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Large ships like supertankers pose navigational challenges in busy harbors due to their size and lack of maneuverability. Traffic accidents are common, and a major accident could cause environmental damage. While harbor control systems aim to direct traffic, knowledge of how large ships behave remains limited, especially in shallow waters. Improved data and control systems may help minimize hazards as ship sizes and traffic continue growing.
Large ships like supertankers pose navigational challenges in busy harbors due to their size and lack of maneuverability. Traffic accidents are common, and a major accident could cause environmental damage. While harbor control systems aim to direct traffic, knowledge of how large ships behave remains limited, especially in shallow waters. Improved data and control systems may help minimize hazards as ship sizes and traffic continue growing.
Large ships like supertankers pose navigational challenges in busy harbors due to their size and lack of maneuverability. Traffic accidents are common, and a major accident could cause environmental damage. While harbor control systems aim to direct traffic, knowledge of how large ships behave remains limited, especially in shallow waters. Improved data and control systems may help minimize hazards as ship sizes and traffic continue growing.
Especially in the shallow The helm of a supertanker lies about
one-fifth of a mile back from the
waters off shore and ship's bow, perched on more than near harbors, large ships a million barrels of oil. From that remote vantage point the ship's master navigates can behave in the sluggish behemoth, and with each unexpected ways. voyage he's aware of a few more sister ships sharing the shipping lanes with him, as well as of new bulk cargo carriers loaded with the agricultural and in- dustrial chemicals that are increasingly traded internationally. As a result of more traffic and bigger, less maneuver- able ships, the world's major harbors are being pushed to their limits. Among these various kinds of deep- draft ships, supertankers pose a particu- lar problem, because more supertankers mean more potential oil spills from colli- sion or grounding. Yet traffic control in most harbors today is hardly more so- phisticated than at a small airfield, and the knowledge underlying a thorough understanding of the physical behavior of such large ships remains minimal and undeveloped. Especially lacking is de- tailed knowledge of how full-form, deep- draft ships, such as supertankers, behave in "very shallow" waterdepths less than three times their 60-foot and deeper drafts. Indeed, the deep drafts of supertankers redefine most of the world's harbors as very shallow. Only a dozen can even accommodate supertankers. None of them is in the United States, where strong local political opposition has so far kept supertankers away, but U.S. ports do accept other modern ships, including fast, large (30-knot-plus, over 30,000 tons) container ships. They also face the prospect of receiving large liquid natural gas (LNG) carriers with their fast-burning cargoes.
Rush hour. Traffic into New York Harbor,
busiest in the United States and physically the largest in the world, funnels under Verrazano Bridge and stearns through the Narrows.
MOSAIC Jan/Feb 1975
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MOSAIC Jan/Feb 1975 3
The hazards able had appropriate maneuvers been World's busiest. Four tankers at Rotterdam made. But control procedures and rules Harbor, an enormous oil port, in various Ships collide, run aground, or suffer of the sea did not prevent the mistakes stages of unloading. Note how the heavily other accidents with astonishing laden ship in the foreground sits low in that led to the crashes. the water, with much of its bulk below frequency. Among tankers, 1,556 An incident in San Francisco Bay in the surface. accidents of all kinds (some minor, of January 1971 is not atypical. Two ships, course) were reported in 1968, one for owned by the same company, were ap- every three vessels at sea (about 4,600 proaching each other in fog, each steam- tenths of a mile away, approaching at were in service worldwide). Projections ing at about 10 knots. Visibility was a closing speed of 20 knots. In his try to for supertankers predict an accident for limited to about 300 feet. Each ship radio the other ship, the master switched each 50 tanker-years of service, with one knew the other was in the area, and to the wrong channel. or two strandings a year off Northwest both were observed by the Coast Guard "Unable to make contact," Kemp con- Europe. (Beneath the North Sea and the Advisory Radar Service ashore. tinued, "he returned to navigating but Strait of Dover, through which more Reporting the crash at a 1972 marine saw the lights of the Arizona Standard than 400 ships pass each day, lie 5,000 engineering conference in England, too late to avoid collision. Right on the wrecks.) For good reason, insurance British navigation expert J. F. Kemp noseslap, bang in the middle of the rates amount to about one-fourth of the noted: "On the Arizona Standard, the channel." operating cost of large ships. The poten- chief mate was running the radar and Ashore, the Coast Guard observer, tial for disaster remains enormous. the master was at the conn [helm]. limited to advisory functions, watched Ship collisions have been studied for Imagine the scene, with the mate tired- helplessly as the blips on his radar some time, albeit with varying amounts eyed from watching the radar scope and screen merged in collision. of adequacy of data. A recent British the master peering out from the wheel While major disaster was averted and study of 174 Strait of Dover collisions house window, a barely adequate field the losses not spectacular, they might between 1958 and 1971 showed that 82 of view on his old, wartime-built T 2 have been. Stomachs of seamen and percent of them occurred in poor visi- tanker, and nothing to see but a wall of environmentalists alike still churn with bility, 66 percent in fog. Most ships fog sitting across the fo'c'slehead." recall of the fully laden 118,000-ton involved were aware of the other's On the outbound Oregon Standard, Torrey Canyon crunching open against presence and, especially when radar the master divided his time between his rocks near the Scilly Isles in 1967, spew- showed the other ship's proximity, had ship's second radar and the wing of the ing out much of her oily cargo and plenty of time to avoid the collision bridge listening for fog horns. Yet, fouling coasts of the English Channel (even for ships of supertanker size). despite his two radars, the other ship's with a tenacious, ugly, and damaging Most collisions were head-on and avoid- echo wasn't observed until it was eight- sludge.
