Can we trust our model?
Let's rephrase this question: "Where we can make a mistake?". First of all, we can make a mistake while
choosing the planetary cycles. The second thing to consider is that the good coincidence between a
projection (red) line and the price (blue) can happen occasionally:

So the red interval (testing) should be big enough to avoid occasional coincidence between the
projection line and the price.

Example # 2

As one more example, let us look at one more financial instrument, TWM. This is Taiwan stock, and I have
spent many hours searching for its appropriate model. These are all my steps:

As a first attempt, I have chosen 14 astronomical cycles. I decided that all these cycles were important, and I
made a mistake. The projection line based on these cycles was reflecting a noise mostly.

So I deleted all these 14 cycles from my composite box (clicking this button):
Then I disabled all additional information in the Astronomy window and concentrated on most important
information:

Here you see three independent composite diagrams: red, blue and black. Be careful while checking all
planetary cycles involved. Think twice before clicking on "+" button to add this cycle to the Composite box. It
is like you are making the decision to buy a new laptop in a big shop. Non-correct decision - and you will get a
headache solving many different computer problems.
I have selected these cycles:

The next step in verification of my hypothesis is creating projection line, here it is:
Practically for two years this model worked very good. This coincidence is definitely not occasional. But then,
in the end of 2004, something has happened. It looks like the new factor/cycles started to affect this financial
instrument. The market still remembers its old cycles, but very often the reaction to these cycles is opposite to
what has been expressed by the inversion effect:

I got the same result applying another alternative model (Dynamic model).

Example # 3

This example allows to make the projection line for Dow Jones Industrial index. As a source, we take monthly
data for DJI from 1895 to March 2006; for the years 1789 - 1885 the specially developed indicator that reflects
the pulse of American economy has been chosen. These monthly data were developed by the Foundation for the
Study of Cycles. Bill Meridian has obtained these data in 1988 and maintains them since that year.
I selected these cycles:
This is the Neural Net projection line:

You see that the red projection line describes the DJI changes pretty good. This is more detailed picture:

Why and when should we use phenomenological models?

I specially named these kind of models "phenomenological" because I have no idea regarding the formal
criteria of cycles' selection. Believe me, I tried a lot, see the documentation, there are eight different criteria of
choosing the cycles. But all formal criteria provide formal results, without adding a "hand" work, we might lose
something.
When pure math efforts are not enough, it is time to give more room for human intuition. This is the reason
why I spend a lot of time setting the parameters "by default". It allows to the user of Timing Solution software
to see the structure of the model for some specific financial instrument easily. If the user would spent one
second changing some parameter, there is a strong chance that he/she might forget and miss something really
important. The default settings are like landmarks in models' creation. When the user is familiar with them
enough, he/she is ready to create his/her own models.
The accuracy of math methods applied in the program are guaranteed. To be correct, I must say that we have
got very good results for pure mathematical models. See Back Testing results. But all these models are
concentrated on short term forecast. When we are interested in long term forecast, math methods are not
enough. We have to include something else.A single human brain contains the information of human evolution
from the simplest live forms to the modern humankind. It covers several hundreds million years of data!!! As
an example, when we define our orientation in the physical space, we rely on the experience of ancient live
forms. Our movements, emotions, thinking are not a product of simple Aristotle logic, their source is much
more deeper. Thus, creating a forecast we should be armed with the modern math for sure. However, we should
remember as well that the price can contain some hints invisible in the frames of the formal math. Simply we
have not enough price history for that. Our Stone Age ancestors did not trade (at least, there are no records
regarding this) and did not have stock exchanges, though we use nowadays their survival experience as well.
Sometimes intuition and experience provide better hints - like choosing Jupiter cycle as a fundamental one in
the Example #1. We observe here not only the composite diagrams, we keep in our minds as well the
information that Jupiter is the largest planet in the Solar system, it is very important in Chinese tradition.

Jupiter-Saturn 20 years cycle


Recently I have got several questions regarding Jupiter-Saturn 20 years cycle. It looks like some discussion of
its impact on the stock market has been conducted somewhere.Let us do it together. We start with the common
sense consideration of the common market researcher. And here comes the disappointment. Why? By default,
the cycle is some pattern repeated in time. In other words, assuming that some 20-year cycle exists (Jupiter -
Saturn cycle is 19.9 years) we expect that the price history that reveals itself now (winter 2008) has some
analogy to the price history 20 years ago, i.e. in the year 1988. This is how the classic science and common
sense understand cycles. However, look at this Jupiter-Saturn cycle in details. I have calculated the moments
when Jupiter conjuncts Saturn in heliocentric Zodiac and displayed them together with Dow Jones Industrial
history data from 1885 year (logarithm scale used):

The conjunction moments are marked by vertical stripes. You see these conjunctions divide the whole history
data file onto 20-year intervals. At this part, the cyclic idea works. The 20-year Jupiter-Saturn cycle exists. It is
not the same in regards to price patterns. The hypothesis is that the same price patterns (or almost the
same) should be present for all these intervals.

I looked through all conjunctions and DJI around them and could not find any common sense analogy here. See
yourself. Is there anything similar between these two six year intervals after Jupiter-Saturn conjunctions (years
1981 and 2000)?

I do not think so.

Or can you see any analogy between these three consequent 20 years intervals:
Does it mean that Jupiter-Saturn cycle on the markets does not exist? From the point of view of the formal
math, it does: there are not found regular 20-year patterns for DJI, so the cycle does not exist. We may consider
instead stochastic cycles (described in Chaos theory). Stochastic cycle is the cycle when the entity (the stock
market in our case) keeps its structure - habits and behavior.

I could leave here (as many critics of financial astrology do). I almost did it. But something stopped me from
making this final conclusion. Actually we could consider instead stochastic cycles (described in Chaos theory).
Stochastic cycle is the cycle when the entity (the stock market in our case) keeps its structure - habits and
behavior. And - do you see where we are going from there? We have almost missed the fact applying formal
math approach, and now we are getting to the research of behavior and habits - things that are the realm of
astrology.

I looked at this picture once again:


You see all these conjunctions divide the price history data on the intervals, and each interval has its own
character.

Between the years 1901 and 1921, Dow looks like a variation inside 50-100 points interval;

1921-1941 years - a roller-coaster, plus some new entity appears: multi-years trends;

1941-1961 years - one more entity appears: a relatively steady growth. Also WW2 took place in the beginning
of this period.

You can easily continue this analysis for all other periods. So it might be that instead of the theory that Jupiter-
Saturn cycle means the repetition of the price patterns we should consider the beginning of this cycle (which is
the conjunction between Jupiter and Saturn) as the beginning of a new period of Dow Jones behavior.

My main point of this article is to distinguish between math based and astrological cycles. A cycle consists of
the points that look similar In this particular case, the Jupiter-Saturn cycle works more as an astrological cycle,
not a mathematical one. In other words, each conjunction defines the rules that the stock market will follow for
the next 20 years. This is a "key" event that has effect for the next 20 years. In regards to this point, the methods
of Natal and Financial Astrology are close to each other.

How to work with this cycle? The application of statistical methods (like Composite analysis) does not provide
results here (though you may try). I would prefer the old classical approach analyzing charts of each
conjunction separately. For a mathematician, all these charts must be treated as one and the same - thus the
cycles theory works, To an astrologer, each chart is different. And if looking for analogies, the astrologer will
find first the charts that are the most similar.

First of all we need to decide what chart type is better for this research. I believe that Heliocentric Zodiac suits
this purpose better. Next question is: "What we need to research first?" (i.e. what factors must be considered
first).
Classic astrology divides all astro factors by dignity in two groups: "essential" - mostly related with planetary
positions (or absolute positions in space); "accidental" - houses, aspects and other factors that are based on
planetary positions in respect to other bodies or locality). It is very interesting that I have got a proof of the
importance of this old definition in my researches. Essential dignities are prior to accidentals.

So I consider first the sign where this conjunction is culminated. Maybe we better look for the analogies on the
market for the conjunctions in the same sign. Let us look at the last conjunction that has occurred in the year
2000. It has culminated in Taurus. We have one more conjunction in the end of 1940 year that took place in
12th degree of Taurus. So, if we compare these two periods, we find more analogy there. In 40s, there was
WW2; in 21st century, we have a global war against terrorism. See how DJI behaved in 40s:

The second half of this period looks very promising, and it gives us some hopes for the next 12 years.

Classical Natal astrology has the time proven hierarchy of essential factors. You are able to research them all, if
you would like to. The more factors coincide for two compared periods, the stronger is the chance of price
pattern repetition. I have found interesting that in the conjunction charts for these two periods (40s and 2000s)
both planets, Jupiter and Saturn, are peregrins (i.e., weak ones, with no dignities).I have specially restricted
myself to consider essential factors only. I do that because I believe that the methods of Natal astrology do not
always work the same way for Financial astrology. To consider the accidental factors, we simply have not
enough stock market history data to understand how these factors work for the stock market. Natal astrology
applies them because it has a different subject (not the stock market movements) and thousands years of
historical observations. The application of these rules to stock market forecasting is nothing more but the pure
anthropocentrism.

Semi Automated Testing of Phenomenological Models


I would like to bring your attention to this new algorithm of finding the best phenomenological model. The
general idea of this technique is simple: we apply suggested models to the financial instrument of our choice,
and then analyze them. Previously, you could do it manually, for different models. You would have to choose
the models, train Neural Nets, test them and then compare the results. Now, all you need to do is just choose
your financial instrument and run the new Solution, "Phenomenological.ts", and wait while the program applies
27 previously created models to this instrument, trains and tests 27 Neural Nets, finds correlation coefficients
for each model - and gives you final results as a table. It is a kind of simplified back testing for
phenomenological models. We did it with the intention to help users who have no time or proper skills for
model's research.Then you may take the best model (or several best choices) and make a projection line for
your financial instrument in a usual way. Now, we suggest 27 models. These are mostly phenomenological
models. The list includes several Spectrum models as well; these Spectrum models have shown promising
results for some financial instruments (see "Naked Truth" section on the website). We continue working with
the new models and testing the old ones. It means that the list of suggested models will be changing in time. So,
what do you need to do? Follow these steps:

Step 1: Download any financial instrument

Step 2: Set the TRAINING interval as big as possible. The bigger interval allows to avoid the random
coincidence.

Step 3: Run the "Phenomenological.ts" Solution:

Below you will see three Case Studies. I applied this technology to Dow Jones Industrial Index and Corn and
Gold data.

Dow Jones Industrial Index Case Study

Download Dow Jones Industrial index data. I took the data from 1885 up to 2006 (33.000 price bars). The LBC
is set at the year 1963; thus we have more than 10.000 testing price bars:
Now, run the "Phenomenological.ts" Solution:

You will get the table below:

Financial Instrument: Dow_from_1885.csv


Analyzed 27 models
LBC Info: 22607 train/10586 test
Target: Rel. Osc.(1,50,50 Close,Exp)

NN (first NN (first NN (last LIN (first LIN (first LIN (last


Model
10801 pt) 5378 pt) 5425 pt) 10801 pt) 5378 pt) 5425 pt)
Dynamic Model TI=500 14.89% 9.00% 21.53% 3.33% -0.01% 7.43%
Dynamic Model TI=750 13.86% 9.60% 18.87% 4.59% 5.77% 4.10%
Spectrum Model TI=1000 10.16% 7.44% 13.79% 7.36% 6.57% 7.61%
FAM Model Phase,
7.66% 2.87% 12.27% 8.70% 2.14% 15.27%
Orb=10, TI=1000
FAM Model Phase,
7.39% 3.16% 11.48% 7.77% 2.10% 13.20%
Orb=10, TI=2000
Dynamic Model TI=1000 6.83% 3.69% 10.78% 3.88% 2.78% 5.83%
FAM Model Phase,
6.68% 0.41% 12.83% 5.08% -1.84% 12.13%
Orb=15, TI=1000
FAM Model Phase,
6.56% -0.68% 13.19% 8.03% 1.37% 14.50%
Orb=15, TI=2000
FAM Model Geo,
6.36% 11.17% 0.84% 5.22% 12.17% -2.40%
Orb=15, TI=2000
Terms/Faces Model
5.37% 0.99% 10.09% 4.91% 2.30% 7.72%
TI=All
Dynamic Model TI=2000 4.65% 3.78% 6.18% -0.59% 1.06% -2.08%
FAM Model Phase,
4.41% 3.56% 5.20% 4.36% 4.06% 4.64%
Orb=10, TI=All
Seasonal Orb=15,
4.27% 2.84% 5.66% 0.13% -0.39% 0.47%
TI=1000
FAM Model Geo,
4.11% 4.32% 4.71% 6.83% 10.38% 3.52%
Orb=10, TI=2000
FAM Model Geo,
4.01% 8.84% -1.53% 7.36% 6.29% 8.57%
Orb=10, TI=1000
Ptolemy Aspects Model
3.68% 0.65% 6.44% -0.49% -4.40% 3.36%
Orb=15
FAM Model Geo,
3.58% 7.63% -0.56% 8.52% 6.93% 10.38%
Orb=15, TI=1000
FAM Model Phase,
2.43% 2.69% 1.94% 1.67% 1.35% 1.92%
Orb=15, TI=All
Terms/Faces Model
2.26% 0.39% 3.37% 8.14% 1.70% 10.14%
TI=2000
Seasonal Orb=10,
2.16% 5.25% -0.93% -0.12% -0.94% 0.51%
TI=1000
FAM Model Geo,
2.10% 4.59% 0.77% 5.86% 9.24% 4.74%
Orb=10, TI=All
FAM Model Geo,
1.81% -2.94% 7.94% 2.17% 5.40% 0.87%
Orb=15, TI=All
Terms/Faces Model
1.12% 1.13% 2.26% 9.38% 8.22% 8.14%
TI=1000
Dynamic Model TI=All 0.11% 1.89% -1.58% 2.39% 0.26% 4.72%
Spectrum Model TI=300 -0.93% 3.15% -5.43% -1.25% 6.45% -8.92%
Spectrum Model TI=50 -3.40% -0.35% -6.61% -0.91% 4.58% -7.06%
Spectrum Model TI=500 -5.18% -7.37% -3.54% -1.89% -2.08% -2.04%

It is a list of 27 models sorted in regards to correlation coefficients. (The correlation coefficient shows how well
each projection line fits the real price within the testing interval.) Red numbers mean a positive correlation; blue
numbers show a negative correlation.

As you see, the best model for DJI is "Dynamic Model TI=500"; this is Dynamic model with the training
interval = 500 price bars.
You can easily create the Neural Net projection line for "Dynamic Model TI=500". Follow these steps:

There define the Training Interval (TI)=500 price bars:

Now you can see the length of training interval here:

You can try the same model with the training interval = 750 price bars as well, it gives very close results (see
the next line in the table above):

Dynamic Model TI=750 13.86% 9.60% 18.87% 4.59% 5.77%

One of Spectrum models proposed by Ben Price also looks well

Spectrum Model TI=1000 10.16% 7.44% 13.79% 7.36% 6.57%

In other words, we can use some fixed cycles to forecast Dow Jones.

Next three best models are FAM Phase model and one more Dynamic model:

FAM Model Phase, Orb=10, TI=1000 7.66% 2.87% 12.27% 8.70% 2.14% 15.27%
FAM Model Phase, Orb=10, TI=2000 7.39% 3.16% 11.48% 7.77% 2.10% 13.20%
Dynamic Model TI=1000 6.83% 3.69% 10.78% 3.88% 2.78% 5.83%

I would like to add a few words on Phase models. Phase models are based on planetary phases, and very often
they work together with Dynamic models.

The planetary phase means the degree of illumination of the planets by the Sun if we observe this planets from
the Earth's surface. Also, with a good accuracy, we can consider the phase of the planet as a degree of
gravitation of this planet. When the phase=0 degrees (for example New Venus = heliocentric Venus-Earth
conjunction), the distance between Venus and the Earth is in its minimum, while its gravitation effect is
maximum. When the phase=180 degrees (Full Venus = heliocentric Venus-Earth opposition), it means the
maximum distance between Venus and the Earth and therefore the minimum gravitation effect.

Thus we can consider the Dow Jones index as phase/gravitation dependable market.

Corn Price Case Study

Financial Instrument: CORN prices


Analyzed 27 models
LBC Info: 9351 train/5004 test
Target: Rel. Osc.(1,50,50 Close,Exp)

NN (first NN (first NN (last LIN (first LIN (first LIN (last


Model
5218 pt) 2613 pt) 2607 pt) 5218 pt) 2613 pt) 2607 pt)
Terms/Faces Model
31.01% 39.80% 18.36% 19.78% 32.93% 1.76%
TI=1000
FAM Model Geo, Orb=10,
29.62% 32.58% 23.97% 27.59% 32.80% 20.17%
TI=1000
FAM Model Geo, Orb=15,
28.55% 28.84% 27.09% 26.24% 26.58% 25.15%
TI=2000
FAM Model Geo, Orb=15,
28.12% 31.29% 21.90% 25.11% 30.42% 17.79%
TI=1000
FAM Model Geo, Orb=10,
27.30% 30.38% 22.41% 24.29% 24.62% 22.93%
TI=2000
FAM Model Geo, Orb=15,
22.38% 28.03% 16.05% 19.21% 22.16% 16.03%
TI=All
Terms/Faces Model
20.53% 21.31% 19.93% 13.85% 15.51% 17.95%
TI=2000
Seasonal Orb=15,
17.65% 23.07% 11.05% 19.10% 24.41% 12.72%
TI=1000
Seasonal Orb=10,
17.57% 20.44% 14.09% 19.05% 23.90% 13.19%
TI=1000
Terms/Faces Model
16.94% 18.23% 17.83% 14.75% 17.09% 13.71%
TI=All
Dynamic Model TI=2000 15.94% 22.18% 9.38% 8.92% 12.60% 4.34%
Dynamic Model TI=1000 12.80% 15.67% 7.99% 10.42% 9.79% 10.25%
FAM Model Phase,
12.25% 14.62% 8.04% 7.22% 7.46% 5.39%
Orb=10, TI=1000
FAM Model Phase,
9.13% 11.12% 4.72% 4.96% 5.10% 3.18%
Orb=15, TI=1000
FAM Model Geo, Orb=10,
9.06% 9.89% 8.58% 16.98% 20.73% 12.88%
TI=All
Dynamic Model TI=500 5.81% 8.26% 2.76% -4.92% -9.13% 1.44%
Spectrum Model TI=300 3.93% 1.78% 7.24% 3.35% -1.36% 8.57%
FAM Model Phase,
3.11% 13.37% -10.31% 1.08% 13.59% -15.96%
Orb=10, TI=2000
FAM Model Phase,
0.82% 12.05% -14.07% 1.38% 15.01% -17.07%
Orb=15, TI=2000
Spectrum Model TI=1000 0.82% -2.44% 6.13% 3.55% 4.14% 3.08%
FAM Model Phase,
0.56% 4.02% -4.14% -6.43% -0.98% -15.10%
Orb=10, TI=All
Dynamic Model TI=750 -0.49% 3.60% -5.10% -2.45% -2.80% -3.16%
Spectrum Model TI=500 -1.31% -6.87% 6.15% 0.98% 1.70% 0.41%
Spectrum Model TI=50 -1.75% 5.71% -9.84% 4.37% 6.39% 1.95%
Ptolemy Aspects Model
-5.07% -4.34% -7.00% -3.70% -7.35% -0.20%
Orb=15
FAM Model Phase,
-9.30% -2.86% -18.62% -7.97% -3.70% -15.19%
Orb=15, TI=All
Dynamic Model TI=All -16.53% -13.74% -20.57% -14.70% -7.23% -24.29%

These are the best models:

NN (first NN (first NN (last LIN (first LIN (first LIN (last


Model
5218 pt) 2613 pt) 2607 pt) 5218 pt) 2613 pt) 2607 pt)
Terms/Faces Model
31.01% 39.80% 18.36% 19.78% 32.93% 1.76%
TI=1000
FAM Model Geo,
29.62% 32.58% 23.97% 27.59% 32.80% 20.17%
Orb=10, TI=1000
FAM Model Geo,
28.55% 28.84% 27.09% 26.24% 26.58% 25.15%
Orb=15, TI=2000
FAM Model Geo,
28.12% 31.29% 21.90% 25.11% 30.42% 17.79%
Orb=15, TI=1000

Terms/Faces Model TI=1000: this is the newest model; it will be available in the Advanced version of Timing
Solution. It is pure astrological model based on old techniques.

