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Sociological Perspectives.
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ASKINGTOO MUCH,
EXPECTINGTOOLITTLE
STANLEYLIEBERSON
University of California, Berkeley
379
380 SOCIOLOGICAL
PERSPECTIVES/ OCTOBER1988
THE AMBIGUOUSROLEOF
EMPIRICALSOCIALRESEARCH
Therearethosewho essentiallyrejectallempiricalinformation
(or at least statistical data) because either they claim it is an
inkblotthat you can interpretor massageany way you want, or
becausetheyholdthatempiricalanalysiscannotreallyget at what
is of importance.Butthatis the extremeviewand,I wouldguess,
is held by only a small segmentof our discipline.Most of us, I
believe,do not fall into this extreme;we wouldnot be troubled,
for example,to learnthat the courtshave approvedof measures
that comparethe probabilityof a qualifiedminoritybeinghired
with that for the majoritygroup (Gastwirthand Greenhouse,
1987, p. 39). (By the way, if you fall at the extreme view of
rejectingany and all empiricaldata, honestyshouldcompelyou
to rejector ignoresuchdatawhenit supportsyourtheoryas much
as you wouldwhen the data run counterto your ideas.)
On the otherhand,most of us areunlikelyto acceptempirical
data automaticallywithout carefulevaluation.We know there
can be many problemswith our research,and it is particularly
difficultin the usual case when we work with nonexperimental
data (see Lieberson, 1985;Achen, 1986, chap. 1). Any decent
undergraduatemethods text is filled with technicalissues that
must be consideredlest a researchprojectgo awryand generate
meaninglessoutput. But there are more than technicalissues
involved, ratherthere is also a set of exogenous pressuresthat
affectourstudyandthe interpretationof the results.It is not at all
unreasonableto viewthe resultsof socialresearchas a dependent
variablethat is affectedby the realityof whatit is meantto study
and other various technical mattersthat keep the study from
being ideal and also the social context of the work itself. By the
last I meana widevarietyof social pressureson the researcher(s)
such as the dominanttheories and paradigmsin the area;the
predispositionof the researcher;the dispositionsof foundations
andotherfundingsources;the dispositionsofjournaleditorsand
reviewers;seniorcolleagues;the prestigefulin theprofession;and
so forth.1
Lieberson/ ASKINGTOOMUCH 381
mentionedearlier-which we sharewithmanyotherdisciplinesin
both the hard and soft sciences-our discipline also has an
additionalpressurethat leadsus to ignoresome researchand all
too quicklyandunthinkinglyembraceotherstudiesof less merit.
In a nutshell,thereare a set of views about contemporarysocial
and political issues that at least appearto be quite common to
sociologists.In turn,resultsthatclashwiththeseviewsaretreated
differentlythan eitherthose that are in harmonywith them or
deal with topics that have minimalrelevancefor contemporary
policydebates.Ourdisciplinehas a set of illogicalproceduresand
inappropriateways of thinkingabout resultsthat are implicitly
definedas "unacceptable." What arethey?
AD HOMINEMTHINKING
Letus startwithwhatappearsat firstglanceto be an extremely
bad example of anything.As we all know, South Africa has
massiveracialgapsin income.Accordingto governmentstatistics,
for 1983the averagemonthlyearnings(in SouthAfricanrand)in
variousindustrieswas R1,200for whites;R571for Asians;R404
for colored;and R300 for blacks-the last figurebeing exactly
one-fourthof the whiteaverage(Departmentof ForeignAffairs,
1986,p. 470).2Whatcausesthisdifference?Discriminationof one
sort or another?Not accordingto a studyof wagedifferencesin
1970reportedin an Official Yearbook(Departmentof Foreign
Affairs,1985,pp. 481-482).Whiteshadearnings5.2 timesgreater
than blacksin 1970;of this hugegap, accordingto the statistical
analysispresented,between87%and96%of thetotalblack-white
gap is due to nondiscriminatoryfactors. Controllingfor racial
differences in age (an approximation of experience), hours
worked, education, and occupationalstatus, it was found that
about 70%of the black-whitedifferentialcould be explainedas
not dueto discriminationbutto "factorsrelatingto productivity"
(Departmentof ForeignAffairs,1985,p. 481).Butthatis not all,
they proceedto take into accountthe fact that qualityof black
educationis lowerbecauseof the standardsexistingfor different
384 SOCIOLOGICAL
PERSPECTIVES/ OCTOBER1988
DOUBLESTANDARDS
Several years ago an article was published in Scientific
Americanproposingto show that reductionsin the fundingof
various programs "for children, mothers of young children and
pregnantwomen"duringthe administrationof PresidentReagan
had "contributed significantly to the change of trend in the infant
mortalityrate"(Miller, 1985, p. 31). The change in trend was
basedon the fact that the rateof declinehad sloweddownin one
year, 1984,a dropof 2.7%in thatyearas contrastedwith4.6%per
yearin precedingyears.
Now such a conclusion is totally unwarranted.In an out-
standing article, which I recommend to you if you have not read
it, Donald T. Campbell(1985, in Tanur et al.) examined the
problems of measuring the effects of innovations by means of
time series analyses. He was concerned primarily with the
influence of various government policies on automobile-related
incidentsof death,accidents,and so on. He observes,"Itis clear
that the more unstablethe line is before the policy change or
treatmentpoint,the biggerthe differencehas to be to impressus
as a real effect" (p. 163). In other words, if we see that the
dependentvariablebouncesaroundfromyearto yearpriorto the
Lieberson/ ASKINGTOOMUCH 389
UNDOABLES
IF RESULTSHAVE POTENTIAL
CONSEQUENCESTHAT ARE VIEWED
BY SOMEONEAS UNDESIRABLE,THEN
IT DOES NOT FOLLOWTHATTHE
RESULTSARE WRONG
CONCLUSIONS
I likesociology.Indeed,if I coulddo it overagain,I would.Our
disciplinecan makeveryimportantcontributionsto socialissues
and social policy. But at one and the sametime I also think our
disciplineis asking too much, yet expectingtoo little. We are
asking too much of ourselvesbecausewe insist that our social
researchgeneratecertain results that are somehow defined as
appropriateandpoliticallycorrect.We have a set of illogicalbut
punishingconclusionsabout those whose results do not meet
certainpredeterminednotions. We also are a bit too prone to
think that any question asked can be answeredwith the infor-
Lieberson / ASKING TOO MUCH 395
NOTES
1. Here and elsewhere in the article we will not deal with intentional cheating with the
data in the sense of fudging about the actual numbers-as opposed to ignoring
contradictory results or otherwise analyzing the data with the intent of obtaining a certain
result.
2. I assume the gap would be even greater if agriculture was included, as well as data
for so-called "independent"African states.
3. It is my recollection that it was Peter Rossi who I first heard use the term double
standard in this way.
4. For an example of the latter see the discussion of the prematurequestion that occurs
when we do not yet have the underlying knowledge necessary to reach an answer to the
question that is posed (Lieberson, 1985, p. 9).
396 SOCIOLOGICAL
PERSPECTIVES/ OCTOBER1988
REFERENCES