4 MOSAIC Jan/Feb 1975
Harbor control systems
The specter of a Torrey Canyon-
scale disaster in or near a busy harbor, plus the proliferation of such largeand vastly largerships has spurred responsible students of naviga- tion to seek vastly improved harbor control. At Rotterdam, the world's busi- est oil port, only two ships with drafts deeper than 60 feet entered in 1970. The next year, this rose to more than 80; today it is in the hundreds. The approach to Rotterdam Harbor is overseen by two radars used to sup- plement visual observation of traffic and radio advisories to harbor pilots. Traffic, separated into inbound and outbound channels, is aided by a system of navi- gation lights. Planned for this harbor is a computer-assisted radar to provide dis- plays of the positions of various ships in the continuous rush-hour-like traffic, plus an additional radar 11 miles off- shore. Beyond this, acording to one observer, the harbor authority is con- sidering "traffic prediction by electronic done to learn how harbor control might means," using the computer-assisted be improved. Work completed at Stevens radar system. He adds that radio links and under way at Michigan is to com- with ship bridges would have to be sub- plement the MIT study with data on the stantially improved. Now, as is almost behavior of large ships, especially super- of cargo. A supertanker (250,000 tons) universal, each ship lumbers in on its tankers, which were part of the MIT making the longer trip around the Cape own, under control of a harbor pilot or model. Development of the model was of Good Hope reduced the per-ton cost experienced master. Most don't have, hampered, in part, because large ships' to $2.40. (Since 1967, the increase in or use, harbor control radio, though in hydrodynamic performance, especially in fuel prices has increased even more the the harbors many of the pilots on the shallow water, had not yet been de- economic advantage of very large ships.) bridge use radio to talk to each other. termined. Ironically, the same reasons that make Others have called for a system much The importance of supertankers is not such ships economical to run are those like air traffic control, in which ship only in their spectacular size but also that present maneuvering difficulties and trajectories could be observed and pre- in their proliferation. In the 1950's, a cloud their hydrodynamics. Despite their dicted and appropriate steering and 28,000-ton (deadweight, or the weight 1,000-foot-plus lengths and wide, blunt maneuvering commands given to pilots of its cargo) tanker was considered large. bows, they move through the water with and masters, to ease traffic, ensure By 1955, this had doubled, and in 1968, great efficiency, with 80 percent of their efficient use of facilities, and increase a 326,000-ton ship entered service. bulk below the surface. Their drag, due safety. Such proposals assume, how- Today, some 200 ships of 200,000 tons to their length and relatively low speeds, ever, that computer programs and hard- or more ply the seas, with 600 more of is astonishingly smallabout 0.0005 of ware can be developed to plot headings this size or larger on order, to be their weight. Comparable drag for other in heavy traffic, and that sufficient launched within the next four years. At merchant ships ranges between 0.001 knowledge exists of ship maneuvering upwards of $75 million each, shippers and 0.01 of their weights. (For railroad and hydrodynamic characteristics. contracted for the building of about $20 cars, it's 0.05; for a car, 0.07 to 0.1, In the United States, a basic exami- billion worth of supertankers in 1973 depending on speed.) A supertanker's nation of the possibilities of better ship alone, spurred by the world's increasing drag resistance is so minimal, it has control and an investigation of the un- demands for Middle East oil. been noted, that if mobile on land, it known hydrodynamics of large ships has Economics fuels the desire for larger would coast away on a grade too small been sponsored by NSF. So far, work and larger ships. The larger they are, the to be perceptible. has been undertaken at the Massachu- more efficient. In his book Supership, As a result, supertankers don't re- setts Institute of Technology, the Stevens Noel Mostert points out that the 1967 quire much propulsive force. Most have Institute of Technology, and the Univer- cost for a round trip between Kuwait very small engines for their size, because sity of Michigan. At MIT, a computer and Rotterdam through the Suez Canal reducing the propulsion plant cuts the simulation of a harbor situation was on an 80,000-ton ship was $3.67 per ton costs (about a fourth of ship cost is for
MOSAIC Jan/Feb 1975 5
