BP Energy Outlook 2017 Summary Tables

BP Energy Outlook 2035: January 2017
This workbook contains information presented in the

2017 edition of the BP Energy Outlook 2035
which can be found on the internet at:
http://www.bp.com/energyoutlook
Please use these links or the tabs at the bottom to navigate between the tables.
Energy Consumption by fuel

Energy Consumption by sector
Energy Production
Regional insights data tables

World
Africa
Other Emerging Asia
European Union
Middle East
North America
Country insights data tables

Brazil
China
India
Russia
United States
Definitions
Country and geographical groupings
Energy Consumption by fuel*
Million tonnes oil equivalent 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
North America 922.2 951.4 1061.1 1129.1 1040.3 1036.3 1039.1 1001.9 947.1 894.9
S & C America 175.9 208.9 234.3 248.6 294.6 322.7 330.5 353.9 366.0 372.2
Europe 729.1 738.5 763.6 792.5 733.3 673.6 666.7 639.4 596.0 552.9
CIS 399.1 210.4 169.1 172.7 178.0 188.5 188.4 206.7 218.0 226.5
Middle East 171.4 215.8 242.8 301.5 368.3 425.7 447.3 485.0 521.3 550.0
Africa 96.4 106.2 119.6 138.9 164.5 183.0 201.3 226.4 254.8 284.8
Asia Pacific 663.6 864.2 997.3 1150.6 1300.9 1501.4 1684.1 1871.5 2018.4 2140.4
Total Liquids Consumption^ 3157.7 3295.5 3587.7 3933.9 4079.9 4331.3 4557.6 4784.8 4921.7 5021.8
Of which Biofuels 7.3 9.2 9.2 19.6 59.7 74.2 87.1 101.8 117.2 129.7
North America 579.0 673.8 720.5 711.5 770.0 880.7 992.4 1026.9 1096.4 1123.6
S & C America 52.0 67.7 85.2 111.1 135.8 157.3 164.7 172.3 183.6 186.5
Europe 309.4 350.6 420.0 481.7 494.6 412.2 459.4 458.5 475.9 492.0
CIS 566.0 472.2 467.7 502.5 509.8 490.9 491.5 496.0 499.6 494.6
Middle East 87.4 126.9 171.4 251.4 359.5 441.2 501.2 564.9 620.6 682.7
Africa 35.6 42.7 51.8 76.5 96.5 121.9 134.4 157.4 185.7 220.0
Asia Pacific 136.5 189.9 268.6 369.8 520.5 631.0 800.0 921.6 1032.7 1119.1
Total Natural Gas Consumption 1765.9 1923.8 2185.3 2504.5 2886.7 3135.2 3543.7 3797.6 4094.5 4318.5
North America 513.7 537.6 606.1 616.9 563.0 429.0 379.1 319.1 253.2 212.3
S & C America 15.7 19.5 20.8 21.0 28.7 37.1 30.7 30.8 30.5 29.3
Europe 491.3 391.5 358.0 353.6 327.0 313.7 251.9 197.2 164.1 151.2
CIS 306.4 191.9 165.1 161.4 164.6 154.2 150.1 144.7 143.6 136.8
Middle East 3.1 5.3 7.7 9.8 10.1 10.5 11.0 11.1 11.3 11.8
Africa 75.2 79.0 82.5 89.4 100.4 96.9 99.8 105.1 113.7 120.9
Asia Pacific 837.2 1020.0 1138.9 1878.6 2440.4 2798.5 2974.2 3258.9 3356.0 3370.2
Total Coal Consumption 2242.5 2244.6 2379.1 3130.6 3634.3 3839.9 3896.8 4067.0 4072.3 4032.5
North America 154.5 184.3 197.8 209.4 213.9 216.1 216.2 216.2 214.6 213.8
S & C America 2.2 2.2 2.8 3.8 4.9 5.0 8.2 8.5 9.9 12.5
Europe 185.1 205.2 219.9 231.2 213.6 199.4 202.1 202.5 186.6 150.6
CIS 44.0 38.5 47.5 54.1 59.3 64.6 77.2 85.8 82.7 80.9
Middle East 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 8.6 13.8 21.7 30.6
Africa 2.0 2.7 3.1 2.7 2.9 2.4 3.2 3.2 3.7 8.4
Asia Pacific 65.2 93.0 113.3 125.2 131.7 94.9 196.8 260.4 345.4 430.4
Total Nuclear Energy Consumption 453.0 525.9 584.3 626.4 626.3 583.1 712.4 790.3 864.6 927.1
North America 139.2 152.9 151.2 150.0 147.3 150.9 167.0 172.0 173.9 175.8
S & C America 81.7 105.5 126.0 141.5 158.8 152.9 178.0 210.5 222.6 234.7
Europe 112.6 126.4 138.1 126.4 144.5 142.8 147.9 159.6 159.9 160.2
CIS 49.9 52.3 50.0 54.1 53.0 51.5 56.5 61.3 64.3 67.3
Middle East 2.3 2.8 1.8 5.1 4.0 5.9 8.3 11.8 11.8 11.9
Africa 13.0 13.8 16.7 20.2 24.5 27.0 36.6 53.0 63.8 74.6
Asia Pacific 90.6 109.2 117.3 164.1 252.1 361.9 403.2 463.8 505.6 547.4
Total Hydroelectricity Consumption 489.4 562.9 601.2 661.4 784.2 892.9 997.5 1131.9 1201.9 1271.8
North America 16.5 19.0 21.1 24.9 45.3 82.6 135.8 183.0 235.9 286.0
