DATOS ESTACIN PLUVIOMTRICA

Estacin: X=
Coordenadas UTM Huso 31 (m)
Denominacin: Y=

DATOS MENSUALES DE PRECIPITACIN MXIMA EN

Ao Enero Febrero Marzo Abril Mayo Junio Julio

1989 48.80 52.10 40.20 43.00 13.70 5.80 1.60
1989 72.40 61.30 66.50 31.70 16.00 8.00 4.00
1990 42.00 45.90 49.70 19.90 8.60 0.60 46.80
1991 105.80 102.70 106.30 30.10 4.00 2.40 4.20
1992 49.70 16.40 112.40 22.80 3.80 6.40 0.30
1993 57.30 104.90 87.60 41.90 54.00 8.60 0.00
1994 20.80 57.90 46.10 82.30 14.10 2.90 5.90
1995 40.70 83.90 113.40 9.80 18.10 12.90 4.00
1996 35.60 65.00 57.00 32.60 6.30 10.70 8.90
1997 88.90 84.10 34.90 42.70 6.50 0.00 6.20
1998 56.60 43.80 106.20 28.80 14.80 11.50 0.00
1999 45.80 13.50 34.70 52.80 33.00 15.10 1.50
2000 25.70 44.30 90.40 29.10 3.00 10.10 4.80
2001 37.40 86.00 66.20 20.60 0.00 12.40 0.00
2002 17.50 40.90 74.30 25.90 16.80 12.30 5.90
2003 54.60 57.50 41.30 57.60 23.40 0.00 0.00
2004 38.70 50.40 50.30 26.00 3.60 1.40 1.20
2005 59.50 33.10 41.70 69.30 23.00 0.00 0.10
2006 54.60 41.60 26.50 15.10 9.60 2.20 0.00
2007 93.50 63.00 66.90 3.10 2.80 2.10 0.00
2008 82.60 88.50 109.30 22.30 18.40 15.10 8.60
2009 68.20 89.60 126.30 30.30 10.10 16.00 3.60
2010 45.20 36.20 85.20 46.20 10.40 3.30 8.40
2011 29.50 56.40 83.10 56.50 18.20 2.90 12.80
2012 44.70 26.90 70.50 24.60 14.30 0.30 0.10
2013 33.60 31.70 59.60 31.20 24.80 5.10 5.60
2014 32.60 45.00 92.70 12.20 1.40 0.00 2.00
2015 81.90 48.40 112.70 38.60 2.00 6.20 3.50
MAX 105.80 104.90 126.30 82.30 54.00 16.00 46.80
ICA
Cota =

CIPITACIN MXIMA EN 24 Hrs. (mm)

Agosto Septiembre Octubre Noviembre Diciembre Mximo

3.00 9.60 38.00 26.00 37.00 52.10
7.40 8.80 19.20 45.00 50.60 72.40
5.70 7.40 49.90 74.70 82.70 82.70
11.50 6.00 39.70 40.00 45.40 106.30
3.60 1.60 6.70 53.00 72.00 112.40
6.50 7.80 17.20 100.00 50.30 104.90
16.00 20.60 7.00 41.20 45.20 82.30
15.80 12.10 12.90 22.70 56.70 113.40
4.00 11.00 23.20 43.70 38.40 65.00
1.90 0.80 14.50 18.80 12.10 88.90
2.50 12.00 75.90 41.30 0.00 106.20
7.10 10.90 86.80 77.00 62.20 86.80
0.00 8.20 32.30 40.20 39.60 90.40
36.00 2.00 97.40 37.40 21.60 97.40
6.30 8.00 16.60 94.10 48.50 94.10
0.00 32.70 64.40 20.40 41.00 64.40
0.40 7.20 23.20 48.80 59.00 59.00
5.30 2.30 23.60 57.80 15.70 69.30
9.60 7.60 29.80 41.50 47.30 54.60
2.80 3.80 29.30 64.50 34.00 93.50
0.60 57.60 20.70 33.80 58.20 109.30
17.10 11.90 9.50 61.00 77.20 126.30
10.20 7.40 36.90 72.70 55.40 85.20
4.10 8.40 110.80 40.80 20.30 110.80
9.40 12.60 17.10 76.50 83.10 83.10
16.70 16.20 28.60 34.80 104.60 104.60
8.60 5.80 51.50 26.30 106.90 106.90
2.90 11.60 46.00 66.70 89.10 112.70
36.00 57.60 110.80 100.00 106.90 126.30
Distribucin de probabilidades pluviomtricas mediante Gumbel