propulsion machinery). Nearly all are screw is turning, the more sharply the larger ships require longer to stop. single-screw and single-rudder ships. ship can be yawed. Their masses (and, hence, their inertias) While adequate for normal cruising, In turning, however, the yawed hull increase generally with the cube of they leave little or no margin for hard creates considerable additional drag, length, but the resistance of the hull emergency maneuvering. "Such an out- which slows the ship sharply. Thus, a increases with only the square of length. landish hull," Mostert says, "maneuvered supertanker entering a hard turn at full Arbitrary rules of the sea calling for by one propeller and a single rudder, is, service speed (16 knots) can complete crash stops, while barely adequate (in on the face of it, ludicrous." the turn in about two ship lengths, its the face of better options, such as turn- Supertankers have no need to hurry, speed dropping to about five knots at the ing) for smaller ships, are increasingly usually plowing along at 16 knots. This end of the turn. A three-ship-length inadequate as ship length grows. Yet makes the trip from the Persian Gulf to turn is typical for most modern, single- the arbitrary rules stand. Europe a month long, but keeps fuel screw, single-rudder ships. Such a turn Each new ship undergoes sea trials costs down to about $150,000. Even at requires more room for supertankers from which its handling idiosyncracies 16 knots, masters must peer far ahead than for conventional ships simply be- are determined and recorded in a manual for safe passage. If a supertanker master cause they are so long. for its future masters and helmsmen. So orders "full astern!" from this speed for It might seem that the turning radius does a supertanker. Its hydrodynamics a "crash stop," as the rules of the sea could be reduced if the ship's speed were can be determined from similar but more dictate and admiralty courts demand, his greatly reduced, but the lateral force to extensive tests or in elaborate and time- ship will not stop dead in the water until turn a moving body around a given consuming model research. The evo- it travels another three miles or more curve depends on the speed. As the ship lution of supertankers, however, was in some 20 more minutes. Moreover, slows, the forces against the rudder originally an extension of the technology because engine reversal destroys rudder decrease, as do the hydrodynamic forces. of their tinier forebears. As Mostert effectiveness, the ship will usually slew, Thus, any ship has a fairly constant notes, in the '50's and '60's, they shot like a car skidding on ice, up to several turning radius. from 25,000 to 50,000 to 100,000 and thousand feet to one side or the other However, because of its low resistance 250,000 tons simply by strengthening of its original, straightline path. and great inertia, the supertanker takes and lengthening parts proportionately. longer than other ships to respond to the Little engineering experimentation or The forces on ships helm. At service speed, the helmsman design testing by models was under- may set his rudder into a turn and wait taken. Understanding ship maneuvering patiently for up to a minute or two "Most engineering work is based on and hydrodynamics requires the (and as the ship travels through its own what you did yesterday," Michigan's application of both Newtonian long length) before the rudder forces T. Francis Ogilvie notes. "Very seldom mechanics (the inertia of ship motion) build up sufficiently to overcome inertia do you go to the Moon, and this has and complex fluid dynamics equations to produce a significant change in com- been especially true of naval architecture. (the hull and rudder exhibit the char- pass heading. If engine speed changes Like building apartments, you didn't do acteristics of an airfoil moving through are part of the maneuver, the wait may it with the laws of mechanics, you de- a fluid). The pressure differentials cre- be even longer, some of the delay trace- signed by the rules." ated by varying speeds of flow set up able to the time it takes propulsion But then, others have noted, in the forces against the hull or rudder which equipment to respond. late '60's, the "rules," now in the form act to turn the ship, obeying the same Many supertankers have been found of computer programs for ship design, Bernoulli principle (the faster a fluid to have what naval architects term "began giving nonsensical results." There streams past a surface, the lower the "directional instability," which means were reports of some of the newer super- pressure on the surface) that sent the they tend to yaw without rudder changes. tankers, then reaching 250,000 tons, Wright Brothers aloft. Some of this is good, in that it makes cracking up and sinking, at least one The rudder, its area about two to turning easier than for a ship with di- directly after launching. Shipyards and three percent of the ship's profile area, rectional stability, which would tend to ship buyers sent naval architects pack- acts as an airfoil in the prop wash and steam straight ahead. But instability ing to their towing tanks, notably in slipstream of the ship. To turn, the also produces hysteresis, a lag in re- Japan where the most intense super- rudder is angled