Cross-X.

com Phil Kerpen

Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 1 of 21

OVERVIEW

OK, what’s this all about?

This file is quick and dirty, but it’s also free, and I figure thos eof you debating this
weekend could probably use it, given that quite a bit has changed. The official Thursday
File launch will start next week, with pricing and ordering information to come out
during the week. Note that Thursday file installments will be significantly better
developed and organized than this file. (Even if I had had the necessary time this week,
circumstances in the wolrd may have made things difficult.)

That said, here’s the story: Bush is focused on terrorism now (shocking), plan diverts his
focus (not all that much brainpower to spread around with that guy), lack of immediate,
decisive, focused action on terrorism risks nuclear war. The shell evidence is somewhat
weak, so this is more spin than evidence. The key to controlling the debate is you
overwhelm them on uniqueness and risk assessment: We’re definitely going to act
decisively in SQ and any risk of upsetting that by passing plan can’t be justified, given
the magnitude of the impacts.

INDEX

TERRORISM FOCUS DA
BUSH TERRORISM FOCUS SHELL 2
NOW IS KEY 3
FOCUS UNIQUENESS 4
BIPART/CO-OP MEGAUNIQUENESS 5
INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT KEY 6
NMD LINK 7
RETALIATION GOOD 8
TERRORISM IMPACTS 9-10
OSAMA BIN LADEN DID IT 11
ANSWERS TO TERRORISM FOCUS DA
RETALIATION BAD: INDIA 12
RETALIATION BAD: INCREASES TERRORISM 13
BOMBING BAD: DESTROYS POLITICAL CAPITAL 14
MISCELLANEOUS BUSH UPDATES
NMD WILL PASS 15
BIPART NONUNIQUENESS 16
SPENDING TURN 17
US WILL BE ISOLATIONIST LONG TERM 18
NMD GOOD 19
ALASKAN DRILLING GOOD 20
CAPITAL GAINS CUT GOOD 21
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 2 of 21

BUSH TERRORISM FOCUS SHELL

A. TERRORISM IS THE EXCLUSIVE FOREIGN POLICY FOCUS

PRESIDENT GEORGE W BUSH, United Press International, September 13, 2001,
Thursday 07:53 PM Eastern Time
"Make no mistake about it, this nation is sad," he said. "But we’re also tough and resolute. And now is an
opportunity to do generations a favor, by coming together and whipping terrorism, hunting it down, finding
it and holding them accountable. This nation must understand, this is now the focus of my administration.
"We will very much engage in domestic policy, of course," the president continued. "But now that war has
been declared on us, we will lead the world to victory, to victory."

B. PLAN IS A DISTRACTION; KILLS DECISIVE ACTION.

Dan Balz, The Washington Post, September 12, 2001, Wednesday, Final Edition, Pg.
A02
Another part of Bush’s operating style also will be challenged by this crisis. He has prided himself on
establishing a governing agenda and sticking with it no matter what. Senior aides have lamented that what
they worry about most is distractions that cause Bush to lose focus on the core issues of his agenda.

Yesterday’s events will demand a wholesale reevaluation of his agenda and the overnight remaking of his
presidency. His focus will necessarily shift, not for a few days or weeks but for months on end. The attacks
will test his capacity to adapt and change.

Bush has often spoken of the threats posed by a world filled with "determined enemies who hate our values
and resent our success." His response largely has been to advocate the development of a robust national
missile defense, a priority that has shaped his foreign and national security policies and relations with
countries from Russia and China to U.S. allies in Europe. Yesterday’s attacks suggest he will be forced to
focus on the threat of terrorism more than the threat of ballistic missiles from rogue nations.

C. FAILURE TO DESTROY TERRORISM IMMEDIATELY MEANS NUCLEAR

WAR.
Gil Hoffman, The Jerusalem Post, September 12, 2001, Wednesday, Pg. 4
Former Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu called upon all democratic nations of the world to join an
international coalition to crush the terrorist organizations and the regimes that sponsor them.

Netanyahu warned last night that the attack could be a harbinger of worse tragedies that could kill millions
of people once Iran or Iraq acquire nuclear weapons.