Mes Precipitacin (mm)

N Ao
Max. Precip. xi (xi - x)^2
1 1989 52.1 52.10 1477.30413
2 1989 72.4 72.40 328.904133
3 1990 82.7 82.70 61.3984184
4 1991 106.3 106.30 248.512704
5 1992 112.4 112.40 478.04699
6 1993 104.9 104.90 206.332704
7 1994 82.3 82.30 67.8269898
8 1995 113.4 113.40 522.775561
9 1996 65 65.00 652.072704
10 1997 88.9 88.90 2.67556122
11 1998 106.2 106.20 245.369847
12 1999 86.8 86.80 13.9555612
13 2000 90.4 90.40 0.01841837
14 2001 97.4 97.40 47.1184184
15 2002 94.1 94.10 12.7041327
16 2003 64.4 64.40 683.075561
17 2004 59 59.00 994.501276
18 2005 69.3 69.30 450.955561
19 2006 54.6 54.60 1291.37556
20 2007 93.5 93.50 8.7869898
21 2008 109.3 109.30 352.098418
22 2009 126.3 126.30 1279.08413
23 2010 85.2 85.20 28.4698469
24 2011 110.8 110.80 410.641276
25 2012 83.1 83.10 55.2898469
26 2013 104.6 104.60 197.804133
27 2014 106.9 106.90 267.789847
28 2015 112.7 112.70 491.255561
28 Suma 2535.0 10876.1
Clculo variables probabilsticas

x=
xi = 90.54
n

n

( x i x )2
i =1 20.07
S= =
n1

=
6 s= 15.65

u=x 0 .5772= 81.50

s probabilsticas Clculo de las Precipitaciones Diarias Mximas Probables para distintas frecuencias

mm Periodo Variable Precip. Prob. de Correccin

Retorno Reducida (mm) ocurrencia intervalo fijo
 Aos YT XT'(mm) F(xT) XT (mm)

2 0.3665 87.2387 0.5000 98.5797

5 1.4999 104.9755 0.8000 118.6223
mm 10 2.2504 116.7188 0.9000 131.8922
25 3.1985 131.5565 0.9600 148.6588
50 3.9019 142.5639 0.9800 161.0972
mm 100 4.6001 153.4901 0.9900 173.4438
500 6.2136 178.7388 0.9980 201.9748

mm
( xu

)
F( x )=ee
Coeficientes para las relaciones a la lluvia de duracin 24 horas Fuente: D. F. Campos A., 1978

Duraciones, en horas
1 2 3 4 5 6 8
0.30 0.39 0.46 0.52 0.57 0.61 0.68

Precipitaciones mximas para diferentes tiempos de duracin de lluvias

Tiempo de Precipitacin mxima Pd (mm) por tiempos de duracin

Cociente
Duracin 2 aos 5 aos 10 aos 25 aos 50 aos
24 hr X24 98.5797 118.6223 131.8922 148.6588 161.0972
18 hr X18 = 91% 89.7076 107.9463 120.0219 118.9271 146.5985
12 hr X12 = 80% 78.8638 94.8979 105.5138 118.9271 128.8778
8 hr X8 = 68% 67.0342 80.6632 89.6867 101.0880 109.5461
6 hr X6 = 61% 60.1336 72.3596 80.4543 90.6819 98.2693
5 hr X5 = 57% 56.1905 67.6147 75.1786 84.7355 91.8254
4 hr X4 = 52% 51.2615 61.6836 68.5840 77.3026 83.7706
3 hr X3 = 46% 45.3467 54.5663 60.6704 68.3831 74.1047
2 hr X2 = 39% 38.4461 46.2627 51.4380 57.9769 62.8279
1 hr X1 = 30% 29.5739 35.5867 39.5677 44.5976 48.3292
uente: D. F. Campos A., 1978