FAM Model Geo, Orb=10, TI=1000: this model is based on geocentric planetary positions. It looks like for
this market the planetary position in Zodiac is important.
You can easily calculate the Neural Net projection line this way:
Set training interval to 1000 price bars.

The phase and Dynamic models look good as well:

Dynamic Model TI=2000 15.94% 22.18% 9.38% 8.92% 12.60% 4.34%


Dynamic Model TI=1000 12.80% 15.67% 7.99% 10.42% 9.79% 10.25%
FAM Model Phase, Orb=10, TI=1000 12.25% 14.62% 8.04% 7.22% 7.46% 5.39%
FAM Model Phase, Orb=15, TI=1000 9.13% 11.12% 4.72% 4.96% 5.10% 3.18%

Gold Price Case Study

Financial Instrument: GOLD

Analyzed 27 models
LBC Info: 3665 train/3864 test
Target: Rel. Osc.(1,50,50 Close,Exp)

NN (first NN (first NN (last LIN (first LIN (first LIN (last


Model
4079 pt) 2044 pt) 2037 pt) 4079 pt) 2044 pt) 2037 pt)
FAM Model Geo, Orb=10,
10.05% 16.05% 4.95% 2.85% 11.98% -6.29%
TI=2000
Seasonal Orb=15, TI=1000 9.64% 0.32% 17.63% 9.56% 0.90% 17.09%
FAM Model Geo, Orb=15,
9.09% 15.82% 5.23% 7.51% 13.41% 2.87%
TI=All
Terms/Faces Model
8.65% -0.88% 11.61% 8.49% 2.70% 9.12%
TI=All
Seasonal Orb=10, TI=1000 6.04% 1.93% 9.56% 9.08% 0.69% 16.39%
FAM Model Geo, Orb=15,
5.97% 8.36% 7.76% -3.13% 10.88% -10.41%
TI=1000
FAM Model Phase,
5.92% -4.02% 13.33% 4.38% -6.18% 13.43%
Orb=15, TI=2000
FAM Model Phase,
5.28% -7.68% 16.30% 1.39% -8.06% 9.81%
Orb=10, TI=2000
FAM Model Phase,
4.97% 0.19% 9.17% -2.08% -2.59% -2.00%
Orb=10, TI=1000
FAM Model Geo, Orb=15,
4.83% 10.91% -1.13% -0.38% 5.51% -7.14%
TI=2000
FAM Model Geo, Orb=10,
4.55% 3.73% 4.98% 3.72% 2.57% 3.15%
TI=All
Dynamic Model TI=2000 3.93% -2.09% 8.52% 0.96% -1.66% 3.10%
FAM Model Phase,
2.91% -2.28% 7.98% -3.35% -0.23% -6.95%
Orb=15, TI=1000
FAM Model Phase,
1.88% 6.27% -1.48% 5.95% -4.45% 14.27%
Orb=10, TI=All
FAM Model Phase,
1.34% -4.91% 6.63% 0.17% -2.30% 2.32%
Orb=15, TI=All
Dynamic Model TI=1000 0.88% 3.17% -1.16% 3.17% 4.76% -0.02%
Spectrum Model TI=50 0.09% -0.02% 0.46% 3.32% -7.07% 11.88%
Ptolemy Aspects Model
-0.90% -2.86% -0.34% -0.90% 1.57% -4.48%
Orb=15
Spectrum Model TI=300 -1.09% 2.54% -4.40% -4.36% -4.04% -4.68%
Dynamic Model TI=All -1.15% -4.30% 4.32% 2.70% -0.20% 7.66%
Dynamic Model TI=750 -2.40% -8.16% 1.36% 4.80% 3.57% 4.51%
Terms/Faces Model
-2.41% 2.43% -6.81% -3.45% 7.22% -8.93%
TI=1000
FAM Model Geo, Orb=10,
-2.97% 1.20% -2.90% -9.15% -1.92% -12.82%
TI=1000
Terms/Faces Model
-5.21% -1.89% -5.75% -9.96% -0.22% -15.19%
TI=2000
Spectrum Model TI=500 -5.87% -4.40% -7.19% -2.48% -8.88% 2.80%
Spectrum Model TI=1000 -6.99% 1.12% -13.83% -0.34% 4.13% -3.21%
Dynamic Model TI=500 -11.31% -8.81% -12.48% 3.75% 6.93% -0.18%

For Gold prices, it looks like the planetary position in Zodiac is important.

Phenomena module

This module allows to display practically all astrological phenomena related with planetary position. To run this
module follow "Tools"->"Phenomena" menu or click this button:
After that you will get this window, choose phenomena you need to calculate and click "Calculate" button:

In this example I will calculate planetary position for Sun, Mercury, Venus, Mars, Jupiter and Saturn in
Tropical Zodiac:

Thus you can see these zones together with price chart.

To see exact ingress dates I recommend to set Prolong option to "On":


Try different options there to display different tables. For example choosing "Planet Direct/Retrograde" you can
display direct and retrograde zones:
Planetary positions in different faces:
Sun or any other planet is located in faces ruled by Venus, Mercury etc.

Decanates:

Duads (modern and classical), Terms (Egyptian and Ptolemy):


Planetary phases:

For intraday data Moon position in degrees of Zodiac:


Planetary position in Mundo Zodiac (transiting planets in transiting houses):
You can create your own intervals like this (divide Zodiac on 93 equal sectors):
Phenomenological model for Hang Seng Composite
Index
This article is the illustration of some approach to simplified creation of the astronomy based
phenomenological models. As an example, we will make the forecasting model for Hang Seng index. The
price history from the year 1970 is provided by John Ng.

First of all, let us look at the Spectrum diagram: it may give us some hints regarding this market's
habits:
This is multiframe spectrum; you can see a very strong 640 days cycle. Look at lime stripes at the
bottom; they correspond to the astronomical cycles. The closest to this peak cycles involve Mars and Sun-
Venus relationship (actually, this is Venus phases cycle). Sometimes these stripes do not exactly
correspond to some astronomical cycle, it may be caused by nonlinear effects.

Let us create now a forecasting model based on these cycles. Run Neural Net module and click here to
define these cycles:
You will get this window:

This is a special window to create models based on astronomical cycles, or so called FAM type models.
FAM stands for Floating Angle Model. This type of models is designed to catch all astro sensitive points
for your financial instrument (in our case, for Hang Seng index). FAM model does not take into account
when this financial instrument has started (thus eliminating the debates on true natal charts); it simply
records some initial parameters coincided with moments when astro events had some specified impact on
this financial instrument.

In this window, you can see three tables that correspond to three different types of zodiacs: Geocentric,
Heliocentric, and Phase zodiacs. Red diagonal bars correspond to the pure cycles - like Mars cycle,
instead of Mars-Jupiter cycle that involves two planets.

You can choose any cycle typing the value of the desired orb for this cycle:
As the example. we choose Mars cycle with the orb=10 degrees, it means that this model analyzes each
10th degree of Zodiac. The same result can be obtained by double clicking on the appropriate cell (no
typing).

I choose 5 cycles in Geocentric zodiac involving Mars: Mars itself, Mars-Jupiter, Mars-Saturn, Mars-
Uranus and Mars-Neptune

Also I select Venus cycle in Phase zodiac. There are 6 cycles in total to consider. The whole planetary
portrait of our market is:
You can send this "portrait" to your friend and receive a similar one by e-mail:

We have chosen the "players" for our model. Now we need to define what we would like to forecast. Let
us take the oscillator with period 50:
Click on "Training" button, and after 15.000 steps of training you will get this:

The red line represents the projection line obtained through these cycles. This line provides the forecast
from the end of 2000 (red region).

It looks like this model provides a rather good forecast for 2003-2006 years.
However, for 2001-2003 it has not been that good:

The most important issue in creating the phenomenological models is defining the correct planetary
profile. There are no complete instructions yet as how to do that. You have to use all available tools. Here
we have started with the Spectrum module. It gave us some information about probable cycle's length.
Other good hints can be provided by Astronomical module. Do not use many astro cycles, just a few most
important cycles usually give better projection line than a huge model based on all known astro cycles. In
this particular example, the most informative planet is Mars. The phase of Venus (584 days) is another
strong cycle to consider.

By the way, I have met this cycle doing research for many other financial instruments. For example, for
British Pound/USD, this is the strongest cycle:

Answers on Users Questions

Here are some questions asked by one Timing Solution user:


Using the Hang Seng Phenom. article as a template for forecasting other instruments I have come up with a
few questions:

First, when I run the Spectrum module I can see the astronomical cycles in green (right above the horiz time
axis). There are three situations that occur:
1. You find an astro cycle (Geo, Helio or Phase) that seems to catch the spectrum peak quite well. You
select this by double clicking, the orb will fill in the box and the FAM model for the sensitive planet(s) will
be available for the Neural Net. Question: Often the peaks have more than one astro cycle association. I
assume that we really only need to select one astro cycle per peak to avoid redundancy. True???
2. Now you see one where there is no green bar below a significant peak so there is nothing to select (in
terms of an astro cycle). Since this peak represents a strong cycle do we send that spectrum peak to the
Neural Net as simply a fixed cycle? How is that done exactly?
3. You note that as you use the cross hairs across a peak the days cycles show in the upper right and
next to that you see something like "2H Mars-Neptune." Thus, there is an association with the 2nd
Harmonic-Helio-Mars Neptune. Correct? With this methodology do we simply select Helio Mars Neptune
and let the Neural Net work it out with the FAM input? Or do we need the ability to input a 2nd, 3rd, 4th,
etc harmonic into the Neural Net?

Second, can you address the issue of appropriate orb and daily vs. weekly vs. monthly data based on what we
are trying to predict.? Maybe FAM compensates somehow, but I was surprised that in the first
Phenomenological article you used an orb of 15. You found that Jupiter, Saturn and Neptune were the
"drivers" and they become the 3 inputs into the Neural Net. As slow as these planets move I would have
imagined the need for a significantly smaller orb--like 1 degree. In the second article on the Hang Seng
Index you used data since 1970. It was not stated whether this was Weekly Data or Daily bars? [My instinct
says that for this long of a period you would use weekly data] The "portrait" ends up with Mars-Zodiac
and Mars-to-outer-planets plus a Venus-Phase input [ "players."] Whereas, above you used orb=15; here
you used orb=10. This was confusing for me as I would have thought the orb would get larger as you moved
inward-as far as planets are concerned. Still even with an orb of 10 that seems large compared to the
movement of Mars, Mars-Jup, Mars-Sat, etc. I would have thought that Mars orb would be 2-3 degrees and
Venus orb would be 2-4 degrees.

I know that we are suppose to jump in and experiment to find what seems to work best (and then share our
observations and back testing results). By the same token, is it possible for you to publish some parameters
that might give us appropriate combinations or ranges of parameters so that we don't spin our wheels too
much?

These are good questions, they are related to the most important issues regarding the phenomenological
model. So, my answer is divided on three parts: general notes, practical recommendations and
theoretical issues.

#1 General notes

First of all, I would like to mention that it is the PHENOMENOLOGICAL model. It means that we have
no fixed rules here applied for all cases. We have recommendations only, and we should check all
possibilities. This is due to specific status of astro finance research based on astrology. "Up until now,
astrology has not been a science at all - not even an erroneous one. It has been a craft or technology,
which is quite different." (Robert Hand "Essays on Astrology"). So, instead of applying laws and rules,
we can only PLAY with all possibilities. And I simply try to give you the
template/recommendations/descriptions of typical situations in this game. This is a main difference
between phenomenological and Back Tested models: BT models need a lot of calculations to get the
optimal parameters. For me, it would be the easiest way to provide the module that calculates dominant
planets for any financial instrument automatically. But it will be a fake. In this case, the formal approach
can kill the essence of these models. The computer does calculations faster than a human; however, a
human is a lot smarter than a computer.
How did I PLAY in this particular case? I have started with the thing that strongly impressed me: the
Spectrum diagram. Here it is for our data:

Sure I have tried to create the Spectrum based projection line. The results were not that impressive. OK,
may be the astronomical cycles will help? The nearest to 640 days are all Mars cycles and Venus phase.

So, I tried some cycles with Mars involved (Mars, Mars-Uranus, Mars-Neptune):

The results (i.e., projection line) have become better. Let's add other planets:

It has been a good move. Results are more promising! The next step I would like to recommend for
playing is Orb, like this:
Try to add another planetary cycles. When you will spend some time trying different cycles and orbs, you
will get a feeling that you know your guy (i.e., your financial instrument to be forecasted) better. It is one
of the reasons why we are starting the research inside TS Yahoo group. Learning more about the cycles
relevant to each financial instrument, we will be able to make templates for major groups of
stocks/futures/indices.

#2 Practical recommendations

Question: I assume that we really only need to select one astro cycle per peak to avoid redundancy. True???

I do not think that this approach provides a good results. I tried. May be, it works for other financial
instruments...
The problem is that the Spectrum catches the regular cycles only, while the planetary positions and
planetary cycles are not regular. Add to this much more important fact that the planets impact the stock
market in NON LINEAR manner (see about it in the next topic). So, I would recommend using Spectrum
as a hint, but not as a final arbiter. Maybe, the usage of composites is more suitable to reveal the
dominant planetary pairs. In case of Hang Seng, we have one very strong cycle, it is the main hint given
by Spectrum. But once again, you need to experiment yourselves.

Question: Since this peak represents a strong cycle do we send that spectrum peak to the Neural Net as
simply a fixed cycle? How is that done exactly?
Do this:

a) Extract the cycles you choose:


2) Put this cycle into the clipboard:

3) In Neural Net module, take this cycle from the clipboard:

Thus, in this Neural Net, we have added chosen cycles to existed events (for example, astro FAM cycles).

One observation: it looks like there is incompatibility between astro cycles and regular (math) cycles. I
have found that the results become worse when I add astro cycles to the regular cycles. The following
table reflects my notes for cycle's compatibility:
Spectrum
(regular) Geo Cycles Phase Cycles Dynamic Model
cycles
Spectrum
Not Compatible ??? ???
(regular) cycles
Geo Cycles Not Compatible Not Compatible
Phase Cycles Compatible
Dynamic
Model

But this should be tested more for different financial instruments.

Question: You note that as you use the cross hairs across a peak the days cycles show in the upper right and
next to that you see something like "2H Mars-Neptune." Thus, there is an association with the 2nd
Harmonic-Helio-Mars Neptune. Correct? With this methodology do we simply select Helio Mars Neptune
and let the Neural Net work it out with the FAM input? Or do we need the ability to input a 2nd, 3rd, 4th,
etc harmonic into the Neural Net?

The FAM model for 2H, 3H, 4H is in my plan. This issue needs additional work/time. Extremely
complicated math stands behind it.

Question regarding the orb. In this example we used daily data, while in the first articles it was 2 examples
with monthly data. It explains the choice of 10 and 15 degrees.

By the way, "orb" for FAM models is something different than the orb used in astrology. You are right
from the point of view of classical recommendations (when you know the exact time to cast the chart,
etc.). FAM model's orb means the range where we are looking for sensitive points. The program
considers each degree of Zodiac and looks for the sensitive point inside this orb. The main thing defined
by this orb is that there is just one sensitive point within this orb. (I did also a possibility to catch several
sensitive points inside the orb; the results did not change).

In this particular case, I recommend to PLAY with this orb, like this:

and optimize Neural Network under these conditions.

Practically the PLAY with the orb may look like this:

We set orb=15 for all cycle and have got this projection line:
For orb=10:

For orb=5:

The program did these three projections within several minutes.

#3 A little bit of theory


The astronomical cycles can be not corresponding exactly to the peaks of Spectrum diagram. The reason
is non-linearity. I have created two model examples to explain how it works.

First, I have created the price data that exactly follow the New Moon. We have a wave 6 days around the
New Moon:

Here is the Spectrum for this data:

We definitely see here 29 days Sun-Moon cycle and related overtones.

Let's make these data nonlinear. Now the wave will be positive when Mercury is preceding the Sun,
otherwise (when Mercury follows the Sun) it is negative:

In other words, we have now the more complicated movement that depends on three planets.

Look at the Spectrum for these non linear data:


We do not see the 29 days cycle at all, instead we have two cycles, 24 days and 39 days. The original 29
days cycle has been split on two cycles.

It is a simple example of non-linearity.

Missing Link - Multi-Scenario Approach

Creating the forecast model for Hang Seng, we have found that this model provides the good projection
line for 2003-2006 years:

and not so good for 2001-2003 years:


Why has it happened? I believe the stock market usually has at least 2 scenarios of behavior to follow.
May be it is related to the domination of different groups of traders.

