2040 Major Transportation Plan

Murfreesboro City Council

Council Workshop August 3, 2017

Agenda
Background - Purpose and Objectives

Modeling Process

Development of Recommendations

Facilitate Discussion and Questions

Purpose and Objective
Continued evolution of citys transportation plan

Part of the Murfreesboro 2035 Comprehensive Plan

Chapter 3 Mobility

Land Use Origins/Destinations Demand

Forecast relationship between future land use and trips

Transportation Vision 25 years into the future

Objective-based, financially unconstrained, instrument of city
departments, living document
Purpose and Objective
Primary reasons for adopting a Major Transportation Plan

Plan to address long-term system deficiencies = Mobility planning

Capital needs forecast = Budget planning

ROW and Cross-Section identification = Facilities planning

Public and private decision making = Community planning

Purpose and Objective
Primary reasons for adopting a Major Transportation Plan

Plan to address long-term system deficiencies = Mobility planning

Source: FHWA/DOT, 2017

Purpose and Objective
Primary reasons for adopting a Major Transportation Plan

Plan to address long-term system deficiencies = Mobility planning

Capital needs forecast = Budget planning

ROW and Cross-Section identification = Facilities planning

Public and private decision making = Community planning

2040 MTP Study Area
Modeling Process
Modeling Process Existing Scenario
Base Year 2014 Existing Model

Model Calibration Actual vs. Model Output

TDOT Data compared to Model Results

Validation - Statistical Review

% Deviation, Root Mean Square, Deviation from Limits
Allowable Deviation: +/- 5%, Achieved: <1%
2014 Existing Model Scenario
Modeling Process E+C Scenario
Future Land Use Plan Data Calibrated Model

Existing + Committed (E+C) model is created

Current roadways + Projects contracted/funded
Year 2040 Conditions (Comprehensive Plan)
Forecasts future conditions upon network with no additional
projects beyond whats committed today

The model output highlights adequate and deficient

infrastructure. Quantifies expected growth and
movement of trips

Provides basis for development of proposed projects

 Modeling Process - Evaluation
Compares theoretical roadway capacity vs. traffic
volumes expected

Level-of Service concept ranges from A to F

Level-of-Service D threshold of desirable LOS

Evaluate 2014 Existing and 2040 E+C network

scenarios
Modeling Process - Evaluation

Source: CalTrans, 2017

Modeling Process - Evaluation

Source: PlanPhilly, 2014

Source: FDOT, 2017

2040 E+C Modeled Scenario
2014 Existing Model Scenario
Modeling Process
2040 E+C outcome represents network performance
without additional infrastructure
Population nearly doubles
Employment & Land Use forecasts per Comprehensive Plan
No additional transportation infrastructure

Formulate potential improvement scenarios

Identify deficiencies from the 2040 E+C network
Improve existing facilities, Provide new transportation links
Consider community needs & objectives

Recommendation exhibits three major themes

2040 Recommended Plan
Major Themes
Improve connections
between NE, SW &
Central Murfreesboro

Create additional
corridor capacity from
SE to NW

Enhance roadway
network connectivity
Modeling Process
Add project scenarios to model and Test
Proposed projects are modeled to test their benefits
Do they have desired impact?

Recommendations identify:
29 Carryover projects from 2025 MTP

35 New projects

E+C Network + Proposed Projects = 2040 MTP

Providing the following model & LOS results
2040 Recommended MTP
2040 E+C Modeled Scenario
2040 MTP Proposed Projects
Next Steps
Continued Public Input opportunity

Finalize model based on any identified adjustments

Coordinate documentation for Comprehensive Plan Chapter

3 Mobility

Complete planning level cost estimates & prioritization of

recommended projects

Present to the City Planning Commission to consider

adoption and recommendation to City Council

Present to City Council for ratification

Questions