12 18 24
0.80 0.91 1.00

iempos de duracin
100 aos 500 aos
173.4438 201.9748
157.8339 183.7971
138.7550 161.5799
117.9418 137.3429
105.8007 123.2046
98.8630 115.1257
90.1908 105.0269
79.7841 92.9084
67.6431 78.7702
52.0331 60.5924
Intensidades de lluvia a partir de Pd, segn Duracin de precipitacin y Frecuencia de la misma

Tiempo de duracin Intensidad de la lluvia (mm /hr) segn el Periodo de Retorn

Hr min 2 aos 5 aos 10 aos 25 aos 50 aos
24 hr 1440 4.1075 4.9426 5.4955 6.1941 6.7124
18 hr 1080 4.9838 5.9970 6.6679 6.6071 8.1444
12 hr 720 6.5720 7.9082 8.7928 9.9106 10.7398
8 hr 480 8.3793 10.0829 11.2108 12.6360 13.6933
6 hr 360 10.0223 12.0599 13.4090 15.1136 16.3782
5 hr 300 11.2381 13.5229 15.0357 16.9471 18.3651
4 hr 240 12.8154 15.4209 17.1460 19.3256 20.9426
3 hr 180 15.1156 18.1888 20.2235 22.7944 24.7016
2 hr 120 19.2231 23.1314 25.7190 28.9885 31.4140
1 hr 60 29.5739 35.5867 39.5677 44.5976 48.3292
encia de la misma

el Periodo de Retorno
100 aos 500 aos
7.2268 8.4156
8.7685 10.2109
11.5629 13.4650
14.7427 17.1679
17.6335 20.5341
19.7726 23.0251
22.5477 26.2567
26.5947 30.9695
33.8215 39.3851
52.0331 60.5924
 KT
Representacin matemtica de las curvas Intensidad - Duracin - Perodo de retorno: I=
tn

Realizando un cambio de variable: d=KT m

d
Con lo que de la anterior expresin se obtiene: I= n
I =dt n
t

Periodo de retorno para T = 2 aos

N x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 4.1075 7.2724 1.4128 10.2745 52.8878
2 1080 4.9838 6.9847 1.6062 11.2187 48.7863
3 720 6.5720 6.5793 1.8828 12.3875 43.2865
4 480 8.3793 6.1738 2.1258 13.1240 38.1156
5 360 10.0223 5.8861 2.3048 13.5664 34.6462
6 300 11.2381 5.7038 2.4193 13.7992 32.5331
7 240 12.8154 5.4806 2.5506 13.9792 30.0374
8 180 15.1156 5.1930 2.7157 14.1026 26.9668
9 120 19.2231 4.7875 2.9561 14.1524 22.9201
10 60 29.5739 4.0943 3.3869 13.8671 16.7637
10 4980 122.0308 58.1555 23.3611 130.4716 346.9435
Ln (d) = 5.9207 d = 372.6832 n= -0.6164

Periodo de retorno para T = 5 aos

N x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 4.9426 7.2724 1.5979 11.6205 52.8878
2 1080 5.9970 6.9847 1.7913 12.5115 48.7863
3 720 7.9082 6.5793 2.0679 13.6052 43.2865
4 480 10.0829 6.1738 2.3108 14.2666 38.1156
5 360 12.0599 5.8861 2.4899 14.6557 34.6462
6 300 13.5229 5.7038 2.6044 14.8549 32.5331
7 240 15.4209 5.4806 2.7357 14.9935 30.0374
8 180 18.1888 5.1930 2.9008 15.0637 26.9668
9 120 23.1314 4.7875 3.1412 15.0384 22.9201
10 60 35.5867 4.0943 3.5720 14.6249 16.7637
10 4980 146.8412 58.1555 25.2119 141.2350 346.9435
Ln (d) = 6.1058 d = 448.4546 n= -0.6164

