()

2017.1.12(), Vol. 17-1

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IEA (medium-term)
1.
2.
3.
4. CCS

2017.1.12.()

IEA (mesium-term)

1
2015

(total
primary energy consumption)
29%

- , 1920 1990

2015
* 2015 2.6% (7,912 7,707 : 206Mt )
< >

, 2016

2013
* 10 4% , 2014

, , ,

- , ,
* 0.5% , , ,


(MATS) ()
* MATS: Mercury and Air Toxics Standards
- 2 -


2015 2 ,
2.8% (221Mt : 7,930 7,709)

- (3.1%,
113Mt),
(11.5%, 105Mt)

< >

4 , 2016

- (),

*

< (2014~2016) >

* (steam coal) 2016 1 45 2016 11

90( )
- 3 -
 * (coking coal) 2016 1 77 4 2016 11
300( )
/

* 2016
,

- ,

()

-

,
2018 2021
2013
< (2017~2021) >

-
2018

- ,
* , , , 1

- 4 -

,
50% 45% 10%

-

< (2000, 2015) >

, ,

- ,

*



- ,
*

,
*
* ,

- 5 -
 ,

- , , ,

* 5

(2016~2021)
,
2021 2014

- ASEAN
EU

< >

-
,
2013
41% 2021
36%

* 1 , 2011

- 6 -
- (MTCMR
2011 (
2011)

) ,

< >

* MTCMR12 : 2012 , MTCMR15: 2015

,

< (20152021) >

- ,


*
()
- 7 -
* , ()
-
, 2007 2015 3
1
2021

, , , ,
,

* 9GW 10GW

< >

- ()

, , ,
, ,

*


5,591Mtoe(2015 ) )
5,636Mtoe(2021

( 0.4% )

OECD ( 241Mtoe)

- 8 -
 - OECD
OECD

< (thermal) (lignite) >

1% , )
966Mtoe(2015

)
908Mtoe(2021

< (met coal) >

4 CCS

- 9 -
 - , (air quality)
2015 (retirements)

< (20102015) >

CCS

, (CCS)

* CCS: Carbon Capture and Storage

- ,
1 CCS

(2016.11.4)
(CCS)

CCS

,
. /
/

- 10 -