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OBJECTIVE
This study compared the prevalence of complications in 354 patients with T2DM diagnosed between 15 and 30 years
of age (T2DM1530) with that in a duration-matched cohort of 1,062 patients diagnosed between 40 and 50 years
(T2DM4050). It also examined standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) according to diabetes age of onset in 15,238
patients covering a wider age-of-onset range.
RESULTS
After matching for duration, despite their younger age, T2DM 1530 had more severe albuminuria (P = 0.004) and neuropathy
scores (P = 0.003). T2DM1530 were as commonly affected by metabolic syndrome factors as T2DM 4050 but less fre-quently
treated for hypertension and dyslipidemia (P < 0.0001). An inverse re-lationship between age of diabetes onset and SMR
was seen, which was the highest for T2DM 1530 (3.4 [95% CI 2.74.2]). SMR plots adjusting for duration show that for those
with T2DM1530, SMR is the highest at any chronological age, with a peak SMR of more than 6 in early midlife. In contrast,
mortality for older-onset groups approximates that of the background population.
CONCLUSIONS
The negative effect of diabetes on morbidity and mortality is greatest for those diagnosed at a young age compared
with T2DM of usual onset. These results highlight the growing imperative to direct attention toward young-onset T2DM
and for effective interventions to be applied before middle age.
Type 2 diabetes is well recognized to be a heterogeneous disorder, and its effect on morbidity and mortality may not be identical
within this diagnosis. No longer just a disorder of mature age, there is now a well-recognized trend toward younger people
presenting with this disease, particularly for some ethnic groups. Adolescents accounted for less than 4% of incident type 2 diabetes
cases in the U.S. 15 years ago, but in a more
824 Youth-Onset T2DM Affects Complications, Death Diabetes Care Volume 39, May 2016
recent report, 45% of new cases were in Whether the excess risk seen in younger diabetes beginning at different life
this category. The net result is a widening cohorts is simply the result of a longer di- stages can be more clearly compared.
of the clinical spectrum, with age of dia- abetes duration at any attained age or
betes onset increasingly recognized as an whether there is an underlying enhanced RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS
important factor in the heterogeneity of risk susceptibility to complications is less clear. Diabetes Database and Collection of
within this diagnosis. Similarly, few data are available on the Clinical Information
The landmark Search for Diabetes in survival of individuals with young-onset The Royal Prince Alfred Hospital Diabetes
Youth (SEARCH) and Treatment Options type 2 diabetes, and this lack of robust electronic database contains demo-graphic
for Type 2 Diabetes in Adolescents and clinical data has prompted the use of a and clinical information from pa-tients who
Youth (TODAY) studies, among others, Markov modeling approach by have attended the Royal Prince Alfred
have contributed to an understanding that investigators. Extrapolating from the UK Diabetes Centre in Sydney Australia since
type 2 diabetes presenting at a young age Prospective Diabetes Study cohort, 1986. Diabetes was de-fined by World Health
is of a particularly aggressive nature and Rhodes et al. (10) project a shortening of Organization crite-ria (13). The diagnosis of
have highlighted the chal-lenges in the life expectancy by 15 years for type 2 type 2 diabetes was made on clinical grounds
management of this pa-tient group (1,2). diabetes in adolescents. Narayan et al. (11) by the treating physician. Age-of-onset data
Young people with type 2 diabetes are used the same modeling approach to are available for all patients in this study. The
likely to be obese, with a clustering of examine data from the National Health age of onset was taken from the primary care
unfavorable cardio-metabolic risk factors Interview Survey in the U.S. They similarly correspondence or from the date of the
all present at a very early age (3,4). In found that non-Hispanic white individuals defining laboratory test. If neither was
adolescents with type 2 diabetes, a 10 diagnosed with diabetes at the age of 20 available, patient recall was relied on. If only
30% preva-lence of hypertension and an years would lose 15.3 years of life expec- the year of diagnosis was known, the default
1854% prevalence of dyslipidemia have tancy (11). We have found that for indi- date of 1 January was used to calcu-late age
been found, much greater than would be viduals with young-onset type 2 diabetes, of onset. All patients reported in this
ex-pected in a population of comparable survival is worse than for type 1 diabetes of complications component of the study had a
age (4). In another study of patients with similar age of onset (3,12). Given that clinical and complications as-sessment via a
type 2 diabetes younger than 20 years of young patients with type 2 diabetes are still standardized protocol and data entered in a
age, aortic pulse wave velocity was a relatively new clinical cohort, a com- purpose built database (14). Data quality is
already higher than that of age-matched parative perspective on long-term mortal-ity linked to the model of care; data were
control subjects, indicating an increased has hitherto been lacking. frequently reviewed as the clinical
degree of arterial stiffness (5). Most In this two-part study, we examined the correspondence is linked to data entry and
recently, re-sults from the TODAY study effect of age of onset on 1) diabetes previously described and evaluated (14,15).