In this case, I would like to recommend creating an alternative model. I have a very strong suspicion that
for Geocentic FAM model the alternative model is Dynamic Model. In the upgrade of March 24, 2006, it
is possible to create the more selective Dynamic models. Let's create the alternative Dynamic model for
Mars related cycles. It is here:

It uses the same cycles as FAM model in our example, but describes another modus vivendi of these
cycles. Now this model works good in 2001-2003:
But after that it works not so good. I think it is a good practice to analyze two projection lines.

Creating Astro Model for Euro FX


You will find in this article the description of long term and middle term models for the pair Euro/USD. As a
price event for the long-term model, the Hurst oscillator is applied: RPO (45, 90, 0, sym). The middle term
model uses RPO (5, 50, 50, exp). The research is based on futures Euro FX and Dollar Index data.

While writing this article, my main concern was related to the following issues:
- Compare price fields for the indicators that are used as price events;
- Create valid middle- and long-term models to forecast Euro/USD;
- Evaluate by alternative methods the consistency of the suggested models;
- Compare the effect of different astro factors for one and the same financial instrument and different
indicators;
- Find the best training interval.

The process of finding the best model for any financial instrument starts with Phenomenological Solution.
This solution allows quick testing of models that have already proved their effectiveness in forecasting. We will
work with the best of these models.

How to do that? Set the LBC at January 1, 2000 and start the phenomenological solution for Hurst indicator
(take Close as the price field). Here are the results:

Financial Instrument: FX Euro.csv


Analyzed 21 models
LBC Info: 2048 train/1615 test
Target: Rel. Osc.(45,90,0 Close,Sym1)

Ptolemy Aspects Model Orb=15 24.39% 16.72% 32.08% 21.54% 13.49% 30.06%
Spectrum Model TI=1000 22.60% 22.32% 22.51% 15.56% 16.37% 13.65%
Terms/Faces Model TI=1000 18.83% 19.34% 24.69% 17.97% 22.85% 22.31%
FAM Model Phase, Orb=15, TI=2000 18.73% 6.61% 28.85% 19.52% 8.99% 27.90%
FAM Model Phase, Orb=10, TI=2000 18.64% 9.52% 25.90% 20.03% 10.54% 27.84%
FAM Model Phase, Orb=10, TI=1000 15.86% 1.19% 35.15% 17.64% -0.29% 40.58%

The best models are: Ptolemy Aspects, Spectrum, Terms/Faces, and 3 FAM models for Phase Zodiac. All these
models except Spectrum provide better forecast on the second half of the testing interval. We will not discuss
Spectrum in this article as our subject is Astro models. Note that among Astro models the correlation on the
training interval for Ptolemy Aspects model and Terms/Faces model is more even than for FAM models. It is
significant advantage as it may be an indication of lesser amount of inversions. However, the correlation is only
about 20%; this is not good enough.
Let us do the same phenomenological solution for the Hurst oscillator once again, and let us choose the price
field as (High+Open+Close)/3 instead of Close. Here are the results:

Financial Instrument: FX Euro.csv


Analyzed 21 models
LBC Info: 2048 train/1615 test
Target: Rel. Osc.(45,90,0 (H+L+C)/3,Sym1)

NN (first NN (first 806 NN (last 812 LIN (first LIN (first LIN (last 812
Model
1616 pt) pt) pt) 1616 pt) 806 pt) pt)
Ptolemy Aspects Model
26.04% 15.62% 37.37% 23.54% 15.09% 32.67%
Orb=15
FAM Model Phase,
21.40% 7.37% 34.21% 23.35% 9.26% 36.21%
Orb=15, TI=2000
Terms/Faces Model
20.63% 23.98% 24.71% 18.38% 25.85% 20.87%
TI=1000
Spectrum Model TI=1000 20.30% 17.35% 22.89% 15.76% 16.02% 14.42%
FAM Model Phase,
19.39% 1.15% 41.58% 19.98% 0.69% 43.21%
Orb=15, TI=1000
FAM Model Phase,
17.89% 10.34% 24.04% 20.73% 11.54% 28.49%
Orb=10, TI=2000

The best models and the correlation are almost the same. My conclusion is that the Price field is not important
for the effectiveness of the model. It means that it does not matter what price field is explored, at least for the
long term forecasting model; it is a personal preference of the trader.

The current version of Timing Solution does not allow working with Ptolemy Aspects and Terms/faces models.
We will continue our research for FAM Phase models through Astronomy (Composite) module. To avoid
future leaks, we will analyze the training interval only.

We start with the Algorithm window. As we do our research for some particular oscillator, it makes sense to
enter this oscillator in the Analyzed Index. Choose Simple Index as Algorithm:

Open Report window. Check there the option Add to Composite Box and choose Corr and Predict as a
filter:
Do not overload our Neural Net with a huge amount of events for analysis. We do research for FAM model in
Phase Zodiac; therefore, check this type of Zodiac and uncheck Geo Longitude Zodiac.

Click on OK button to do the calculations. We will get this list:

Choose any aspect from the list and watch its influence to our indicator (we will see it
as the correlation and Predictable Zones). Let us take the best aspects; to my opinion,
these are Mars, Saturn, Neptune and Pluto phases and the angles Mars - Saturn, Mars
Uranus, Mars Neptune, and Mars - Pluto.

Then we need to find orbs and phases and train the Neural Net trying to get the best
possible result on the testing interval. Unfortunately, there is no other technology now
than trial-and-error method. I do it this way: add planets one by one, train the
model and watch the changes. I estimate the results in regards to increased/decreased
correlation and smoothness of the projection line. Only after that I play with the orbs.
This method of adding planets into consideration one by one has one significant flaw: we may miss some
important factors due to non-linear nature of the planetary interaction. Also, some future leaks are possible
(though they are minor), because practically this method means the optimization on the testing interval.

After some time (not too much), I have found this model:

I trained it on 2000 price bars (this interval is better than 1000 price bars; see the results in the
Phenomenological Solution report). This is the forecast:

When we create a forecasting model, one of the most important questions is how to evaluate the quality of the
forecast made for different time intervals. I did forecast for different LBC settings. Timing Solution software
makes possible to see all these forecasts in one window. See the picture below; each forecast is shown there by
a line of a different color:
the yellow line represents the forecast when LBC is set on January 1, 2000;
the blue line for LBC on January 1, 2001;
the violet line is for LBC on January 1, 2002;
the teal line is for LBC on January 1, 2003;
the red line is for LBC on January 1, 2004.

As you see, all these forecasts are similar. We may conclude that our model is rather reliable.
We can repeat this process and create a similar model for RPO (5,50,50). The forecast based on this model
reveals the midterm trends for our market. The correlation for the same time interval (6 years) is 33%, and we
have here a lot of swings.

This forecasting model is based mostly on inner planets. Thus, we need to find the proper time interval to train
our model, and this interval should not be too big (no more than 9 years).

Timing Solution has a special option to do that: open the Neural Net module and choose there the option
Find the best Training Interval (fixed LBC). Set the LBC on January 1, 2006 and do the back testing of the
model. These are the results:
We can locate here 3 clusters with the positive growing correlation (these clusters are circled on this picture).
Let us check the stability of these results: we do the back testing of this phenomenological model, and the back
testing criterion will be the correlation coefficient calculated on 65 price bars (i.e., 3 months time span). We
start with LBC set on January 1, 2003 and will switch this LBC 11 times, for 65 price bars each time (or 3
months). These are the results that I have got:

Mode: Neural Net


Price Events: Rel. Osc.(5,50,50 Close,Exp)
Criterion: Correlation 65 bars after LBC
Model middle term euro.hyp middle term euro.hyp middle term euro.hyp middle term euro.hyp middle term euro.hyp middle term euro.hyp
NN Topology 32 hidden 32 hidden 32 hidden 32 hidden 32 hidden 32 hidden
500 before LBC 1000 before LBC 1500 before LBC 2000 before LBC 2400 before LBC 2800 before LBC
Training Mode
train 15000 steps train 15000 steps train 15000 steps train 15000 steps train 15000 steps train 15000 steps
+/- Statistics +14/-10 +14/-10 +15/-9 +19/-5 +15/-9 +18/-6
Average (r,dev) r=0.130 dev=0.2061 r=0.177 dev=0.2498 r=0.173 dev=0.2639 r=0.320 dev=0.1778 r=0.207 dev=0.1637 r=0.316 dev=0.1485
LBC: 04.01.2000 r=0.649 dev=0.034 r=0.357 dev=0.058 r=0.326 dev=0.056 r=0.353 dev=0.056 r=0.328 dev=0.053 r=0.469 dev=0.044
LBC: 04.04.2000 r=0.304 dev=0.200 r=-0.170 dev=0.288 r=-0.407 dev=0.271 r=0.108 dev=0.296 r=0.461 dev=0.213 r=-0.257 dev=0.230
LBC: 05.07.2000 r=0.251 dev=0.416 r=-0.276 dev=0.347 r=-0.438 dev=0.890 r=-0.288 dev=0.779 r=-0.495 dev=0.866 r=-0.615 dev=0.881
LBC: 04.10.2000 r=-0.623 dev=0.321 r=-0.461 dev=0.332 r=-0.835 dev=0.449 r=0.660 dev=0.225 r=0.737 dev=0.244 r=0.596 dev=0.210
LBC: 05.01.2001 r=0.655 dev=0.072 r=0.811 dev=0.114 r=0.823 dev=0.050 r=0.896 dev=0.048 r=0.882 dev=0.044 r=0.833 dev=0.048
LBC: 06.04.2001 r=-0.528 dev=0.162 r=-0.200 dev=0.085 r=-0.427 dev=0.392 r=-0.728 dev=0.267 r=-0.312 dev=0.271 r=-0.381 dev=0.238
LBC: 09.07.2001 r=0.346 dev=0.067 r=0.097 dev=0.052 r=0.707 dev=0.041 r=0.549 dev=0.051 r=0.801 dev=0.019 r=0.702 dev=0.021
LBC: 08.10.2001 r=0.365 dev=0.067 r=-0.493 dev=0.404 r=-0.135 dev=0.062 r=0.618 dev=0.025 r=-0.216 dev=0.099 r=0.068 dev=0.047
LBC: 09.01.2002 r=-0.411 dev=0.260 r=-0.790 dev=0.153 r=-0.611 dev=0.143 r=-0.735 dev=0.094 r=-0.715 dev=0.104 r=-0.679 dev=0.064
LBC: 11.04.2002 r=-0.733 dev=0.355 r=-0.123 dev=0.378 r=0.480 dev=0.350 r=0.722 dev=0.303 r=0.371 dev=0.247 r=0.281 dev=0.373
LBC: 11.07.2002 r=0.651 dev=0.088 r=0.742 dev=0.131 r=0.817 dev=0.064 r=0.837 dev=0.103 r=0.873 dev=0.103 r=0.883 dev=0.109
LBC: 10.10.2002 r=-0.287 dev=0.054 r=0.846 dev=0.259 r=0.225 dev=0.099 r=0.572 dev=0.047 r=0.617 dev=0.034 r=0.663 dev=0.026
LBC: 13.01.2003 r=0.743 dev=0.018 r=0.754 dev=0.052 r=0.752 dev=0.072 r=0.668 dev=0.029 r=0.817 dev=0.036 r=0.867 dev=0.017
LBC: 14.04.2003 r=-0.064 dev=0.067 r=0.266 dev=0.444 r=0.762 dev=0.409 r=-0.139 dev=0.398 r=-0.528 dev=0.316 r=0.271 dev=0.248
LBC: 15.07.2003 r=0.491 dev=0.248 r=0.677 dev=0.076 r=0.430 dev=0.192 r=0.626 dev=0.149 r=0.885 dev=0.071 r=0.900 dev=0.095
LBC: 14.10.2003 r=0.053 dev=0.032 r=0.406 dev=0.165 r=-0.131 dev=0.193 r=0.073 dev=0.143 r=-0.548 dev=0.163 r=-0.521 dev=0.150
LBC: 15.01.2004 r=0.908 dev=0.109 r=0.869 dev=0.035 r=0.776 dev=0.031 r=0.816 dev=0.027 r=0.817 dev=0.032 r=0.735 dev=0.036
LBC: 16.04.2004 r=0.844 dev=0.093 r=0.706 dev=0.093 r=0.791 dev=0.022 r=0.769 dev=0.022 r=0.426 dev=0.058 r=0.733 dev=0.024
LBC: 16.07.2004 r=-0.295 dev=0.085 r=-0.412 dev=0.091 r=-0.030 dev=0.016 r=0.143 dev=0.045 r=0.250 dev=0.016 r=0.395 dev=0.012
LBC: 15.10.2004 r=-0.349 dev=0.033 r=-0.541 dev=0.124 r=0.000 dev=0.116 r=0.610 dev=0.055 r=0.084 dev=0.055 r=0.542 dev=0.060
LBC: 14.01.2005 r=0.629 dev=0.241 r=0.565 dev=0.158 r=0.385 dev=0.088 r=0.228 dev=0.041 r=-0.080 dev=0.053 r=0.693 dev=0.020
LBC: 18.04.2005 r=-0.604 dev=1.628 r=-0.791 dev=1.825 r=-0.870 dev=1.944 r=-0.918 dev=0.955 r=-0.938 dev=0.756 r=-0.924 dev=0.548
LBC: 18.07.2005 r=-0.338 dev=0.089 r=0.735 dev=0.112 r=0.274 dev=0.199 r=0.498 dev=0.045 r=-0.427 dev=0.051 r=0.599 dev=0.033
LBC: 17.10.2005 r=0.471 dev=0.208 r=0.668 dev=0.219 r=0.484 dev=0.185 r=0.744 dev=0.064 r=0.880 dev=0.023 r=0.742 dev=0.031

The best results are provided by the models trained on 2,000 and 2,800 price bars.

However, we need to remember that the available data file is not enough for the proper testing Euro price
history starts in 2000; before that, up to the year 19999, we have applied Dollar Index data.

I would like to point out as well that the correlation for these two models (trained on 2,000 and 2,800 price
bars) is very close to the correlation for the same model trained just once, for LBC at January 1, 2000, and for
6-year time span.

Universal Language of Events (ULE)


Timing Solution as an additional decision making tool for traders is based on one simple idea: explore the
correspondences between market movements and some processes or phenomena we are familiar with. Why? -
only because there is no a theory that explains market movements and is confirmed by practice. We have only
collection of consistent data and some attempts to understand it through methods either Fundamental or
Technical Analysis. Fundamental Analysis explores the correspondences between the market movements and
fundamental factors (which are registered observations of economical life phenomena). Technical Analysis
works with price charts and seeks for their inner relationships represented by TA indicators (which are
speculations on price charts parameters). Timing Solution is a software designed to fill in the gap between the
two; it analyzes past data, compares them to some known phenomena and simulates the relations between these
phenomena and market data. We can do it, and we can do it easily - due to Universal Language of Events
(ULE), the core idea of this software. When I have met Alphee Lavoie 10 years ago, one of his first questions
was: is it possible to calculate and register the dates when some astrological event has occurred and watch the
market performance at those dates? This was possible, and we did it. This idea has been realized in the
SuperSearch module of Market Trader series. At that time, we did a recording of many different astrological
events. Then the idea of Astrological Language was born and developed later into Universal Language of
Events. ULE has one very important feature: it is designed to deal with different events, not only with
astronomical or astrological ones. As an example, now we can include price events as well. This module has a
huge potential, and when some processes will be found that prove to be corresponding to markets' activity, we
can add them to ULE and use for analysis.As of today, astro events are the biggest group in ULE. It is not
accidental. From one side, the movement of celestial bodies is a kind of a fundamental factor independent to
our will or our activity. From the other side, it is one of the well-studied physical processes. The equations of
planetary movement are used not only by astrologers. They have been studied and developed by the greatest
scientists of the past (remember Sir Isaac Newton, Ticho Brahe, Kopernicus and Kepler?) and are applied now
by rocket scientists, astronomers, physicists, etc. So, if there is any correlation between market performance and
the astro factors, at least we can be sure that the astro part is calculated and recorded with great accuracy. (And
we believe that such correlation exists - due to the assumption that market movements reflect mass psychology
that is described very well by astrological factors.)So, ULE is built from small bricks - different events. We can
find when any of these events has occurred in the past and record the market condition at these moments. (Here
and further in these lessons I call analyzed set of data as "analyzed market", "market" or "financial instrument";
it means the consistent data that we analyze with the help of Timing Solution. It could be data set on some
stock, index or futures; I tried several times sun-spot activity data and temperature files for some locations as
well.) As I said already, the huge part is made by astro events. I tried to include astro parameters that reflect a
real process - such as planetary positions in Zodiac (space), angles between the planets, planetary speed,
planetary phases; these astrological events coincide with regular astronomical events and are described by
proper equations. Also, I have included pure astrological parameters - such as retrograde/direct movement,
planetary positions in houses, Moon Nodes and other.If you are familiar with Astrology already, you will easily
understand how to work with this module (either SuperSearch in Market Trader or ULE in Timing Solution). If
you are not, do not panic. You have no need to learn the whole great astrological lore, at least not now; it is
enough for you to know the name and general meaning of any astro event included into ULE and be able to
work with it. "Work with it" means being able to make the choice of necessary parameters and interpret the
calculated results. You can trust the accuracy of calculations, Timing Solution and Market Trader do it well
(plus the users of our astro software have checked it already many times:)). Later, and believe me, it will come -
you will be fascinated by this Astro world, and you will read and learn a lot. But now - it will be enough to be
able to work with these bricks of ULE. It is a very valuable ability: it will help you later to create your own
models for projection lines and now it will help you to evaluate different ideas. At least once a week I get a
question like this: "What do you think will happen to the stock market when Mars ingresses Leo next time?
Will it go up (down)?". When I ask in turn why this should happen, the best answer is something like this: "It
has happened when Mars has ingressed Leo in September 1996". What do I think? Nothing. As my teacher,
friend and partner Alphee Lavoie has said once, "The financial astrology is the precise science". Trading with
astro cycles, we need to see the whole picture, all "pro et contra" of our statements, not just one side.So, what
would I do? I would run ULE (or SuperSearch) module. And there I would open the tab for the astro event in
question, do the calculations and get all the moments when this event has occurred in the past. (By the way,
"past" means my price data file, the historical data for the financial instrument that I do research for.) Then the
program helps me again: it compares the event dates to the market conditions and does the statistical analysis.
So, the unpleasant and boring job of calculating all ups and downs and comparing them to control groups is
produced by the computer. I will do the honored job of thinking and making conclusions. And you can do it,
too. After learning this material, you will be able to check any astro related statements within seconds.
Therefore, you will deal with astro finance info on a new level - you will have no need to trust or believe
somebody or something, you will find the value of their statements. Next level will be making such statements
yourself.Let us start working. We begin with one practical example. This is a question that I have got recently
from one of my correspondents: "What happens to Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJI) when Saturn is changing
its movement mode from direct to retrograde?" (For your information, see the glossary at the end of this lesson;
it explains astro terms used here.)There are several ways to answer this question. We may guess (which is not
my way). We may apply general astrology considerations (which I would not recommend; the general
astrology's symbolism is designed for the needs of the personality; the core ideas behind it definitely work
though sometimes their application is too vague; it is a theme for a special discussion and not a topic of this
lesson). I prefer to do the thorough analysis.Do it together with me. We have here an object - DJI index. We
will make a conclusion regarding its movement in respect to the outer factor - the movement mode of
Saturn.So, download the data. I have DJI from 1885 to 2006 year, 120 years of history! To do that you should
click this button
and chose this file:

Now, do these steps:

#1: Click "Calculate" button. The program will do all calculations related to astro events that may occur within
our data file. It will save us time later, when we will look for the particular events and work with them. Then
click this button:

Doing this, we set the Learning Border Cursor (LBC) to the last price point available. This way we tell the
program that we will use ALL available price history to analyze this astro phenomenon.

