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With its near-global membership of 186 countries, the IMF is uniquely placed to help
member governments take advantage of the opportunities—and manage the
challenges—posed by globalization and economic development more generally. The
IMF tracks global economic trends and performance, alerts its member countries
when it sees problems on the horizon, provides a forum for policy dialogue, and
passes on know-how to governments on how to tackle economic difficulties.
Although IMF has been working since 1944 but there has been many structural
changes and policies according to the changing economic environment. As
nowadays we are working in Globalized World and because of the recent financial
Crises of 2007 and 2008 which have hit hard not only the developed world but most
severely developing nations.
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o Low-income countries
o Largest number of IMF loans in recent years.
o Interest rate 0.5 percent
o Repaid over a period of 5½-10 years.
3. Extended Fund Facility (EFF):
Thus these are the policies under which IMF works today:
• Enhancing IMF lending facilities. The IMF has upgraded its lending
facilities to enable it to better serve its members. It has created a
new Short-Term Liquidity Facility designed to help emerging market
countries with a track record of sound policies address fallout from
the current financial crisis. To make its financial support more
flexible and tailored to the diversity of low-income countries, it has
established a new Poverty Reduction and Growth Trust, which has
three new lending windows. As part of a wide-ranging reform of its
lending practices, the IMF has also redefined the way it engages
with countries on issues related to structural reform of the economy.
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Source of Funding
Where does IMF get it’s money? The IMF gets the funding for the loans from the
following sources:
“It is the money each member contributes when joining the IMF.”
2. Gold holdings
Total gold holdings 103.4 million ounces (3,217 metric tons). IMF is the third largest
official holder of gold in the world.
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The IMF’s total gold holdings are valued on its balance sheet at SDR 5.9 billion
(about $8.7 billion) on the basis of historical cost. As of March 31, 2009, the IMF's
holdings amounted to $94.8 billion (at then current market prices).
3. Borrowing arrangements
If necessary, the IMF may borrow from a number of its financially strongest member
countries to supplement the resources available from its quotas. It has done so on
several occasions when borrowing countries needed large amounts of financing and
a failure to help them might have put the international monetary system at risk.
Criticism on IMF
"The interests of the IMF represent the big international interests that seem to be
established and concentrated in Wall Street." (Che Guevara, Marxist revolutionary,
1959)
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Following are some Examples of countries which took loans from IMF and
followed their stated policies and in the end they were in crisis more
severe than before taking IMF loans.
Argentina, which had been considered by the IMF to be a model country in its
compliance to policy proposals by the Bretton Woods institutions, experienced a
catastrophic economic crisis in 2001, which some believe to have been caused by
IMF-induced budget restrictions — which undercut the government's ability to
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sustain national infrastructure even in crucial areas such as health, education, and
security — and privatization of strategically vital national resources Others attribute
the crisis to Argentina's misdesigned fiscal federalism, which caused sub national
spending to increase rapidly. The crisis added to widespread hatred of this
institution in Argentina and other South American countries, with many blaming the
IMF for the region's economic problems.
The current — as of early 2006 — trend towards moderate left-wing governments
in the region and a growing concern with the development of a regional economic
policy largely independent of big business pressures has been ascribed to this crisis.
Kenya, Before the IMF got involved in the country, the Kenyan central bank
oversaw all currency movements in and out of the country. The IMF mandated that
the Kenyan central bank had to allow easier currency movement. However, the
adjustment resulted in very little foreign investment, but allowed Kamlesh
Manusuklal Damji Pattni, with the help of corrupt government officials, to siphon off
billions of Kenyan shillings in what came to be known as the Goldenberg scandal,
leaving the country worse off than it was before the IMF reforms were implemented.
In an interview, the former Romanian Prime Minister Tăriceanu stated that "Since
2005, IMF is constantly making mistakes when it appreciates the country's
economic performances"
Ireland can be seen as a next example as in September 2007 the IMF said "given
the Irish economy's strong fundamentals and the authorities' commitment to sound
policies, the Directors expected economic growth to remain robust over the medium
term". Seventeen months later in April 2009 the New York Times quoted Nobel
prize-winning economist, Paul Krugman, who identified Ireland as a model for the
worst-case scenario for the global economy.