Periodo de retorno para T = 10 aos

N x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 5.4955 7.2724 1.7039 12.3917 52.8878
 2 1080 6.6679 6.9847 1.8973 13.2521 48.7863
3 720 8.7928 6.5793 2.1739 14.3029 43.2865
4 480 11.2108 6.1738 2.4169 14.9213 38.1156
5 360 13.4090 5.8861 2.5959 15.2799 34.6462
6 300 15.0357 5.7038 2.7104 15.4597 32.5331
7 240 17.1460 5.4806 2.8418 15.5747 30.0374
8 180 20.2235 5.1930 3.0068 15.6144 26.9668
9 120 25.7190 4.7875 3.2472 15.5461 22.9201
10 60 39.5677 4.0943 3.6780 15.0591 16.7637
10 4980 163.2679 58.1555 26.2723 147.4018 346.9435
Ln (d) = 6.2118 d = 498.6219 n= -0.6164

Periodo de retorno para T = 25 aos

N x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 6.1941 7.2724 1.8236 13.2619 52.8878
2 1080 6.6071 6.9847 1.8881 13.1881 48.7863
3 720 9.9106 6.5793 2.2936 15.0902 43.2865
4 480 12.6360 6.1738 2.5365 15.6601 38.1156
5 360 15.1136 5.8861 2.7156 15.9843 34.6462
6 300 16.9471 5.7038 2.8301 16.1423 32.5331
7 240 19.3256 5.4806 2.9614 16.2305 30.0374
8 180 22.7944 5.1930 3.1265 16.2358 26.9668
9 120 28.9885 4.7875 3.3669 16.1190 22.9201
10 60 44.5976 4.0943 3.7977 15.5490 16.7637
10 4980 183.1146 58.1555 27.3401 153.4613 346.9435
Ln (d) = 6.4189 d = 613.3203 n= -0.6336

Periodo de retorno para T = 50 aos

N x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 6.7124 7.2724 1.9040 13.8463 52.8878
2 1080 8.1444 6.9847 2.0973 14.6492 48.7863
3 720 10.7398 6.5793 2.3740 15.6189 43.2865
4 480 13.6933 6.1738 2.6169 16.1562 38.1156
5 360 16.3782 5.8861 2.7960 16.4573 34.6462
6 300 18.3651 5.7038 2.9105 16.6006 32.5331
7 240 20.9426 5.4806 3.0418 16.6709 30.0374
8 180 24.7016 5.1930 3.2069 16.6531 26.9668
9 120 31.4140 4.7875 3.4473 16.5037 22.9201
10 60 48.3292 4.0943 3.8780 15.8780 16.7637
10 4980 199.4205 58.1555 28.2725 159.0342 346.9435
Ln (d) = 6.4119 d = 609.0321 n= -0.6164

Periodo de retorno para T = 100 aos

N x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 7.2268 7.2724 1.9778 14.3833 52.8878
2 1080 8.7685 6.9847 2.1712 15.1650 48.7863
3 720 11.5629 6.5793 2.4478 16.1047 43.2865
4 480 14.7427 6.1738 2.6907 16.6121 38.1156
 5 360 17.6335 5.8861 2.8698 16.8919 34.6462
6 300 19.7726 5.7038 2.9843 17.0218 32.5331
7 240 22.5477 5.4806 3.1156 17.0757 30.0374
8 180 26.5947 5.1930 3.2807 17.0366 26.9668
9 120 33.8215 4.7875 3.5211 16.8572 22.9201
10 60 52.0331 4.0943 3.9519 16.1804 16.7637
10 4980 214.7042 58.1555 29.0109 163.3287 346.9435
Ln (d) = 6.4857 d = 655.7087 n= -0.6164

Periodo de retorno para T = 500 aos

N x y ln x ln y ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
1 1440 8.4156 7.2724 2.1301 15.4909 52.8878
2 1080 10.2109 6.9847 2.3235 16.2287 48.7863
3 720 13.4650 6.5793 2.6001 17.1067 43.2865
4 480 17.1679 6.1738 2.8430 17.5523 38.1156
5 360 20.5341 5.8861 3.0221 17.7883 34.6462
6 300 23.0251 5.7038 3.1366 17.8904 32.5331
7 240 26.2567 5.4806 3.2679 17.9103 30.0374
8 180 30.9695 5.1930 3.4330 17.8274 26.9668
9 120 39.3851 4.7875 3.6734 17.5863 22.9201
10 60 60.5924 4.0943 4.1042 16.8039 16.7637
10 4980 250.0224 58.1555 30.5338 172.1852 346.9435
Ln (d) = 6.6380 d = 763.5709 n= -0.6164
 m
KT
I= en la cual:
tn I= Intensidad (mm/hr)
t= Duracin de la lluvia (min)
T= Perodo de retorno (aos)
K, m, n = Parmetros de ajuste
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Regresin T= 2 aos

f(x) = 372.6832 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Duracin (min)
I Vs. t Power (I Vs. t)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Regresin T= 5 aos

f(x) = 448.4546 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Duracin (min)
I vs T Power (I vs T)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Regresin T= 10 aos

f(x) = 498.6219 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)
Regresin T= 10 aos

f(x) = 498.6219 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Duracin (min)
I vs T Power (I vs T)
In te n sid ad (m m /h r)

Regresin T= 25 aos

f(x) = 613.3203 x^-0.6336

R = 0.9953

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Duracin (min)
I vs T Power (I vs T)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Regresin T= 50 aos

f(x) = 609.0321 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Duracin (min)
I vs T Power (I vs T)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Regresin T= 100 aos

45.0000
40.0000 f(x) = 655.7087 x^-0.6164
35.0000 R = 0.9994
30.0000
25.0000
20.0000
15.0000
10.0000
In ten sid
Regresin T= 100 aos

45.0000
40.0000 f(x) = 655.7087 x^-0.6164
35.0000 R = 0.9994
30.0000
25.0000
20.0000
15.0000
10.0000
5.0000
0.0000
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600
Duracin (min)
I vs T Power (I vs T)
In ten sid ad (m m /h r)

Regresin T= 500 aos

f(x) = 763.5709 x^-0.6164

R = 0.9994

0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 1600

Duracin (min)
Column D Power (Column D)
 Serie T= 2 aos
x y
1440 4.1075
1080 4.9838
720 6.5720
480 8.3793
360 10.0223
300 11.2381
240 12.8154
180 15.1156
120 19.2231
60 29.5739

Serie T= 5 aos
x y
1440 4.9426
1080 5.9970
720 7.9082
480 10.0829
360 12.0599
300 13.5229
240 15.4209
180 18.1888
120 23.1314
60 35.5867

Serie T= 10 aos
x y
1440 5.4955
 1080 6.6679
720 8.7928
480 11.2108
360 13.4090
300 15.0357
240 17.1460
180 20.2235
120 25.7190
60 39.5677

Serie T= 25 aos
x y
1440 6.1941
1080 6.6071
720 9.9106
480 12.6360
360 15.1136
300 16.9471
240 19.3256
180 22.7944
120 28.9885
60 44.5976

Serie T= 50 aos
x y
1440 6.7124
1080 8.1444
720 10.7398
480 13.6933
360 16.3782
300 18.3651
240 20.9426
180 24.7016
120 31.4140
60 48.3292

Serie T= 100 aos

x y
1440 7.2268
1080 8.7685
720 11.5629
480 14.7427
 360 17.6335
300 19.7726
240 22.5477
180 26.5947
120 33.8215
60 52.0331

Serie T= 500 aos

x y
1440 8.4156
1080 10.2109
720 13.4650
480 17.1679
360 20.5341
300 23.0251
240 26.2567
180 30.9695
120 39.3851
60 60.5924
 Resumen de aplicacin de regresin potencial
Periodo de Trmino ctte. de Coef. de
Retorno (aos) regresin (d) regresin [n]
2 372.68321097684 -0.61638608809
5 448.45464625711 -0.61638608809
10 498.62192950277 -0.61638608809
25 613.32028295188 -0.63362500463
50 609.03214814268 -0.61638608809
100 655.70865561954 -0.61638608809
500 763.57093886624 -0.61638608809
Promedio = 565.91311604530 -0.61884879045

En funcin del cambio de variable realizado, se realiza otra regresin de potencia entre las columnas del per
trmino constante de regresin (d), para obtener valores de la ecuacin:

m
d=KT

Regresin potencial
N x y ln x ln y
1 2 372.6832 0.6931 5.9207
2 5 448.4546 1.6094 6.1058
3 10 498.6219 2.3026 6.2118
4 25 613.3203 3.2189 6.4189
5 50 609.0321 3.9120 6.4119
6 100 655.7087 4.6052 6.4857
7 500 763.5709 6.2146 6.6380
7 692 3961.3918 22.5558 44.1929
Ln (K) = 5.9028 K = 366.0737 m=

Termino constante de regresin (K) = 366.0737

Coef. de regresin (m) = 0.127374
ntre las columnas del periodo de retorno (T) y el

C o n s t a n t e d e R e g re s i n d

cial
ln x*ln y (lnx)^2
4.1039 0.4805
9.8269 2.5903
14.3033 5.3019 800.0000
700.0000 f(x) = 366.0737 x^0.1274
20.6616 10.3612 600.0000
R = 0.9456

25.0834 15.3039 500.0000

400.0000
29.8678 21.2076 300.0000
200.0000
41.2526 38.6214 100.0000
145.0996 93.8667 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 4
Perodo de Retorno (aos)
0.1274 d Vs. T Power (d Vs. T)
 x y
2 372.6832
5 448.4546
10 498.6219
25 613.3203
50 609.0321
100 655.7087
500 763.5709
250 300 350 400 450 500
no (aos)
Power (d Vs. T)
La ecuacin de intensidad vlida para la cuenca resulta:

0.127374
366.0737 * T
I= 0.61885
t

Tabla de intensidades - Tiempo de dura

Frecuencia Duracin en minutos
aos 5 10 15 20 25 30
2 147.69 96.18 74.83 62.63 54.55 48.73
5 165.97 108.08 84.10 70.38 61.30 54.76
10 181.29 118.06 91.86 76.88 66.96 59.82
25 203.74 132.67 103.23 86.39 75.25 67.22
50 222.54 144.92 112.76 94.37 82.20 73.43
100 243.09 158.30 123.17 103.08 89.78 80.20
500 298.39 194.31 151.19 126.53 110.21 98.45

Curvas IDF de la cuen

325.00
INTENSIDAD (mm/h)

300.00

275.00

250.00

225.00

200.00

175.00

150.00

125.00

100.00

75.00

50.00

25.00

0.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30

TIEMPO DE DURACION (min)

0.00
0 5 10 15 20 25 30

TIEMPO DE DURACION (min)

 Donde:
I = intensidad de precipitacin (mm/hr)
T = Periodo de Retorno (aos)
t = Tiempo de duracin de precipitacin (min)

ades - Tiempo de duracin

Duracin en minutos
35 40 45 50 55 60
44.30 40.78 37.92 35.52 33.49 31.73
49.78 45.83 42.61 39.92 37.63 35.66
54.37 50.06 46.54 43.61 41.11 38.95
61.11 56.26 52.30 49.00 46.20 43.77
66.75 61.45 57.13 53.53 50.46 47.82
72.91 67.12 62.41 58.47 55.12 52.23
89.50 82.40 76.61 71.77 67.66 64.11

as IDF de la cuenca

25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60

MPO DE DURACION (min)

 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60

MPO DE DURACION (min)