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Analysis,
Evaluation and
Recommendatio
ns for Outdoors
PLC
By: Carlos Arturo Molina Quijano
Student Number: 2162400
Masters of Business Administration
Financial Management
Lecturer: Paul Lydon
December 2016
Financial Analysis, Evaluation and Recommendations for Outdoors PLC
CONTENTS INTRODUCTION
A. Profitability ------------------------------------ 2
I. Gross Profit Margin -------------- 2 In this Financial Analysis
II. Return on Assets ----------------- 4 Outdoors PLC profitability,
equity and efficiency have
B. Liquidity --------------------------------------- 5
I. Current Ratio --------------------- 5 been compared with one of
II. Quick Ratio ----------------------- 7 the leaders in the garden
furniture market in the UK:
C. Investment --------------------------------------------
8 Wyevale Garden Centres
I. Earnings per Share ----------------------- Capital Limited . In order to
9 having a better perspective,
II. Dividends per Share --------------------
10 deeper inside of the
III. Net assets per Share ------------------- companys position in the
10 industryand how it manages
IV. Dividend Cover Ratio ----------------- 11
its resources.
D. Efficiency
------------------------------------------------ 12 Furthermore, has been
I. Operating Asset Turnover Ratio ------ analysed, and selected the
12 posible investment options of;
II. Working Capital Turnover --------------
14 expanding its flourishing
retail outlet, developing
E. Gearing -------------------------------------- 16 internet sales and producing
I. Debt to Equity Ratio ----------- 17
II. Interest Cover Ratio ----------- 18 greenhouses and
conservatories. Using different
F. Investment Options ---------------------------- 19 Financial Modelling
I. Net Present Value -------------------- 21
II. Project Selection (CVA) ------------ 24 techniques.
III. Internal Rate of Return -------------- 26
H. Financing ------------------------------------------- 29
I. References
------------------------------------------32
Profitability
In this case the profitability has been analysed based on the following
information given by Outdoors PLC from 2011 to 2015;
For example:
This means that for every American Dollar earned, 60 cents are Gross
Profit.
If the number is closer to 0 it says that the Profit is also almost null.
So, higher the number means more profit.
It means that 2015 was the year with better GPM, obtaining a profit of
7.5 pence for each 1 earned.
The possible reasons if a low GPM: low selling prices, high supplier
costs, lack of efficiency in Product mix costs.
The ROA is the percentage of the return generated with the resources
(assets) that the company has. Lets say that a 50% of ROA means
that every $1 earned, came from every $2 of investment.
The possible reason if this decreasing ROA in the demand decline and
over investing in stock or other assets.
Liquidity
Siciliano (2003 p34) also says that Liquidity is "the ability to meet
obligations with cash or other assets that can be quickly converted to
cash, to pay the bills as they come due".
In simple words, is how much does the company can pay its obligations
and still having money available. The opposite of this is "Insolvency".
Current Ratio
Siciliano (2013 p 102) says that Current Ratio is "The relationship between
current assets (which are cash or will become cash within the next 12
months) and current liabilities (debts that must be paid within the same 12
Months)".
It Is calculated as follows:
It is shown as x.x:y, and some intuitions want to see ratios of 2:1, but it
depends on the industry.
'000
In 2011 it had a high ratio of 1.75:1 then, it grew up to 1.79 in 2012, but
then a constant decrease took place from 2013 with 1.42:1 to 2015 with a
Current ratio of 1.34. Even though, this ratio has been going lower,
Outdoors PLC is still positioned on the Wyevalen Garden Centres Current
Ratio average.
Its possible that in 2011, Outdoors PLC had problems with its working
capital management, although in 2013 they improved it. But they may not
reach less than 1.30:1 considering the industry average (of 1.40:1) given
by Wyevalen Garden Centres.
"How quickly a company's assets can be turned into cash, which is why
assessment of a company's liquidity also is known as the quick ratio, or
simply the acid ratio" (Calculating Acid-Test Ratio, Bloomsbury Business
Library - Actionlists & Checklists, 2007 p20).
This is very like Current Ratio, but here we will assume that the Inventory
take time to be sold, so, it won't generate quick cash.
Investment
Investment
Ratios
Considering the last statement, we can assume that the formula is:
The Net Profit of the company also has been increased each year, that is
reflected directly on the EPS,
"Earnings per share is influenced, as for profitability, by the profit but also
(like dividends) by the number of shares issued" (Collier, 2013 p89).
This means that the amount of the dividend given to the shareholder will
depend on how many shares he owns.
Is very similar to EPS, but in this case instead of considerate the ordinary
shares, we will take the total of shares in the company.
According to Dyson (2010 p230), "This ratio shows the number of times
that the ordinary dividend could be paid out of current earnings".
Efficiency
In simple words, efficiency is; How much time does the company takes for
selling the actual stock and how much it can earn.