#2: Activate this to get the access to Universal Language of Events (ULE) components:

and then click "Edit Model" button.


#3: The "Model Editor" window will appear:

This is the central window for ULE. There are many tabs there; each of them corresponds to some astro event
or a group of events. You define everything there. Every tab is like an astro sentence. I recommend spending
some time to get familiar with each tab.

Let us record our event, "the transit Saturn changes direction direction from retrograde to direct".

#4: Choose the tab that corresponds to the phenomenon we are interesting in. Click here for a change in a
movement mode:

#5: The form will appear. It describes things related to the planetary movement mode: the mode itself, speed
and acceleration types. You can do it for one planet only or for a group of planets. This one tab gives you
ability to do a lot of research.

For our example, fill it this way:


We have recorded this astro event, "transit Saturn is moving retrograde".

#6: Click "+" button to add this event to the list (it is necessary, the program works only with the events in this
list; we do now a simple scenario consisting of one event only; you can add other events later - it is a way to
create a model):

#7: It is almost done. Click "Calculate" button in the Main window:

#8: Now in the Main window you should get something like this:
The black line represents our data; the red zones correspond to the periods when transit Saturn is retrograde.

#9: OK, we did it. However, we were interested in the MOMENTS when Saturn becomes retrograde. It looks
like we have made a mistake. If you would do it manually, you could be very upset as it means a lot of work
done in vain. With our software, it is not a problem, you can fix it easily: choose "Change direction .." option,
click "Replace" button and calculate it once again:

Now you should get a bunch of vertical lines instead of red stripes. These lines correspond to the moments
when Saturn becomes retrograde:

We have got 116 lines within our data file. Now, we need to take them one by one and watch how the stock
market (i.e., DJI) moved around these moments.

#10: Or, we can do it easier - running the "Efficiency Test" module:

We will get this diagram:


This diagram shows an average price change around the moment when Saturn becomes retrograde.

Thus you can see the average movement of DJI ten days before and ten days after Saturn becomes retrograde

What conclusion can be made? There is upward movement there; however, it has started before Saturn's change
of direction, at least 10 days earlier.

#11: Continue researching the impact of this phenomenon. Let us consider the bigger time span. Set the
analyzed interval as 20 days and click "Recalculate" button:
#12: Here is the new Efficiency Test:

We can locate two clusters here:

Before Saturn going retrograde, the DJI goes up mostly, though there are some insignificant fluctuations.
However, the next day after this phenomenon occurs, the DJI loses its energy to grow. The stock market needs
some time to "recover the breath".

#13: We are able not only register the existence of the upward trend before Saturn becomes retrograde; we can
evaluate the strength of this trend as well.

Let us compare the DJI value 2 days before Saturn becomes retrograde to its value 20 days before this event. As
you remember, it has occur 116 times within our data file. How many times there was increase in the value of
DJI? And how many times did it go down?
We can get the answer to this question very easily: A-push left mouse button on "A" point (20 days before
retrograde); B-drag the cursor while holding left mouse button from point "A" to point "C" (2 days before
retrograde) C - release mouse button. The program looks through each one of these 116 moments and compares
values 2 days and 20 days before Saturn becoming retrograde.

Here is the result:

You see that the price went up 77 times, while it went down 39 times only. Plus, these results differ from the
results provided by the control group (see the figures in brackets). So, I would say that the existence of upward
trend for DJI, at least 20 days before Saturn going retrograde, is obvious.

However, you should be extremely cautious in making conclusions like this. The tricky part here is related to
the control group issue, a very important thing in Statistics. The control group helps to eliminate natural trends.
(Here is the example of a natural trend: a person is getting married; the main reason for this marriage is that
they love each other. It is nothing surprising if the person is in the age 25 - 40. What if the person is 92? The
control group for this age will show that this is an extraordinary event.) There are many ways of forming the
control group. I chose the simplest one: we consider fictive event that happens totally randomly and watch how
this event (so called "null hypothesis") affects the stock market.

You see the control group figures in brackets:


It means that the control group shows that DJI may go up 66 times against 50 down. In other words, the up
movement is more typical for DJI under these conditions.. So we need co compare these values.

In any case, the DJI went up 77 times against 66 times caused by general trend. This tendency is rather strong.
Click here to read more regarding this issue.

#14: Analyze the second cluster, downtrend movement. We will get this:

DJI went down 58 times against 53 caused by other reasons than Saturn's change of direction So the downtrend
movement is not so strong.

These 14 steps above represent the method of analyzing any astronomical/astrological phenomena. Learn the
whole sequence. It is one time effort, the routine is pretty obvious, and you will get used to it very quickly. (In
brief, it is just downloading the data, choose the proper tab, record the event itself, calculate it, and do the
Efficiency Test.)Let us do one more example: analyze the effect of the New Moon. In Models Editor (you know
now that this is a central window dealing with ULE), define this event:
Here is the Efficiency Test for the New Moon:

It shows the upward trend starting about 5 days before the New Moon. But this tendency is mostly due to some
other reasons than New Moon effect: 878 against 834. The New Moon input is not significant. If you would
decide to trade using this factor only, you are in risk. (Those who are familiar with astrology will not be
surprised: the Moon is not an active player, it is rather a trigger, it gives the last touch to the big picture formed
by the other players.)

By the way, an interesting thing is that the Full Moon does not provide any consistent results.

One more example before the end of this lesson: the Sun ingresses any Cardinal sign:

This is the Efficiency Test for this event:


It means that the DJI starts its uptrend movement 3 days after the Sun ingresses Cardinal signs (Aries, Cancer,
Libra and Capricorn); the probability of DJI going up for the next 6 days is 62%.

Note: sometimes we have a discrepancy between the arrow on Efficiency Test diagram and the statistical info:

Here we explore this downtrend arrow, while the statistics shows that the price went up 63 times against 47. It
means that our downtrend movement takes place in the uptrend environment; it might be a strong one, however
it is at least only one strong down among these 47 downs, not enough powerful to change the trend.

Now, your homework. See here.

Resume: We have learned to record astro events and analyze our data in respect to these events. Now you are
able to evaluate any astro info published in books, magazines, newsletters and in the Internet.

Homework to Lesson #1

These are screenshots for different astro events that you can create in Timing Solution. Sure it is not a full list,
these are just some examples. I suggest you trying them all and making Efficiency Tests for them all. In a week
from now you will find the screenshots of my tests and my interpretations for these exercises. I strongly suggest
you doing this, we will go quickly. The second lesson provides some trading tips related to this material, and
then we move to the next module of the program. There will be no time to discuss again the ULE or tabs in the
Model Editor/SuperSearch. The answer to these question are performed for Dow Jones Industrial index from
1885 to 2006 years. This historical information is available in your program.

Here are your exercises:

1) The angle between the Sun and Mars is 330 degrees:

See the answer here.

2) The middle point between Mercury and Venus makes a conjunction to the Sun. In other words, the
Sun is located exactly between Mercury and Venus:

See the answer here.


3) Venus phase, or New Venus. We are considering phase Zodiac here, New Venus corresponds to zero
degree of Aries:

See the answer here.

4) Mars declination reaches its maximum:

See the answer here.

Mars declination reaches its maximum:

Here is the Efficiency Test:


We have downtrend movement two days before this event (55% down):

and week after that the upward movement starts (61.5% up):
ULE - Universal Language of Events
This module allows to create more advanced models analyzing everything that occurs in time and researching
the effect of these phenomena on the stock market. We have developed a special platform to deal with different
events. As an event, you can take:

the price a day ago, two days ago, three day ago, etc.; then use these events as inputs for Neural
Network. This is how an auto regression model is created;
a structure of the price bar (its Open-High-Low-Close, true range (High-Low), Open-Low and other
parameters). Collecting this information about the price bar proportions for several days back, we may
"cook" the projection line based on these events. We have tested this model. See here the example of
Back Testing procedure for Japanese Candle stick model;
price events like "true range is high", regular cycles, wavelets;
gravitation and tidal forces;
Moon phases, planetary aspects, planetary speed as well as other astrological/astronomical phenomena.
This variety is enormous. See the description of this module and the corresponding lessons on the
website.

As an example, let us say that we have decided to calculate the Moon tidal force and draw it together with the
price chart. Follow this:

You will get access to the models' library. Choose there the event you need to calculate:
and tell the program to do the calculation:

This is the Mood tidal force displayed together with FTSE100 index:
Within a couple of minutes, we have created this new "indicator". You can easily conduct the statistical
research for this indicator. Also, it is easy now to check any related statement, like this one: "when the tidal
force of the Moon is high, the volatility is high as well" or: "the high tidal force tends to turning points of
FTSE100 index".

The Moon tidal force is well discussed in many sources in regards to so many different sides of our life. What
about the Mars tidal force? No problem; you can do a research for it as well. All you need to do is clicking this
button:

You will get the Events Model Editor window. Here you can set the parameters of the events in regards to your
research. Choose there Mars and click "Replace" button:
(Remember that it will work only if you were doing previously a research on the tidal force of any other planet.
If you did something else, you have to go back, choose the corresponding category of events the "Gravitation
and Tidal Force" item; see below for more details about this module.)

After the calculation. you get the diagram with Mars tidal force.

You can also draw the tidal forces for a combination of different planets. To do that, click "+" button for each
new object. Adding Mars, Venus and Mercury's tidal forces events

and calculating these events, you may get a diagram like this:
Here you see all three tidal forces of these three planets.

You can construct the more complicated events, like "tidal force index" as a sum of all tidal forces involved. Set
L1+L2+L3 events formula:

Here L1 - Mars tidal force, L2 - Venus, and L3 - Mercury tidal force. L1+L2+L3 is the sum of these tidal
forces:
Apply this index to different financial instruments to see how they correspond. Also, you can adjust this
formula to any particular financial instrument setting some specific weights for these terms:

Here I increased the weight for Mercury tidal force five time. This index looks now:

Here I am not telling you to use this index for your financial instrument. I am showing you the way how to find
a proper index for your stock.
I recommend to investigate Model Editor Window. There are a lot of events there. This is a heart of Timing
Solution software. These events are used to generate the projection line with Neural Network module. Though
there are a lot of events used there, we constantly add new events.

For example, you may decide to create "Sun aspects index" that indicates the Ptolemy aspects of the Sun to
other planets, set these parameters and calculate:

You will get your index.

Or if you want to research the culminations of these aspects, set this:

This is a very powerful tool. You can use it in two ways: checking the statements/hypothesis suggested by other
authors or creating your own indicators and researching their usefulness for your financial instrument. If you
will not make money with it, at least you will not lose your money following the unchecked statements of some
doubtful sources.

When you create your own indicators, the most important issue is to figure out how you can rely on these
indicators. These buttons allow you to calculate the statistical portrait of analyzed indicators. This is an easy
way to find the statistical confirmation for the statements like this one: "when the value of X indicator is high,
the volatility of Y financial instrument is high as well":

Simple Trading Strategies based on ULE


You have learned in the previous lesson how to deal with the factors that might have an impact on the stock
market. And you have learned how to make conclusions, at least regarding their quality. Now you can add some
real digits to your conclusion. It is important as we can use this knowledge in real trading. Let's consider one
example:

#1: This is the corn prices file from 1949 to 2006. When you download this data, set the limits to the forecast
horizon; suppose it is 1500 bars:

Thus we inform the program that we would like to make the forecast for corn prices for 1500 price bars ahead.

#2: Now do the same study as discussed in the previous lesson. I have found that the price goes up a week
before the Sun ingresses the Earth signs (Taurus, Virgo, Capricorn). You can set this event in Events Editor this
way:

and chose this option:


#3: Calculate the Efficiency Test clicking on this button:

It looks like this:

It definitely shows that the price goes up more than one week before the Sun ingresses the Earth signs.

#4: Let's consider the trading strategy: "buy 6 days before the ingress -> sell at the day of ingress":
If we would do that, this strategy would give us 110 winning trades against 61 losses. Not too bad, but let's try
to improve these results.

#5: Click on this button:

and you will see the best strategy for corn:


The best strategy is "buy 9 days before -> sell 4 days before". It gives us 118 winning trades against 53 losses.
However, the Efficiency Test shows at least one strong down during one of these days. So, we can follow this
strategy though it is a bit risky. Let's diversify this risk, putting a sell signal further from this risky point.
Highlight the next item in the list:

We buy corn 10 days before the Sun ingresses the Earth sign and sell it exactly at that day. This strategy
promises 68% winning trades.

I called this model "a simple strategy" because it cannot be considered as a trading system. This strategy
provides trading signals only once in 3 months. Any other time you cannot do trades. So, the model based on
only one astronomical factor has no practical sense. In reality, we have to consider hundreds of these single
factors.

However, you can memorize this info and use it when the time is appropriate. Do the next step - keep this info
in your trading calendar.

#6: Click this button:

You will get the list of buy/sell signals for the future (beyond available price history):
This is the power of astro trading: if you know (or find out) the single factors that are working for your
financial instrument, you know days, months and years ahead when they will occur.

#7: Timing Solution has an additional tool to visualize the risks. Look at the up/down stripes in the bottom part
of the Efficiency Test window:

The red stripes correspond to upward price movements, the blue ones indicate downs (with the strategy "buy 10
days before -> sell when ingress"). Thus we can see how winning and losing signals are distributed in time,
how they are balanced. If you prefer long positions, you would like to see here more red stripes. If you do short
trades, you would like to see here more blue stripes.

Look at this scale:

In the year 2001 and the beginning of the year 2002, this strategy would provide us 4 losing signals in row, i.e.
the price went down. These stripes allow us to see the periods when the old market pattern does not work and
the new tendencies appear.

Working with ULE


I would like to start this class with one example that proves to non believers that astronomy cycles have an
impact on the stock market. I will conduct it in an academy manner (how I was taught in the university). It
means that the arguments for non believers are expressed by a dry language of numbers and statistics. The math
related issues will appear in italic font to make this reading easier for those who would prefer to skip these parts
and still be able to get the general idea.
The most beauty of this approach is that it gives you the additional information regarding possible ways of price
movement; this information can be prolonged into the future as far as you need. This not a suddenly occurring
fundamental factor which comes from the News and mixes all cards and nobody knows when this factor will
come up again. This is not an annual cycle either - that thing is well known to anybody knows. This is
something special, only our users may know it.

I state that the difference between Venus and Jupiter declination has its impact on Dow Jones Industrial index,
and this fact is proven with the 98% probability. This fact has been tested for DJI data from 1885 to 2006 (it
covers more than 120 years of DJI history).

The declination shows how far the planets are located from the Equator's plane. Let's run the ULE Model
Editor:

Fill out the form this way:

Add this event to Events Box clicking "Add" button. If you have had some events in the Event Box already,
click "Clear" button to clear it:

Now go to the Main Screen and click "Calculate" button:


Look at the screen now:

This is the picture for the difference of Venus - Jupiter declination for the last 8 years and the next 3 years (it is
written in June, 2006). I remind you that manipulating the mouse you can choose any piece of the chart to see
the details.

For 120 years DJI history, this diagram looks like this:

I state that this diagrams reflects the movements of DJI index, it describes 9.5% of movements.
Now I show how to check how this diagram fits to the DJI index. Click this button in the Main Screen:

You will get this window:

What the program does? It calculates the correlation between the price oscillator with 50 bars period and the
Venus-Jupiter declination diagram. The line shows that the correlation between the price
and Venus-Jupiter declination is 8.5% (See in doc the explanation regarding the correlation coefficient).
Practically it means that we can use this diagram to predict the price movement. But we need also to keep in
mind that this indicator explains 8.5% of price movements only

To provide the statistically complete verification of this fact I used the t-statistic criteria (Student distribution).
For correlation coefficient 8.5%, sample size = 33.000 price bars we have t=13.88. It means that with
probability 97.59% this fact is not occasional. Also this correlation cannot be explained by seasonal artefacts,
because the average period for this cycle is about 400 days and it is pretty irregular.

To be more practical, we need to keep in our minds just this diagram:

It is not a forecast, it is a portrait of one of the players that pushes the ball 8.5% of the total game time.
A la Bradley Model

Now we discuss something that is one of the true treasures of the financial astrology. I refer here to Donald
Bradley and his work. I am really fascinated by the great ideas that he has been able to express in a such
condensed form. The most amazing thing is that he has done all his calculations and diagrams manually, before
the era of total computerization. I can only guess what he would be able to do nowadays.

Anyways, let us try to follow the steps that Donald Bradley would perform if he would have Timing Solution
software.

We will look at the aspect of conjunction between the Sun and Mercury. Using ULE, you can record this event
this way:

Look at the Main Screen to see how this aspect "sounds" in Time:

This diagram shows the degree of the strength for this aspect. The aspect reaches the maximum of its influence
at the culmination:
So you can see all phases of this aspect.

