PRECIO DEFLACTADO DEL ARROZ

Ao
Ao IPC 2010=100 RMV (soles) PRECIO POR kg/arroz RMV constante
2000 2000 79.20 410.00 3.43 517.68
2001 2001 80.70 410.00 3.40 508.05
2002 2002 80.90 460.00 3.30 568.60
2003 2003 82.70 460.00 3.29 556.23
2004 2004 85.70 460.00 3.36 536.76
2005 2005 87.10 460.00 3.29 528.13
2006 2006 88.90 500.00 3.37 562.43
2007 2007 90.50 530.00 3.64 585.64
2008 2008 95.70 550.00 2.95 574.71
2009 2009 98.50 550.00 2.16 558.38
2010 2010 100.00 550.00 2.12 550.00
2011 2011 103.40 600.00 2.72 580.27
2012 2012 107.10 750.00 2.61 700.28
2013 2013 110.20 750.00 2.50 680.58
2014 2014 113.70 750.00 2.77 659.63
2015 114.20 750.00 2.62 656.74

PRECIO DEFLACTADO DEL BIEN SUSTITUTO (PAPA)

Ao Ao IPC 2010=100 RMV (soles) PRECIO kg/papa RMV constante

2000 2000 79.20 410.00 0.49 517.68
2001 2001 80.70 410.00 0.61 508.05
2002 2002 80.90 460.00 0.36 568.60
2003 2003 82.70 460.00 0.63 556.23
2004 2004 85.70 460.00 0.56 536.76
2005 2005 87.10 460.00 0.48 528.13
2006 2006 88.90 500.00 0.66 562.43
2007 2007 90.50 530.00 0.56 585.64
2008 2008 95.70 550.00 0.76 574.71
2009 2009 98.50 550.00 0.72 558.38
2010 2010 100.00 550.00 0.75 550.00
2011 2011 103.40 600.00 0.68 580.27
2012 2012 107.10 750.00 0.73 700.28
2013 2013 110.20 750.00 0.88 680.58
2014 2014 113.70 750.00 0.66 659.63
2015 114.20 750.00 1.02 656.74

PRECIO DEFLACTADO DEL PRODUCTO COMPLEMENTARIO(POLLO)

Ao Ao IPC 2010=100 RMV (soles) PRECIO POR Kg/POLLO RMV CONSTANTE
2000 2000 79.20 410.00 4.83 517.68
2001 2001 80.70 410.00 4.90 508.05
2002 2002 80.90 460.00 4.74 568.60
2003 2003 82.70 460.00 4.75 556.23
2004 2004 85.70 460.00 5.26 536.76
2005 2005 87.10 460.00 4.95 528.13
2006 2006 88.90 500.00 5.34 562.43
2007 2007 90.50 530.00 5.64 585.64
2008 2008 95.70 550.00 6.58 574.71
2009 2009 98.50 550.00 6.93 558.38
2010 2010 100.00 550.00 6.83 550.00
2011 2011 103.40 600.00 7.01 580.27
2012 2012 107.10 750.00 7.23 700.28
2013 2013 110.20 750.00 8.00 680.58
2014 2014 113.70 750.00 7.66 659.63
2015 114.20 750.00 7.9 656.74
 Consumo per
PRECIO constante capita consumo constante
4.33 42 53.03
4.21 44 54.52
4.08 45 55.62
3.98 46 55.62
3.92 38 44.34
3.78 48 55.11
3.79 51 57.37
4.02 48 53.04
3.08 55 57.47
2.19 57 57.87
2.12 57 57.00
2.63 58 56.09
2.44 59 55.09
2.27 60 54.45
2.44 60 52.77
2.29 61 53.42