"We must build a coalition against terror today, when our power is unmatched, because tomorrow it could
be matched," Netanyahu said in a news conference at Jerusalem’s King David Hotel. "It’s times to take on
militant Islamic regimes with a great deal of strength. We should crush the terrorist infrastructure that
threatens the entire free world." Netanyahu predicted that yesterday would be a turning point in the history
of the United States, similar to Pearl Harbor. He called upon the United States to lead the effort against "the
Bin Ladens, Arafats, and Saddam Husseins of the world."
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 3 of 21

NOW IS KEY

NOW IS THE KEY TIME FOR BUSH TO DEFINE HIMSELF AND THE
COUNTRIES FUTURE-- ALL EYES ARE ON HIM.
David S. Broder, The Washington Post, September 13, 2001, Thursday, Final Edition, Pg.
A31

From the smoky pyres and devastation of the World Trade Center and the Pentagon, from the tidal wave of
grief and anxiety, frustration and anger that encompassed the nation on Tuesday, Americans have
awakened to the realization that the casualty list is even larger than the uncounted lives that were lost.

Shattered as well are some of the myths of our national life -- notably the belief in the impregnability of our
borders. As the task of reconstructing a more realistic view of our situation begins, all eyes turn to the
president. That is George Bush’s challenge -- and his opportunity. As in the past, in times of national
tragedy, it fell to the president to express the public’s sense of loss and to affirm the nation’s determination
to respond. After a shaky start, when Bush seemed to be seeking a hideaway from both unknown enemies
and his own nerves, he gathered the strength to do just that in his brief Oval Office address Tuesday night
and again on Wednesday morning. But this is just the beginning of his ordeal.

When I wrote two weeks ago that this autumn would be "sheer hell" for Bush, it was beyond imagination
that terrorism would strike the nation in the horrendous fashion we saw on Tuesday morning. What
confronted him on Labor Day was a deteriorating economy, an out-of-kilter federal budget and a
legislative-diplomatic agenda that would strain his political capital and test his rhetorical abilities.

Now the challenge is much larger: to forge a strategy, far different from his campaign agenda, to deal with
the realities we face.

BUSH MUST SECURE THE COUNTRY, RESTORE CONFIDENCE, AND LEAD

THE US RECOVERY-- DEMANDS ARE ALMOST OVERWHELMING EVEN
BEFORE THEIR PLAN.
Dan Balz, The Washington Post, September 12, 2001, Wednesday, Final Edition, Pg.
A02
Bush now faces a test of leadership only few presidents have ever known. Even Roosevelt after Pearl
Harbor could see a clearly defined enemy and chart a clearly defined course. The enormity of what
confronts Bush is difficult to overstate, demanding skills that would challenge any president, let alone one
who has served just eight months in office and just seven years in public life. Almost simultaneously, Bush
must assess the threat and secure the country against further attack; rally the confidence of a nation gripped
by a sense of insecurity and vulnerability; identify the perpetrators and produce a swift, effective and
sustained response; lead the country through a period of mourning and rebuilding; correct what appears to
have been a massive intelligence breakdown; and develop a long-term plan for combatting terrorism.

NOW IS THE KEY TIME TO DEFINE THE BUSH PRESIDENCY

Dan Balz, The Washington Post, September 12, 2001, Wednesday, Final Edition, Pg.
A02
Crises help to define presidents. Jimmy Carter’s inability to solve the hostage crisis that immobilized his
presidency eventually cost him the White House in 1980. Bill Clinton’s eloquence in the aftermath of the
Oklahoma City bombing in 1995 helped restore his standing with the American people and turn around a
presidency that had been on the ropes just a few months earlier. Bush’s response to yesterday’s events no
doubt will determine how history judges him.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 4 of 21

FOCUS UNIQUENESS

BUSH IS FOCUSED EXCLUSIVELY ON TERRORISM

SONYA ROSS, AP Online, September 13, 2001 Thursday 8:03 PM Eastern Time
Elected on a promise to champion education reform and more recently focused on the economy, Bush said
his priorities have changed. The fight against terrorism, Bush said, "is now the focus of my administration."
The president made an emotional telephone call to New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani and Gov. George
Pataki that was televised live from the Oval Office. "I can’t tell you how sad I am - and America is - for the
people of New York City," Bush said.

FOCUS IS ON TERRORISM-- SHORT AND LONG TERM

MARTIN WALKER, United Press International, September 13, 2001, Thursday 07:53
PM Eastern Time
The war against terror is now the focus of his administration, President George W. Bush said Thursday,
vowing "now that war has been declared on us, we will lead the world to victory."

The United States was planning a long and sustained military, political and economic campaign, beyond
any single strike of retaliation, against terrorist groups found to be responsible and countries deemed to be
supporting them, senior Bush administration officials said.