Overall the IMF success record is perceived as limited. While it was created to help
stabilize the global economy, since 1980 critics claim over 100 countries (or
reputedly most of the Fund's membership) have experienced a banking collapse
that they claim have reduced GDP by four percent or more, far more than at any
time in Post-Depression history. The considerable delay in the IMF's response to any
crisis, and the fact that it tends to only respond to them (or even create them)
rather than prevent them, has led many economists to argue for reform.
Typically the IMF and its supporters advocate a monetarist approach. As such,
adherents of supply-side economics generally find themselves in open
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disagreement with the IMF. The IMF frequently advocates currency devaluation,
criticized by proponents of supply-side economics as inflationary. Secondly they link
higher taxes under "austerity programs" with economic contraction.
Current IMF rules prohibit members from linking their currencies to gold.
Response to Criticism
Here is what IMF and it’s supporters say in response to all the critics:
Because the IMF deal with economic crisis, whatever policy they offer, there is likely
to be difficulties. It is not possible to deal with a balance of payments without some
painful readjustment.
The Failures of the IMF tend to be widely publicized. But, its successes less so. Also
criticism tends to focus on short term problems and ignores longer term view
3. Confidence
The fact there is a lender of last resort provides an important confidence boost for
investors. This is important during current financial turmoil
It is countries who approach the IMF for a loan. The fact so many take loans
suggests there must be at least some benefits of the IMF.
Sometimes countries may want to undertake painful short term adjustment but
there is a lack of political will. An IMF intervention enables the government to
secure a loan and then pass the blame on to the IMF for the difficulties.
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1. First, it can smooth adjustment to various shocks, helping a member country avoid disruptive
economic adjustment or sovereign default, something that would be extremely costly, both for
the country itself and possibly for other countries through economic and financial ripple effects
(known as contagion).
2. Second, IMF programs can help unlock other financing, acting as a catalyst for other lenders.
This is because the program can serve as a signal that the country has adopted sound policies,
reinforcing policy credibility and increasing investors' confidence.
3. Third, IMF lending can help prevent crisis. The experience is clear: capital account crises
typically inflict substantial costs on countries themselves and on other countries through
contagion. Today, IMF lending serves three main purposes.
Two IMF loan arrangements were made during Nawaz Sharif regime.
It is important to note that in the tenure of last two decades, on average almost
44% of the total lending amount has been drawn from the original 100% agreed
upon lending amount because of the failure of the government to act upon the strict
measures determined by IMF. For the first time in the year 2000, this tradition was
broken in Musharraf regime when Musharraf’s government successfully
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implemented the conditions proposed by IMF and successfully drew the whole
lending amount of $1.3 billion.
It is also very interesting to note that only two loan arrangements were made during
the military regime whereas nine IMF agreements (including the recent IMF loan)
were made during the civilian regime.
1- Close monitoring.
2- Reduction of government spending.
3- Revision in tax collection policies
4- Change in policy/discount rate
To make sure that funds granted to the borrower country are utilized in optimal
manner.
The IMF loans greatly impact the economic indicators and bring change in the regulatory
framework which has both positive and negative impacts on the country. In year 2000 when
Pakistan has a negative effect on the economy which includes a decline in GDP growth rate
and other economic indicators right after infusion of IMF funds in the economy except in the
second last lending arrangement in Musharraf’s regime when full amount of loan was drawn
from IMF. The economic indicators after IMF loans in the last two decades followed a typical
cycle. Usually the trend after IMF loans show immediate decline in GDP growth rate,
increased tax revenues to GDP ratio, increased CPI, increased debt on the country and then
restoration of the conditions back to their previous states because of the cancellation of
loans in the later years.
The cancellation of IMF loan agreements in the previous regimes along with the initial IMF
loan effects created quite negative impacts on the economy as a whole which shows that
there were very few times when IMF loans were fully optimized.
In 2008 there was a new democratic government but unfortunately as soon they
took over Pakistan was facing different challenges on economic front, which are
stated under:-
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loans but with certain conditions which were around 16 and out of these 16
conditions 11 were accepted by the government of Pakistan and the rest were
rejected.
The official said that major conditions accepted by the Pakistan government
included
IX. Uniformity in the inter-bank and open market dollar exchange rate
XI. The IMF will be informed at the time of the issuance of credit line by
any international financial institution, including the World Bank or
immediately after it
The matters on which the government and its financial managers have differed with
the IMF include release of $1.5 billion to$2 billion for the year 2008-2009 financial
years under the annual assistance package.