PRECIO CONSTANTE
0.62
0.76
0.44
0.76
0.65
0.55
0.74
0.62
0.79
0.73
0.75
0.66
0.68
0.80
0.58
0.89
PRECIO CONSTANTE
6.10
6.07
5.86
5.74
6.14
5.68
6.01
6.23
6.88
7.04
6.83
6.78
6.75
7.26
6.74
6.92
Ao demanda del arroz precio real del arroz precio resl de la pa precio real del pol
2000 42 4.33 0.62 0.22
2001 44 4.21 0.76 0.21
2002 45 4.08 0.44 0.20
2003 46 3.98 0.76 0.20
2004 38 3.92 0.65 0.20
2005 48 3.78 0.55 0.19
2006 51 3.79 0.74 0.19
2007 48 4.02 0.62 0.20
2008 55 3.08 0.79 0.15
2009 57 2.19 0.73 0.11
2010 57 2.12 0.75 0.11
2011 58 2.63 0.66 0.13
2012 59 2.44 0.68 0.12
2013 60 2.27 0.80 0.11
2014 60 2.44 0.58 0.12
2015 61 2.29 0.89 0.11
RMV constante Ao demanda del arroz precio real del arr precio resl de la pa
14.29 2000 3.7376696183 1.4657541483 -0.4801560007
17.94 2001 3.7841896339 1.4382070423 -0.2798647111
10.91 2002 3.8066624898 1.4058788304 -0.8096948856
19.15 2003 3.8286413965 1.3808381487 -0.2720848756
16.67 2004 3.6375861597 1.3662583344 -0.4255011349
14.59 2005 3.8712010109 1.3290008669 -0.595855873
19.58 2006 3.9318256327 1.3325707878 -0.2978574005
15.38 2007 3.8712010109 1.3918040169 -0.47999816
25.76 2008 4.0073331852 1.1257570579 -0.2304849582
33.33 2009 4.0430512678 0.7852218595 -0.3133904292
35.38 2010 4.0430512678 0.7514160887 -0.2876820725
25.00 2011 4.0604430105 0.9671971042 -0.4190972569
27.97 2012 4.0775374439 0.8907574299 -0.3833035363
35.20 2013 4.0943445622 0.8191640211 -0.2249600822
23.83 2014 4.0943445622 0.8904541054 -0.5439086587
38.93 2015 4.1108738642 0.8303932065 -0.1129784839
precio real del poRMV constante
-1.5299781252 2.65926004
-1.5580251063 2.88709843
-1.5908529435 2.38959647
-1.6163930009 2.95224716
-1.6314719419 2.81341072
-1.6692282868 2.68031345
-1.6661569947 2.974742
-1.6074221459 2.73336801
-1.8739672369 3.24892817
-2.2150003193 3.5065579
-2.2493037264 3.56607202
-2.0340200996 3.21887582
-2.1109569154 3.33110922
-2.1830472185 3.56104608
-2.1122537819 3.17080742
-2.1728110819 3.6617985
Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente d 0.9268635
Coeficiente 0.85907595
R^2 ajustado 0.83739533
Error tpico 1.91981922
Observacione 16

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 2 292.085824 146.042912 39.6241369 2.9404E-06
Residuos 13 47.9141757 3.68570583
Total 15 340

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepcin 1976.45235 11.1804804 176.77705 2.2889E-23 1952.29839 2000.60631 1952.29839
Variable X 1 0.05738392 1.90692027 0.03009246 0.9764504 -4.0622669 4.1770347 -4.0622669
Variable X 2 0.59595958 0.11711966 5.08846753 0.00020791 0.34293794 0.84898122 0.34293794
Superior 95.0%
2000.60631
4.1770347
0.84898122
Y X1 X2
Ao Precio por KgConsumo PerCapita
2000 3.43 42
2001 3.4 44
2002 3.3 45
2003 3.29 46
2004 3.36 38
2005 3.29 48
2006 3.37 51
2007 3.37 48
2008 2.95 55
2009 2.16 57
2010 2.12 57
2011 2.72 58
2012 2.61 59
2013 2.5 60
2014 2.77 60
2015 2.62 61
Resumen

Estadsticas de la regresin
Coeficiente d 0.92654217
Coeficiente 0.85848039
R^2 ajustado 0.73976716
Error tpico 0.06260309
Observacione 16

ANLISIS DE VARIANZA
Grados de libertad
Suma de cuadrados
Promedio de los cuadradosF Valor crtico de F
Regresin 4 0.28528998 0.07132249 24.264635 2.0717E-05
Residuos 12 0.04702976 0.00391915
Total 16 0.33231974

