Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
energy
australia
Report 2013
Front cover image: Greenough River Solar Farm, Western Australia.
Courtesy of First Solar.
table of contents
01 Introduction
05 executive summary
07 snapshot
09 2013 in review
17 employment
19 investment
21 electricity prices
23 demand for electricity
25 energy efficiency
32 energy storage
33 cogeneration / trigeneration
35 summary of clean energy generation
37 bioenergy
39 geothermal
41 hydro
43 marine
45 solar power
51 large-scale solar power
55 solar water heating
59 wind power
65 AppendiCES
65 APPENDIX 1: TOP 10 SOLAR POSTCODES by state
68 APPENDIX 2
Introduction
David Green
Chief Executive,
Clean Energy Council
4
Executive summary
1 Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2014, P1, H1 2014 Energy Market Outlook
2 Roam Consulting, RET Policy Analysis, April 2014 http://www.cleanenergycouncil.org.au/policy-advocacy/renewable-energy-target/ret-policy-analysis.html
About the Clean
Energy Council
Estimated percentage
contribution of
each technology to
renewable generation3
3 C lean Energy Council Renewable Energy Database, BREE 2013, REC Registry, AEMO, IMO, IES. Note some figures have been rounded.
4 The figure for total Australian electricity generation includes scheduled and non-scheduled large-scale renewable and fossil fuel generation from power plants that are included in
the National Electricity Market (NEM) and the Western Australian Electricity Market (WEM) as well as non-market participants, small scale solar power systems, off-grid renewable
and fossil fuel generation from the Northern Territory, WA and the states covered by the NEM. Total electricity generation in Australia was 235 TWh in 2013.
5 AEMO, 2013, Electricity Statement of Opportunities for the National Electricity Market 2013
6 Australian Energy Regulator, 2013, State of the Energy Market 2013
7 NEO Mobile database, 2013, Intelligent Energy Systems
Annual renewable electricity generation8
Electricity generated between 1 January 2013 and 31 December 2013
SA SA
WA WA
VIC VIC
TAS TAS
NSW NSW
QLD QLD
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Generation (000 GWh) Total Installed and proposed capacity (000 MW)
Fossil Fuel Generation Total generation includes Capacity of Renewable Energy Projects in Development (000 MW)
NEM and WEM data and
Renewable Energy Generation small-scale solar power only, Total Installed Capacity of Renewable Energy (000 MW)
so may differ from the total
electricity generation figures.
8 Clean Energy Council Renewable Energy Database, BREE 2013, REC Registry, AEMO, IMO, IES. Note some figures have been rounded.
9 Figures do not include auxiliary load or transmission line losses
10 Electricity generated equivalent in households is calculated using 7.1 MWh national average household energy consumption
11 As solar water heating does not produce electricity it has not been included in the total generation or equivalent in household figures
12 Clean Energy Council Renewable Energy Database, BREE 2013, REC Registry, AEMO, IMO, IES.
13 Clean Energy Council Renewable Energy Database
8
2013 in review
3.1
illion Australians lived
m
or worked at a property
with solar panels installed
at the end of 2013
3500
3270 MW
3000
Cumulative installed capacity (MW)
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
At the beginning of January 2014, 19 large-scale clean energy plants were under construction. The majority of these were wind farms, with
Trustpowers Snowtown 2 wind farm the largest of those underway. Most of the other projects are split between Victoria and New South
Wales. At the end of January it was announced that construction had begun on AGL and First Solars $300 million Nyngan Solar Plant.
hydro 1373
wind 2722
bioenergy 2532
solar pv 13053
geothermal 85
marine 65
Note: Includes estimates for small-scale PV investment (under 100kW). Corporate and government research and development estimates
are not included. There is no adjustment for re-invested equity. Estimates are included for undisclosed deal values.
Wind
Solar PV
Black coal
201314
Open cycle gas turbine/diesel
201415
201516
201617
201718
201819
201920
power, which is set to rise dramatically in per cent exemption for many other
cost over the course of the decade. businesses to minimise costs for
these industries.
