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Mitchell S.V. Elkind, MD, MS; Robert Sciacca, DEngSc; Bernadette Boden-Albala, Dr PH;
Tanja Rundek, MD, PhD; Myunghee C. Paik, PhD; Ralph L. Sacco, MD, MS
Background and PurposeModerate alcohol consumption is protective against coronary disease, but its relationship to
ischemic stroke (IS) is controversial.
MethodsStroke-free participants 40 years of age identified by random-digit dialing were enrolled in a prospective
cohort study between 1993 and 2001. Alcohol consumption was assessed through in-person interview and categorized
as none in the past year, 1 drink in past month to 2 per day (moderate drinkers), and 2 drinks daily. Lifetime
drinking was also assessed. Cox proportional hazard regression modeling was used to assess hazard ratios and their 95%
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CIs for the association of drinking with risk of stroke and vascular events.
ResultsMean age among participants (n3176) was 69.110.3 years; 62.8% were women, 20.8% were
non-Hispanic white, 24.5% non-Hispanic black, and 52.4% were Hispanic. No alcohol in the previous year was
present in 62.3%, and 32.5% drank moderately. After adjusting for other risk factors compared with those who did
not drink in the past year, moderate drinkers had a reduced risk of IS (0.67; 95% CI, 0.46 to 0.99) and IS,
myocardial infarction, or vascular death (0.74; 95% CI, 0.59 to 0.94). Results were similar when never-drinkers
were used as referent group. Reduction in risk was seen for nonatherosclerotic IS subtypes, and results stratified
by age, sex, and race ethnicity were similar.
ConclusionModerate alcohol consumption is associated with decreased risk of IS in a multiethnic population. This effect
is independent of other risk factors and holds for nonatherosclerotic stroke subtypes. (Stroke. 2006;37:13-19.)
Key Words: alcohol cerebrovascular disorders epidemiology risk factors stroke, ischemic
Received June 7, 2005; final revision received July 13, 2005; accepted July 27, 2005.
From the Department of Neurology (M.S.V.E., T.R., R.L.S.), Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY; Gertrude H.
Sergievsky Center (M.S.V.E., B.B.-A., R.L.S.), Columbia University, New York, NY; Department of Medicine (R.S.), Columbia University College of
Physicians and Surgeons, New York, NY; Department of Sociomedical Sciences (B.B.-A.), Joseph Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY;
Department of Epidemiology (M.C.P., R.L.S.), Joseph Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY; and Department of Biostatistics (M.C.P.),
Joseph Mailman School of Public Health, New York, NY.
Correspondence to Mitchell S.V. Elkind, MD, MS, FAAN, Neurological Institute, Room 641, 710 W 168 St, New York, NY 10032. E-mail mse13@
columbia.edu
2005 American Heart Association, Inc.
Stroke is available at http://www.strokeaha.org DOI: 10.1161/01.STR.0000195048.86810.5b
13
14 Stroke January 2006
Study Methods mined using best available information. Research assistants collected
The Northern Manhattan Study (NOMAS) is a population-based death certificates and medical records and interviewed family mem-
study designed to determine stroke risk factors in a multiethnic, bers, physicians, and health professionals involved in the care of the
urban population. The race ethnic mixture consists of 63% His- patient. Cause of death was verified by study physician, and deaths
panic, 20% non-Hispanic black, and 15% non-Hispanic white were classified as vascular or nonvascular.13
residents.6 Two neurologists classified strokes independently. Final stroke
subtype was decided by consensus, and disagreements were adjudi-
cated by a third neurologist. ISs were classified as extracranial and
Identification and Recruitment of the Cohort intracranial atherosclerotic, lacunar (small vessel), cardioembolic, or
Methods of participant recruitment and enrollment have been de- cryptogenic using the results of the diagnostic evaluation according
scribed previously.7 Participants were identified by random-digit to a modified stroke data bank scheme.17 MI was validated by review
dialing and enrolled if they: (1) had never been diagnosed with by a study cardiologist.
stroke, (2) were 39 years of age, and (3) resided in northern
Manhattan for 3 months in a household with a telephone. In-person
evaluations were performed at the hospital or at home. Overall Statistical Analyses
response rate was 68%. The study was approved by the Columbia Mean daily alcohol consumption was calculated as drinks per day
University Medical Center institutional review board. All partici- regardless of beverage type. Alcohol consumption was divided into
pants gave informed consent. 4 categories: (1) no drinks (1 drink per month) during the past year
(reference group); (2) moderate consumption (1 drink per month in
the past year and 2 drinks daily); (3) intermediate 2 but 5
Index Evaluation of Participants drinks daily; and (4) heavy (5 drinks daily).