Let's make our model a bit complicated and consider the event: "the Sun conjuncts ANY planet (except the
Moon) with ORB=15 degrees". Set the form this way:

This event sounds more interesting, because sometimes the Sun makes the aspect to several planets at the same
time (like in the beginning of 2006):
Now we are ready to create a more complicated event: "Planets make positive aspects between themselves"
(here we consider as the "positive aspects" conjunctions, sextiles and trines though for conjunctions this
statement is not 100% correct):

This event is much more interesting:


Now we are close to our final goal. Let us create the event "Planets make negative aspects to each other" and
consider it together with the previous one. Remember that ADDING this event to the "Events Box", click
"Add" button, not "Replace":

So, there are two events in the "Events Box" now: L1 -Positive aspects and L2- Negative aspects. Let's
calculate them:
The final step is to calculate the balance between positive and negative aspects. To do this, you need just
subtracting negative (L2) from positive aspects (L1).

Do not forget to click button.

Calculate these events:


You can see here the balance between positive and negative aspects. The higher diagram the more positive
aspects are in the sky, the lower - the more negative.

Clicking this option, you can change the diagram view:

Also you can save this model and open it next time using this set of buttons:

You can create very complicated models with this module. For example you can modify L1 event above using
as positive aspects sextiles and trines only, leave L2 as it is (for negative aspects of square and opposition), and
add two new events: L3 - a conjunction with "good" planets (the Sun, Venus, Jupiter, Neptune) and L4 - a
conjunction with "negative" planets (which are Mars, Saturn, and Pluto).

ULE provides you fantastic opportunities to try and actually feel the power of cycles - without using any
sophisticated modules (like Neural Net). It is a very flexible tool. I would not suggest using Universal
Language of Events for forecasting. However, it is a base for any model. To be able to create successful
models, you have to know the ULE very well. I have included into it everything that I know at this moment
regarding the movement of celestial bodies. The good thing is that ULE is not a closed system. It is opened to
new types of events, and can be extended any time.

Homework to Lesson #3

This time we have just one exercise. However, it consists of many details, and you will learn to work with
Bradley models, create them, modify and use in different situations.
1) This is the diagram from Donald Bradley's original book, Stock Market Prediction. It shows how
the Jupiter-Uranus cycle affects the stock market.

Check this fact and analyze it using ULE in Timing Solution or SuperSearch module of Market Trader.

According to this diagram, its maximums coincide with trine and sexstile aspects, while the deepest downs
correspond to conjunctions, squares and oppositions. So, we have here two groups of events (they all are
aspects, though their effect on market differs).
So, let us define the aspects of the first group: aspects that correspond to the highest points. It means the event
"Jupiter makes a sextile or trine to Uranus", we mark this event as L1:

I used a very wide orb here - 30 degrees. (I know the regular values for orbs of different planets, I choose 30
degrees intentionally: it provides a nice looking picture. You can play with lesser orbs, and see yourselves what
you get.)

The next step is to define events for the bottoms of Dow diagram that coincide with conjunctions, squares and
oppositions. It will be L2:

The final formula should look as "Positive aspects (L1) minus Negative aspects (L2)":

After the calculation, this cycle looks like this:


We can check how this cycle fits the real price movement clicking this button:

We get this window:

As you see, this cycle describes almost 4% of price movement. This is a very good addition to annual cycles
that usually provides about 10% correlation.

This figure: means that this fact may occur with the probability 94.88%. It
does not mean that we explain 94.88% of price movements, it is only about the fact that this cycle does affect
the real changes in DJI with the probability 94.88%, and the input of this cycle is approximately 4%.
There is something else we can do. We can play with weights for positive and negative aspects. For example, I
have an idea that the input of negative aspects on DJI is more than we have considered. Let's say, it is 50%
higher. Add a coefficient to this formula:

calculate this cycle and see how it fits the price movement. It fits a bit better:

In this example, the confusing part is the influence of the aspect of conjunction. We are in better position than
Mr. Bradley as we have now twice longer Dow Jones index history and we have this software that allows to
perform our calculation millions times faster, I believe.

So, let put different aspects into different "boxes".

L1 - sextiles and trines;

L2 - squares and oppositions;

L3 - conjunction.

We can assign different weights to different aspects (here I give to the conjunction a positive weight (70%)):

This model describes the real price movements better (correlation 5.29%):
Now you know how to deal with Bradley models. As you see, there is nothing complicated, just use Universal
Language of Events (or SuperSearch module).

You can do the same to other financial instruments.

ULE - Algebra of Events, Part I


When I was a student, the Chaos theory was very popular among my peers. What we liked the most was the
idea that the whole world can be understood as the interaction of events. If we assume that every event is a
word, the world is formed by the words' combination (grammar). This grammar was found to be context-
dependent. And the fascinating part is that every word (event) changes its meaning according to the context.
Speaking differently, our world is formed from events that depend on the context.

In the previous Lessons, you have learned to record the words - astro events. Now, we will learn to read them in
the context. The time for grammar has come. Let's go!

Let us consider this situation: "find what happens to Dow Jones Industrial Index when the Sun is located in Leo
and the Moon is in Pisces at the same time". If you have studied the previous lessons, you will easily create two
events: L1 - the Sun located in Leo and L2 - the Moon ingresses Pisces:

Now remember this rule - if we want two events happening together, we should multiply them. It means that
you will type this in "Events Formula": L1*L2 (use * symbol for the multiplication).

Do not forget to click confirmation button, thus you inform the program that you have finished the typing
of the events formula:
Now go back to the Main window and click "Calculate":

Look at the Main screen now:

You see the red regions where the Sun is located in Leo and blue stripes that correspond to the moments when
the Moon ingresses Pisces.

The black stripes on the upper part of the screen correspond to the moments when the Moon ingresses Pisces
while the Sun is in Leo.

Please be very attentive now: we are dealing here with two different kinds of events:
the Moon ingresses Pisces - this is a triggering event; it happens in some particular moment of time, just a
moment;
the Sun located in Leo - this is the context as this event lasts in time (takes some time, not just a moment)..

Clicking this button, you can easily calculate the Efficiency Test for this combined event:
It looks like this:

It gives us some clues as to what might be happening to DJI when the Moon ingresses Pisces while the Sun is in
Leo.

One useful hint: you can display this Efficiency Test in the real time, just choose the culmination date here:

Now lets modify the context event L1, trying different variants for research:

We will consider the event "Moon ingresses Pisces and ...


1. and Venus is in Pisces in Heliocentric coordinates:

2. and Mars is in cardinal Signs, Geo:

3. Venus or Mars are in Air Signs (Aries, Leo, Sagittarius):

4. Mercury is retrograde
5. Mercury is direct and fast:

and many many other conditions... We are able to do it thanks to this very powerful tool. We can do it really
quickly. What does it give to us? At least, the ability to check any hypothesis or any rumors/hints and then
research the actual effect of all these astro factors in different combinations. When you will go to any
lecture/seminar, take the laptop with you. While the lecturer will change the slides, you will be able to verify
her/his statements. When you read a book, let your computer run the search on the discussed subjects. You will
be able to make informed decisions, not just following celebrities. And you will gain your own sense of the
markets in respect to the astro events.

Next part of this lesson is advanced, so you can skip it in first reading.

OK. Let us modify our task once again. Now we are looking for the impact of the Moon in Pisces on the stock
market in context of the Sun in Leo and retrograde Mercury at the same time.

To the event above, just add one more event, L3 - Mercury is retrograde - and type L1*L2*L3 formula:

You will see at your price chart one more row with the stripes for Mercury being retrograde and different
resulting lines (compared to the previous diagram) that correspond to the moments when all three events occur.
Then you can calculate the Efficiency Test for this combined event.

At the end I would like to show you how we can solve one very practical task using this ULE module. Assume
that the Moon's position in Zodiac has some impact on stock market volatility and this depends strongly on the
seasons. Let us do analysis for the Moon influence in August (more exactly, when the Sun is located in Leo).

Create this formula: L1 - the Sun is in Leo, L2 - the Moon is in Aries (not ingress, its position):

In the Main window click "Calculate" button and after that click "R" button:
You will get this window:

Here you should define the relative true range (as % (High-Low)/Close) that shows the variation of the price
during the trade day. Clicking "Calculate" button, you ask the program to estimate the influence of our event
(Moon in Aries + Sun in Leo) on the true range.

How to read these results (the information window in the bottom part of the screen)? Read this carefully:

Events Interval=0.59 (N=243 Var=0.96) line means that while the Moon is in Aries and the Sun is in Leo, the
average value of true range is 0.59%; 243 trade days have been considered to calculate this statistic.

The next line, Events Interval=0.54 (N=33335 Var=0.98), means that the average value of true range for all
available price data (DJI 1885-2006) is 0.54%.
It means that while the Moon is located in Aries, the true range is a bit higher than the average value (0.54%
against 0.59%).

Next step is to modify the formula using the event "the Moon is in Taurus". I have got this result:

The Moon in Gemini and Pisces seems producing the most quiet periods:

Gemini:
Pisces:

On the contrary, the Moon in Sagittarius and Aquarius provides the most volatile periods:

Sagittarius:

Aquarius:

In the following classes you will see how this task can be solved in more elegant way using the Composite
module. However this approach gives you the universal tool to analyze situations like the Moon's influence on
the market when Mercury is retrograde, the Moon's influence on Mondays and many others.

The same manner you can research Volatility index:

or ADX index exploring the Moon's influence on the trend's stength:

Also you can work with other indicators like RSI, MACD, Stochastic and many others.

I believe that now you will easily explore the New Moon impact on volatility in August. Let it be your
homework.
ULE - Algebra of Events, Part I I
Now you are able to record different events and make their combinations. We can do it due to a unique feature
that exists only in Timing Solution: Universal Language of Events (ULE). It allows to create rather complicated
combinations of events very easily. However, there are some small things and nuances related to the usage of
this Universal Language of Events. We discuss them in this Lesson.

Let us start with one practical example. I received a question by e-mail regarding Dow Jones Industrial index's
behavior around the New Moons. The hypothesis to be tested was about analyzing not all New Moons - only
those that occur while there is no aspect between the Sun and any other planet (except the Moon, of course).

How would you deal with such event? It is not a problem as you have Timing Solution. Create a series of
events first. Start with the New Moon (which is the Moon conjuncting the Sun); watch for the culmination (no
aspect in orb):

It will be L1 event.

Next step is to record the event when the Sun makes the aspect to other planets (except the Moon). (I forgot to
mention that the question was specifically about conjunctions; however, you may consider other aspects as
well.) Let use the orb = 10 degrees. Fill out "Aspects" tab this way:

It will be L2 event.

Let calculate both these events:


Here we can see red vertical lines that correspond to New Moons and blue zones in the bottom that represent
periods when the Sun conjuncts other planets. However, this is not what we really need; as you remember, we
would like to find the moments when there is no aspects to the Sun from the planets.

In this case, Not function helps. Type this formula in Model Editor:

Here L1- New Moon; L2- the Sun aspects other planets. Thus, NOT(L2) corresponds to the event "the Sun
does not make aspects to other planets". This final formula describes exactly what we are looking for.

Now we are ready to do the Efficiency Test for this event. Here it is:
It looks like four days after this combined event Dow Jones index stays flat (I analyzed DJI 1885-2006). There
is no energy for further movement, though in five days the bulls come back to the stock market.

Another example regards to stellium. The stellium means several planets in the same Zodiac sign or house.
There was an Internet discussion of what may happen this November (2006), when many planets will be in
Scorpio.

We can deal with this problem in two ways. The first one is pretty obvious: find all moments (or periods) when
the stellium in Scorpio takes place and look what has happened then. Create this simple event (any planet in
Scorpio, either being there or ingressing it):

Calculate it:
This red diagram shows how many planets have been in Scorpio in regards to available DJI data. The program
automatically adjusts the height of vertical lines: the higher the line, the more planets are in Scorpio at the same
time. It gives you ability to choose the desired number of planets for the stellium. I have found four moments of
DJI history when six planets were located in Scorpio.

It has happened in the year 1978, and the DJI has moved this way:

1970:
1889:

and 1885:
It will be in 2006.

What can we say? From one side, among these 4 occurrences in the past history, three times there was a drop
(in 1978, 1889 and 1885). However, I would not make any comments as surely this information is not enough
to make any conclusions.

There is more advanced feature in the program devoted to stelliums. It provides more flexible way of dealing
with the stellium.

Choose "Stellium" tab. You will get this

Here we define the event when at least 4 planets are forming the stellium. The width of this stellium is 20
degrees (this is my choice).

Stellium Center option allows to locate this stellium at some specific area of Zodiac. In our example, we set the
stellium center as equal to 10 degrees, which means 10 degrees of Aries. Thus, this event reflects the moments
when at least four planets were located between 0 Aries and 20 Aries.

If we do not use the "Stellium Center", it means that these four (or more) planets are located in any place of
Zodiac, within 20-degree area.
There are so many possibilities to record different events and their combinations. I recommend you to go
through all tabs of Model Editor and play with their options. You will get used to its logic very soon, and you
will be able to evaluate different astro related statements very quickly. The following are some last notes related
to this topic.

To calculate the moments of planetary rising/culmination/setting/anticulmination, set these options:

You can find very seldom phenomena, such as Grand sextile:

By the way, for the whole DJI history, it had occurred only once - in 1937:
At the end, I would like to remind you again that it is possible to record many different events in the program
and combine them in different ways, creating more complicated events and models. However, this system is
open - we constantly add new events here as our knowledge about stock market behavior and factors that may
affect it is growing all the time.

SuperSearch/ULE Examples:
Here you will find some examples of creating SuperSearch/ULE events. I have included there the questions that
I have got from the users of the program.

1) Planets in Perihelion, Aphelion, Perigee, Apogee:

You will get this list:


Perihelion/Aphelion - the planet is at the closest/furthest distance from the Sun (heliocentric coordinates)

Perigee/Apogee - the planet is at the closest/furthest distance from the Earth (geocentric coordinates)

2) Jupiter reaches its Maximum (Minimum) declination:

You can do this for any other planet as well.

Also, you can find the planet's Maximum Geo/Helio latitude:


3) a) take a planet and search for specific times (to the hour say) since say 1900 to 2005 that it was at say 25
degrees Leo or 23 deg Taurus or 17 deg Sagittarius.

b) group these results into a) seasons of the year. b). zodiac houses.

In other words we need to find the moments when any of planets passes 25th degree of Leo or 23rd of Taurus
or 17th of Sagittarius points. Also, we would like to see when this phenomena occur in some specific time of
the year - some month or season. It is easy to do with the program: you will have to create several astro events
and combine them altogether.

Let's define the first event L1 any planets passes 25th degree of Leo. Pay attention that from 25 to 25 means
finding the exact moment when it happens. Some planet crosses this point in the sky, this is an instantaneous
event as opposite for the planet being in 25th degree of Leo (which lasts for 60 seconds). It is important for
further research.

Fill out this form:

Similarly, create 2 more events.

L2 - planets pass 23rd degree of Taurus:


L3 - 17th degree of Sagittarius:

We want to find the moments when ANY of these events took place. Type in the Events Formula L1+L2+L3

Do not forget to click: and then the Calculate button (see below).

The upper screen shows these moments marked by vertical black stripes:
To get the statistics for these events, click the button as below:

The program displays the Efficiency Test for this combination, and you can work with it in a regular way.

If you would like to research the effect of these phenomena in some specific time of the year, let us say in the
month of August, you need to create one more event, L4 - now is August.
and add this event to the formula above.

The final formula should be L4*(L1+L2+L3). Multiplication means that these two events L4 (August) and
L1+L2+L3 (planets passing different degrees) should happen together:

As always, do not forget to click:

Now you see the result with a possibility to do the statistical analysis of this combined event:
Varying L4, you can define different possibilities, events like "planets pass these sensitive points above while
Mercury is retrograde". In this case, you should define L4 as:

Or this combination may occur when the transit Sun is in the first natal house:

and many many others.

Let's consider the more complicated case: find the moments when planets pass these sensitive points
(L1+L2+L3) while the Sun is located in fifth house OR Venus is in the second house.

We need to create two additional events: L4 - the Sun in the fifth house and L5 - Venus in the second house.

The formula (L4+L5) means that we look for the moments when the Sun is in the fifth OR Venus is in the
second houses.
All these events together are described by this formula:

Let's modify our model. Let define L1 (in Leo) and L3 (in Sagittarius) as "GOOD" sensitive points, while L2
(in Taurus) is a "BAD" sensitive point. When planets pass the "good" sensitive points, the price goes up, while
on "bad" sensitive points it reacts by downtrend movement (we might find this or similar information in some
book or newsletter).

Here I define the event "planets crossing the 25th degree of Leo" a bit differently:

Here we set 5 degrees orb for this event. The same is done for L2 and L3 events.

Now we have L1 and L3 as a good guys a and L2 - bad guy. This formula reflects this fact:

Thus we have created the indicator based on sensitive points:

If you really decide to create a working indicator, the "Correlation" button is recommended:
You can estimate the real performance of the analyzed indicator. See here for more details.

Astro indicators in Timing Solution


With Timing Solution, it is possible to calculate any of the most popular astro indicators. Now (September
2007) there are 17 variants of different astro indicators. You will find among them the indicators well known
and described in different sources (such as Berg, Ganue, Barbo and Hoff indicators and their variations) as well
as the indicators suggested by the users of the program. In this article I will do a brief overview of these
indicators and show how to customize them for any financial instrument. My goal was to analyze how these
indicators forecast the turning points and volatility. The Dow Jones Industrial index data from 1885 to August
2007 were used. To analyze volatility, I used the data from the year 1980. The orb for anything planetary-
related in this research is 2 degrees.

Let us start with the description of these indicators.