from the amidships sponse to rudder reversals once the ship tanker construction was taking place. (straight ahead) position and, because is into a turning maneuver, and a In the past few years, the results of of the pressure differential on the rudder, tendency to overshoot, or to turn more such research have been available to draws the ship into a yawa longi- than the rudder setting would lead the designers. But the natural emphasis was tudinal (or bow-stern) angle with respect helmsman to expect. Stevens Institute's on structure, with maneuverability al- to its previous path. Then the varying Haruzo Eda points out that just how most an afterthought. Insurance rating rates of flow along the sides of the ship much overshoot is optimum is not known organizations care much more whether in effect push it around in a turning for a supertanker and that it should be a ship can weather a sea intact than how motion, with a side-slip motion like a studied at the design stage so that the well she can steam through it. race car in a controlled skid. Because best rudder and stern design for opti- Moreover, the tests and research that much of the pressure on the rudder mum maneuverability can be determined. were carried out almost exclusively con- comes from the screw, the faster the The laws of physics also legislate why cerned handling and hydrodynamics in
6 MOSAIC Jan/Feb 1975
Riding high. Relatively small by supertanker standards, the 55,000-ton liquified petroleum gas carrier Esso Fuji changes heading.
charts showed he should have had 20
feet of water beneath his keel. In spite of this and in spite of variations in ac- curacy of up to several feet in tides and tidal charts, one major shipper as recently as 1967 demanded that his skippers maintain no less than a mere two feet of water beneath their keels. Another and perhaps more insidious hazard exists for the supertanker master in the "bank suction" effect, the tend- ency of a ship moving near a bank to be drawn into it by Bernoulli forces. In such situations he must steer care- fully to keep his ship away from the bank without inadvertently swinging his stern into it. In many large harbors, preparing for supertankers, underwater channels are dredged far out to sea. Their banks lurk beneath the huge ship, invisible to the bridge. Recent studies deep water. Only a few studies looked At the conn, the sharp rise in di- at Stevens indicate that banks should at shallow water characteristics, a long- rectional stability shows itself in a turn be separated by three times ship breadth standing practice since traditional ships, the turning circle may be as much as to minimize steering difficulties. Such smaller and of less draft, seldom were doubled. In part, this occurs because of determinations are extremely important in what was, to them, shallow water the ship's "added mass," a fluid dynamics economically; Rotterdam, for example, and could handle it aptly if they were. concept that refers to a part of the sea has spent hundreds of millions of dollars moving along with the ship. In effect, dredging its approaches and harbors to this gives the loaded ship greater inertia accommodate increasingly larger tankers. The effects of shallow water resistance to changes in speed and The process continues today. coursein shallow water than in deep. An effect similar to bank suction can The fact is, however, that shallow "Squat," like shallow water effects on be set up between large ships passing, water produces dramatic changes steering, has been recognized for years calling for adept helmsmanship. In head- in hydrodynamic characteristics but could almost be ignored for smaller to-head passing, bow waves tend to turn and ship handling. The effects are first ships. However, with a 65-foot-draft the bows away from one another. As the noticeable at about three times ship supertanker traveling in a 70-foot chan- helmsman corrects, turning his bow to- draft (or 180 feet for a 60-foot-draft nel, it can be critical. The bow of a ward the passing ship, and the two ship) and become pronounced at 1.4 900-foot-plus ship moving at 14 knots vessels' midpoints approach, pressure times draft (about 85-foot depth). This can be sucked down by as much as six differentials tend to push them together, makes even the English Channel shallow feet at the bow, scrunching into the and he must turn away, taking care not for some ships; 326,000-tonners avoid it, bottom. to pivot his stern into the passing ship. skirting the north of Scotland from the The degree of squat is related to the Again, during this correction, opposite Persian Gulf to Rotterdam. And the speed, so the solution is to slow down. reaction will occur, tending to bring the million-ton tankers due on the oceans However, as speed goes down, steering sterns togetheranother quick spin of soon, with their 120-foot drafts, will control, already more sluggish in the the rudder. Lastly (and weakest of all) render most continental shelves "shal- shallows, degrades further. The master as