Data regarding baseline status and risk factors were collected Cox proportional hazards regression modeling was used to calcu-
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through interviews by trained research assistants, physical and late the hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs for alcohol consumption
neurological examination by study physicians, in-person measure- categories and cerebrovascular end points after adjusting for poten-
ments, and analysis of fasting blood specimens.7 Data were obtained tial confounders. Because of the small number of participants in
from participants (99%) or proxy using standardized data collection intermediate and heavy categories, after exploring magnitude of
instruments. effect, these were collapsed into 1 category for further analyses.
Participants self-identified ethnicity as Hispanic or non-Hispanic Adjusted analyses were performed overall and stratified by age (70
and race as white, black, or other. Standardized questions were years and 70 years), sex, race ethnicity, and smoking status.
adapted from the Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System8 by Further analyses were conducted to evaluate effects of average
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Standard techniques lifetime alcohol use and current alcohol consumption using lifetime
were used to measure blood pressure, height, weight, and fasting abstainers as the referent group. Analyses were also conducted to
glucose.9 Hypertension was defined as systolic blood pressure estimate effect of alcohol consumption on risk of hemorrhagic stroke
140 mm Hg or diastolic blood pressure 90 mm Hg, physician and individual IS subtypes. Subarachnoid hemorrhage and intrace-
diagnosis, or self-report of history of hypertension or antihyperten- rebral hemorrhage were collapsed into 1 category, and intracranial
sive use. Diabetes mellitus was defined as fasting blood glucose and extracranial atherosclerotic stroke were grouped together.
126 mg/dL or self-report of such a history, or insulin or hypogly-
cemic use.
Results
Alcohol Consumption Assessment Baseline Characteristics of Cohort and
Alcohol use was assessed as described previously. Research assis-
5 Distribution of Alcohol Consumption
tants used structured in-person interviews adapted from the National The NOMAS cohort (n3298) was similar to the random
Cancer Institute Food Frequency questionnaire10 and the Willett food telephone sample with regard to sociodemographics and
frequency questionnaire.11 Questions were modified to provide a major stroke risk factors, as reported previously.5 A total of
defined frequency response set.11,12 Inquiries were made about
consumption of wine, beer, and liquor during the past year and on 3176 (96.3%) participants had an alcohol questionnaire com-
average during each participants lifetime. The defined responses pleted and 1 year of follow-up. Distribution of baseline
regarding frequency allowed 9 possibilities ranging from never to characteristics is shown in Table 1.
6 drinks per day. The responses for each beverage type were No alcohol consumption in the previous year was present in
summed to obtain a total quantity, and an average daily quantity was
62.3%, and 32.5% drank moderately (1 per month to 2
calculated. A standard drink of wine was considered to contain 4
ounces, beer 12 ounces, and liquor 1.5 ounces of ethanol. The drinks per day). Only 5.1% drank 2 drinks daily (Table 2).
reliability and validity of this alcohol assessment has been shown Alcohol consumption during the past year was associated with
previously to be good in our population.5 demographic characteristics and risk factors. The proportion of
men who drank moderately was higher than women (42.3% and
Follow-Up and Outcomes Assessment 26.8%, respectively; P0.0001). Only 27.1% of those 70
Follow-up evaluations were conducted annually by telephone.13 years of age drank moderately, compared with 37.4% of those
When symptoms suggestive of stroke or transient ischemic attack 70 (P0.0001). The proportion of moderate drinkers was
were detected, the participant was invited for outpatient evaluation. highest among white non-Hispanics (42.4% versus 31.7% and
When necessary, diagnostic tests were performed. The participants
primary physician was responsible for management decisions. On-
29.0% for non-Hispanic blacks and Hispanics, respectively;
going surveillance of admissions to our and other local hospitals was P0.0001). Those with a history of smoking were significantly
used.14 more likely to be moderate drinkers than never-smokers (37.7%
Stroke was defined by the first symptomatic occurrence of any versus 26.7%; P0.0001). A history of MI or coronary artery
stroke including intracerebral hemorrhage, subarachnoid hemor- disease, but not atrial fibrillation, was also associated with lower
rhage, and cerebral infarction, as per World Health Organization
criteria.13 MI was defined by criteria adapted from the Cardiac mean alcohol consumption. High-density lipoprotein (HDL)
Arrhythmia Suppression Trial15 and the Lipid Research Clinics levels were weakly but significantly positively correlated with
Coronary Primary Prevention Trial.16 Causes of death were deter- average alcohol consumption (r0.05; P0.009).