Thus IMF provided the requested loans in different tranche systems and from
November 2008 till today Pakistan has received $ 7.6 Billion in different Tranche.
Overall total debt of IMF on Pakistan with all these tranches total loan on Pakistan is
about 11.7 billion US $ and this new loan will be payable from 2011.
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b. The economy started stabilizing towards the end of the fiscal year;
overall economic performance has remained mixed.
e. The services sector, which has provided over half of the growth
impulse over the past three years, also continued to grow by 3.6
percent.
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i. The current account deficit narrowed beyond the set target of 5.9
percent of GDP to 5.1 percent of GDP in 2008/09 driven by
deceleration in imports which exceeded that of exports, and
growing workers’ remittances.
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The World Bank is not a ‘bank’ in the common sense. The World Bank is an
international organization owned by the 184 countriesboth developed and
developingthat are its members.
Since it was set up in 1944 as the International Bank for Reconstruction and
Development. The number of member countries increased sharply in the 1950s and
1960s, when many countries became independent nations. As membership grew
and their needs changed, the World Bank expanded and is currently made up of five
different agencies.
All support to a borrowing country is guided by a single strategy that the country
itself designs with help from the World Bank and many other donors, aid groups,
and civil society organizations.
Departments:
The World Bank differs from the World Bank Group, in that the World Bank
comprises only two institutions:
The IBRD aims to reduce poverty in middle-income and credit worthy poorer
countries, while IDA focuses on the world's poorest countries. Their work is
complemented by that of the International Finance Corporation (IFC), Multilateral
Investment Guarantee Agency (MIGA) and the International Centre for the
Settlement of Investment Disputes (ICSID).
All these departments are working together to provide low-interest loans, interest-
free credits and grants to developing countries for a wide array of purposes that
include investments in education, health, public administration, infrastructure,
financial and private sector development, agriculture, and environmental and
natural resource management.
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With all this expansion and growth, World Bank's original focus has not changed.
Today, reconstruction remains a top priority in such situations as:
• Natural disasters
• Needs affecting developing economies
• Post conflict rehabilitation
• Needs affecting a transitioning economy
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Loans
The World Bank offers two basic types of loans:
During loan negotiations, the World Bank agrees with the borrowing country on the
development objective of the project or program, outputs, performance indicators
(to measure the impact and success of the project) and a plan to put it all into
practice. Once a loan is approved and becomes effective, the borrower puts the
project or program into practice according to the terms agreed with the World Bank.
The World Bank supervises how each loan is used and evaluates the results. All
loans are governed by operational policies, which make sure that operations are
economically, financially, socially and environmentally sound.
Forty-five countries pledged US$25.1 billion in "aid for the world's poorest
countries", aid that goes to the World Bank International Development
Association (IDA) which distributes the gifts to eighty poorer countries. While
wealthier nations sometimes fund their own aid projects, including those for
diseases, and although IDA is the recipient of criticism, Robert B. Zoellick, the
president of the World Bank, said when the gifts were announced on December 15,
2007, that IDA money "is the core funding that the poorest developing countries
rely on".
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interested stakeholders and may rely on analytical work performed by the Bank or
other parties.
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rights groups, such as Survival International. Critics argue that the so-called free
market reform policies—which the Bank advocates in many cases—in practice are
often harmful to economic development if implemented badly, too quickly ("shock
therapy"), in the wrong sequence, or in very weak, uncompetitive economies.
Criticism by Economist
In Masters of Illusion: The World Bank and the Poverty of Nations (1996),
Catherine Caulfield argues that the assumptions and structure of the World Bank
operation in the end harms southern nations rather than promoting them. Caulfield
first criticizes the highly homogenized and Western recipes of "development" held
by the Bank. To the World Bank, different nations and regions are indistinguishable,
and ready to receive the "uniform remedy of development". She argues that to
attain even small portions of success, Western approaches to life are adopted and
traditional economic structures and values are abandoned. A second assumption is
that poor countries cannot modernize without money and advice from abroad.