the stern waves react, they'll tend to low," often putting these ships in "shoal or pilot must be prepared to make push the sterns apart. One final cor- waters" while still hundreds of miles prudent compromises. Squat appears to rection. (Imagine this occurring in shal- from land. be worse for full-form ships (typified by low water with sluggish steering, or in The reason ship performance degrades the boxy tankers) and is being studied. an underwater channel.) These effects in shallow water is the hydrodynamic For ship masters, squat is a serious also have been studied recently at interaction between seabed and hull. phenomenon. Most channels aren't even- Stevens. Masters and pilots notice two key ef- bottomed. "Sand waves" 20 and even Ships at sea and in harbors must fects: increase of directional stability 50 feet in height have recently been contend with other forces as well. Tides, and "squatting" riding substantially reported in the English Channel, and one currents, and winds all produce forces lower at the bow. captain radioed he'd struck bottom where on the hull. Tides and currents can be
MOSAIC Jan/Feb 1975 7
reasonably predicted and anticipated, still compromised evaluation of yaw dredge for optimum hydrodynamic re- but wind forces are another matter. The rates. In short, this relatively simple sults? What should width and slope be?" wind force on the side of a ship depends model implied that considerable com- It would also be worthwhile, Ogilvie on the square of wind speed (a gust puter capacity would be needed for real- feels, to study barge systems on large rising from five to ten mph increases life, real-time harbor situations. To rivers. A single large flotilla of barges force on the ship 25 times) and it may refine the model for shallow water ef- canand docarry the tonnages of gust over several degrees and differen- fects and to permit an increase in the supertankers, he notes, and often danger- tially between bow and stern on a long number of vehicles simulated, work is ous cargo as well. Many groundings ship. The effects on an off-loaded super- being initiated at Michigan to determine occur, although seldom serious, as well tanker or high-riding LNG carrier can better values of key hydrodynamic co- as collisions"some horrendous," says be enormous. efficients, especially yaw rates. Michigan's Harry Benford. "The miracle All of these effects on handling reflect, Michigan marine engineers fitted an is that there aren't more." or are a result of, hydrodynamic charac- eight-foot-long, fiberglass model of a teristics. For a harbor control scheme 250,000-ton tanker with an electric motor Talking to each other involving radar plotting and computer and a radio-controlled motor-driven prediction of ship passages, precise rudder so it may propel itself through MIT's John Devanney, a native knowledge of these peculiar hydrody- tests in a 60- by 100-foot tank with a of Ohio who is familiar with namic behaviors would be critical. water depth of six inches. The model Ohio-Mississippi barge traffic, will run through a series of trajectories attributes their relative success to com- A mode! harbor with varying impulsive forces placed on munication: "Barge and tug captains it by the rudder engine. talk to each other. They're in constant The MIT project, which simulated "We're trying, in a completely analyt- radio contact, telling each other where the simultaneous movements of ical way, to work out the hydrodynamic they are, what they plan to do, even four and five ships in a six-mile- coefficients," Ogilvie notes, "after which negotiating with one another which square harbor, operated by estimating we'll devise critical experiments to assess course to take as they approach each hydrodynamic coefficients from physical their validity. Before long, I expect that other, unseen, around bends in the characteristics of the ship (length, beam, one of the important problems we'll river." draft, cross section, speed, RPM, shaft want to deal with will be concerned with By stark and glaring contrast, sea horsepower, power, propeller and rudder bank effects: What's the best way to captains don't talk to one another, at characteristics). Based on a model de- least about navigation. In the British veloped by N. Norrbin of The Swedish study of 174 crashes, the author states, State Shipbuilding Experimental Tank referring to all of them: "There was no facility, it derived values for velocity, report of radio communication being yaw, sway, thrust, and rudder flow and used as an aid to navigation." angle. Talking to each other would also be The model worked well enough for cheaper and easier than installing ex- deep water, validated against at-sea tests, pensive monitoring equipment, which but suffered from a lack of shallow could be mistrusted or ignored. For water values. Even though it used some example, the initial Dover advisory sys- 300,000 bytes of computer storage, it tem would cost $7 million, and on- board collision avoidance systems (CAS) that track courses of