Elkind et al Alcohol and Stroke Risk 15
TABLE 1. Characteristics of Participants The risk of IS was reduced by 44% among moderate
Characteristic MeanSD or n (%)
drinkers (unadjusted HR, 95% CI, 0.56, 0.39 to 0.81; Table
3). By fitting polynomial models using drinks per day as a
n 3176
continuous measure of alcohol consumption, the point of
Age, y, meanSD 69.110.3 maximum protection was calculated as 1.2 drinks daily. The
Men, n (%) 1180 (37.2) effect of moderate alcohol consumption on IS, MI, or
Raceethnicity, n (%) vascular death was similar (unadjusted HR, 0.63; Table 3).
Hispanic 1665 (52.4) After adjusting for stroke risk factors, including age, sex,
Non-Hispanic Black 777 (24.5) race ethnicity, hypertension, diabetes, atrial fibrillation,
Non-Hispanic White 661 (20.8)
HDL, and current smoking, moderate alcohol use remained
independently associated with reduced risk of IS (adjusted
High school diploma, n (%) 1464 (46.1)
HR, 0.67, 0.46 to 0.99). Results were similar for the end point
Risk factors, n (%)
of IS, MI, or vascular death (Table 3; Figure). The results
Hypertension 2154 (67.8) changed minimally in additional analyses adjusted for other
Diabetes mellitus 687 (21.6) potential confounding factors, including lifetime smoking
Hyperlipidemia 1425 (44.9) history, body mass index, waist-hip ratio, coronary artery
History of smoking 1685 (53.1) disease, low-density lipoprotein, homocysteine, and leuko-
Current smoking 547 (17.5) cyte count.
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TABLE 3. Risk of IS, Hemorrhagic Stroke, Total Stroke, and Combined Vascular
End Points Associated With Recent Alcohol Consumption Category*
HR (95% CIs)
Adjusted for
Adjusted for Demographics
Demographic and Risk
Unadjusted Factors Factors
IS
None** 1.0 1.0 1.0
1 drink/mo and 2 drinks/d 0.56 (0.390.81) 0.61 (0.420.89) 0.67 (0.460.99)
2 drinks/d 1.11 (0.612.00) 1.23 (0.672.28) 1.30 (0.692.45)
Hemorrhagic stroke (intracerebral and subarachnoid hemorrhage)
None** 1.0 1.0 1.0
1 drink/mo and 2 drinks/d 1.24 (0.513.04) 1.17 (0.462.97)
2 drinks/d 2.80 (0.799.92) 2.27 (0.608.64)
Total stroke
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pants (26.3%) were classified as lifetime nondrinkers (ie, point of maximum protection was 1.2 drinks daily, consis-
never-drinkers), 1023 (34.0%) past but not current drinkers tent with our category of moderate consumption. The results
(former drinkers), and 1033 (34.3%) current moderate drinkers. were similar when lifetime abstainers were used as referent
The magnitude of the protective effect of moderate drinking on group, reducing the chance that our findings were attributable
IS was similar (adjusted HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.41 to 1.04) to that to incipient cerebrovascular disease in nondrinkers. However,
using current nondrinkers as the referent group. Results were there was no definite effect of average lifetime consumption
similar for combined ischemic events (Figure). There was no of alcohol on IS risk, indicating that the effect may be more
protective benefit for former drinkers (adjusted HR for IS, 1.00; directly related to the recency of the alcohol behavior. These
0.67 to 1.50). results from our prospective cohort study extend previous
A protective effect was seen in subgroups stratified by age, findings in a case-control study5 from the same population to
sex, and race ethnicity (Table 4). A marked protective effect individual IS subtypes and provide less biased estimates of
of moderate alcohol consumption was found among former the magnitude of the reduction in risk.