9 % 3% 5%
Contribution the Renewable
increase in gas prices Energy Target made to the average
on 1 july 2013 in nsw household power bill in 2013
90
300 % 90%
exemption from the RET for
potential increase in east the most energy intensive
coast gas prices trade exposed industries
22
DEMAND FOR electricity
Managing peak
electricity demand
Electricity use in Australia The growth in peak demand the Substantial scope exists for different
small number of times each year when types of power demand management
declined for the fifth very high volumes of electricity are used to make a major contribution to peak
consecutive year in is a major factor that has helped drive demand for the benefit of electricity
up power bills. Peak demand periods consumers. These can include remotely
2013, according to the typically occur on the hottest few days cycling air-conditioners on and off, a
Australian Energy Market in summer, as shown by a heatwave in more widespread use of energy storage,
Operator (AEMO). Power mid-January 2014 when temperatures and a system that charges different
peaked above 40 degrees Celsius in both rates for power use during peak periods.
consumption fell in all Victoria and South Australia for four
The increasing uptake of solar panels
states covered by the days straight.
is playing a role in managing peak
National Electricity Market In the whole of 2012, peak demand demand on hot summer days, and the
(NEM), with the exception occurred for a total period of less than technologys growing contribution was
40 hours, but the cost of ensuring the evident during the 2014 heatwave. The
of Tasmania. power system can meet peak demand Energy Supply Association of Australia
continues to add disproportionate costs. acknowledged that rooftop solars
A combination of factors contributed, contribution was probably what stopped
Energy policy experts generally agree
including a decline in manufacturing Victoria from hitting a new record for
that building additional power plants
activity, improvements in energy network power use on a single day.30
specifically to meet the small number
efficiency, public concern about rising
of peak demand periods each year is
power prices, and the continued uptake
the most expensive way to deal with
of residential solar power systems and
the issue.
solar hot water systems.
A variety of trial projects are underway
Reduced power demand is leading to
across the country to investigate the
lower returns for existing coal and gas
benefits and costs of smart grids and
generators, which are competing for a
different smart energy technologies to
share of a gradually diminishing market.
help manage the problem.
40+
>40
peak temperature,
in degrees Celsius,
in Victoria and South otal period, in hours,
t
Australia for four of peak demand for
days in January 2014 power in 2012
30 T
hreat to energy support now shifts to bush fires and storms, ESAA media release, 17 January 2014. http://www.esaa.com.au/media/
threat_to_energy_supply_shifts_to_bush_fires_and_storms_1
Total NEM electricity
consumption 2005-201331
NEM-wide electricity consumption (TWh)
220
210
200
190
180
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
15
10
0
TWh
-5
-10
Gas
-15 Wind and other renewables
Brown coal
-20 Hydro
Black coal
-25
07/06 12/06 07/07 12/07 07/08 12/08 07/09 12/09 07/10 12/10 07/11 12/11 07/12 12/12 07/13 12/13
Month/year
31 A
EMO data Source: Graph courtesy of greenmarkets.com.au taken from http://reneweconomy.com.au/2014/power-consumption-falls-
as-renewables-make-up-12-of-australia-market-2013
32 pitt&sherry, 2013, Carbon Emissions Index (Cedex) Electricity Update, http://www.pittsh.com.au/cedex 24
energy efficiency
typical distribution
of energy use in an
australian household40
33 Report of the Prime Ministers Task Group on Energy Efficiency, July 2010 http://ee.ret.gov.au/sites/default/files/documents/03_2013/report---prime---minister---task---group---
energy---efficiency.pdf
34 N SW Government, Unlocking Energy Savings in NSW: Enhancing the NSW Energy Savings Scheme, Rule change consultation paper, 2013, http://www.energy.nsw.gov.au/__data/
assets/pdf_file/0020/479000/ess-consultation-paper.pdf
35 Auspoll survey for the Clean Energy Council, June 2011;
36 Energy shock: pressure mounts for efficiency action, AiGroup, July 2012
37 CHOICE online survey of Australian household energy decision makers, June 2012
38 ClimateWorks, July 2013, Tracking Progress Towards a Low Carbon Economy http://www.climateworksaustralia.org/project/current/tracking-progress-towards-low-carbon-economy
39 ibid
40 E nergy Efficient Strategies (EES), 2013, Beyond Zero Emissions Zero Carbon Plan - Residential Plan, prepared for Beyond Zero emissions, results presented at the Australian Alliance
to Save Energy (A2SE) conference, Sydney, NSW
for australia, a 1% increase
in energy efficiency would
boost 2030 GDP per capita by
2.26%, or $1200 per person,
and total gdp by $26 billion41
$26
billion
Increase in Australian GDP (A$ 2005 PPP billion)
$16
billion
$8
billion
$3
billion
decrease in
heating and
17 %
cooling energy
consumption
of new homes
since 2010.