TERRORISM IS BUSH’S FOCUS GLOBALLY

Deutsche Presse-Agentur, September 13, 2001, Friday, BC Cycle
U.S. President George W. Bush said he would visit New York and vowed that the United States would
"lead the world to victory" against terrorism.

Guiding the "war" against the perpetrators and those who harbour them was the focus of his administration,
he said.

Bush said he was planning to travel to New York Friday afternoon to visit with city officials, survivors of
the attack on the World Trade Centre and rescue workers who have been labouring day and night to dig the
living and the dead out of the rubble. In a conference call from the Oval Office with New York Governor
George Pataki and New York City Mayor Rudolph Giuliani, Bush said that he wanted to "thank and hug
and cry with the people of your area".

Bush said he wanted to help with the recovery, and his administration’s focus would now be on leading a
coalition to "root out and whip terrorism". He paced behind his desk as he spoke on the telephone on live
national television.

"The nation must understand this is now the focus of my administration," Bush told reporters.

FOCUS IS ON WTC, CONGRESS SUPPORTS 100%

JENA HEATH, The Atlanta Journal and Constitution, September 13, 2001 Thursday, Pg.
5A
Asked what effect such spending might have on the weakening economy --- until Tuesday Bush’s major
domestic challenge --- Fleischer said Bush’s focus now is on comforting survivors. He said Bush wants to
visit New York, but that he is concerned about interfering with rescue efforts.

Speaking with reporters after their meeting with Bush, congressional leaders pledged support and unity.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 5 of 21

BIPART/CO-OP MEGAUNIQUENESS

CONGRESS IS UNIFIED-- PARTISAN BATTLES ARE OVER, BUSH HAS FULL

SUPPORT.
The Bulletin’s Frontrunner, September 12, 2001
CQ (9/11, Taylor) reported, "Determined to demonstrate its unity and resolve, Congress will reopen for
business Wednesday. But even before President Bush and lawmakers formulate their response to Tuesday’s
terrorism, both the legislative agenda in Washington and the landscape of American politics have been
transformed." Beyond "appropriating billions of dollars to aid the recovery effort, lawmakers will monitor
the attacks’ effects on the financial markets and the economy." The "final weeks or months of the
congressional session -- which had been shaping up as a partisan battle over the budget -- have been recast
by a virtually unanimous and bipartisan promise from Congress to unite behind the president."
Democratic Caucus Chairman Martin Frost said, "The country will want decisive action and Congress will
support that on a bipartisan basis."

WTC SHATTERED THE AGENDA-- NOTHING UNRELATED WILL PASS.

DEBORAH MCGREGOR, Financial Times (London), September 13, 2001, Thursday
USA Edition 2, Pg. 9
Yesterday, the unifying power of tragedy was evident as congressional leaders in both parties gave a
powerful vote of confidence to Mr Bush.

"The world should know that members of both parties and both houses stand united in this," said Tom
Daschle, the Senate’s Democratic majority leader.

"It’s so important that we show that even these terrible acts cannot stop America from going forward," said
Trent Lott, the Senate’s top Republican, as the Senate reconvened.

Charles Jones, a political scientist at the University of Wisconsin, suggested that both parties must now
allow the president to set a course or risk losing all control of the national policy agenda.

"An event of this magnitude is totally agenda-shattering," said Mr Jones.

CONGRESS IS EFFECTIVELY OUT OF SESSION -- NOTHING OTHER THAN

COUNTERTERRORISM WILL BE DONE.
The White House Bulletin, September 12, 2001
Congress is effectively out of session, though they did come together today to demonstrate unity. Many top
Administration officials were huddled in the White House this morning as the political level of the
government considers how to respond. But there is a growing sense that Congress may adopt a minimalist
policy agenda as the country prepares for possible military action. Nonetheless, a number of questions are
being voiced around town about policy changes, particularly in the transportation and energy areas.

CONTROVERSIAL ISSUES WILL BE SET ASIDE

U.S. Newswire, September 13, 2001 T
Q: Ari, just to follow that, does the President believe as a general rule that Congress ought to -- you know,
in the interests of unity, ought to set some of these controversial issues aside, and do them maybe next year,
specifically?