smokers and never-smokers. There was no protective effect in The protective relationship between alcohol consumption
current smokers, although the number of current smokers was and coronary artery disease has been confirmed in several
relatively small (n547), and the CI included the possibility of studies.1,21 A meta-analysis found a summary relative risk of
a 45% reduction in risk. Although there was a trend, a formal test 0.83 for moderate drinkers compared with lifetime abstain-
of interaction was not statistically significant (P0.11). ers.1 The relationship of alcohol consumption to stroke risk is
more controversial, partly because many studies fail to
Discussion distinguish hemorrhagic and IS. Some studies have shown an
Our results demonstrate a strong protective effect of recent increased risk of hemorrhagic stroke associated with increas-
moderate alcohol consumption on risk of IS in a multiethnic, ing alcohol consumption in dose-dependent fashion.3,4 Those
elderly population. Moderate consumption, defined as 2 studies that investigated alcohol as a risk factor for IS have
drinks of liquor, cans of beer, or glasses of wine, reduced the found conflicting results and not agreed on the optimal
risk of IS by 50%. Overall, using a continuous measure of protective dose of alcohol.3,4 Moreover, most previous studies
alcohol consumption in a nonlinear (quadratic) model, the have not investigated individual IS subtypes.18
Elkind et al Alcohol and Stroke Risk 17
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Association between moderate alcohol consumption and risk of stroke and other vascular events. HRs and 95% CIs for moderate
drinking (1 drink per month and 2 drinks per day), using as the referent group those who did not drink in the past year (A) and
those who classified themselves as never-drinkers (B). Analyses are adjusted for age (continuous), sex, race ethnicity, education (high
school graduate vs not), hypertension, diabetes mellitus, current cigarette smoking, atrial fibrillation, and levels of HDL.
The US Nurses Health Study found a protective effect of Hispanics. The effect of alcohol on stroke risk may vary by
moderate alcohol consumption (up to 1.2 drinks daily) on IS race ethnicity.20 There is evidence that there may be differ-
among women.19 In a study using an administrative database, ent subgroups among American blacks, some of which,
all levels of alcohol consumption were associated with because of environmental factors, may share the risk profiles
decreased risk of hospitalization for IS in both men and typical of white populations.24 Such subpopulations may
women, but a stronger protective effect was found in blacks account for the differences between our results and negative
than in whites.20 Other cohort studies of IS3,4,21,22 have failed findings in other black populations.25
to confirm this relationship. In the Framingham Heart Study,
no protective effect of moderate consumption was seen
overall, although there was a protective effect among those 60 TABLE 4. Risk of IS Associated With Recent Moderate Alcohol
to 69 years of age.21 No significant protective effect of Consumption, Stratified by Age, Sex, RaceEthnicity, and
moderate consumption was found in an analysis of data from Smoking Status*
the Health Professionals Follow-Up Study, but generalizabil-
Adjusted HR (95% CI)
ity of those results may be limited by the educational status
and homogeneity of this cohort.22 Age 70 y 0.81 (0.451.46)
A major methodological weakness of past studies is the bias Age 70 y 0.54 (0.330.90)
attributable to the sick quitter hypothesis: persons who are Men 0.76 (0.441.32)
experiencing preclinical symptoms of disease may decrease their Women 0.59 (0.341.03)
usual alcohol consumption.23 Assessment of recent alcohol
Hispanic 0.54 (0.291.02)
exposure may thus underestimate true lifetime alcohol exposure
Non-Hispanic Black 0.86 (0.461.60)
and lead to misclassification of exposure status. We attempted to
minimize this potential misclassification by performing analyses Non-Hispanic White 0.67 (0.321.42)
with 2 different referent groups, nonrecent drinkers and lifetime Nonsmokers 0.51 (0.261.00)
abstainers, and by adjusting for confounding diseases that may Former smokers 0.61 (0.321.15)
predispose an individual to stroke and lead to decreased alcohol Current smokers 1.12 (0.552.29)
consumption.
*Referent group is those who drank no alcohol (1 drink/mo) in past year;
Hispanics have rarely been enumerated separately in epi- models adjusted for age (continuous), sex, race ethnicity, and education
demiologic studies, and our study is the first prospective (high school graduate vs not), hypertension, diabetes mellitus, atrial fibrillation,
cohort study to find a protective relationship between alcohol levels of HDL, and current cigarette smoking.
and stroke in a population composed predominantly of In each case, the model is not adjusted for the stratification variable.
18 Stroke January 2006
The protective effect of alcohol on heart disease appears to be Fellowship of the American Heart Association (AHA 0355596T),
partially mediated by an increase in HDL associated with and the General Clinical Research Center (2 M01 RR00645). We
acknowledge the assistance of Janet DeRosa, project manager of the
alcohol consumption.26 In the present study, the effect of alcohol
Northern Manhattan Study.
on stroke risk was independent of HDL. In addition, the
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Moderate Alcohol Consumption Reduces Risk of Ischemic Stroke: The Northern
Manhattan Study
Mitchell S.V. Elkind, Robert Sciacca, Bernadette Boden-Albala, Tanja Rundek, Myunghee C.
Paik and Ralph L. Sacco
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