S & C America 1.9 2.5 3.3 5.2 11.1 24.2 37.5 50.2 65.7 86.0
Europe 4.4 7.0 15.0 34.8 70.7 142.2 191.9 242.8 285.0 327.7
CIS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.7 9.8 17.7
Middle East 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.2 9.5 18.4 29.4
Africa 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 3.8 10.0 20.0 35.9 60.0
Asia Pacific 4.6 7.4 10.9 17.4 41.2 110.9 259.7 416.6 593.9 778.9
Total Renewables Consumptionw 27.5 36.0 50.6 83.2 169.9 364.9 640.1 926.9 1244.6 1585.7
Total Energy Consumption 8136.0 8588.8 9388.2 10940.0 12181.4 13147.3 14348.0 15498.6 16399.6 17157.5
of which: OECD # 4639.4 5006.3 5439.1 5673.1 5601.5 5503.1 5693.8 5661.8 5631.7 5578.2
Non-OECD 3496.7 3582.5 3949.1 5266.9 6579.9 7644.2 8654.3 9836.8 10767.8 11579.3
European Union # 1669.2 1661.5 1731.7 1821.2 1755.4 1630.9 1651.6 1609.9 1560.0 1508.3
US 1967.3 2120.7 2312.4 2350.2 2285.3 2280.6 2394.4 2360.2 2347.2 2311.9
China 681.4 885.0 1003.1 1793.7 2487.4 3014.0 3510.7 4004.9 4277.8 4425.3
India 195.0 251.4 316.0 393.6 541.0 700.5 870.0 1102.0 1349.6 1603.0
*Energy consumption comprises commercially-traded fuels, including modern renewables used to generate electricity.
^ Includes oil, biofuels, gas-to-liquids and coal-to-liquids.
wIncludes wind power, solar electricity and other renewables.
# Memberships as at 1/1/2017.
Energy Consumption by sector*
Oil 1411.9 1555.9 1751.2 2001.2 2142.4 2351.1 2536.8 2660.1 2719.2 2756.9
Gas 1.7 1.9 3.2 10.9 29.6 43.3 54.6 76.0 105.1 138.7
Coal 13.7 6.7 4.6 4.6 3.4 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1
Renewablesw 7.3 9.2 9.2 19.6 59.7 74.2 87.1 101.8 117.2 129.7
Total Transport 1434.6 1573.7 1768.2 2036.3 2235.1 2471.3 2681.0 2840.3 2943.8 3027.4
Oil 348.3 291.2 284.8 279.7 235.3 238.9 207.0 187.6 177.7 164.0
Gas 492.8 562.2 686.8 879.9 1082.5 1187.9 1337.0 1415.3 1549.0 1613.8
Coal 1174.6 1300.3 1523.3 1915.1 2128.1 2251.5 2268.9 2403.9 2428.9 2434.5
Nuclear 453.0 525.9 584.3 626.4 626.3 583.1 712.4 790.3 864.6 927.1
Hydroelectricity 489.4 562.9 601.2 661.4 784.2 892.9 997.5 1131.9 1201.9 1271.8
Renewablesw 27.5 36.0 50.6 83.2 169.9 364.9 640.1 926.9 1244.6 1585.7
Total inputs to Power 2985.7 3278.6 3731.0 4445.7 5026.4 5519.2 6162.9 6855.9 7466.7 7996.9
Oil 576.8 592.9 614.1 669.8 664.4 670.0 672.8 706.1 712.1 709.0
Gas 690.2 721.9 802.6 859.8 961.9 1073.1 1238.6 1338.4 1415.2 1479.5
Coal 752.6 742.4 704.1 1022.8 1301.4 1374.0 1404.5 1444.9 1441.2 1421.4
Total Industry 2019.6 2057.1 2120.8 2552.4 2927.7 3117.1 3315.9 3489.5 3568.5 3609.9
Oil 361.2 401.5 461.8 511.1 565.4 589.1 644.6 714.0 784.1 859.2
Gas 93.4 95.3 113.7 129.9 149.5 171.9 195.4 228.3 261.4 294.5
Coal 26.1 20.5 24.6 36.2 42.6 56.3 64.8 70.5 73.0 73.4
Total Non-combusted use 480.7 517.4 600.2 677.1 757.4 817.3 904.8 1012.7 1118.5 1227.1
Oil 452.1 444.7 466.6 452.6 412.7 408.0 409.3 415.3 411.4 403.1
Gas 487.9 542.5 579.0 623.9 663.2 659.0 718.0 739.6 763.8 792.1
Coal 275.5 174.7 122.6 151.9 158.9 155.3 156.2 145.3 126.9 101.0
Total Buildings sector** 1215.5 1161.9 1168.1 1228.4 1234.8 1222.4 1283.5 1300.2 1302.1 1296.2
North America 553.3 594.0 669.1 719.1 695.0 720.1 723.8 693.7 650.3 612.8
S & C America 88.4 108.8 119.2 128.3 162.1 187.0 201.6 224.8 238.8 245.5
Europe 331.8 347.6 394.5 433.5 434.1 429.7 447.1 436.0 413.1 392.5
CIS 113.1 66.8 60.2 71.3 86.6 86.9 90.3 98.9 106.4 112.8
Middle East 63.1 77.7 85.7 112.1 143.4 173.8 197.6 222.8 237.7 245.3
Africa 47.1 56.2 64.9 76.0 91.6 109.1 120.0 137.9 158.0 180.3
Asia Pacific 237.8 322.5 374.6 495.9 622.2 764.7 900.5 1026.1 1139.4 1238.2
Total Transport 1434.6 1573.7 1768.2 2036.3 2235.1 2471.3 2681.0 2840.3 2943.8 3027.4
North America 904.2 1033.2 1150.6 1208.1 1194.1 1178.2 1249.4 1238.2 1266.3 1274.8