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issues such as equity, employment and how reforms, such as privatization, were
carried out. Many now agree that the Washington Consensus placed too much
emphasis on the growth of GDP and not enough on the sustainability of that growth;
economically, socially, politically and environmentally, or on questioning whether or
not this growth actually contributed to increased living standards.
Criticism on world bank often form protest all along the world
including US
Criticism of the World Bank often takes the form of protesting as seen in recent
events such as the World Bank Oslo 2002 Protests, the October Rebellion and
the Battle of Seattle. Such demonstrations have occurred all over the world, even
amongst the Brazilian Kayapo people.
Knowledge Production
The World Bank has been criticized for the manner in which it engages in “the
production, accumulation, circulation, and functioning” of knowledge. The Bank’s
process in the production of knowledge has become integral to the funding and
justification of large capital projects. The Bank relies on “a growing network of
trans-local scientists, technocrats, NGOs, and empowered citizens to help generate
data and construct discursive strategies”.
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It has been remarked, that in these alternative knowledge systems researchers and
activists might find alternative rationales to guide interventionist action away from
Western (Bank) produced ways of thinking. Knowledge production has become an
asset to the Bank and “it is generated and used in highly strategic ways to provide
justifications for development.
The World Bank responded with structural adjustment loans which distributed aid to
ailing countries while enforcing policy changes meant to mitigate domestic inflation
and fiscal imbalance. Some of these policies included encouraging production,
investment and labor-intensive manufacturing, changing real exchange rates and
altering the distribution of government resources.
Era of 1980’s
By the late 1980s, international organizations began to recognize that structural
adjustment policies were exacerbating the circumstances of the world’s poor. The
World Bank responded by restructuring structural adjustment loans allowing for
social spending to be maintained and encouraging a more gradual implementation
of policies such as subsidy reductions and price changes.
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reinforcing the relationship between lending and client states, many believe that
the World Bank has prevented indebted countries from implementing autonomous
national economic policy.
Water Privatization
Sociologist Michael Goldman has argued that “Industry analysts predict that private
water will soon be a capitalized market as precious, and as war-provoking, as oil”.
Goldman continues to argue “These days, an indebted country cannot borrow
capital from the World Bank or IMF without a domestic water-privatization policy as
a precondition”. The Bank is utilizing “the 'Washington Consensus' model of
development to promote water privatization. Following this model, the World Bank
is forcing many countries to commodify their water resources, rather than using
their expertise in the public sector to acknowledge water as a universal human right
and an essential public service”. The push for water privatization development plays
upon “the shocking tragedy that much of the world lacks access to affordable and
clean water
Sovereign immunity
Despite claiming goals of “good governance and anti-corruption the World Bank
requires sovereign immunity out of countries it deals with. Sovereign immunity
waives a holder from all legal liability for their actions. It is proposed that this
immunity from responsibility is a “shield to which [The World Bank] wants resort to
for escaping accountability and security by the people.” As the United States has
veto power, it can prevent the World Bank from taking any actions against its
interests.
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Under ERRA’s Rural Housing and Reconstruction Program (RHRP), partially funded
by the World Bank, homeowners are given around US$3,000 in installments to build
quake-resistant homes - with routine visits by inspection teams to ensure
compliance to agreed seismic-resistant standards. Owner driven reconstruction and
rehabilitation of an estimated 463,000 houses have begun and is at various stages
of completion. The RHRP has disbursed over $1.1 billion to program beneficiaries or
75 percent of the overall $1.5 billion estimated cost.
5. World Bank joining with international partners to help Pakistan fight polio.
As part of World Bank to help eradicate polio globally, World Bank has approved
two projects US$42.71 million in 2003 and US $ 74.27 million in 2006 for Pakistan to
purchase the oral polio vaccine. The money is part of an innovative financing
partnership (IDA Buy-down) between the World Bank, the Bill & Melinda Gates
Foundation, Rotary International, and the United Nations Foundation. These
organizations have formed the Investment Partnership for Polio, an initiative to help
eradicate polio worldwide. The loan to Pakistan will help the country’s Polio
Eradication Initiative which aims to make Pakistan a Polio free country. Since 1997
the number of polio cases has decreased from 1147 to 31 in 2007.
The first project has been successfully completed. Based on an independent third
party assessment, the first credit (US$ 42 million) has been converted into a grant
and written off for the Government of Pakistan.
