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E. Durkheim (1897) suggested that the societal rate of suicide might be explained
by societal factors, such as marriage, divorce, and birth rates. The current study
examined male prison suicide rates and suicide rates for men in the total popu-
lation in the United States and found that variables based on Durkheims theory
of suicide explained prison suicide rates better than suicide rates for total popu-
lation. Possible reasons for these findings are discussed.
413
414 C. Tartaro and D. Lester
Method
Results
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1. State prison suicide 1.00 .57 .83 .13 .69 .72 .44
rate (males)
2. Male suicide 1.00 .45 .35 .20 .36 .20
rate (ages 15)
3. Year 1.00 .18 .88 .92 .41
4. Birth rate 1.00 .42 .34 .11
5. Marriage rate 1.00 .94 .51
6. Divorce rate 1.00 .48
7. Unemployment rate 1.00
Correlation is significant at the 0.05 level (2-tailed).
Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
prison suicides (r :69, p < :01, and r :72, p < :01, respect-
ively). Birth and unemployment rates were not associated with
prison suicide rates.
Multiple regression models were developed for both the
prison suicide rate and the male suicide rate in the total population.
Two models were developed for each dependent variable, one
simple model (OLS) and one using the Cochrane-Orcutt technique
to correct for autocorrelation. Variance Inflation Factor (VIF) stat-
istics were generated with the multiple regression models, and this
revealed high correlations between marriage rates, divorce rates,
and year. To rectify this problem, we removed marriage rates
and year from the models that are displayed here.
Regression models for the male prison suicide rates are
displayed in Tables 3 and 4. Birth rates and divorce rates were
significant predictors of the prison suicide rate in both the OLS and
the Cochrane-Orcutt models. The data indicated a negative
relationship between the birth rate and the prison suicide rate
and a positive relationship between divorce rate and the prison
suicide rate, and the R2 statistics for both models were quite high
(R 2 :69 for OLS regression and .68 for Cochrane-Orcutt
regression). Unemployment was not associated with prison
suicides.
The OLS model for the total population male suicide rate for
the United States revealed a significant relationship between the
dependent variable and birth and divorce rates (Table 5). The rela-
tionships were in the opposite direction to that for the prison sui-
cide rate. None of the associations remained significant in the
Cochrane-Orcutt model (Table 6).
Discussion
The present results are in accord with those from the earlier studies
on suicide rates in prisons in Finland and France and indicate that
measures of social integration in the larger society are significantly
TABLE 5 OLS Regression ModelUnited States Male Suicide Rate (Age 15)
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