1. Planetary Pictures Geo (0..180) scale. To calculate this index, the program takes all angles between the
planets in geocentric using 0..180 degrees scale. This index shows how many planetary pairs have the
same angle separation. I did not find any correlation and price for this index. It does not work for DJI.
2. Berg indicator. It is calculated the same way as the previous indicator, the only difference is the use of
heliocentric planetary positions. It shows some impact on volatility, especially when the value of this
indicator is small (less than 10).
3. Planetary Pictures Geo (0..360) scale. It calculates the angle between planets using 0...360 degrees
scale. It shows how many planetary pairs have the same angle separation (0..360 degrees scale). No
effect found.
4. Planetary Pictures Helio (0..360) scale. It works similar to Berg indicator (Index N2)
5. Sum of angle separation (-180...+180) Geo. It calculates the sum for all angles between the planets.
The program assigns a positive value to the front position, while the back position has a negative value.
No effect found.
6. Sum of angle separation (-180...+180) Helio. This indicator definitely correlates to the top turning
points. When the value of this indicator falls into -400 to +400 range, the probability of a top turning
point is high.
7. Sum of absolute separation 0..180 degrees scale Geo. It calculates the sum of the angles between
planets using 0..180 scale, back and front positions have the same value. The value in the range -500..-
1000 is related to a bottom turning point.
8. Sum of absolute separation 0..180 degrees scale Helio. The value in the range -150..+300 is related to
the top turning point.
9. Sum of absolute separation 0..360 degrees scale Geo. No effect found.
10. Sum of absolute separation 0..360 degrees scale Helio. No effect found.
11. Amount of midpoint conjunctions Geo. To calculate this indicator, the program takes all midpoints
between the planets and counts the amount of midpoints that have the same longitude. The value
between +55 and +120 is related to the top turning point.
12. Amount of midpoint conjunctions Helio. No effect found.
13. Amount of midpoint oppositions Geo. The value between 0 .. +10 is related to the bottom turning
point.
14. Amount of midpoint oppositions Helio. No effect found.
15. Index of cyclical variations Geo. It calculates the amount of waxing angles minus the amount of
waning angles. It is a strong indicator. The value between +20 and +35 is related to the top turning
points, while the value -9..-21 is related to the bottom.
Also sometimes this index correlates with the trend:
16. Index of cyclical variations Helio. It may forecast bottom turning point when its value is in the range
-8..-16.
17. Hoff index. The negative value of this index correlates very well with the trend.

I have added several new models to the program based on this research. Timing Solution users will find these
new ULE models in the upgrade of September 12, 2007. Here is the list:

1) A model to forecast top turning points.

2) A model to forecast bottom turning points.

3) Trend index based on "Index of cyclical variations Geo"

4) Trend index based on Hoff index.

You can run these models here:


Remember that you can use these indicators as hints only.

The most common mistake

Before any discussion, I would like to talk about a very common mistake that takes place when somebody
applies/invents any astro indicator.

Let us consider planetary pictures heliocentric indicators (What follows below, can be applied to any indicator).
This indicator simply shows the amount of planetary pairs in heliocentric system that have the same angle
separation.

There is no mistake yet. It comes later.

If my goal would be to sell you this indicator, I would start an advertising campaign with something like this:
"Look at the price chart and the indicator displayed together:
You see that the big values of this indicator (see the red curve at the bottom) correspond to the major turning
points on the price chart ".There is still no mistake. The calculation is OK for the chosen time interval, and the
conclusion is OK. You may be impressed and buy this indicator. And - it is not OK when you apply it for your
trading. Does it sounds familiar? I have seen it so many times in the letters from my users. What is wrong?
Where is the mistake?It is there. I would call it misrepresentation (maybe, unwilling or unintended). If the
picture above is the only piece of information regarding this indicator, we are not actually able to figure out
how this indicator will perform. See yourself.Let us take next two consequent intervals that follow the picture
shown above. Here are the price chart and that same indicator together, though without any selection:
Could you please make the same conclusion regarding the indicator and the price turning point NOW? I do not
see any connection between the price and the analyzed indicator.I could easily do the same thing for volatility
or any other index - taking just one good example and making a conclusion that "the high value of our astro
indicator tends to increase/decrease volatility (or whatever we research)". Choosing the appropriate time span,
we can approve/disapprove anything.To understand how any astro indicator (or any indicator) works, it is
necessary to analyze many subsequent intervals without any selection. The detailed statistical analysis shows
that often these indicators work totally different from what we are expecting from them. For example if we
modify the above mentioned indicator using the geocentric system (not heliocentric), we will find that its high
value tends to appear together with TOP turning points, not bottoms. Thus the high value of this indicator can
serve as a sign (with some probability, of course) for the upcoming TOP turning point.In this article I will show
you how to analyze and create the astro indicator using Timing Solution software.

Technology description - analysis

In Timing Solution you can create practically any known astro indicator. Look at "Astro Indicators" tab. You
will find there 17 the most used indicators including Ganue, Barbo, Hoff indicators and the indicators based on
Planetary Pictures (Berg), calculated for Geo and Helio systems.

You may display any or several indicators together with the price chart:
Let us perform the statistical analysis for any of these indicators. Our goal is to get the objective picture of how
this indicator actually works. Let us analyze "Index of cyclical variation":

This indicator shows a balance of waxing and waning angles between the planets in geocentric system. Click
this button:

to open the statistical module. You will get the scattered diagram:
On X axis the program shows the value of "Index of cyclical variation" for all price bars, while Y axis shows
the appropriate value of Volatility index. Actually you can analyze any index here (I tried RSI, ADX and
other):

I have analyzed Dow Jones Industrial index using the data from the year 1980 to 2007. The program draws
more than 7000 points on this diagram. For us the most interesting thing is the existence of the red regions. You
can see on the diagram two red clusters that provide us a valuable information regarding the effect that this
index has on volatility.

Cluster N1 shows what happens when this index is high. If our astro indicator is higher than 7 (which means
that there are more waxing angles between the planets than waning ones), the volatility is high enough: 0.53-
0.7%. We can accept this fact as a statistically verified one - the big amount of waxing angles between the
planets leads to the high volatility of the Dow Jones Index.

You can see there the second cluster. It corresponds to the negative value of this index, and it shows the small
values of volatility, no more than 0.34%. In other words, when there are more waning angles between the
planets, the volatility is low.

You can play with the statistical parameters (especially with Chi Square and Min amount of points in the bin):
It allows you to understand what clusters are the strongest ones.

Technology description - synthesis

Now we have a tool that allows us easily find out how any astro indicator affects the stock market. Look at the
table below. There I put the results of my analysis of 10 different indicators. These 10 indicators are the most
influential for volatility. The values there are the values of the indicator that correspond to high/low volatility:

Indicator Volatility High Volatility Low


L1=Sum of angle separation (-
+800..+4000 -600..-4000
180..+180) Geo
L2=Sum of angle separation (-
+600 ... +1500 -300 ... -1300
180..+180) Helio
L3=Sum of ABSOLUTE angle
+600 ... +1000 -1000 ... -2000
separation (0..+180) Helio
L4=Sum of angle separation 0...360
+800 ... +2300 -800 ... -2300
Geo
L5=Amount midpoints conjunctions
0 ... +30 +30 ... +60
Helio
L6=Amount midpoints opposition
+20 ... +30
Geo
L7=Amount midpoints opposition
+10 ... +20
Helio
L8=Index of Cyclical variation Geo +7 ... +40 -7 .. -21
L9=Index of Cyclical variation
+4 ... +15
Helio
L10=Hoff Zodiacal Index +2 .. +42

How did I get this information? For example, the first line of this table is received from this diagram:
These values for all 10 indicators are statistically verified. Therefore, I can take each one of them as the
meaningful event and add them to the ULE module of the program (ULE stands for Universal Language of
Events, I include there things that play some role for the stock market):

Now let us create the final formula that summarizes our newly found knowledge about these indexes
(indicators).

Consider the first line:

L1=Sum of angle separation (-


+800..+4000 -600..-4000
180..+180) Geo

The message that we get here is simple: DJI is volatile when the first indicator is in the range between (800,
4000) and (-600, -4000). Volatility grows when the indicator is closer to (800, 4000); it decreases when the
indicator is negative (-600, -4000).

Let us write this condition together: L1 - this is the analyzed indicator. To write "Volatility is high when the
indicator between 800 and 4000", use this expression: Range(L1,800,4000).

Next we need to write this: "Volatility is low when the indicator is between -600 and -4000". Do the
subtraction:
Then perform the same procedure for the next indicator:

L2=Sum of angle separation (-


+600 ... +1500 -300 ... -1300
180..+180) Helio

Add it to the first one.

Finally you will get the formula that involves all analyzed terms. See how this indicator looks (red - our
indicator, blue - actual volatility):

Of course it is not an ideal, I would not recommend it to you as your major trading tool. However, its quality is
a lot better than that of any indicator by itself.

While you are working with this complicated formula, I recommend to set this option OFF to hide all terms that
our indicator consists of:
How to create an indicator to reveal turning points

The technology is exactly the same as above. The only difference is that instead of Volatility index in the
scattered diagram use a detrended zigzag index:
Here the top part of diagram corresponds to the top turning points, the bottom - to the bottom turning points.
Thus the upper red cluster can be interpreted as this: when the analyzed index is in the range -300 to +500, the
up turning point is more probable.

Planetary Time in Action


Any technique begins with some very simple and clear idea. The idea of planetary time (PT) came to me from
one of my Russian astrology teachers, Mrs. Augustina Semenko. This idea gives a room under one roof for pure
scientific techniques like spectrum analysis and pure astrological techniques.Augustina was a unique woman. In
communist Russia, she worked as an astrologer in the biggest aircraft manufacturing company (Tupolev, TUs).
It was practically impossible in Russia several decades ago, but this talented woman did it. The story says that
there was some aircraft ground testing going and the guys faced with some hard and dangerous malfunctioning
in the machine. Augustina (an admin assistant at that time) went to the chief officer and asked him a question
whether they had had the same problem a couple of weeks ago. They were surprised how she could know about
that as it was a classified information. It really was exactly as she said! Plus Augustina suggested them to do a
major fixing of some particular device, otherwise the big problem with this aircraft should occur in a week.
Does it sound like a fairy tale to you? The guys thought the same. They said, "No kidding, we do not believe in
that!". However, there was a fire on that plane in a week and it burned out. When the guys came back to her,
Augustina told them about another date when the same dangerous situation might occur again. This time they
accepted Augustina's advice and saved the aircraft. Afterwards she did charts for the testing flights.

When I have met this woman twenty years ago, I have been very surprised by this fact. Working in a scientific
facility, I understood that sometimes we face with effects that do not look like other physical processes we are
used to deal with. I do not know when exactly this story has happened. However, I can show you how the idea
behind it might work now, in March, 2007.A week ago Mercury has ended its retrograde motion and started the
direct one. Today (March 13, 2007) it is located at 27th degree of Aquarius. Let us look together on Mercury's
trajectory:

As you see, Mercury crosses the 27th degree of Aquarius three times this year: January 30, March 2 and March
13. This is the astronomical fact. If we assume that the planets somehow affect our life, we can state that
something should occur in our lives three times in regards to Mercury's effects. In other words, if something
Mercury related has happened on January 30, it is quite possible that this (or similar, or reminding us about the
first one) event has to occur on March 2, and a final reminder should appear on March 13. The degrees related
to particular retrograde motion of Mercury form its "shadow". Mercury will leave its shadow on March 27,
2007, starting a totally new life cycle (a Mercurial one). Remember that "shadow" starts when Mercury is still
direct, covers the whole retrograde area and ends when Mercury is direct again. The picture shows Mercury's
shadow between 25th degree of Aquarius and 10th degree of Pisces.The observation of retrograde Mercury
gave to my teacher Augustina the hints regarding that aircraft's malfunction in early 1970s. As I said, I do not
know the dates to provide you with the exact information. However, if it would occur on January 30, 2007, the
same malfunction could occur again on March 2 (as a reminder of this problem), and the next dangerous date
might be March 13. It is like Cosmos says to us, people, something, we do not hear; Cosmos says it again
giving us chances to act or make our choices, and then It sets the final verdict for this problem. (By the way,
that fact has surprised me so much that I have started to study astrology in depth. It also helped me to make a
final decision and switch from scientific programming at the Institute of Nuclear Research to astrological
programming.)

Later, when I met my American astrology teacher, Mr. Alphee Lavoie, I have heard about this technique again -
only in respect to Jupiter. These three touches of Jupiter help to solve problems related to wellness, well-being,
and material abundance (such as getting a job).

Technique Description

Now let us switch from burned aircrafts to our theme - stock market. If cosmic memory affects aircrafts, it
should affect the stock market as well. As we have seen, Mercury gives three reminders demanding you to pay
attention or giving you chances to do what you should do. The same is true for other planets (except the Sun
and the Moon). Look at these zones:
These colored bars show the periods when Mercury, Venus and Mars are retrograde; in other words, during
these periods the planets try to "teach" us something. Let me show you one thing. In Timing Solution choose
this item:

and drag the mouse across the screen. You see sometimes that the program shows three vertical lines:
These lines correspond to the moments when Mercury is located at the same Zodiac position inside its shadow.
The general idea of this technique (an astro charting tool) is that we are looking for the moments that somehow
are related to each other; it may give us some tips regarding future market movements. What is good is that
these moments are pointed by planetary positioning and do not depend on our subjectivity. (This module is "a
charting tool". It does not provide neither any evaluation in numbers nor the projection line which is possible by
means of other modules of the program like ULE and Neural Net.)

Click here to see how these Mercury "shadows" appear and disappear while we drag the mouse.

I believe that this issue is worth of detailed research in respect to every planet. Here are some hints regarding
Mercury. It looks like the Mother Nature tells us about some problem while Mercury is direct. When it becomes
retrograde, this signal is much more stronger, and finally, on the next direct movement, we receive the final
estimation of this situation in respect to our action (the aircraft burned out).

These are Mercury's doings in summer 2006:


The first signal with 1.25% drop took place on June 27 (Mercury was passing 29th degree of Cancer). Then, in
the middle of July, Mercury reminded us about this situation again while being retrograde. It caused three
terrible days for the stock market. In the beginning of August, Mercury has passed this degree again. The draw
down was not so dramatic. Looks like "students have done their homework": Dow Jones Index has recovered
and gained 7 uptrend months.

Changing the properties of this charting element, you can change the planet. Remember that this technique is
oriented to the planets having a "shadow" (regions located around the retrograde zones):

For example, there is no Mars shadow now (in the middle of March, 2007), as it is far from its retrograde zone,
so the program shows the current Mars position only:
However, Saturn has its shadow now:

If Saturn tells us something, we would expect some action on June 10, 2007. What might it be? See the hint
from the first Saturn's reminder:
The second hint is a giant drop on February, 27 which is visible in any price chart scale.

So, do your homework and make the conclusions yourselves. I recommend to check all these hints for
important events in the stock market. You can use not only planets themselves, try different planetary
combinations as well (like analyzing the angle between Venus and Jupiter in geo and helio coordinates).

Another variation of the same idea is presented by "Planetary Returns" technique: it shows all dates when some
planet has passed a certain position (caused by other reasons, not only by retrograde motions). Here is how it
looks:

This picture shows the moments when the Moon is located in certain position.

One more technique is called "Planetary Equidistant Lines":


Drag the mouse from one point of the price chart to another (let say, from point A to point B):

The program calculates the Sun's (or any other planet's) position at point A and the angle difference between
the Sun's position in points B and A. In our example, the Sun has passed 33 degrees 52 minutes between these
two points (the Sun at point A is in the 20th degree of Scorpio). Thus, the program shows all moments in
respect to the Sun position with the step of 33 degrees 52 minutes starting from the point A. (The next line is set
at 2*33.52=67.44 degrees, etc.)

Click here to see how to draw these lines in Timing Solution

Sometimes these lines look very funny. As an example, see these lines calculated for Mercury:
This irregularity is caused by Mercury's retrograde motion.

The initial point A is in the beginning of November 2006; Mercury has become retrograde in 22nd degree of
Scorpio, this position of Mercury has a shadow. The second point A is 13 degrees of Sagittarius; the distance
between these points is 21 degrees. We calculate the second step point the same way; this is 21.48 Scorpio +
2*21.17=4.22 degrees of Capricorn. We come to a shadow zone again doing step 5.

While working with this module, it is very important to find the "key" planetary combination that catches
turning points. For example, working with Dow Jones Index for the last 2 years (2005-2007), I have found that
the angle between the Sun and Jupiter provides good results; as a basis I used two major turning points (July
17,2006 and February 20,2007):
Here the first turning point (a bottom) occurs on July 17, 2006; the corresponding angle between the Sun and
Jupiter is 104 degrees. For the next major turning point (a top) on February 20,2007, the angle between the Sun
and Jupiter ha changed on 178 degrees. Adding/subtracting this angle, we can get the dates for other key points
in the future and in the past: in the past - to see how well the stock market "remembers" this combination, in the
future - to use this info for our trading. However, not all turning points are described by this model.

This method is very similar to another astro charting tool:

It draws the equidistant vertical lines, equidistant in time, like this:


The difference between this method and the next one in the same menu that we use different time metrics. In
the example above, vertical lines are distant from each other for 360 days - we use Julian Time to calculate the
distance between two lines. When we work with "Planetary Equidistant Lines", we do exactly the same but
instead of Julian Time we use Planetary Positions as a measure of the time. Because the planets move non
evenly and sometimes become retrograde, these lines are located irregularly.

Going into Depth - Planetary Time

Working with Composite module in Timing Solution, I have understood that we can work with planetary angles
exactly as we do with usual Julian time. Suppose the Universe uses the watches that point Mercury's position
instead of even minutes that measure the time by means of the atomic clock. The world that uses the planetary
time looks very strange sometimes: time there might flow sometimes in the opposite direction (when Mercury
is retrograde) and forces us (or gives us a chance - what would you prefer?) to go back to some events of our
lives. This is the irregular time, and we have to re-live some periods of this planetary life several times (three
times). If we return to the example with the aircraft in the beginning of this article, we can say that these points
are belonging to the same planetary moment (while we have three different events in Julian time):

From the point of view of the planetary time, the Universe takes these three events as just one event, thus they
should be similar to each other.
Surely this is a mathematical construction, nothing else. But some well known astrological techniques look in
this strange World very logically. For example, the planetary lines in the planetary time Universe look as
simple straight lines. So, the trend lines in this Universe will look in our normal World like planetary lines.
Moreover, the planetary time concept makes possible the application of such sophisticated math techniques as
spectrum analysis. Timing Solution allows to calculate spectrum (i.e., find the cycles) in this planetary time. As
an example, look at this periodogram for corn prices calculated in Venus geo time:

You can see that there are at least three strong cycles in corn prices; however, these cycles exist in Venus geo
time. Here are these cycles:

1) 44.4 degrees Venus cycle;

2) 364.2 degrees Venus cycle, and

3) 900 degrees Venus cycle.

These cycles provide us some hints as to what angles are better to use in "Planetary Equidistant Lines". Also, it
makes the phenomenological approach (used in Timing Solution) more accurate and scientifically logical.

For example, Timing Solution software can extract cycles from periodogram and generate the projection line
based on these cycles. However, these cycles exist in planetary time while the results are shown in our usual
time that we used to live in.

Question:
I would wish to be able to use Composite module to research
on market behaviour when the planets are in retrograde and
show the difference between when a planet is in retrograde
and when it is in direct.
Answer:

First of all, remember that it is better to use Phase Zodiac while analyzing the effect of retrograde/direct motion
on the stock market. New Mercury phase (i.e., zero degree) corresponds to the culmination of retrograde
motion.

