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Kultur Dokumente
1 Discuss whether the price mechanism is the best system for the allocation of
scarce resources in the Singapore economy. [25]
E2 For an evaluative discussion that refers to the need to have both the 34
price mechanism as well as government intervention.
E1 For an unexplained judgement, or one that is not supported by 12
analysis
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MILLENNIA INSTITUTE PRELIM 2 (PAPER 2)
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2 A look at global unit sales makes clear that no region is being spared the
sharp decline in automobile markets, especially luxury cars.
Adapted from http://motoring.asiaone.com, 19 Jun 2009
a) Using demand and supply analysis, explain why there is a sharp decline in
the luxury car market in 2009. [10]
Part (a)
Introduction
Briefly explain the meaning of sharp decline in automobile markets
Main Body
Decrease in demand
Fall in income: global economic slowdown for luxury cars a fall in income will
lead to fall in demand for luxury cars. The demand curve for luxury cars will shift to the
left output fall. (Illustrate with diagram).
Expectation of future income: With the general economy not doing well consumers
expect further fall in income fall in demand for luxury cars fall in output.
Prices of related good: Relatively cheaper alternatives such as other brands of car
consumers will switch from luxury cars to its substitutes fall in demand for luxury
cars output fall.
Other possible factors include change in taste and preferences, government policies,
size and composition of population, prices of related goods etc.
Decrease in supply
Higher cost of production: with the increase in prices of inputs for making luxury cars
higher cost of production fall in supply of luxury cars fall in output.
Smaller number of distributors in Singapore: bigger market overseas such as China
distributors are reallocating to China reduction in the number of sellers in
Singapore fall in supply of luxury cars fall in output.
Other possible factors include change government policies, producers expectation of
price, technology and so on.
Draw diagram to illustrate that decrease in demand and supply of Porsche will lead to
a fall in equilibrium output of the Porsche cars.
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Conclusion
Hence the automobile sector, especially luxury cars, has shrunk due to the factors as
mentioned.
Economic analysis should take into consideration the perspectives of both demand
and supply.
Part b
Introduction
Explain what indirect tax is and how it would affect the market.
An indirect tax is a tax on a good or service. It falls on the producers and thus
increases the cost of production. However it may be passed on to the consumers in
the form of higher prices.
Illustrate with diagram the shifting of supply to the left with the imposition of the
indirect tax.
Main Body
Explain the impact of indirect tax on consumers and producers of luxury cars.
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Conclusion
Evaluation: The incidence of a tax depends on the relative elasticity of demand and
supply of a product. The more elastic the demand curve is relative to the supply
curve the smaller is the incidence of tax on buyers relative to that incurred by
suppliers.
L3 9-11 For a good analytic discussion which shows application to the given
context. Answer should examine the effects with reference to the elasticity
of demand and supply of luxury cars.
L2 6-8 For an undeveloped explanation that gives the impact on consumers and
producers without analysis to explain them.
L1 1-5 Answer is mostly irrelevant and only consists of a smattering of valid
points.
E2 3-4 For an evaluative assessment based on economic analysis.
E1 1-2 For an unexplained assessment or one that ids not supported by analysis
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MILLENNIA INSTITUTE PRELIM 2 (PAPER 2)
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3. Discuss the view that oligopoly is the most common market structure in
Singapore. [25]
Discuss the opposing view that despite the presence of oligopolies there
exist numerous examples of firms that fit the MC model as well as some
that fit the monopoly model.
o Diseconomies of scale
o Niche markets
o Personalized services
o Natural monopolies etc.
o Examples; Restaurants, food courts, dental and medical clinics,
PUB etc.
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4 Global oil prices have been rising again steadily since the first quarter
of 2006. This will have macroeconomic consequences for all countries.
Economic Outlook, IMF, June 2007.
a) Explain how the undesirable effects of rising oil prices will impact
Singapores economy. [10]
a)
Explain the relevance oil to an economy. Define AD, AS
Explain the internal effects
o Cost push inflation; Oil price rises will lead to higher production costs
giving rise to increases in the GPL
o Wage price spiral
o Effects on employment, investment and growth
Explain the external effects
o Effects on trade, CA and BOP
Costs of production increases will lead to higher export prices
relative to imports; changes to the TOT
Export revenues will be affected depending on export elasticities
In the long run, demand for exports tend to be elastic hence
export revenues may fall leading to current account deficits
o Effects on exchange rates
Weakening of current account balances may affect capital
accounts as investors get nervous.