S & C America 121.2 145.8 182.6 214.8 251.3 287.7 308.2 347.2 375.4 401.5
Europe 711.2 717.2 766.1 826.0 843.0 833.7 850.9 868.0 883.5 896.0
CIS 500.1 375.5 366.2 389.6 398.8 401.5 413.7 419.8 423.5 421.2
Middle East 73.4 103.0 132.9 191.2 244.0 287.3 314.4 356.3 396.4 442.1
Africa 79.4 91.6 105.6 127.7 159.3 178.9 207.5 253.0 305.3 364.0
Asia Pacific 596.2 812.5 1027.0 1488.4 1935.7 2351.9 2818.7 3373.3 3816.4 4197.3
Total inputs to Power 2985.7 3278.6 3731.0 4445.7 5026.4 5519.2 6162.9 6855.9 7466.7 7996.9
North America 426.1 407.3 433.6 417.6 425.2 446.3 488.3 503.2 507.1 511.6
S & C America 76.0 103.9 113.9 126.7 150.2 153.7 164.5 172.2 174.9 176.7
Europe 384.7 345.7 346.1 332.7 297.1 278.6 273.4 262.2 252.8 243.6
CIS 424.6 325.0 290.1 301.7 293.4 278.2 280.0 286.5 288.0 284.7
Middle East 73.5 98.2 114.4 140.1 204.6 253.5 284.6 315.7 348.0 383.4
Africa 66.3 62.6 66.9 81.6 87.3 88.3 89.9 95.4 102.5 114.1
Asia Pacific 568.4 714.3 755.9 1152.1 1469.9 1618.5 1735.2 1854.3 1895.1 1895.8
Total Industry 2019.6 2057.1 2120.8 2552.4 2927.7 3117.1 3315.9 3489.5 3568.5 3609.9
North America 131.3 159.5 176.7 169.6 157.2 147.3 163.7 177.7 190.0 199.7
S & C America 16.7 19.0 24.2 28.3 33.9 31.8 32.4 36.7 42.6 50.2
Europe 105.0 111.0 117.2 117.2 103.9 90.4 86.7 84.7 82.9 80.0
CIS 81.3 48.2 48.5 61.1 67.8 66.0 72.8 91.3 102.4 111.0
Middle East 21.3 25.4 35.3 53.2 72.7 90.4 99.8 117.4 141.2 167.5
Africa 10.6 12.5 14.6 15.3 17.0 16.7 18.5 22.0 27.1 35.9
Asia Pacific 114.6 141.9 183.7 232.5 305.0 374.7 430.9 483.0 532.3 582.8
Total Non-combusted use 480.7 517.4 600.2 677.1 757.4 817.3 904.8 1012.7 1118.5 1227.1
North America 310.1 324.9 327.7 327.3 308.3 303.7 304.5 306.3 307.4 307.5
S & C America 27.1 28.8 32.5 33.0 36.4 39.0 42.9 45.2 46.5 47.1
Europe 299.1 297.5 290.6 310.9 305.4 251.5 261.7 249.0 235.3 222.5
CIS 246.4 150.0 134.3 121.2 118.3 117.8 109.0 102.8 97.7 94.2
Middle East 32.9 46.4 55.6 71.3 77.4 79.6 83.2 83.7 81.7 78.1
Africa 19.1 21.8 22.3 27.9 34.9 42.0 49.4 56.9 64.8 74.4
Asia Pacific 280.7 292.5 305.2 336.8 354.0 388.7 432.7 456.1 468.8 472.2
Total Buildings sector** 1215.5 1161.9 1168.1 1228.4 1234.8 1222.4 1283.5 1300.2 1302.1 1296.2
*Energy consumption comprises commercially traded fuels, including modern renewables used to generate electricity.
wIncludes biofuels, wind power, solar electricity and other renewables.
Energy Production*
Million tonnes oil equivalent ^ 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 2035
North America 654.5 645.8 642.6 637.8 638.8 910.3 940.0 1007.5 995.9 1004.1
S & C America 233.9 300.1 343.4 374.4 375.8 396.0 389.9 404.5 434.8 454.0
Europe 218.0 311.1 332.3 268.6 196.5 164.7 146.4 133.3 94.6 66.6
CIS 570.3 358.3 396.2 580.3 662.8 682.0 692.7 708.3 716.2 730.2
Middle East 851.8 979.2 1151.1 1227.4 1220.7 1412.4 1508.0 1618.2 1727.6 1818.7
Africa 321.0 339.6 370.9 466.4 481.8 398.0 386.6 392.8 390.2 382.7
Asia Pacific 325.7 352.2 380.8 382.4 402.4 398.3 355.8 348.7 331.6 311.9
Total Oil Production^ 3175.4 3286.3 3617.4 3937.5 3978.8 4361.6 4419.5 4613.2 4690.9 4768.1
North America 584.0 651.7 693.9 683.0 745.2 900.4 1036.6 1128.9 1275.8 1330.7
S & C America 52.3 68.1 91.0 126.5 149.6 160.6 159.5 161.7 165.0 168.8
Europe 191.9 218.6 256.3 270.6 256.1 214.4 189.8 165.2 135.1 111.6
CIS 672.2 569.1 584.1 651.7 657.0 676.5 749.9 824.5 854.9 881.4
Middle East 94.6 134.1 189.6 288.9 446.0 556.1 604.7 673.5 733.1 792.8
Africa 62.0 76.8 119.4 159.3 192.0 190.6 190.7 211.1 237.2 280.3
Asia Pacific 134.6 187.4 251.3 339.3 448.0 501.0 642.5 678.4 708.8 756.0
Total Natural Gas Production 1791.5 1905.7 2185.5 2519.4 2893.9 3199.5 3573.6 3843.4 4109.8 4321.5