have clearly documented the progression complications after controlling for dia-betes
of cardiovas-cular disease (CVD) risk duration and 2) the standardized mortality
factors despite optimal within-trial ratio (SMR). In the first part, prospectively In brief, retinopathy was assessed by
interventions (6,7). These all portend a collected clinical compli-cations data from direct funduscopy with pupils dilated or
poor long-term prog-nosis, but there are 354 patients with young-onset type 2 by digital retinal photography in recent
still relatively limited data on long-term diabetes diagnosed between the ages of years. Albuminuria was determined by
complication status and mortality risk in 15 and 30 years (T2DM1530) were collection of spot urine samples and
youth with type 2 diabetes. compared with 1,062 subjects with type 2 considered abnormal if the albumin
Only a few studies have looked at the diabetes on-set between the ages of 40 concentration was greater than 30 mg/L
question of complications according to or if the urine albumin-to-creatinine ratio
and 50 years (T2DM4050), after matching
age of disease onset. More specifically, was greater than 3.5 and 2.5 mg/mmol
for dura-tion of known diabetes. Groups
few data are available to assess for females and males, respectively.
with older age were not used for direct
whether the risk is truly in excess of that Neuropathy assessment was by exami-
com-parison to minimize the additional
seen in diabetes presenting in the more nation of ankle reflexes and testing of
con-founding effect of chronological age on
usual middle age and beyond, after vibration perception threshold (volts)
macrovascular complications. In the
account-ing for disease duration. Hillier with a biothesiometer adjusted for age
second part, we ascertained the mortality
and Pedula (8) reported a higher relative by expressing data as a Z score. Macro-
status of 15,238 patients with type 2
risk of macrovascular disease in those vascular disease and risk factors were
diabetes by linkage with the Australian
assessed by clinical history of events or
diagnosed with type 2 diabetes between National Death Index and related the
relevant symptoms and measure-ments
18 and 44 years of age than in those findings to the age of diabetes onset. The
of sitting blood pressure and lipid
identified after 45 years of age, when effect of diabetes on mortality accord-ing to
profiles. The degree of hyperglyce-mia
each group was compared with an age- age of onset is difficult to compare directly
was assessed by measurement of
matched population without diabetes. given the confounder of intrinsi-cally higher
Similarly, Song and Hardisty (9) showed HbA1c using the high-performance liquid
mortality rates related to age itself. Thus,
that in cohorts with type 2 diabetes with this study standardized mor-tality rates to chromatography method, and long-term
disease onset before and after 40 years the general Australian pop-ulation and
glycemic control was documented by
of age, by the sixth decade of life, a sub- stratified by age of onset of diabetes. In the calculation of updated HbA 1c,
stantially higher risk of CVD is seen in this way, the relative effect of adjusting for the time between visits and
those with the earlier onset of diabetes. the num-ber of measurements (16).
care.diabetesjournals.org Al-Saeed and Associates
825
Complications from our database, were submitted to area-wide hospital database. This pro-
To examine the differential effect of age of The National Death Index (NDI) of the tocol has been validated in other
onset on clinical parameters and diabetes, Australian Institute of Health and populations and found to have a high
the complication status of 354 patients with Welfare, which contains records of all sensitivity in determining survival (17).