A depreciating Singapore dollar is likely to worsen imported
inflation which may lead to intervention by MAS to support the
dollar; possible negative impact on foreign reserves.
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b)
o Demand Policies & Evaluation
o Measures to raise AD
o Fiscal policy; subsidies to oil importers to prevent the rise in GPL. A
short term measure that may help alleviate the problems but unlikely to
be appropriate for the long term.
o Monetary policy; changes to the interest rates to raise consumption
and investment and hence the AD. Given that the Singapore economy
is small and open this policy may be inappropriate as it is likely to be
ineffective.
o Exchange rate policy; the previous policy of gradual appreciation
should help to cushion the impact of the high oil prices. However, over
appreciation will lead to the undesirable effect of reducing export
competitiveness especially if demand for exports is elastic. Singapores
cost competitiveness may also be affected negatively.
o Investment policy; searching out higher growth areas to raise the AD.
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MILLENNIA INSTITUTE PRELIM 2 (PAPER 2)
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5. Globalisation has gathered immense momentum, is irreversible and will
have far reaching economic impact on countries that are integrated.
a)
o Define globalisation, components of AD
o Discuss impact on Consumption
o Fall in prices, Increase in C
o Economic integration and exposure to global lifestyle increase C
o Increase in economic growth, income levels, SOL
o However, low skilled workers may become redundant suffer the
reverse.
o Discuss impact on Investment
o New markets for producers
o Greater competition leads to innovation, profits
o May lead to overheating of economy.
o Discuss impact on Government
o Increase G to develop skilled workforce to attract investment
o Increase G to built better infrastructure to raise productivity
o Government need to identify niche markets and growth drivers.
o Developing countries may not have the expertise
o Discuss impact on Exports and Imports
o Minimising or removal of trade barriers.
o Trade imbalances: surplus and deficits
o Possible counter effects by countries with deficits
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b)
o Consumption and production can lead to market failure as a result of
externalities, monopoly power and other efficiencies.
o For instance pollution is not taken into consideration in the production
process; increased demand for motor vehicles lead to higher air
pollution.
o Policies to correct these and evaluation. Fiscal policy: taxes, regulation
etc.
o Evaluation: difficult to quantify externalities and hence the amount of
tax may be inappropriate.
o Overheating of the economy due to supply bottlenecks
o Supply is unable to meet the demand
o Policy measures: Exchange rates, FP, MP, SS policies
o Evaluation: time lags with FP, dependence on elasticities for MP, long
run timeframe for SS policies.
o Lack of expertise
o Attract & depend on foreign talent to help create and grow new and
existing industries; especially true for dynamic economies like
Singapore where foreign talent helps create new enterprises, grow
existing enterprises into regional and global players and build up new
economic sectors.
o Foreign professionals and skilled workers attract foreign investments.
o Evaluation: foreign talents may not have the national interest at heart.
o Trade deficit
o Reasons for such deficits to arise; lack of CA yet continue producing
the good, may lead to consequences such as unemployment. Yet it
may not be easy to shut down such industries.
o Adoption of protectionistic measures etc.
o Evaluation: retaliation from other countries, domestic consumers may
become worse off, lack of growth etc.
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6 The Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao said that as the economic crisis is
spreading, Britain and China should explore the potential for
cooperation and guard against trade protectionism.
Chinadaily, 02 Feb 2009
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MILLENNIA INSTITUTE PRELIM 2 (PAPER 2)
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Explore and evaluate the circumstances under which protectionism may
not be justified even when faced with an economic crisis.
o Comparative advantage; the benefits it accrues; specialization,
economies of scale, increased efficiency and competitiveness.
o Trade and job creation; increased volume of trade
o Evaluate: dependency on other countries for essentials such as
steel, food etc.; lack of diversification of economy; existence of
transport and marketing costs.
Conclusion. Alternative policies; stimulate local consumption, FTAs etc.
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