MR. FLEISCHER: You know, I think what you’re going to see is Democrats and Republicans alike uniting
on all kinds of areas. I can’t guess with specificity what the domestic future will look like. But based on the
meeting the President had with the congressional leaders yesterday, I think it’s fair to say that there is a
different domestic mood.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 6 of 21

INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT KEY

BUSH NEEDS INTERNATIONAL AND RUSSIAN SUPPORT TO STOP

TERRORISM
CHRISTOPHE DE ROQUEFEUIL, Agence France Presse, September 13, 2001
Thursday 1:25 PM Eastern Time
Since Tuesday’s attacks in which terrorists hijacked commercial jetliners and crashed them into New York’s
World Trade Center and the Pentagon outside Washington, Bush and his secretary of state Colin Powell
have placed repeated calls to major world leaders, focusing on major international institutions that will be
essential to forging an anti-terror coalition: the United Nations, NATO and other key countries.

Bush personally called his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin to seek his cooperation in dealing with
Afghanistan, which could face US military action for harboring Osama bin Laden, the Saudi dissident
many US officials suspect of involvement in plotting the attacks
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 7 of 21

NMD LINK

INTERNATIONAL SUPPORT IS KEY TO SUCCESSFUL RETALIATION-- NMD

WOULD DESTROY IT.
David S. Broder, The Washington Post, September 13, 2001, Thursday, Final Edition, Pg.
A31
As Secretary of State Colin Powell said, carrying out retaliatory or preventive strikes against terrorists and
the nations that harbor them will be far easier if we are supported by other countries. Assembling that broad
coalition -- including European allies, Russia, China and as much of the Middle East as possible -- has to be
our top diplomatic priority now. If that means heeding their arguments for postponing deployment of a
theoretically workable missile defense system against a theoretical "rogue nation" missile threat, then that
is what realism requires of Bush.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 8 of 21

RETALIATION GOOD

ONLY FOCUSED, DECISIVE US ACTION CAN PREVENT FUTURE TERRORISM,

INLCUDING BIOLOGICAL ATTACKS
David S. Broder, The Washington Post, September 13, 2001, Thursday, Final Edition, Pg.
A31
For far too long, we have been queasy about responding to terrorism. Two decades ago, when those with
real or imagined grievances against the United States began picking off Americans overseas on military or
diplomatic assignments or on business, singly or in groups, we delivered pinprick retaliations or none at all.
We said we did not want to risk harming innocent people in striking back. But that gave license to the
leaders of those nations that shelter known terrorists. The time is long overdue to tell those leaders that if
you do not rid yourselves of the terrorists living within your borders or mingling with your people, you
have a big problem: We are coming after you as well as them.

That will not be easy -- or pretty. But it is probably the only way to offer what was missing from Bush’s
Oval Office speech: a strategy that can reassure Americans that their lives are not constantly at risk. The
ultimate terror in Tuesday’s successful attack is that it will encourage copycats with bombs or germs or
chemical agents to strike again.

THREATENING THE TALIBAN AND ATTACKING IF THEY DON’T TURN OVER

BIN LADEN KEY TO STOPPING NUCLEAR AND BIOLOGICAL TERRORISM
Robert Wright, The Guardian (London), September 14, 2001, Pg. 22
Bush could declare that the Afghan government is morally obliged to turn over Bin Laden and that, if it
does not, it will risk military attack and occupation, and its leaders will risk either being killed or put on
trial for complicity in murder. He asks for support from the international community, including military
support from Nato in the event of a war with Afghanistan. And he puts all of this in the proper context: he
is not just retaliating, but setting the precedent the whole world needs set as we approach a time when terror
ists have nuclear and biological weapons.

Bush would probably get military backing from Nato, and sufficient other international support to help turn
the entire exercise, however bloody, into a precedent of lasting value. (If he wants to avoid bloodshed, he
could whisper his threat to the Taliban before announcing it to the world; once the threat is public, it
becomes psychologically and politically harder for Afghan leaders to succumb to it.) Bush should seek
forceful support from the United Nations; Russia and China have no interest in sustaining terrorism.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 9 of 21

TERRORISM IMPACTS (1 OF 2)
IN THE POST WTC WORLD, TERRORISM IS AS BAD AS NUCLEAR WAR
Australian Prime Minister John Howard, Deutsche Presse-Agentur, September 14, 2001,
Saturday, BC Cycle
"We should stand shoulder to shoulder with the Americans, because this is not just an assault on America,
it’s an assault on the way of life we hold dear in common," Howard said.

He said there were "too many safe havens for terrorism in the world and we should make that known".