T2DM1530 was identified from the da- deaths occurring in Australia since 1980. Because of a time lag in the updating of
tabase and compared with a 1:3 matched An NDI standard linkage protocol was the NDI database, the primary cause of
sample of 1,062 patients with T2DM 4050 followed to match individuals from the death was only available in 3,630 re-
with the same duration of known diabetes. two databases using the following fields: cords, and data from these individuals
Unadjusted mortality rates and cause of ID number, surname, first given name, were used to examine the specific
death are also presented for this cohort. second given name, third given name, cause of death. For deaths in and after
sex, date of birth, date of last contact, 1997, all causes of death are available
Mortality and SMR and state of residency. When matching and are coded according to ICD-10. For
A total of 24,415 names of patients, was ambiguous, mortality was confirmed deaths before 1996, the underlying
in-cluding 15,238 with type 2 diabetes by checking with the cause of death was coded according
Table 1Clinical profile and mortality of patients with T2DM (N = 1,416) grouped by age of diagnosis and matched for diabetes
duration
T2DM T2DM
1530 4050 Test statistics
n = 354 n = 1,062 P value
Age diagnosed (years) 25.6 6 3.7 45.2 6 2.9 ,0.0001
Duration of diabetes at last visit (years) 11.6 (4.522.6) 11.4 (4.521.7) Matched
Male (%) 50.6 50.6 Matched
Age at last visit (years) 40.4 6 12.6 59.1 6 10.7 ,0.0001
Family history of diabetes (%) 80.9 67.1 ,0.0001
Number of family members affected with diabetes 2.4 6 2.0 2.0 6 1.6 0.02
Updated HbA1c
Percentage (%) 8.1 6 1.6 8.0 6 1.7 0.3
IFCC (mmol/mol) 65.5 6 17.7 64.3 6 18.2 0.3
Diabetes treatment (%) 0.0002**
Diet 9.6 8.2
Tablets 37.3 49.9
Insulin 53.1 41.9
2
BMI (kg/m ) 32.2 6 7.6 31.2 6 7.4 0.04
Blood pressure (mmHg)
Systolic 126 6 17 132 6 19 ,0.0001
Diastolic 78 6 10 77 6 11 0.2
Blood pressure treatment (%) 49.3 68.1 ,0.0001
Cholesterol (mmol/L) 5.2 6 1.5 4.8 6 1.2 ,0.001
Triglyceride (mmol/L) 1.9 (1.33.0) 1.6 (1.22.5) 0.001
Statin treatment (%) 38.1 51.5 0.0001
Smoking (%) 41.3 45.3 0.2
Retinopathy (%) 37.0 35.4 0.5
Vibration perception threshold Z score* 2.3 6 1.3 2.0 6 1.2 0.003
Albuminuria (%) 47.4 41.1 0.07
Urine albumin concentration (mg/L) 19.1 (6.0114.1) 14.5 (6.549.0) 0.004
Any macrovascular disease (%) 14.4 23.7 ,0.0001
Peripheral arterial disease (%) 3.8 6.5 0.07
Ischemic heart disease (%) 12.6 17.5 0.02
Stroke (%) 4.3 7.0 0.1
Death, n (%) 39 (11.0) 204 (19.2) ,0.0001
Age at the time death (years) 52.9 6 4.7 68.6 6 12.4 ,0.0001
Duration of diabetes at the time of death (years) 26.9 (18.136.0) 25.1 (15.332.0) ,0.0001
Cause of death (%) 0.7**
Vascular 50.0 42.8
Cancer 7.1 10.1
Other 42.9 47.1
Results are presented as mean 6 SD, as median (IQR), or as indicated. IFCC, International Federation of Clinical Chemistry and
Laboratory Medicine. *Vibration perception threshold is tested by biothesiometer adjusted for age by expressing data as a Z score.