State-based energy
efficiency programs
4
almost
million tonnes
of emissions
saved under
the new south
wales energy
savings scheme
New South Wales NSW energy savings certificates
Energy Savings Scheme created by year42
Commercial lighting
Commercial other
Household appliances
Industrial
44 Energy Saver Incentive Scheme: Phase 1 Evaluation Survey, September 2011, http://www.dpi.vic.gov.au/energy/environment-and-community/energy-efficiency/energy-saver-
incentive-scheme/esi-scheme-phase-1-evaluation-survey
45, 46 Victorian Government ESC Public Forum, 8 November 2013, available: https://www.veet.vic.gov.au/Public/Pub.aspx
2013 VEET certificates
by activity
bioenergy geothermal
6.9% 0.001%
of total clean of total clean
energy generation energy generation
139 2
operational plants operational plants
household wind
solar
11% 26%
of total clean of total clean
energy generation energy generation
1,250,000 68
installations (APPROX) operational plants
solar water
hydro heating
55% 7%
of total clean equivalent of clean energy generated
energy generation saved through solar water heating
123 847,700
operational plants installations
large-scale marine
solar
0.21% 0.001%
of total clean of total clean
energy generation energy generation
49 1
operational plants operational plant
36
bioenergy
ACT
3 plants operating
south australia
8 plants operating
tasmania
4 plants operating
1 under development
victoria
28 plants operating
2 under development
Bioenergy plants
commissioned in 2012 and 201350
Case study
1 MW Habanero Pilot Plant Project,
Cooper Basin, South Australia
south australia
1 plant operating
2 under development
55%
Scheme in New South Wales and of the carbon price saw water levels at
Hydro Tasmanias network of power Hydro Tasmanias Gordon Dam the
plants. Most suitable sites for hydro states largest hydro generator rise to of total clean
power in Australia have already been their highest since the late 1990s. energy generation
developed and there is limited scope for
The substantially higher output across
growth. The development of mini hydro
the Tasmanian and Snowy Mountain
plants or upgrading existing power
schemes helped hydro push clean
plants makes up most of the additional
energys contribution to the countrys
activity in the sector.
total power supply to 14.76 per cent,
Rainfall was above average for a significant increase on the previous
Australias eastern coastline and year. This is likely to fall in 2014 as
northern Tasmania in 2013 the generation at the Gordon Dam returns
location of key hydro catchments. to average levels.
Parts of Tasmania experienced
repeated heavy rains and flooding
between July and November.
52 IES, AEMO
queensland
western australia 10 plants operating
2 plants operating 1 under development
ACT
2 plants operating
south australia
2 plants operating
tasmania
35 plants operating
victoria
33 plants operating
south australia
1 plant under
development tasmania
3 plants under
development
victoria
4 plants under
development
4670
awareness and concern about rising
the country at the end of 2013. This
energy bills, the business case for solar
is a drop of 5 per cent compared
remains very compelling. bundaberg, QLD
to the year before and reflects the
Data from the Clean Energy Regulator consolidation of the sector following
continues to show that Australians from the reduction of state support schemes. australias top solar
postcode, with 8015
all walks of life are embracing solar
installations
technology. Residents from affluent
inner-city suburbs generally installed
solar at much lower rates than those
in mortgage belt, retirement and
regional areas.
4595
solar installers
countrywide at the
end of 2013
Top 10 solar postcodes in Australia
The top 10 solar postcodes in each state are available in the Appendix
400
Number of solar PV systems installed annually (000)
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
54 SunWiz 2014
Annual capacity of solar PV
installed in Australia (200713)55
1200
1000
800
MW
600
400
200
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
55 SunWiz 2014 48
solar power
11 %
20.2 %
15.4 %
32.8 %
17.1%
ACT NT TAS
1.3 %
0.4 %
1.9%
Bloomberg New Energy Finance predicts another 2.6 GW 3.7 GW of solar capacity to be installed in Australia between
2013 and 2016.55
6000
Number of accredited installers and designers
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
There were 4595 solar installers across the country at the end of 2013. This is a drop of 5 per
cent compared to the year before and reflects the consolidation of the sector following the
reduction of state support schemes.