North America 609.2 602.3 614.6 621.6 594.0 494.3 463.2 406.1 347.0 307.0
S & C America 19.2 23.5 34.1 47.2 52.9 61.3 65.6 76.4 80.5 81.3
Europe 403.5 304.6 241.7 223.3 197.2 170.4 145.3 107.1 84.6 66.2
CIS 322.6 199.7 191.4 209.4 232.0 249.4 257.0 269.4 280.7 291.4
Middle East 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6
Africa 105.0 121.7 130.5 141.5 146.8 151.4 153.2 160.0 170.2 186.9
Asia Pacific 813.6 1009.8 1112.6 1789.5 2404.0 2702.6 2721.7 2932.8 3082.5 3217.5
Total Coal Production 2273.7 2262.2 2325.6 3033.6 3627.6 3830.1 3806.7 3952.4 4046.2 4150.9
North America 154.5 184.3 197.8 209.4 213.9 216.1 216.2 216.2 214.6 213.8
S & C America 2.2 2.2 2.8 3.8 4.9 5.0 8.2 8.5 9.9 12.5
Europe 185.1 205.2 219.9 231.2 213.6 199.4 202.1 202.5 186.6 150.6
CIS 44.0 38.5 47.5 54.1 59.3 64.6 77.2 85.8 82.7 80.9
Middle East 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 8.6 13.8 21.7 30.6
Africa 2.0 2.7 3.1 2.7 2.9 2.4 3.2 3.2 3.7 8.4
Asia Pacific 65.2 93.0 113.3 125.2 131.7 94.9 196.8 260.4 345.4 430.4
Total Nuclear Energy Production 453.0 525.9 584.3 626.4 626.3 583.1 712.4 790.3 864.6 927.1
North America 139.2 152.9 151.2 150.0 147.3 150.9 167.0 172.0 173.9 175.8
S & C America 81.7 105.5 126.0 141.5 158.8 152.9 178.0 210.5 222.6 234.7
Europe 112.6 126.4 138.1 126.4 144.5 142.8 147.9 159.6 159.9 160.2
CIS 49.9 52.3 50.0 54.1 53.0 51.5 56.5 61.3 64.3 67.3
Middle East 2.3 2.8 1.8 5.1 4.0 5.9 8.3 11.8 11.8 11.9
Africa 13.0 13.8 16.7 20.2 24.5 27.0 36.6 53.0 63.8 74.6
Asia Pacific 90.6 109.2 117.3 164.1 252.1 361.9 403.2 463.8 505.6 547.4
Total Hydroelectricity Production 489.4 562.9 601.2 661.4 784.2 892.9 997.5 1131.9 1201.9 1271.8
North America 1.4 2.5 3.1 7.6 26.3 32.1 41.2 45.6 49.4 52.7
S & C America 5.7 6.3 5.3 8.0 17.9 20.9 25.4 29.7 33.9 38.1
Europe 0.0 0.3 0.7 3.2 11.3 13.7 12.7 14.8 17.0 15.8
CIS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Middle East 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Africa 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
Asia Pacific 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.8 3.5 6.9 7.7 11.6 16.8 22.7
Total Biofuels Production 7.3 9.2 9.2 19.6 59.7 74.2 87.1 101.8 117.2 129.7
North America 16.5 19.0 21.1 24.9 45.3 82.6 135.8 183.0 235.9 286.0
S & C America 1.9 2.5 3.3 5.2 11.1 24.2 37.5 50.2 65.7 86.0
Europe 4.4 7.0 15.0 34.8 70.7 142.2 191.9 242.8 285.0 327.7
CIS 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.9 4.7 9.8 17.7
Middle East 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.2 9.5 18.4 29.4
Africa 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 3.8 10.0 20.0 35.9 60.0
Asia Pacific 4.6 7.4 10.9 17.4 41.2 110.9 259.7 416.6 593.9 778.9
Total Renewables Productionw 27.5 36.0 50.6 83.2 169.9 364.9 640.1 926.9 1244.6 1585.7
Total Energy Production 8217.7 8588.3 9373.8 10881.0 12140.4 13306.4 14236.9 15359.9 16275.2 17154.9
of which: OECD # 3460.9 3676.3 3849.4 3851.6 3915.3 4242.6 4588.8 4794.4 4912.3 5001.5
Non-OECD 4756.8 4912.0 5524.4 7029.4 8225.1 9063.9 9648.2 10565.5 11362.9 12153.4
European Union # 923.0 923.7 906.7 851.4 790.1 745.1 755.8 748.0 712.5 664.9
US 1664.5 1669.7 1676.4 1632.9 1750.1 2077.7 2304.1 2436.0 2545.6 2578.7
China 721.2 892.9 950.1 1573.1 2155.0 2524.3 2683.0 3018.7 3274.3 3469.5
India 167.8 205.7 232.0 279.9 375.5 404.0 491.5 620.0 750.1 898.1
*Energy production comprises commercially traded fuels, including modern renewables used to generate electricity.
^Oil Production is measured in million tonnes; other fuels in million tonnes oil equivalent.
wIncludes wind power, solar electricity and other renewables.
# Memberships as at 1/1/2017.
BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights Global
Level Shares Change (abs.)