**P for differences in the distribution of the three categories between groups.
826 Youth-Onset T2DM Affects Complications, Death Diabetes Care Volume 39, May 2016
1530
rates of the clinic population were cal- match 1:3 T2DM1530 case subjects to
culated from the age- and sex-specific
T2DM4050 control subjects for the du-
annual mortality rates of the general
ration of diabetes. A propensity score
to ICD-9 and then aligned to ICD-10 Australian population, published by the was calculated for the matching proce-
for the purposes of this work. Cause Australian Institute of Health and Wel- dure using logistic regression. Sum of
of death was only examined for the fare (18). SMRs were calculated by the rank distances, including the propensity
matched cohort. ratio of the observed mortality rate of the
For the mortality analysis, individuals clinic population/the calculated ex-
were monitored from 1986 or, if they pected mortality. Thus an SMR of 1 in-
presented later, from the time of the first dicates an equivalent mortality risk
clinic registration date, to the date of compared with an age-matched general
death or death censor on 6 January Australian population.
2011. To establish the expected mortal-
ity rate of the diabetes population de- Statistics
fined by age of diagnosis, the following For the analysis of complications, data
procedure was undertaken. The age were analyzed using NCSS 2007 and
structure of each population with diabe- ACCorD software (version 2.0.10; Boffin
tes was established for each year of Software, Sydney, Australia). An NCSS
follow-up, and the expected mortality data-matching procedure was used to
CONCLUSIONS
data imply that for youth with type 2 more closely approximates that of the effects on the findings would depend
diabetes, their poorer complications the general population. on whether the bias was seen only in
outcomes, at least for renal complica- A strength of our study on complica- some age-of-onset groups. It is reassur-
tions and neuropathy, are not simply a tions is the comprehensive documenta- ing to note that the total SMRs in our
result of a lead-time bias given their tion of individual demographic profile, study are of a similar magnitude to
longer duration of disease. In contrast to glycemic control, cardiovascular risk fac- those seen in a recent mortality study of
neuropathy and albuminuria, we did not tors, and the micro- and macrovascular dia-betes in Australia using data from
find differences in the prevalence of complication status over a long period of na-tional administration databases
retinopathy between the age-of-onset time, using a set of standardized clin-ical where selection bias would be less likely
groups. Data from Hillier and Pedula criteria and an electronic database (14). (23). Despite these limitations, the data
(8) showed a slight decrease in suscep- The almost identical updated HbA1c in ob-tained provide information that would
tibility to retinopathy in young adults with the two cohorts was fortuitous but added otherwise take several decades to
early-onset diabetes, and the TODAY strength to our conclusions. The ability gather.
study suggested that obesity might be a to cross-reference our data with actual The clinical implications of our results
protective factor in the development of mortality recorded in a na-tional are profound for the clinicians managing
retinopathy. In both studies, however, database also provided a unique younger patients with type 2 diabetes.