Let us consider the motion of the Sun and Mercury at the same diagram:

Here the red line is the Suns trajectory, and the blue one is the trajectory of Mercury. You see the Mercury
dancing around the Sun, and the range of this dance if defined by the elongation angle (it is pure astronomy).
The phase Zodiac reflects this movement perfectly.
The diagram shows that Mercury starts its retrograde motion approximately 2 weeks before conjuncting the Sun
and ends the retrograde motion after this conjunction. We can consider the conjunction as a central point of this
retrograde motion; Mercury reaches there the maximum speed of retrograde motion. You need to know that this
conjunction corresponds to New Mercury (i.e. zero degree of Mercury in Phase Zodiac).

Run the Astronomy (Composite) module in Timing Solution and set these parameters:

Look at the composite diagram now:


Here the black stripes correspond to the zones when Mercury is retrograde. Thus this diagram allows you to see
three stages of Mercurys retrograde motion together with the price:

1) Mercury starts the retrograde motion;


2) Mercury conjuncts the Sun;
3) Mercury ends the retrograde motion.

Here we have analyzed Dow Jones Industrial Index (1985-2006). Looking at this diagram, it is hard to make
certain comments on the trend in respect to Mercurys motion.
We can make at least one assumption: some uptrend movement (though not a strong one) begins several days
after Mercury conjuncts the Sun:

Try to do the same thing for Venus. You will be able to make more certain assumptions:

The market makes this zigzag-like movement in respect to Venuss retrograde motion. It is interesting that its
influence becomes stronger after Venus conjuncts the Sun.

For outer planets (Mars to Pluto), the rule is different. The retrograde movement is formed around the planets
opposition to the Sun.

As an example, let us look at New Jupiter. In Geocentric coordinates, New Jupiter corresponds to the Sun
Jupiter opposition. Jupiter makes its retrograde dance as far from the Sun as possible.

Thus the Jupiter movement looks:


Now look how the Jupiter movement affects the Dow Index. The blue arrow covers the period when Jupiter has
started its retrograde motion. However, after the Sun opposition to Jupiter, something has happened in the sky.
Jupiter is still retrograde though the market starts rising, and this rally continues till Jupiter starts its direct
motion:

Thus, when we analyze markets in respect to planetary retrograde/direct motion, the Phase
Zodiac is easy and convenient way to do that.
To complete this article, I will do the analysis for different financial instruments in respect to
planetary retrograde motion (I will show only the most interesting findings):

Gold
Price goes down when Jupiter is retrograde after the Sun - Jupiter opposition:

Price goes down when Saturn is retrograde before the Sun - Saturn opposition:

Price goes up when Neptune is retrograde after the Sun - Neptune opposition:
Euro/USD
Mars is very influential. Price goes down when Mars is retrograde before the Sun - Mars
opposition and after that it goes up:

Strong drop when Saturn starts its direct movement:


Price goes up when Uranus is retrograde after the Sun - Uranus opposition:

Dow Jones Industrial 1885-2006


Corn price 1949-2006
Gold price 1975-2006

Let's start with Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJI).

First of all, I would like to remind that perigee/apogee describes the distance between Jupiter (in our example)
and the Earth. Let us calculate and watch how this distance changes in time.
In SuperSearch module, you need to define this event:
Calculate it:

This diagram shows how the distance between Jupiter and the Earth changes within four years. These waves are
caused mostly by the Earth revolving around the Sun. To see the influence of Jupiter, we should look at this
picture in a bigger time span:

The Earth rotation here is presented by a cycle that is very close to the usual annual cycle. Also, you can see a
12-year cycle; this is Jupiter.

Let us analyze what could happen to DJI when Jupiter reaches the furthest distance from the Earth, i.e. Jupiter
is in its Apogee.
To do that, fill out the SuperSearch form this way:

Calculate the Efficiency Test for this event clicking on this button .

You will get:

This diagram definitely shows that the Dow Jones Industrial index drops down a week before Jupiter
reaches its Apogee. After that, when Jupiter's distance to the Earth decreases and Jupiter becomes brighter, the
DJI goes up.

We can confirm this fact statistically as well:


You see that the week before this phenomenon the price went down 63 times against 48 up. The chi square
statistic shows that this result is not occasional with 95% probability.

It is interesting to note that Jupiter's Perigee has no effect on DJI. In other words, the Dow Jones Industrial
index is very sensitive to the furthest position of Jupiter. When Jupiter is closer to the Earth (it means that
Jupiter's gravitation is higher), the DJI has no reaction to this phenomenon.

Now we will analyze the Jupiter's influence on corn prices.

For Jupiter in Apogee, the Efficiency Test looks:


You see the week before Jupiter reaches its Apogee, the corn price starts rising. But - one day before this
phenomenon, we have a sharp drop (30 down against 14 up).

The Perigee point has no affect on corn (as for DJI).

For Gold price, we have no influence at Jupiter's Apogee, while some weak influence presents from Perigee
point:

There is a small drop in gold price around this phenomenon.

This is just a case study as a part of "Study" project to demonstrate how to conduct this type of research. You
can provide it for other planets.

Also you can provide this research for Perihelion and Aphelion points, i.e. the distance between analyzed planet
and the Sun:

Also pay attention on events related with planetary nodes, i.e. the moments when planet crosses the Ecliptic
plane. For example, this is the Efficiency Test calculated for DJI for the moment when Venus crosses the
Ecliptic ingressing into South semi sphere:
Declinations: how they affect the stock market
The declination is in fashion nowadays. It is a necessary item of many Internet group discussions. And most of
the software that touches astro base in any way uses the declination calculation at some point. In this small
article, I would like to introduce the way of conducting research on declinations using Market Trader and/or
Timing Solution software.

First of all, let me make some notes on declinations in general. Declinations are used by anyone who takes the
planetary movements into consideration. Our interest is in the forecasting of stock market behavior. It is a
common belief nowadays that stock market behavior is strongly connected to mass psychology. There are many
ways to work with mass psychology phenomena. One of the possible ways is to consider the findings of old
astrology, so called astro indicators. There is a documented evidence of the usefulness of such indicators
(especially of those that can be calculated and are described and confirmed by methods of modern astronomy
and mathematics). There is no proven theory yet that explains the mechanics of the relationship between the
Universe and Man (though there are some attempts to it). From this point of view, declinations are one of the
many factors that we might be willing to consider. Our task now is to realize to what extent and how they are
useful in market forecasting.

What are declinations? The declination is related with Equatorial Coordinates. Equatorial coordinates describe a
plane defined by the daily rotation of the Earth around its axis; it is inclined to Ecliptic approximately at 23
degrees. This is a very important angle as it is a reason of hot summers and cold winters on our planet. If this
angle would be equal to zero degrees, we would never have the summer and winter. All year around we would
experience the same temperature; to me, it is too boring. If this angle would be very big (like 90 degrees for
Uranus), we would have extremely hot North (especially around the Pole) and extremely cold South.
The 23 degrees is the best angle, at least for those who like skiing in winter and swimming in summer.

Now, the declination. The declination is nothing more than a parameter that shows how far the planets and
objects in the sky are located relative to the celestial Equator plane. There is nothing mystic in calculating
declinations, the modern astronomy and mathematics do it well, and you can find the declination points info in
ephemeris.

See how the Sun declination is changing within the year:


The Sun reaches the maximum South declination of 23 degrees 27 minutes around Christmas time (December
20th, Winter Solstice) and the maximum North declination in the end of June (June 20th, Summer Solstice).

I have created this model using these settings in SuperSearch/ULE module of the program:

Now, let us consider the Moon declination (a blue diagram, added to the previous one):

The Sun and the Moon paint on the Equatorial sky the regular sinus waves. It is not so nice with the planets.
See this picture painted by Venus:
The Venus declination line is not so regular as the Sun's or the Moon's. The reason is so called retrograde
movement of Venus sometimes. However, this fact makes the Venus declination cycle (and the declination
cycles of other planets) very suitable for stock market prediction.

Let us go back for a minute to the Sun declination picture (see above). The star Sun creates the most regular
pictures in the sky thus setting the legal bands for other planets' movement as 23degrees 27 minutes to both
sides. Usually, the planets move inside this band (as to paying their respect to the most important person in the
Solar system; immediately all ancient legends come to mind, with the Solar god in the middle). However,
sometimes they are able to break these rules and spend some time outside these legitimate 23.27 degrees. These
zones are called "Out of Bounds". Actually, these zones are very interesting. See this diagram for the Moon
breaking the rules stated by the Sun in 2006:

In 2006, it happens to the Moon two times a month for 5 days each time. These zones are marked by red
stripes.

Look at the same picture for a wider time span, from the year 2000 for 30 years ahead:
The red zones correspond to the Moon "Out of Bounds". You see there 9-year periods when the Moon is
allowed to move out of border, and then there is 9-year period when the Moon does not break these borders.
Together, they make an 18-year Lunar cycle (so called Saros cycle).

The current period of the rebel Moon has started in 2001 and will finish in 2011.

See these dates and compare them to the recent history:

The Moon left the legitimate borders for several hours on August 15, 2001, then for a little bit more time on
August 28, 2001, and on September 11, 2001 the Moon spent outside these Borders more than one day. I do not
want you to take this as the explanation of the great tragedy that has happened that day; I only state that at that
day the Moon (our emotions) was for more than a day out of the Sun's boundaries.
This red zone will finish on April 20, 2011. Now (June 30, 2006) we live in the highest point - the Moon is Out
of Bounds 10-12 days a month. It was a situation of the years 2004, 2005, and 2006. Next year, 2007, it will be
out 9-11 days a month; in 2008 - 7-8 days; in 2009 and 2010, about 6 days a month. So, if these zones affect
our lives in any way, now we are on the way to more proper position of the Moon and, probably, to more
"quiet" period of our history. (Everywhere, when I refer to "legitimate", "proper", "rebellious" or similar terms
in regards to the planets, it reflects the lack of our knowledge and research of this very complex matter -
interrelationship between humans and the Universe.)

Now, let us return to financial astrology needs in the light of the declination.

We need to find the answer to this question: Do the declinations of different planets have any impact on a
chosen market? The only way is to conduct a research on every financial instrument in regards to the
declination of every planet. It sounds like a lot of work to do. However, we are in a much better position than
the researchers of the past: we have computers now and necessary tools to conduct this research. Manually, it
would be impossible to do this job (only some random examples, as George Bayer did). With a computer and
without a proper tool, it will take too much time, machine and human as well. With our software, it is quite easy
and definitely fast.

I did the following examples for Dow Jones Industrial Index data. My purpose was to show you how this
research can be done and what things are worth to consider. Though I did the comparison of declinations of
several planets, I provide here the example of the research for one planet declination only. I do it using two
different techniques. Two other examples show the research of compounded models. You can try to do the
same research yourself (or explore any other financial instrument). For me, it is easier to make examples as the
answers to some questions.

Question #1. What is going on with Dow Jones Industrial index (DJI) in respect to Mars declination?

There are several ways how to deal with Mars declination in the program. We could do it exactly as we did
before for the Sun and the Moon and Venus: create a SuperSearch/ULE event and see the dates when it actually
had happened. Then we could do a statistical analysis for these dates, for turning points of DJI price history
diagram, including specific amounts of increase/decrease for 2%, 5%, etc. The program can do that. However,
it would not be a smart solution if we analyze the DJI data from 1885 to 2006 (practically 120 years of price
history). One of the reasons is that we cannot state that Mars declination was the only cause for all these moves.
What we can do is to evaluate the Mars declination input. This is how we do it.

Run the Composite module and set these parameters:

You will get this diagram:


This diagram is divided on two zones, North and South semi spheres.

You see that in general the values are higher for the North part, especially when Mars reaches 23 degrees of its
North declination; in this case, the DJI is pretty high.

The Composite model gives us the general idea only; to get more detailed answer to our question, we need to
use Efficiency Test module. It is shown in the next example.

Question #2. What does happen to DJI when Venus declination reaches its maximum South value?

In comparison to the Question #1 (where we were exploring the impact of the planet's declination in general),
here we consider a specific value of the declination. It means that prior to this we have to explore the impact of
Venus declination on DJI in general.

Set these options in the Model Editor:

and calculate the Efficiency Test for this event. Here it is:
It shows a drop in DJI value, though not a significant one (89 down against 78 up).

The same way you can calculate the Maximum North Declination (choose Max option) or find the moment
when the planet crosses Equator, i.e. has zero declination (choose Value=0 option).

Question #3. What does happen when Venus declination is higher/lower than Mars declination?

In this example, we do not explore the declinations of each planet separately, we are trying to understand the
impact from their mutual position (there is an idea that the planets and heavenly bodies might work as filters or
lenses to some kind of cosmic energy). As we are looking for a general evaluation, we go to Composite module
again.

Set these options in the Composite window described above:

You will get this diagram:


This diagram presents two regions: the right side is for Venus declination higher than Mars's, while the left side
is for Venus lower than Mars.

The diagram shows that DJI is high when the difference between Venus and Mars declination reaches the
extreme values, especially when Venus is lower than Mars.

Question #4. What does happen when Venus and the Sun have the same declination?

As we are discussing a specific value, we will work with Efficiency Test. So, set these options in the Model
Editor and run the Efficiency Test:

The Efficiency Test looks like this:

The Efficiency Test indicates the significant drop a week before this event (181 down against 154 up).
In this example above, we have analyzed the aspect of parallel between Venus and the Sun. It occurs when two
planets have the same declination. There is another possibility as well: when two planets have an opposite
declinations (like Mercury's declination is 15 degrees South and Jupiter's declination is 15 degrees North). It is
called a contraparallel aspect.

This kind of aspects can be defined in the "Aspects" tab as well:

Choose the planets to be analyzed and click "Standard Criteria" button. You will get this:

Then you can work with this event as usual. For example, see this Efficiency Test for the event Mercury-
ContraParallel-Jupiter:
Again, my intention here was only to show how to do the research on declinations with this software. I believe
that now you can easily analyze any planetary combination and different phenomena that involve a declination.

Gravitation of the planets and its effect on the stock


market
As definition states: "gravitation force is the tendency of objects with mass to accelerate toward each other"
(see http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gravity/). This force makes the Moon moving around the Earth, and the Earth
and other planets moving around the Sun. This force keeps Galaxies together preventing their dissipation on
single planets and planets' dissipation on single atoms.

For physicists, the gravitation is the most enigmatic force in respect to the other knowing forces.

We can do a research on the impact of this force on the stock market. In this small article I will show how to do
it for Dow Jones Industrial Index 1885-2006 with Timing Solution software.

In Timing Solution, the gravitational force is presented by these three persons: a gravitational force itself, a
tidal force and a gravitational potential. We will explain the difference between them using the classical
legend of how Sir Isaac Newton had got this idea observing a falling apple.

Gravitational force: it is the degree of how the Earth accelerates the apple.

Tidal force: different parts of our apple are affected by the Earth differently. The side of the apple that is closer
to the Earth is affected stronger than the other side of it. For the apple, this difference is miserable, but for the
astronomical scale this force becomes very important.

Gravitation potential: we can take it as the energy that apple is getting when it falls.

In Timing Solution, define the gravitation terms here:


As an example, let us consider the planet of Venus. First of all, we want to know the gravitation force of Venus
that affects the habitants of the Earth.

Set these options:

Here is the diagram for this force in 2006-2009:

This is the oscillation of Venus gravitation around its average value.

Sometimes it may be more interesting to deal with the change of this force in time, not with the gravitation
force itself. The force may be small, while its change is pretty significant.

In this case, we should research Rate Of Change (ROC) of Gravitation force, it is here:

For the same time period, ROC of the gravitation force looks like this:
You may choose to see the tidal force and the gravitational potential; these options are here as well:

Actually the gravitation, the tidal force and the potential look pretty much the same:

The most narrow peak is for Venus tidal force.

This has been done for Venus gravitation toward the Earth. We can do the same for the gravitation between
Venus and the Sun. Set these parameters:

"Heliocentric" means that we consider the effect of the planets towards the Sun, not the Earth. The gravitation
force of Venus on the Sun looks like this:
Change of this gravitation force looks very interesting:

Very similar pictures are received for the tidal force and the gravitational potential.

Now, let us research how these forces affect the Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJI). I have downloaded the
available history, from 1885 to 2006.

Click this button: to set Learning Border Cursor to the last point. Thus we will use the
whole price history to do the analysis.

We start with the gravitation force of Mercury:

Calculate this event ("Calculate" button) and click "R" button:

You will get this information window:


The correlation -0.18% is pretty small, so we can conclude that Mercury gravitation does not affect the DJI
movement.

Checking all possibilities one by one, I have found the following important phenomena:

a) Gravitation force of Venus (geocentric). Correlation is about 5%:

The negative correlation means that the DJI tends to reach its LOW point when Venus gravitation is high:

b) Changes of Mars gravitation force (geocentric). Correlation is 2.3%, not big. Practically the same results are
received for the changes of Mars tidal force.

Here is its effect:


c) Very strong influence is provided by Mars gravitation force in Heliocentric coordinates. I have got here the
biggest negative correlation -7.9%. The negative correlation means the inversion - when tops of the diagram
correspond to the bottoms of DJI, and vice versa.

The wave provided by this event looks:

Actually, the impact on DJI of the planetary gravitation does not look significant (except Mars's). However, I
have got some not bad Neural Net projection line based on gravity effects:

In Neural Net module, you can define the gravitational effects here:
And the last note: it looks like the gravitational forces are more effective for non directional indicators such as
volatility.

This issue needs additional research on different financial instruments. For example, the volatility of gold price
has a big correlation to the changes of Mercury's gravity force (geocentric):

Or, if we do a negative sum of the effects of gravity forces for the Sun, Mercury, Venus, Mars and Jupiter:
,

we will get a very good approximation for ADX index (this fact is proved with probability 98%):

I hope I have shown the possible frame of this research.

Solar System Center of Mass (CM): case study


Solar System Center of Mass (CM) is the center of mass of our Solar System. Due to the fact that the planets
constantly rotate around the Sun, the center of mass constantly changes its position. The most interesting fact is
that this point makes its dance around the Sun's disk. See how CM moves in years 2006 - 2033:
The yellow circle represents the Sun's disk. As you can see, sometimes CM dances just around of the Sun's
photosphere (from August 2006 till April 2010 - a red curve). Then it dives into the Sun's disk and makes
passes inside the Sun (April 2010 to July 2016 - a blue curve) and after that makes very wide figure outside of
the Sun's disk.