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Primary energy consumption (units in Mtoe unless otherwise noted)
Total 13147 17157 4559 4010
Oil(Mb/d) 93 106 32% 29% 23 14
Gas (Bcf/d) 336 462 24% 25% 129 127
Coal 3840 4032 29% 24% 1595 193
Nuclear 583 927 4% 5% 57 344
Hydro 893 1272 7% 7% 330 379

Renewables (including
439 1715 3% 10% 394 1276
biofuels)
Power 5519 7997 2241 2478
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 95 107 25 12
Gas (Bcf/d) 342 462 138 120
Coal 3830 4151 1568 321
*Compound annual growth rate
Oil supply includes crude oil, shale oil, oil sands, natural gas liquids, liquid fuels derived from coal and gas, and refinery gains, but excludes
consumption of all liquid hydrocarbons, but excludes biofuels.
Change (%) Change (annual)*
1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
ss otherwise noted)
53% 31% 2.2% 1.3%
32% 15% 1.4% 0.7%
63% 38% 2.5% 1.6%
71% 5% 2.7% 0.2%
11% 59% 0.5% 2.3%
59% 42% 2.3% 1.8%
870% 291% >10% 7.1%
68% 45% 2.6% 1.9%
37% 12% 1.6% 0.6%
68% 35% 2.6% 1.5%
69% 8% 2.7% 0.4%
s, and refinery gains, but excludes biofuels. Oil demand includes

BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights Africa

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Total 435 769 190 334
Oil(Mb/d) 3.9 6.1 42% 37% 1.7 2.2
Gas (Bcf/d) 13 24 28% 29% 9 11
Coal 97 121 22% 16% 18 24
Nuclear 2 8 1% 1% 0 6
Hydro 27 75 6% 10% 13 48
4 60 1% 8% 4 56
biofuels)
Power 179 364 87 185
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 8.6 8.3 1.4 -0.3
Gas (Bcf/d) 20 30 12 10
Coal 151 187 30 35
consumption of all liquid hydrocarbons, but excludes biofuels.
1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
ss otherwise noted)
78% 77% 2.9% 2.9%
76% 56% 2.9% 2.3%
185% 80% 5.4% 3.0%
23% 25% 1.0% 1.1%
-9% 246% -0.5% 6.4%
95% 176% 3.4% 5.2%
>1000% >1000% >10% >10%
95% 103% 3.4% 3.6%
20% -3% 0.9% -0.2%
148% 47% 4.7% 1.9%
24% 23% 1.1% 1.1%
s, and refinery gains, but excludes biofuels. Oil demand includes

BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights Other Emerging Asia

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015
Total 906 1466 512
Oil(Mb/d) 8 11 43% 35% 4
Gas (Bcf/d) 25 32 26% 20% 17
Coal 219 467 24% 32% 155
Nuclear 9 18 1% 1% 1
Hydro 48 109 5% 7% 27
14 66 1% 4% 11
biofuels)
Power 353 651 230
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 2.8 1.9 -0.1
Gas (Bcf/d) 30 19 17
Coal 313 459 255
Oil supply includes crude oil, shale oil, oil sands, natural gas liquids, liquid fuels derived from coal and gas, and refinery gains, but exclu
all liquid hydrocarbons, but excludes biofuels.

Change (abs.) Change (%) Change (annual)*
2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
in Mtoe unless otherwise noted)
560 130% 62% 4.3% 2.4%
3 82% 33% 3.0% 1.4%
7 206% 27% 5.8% 1.2%
248 243% 113% 6.4% 3.9%
9 15% 98% 0.7% 3.5%
61 130% 129% 4.3% 4.2%
52 510% 383% 9.5% 8.2%
298 187% 84% 5.4% 3.1%
-1 -4% -34% -0.2% -2.1%
-11 131% -37% 4.3% -2.2%
146 439% 46% 8.8% 1.9%
oal and gas, and refinery gains, but excludes biofuels. Oil demand includes consumption of
BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights European Union

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Total 1631 1508 -31 -123
Oil(Mb/d) 12 9 36% 30% -2 -3
Gas (Bcf/d) 39 45 22% 28% 3 6
Coal 262 117 16% 8% -101 -145
Nuclear 194 138 12% 9% -5 -56
Hydro 76 84 5% 6% 1 7
150 300 9% 20% 143 150
biofuels)
Power 702 714 65 12
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 2 1 -2 -0.8
Gas (Bcf/d) 12 6 -9 -6
Coal 145 56 -136 -89

1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
s otherwise noted)
-2% -8% -0.1% -0.4%
-13% -24% -0.7% -1.4%
8% 15% 0.4% 0.7%
-28% -55% -1.6% -3.9%
-3% -29% -0.1% -1.7%
1% 9% 0.1% 0.5%
>1000% 100% >10% 3.5%
10% 2% 0.5% 0.1%
-52% -41% -3.6% -2.6%
-44% -52% -2.8% -3.6%
-48% -61% -3.3% -4.6%
refinery gains, but excludes biofuels. Oil demand includes consumption of

BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights Middle East

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Total 885 1316 534 432
Oil(Mb/d) 9 13 48% 42% 5 3
Gas (Bcf/d) 47 73 50% 52% 34 26
Coal 11 12 1% 1% 5 1
Nuclear 1 31 0% 2% 1 30
Hydro 6 12 1% 1% 3 6
1 29 0% 2% 1 29
biofuels)
Power 287 442 184 155
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 30 39 10 9
Gas (Bcf/d) 60 85 45 25
Coal 1 1 0 0

1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
s otherwise noted)
152% 49% 4.7% 2.0%
109% 34% 3.8% 1.5%
248% 55% 6.4% 2.2%
99% 12% 3.5% 0.6%
- >1000% - >10%
116% 100% 3.9% 3.5%
>1000% >1000% >10% >10%
179% 54% 5.3% 2.2%
50% 29% 2.1% 1.3%
315% 43% 7.4% 1.8%
0% -18% 0.0% -1.0%

BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights North America

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Total 2796 2906 277 111
Oil(Mb/d) 23 19 36% 29% 1 -4
Gas (Bcf/d) 93 119 32% 39% 21 26
Coal 429 212 15% 7% -109 -217
Nuclear 216 214 8% 7% 32 -2
Hydro 151 176 5% 6% -2 25

115 339 4% 12% 93 224
biofuels)
Power 1178 1275 145 97
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 21 24 6 4
Gas (Bcf/d) 95 141 26 45
Coal 494 307 -108 -187

