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GEOFFREY WEST
SANTA FE INSTITUTE
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ARE CITIES AND COMPANIES JUST
VERY LARGE ORGANISMS
SATISFYING THE LAWS OF BIOLOGY?
GROWTH
REPRODUCTION
AGING/DEATH
EVOLUTION
SLEEP/REPAIR
DISEASE/CANCER
COMPLEXITY
Q: Some say that while the
20th century was the century
of physics, we are now
entering the century of biology.
What do you think of this?
A: I think the next century will
be the century of complexity.
Stephen Hawking interview, January,
2000
SOME CHARACTERISTICS OF COMPLEX SYSTEMS
MANY COMPONENTS
MANY INDIVIDUAL ACTORS / AGENTS
MULTI SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL SCALES
STRONGLY COUPLED / INTERACTING
NON-LINEAR
SENSITIVITY TO BOUNDARY CONDITIONS (CHAOS)
EMERGENT PHENOMENA / MULTIPLE PHASES
UNINTENDED CONSEQUENCES
ADAPTIVE / EVOLVING
HISTORICALLY CONTINGENT / PATH DEPENDENT
ROBUST / RESILIENT
NON-EQUILIBRIUM
UNDERLYING SIMPLICITY
COMPLICATED vs COMPLEX
COARSE- GRAINED DESCRIPTION
KINETIC THEORY
QUARK MODEL
LONGEVITY
INTERSPECIFIC SIZE DISTRIBUTION
All species in a Malaysian Rainforest
3
1947
N = 62 D-2.07
log number of trunks
2.5
1981
2 N = 55 D-1.95
1.5
0.5
1
3
0.5
1.5
2.5
1 September 2011
RESILIENCE
Mammals vary in size by
8 orders of magnitude
Shrew Elephant
2g 2,000,000g
Blue Whale
200,000,000g
SLOPE = < 1 SUB-LINEAR
Whole-organism metabolic rate (B)
scales as the 3/4 power of body mass (M)
B M 3/4
Hemmingson 1960
PLANTS/TREES
0.780 0.037
BM
METABOLIC RATE INCREASES NON-
LINEARLY WITH SIZE
B~ M 3/4
1
Bcell ~ 1/ 4
M
LIFE EXHIBITS A
SYSTEMATIC ECONOMY OF
SCALE
Metabolic rate sets the pace of life
small animals live fast and die young
(FRACTALS!!)
Large vessels
branch into
smaller ones
Beating heart
Pulse wave
propagates
through elastic
vessels
Relation between number and
size of branches within a tree
Microcapillary tubes follow branching
architecture from trunk to leaves
What is this?
`
INCOMING METABOLISED ENERGY
MAINTENANCE
(of existing cells)
+
GROWTH
(of new cells)
dN cell
B = N cellsBcell + E cell
dt
IN TERMS OF MASS AT AGE t
dm
= am 3 / 4 bm
dt
B0 m c
where a
Ec
Bc
b
Ec
NETWORK GEOMETRY AND DYNAMICS
CONTROLS THE PACE OF LIFE AT ALL
SCALES LEADING TO AN EMERGENT
UNIVERSAL TIME SCALE
B 1/ 4
Bcell = B0 M
M
THE PACE OF LIFE SYSTEMATICALLY
SLOWS WITH INCREASING SIZE
METABOLISM LIFESPANS
TURNOVER TIMES
GROWTH
TIMES TO MATURITY
EVOLUTION CIRCULATION TIMES
LONGEVITY .
DIFFUSION
FLUXES
.
BIOLOGY (LIFE)
a) DOMINATED BY NON-LINEAR 1/4 - POWER
SCALING
e) NETWORKS
SUSTAINABLE!!