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CBO are being mobilized and their capacity is being enhanced to increase their
participation in development activities. Governance, transparency, and
accountability are being more effective through improvements in operational,
monitoring and evaluation, and financial and budgetary procedures for project
implementation. In AJK, the project has already reached a population of 893,000
against the original target of 830,000, through 320 CBOs. Out of the 54 Tehsil
Municipal Authorities (TMA) in NWFP, 50 are now participating in the Project.
8. World Bank helping to ‘improve trade flows’ and ‘lower transit costs and times.
In 2005, the Government of Pakistan (GOP) launched major initiatives around the
National Trade Corridor Improvement Program (NTCIP) to reduce the cost of
trade and transport logistics and bring services' quality to international
standards in order to reduce the cost of doing business in Pakistan and
ultimately enhance competitiveness and industrialization. NTCIP has evolved
into a national program to improve (overall cost and efficiency) all links in the
chain (infrastructure and services) that support trade logistics. The NTCIP also
aims to meet increased demand through both improved infrastructure and
more efficient services, while keeping costs under control—and is a medium
term program that eventually links to the GOP’s Vision 2030. NTCIP's main
challenges are:
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Since the launch of the NTCIP, some early gains of the program are:
With operations in more than 180 member countries, World Bank has uniquely
positioned to share international best practice and provide world class
analytical and research services to their clients. All research work is publicly
available with World Bank. A revised policy on disclosure of information since
2002 has helped us reaffirm the importance of transparency and
accountability in the development process. It is the policy to be open about
World Bank’s activities and to welcome and seek out opportunities to explain
about work to the widest possible audience. World Bank’s advisory work
includes a number of Pakistan specific reports e.g. Pakistan’s Country Water
Resource Assistance Strategy, Pakistan Higher Education Policy Note.
These reports are made public as soon as they are finalized. All the project
documents are also available on our Pakistan’s external website.
Around 90 percent of the staff in Islamabad office, plus additional staff in World
Bank’s Washington office are Pakistanis.
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While a large part of World Bank’s value is it’s global experience and expertise,
local knowledge is indispensable to effective development.
World Bank also works closely with the Pakistan government, civil society and
communities in designing our support for the country.
World Bank’s have periodic client satisfaction surveys through which they assess
how their services are perceived by a cross section of society including the
government, private sector, civil society, academia, and media etc. These polls are
carried out globally by reputed international firms.
Conclusion:
If we look our current situation we come to conclusion that IMF and World Bank
loans have both negative and positive effects on the economy of Pakistan. If we see
some positive impacts that in 2008 Pakistan faced economic problems and Pakistan
was not having any other option than to take loans from IMF to overcome it deficit
and economic problems.
Now as the situation is getting better Pakistan should focus on proper implementing
these loans and should make those policies which help to promote economic
activities and generate employment. Rather than eliminating development projects.
Exports will be badly hurt as Pakistan is an agricultural country and most of its
exports are of textiles.
There are many competitors of Pakistan like China, India, Bangladesh, than Egypt
and many developing countries. Thus these policies hurts the economy as cost of
inputs are increasing because of high inflation and bad law and order situation and
high rate of corruption and markup. Under these circumstances doing business in
Pakistan is very tough and so organizations are working on plans of downsizing
cutting their expenses and they are reluctant to invest in new projects. Then on the
global level there is recession in the global market. Thus they are unable to get the
new orders for their products. Whereas imports are increasing with the shut down
of local businesses and investors moving out of Pakistan with their credit and
moving to countries like China and Vietnam, turkey and Egypt where they can get
cheap labor and can avail government incentives and have lower cost of business.
Suggestions
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2. Government should also focus on long term debts and should focus
on long term projects which help stabilize the economy as making
big dams to overcome shortage of energy crisis and mega projects
of making ports, railways and roads. Making tax free zones and
promoting exports than imports.
9. As the prices of power, oil and gas and markup have increased as
well as devaluating rupee and imposing new taxes will hurt the
economy badly.
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Thus government can overcome these problems by taking medium and long term
loans with low cost and thus can eliminate these short expensive loans which bring
with them lot of complexities. Whereas government should cut its own lavish
expenditures on ministers and beaurocrates and on foreign tours and thus avoid
these kind of situations in which it has to borrow from IMF.
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