1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
s otherwise noted)
11% 4% 0.5% 0.2%
11% -13% 0.5% -0.7%
30% 28% 1.3% 1.2%
-20% -51% -1.1% -3.5%
17% -1% 0.8% -0.1%
-1% 16% -0.1% 0.8%
434% 195% 8.7% 5.6%
14% 8% 0.7% 0.4%
41% 17% 1.7% 0.8%
37% 48% 1.6% 2.0%
-18% -38% -1.0% -2.4%

BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights Brazil

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Total 293 414 137 121
Oil(Mb/d) 2.6 3 41% 34% 1 0.4
Gas (Bcf/d) 4 6 13% 13% 3 2
Coal 17 15 6% 4% 6 -3
Nuclear 3 8 1% 2% 3 5
Hydro 82 112 28% 27% 24 30

34 87 12% 21% 26 53
biofuels)
Power 129 200 66 71
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 2.6 4.4 1.8 1.8
Gas (Bcf/d) 2 3 2 1
Coal 3 3 1 -1

1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
s otherwise noted)
88% 41% 3.2% 1.7%
61% 15% 2.4% 0.7%
705% 43% >10% 1.8%
47% -16% 1.9% -0.9%
485% 149% 9.2% 4.7%
42% 37% 1.8% 1.6%
352% 157% 7.8% 4.8%
106% 55% 3.7% 2.2%
246% 69% 6.4% 2.6%
351% 40% 7.8% 1.7%
45% -22% 1.9% -1.2%

BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights China

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Total 3014 4425 2129 1411
Oil(Mb/d) 12 19 18% 20% 9 7
Gas (Bcf/d) 19 55 6% 11% 17 36
Coal 1920 1876 64% 42% 1259 -45
Nuclear 39 288 1% 6% 36 249
Hydro 255 352 8% 8% 212 97

65 503 2% 11% 64 438
biofuels)
Power 1269 2295 995 1026
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 5 5 2 0
Gas (Bcf/d) 13 33 12 20
Coal 1827 1842 1147 15

1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
s otherwise noted)
241% 47% 6.3% 1.9%
256% 61% 6.6% 2.4%
977% 186% >10% 5.4%
190% -2% 5.5% -0.1%
>1000% 644% >10% >10%
491% 38% 9.3% 1.6%
>1000% 673% >10% >10%
363% 81% 8.0% 3.0%
60% 0% 2.4% 0.0%
644% 146% >10% 4.6%
169% 1% 5.1% 0.0%

BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights India

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Total 701 1603 449 902
Oil(Mb/d) 4.1 9.2 28% 27% 2.6 5
Gas (Bcf/d) 4.9 12.8 7% 7% 3 8
Coal 407 833 58% 52% 267 426
Nuclear 9 36 1% 2% 7 27
Hydro 28 55 4% 3% 11 27
16 129 2% 8% 16 113
biofuels)
Power 343 799 222 457
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 1.0 0.9 0.3 -0.1
Gas (Bcf/d) 3 7 1 4
Coal 284 580 151 296

1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
s otherwise noted)
179% 129% 5.3% 4.2%
163% 121% 4.9% 4.0%
169% 162% 5.1% 4.9%
190% 105% 5.5% 3.6%
399% 317% 8.4% 7.4%
64% 97% 2.5% 3.5%
>1000% 712% >10% >10%
184% 133% 5.4% 4.3%
33% -9% 1.4% -0.5%
56% 154% 2.2% 4.8%
113% 104% 3.9% 3.6%

BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights Russia

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Total 667 682 4 16
Oil(Mb/d) 3.1 3.6 21% 24% 0.1 0.5
Gas (Bcf/d) 38 37 53% 51% 2 -1
Coal 89 69 13% 10% -31 -19
Nuclear 44 51 7% 8% 22 7
Hydro 38 44 6% 6% -2 5
0 9 0% 1% 0 9
biofuels)
Power 288 288 20 0
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 11.0 12.2 4.8 1.2
Gas (Bcf/d) 55 71 4 16
Coal 184 191 60 6

1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
s otherwise noted)
1% 2% 0.0% 0.1%
2% 15% 0.1% 0.7%
7% -2% 0.3% -0.1%
-26% -22% -1.5% -1.2%
96% 17% 3.4% 0.8%
-4% 14% -0.2% 0.6%
854% >1000% >10% >10%
7% 0% 0.4% 0.0%
77% 11% 2.9% 0.5%
8% 28% 0.4% 1.2%
48% 3% 2.0% 0.2%

BP Energy Outlook
Country and regional insights United States

2015 2035 2015 2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
Total 2281 2312 160 31
Oil(Mb/d) 18 15 36% 29% 1 -3
Gas (Bcf/d) 75 94 31% 39% 14 19
Coal 396 198 17% 9% -110 -198
Nuclear 190 186 8% 8% 29 -4
Hydro 57 66 3% 3% -14 8
103 289 5% 13% 84 187
biofuels)
Power 967 1008 97 41
Supply
Oil (Mb/d) 14 17 5 4
Gas (Bcf/d) 74 115 23 41
Coal 455 278 -100 -178