JAMES BROWN (UNM/SFI)
BRIAN ENQUIST (U. ARIZONA)
WOODY WOODRUFF (LANL)
VAN SAVAGE (HARVARD)
JAMIE GILOOLLY (U. FLORIDA)
DREW ALLEN (UCSB)
MICHELLE GIRVAN (U. MARYLAND)
ALEX HERMAN (UCSF)
CHRIS KEMPES (MIT)
LUIS BETTENCOURT (LOS ALAMOS/SFI - PHYSICS)
JOSE LOBO (CORNELL/ASU - URBAN ECONOMICS)
DEBORAH STRUMSKY (HARVARD/UNC - ECONOMICS)
HYEJIN YOUN (SFI - PHYSICS)
MARCUS HAMILTON (SFI/UNM - ANTHROPOLOGY)
NATHANIEL RODRIGUEZ (SFI COMPUTER SCIENCE)
G.B.W, J.H. Brown and B.J. Enquist. The fourth dimension of life: fractal
geometry and allometric scaling of organisms. Science 284, 167 (1999).
G.B., J.H. Brown & B.J. Enquist. A general model for ontogenetic growth. Nature
413:628 (2001).
G.B.W., and J.H. Brown. The origin of allometric scaling laws in biology from
genomes to ecosystems: towards a quantitative unifying theory of biological
structure and organization. J. of Exp. Biology. 208, 1575 (2005).
G.B.W. & J. H. Brown Lifes Universal Scaling Laws. Physics Today 57(9) (2004):
36
L. M. A. Bettencourt, J. Lobo & G.B.W. Why are large cities faster? Universal
scaling and self-similarity in urban organization and dynamics The European
Physical Journal B, J. B 63, 285293 (2008)
Energy uptake and allocation during ontogeny; Hou, C.; Zuo, W.Y.; Moses,
M.E.; Woodruff, W.H.; Brown, J.H.; G.B.W.; Science 322, 736-739 (2008).
ARE CITIES (AND COMPANIES)
SCALED VERSIONS OF EACH
OTHER?
DO THEY MANIFEST
UNIVERSALITY?
Kuhnert, Helbing & West, Physica A363, 96-103 (2003)
Example
of
scaling
rela1onships
SUPER-LINEAR
SCALING
Innovation measured by Patents
Total Crime (Japan)
ii) b = 1
LINEAR NON-INNOVATIVE
RATES ~ N b-1
vs.
5
Cornwallis, OR (1)
4
San Jose (4)
3
Boston (107)
2
Phoenix (155)
1
0
-1 Denver (206)
-3
-4 Abilene (359)
-5
1
14
27
40
53
66
79
92
105
118
131
144
157
170
183
196
209
222
235
248
261
274
287
300
313
326
339
352
Growth Equation
dN R1
R0
= N N
dt E 0 R1
SOLUTION:
R0
1 R1 1 R1 (1 )t
E0
N = + N (0) e
R0 R0
N(t)
N(0)
SUPER-EXPONENTIAL
UNBOUNDED GROWTH COLLAPSE
N(t) UNBOUNDED GROWTH REQUIRES
ACCELERATING CYCLES OF
INNOVATION TO AVOID COLLAPSE
N(t)
N3(0) .
N2(0) .
N(t)
N1(0) .
N(t)
N(0)
t t
tc
t
tc
Population growth for New York City
1790 - 2003
Successive cycles of superlinear innovation reset the singularity and
postpone instability and subsequent collapse. The relative population
growth rate of New York City over time reveals periods of accelerated
(super-exponential) growth. Successive shorter periods of super
exponential growth appear, separated by brief periods of deceleration.
(Inset) tc for each of these periods vs. population at the onset of the cycle.
Observations are well fit with = 1.09 (green line).
UNBOUNDED GROWTH LEADING TO
FINITE-TIME SINGULARITY & COLLAPSE
Registered
genetic pairs
(75% in last 2 yrs)
Damien
Internet (3 yrs)
Broderick
PC (6 yrs)
VCR (8 yrs)
103 Iron
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