To see the beauty of this dance, we need to watch it during at least a hundred of years. See how trajectory of
Solar System Center of Mass's looks in a wider time frame (years 1950-2050):
Is there any connection between CM moves and the stock market? If such a connection exists, we may use it to
predict the future of the markets. In this small article, I will conduct a case study for CM and show possible
ways to use this point to forecast different financial data. I am not a pioneer here; I only continue the work that
has been started by Theodor Landscheidt and is described in his excellent book, "Sun-Earth-Man".

Who are the major performers of this dance?

First of all, this it is the Sun itself. It possesses 99.8% of the mass of our Solar System. It keeps our dancer
(CM) totally under its control, allowing them from time to time to make the figures outside the Sun's
photosphere.

Second player is the heaviest planet of our System, Jupiter. Jupiter dictates to our dancer its 12-year rhythm.
This is important as the rhythm is very important issue for dancing.

Saturn and Neptune, the next heaviest planets, add a variety to this dance. They add the sense of the art to this
dance, otherwise the dancer will be just running rounds.

Other planets add some nuances visible mostly to the professionals.

Let look at this dance in details. As I said, Jupiter defines the rhythm of this dance. Look at CM and Jupiter
ephemeris:
They are pretty close. However, once in every 150-200 years something terrible happens. The dancer does not
follow the direction pointed by Jupiter and moves retrograde. This the trajectory of Solar System Center of
Mass for the last 200 years:

You see here that CM has been retrograde in 1811 and 1989 years. This is how it moved in 1811 year:
Occasionally or not, two years after 1811 the Napoleon Empire ceased to exist as well as the Communist
regime in Russia (two year after 1989).

Now let us look at our dancer pairing some financial instrument.

It looks like the CM has some impact on Consumer Price Index (CPI). I have the CPI data for Great Britain.
The data used cover a period from 1666 till now. In some book, I have seen a diagram for that same index,
starting from the year 1450. Unfortunately, I do not have these data and would be happy to get it. I would like
to mention also that this research is NOT an illustration of some econometric theory. I simply look at these data
from the point of view of mathematics and astronomy.

Let us start. Below is the diagram that represents CPI, as per our data file. The first attentive look at these data
reveals that CPI's behavior has changed significantly in 70s (XX century). It became rising a lot faster than it
did three hundreds years before:

IMHO this is caused by the fact that money and gold have been separated at this time (Bretton Wood
conversion has been abandoned). So I conduct the statistical research for the data from the year 1666 till 1950.
Below I draw the radius of Solar System Center of Mass (a blue diagram) together with the variation of CPI
factor (a red curve: oscillator with period=5 years):

As you see, there is some coincidence between the blue (CM) and the red (CPI variation) peaks. It is not ideal;
however it is present. The mathematical analysis shows that these two diagrams (CM radius and CPI) correlate
to each other, and the correlation coefficient is 11%. It means that the further CM is located from the Solar
center, the higher inflation we have. When the dancer is under the Sun's control and makes some figures
dancing inside the Sun disk, the inflation tends to be smaller than at the times when these figures are performed
outside the Sun.

Much more interesting results are provided by the analysis of the latitude of the Solar System Center of Mass.
See it below, together with CPI:
The correlation now is about 30%. It means that these two factors are related with a high probability. Practically
it means that the higher CM is inclined to the Ecliptic, the higher inflation we have. I think we can improve
these results using Jupiter Ecliptic instead of the Earth's Ecliptic.

This is the CM latitude for 20 years of this century:

At least two years already I have seen many forecasts regarding the coming hyperinflation for the next year (it
was said about 2006, 2007, and 2008), predicting the gold price at $2000 and the oil price at $200, together
with many other terrible things.

I believe and hope that all war/economics/liquidity problems will be solved smoothly, the Cosmic weather
gives us some chance for that.

Once again, remember that this is not an econometric analysis, it is the analysis of only one factor, CPI for
Great Britain - because of the available long term data. Other inflation related indicators (like PPI, M2 index)
simply have not enough recorded history data to make any long term forecast.
All our programs allow to calculate a position of the Solar System Center of Mass. It is marked by the same
symbol as the North Node in heliocentric coordinates:

This object has no relation to the actual Moon Node, we simply use this symbol in heliocentric coordinates -
because the Moon Node in heliocentric system has no sense at all.

Thus we can use CM in the standard procedures of financial astrology. For example, we can make a composite
diagram that shows the Dow Jones Industrial Index movements in respect to the CM position. Here it is:

The data from 1885 till 2007 are used to calculate this diagram. More detailed analysis shows that the most
reliable tendencies are:

a) DJI goes up when CM is in Aries;

b) DJI goes down when CM is in Taurus and Gemini;

The effect of all other areas of the diagram is rather mixed. This is how the composite diagram works in time
(the green line):
For your information I put the ephemeris for CM:

The last phenomena related to the Solar System Center of Mass that I would like to mention is its conjunction
with Jupiter (in SuperSearch module, the corresponding event is: the North Node conjunction Jupiter Helio).
This phenomenon takes place approximately once in 10 years. It usually has downtrend impact on the stock
market. The Efficiency Test shows that within a month around this conjunction Dow Jones goes down (12
times down versus 1 times up):
Remember that this aspect takes place approximately once in 10 years. For me this fact is very interesting
because for years I try to find some rational explanation to 9-year Juglar cycle.

The analysis of many financial instruments shows that almost all of them contain one of these economical
cycles:

1) 40 months Kitchin cycle and 2) 9-10 years Juglar cycle. These cycles are visible in the spectrogram for Dow
Jones index:

So far I am not sure about the nature of this cycle. Maybe, it is a half of the Moon Node cycle; maybe it is
related to the Jupiter's conjunction with CM cycle.....
Saturn-Neptune cycle: case study
Question: How does upcoming 2006 Saturn-Neptune opposition impacts the stock market?
First of all, you need to figure out the periodicity of this phenomenon. The Saturn-Neptune cycle is 36 years
and to make any conclusions regarding this aspect, we need to have at least 100 years of price history. That
means that we can apply this analysis to the longest available daily data. I have data for Dow Jones Industrial
index, from 1885 to 2006, 120 years of price history. The most typical mistake that appears in astrological
research is the application of long term cycles to non consistent historical data. You should always remember
the period of analyzed phenomena.
Now lets research Saturn-Neptune opposition with Timing Solution software (you can do it with me, try the
Demo from the website www.timingsolution.com):

1) Download the DJI data and click Calculate button

2) Go to ULE tab in Timing Solution and click Edit Model button:

3) You will get the window where you can define any phenomena you want to explore. Lets define the
event aspect Saturn - opposition Neptune, culmination:

4) Calculate this event:


5) Look at the Main window. You can see the set of vertical red stripes that show the time when this
phenomenon really occurs:

6) We can magnify any piece of price chart to see details, like this:

7) Lets apply the Efficiency Test to understand the impact of this event on the market (DJI). Click here:
8) You get the diagram that shows how the price is changing around the culmination point:

In other words, you can take it as an average price distribution around the culmination point. In our
example, we can say that in average the price 10 days before the culmination is 0.9% higher than at the
moment of culmination. Then it drops slightly and increases after the culmination.

9) You can apply the trading strategy based on the price drop before the culmination. To evaluate its
results, we will create the strategy arrow that connects points 14 days before and 1 day before
culmination. To make the arrow, click left mouse button at the beginning of the arrow, drag it till the
place where the arrow should end:
10) This is the statistical report for this strategy:

If we compare the price 14 days before culmination with price 1 day before culmination, the price went down 7
times while it was up 4 times.
For bullish strategy, we have this picture (7 up/3 doiwn):
11) Lets consider the wider picture, the influence of this aspect within 200 days around the culmination.
Do this:

12) Now the Efficiency Test looks:

13) Pay attention to fast growth 80 days before the culmination:

14) This is the stat for bullish strategy 78 72 days before culmination:

It has been 10 up against 1 down.

Thus, we can describe the impact of this aspect on DJI as some splash 2.5 months before the culmination
and small drop around the culmination. In 2006, this aspect culminates at the end of August:
To complete this research, lets consider the influence of the heaviest bodies of our Solar system (the
heaviest are Jupiter, Saturn and Neptune). I downloaded the monthly historical data from 1789!!! These
data were developed by the Foundation for the Study of Cycles. Bill Meridian has got it in 1988 and has
maintained it since that time. For 20th century, these data correspond to Dow Jones Industrial index. Earlier
data were estimated by a special method. The technology we will apply is the composite diagram.

It shows the normalized price in respect to the angle between Saturn and Neptune. We have a top around
180 degrees (opposition). It means that in longer perspective (several years) we can expect the decline. But
the question is can we rely on this info?.
On the diagram, besides the main colored part, you can see three lines (red, blue and black). They represent
the composite diagrams calculated on three independent time intervals. Two diagrams (black and blue) show
the top, while the red diagram indicates the bottom and further price up trend:

So, we cannot rely on this aspect, some surprises may occur. We need more information and research of
other aspects.

As an a good example, look at the composite diagram for Jupiter cycle (12 years cycle). This cycle
definitely presents in American economy:
USD/CHF Mars Geo Case Study
I have got this note recently: It would be nice to see your software do Mars Geo on USD/CHF.
There is no problem. I will show in this article how anybody can perform this type of analysis using Timing
Solution software. Highlighted in green are the key words to fast find the appropriate topics in the
documentation.

Step #1: Download historical data: USD/CHF 1973-2006. This is the price chart:

Composite module:
Mars in Geo means that we would like to see whether there is any impact from Mars going through all Zodiac
signs in Geocentric coordinate system. It is a cyclic movement. Thus, to get the first impression regarding this
cycle, I would recommend starting with the Composite module. Click on Astronomy button in the Main
window and choose these options for Mars-Geo:

You will see this Composite diagram:

It shows the price changes in respect to Mars position. Is this cycle reliable? Can we use this information while
making trading decisions?

The most reliable zones here are Leo and Capricorn - Aquarius. All three lines (red, blue and black) point at the
same price movement:

In other words, when Mars is in Leo or Capricorn and Aquarius, it contributes its energy to the strong
movements on this market.
These are typical trend lines in respect to Mars position:

ULE/SuperSearch:
We have got the fist impression regarding this cycle and now would like to see more detailed analysis. In this
situation ULE/SuperSearch module is recommended:

We will explore what happens to USD/CHF when Mars ingresses Leo, Capricorn and Aquarius.
We concentrate first on these three signs because the Composite module shows their importance. We do
Efficiency test for each of these three astro events. (I did it for each event; however, the following illustrates the
most interesting event. In this case, it is Mars ingress to Aquarius)
Efficiency Test:
Fill this form and click Efficiency Test button:

You will get this:


The Efficiency Test shows how the price changes around some specific moment of time (in this case, when
Mars ingresses in Aquarius).

You see the price starts going up about 2 days before this event. This upward movement continues for 4 days
after the ingress (12 up against 6 up):

This factor is important, especially taking into account that it occurs on downward general trend for this
instrument.

We looked at Marss ingresses (single moment events). However, the active zones (found by Composite
module) tell us about Mars being in these signs. Let us look at Mars in Leo first (you do the same thing for
Mars in Capricorn and Aquarius).

You see here the big drop in price, in the middle of Leo. The program does not do Efficiency test for prolonged
events. But - all three diagrams show the bottom right in the middle of Leo:
We can look at it in details, degree by degree. Let us start with the middle (i.e., 15 degrees of Leo).

Fill out the form this way:

Calculate the Efficiency Test for Mars in 15 degrees of Leo:


We can say that within a week after the moment when Mars passes 15th degree of Leo the price goes up.
However, trading strategy based on this information may be too risky (12 ups against 7 downs).
Also look at he bottom of Efficiency Test window:

Here the red stripes correspond to the moments when price goes up a week after Mars passes 15 th degree of
Leo, blue down. You can see that this rule worked well for the last 4 passes. In other words, this rule works
for the last 8 years.

Projection line:
The program is able to create the projection line for Mars cycle (based on the information that we have got
doing this research). You can see it immediately in the Main screen:

Committee:
The question is: how we can rely on this projection line? I recommend creating Committee of projection lines
based on Mars cycle. (Committee is a term used in Neural Net science, it means a variety of projection lines.)
Follow these steps:
You will get this diagram with 5 projection lines calculated on different time frames (the red diagram based on
latest price history, the blue one is based on the whole available history, other lines are based on different
intervals within the price data file):

Pay attention to the moments when all these diagrams show the same tendency. They are marked as circles.
Here I made the typical trend lines produced by this cycle:

Actually, here you can see the possible ways of playing with this cycle.

Spectrum:
We explored Mars Geo cycle in details. There is one more question regarding this cycle that is not answered
yet: is this cycle really important for our data set? There might be some other players, much bigger than that.
To get a whole cycle structure of this data, I would calculate a periodogram ( Spectrum button):

The most prominent astronomical cycle here is 762 days cycle:


The astro cycles are marked by small lime stripes on the period scale.

This corresponds to the Sun-Mars synodic cycle 779.9 days.

The Sun-Mars composite looks like this:

This is the projection line based on this cycle:

When you are working with synodic cycles that involve the Sun (like the Sun-Mercury, Sun-Venus, Sun-Mars,
Sun-Jupiter cycles), I would recommend to work with planetary phases cycles.
For example, instead of using the Sun-Mercury synodic cycle (period 115.9 days):

use Mercury phase cycle:

This is especially important for the Sun - Mercury, the Sun - Venus, the Sun - Mars cycles. But this idea needs
more research.

All the above is just a draft of the analysis. To get the whole picture, you should analyze all cycles.

Perigee, Apogee and their influence on the stock market


These are the definitions for perigee and apogee I have found in the Internet (
http://www.astro.uu.nl/~strous/AA/en/verschijnselen.html).

"A planet is in its perigee when the planet is closest to the Earth. That means that the planet was further away
just before and just after that moment. When a planet is in its perigee then that planet appears largest in the sky
(seen through a telescope).

...

A planet is in its apogee when that planet is furthest from the Earth. That means that the planet was closer just
before and just after that moment. When a planet is in its apogee then that planet appears smallest in the sky and
the least bright."

In this article I will demonstrate how to conduct the research regarding perigee and apogee with Timing
Solution software. I will provide the research for the planet of Jupiter using these three financial instruments:

One more method of finding the best forecasting model

In this article I would like to share with you some method of finding the best projection line. You can consider
this method as an alternative to Back Testing procedure. Back Testing usually takes a lot of time for
calculations, while this alternative approach can be performed in less than one hour.

However, before any discussion, I prefer to clarify the subject of the forecast's accuracy. I have said it already
and I will repeat it many times, because I am pretty much sure that the question of accuracy is the darkest
question practically for any trading system available on the market. You can easily find in the Internet
advertisements for the systems that promise 80% and even higher accurate forecast. At the same time you can
find on many forums the complaints of the users for whom "these systems do not work". And they still look for
other systems that promise again 80% and more...
I did the calculation how much money you would make if somehow you find the way to forecast next week
price movement 80% accurate. Guess how much? You will be surprised: within just one year you can increase

your capital to 1200% (E-mini analyzed)!!!!


I put the results of these calculations into the table. It shows your Annual return in regards to different forecast
horizons and accuracy.

with accuracy 60% with accuracy 70% with accuracy 80%


in one year your will
You forecast next day 1750% 2000%
make 1500%
You forecast next
900% 1050% 1200%
week

Now try to remember your own real Annual return and returns of your friends, for different financial
instruments. Make conclusions yourself.

Back to the theme of this article. The idea of this method is pretty simple: we organize the competition between
the different forecasting models and pick up the best one. Remember that this method is applicable for financial
instruments with long price history (at least 10 years).

I will show how to do it for S&P 500 index. Download S&P 500 data from the year 1950; this is almost 60
years of price history.

The first thing to do is to divide all available price history. The reason is to get two data sets: one - to train the
Neural Net and another - to test the model:

I set LBC in this example somewhere in the middle. Thus we have 7288 price bars till the year 1980 year (it is
our training interval) to optimize our model and 7106 price bars 1980-2007 y (the testing interval) to check how
this model works.
The trick is: you should make the testing interval as big as possible because the big testing interval allows to
avoid occasional coincidences.

Next step is to create several forecasting models and then test them one by one.

Before creating any model, decide what you will forecast. Let us try to forecast the relative price oscillator,
with the period of 100 bars:

The usage of oscillators allows to eliminate any trend inside the data history.

Now we need to define the forecasting model, what it is based on. You can create all models during one
session; set the other model using "+" button here:

Let's start with the astronomy based dynamic model:

I use all price history data (on the training interval) to optimize Neural Network. Click this button:
Now click "Training" button and in 2-3 minutes after 10K-20K training steps you will get this:

As you know from the documentation and classes, the bottom diagram represents the relative price oscillator
for S&P500 (a black line) and Neural Network projection line based on the chosen Dynamic model (a red line).

We need to find the model that forecasts best on TESTING interval, i.e. between 1980 and 2007 years. We do
not use these bars to optimize Neural Network; therefore the coincidence/correlation between the price and
projection lines shows us the real forecasting power of our models.

Click these buttons to calculate the correlation between the oscillator and the projection line on the TESTING
interval.

The higher correlation the better coincidence between the oscillator and the projection line we have. I
recommend to pay attention to those models that have a correlation higher than 0.1.

If you look at the projection line on the TRAINING interval, you will see a very good coincidence, but you
should understand that this does not mean that the model provides a good forecast. The real forecast ability
appears on the TESTING interval only.
Particularly this model does not provide the good forecast (as you see from the correlation coefficient). We will
not work with it, so we clear it choosing "Delete All" item:

Then we create and check in the same way another model:

This model is based on a planetary speed (I do not use the Moon because our goal is the long term forecast).

After training, I have got this correlation:

This is not enough.

I clear this model too and have downloaded another astronomy based model, waxing/waning model (I
recommend to try its different variants):
After training I have got a better correlation for this model:

It is still a small correlation though it is better than its predecessors. In this case I recommend to look at this
projection line in details.

We can see here that this model provides pretty good forecast for the year 2007.

I recommend also to try these models:


To make a long story short, I have tried these models and got a not bad projection line with "Aspects Model"
with these options:

It gives this projection line:


Usually I analyze a dozen of models or so. However, do not waste your time trying to find the ideal projection
line. I think that usually there are 2-3 good models for any financial instrument. I believe they reflect 2-3
possible scenarios of the stock market behavior. Put all these projection lines into Strategy clicking this button:

and you can see all these projection lines together:

Also I recommend to draw Annual cycle together with these projection lines clicking this button: