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original article
A BS T R AC T
BACKGROUND
From the Harris Birthright Research Cen- Previous randomized trials have shown that progesterone administration in women
tre for Fetal Medicine, Kings College Hos- who previously delivered prematurely reduces the risk of recurrent premature delivery.
pital, London. Address reprint requests
to Dr. Nicolaides at the Harris Birthright Asymptomatic women found at midgestation to have a short cervix are at greatly
Research Centre for Fetal Medicine, Kings increased risk for spontaneous early preterm delivery, and it is unknown whether
College Hospital Medical School, Den- progesterone reduces this risk in such women.
mark Hill, London SE5 8RX, United King-
dom, or at kypros@fetalmedicine.com.
METHODS
*The other members of the Fetal Medicine Cervical length was measured by transvaginal ultrasonography at a median of 22
Foundation Second Trimester Screening
Group are listed in the Appendix. weeks of gestation (range, 20 to 25) in 24,620 pregnant women seen for routine
prenatal care. Cervical length was 15 mm or less in 413 of the women (1.7%), and
N Engl J Med 2007;357:462-9. 250 (60.5%) of these 413 women were randomly assigned to receive vaginal proges-
Copyright 2007 Massachusetts Medical Society.
terone (200 mg each night) or placebo from 24 to 34 weeks of gestation. The pri-
mary outcome was spontaneous delivery before 34 weeks.
RESULTS
Spontaneous delivery before 34 weeks of gestation was less frequent in the proges-
terone group than in the placebo group (19.2% vs. 34.4%; relative risk, 0.56; 95%
confidence interval [CI], 0.36 to 0.86). Progesterone was associated with a nonsig-
nificant reduction in neonatal morbidity (8.1% vs. 13.8%; relative risk, 0.59; 95% CI,
0.26 to 1.25; P=0.17). There were no serious adverse events associated with the use
of progesterone.
CONCLUSIONS
In women with a short cervix, treatment with progesterone reduces the rate of spon-
taneous early preterm delivery. (ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT00422526.)
P
rematurity is the leading cause of of transvaginal ultrasonographic measurement of
neonatal death and handicap.1 Although cervical length as a predictor of spontaneous early
all births before 37 weeks of gestation are preterm delivery.11 The exclusion criteria were ma-
defined as preterm, most damage and death oc- jor fetal abnormalities, painful regular uterine
curs in infants delivered before 34 weeks.2,3 Im- contractions, a history of ruptured membranes,
provements in neonatal care have led to higher or a cervical cerclage. Gestational age was deter-
rates of survival among very premature infants, mined from the menstrual history and confirmed
but a major effect on the associated mortality and from the measurement of fetal crownrump
morbidity will be achieved only by better identi- length at a first-trimester scan, which is carried
fication of women at high risk for preterm deliv- out routinely in the participating hospitals.
ery and by development of an effective interven- Women with a cervical length of 15 mm or
tion to prevent this complication. less were invited to take part in a randomized,
The prophylactic administration of progester- double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of proges-
one beginning in midgestation to women who terone. All women gave written informed consent,
previously had a preterm birth has been shown to and the study was approved by the Multi-Centre
halve the rate of recurrence.4-6 However, a strat- Research Ethics Committee and the Medicine Con
egy in which therapeutic intervention is limited trol Agency in the United Kingdom, as well as
to women with a previous preterm delivery is the local ethics committees of the participating
likely to have a small effect on the overall rate of hospitals. The sponsor of the study, the Fetal
prematurity, because only about 10% of sponta- Medicine Foundation, had no role in study de-
neous early preterm births occur in women with sign, data collection, data analysis, data interpre-
this history.7 A method that may better identify tation, or the writing of the report.
women at high risk with either singleton or twin Quality control of screening, handling of data,
pregnancies is ultrasonographic measurement of and verification of adherence to protocols at the
cervical length at 20 to 24 weeks of gestation.8-10 different centers were performed on a regular basis
Asymptomatic women found to have a cervical by the trial coordinators. The sonographers who
length of 15 mm or less are at greatly increased performed the scans had received extensive train-
risk for spontaneous early preterm delivery. We ing and passed a practical examination adminis-
designed a multicenter, randomized trial to evalu- tered by an expert to demonstrate their compe-
ate the effect of vaginal progesterone on the in- tence in cervical assessment.
cidence of spontaneous early preterm delivery in
asymptomatic women found at routine mid-tri- Randomization and Follow-Up
mester screening to have a short cervix. Each study participant was given a blister pack
labeled Progesterone Study, which contained
Me thods either 200-mg capsules of micronized progester-
one (Utrogestan, Besins International Belgium)
Study participants or identical-appearing capsules of placebo con-
The trial was conducted from September 2003 taining safflower oil (Medicaps). The drug and
through May 2006 in five maternity hospitals in placebo were purchased from the companies,
and around London (Kings College Hospital, Lon- which provided no financial support and had no
don; Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Woolwich; Uni- involvement in study design, data collection, data
versity Hospital of Lewisham, London; Southend handling, data analysis, study interpretation, the
University Hospital, Essex; and Darent Valley Hos- drafting of the manuscript, or the decision to
pital, Dartford); the Hospital Clinico Universidad publish.
de Chile, Santiago, Chile; the Hospital do Servidor The blisters were packaged by DHP Clinical
Pblico Estadual Francisco Morato de Oliveira, Trial Supplies. Computer-generated random-num-
So Paulo; and the University Hospital, Larissa, ber lists were created by the Kings College Hos-
Greece. pital pharmacy, and the appropriately numbered
All women with singleton or twin pregnancies drug was dispensed by each hospital; central ran-
who were undergoing routine ultrasonography at domization was designed to ensure that there
20 to 25 weeks of gestation for examination of were exactly 125 women in each group. Each
fetal anatomy and growth were given the option woman was instructed to avoid sexual inter-
gestational age was the time scale, spontaneous risks with the use of the method of Zhang and
delivery was the event, and elective deliveries Yu.16 All statistical analyses were performed with
were treated as censored. For the purposes of the Stata software package, version 8.2.
this analysis, all pregnancies were considered to
be no longer at risk for the event at the start of R e sult s
the 34th week. Hazard ratios were estimated with
the use of the Cox proportional-hazards model, A total of 24,620 (82.3%) of the 29,918 pregnant
with a formal test of the proportional-hazards women fulfilling the entry criteria for screening
assumption.14,15 Logistic regression was used to agreed to undergo transvaginal ultrasonographic
assess the risk of adverse events in the offspring. measurement of cervical length at 20 to 25 weeks
The analyses of infant outcomes used robust stan- (median, 22 weeks) (Fig. 1). There were 24,189
dard errors and were clustered on a maternal singleton and 431 twin pregnancies. The median
identifier to account for the nonindependence of cervical length was 34 mm (range, 0 to 67 mm),
twin pairs. Odds ratios were converted to relative and the length was 15 mm or less in 413 of the
women (1.7%). Two hundred fifty women with a (Fig. 2). The cumulative percentage of patients
short cervix (60.5%), including 226 with single- who did not give birth spontaneously before 34
ton and 24 with twin pregnancies, agreed to par- weeks was significantly higher in the progester-
ticipate in the trial. one group than in the placebo group (hazard
There were no significant differences in base- ratio, 0.57; 95% CI, 0.35 to 0.92; P=0.02). Multi-
line characteristics between the placebo and the variable analysis demonstrated that adjustment
progesterone groups (Table 1). The rate of the for maternal characteristics at the time of ran-
primary outcome spontaneous birth before domization did not attenuate the apparent pro-
34 weeks of gestation was 19.2% in the pro- tective effect of progesterone (Table 2).
gesterone group and 34.4% in the placebo group The relative risk of spontaneous preterm birth
(relative risk, 0.56; 95% confidence interval [CI], before 34 weeks of gestation did not vary signifi-
0.36 to 0.86) (Table 2). Four women (two in each cantly according to maternal age, body-mass in-
group) had medically indicated preterm delivery. dex, race, obstetrical history, whether the preg-
The proportional reduction over time in the in- nancy was singleton or twin, or cervical length at
cidence of all deliveries before 34 weeks was simi- the time of randomization (Fig. 3). Among wom-
lar in the progesterone and the control groups. en without a history of delivery before 34 weeks,
The risk of spontaneous preterm birth in the two the incidence of spontaneous preterm birth was
groups was assessed using KaplanMeier analysis significantly higher in the placebo group than in
Adjusted
Progesterone Placebo Relative Risk Relative Risk
Outcome Group Group (95% CI) P Value (95% CI) P Value
no. (%)
Maternal
Spontaneous delivery at <34 wk 24 (19.2) 43 (34.4) 0.56 (0.360.86) 0.007 0.56 (0.320.91) 0.02
Any delivery at <34 wk 26 (20.8) 45 (36.0) 0.58 (0.380.87) 0.008 0.60 (0.350.94) 0.02
Perinatal
Fetal death 1 (0.7) 1 (0.7) 0.98
Neonatal death 2 (1.5) 7 (5.1) 0.29 (0.061.42) 0.13 0.34 (0.061.81) 0.22
Birth weight <2500 g 56 (41.2) 59 (42.8) 0.96 (0.691.26) 0.81 0.97 (0.681.29) 0.85
Birth weight <1500 g 18 (13.2) 27 (19.6) 0.68 (0.361.21) 0.20 0.74 (0.361.37) 0.35
Composite adverse outcomes 11 (8.1) 19 (13.8) 0.59 (0.261.25) 0.17 0.57 (0.231.31) 0.19
Intraventricular hemorrhage 1 (0.7) 2 (1.4) 0.51 (0.055.30) 0.58 0.33 (0.018.84) 0.52
Respiratory distress syndrome 11 (8.1) 19 (13.8) 0.59 (0.261.25) 0.17 0.57 (0.231.31) 0.19
Retinopathy of prematurity 2 (1.5) 0
Necrotizing entercolitis 0 1 (0.7)
Composite therapy 34 (25.0) 45 (32.6) 0.77 (0.481.15) 0.21 0.75 (0.441.16) 0.20
Neonatal intensive care 33 (24.3) 42 (30.4) 0.80 (0.491.21) 0.30 0.80 (0.471.24) 0.34
Ventilation 16 (11.8) 25 (18.1) 0.65 (0.331.21) 0.18 0.64 (0.301.25) 0.20
Phototherapy 16 (11.8) 14 (10.1) 1.16 (0.562.25) 0.68 1.09 (0.502.19) 0.82
Treatment for sepsis 3 (2.2) 11 (8.0) 0.28 (0.071.01) 0.05 0.29 (0.071.10) 0.07
Blood transfusion 4 (2.9) 5 (3.6) 0.81 (0.222.86) 0.75 0.79 (0.193.10) 0.74
* For perinatal outcomes, the relative risks, 95% confidence intervals, and P values were estimated by logistic regression
clustered on maternal identifiers to account for nonindependence between twin pairs. Relative risks were adjusted for
maternal age, body-mass index, smoking status, race, history of preterm birth, and cervical length at the time of ran-
domization.
There were 125 pregnancies and 136 infants in the progesterone group.
There were 125 pregnancies and 138 infants in the placebo group.
Intraventricular hemorrhage was grade 2 in all infants.
that in women with a short cervix, the daily vag- AUTHOR, PLEASE NOTE:
Figure has been redrawn and type has been reset.
inal administration of 200 mg of progesterone in preterm delivery was associated with proges-
Please check carefully.
from 24 to 34 weeks of gestation significantly terone treatment. In a larger study published else-
reduces the rate of spontaneous preterm delivery. where in this
JOB:issue
35702 of the Journal that examined
ISSUE: 07-12-07
No. Delivering
Maternal Total No. Spontaneously P Value for
Characteristic of Patients at <34 Wk Homogeneity
All patients 250 67
Cervical length 0.25
<12 mm 125 44
1215 mm 125 23
Age 0.93
35 yr 46 18
<35 yr 204 49
Body-mass index 0.75
30.0 37 12
20.029.9 187 49
<20.0 26 6
Race 0.65
White 95 33
Black 137 28
Other 18 6
Obstetrical history 0.87
Parous with 1 previous preterm birth 38 16
Parous with no previous preterm birth 72 13
Nulliparous 140 38
No. of gestations 0.69
Twin 24 11
Singleton 226 56
0.01 0.1 1.0 10
Progesterone Better Placebo Better
Figure 3. Relative Risk of Spontaneous Birth before 34 Weeks Associated with Progesterone Use in Relation to Maternal
Characteristics at the Time of Randomization.