nearby ships cost $50,000 per ship. "In some implementations/' an MIT study points out, "the CAS comes com- plete with audio alarms, with the impli- cation that unless you hear an alarm Full astern, helm hard to port you have no problem. If the device is actually used in this fashion, it might Stop, helm hard to port be a good idea to hook the alarm up to the abandon-ship signal." Simulation Half ahead, helm hard to port stopped But a good ship radio (transponder- here after interrogator) system could be produced Full ahead, helm hard to port 10 minutes for as little as $1,500; with appropriate Stop legal or economic incentives, every ship Evasive 1,000 2,000 3,000 afloat over 500 tons could be equipped meters meters meters maneuver for the same money one would spend for begun one harbor advisory system. And radios here would be useful in at-sea situations as well as in harbor traffic. over reduced throttle. The rules of the For most ships, hydrodynamic data, road and the principles by which ad- such as that being developed to better miralty courts operate should be changed understand supertanker and container to encourage full-throttle maneuvers in ship performance, simply do not exist. close quarters and to discourage zero or But communications between ships would astern throttle once you get into trouble." eliminate the need for developing such Model simulation, towing tank tests, data for all ships, because there would and sea trials of all ships verify the Widening the beam saves construction be no need to predict their trajectories. validity of this advice. Even large money. But tests show that a wider Research efforts might better go into tankers can "get rather close to each beamed ship at sea will suffer more specific data for refining and enhancing other on collision course and still miss hysteresis in its turning, thus a greater ship design for better control and ma- provided the maneuvers are coordi- tendency to overshoot. A compromise neuverability. nated," they emphasize. must be found between shipbuilding cost Stevens' Davidson Laboratory Direc- and ease of handling at sea. "In summary," the MIT study con- cludes, "there are a number of other tor J. P. Breslin suggests another use of Results of this series of studies so far approaches to ship collisions besides ship hydrodynamic data, a use that show the value of coherent, coordi- shoreside control, including doing noth- addresses the question of ship owners' nated research in marine engineering. ing after the ships have been made to and operators' mistrust of data and If, as Ogilvie wistfully noted, marine communicate." reluctance to change. The Army Corps engineers don't get a chance "to go to of Engineers, which maintains a one- the Moon," they clearly can work to- hundredth-scale physical model of New gether fruitfully to advance both their Evasive a c t i o n York harbor (in Vicksburg, Miss.) now technology and its application by the can incorporate towing tank data on users. Obviously, this is not an easy But even if shipmasters do improve supertankers and new cargo ships into jobthe inertia of seamanship practice their foresight in perceiving its harbor studies. "This couldn't have and law must seem to them as great as trouble, they need better guidance been done three years ago, because we the gigantic vehicles they study. Yet in what evasive action to take. Both didn't have the hydrodynamic data," their work shows the value of the po- the courts and insurers should be heed- Breslin says. tential of making simple changes when ing the results of engineering research "Demonstrating what we learn on complex ones offer themselves. The too. Even though it has been recently such a model would be useful. Ship extraordinary number of ship collisions revised, (seamanship) Rule 8 (e) still owners think seeing is believing. They and strandings that now occur, plus the states: "If necessary to avoid collision, can't see [their ships] in a computer vast potential for social and economic a vessel shall slacken her speed or take model. They can see them in a physical damage to be expected if the trend con- all way off by stopping or reversing the model like the one in Vicksburg." tinues and involves larger ships, demon- means of propulsion." Such model research is also essential strates how important their work is. The MIT engineers comment bluntly to predict performance of new ships. Finding simple and inexpensive answers on this: "Once you get in trouble, For example, the Stevens work shows to problems that appear intractable is sharply reduced or astern throttle is lousy that in designing the forthcoming mil- good engineering. Refusal to heed good seamanship. The larger the ship, the more lion-ton supertankers, care must be taken engineering is not only irresponsible drastic the advantage of full ahead (for in how the ship is extendedthe com- politics and bad economics; it is also, hard-over-turning evasive maneuvers) bination of length, beam, and draft. in this case, "lousy seamanship."*