Efficiency
Ratios
If the number is bigger it means that the revenue is bigger than the
value of the company assets.
'000
2015 2014
Wyevalen Garden Centres
2015 2014
Wyevalen Garden Centres
From 2.3 to 2.1, the possible reason is that the company, just like
Wyevalen Garden Centres, acquired more Assets, or they revalued them to
a greater value.
Even though theres not significant change in the Outdoors PLC OATR, we
should analyse the stock management, because possibly there is an
excess of inventory.
It measures how much does the sales cover the money invested to
generate short term operations or better known as working capital
(current assets - current liabilities).
'000
2015 2014
Wyevalen Garden Centres
Gearing
Collier (2003, p86) says "The higher the gearing, the higher the risk of
repaying debt and interest. The lower the interest cover, the more
pressure there is on profits to fund interest charges".
It's the most used Gearing Ratio and it's calculated as follows:
This mean that the company needs more external investment to run, than
the internal. Is possible that this may be caused by possible new projects.
Recommendation: To run more with equity than debt, there may exist
difficulties for paying in the future if the gearing ratio goes up.
(Alexander et al, 2014 p241). "The interest cover ratio is a ratio which
indicates the safety margin between profits generated and interest
charges and is calculated as follows":
In other words, it measures how much of interest of debt can pay the
company with its earnings.
Interpretation: From 2011 to 2014 the ICR was over 3.6, But, in 2015. It
decreased to 2.9 times. Its possible that between 2014 and 2015 the
company borrowed more money even if they had good earnings.
If an overstock happens, and the sales goes down. Outdoors PLC can face
serious problems paying the debts, theres no risk, but if the ICR goes
lower, the company could have issues in the short term.
Investment Options
Outdoors PLC has the potential to expand the business, and there are
identified three main options for a four-year plan:
Even though, these Financial Modelling techniques exist, the actual era
requires Discounting Methods of Investment Appraisal. Because the money
now is more volatile than it was in past years.
Neither the accounting rate of return nor the payback method considers
the time value of money, i.e. that 100 is worth more now than in a years
time, because it can be invested now at a rate of interest that will increase
its value (Collier, 2003 p186).
In this case the best options are; the Net Present Value (NPV)
technique, because it considers cash outflows and inflows as would occur
in a real world and then rank the various alternatives (Anandarajan et al,
2004 p109), and the Internal Rate of Return (IRR) technique estimates
what rate of return is required in order to ensure that the total NPV equals
the total initial cost (Dyson, 2010 p430).
With this technique, we can have an idea of how much does the future
cash values today.
It is calculated as follows:
R = Discounting rate
N= Number of period
000
Project A Discount
Period PV of Cash Flow
Factor 10%
Cash Flow
0 -75 1 - 75
1 40 0.909 + 36.36
2 50 0.826 + 41.30
3 50 0.751 + 37.55
4 50 0.683 + 34.15
000
Project A Discount
Period PV of Cash Flow
Factor 10%
Cash Flow
0 -120 1 - 120
1 50 0.909 + 45.45
2 60 0.826 + 49.56
3 80 0.751 + 60.08
Project A Discount
Period PV of Cash Flow
Factor 10%
Cash Flow
0 -200 1 - 200
1 50 0.909 + 45.45
Project Selection
For select the most appropriate project, two key points must be
considered:
Its expected that the IRR must be at least the same Required Rate of
Return (in this case the Cost of Capital), so we can be sure that we are
doing a good investment.
It is calculated as follows:
000
Period Cash A B A B
Flow Discount Discount Present Present
Factor Factor Value Value
45% 50%
0 -75 1 1 -75 -75
1 40 0.689 0.666 27.56 26.64
2 50 0.475 0.444 23.75 22.20
3 50 0.328 0.296 16.40 14.80
4 50 0.226 0.197 11.30 9.85
IRR= 48.632
Divisible Projects
The funds are limited to 250,000. In order to select the best option, we
will consider the ratios obtained with the Cash Value Added formula used
before.
Cash Value Added
(Profitability Index)
Project A 99.15 %
Project B 86.16 %
Project C 71.58 %
Recommendation:
Financing
The disadvantage is that it can take too much time, and this is a
medium-term project.
Credit sale: Outdoors PLC can pay for the goods, without having
ownership of them until the contract is finished.
Disadvantage: The basic cost of the goods may be far higher than
other suppliers are charging (Dyson, 2010 p437).
Hire purchase:
Considering these ratios, the best option for finance in Project A is to take
a credit orientation.
Leasing is a good option. If, we use this financial source, it wont impact
very hard to the company gearing.
References
Alexander, D., Britton, A., Jorissen, A., Hoogendoorn, M., van Mourik.
C. (2014) International Financial Reporting and Analysis, 6th Edition,
Hampshire, Cengage Learning, pp 241-245, 582.