56 SunWiz 2014. Due to rounding, totals may not add up to 100 per cent
57 Bloomberg New Energy Finance, 2013, H1 2013 Australia Clean Energy Market Outlook
Accredited solar panel installers and designers
in Australia by state
1600
1500
1400
1300
Number of accredited installers and designers
1200
1100
1000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
NSW ACT WA QLD VIC NT SA TAS
50
large-scale
solar power
0.021%
the 10 megawatt (MW) Greenough auction support process to reward the
River solar photovoltaic (PV) facility in proponents of lowest cost large-scale
Western Australia and a 9.3 MW solar solar projects. Fotowatio Renewable of total clean
thermal plant which was added to the Ventures is currently constructing a 20 energy generation
Liddell coal-fired power plant in New megawatt solar plant at Royalla in the
South Wales (NSW). Meanwhile, interest ACT under this process, while two other
in solar systems of between 30 and projects have been awarded and are
400 kilowatts has rapidly increased as heading towards construction.
commercial and industrial businesses
Almost all recent activity in the
take up solar to reduce their exposure
large-scale sector has been in solar
to rising energy bills. This presents an
PV technology, which is the same
exciting future growth opportunity for
kind of technology that is installed on
the Australian solar industry.
household rooftops.
The Australian Renewable Energy
The domestic market for large-scale
Agency (ARENA) was set up by the
solar has attracted interest from leading
former Federal Government with
Australian renewable energy companies
bipartisan support to coordinate
and major international investors and
support for emerging technologies
developers. The Federal Government
such as large-scale solar. The 102 MW
announced in the 2014 Federal Budget
Nyngan Solar Plant is the first of two
that ARENA would be abolished and its
large-scale solar PV projects that AGL
$1.3 billion of unspent funding removed.
will deliver in partnership with First
Solar, with support from ARENA and There are concerns that this move will
the NSW Government. Construction cause many international investors
began at Nyngan in early 2014 and it is to seek out other markets with more
expected to come online by mid-2015. support for large-scale solar power.
AGLs second plant at Broken Hill is
scheduled to start construction during
2014, with an expected completion
date of late 2015.
ACT
2 plants under
development
south australia
6 plants operating
victoria
7 plants operating
900
700
2007 212,422
600 2008 297,806
2009 492,497
500
2010 619,589
400 2011 724,639
2012 794,105
300
2013 847,700
200
100
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
61 SunWiz 2014
Annual installations of solar
water heaters by state per year62
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
62 SunWiz 2014 56
solar water
heating
NSW
QLD
VIC
WA
SA
NT
TAS
ACT
63 Sunwiz 2014
Image: Rooftop solar hot water installation 58
wind power
south australia
16 plants operating
1 under construction tasmania
7 plants operating
victoria
13 plants operating
11 under construction
3500
3000
2500
2000
MW
1500
1000
500
0
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
1205 MW
SA 561 turbines
16 projects
939 MW
vic 454 turbines
13 projects
491 MW
WA 308 turbines
21 projects
310 MW
TAS 124 turbines
7 projects
282 MW
NSW 170 turbines
9 projects
12.5 MW
QLD 22 turbines
2 projects
3240 MW
TOTAL 1639 turbines
68 projects
Image: Musselroe Wind Farm, Tasmania
66 Clean Energy Council Renewable Energy Database (only includes projects larger than 100 kW) 62
wind power
30
25
Wind generation penetration (%)
20
15
10
5
SA 37.2% TAS 9.6%
WA 15.2% NSW 8.7%
0
VIC 29% QLD 0.4%
SA WA VIC TAS NSW QLD
64
appendix 1
TOP 10 solar postcodes by state69
queensland
western australia
66
tasmania
south australia
3500
3000
Cumulative installed capacity (MW)
2500
2000
1500
1000
500
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
70 SunWiz 2014 68
appendix 2
800 ACT
700 NSW
QLD
600
SA
Percentage growth
500 TAS
VIC
400
WA
300 National
200
100
0
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year
6 ACT
NSW
5 QLD
Average system size (kW)
SA
4
TAS
VIC
3
WA
NT
2
0
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Year