ICM
AUTHOR: Fonseca (Nicolaides) RETAKE 1st
FIGURE: 3 of 3 2nd
Filled circles indicate the relative risks,
REG Fand bars the 95% confidence intervals. The MantelHaenszel test was used to
3rd
test for homogeneity. The body-mass CASEindex is the weight in kilograms divided by the square of the height in meters.
Revised
EMail Line 4-C SIZE
ARTIST: ts H/T H/T
Enon 22p3
Combo
bioavailability and the absence of undesirable sidePLEASE
AUTHOR, ducingNOTE:spontaneous preterm birth in women with
effects, such as sleepiness, fatigue, and
Figure has head-
been cervical
redrawn and type haslengths
been reset.less than 15 mm, it should be
Please check carefully.
aches. 19,20 noted that less than one third of the women in
The American College of JOB:Obstetricians
35702 and our overall study
ISSUE: group who had spontaneous
07-12-07
Gynecologists Committee on Obstetric Practice preterm delivery met this criterion. Future random-
recommends that women who have had a previ- ized trials should investigate the effectiveness of
ous preterm delivery should be considered for progesterone in other high-risk populations.
treatment with progesterone in a subsequent preg- Measuring cervical length is a readily learned
nancy but notes that the ideal formulation, opti- skill for obstetrical sonographers. Furthermore,
mal route of delivery, and long-term safety of ultrasound screening is available routinely in ma-
progesterone remain unknown.21 Epidemiologic ternity units in developed countries, and studies
and animal studies have found no significant re- have shown that transvaginal ultrasonography is
lationship between clinically administered pro- acceptable to pregnant women and does not cause
gestational drugs and congenital malformations.22 discomfort in the vast majority.24,25 The findings
However, in one study, embryonic deaths occurred of our study provide support for a strategy of rou-
in pregnant rhesus monkeys treated with intra- tine screening of pregnant women by ultrasono-
muscular injections of 17P.23 In one randomized graphic measurement of cervical length and the
trial of women with previous preterm births, the prophylactic administration of progesterone to
intramuscular administration of 17P was associ- those with a short cervix.
ated with a nonsignificant increase in miscarriage Supported by a grant (Charity No. 1037116) from the Fetal
4 Medicine Foundation, London.
or fetal death (3.6%, vs. 1.3% in controls). No potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was
Although progesterone proved effective in re- reported.
APPENDIX
In addition to the authors, the following institutions and investigators participated in the Fetal Medicine Foundation Second Trimester
Screening Group: Scientific advisory committee: S. Thornton, University of Warwick, Coventry; Z. Alfirevic, University of Liverpool,
Liverpool; and G. Smith, Cambridge University, Cambridge all in the United Kingdom; Cervical assessment: Kings College Hospital,
London P. Radhakrishnan, O. Khoury, L. Divianathan, A. Kaul, A. Rao, R. Kuppusamy; Queen Elizabeth Hospital, Woolwich, United Kingdom
F. Molina, S. Turan, K. Gajewska, V. Palanappian; University Hospital of Lewisham, London G. Paramasivam, A. Atzei, S. Poggi, H. Vafaie;
Southend University Hospital, Essex, United Kingdom P. Hagan, H. Coward, Z. Milovanovic; Darent Valley Hospital, Dartford, United Kingdom
D. Nikolopoulou, F. Tsolakidis; Hospital Clinico Universidad de Chile, Santiago, Chile G. Rencoret, D. Pedraza, E. Valdes; Hospital do
Servidor Pblico Estadual Francisco Morato de Oliveira, So Paulo S. Valadares, R. Damiao; University Hospital, Larissa, Greece H. Skentou.
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