Coeficientes Error tpico Estadstico t Probabilidad Inferior 95% Superior 95%Inferior 95.0%
Intercepcin -100.82056 45.200744 -2.2305067 0.04556921 -199.30452 -2.3366005 -199.30452
Variable X 1 34.7892915 15.1413393 2.29763634 0.04036991 1.79914706 67.7794359 1.79914706
Variable X 2 0 0 65535 #NUM! 0 0 0
Variable X 3 -34.981918 15.0273758 -2.3278793 #NUM! -67.723757 -2.2400784 -67.723757
Variable X 4 0.01605139 0.10392643 0.15444957 0.87982251 -0.2103849 0.24248764 -0.2103849

Anlisis de los residuales Resultados de datos de probabilidad

Observacin
Pronstico para YResiduos
Residuos estndares Percentil Y
1 3.73624033 0.00142929 0.02636297 3.125 3.63758616
2 3.76269033 0.0214993 0.39655007 9.375 3.73766962
3 3.77840984 0.02825265 0.52111411 15.625 3.78418963
4 3.80973378 0.01890762 0.348747 21.875 3.80666249
5 3.82777411 -0.190188 -3.5079761 28.125 3.8286414
6 3.85026617 0.02093484 0.38613864 34.375 3.87120101
7 3.87174749 0.06007814 1.10812847 40.625 3.87120101
8 3.87389753 -0.0026965 -0.0497368 46.875 3.93182563
9 3.95084619 0.05648699 1.04189049 53.125 4.00733319
10 4.03799441 0.00505686 0.09327265 59.375 4.04305127
11 4.06286984 -0.0198186 -0.3655493 65.625 4.04305127
12 4.03313141 0.0273116 0.50375657 71.875 4.06044301
13 4.06704815 0.01048929 0.19347273 78.125 4.07753744
14 4.10191204 -0.0075675 -0.1395805 84.375 4.09434456
15 4.09928952 -0.004945 -0.0912087 90.625 4.09434456
16 4.13610497 -0.0252311 -0.4653823 96.875 4.11087386
 Variable X 1 Grfico de los residuales
0.1
0
Variable X 2 Grfico de los residuales
Residuos
0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 0.1
-0.1
Variable X 3 Grfico de los residuales
0
-0.2

Residuos
-0.9 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 0.1
-0.3 Variable X 4 Grfico de-0.1los residual
0
-0.2

Residuos
-2.3Variable
-2.2X 1 -2.1
0.1 -2 -1.9 -1.8 -1.7 -1.6 -1.5 -1.4
0.05
0
Variable X 1 Curva de regresi
-0.3
-0.1
-0.2

Residuos
Variable
-0.05 2.2 X 22.4
4.2 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4
-0.1
-0.15
4 Variable X 2 Curva de
-0.3
3.8Variable X 3
-0.2
-0.25 3.6 Variable X 3

Y
3.4
Superior 95.0% 3.2 Variable X 4

Y
-2.3366005 0.7 0.8 0.9 1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5
67.7794359 Grfico de probabilidad normal Variable X 1

Y
0 -0.9 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 -
-2.2400784 Variable X 2
0.24248764 4.2 -2.3 -2.2 -2.1 -2
4
3.8
Y

3.6
3.4
0 20 40 Muestra percentil
60 80 100 120
 ales
0.1
s residuales
0
2 -0.1 0 0.1
fico de-0.1los residuales
0
-0.2
-1.7 -1.6 -1.5 -1.4
1 Curva de regresin
-0.1
-0.3 ajustada
-0.2
2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8
riable X 2 Curva de regresin ajustada
-0.3
Y
4.2
Variable X 3 Curva de regresin ajustada
Pronstico
4 para Y
Variable X 4 3.8 Y 4.2
1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.6 Variable X 4 Curva de regresin ajustada
3.6
3.4
Pronstico
4 para Y
Variable X 1 3.2 3.8 Y
4.2 3.6 Pronstico para Y
Y

9 -0.8 -0.7 -0.6 -0.5 -0.4 4 -0.3 -0.2 -0.1 0 3.4

Variable3.8
X2 3.2 Y
3.6 Pronstico para Y
Y

-2.3 -2.2 -2.1 -2 -1.9 -1.8 -1.7 -1.6 -1.5 -1.4

3.4
3.2 Variable X 3
2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.8
Variable X 4