1995-2015 2015-2035 1995-2015 2015-2035
s otherwise noted)
8% 1% 0.4% 0.1%
4% -17% 0.2% -1.0%
24% 25% 1.1% 1.1%
-22% -50% -1.2% -3.4%
18% -2% 0.8% -0.1%
-19% 15% -1.1% 0.7%
448% 182% 8.9% 5.3%
11% 4% 0.5% 0.2%
50% 26% 2.0% 1.2%
46% 55% 1.9% 2.2%
-18% -39% -1.0% -2.4%

Definitions
Country and geographical groupings
Country groupings are made purely for statistical purposes and are not intended to imply any judgement about political or econo
North America:
US (excluding US territories), Canada and Mexico.
South and Central America:

Caribbean (including Puerto Rico and US Virgin Islands), Central and South America.
Europe:
European members of the OECD plus Albania, Bosnia-Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, The former Yugoslav Republic of Macedon
Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS):

Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russian Federation, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine, Uzbekistan.
Middle East:
Arabian Peninsula, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Lebanon, Syria.
Africa
Territories on the north coast of Africa from Egypt to Western Sahara. Territories on the west coast of Africa from Mauritania to Angola, incl
Territories on the east coast of Africa from Sudan to Republic of South Africa. Also Botswana, Madagascar, Malawi, Namibia, Uganda, Zam
Asia Pacific:
Brunei, Cambodia, China, China Hong Kong SAR*, China Macau SAR*, Indonesia, Japan, Laos, Malaysia, Mongolia, North Korea, Philipp
*Special Administrative Region
Other Emerging Asia:

Non-OECD Asia excluding China and India
OECD members (Organization For Economic Co-operation and Development)

Europe: Austria, Belgium, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Luxemb
Non-OECD
All countries that are not members of the OECD.
European Union members

Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Ital
Pakistan and Sri Lanka), South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam, Australia, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea and Oceania.
en, Switzerland, Turkey, United Kingdom. Other member countries: Australia, Canada, Chile, Israel, Japan, Mexico, New Zealand, South Korea, US.
nia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, UK.

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BP Energy Outlook 2035: January 2017

This workbook contains information presented in the

Energy Consumption by fuel

Regional insights data tables

Country insights data tables

Level Shares Change (abs.)

Primary energy consumption (units in Mtoe unless otherwise noted)

Total 13147 17157 4559 4010

Oil(Mb/d) 93 106 32% 29% 23 14

Gas (Bcf/d) 336 462 24% 25% 129 127

Coal 3840 4032 29% 24% 1595 193

Nuclear 583 927 4% 5% 57 344

Hydro 893 1272 7% 7% 330 379

Power 5519 7997 2241 2478

Oil (Mb/d) 95 107 25 12

Gas (Bcf/d) 342 462 138 120

Coal 3830 4151 1568 321

*Compound annual growth rate

53% 31% 2.2% 1.3%

32% 15% 1.4% 0.7%

63% 38% 2.5% 1.6%

71% 5% 2.7% 0.2%

11% 59% 0.5% 2.3%

59% 42% 2.3% 1.8%

870% 291% >10% 7.1%

68% 45% 2.6% 1.9%

37% 12% 1.6% 0.6%

68% 35% 2.6% 1.5%

69% 8% 2.7% 0.4%

s, and refinery gains, but excludes biofuels. Oil demand includes

Level Shares Change (abs.)

Primary energy consumption (units in Mtoe unless otherwise noted)

Total 435 769 190 334

Oil(Mb/d) 3.9 6.1 42% 37% 1.7 2.2

Gas (Bcf/d) 13 24 28% 29% 9 11

Coal 97 121 22% 16% 18 24

Power 179 364 87 185

Oil (Mb/d) 8.6 8.3 1.4 -0.3

Coal 151 187 30 35

*Compound annual growth rate

78% 77% 2.9% 2.9%

76% 56% 2.9% 2.3%

185% 80% 5.4% 3.0%

23% 25% 1.0% 1.1%

-9% 246% -0.5% 6.4%

95% 176% 3.4% 5.2%

>1000% >1000% >10% >10%

95% 103% 3.4% 3.6%

20% -3% 0.9% -0.2%

148% 47% 4.7% 1.9%

24% 23% 1.1% 1.1%

s, and refinery gains, but excludes biofuels. Oil demand includes

Level Shares Change (abs.)

Primary energy consumption (units in Mtoe unless otherwise noted)

Total 906 1466 512

Oil(Mb/d) 8 11 43% 35% 4

Gas (Bcf/d) 25 32 26% 20% 17

Coal 219 467 24% 32% 155

Power 353 651 230

Oil (Mb/d) 2.8 1.9 -0.1

Coal 313 459 255

*Compound annual growth rate

all liquid hydrocarbons, but excludes biofuels.