diabetes duration was much shorter opportunity to link to outcomes. By The observation that the relative mor-
than here (20). We previously found an taking a total SMR and the SMR by at- bidity and mortality risk in the younger-
excess risk of reti-nopathy in younger- tained age approach, we have been able onset group is not only high but also
onset type 2 diabe-tes (aged ,45 years) to assess not only the effect of the age early should prompt interventions to
compared with older-onset groups with of onset of disease on mortality but also control glycemia and CVD risk factors
equivalent glycemic exposure, a finding the timing of any such adverse effect. before middle age. Existing absolute risk
that was not seen here. Our previous Some limitations of this study should be calculators used to aid treatment
analysis did not specifically examine the acknowledged. The study is from a sin-gle decisions are likely not to adequately
groups with very young onset. It center, and the numbers of individuals with capture the risk for our younger-onset
included much older age-of-onset youth-onset type 2 diabetes are rel-atively patients. At the population level, enor-
cohorts monitored for a longer duration low. There were no consistent measures of mous resources are presently directed
and had a wider range of glycemic anti-GAD or other relevant antibody toward the prevention and treatment of
exposure than in this study (21). measurements to define better the types of diabetes. In view of our findings, di-
diabetes, but the risk of mis-classification is rection of these limited resources needs
A shortened life expectancy associated probably small because most patients with to be prioritized toward those at a youn-
with diabetes has been recognized for de- younger-onset diabe-tes were not treated ger age. The challenges identified by the
cades, but few previous studies have ex- with insulin in the first 5 years of diabetes. landmark TODAY study showing the
amined the relative effect of age of progression of adverse cardiovascular
diagnosis in this regard. To generate a true Although the data were entered pro- risk factors and glycemia, despite inten-
perspective of the effect of age of spectively, they were not collected ac- sive interventions, will render this no
diagnosis of diabetes, it is not possible to cording to a prespecified time schedule. easy task (24). Currently, we have no
just examine mortality by using stan-dard Many of the individuals did not present specific evidence of how to successfully
Kaplan-Meier survival analyses, be-cause immediately after their diagnosis of di- prevent CVD in the young because trials
chronological age in itself is such a abetes, with the potential for immortal of interventions, such as statin treat-
dominant factor in determining mortality. time bias to be favoring survival. In ment and blood-pressure lowering, have
We thus used the calculation of SMR and other words, patients would have had to not included young people with type 2
also examined the SMR by attained age. survive long enough to reach our clinic. diabetes.
Our data are in keeping with a U.S. study This bias, if present, would mean that Furthermore, there is little specific
of diabetic versus nondiabetic mortality our SMR calculations may have even evidence to guide how to prevent dia-
that found a more than threefold relative underestimated the true mortality for our betes in the young. In the context of
increase in mortality among individuals youth-onset groups. As for all such rising rates of obesity largely driving
with diabetes between the ages of 25 and analyses, we recognize that the mortality type 2 diabetes in younger age groups,
44 (22). Our data highlight this phe- data provided for the general population research into effective and diverse strat-
nomenon in a more general sense by by the Australian Institute of Health and egies, including modifying in utero gly-
showing the progressive and inverse re- Welfare will also contain in-dividuals with cemic exposure, public health policy,
lationship between age of onset and the diabetes, and so the expected mortality addressing social disadvantage, and
SMR. Notably, an adverse effect is seen rate calculations cannot be assumed to urban planning, are needed to tackle
more with early-onset disease, where peak be from those completely disease free. this. There is now some urgency to de-
excess mortality at the attained age of 40 The cohorts studied were not population velop an evidence base in this regard
and thereabouts is approxi-mately sixfold based and therefore were susceptible to and to determine the optimal timing of
increased above that of the background selection bias. Differential referral of such interventions more closely. Our
population. In contrast in diabetes of onset more severe patients could potentially results highlight the growing imper-ative
at a later age, the total SMR and SMR at affect the mor-tality rates by age of to prevent diabetes in youth and, if not
any attained age diagnosis; however, possible, at least to delay
care.diabetesjournals.org Al-Saeed
and Associates 829
Acknowledgments. The support of the Endo-crinology and Diabetes Research Foundation of the University of Sydney and the NSW
Womens Bowl for Others Club is gratefully acknowl-edged. The authors also thank Val Gebski (NHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, Sydney
Medical School, The University of Sydney) for helpful statistical advice.
Funding. A.H.A.-S. was supported by the Riyadh Military Hospital.
Duality of Interest. No potential conflicts of interest relevant to this article were reported. Author Contributions. A.H.A.-S., M.I.C., L.M.,
D.K.Y., and J.W. researched and analyzed the data and wrote the manuscript. M.DS. per-formed the statistical analysis and reviewed
the manuscript. F.L.-G. and C.L. reviewed re-cords and collected data. T.W. and S.M.T. re-viewed the manuscript and contributed to
discussion. M.I.C. and J.W. are the guarantors of this work and, as such, had full access to all the data in the study and take
responsibility for the integrity of the data and the accuracy of the data analysis.
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