"We all like to believe that there’s a patch in the world called Australia that’s a little different from
everywhere else, but it’s not really, and we have to understand that we have to take precautions and accept
approaches that we otherwise would not have wanted.

"Regrettably, we now face a possibility of a period in which the threat of terrorism will be with us in the
way that the threat of nuclear war was around before the end of the Cold War.

"I think it’s as bad as that, and I don’t think any of us should pretend otherwise," Howard said.

NUCLEAR WAR PALES IN COMPARISON TO TERRORISM

Komsomolskaya Pravda, Moscow, in Russian 13 Sep 01, BBC Monitoring Former Soviet
Union - Political
In a report entitled "By striking at America, the terrorists have declared war on the entire world" in the
Russian newspaper Komsomolskaya Pravda on 13 September, Yevgeniy Umerenkov surveys the fallout
from the terrorist attacks on America. He surmises that an American military strike may well fall on
countries such as Libya, Iran or Iraq, which, although Islamic, still seek normal relations with the West.
This will have the effect of destabilizing them and bringing more radical governments to power, thus
increasing the strength of those who seek battle with the "infidels" and promoting Usamah Bin-Ladin’s
plans for a "Muslim World Empire". On the other hand, now that America has real experience of terrorism,
it should adopt a more understanding view of such countries as Israel and Russia, which have long been
fighting Islamic radicals. The long-running nuclear bloc games from the last century should also pall as
terrorism becomes the No 1 enemy, and Russia and the West could become allies.

WTC WAS VERY SMALL COMPARED TO NUCLEAR TERRORISM ON THE

WAY
James Klurfel, Newsday (New York, NY), September 13, 2001 Thursday ALL
EDITIONS, Pg. A17
That there has been such a dastardly attack is not a surprise to some national-security
experts who have been warning for the last four years that the United States faced a new
and diabolical threat from what what they called grand, or catastrophic terrorism.

They defined grand terrorism as not just a bomb that would kill hundreds of people, but
an attack using weapons of mass destruction such as chemical, biological or nuclear
weapons smuggled into the country that could kill tens of thousands of people. Or a
cyber attack that could seriously disrupt the economy. Hijacking giant jetliners and flying
them into buildings did not usually come up as a possibility, but if anything it’s at the
lower end of horrors that could be visited on our country.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 10 of 21

TERRORISM IMPACTS CONTINUED (2 OF 2)

TERRORISM WILL GROW EVEN GREAT IN SCOPE, USE WMDs

Doug Bandow, The Washington Times, September 13, 2001, Thursday, Final Edition,
Pg. A20
Even after countries like China and India grow more powerful, the U.S. is likely to possess sufficient power
to deter any aggressor. Washington may no longer be able to impose its will on other nations, but they will
certainly not be able to do so on America.

But the U.S. will still not be safe. America is vulnerable: The seemingly powerless have power.

Terrorism that once killed a dozen, a few score, or even a couple hundred has been turned loose on
thousands. Particularly frightening is the organization and scope of the attack.

Moreover, imagine the result had weapons of mass destruction been involved, if there had been biological,
chemical, or nuclear weapons on one of the planes.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 11 of 21

OSAMA BIN LADEN DID IT

INTERNATIONAL CONSENSUS-- OSAMA DID IT.

MARTIN WALKER, United Press International, September 13, 2001, Thursday 11:26
AM Eastern Time
The chain of evidence pointed ever more clearly to the al Qaida group of the militant Islamic terrorist
mastermind Osama bin Laden Thursday as the prime suspects in the devastating attacks on the World
Trade Center and the Pentagon.

American and international pressure, after the unprecedented backing for the United States from NATO
allies and from the U.N. Security Council, including Russia and China, was building steadily against the
Taliban rulers of Afghanistan, and on neighboring Pakistan, to surrender bin Laden to U.S. authorities.

POWELL, HATCH, AND DOJ HAVE STRONG EVIDENCE IT WAS BIN LADEN.
MARTIN WALKER, United Press International, September 13, 2001, Thursday 11:26
AM Eastern Time
Secretary of State Colin Powell said Wednesday night: "There is evidence being developed now, and good
evidence. We will be able to make a definitive statement in due course." The Financial Times reported that
U.S. Department of Justice investigators said the name of a known bin Laden associate had been listed
among the names of apparent hijackers. Sen. Orrin Hatch, R-Utah, told Fox News that, after the attacks on
the World Trade Center, communications between individuals associated with al Qaida discussing that a
"couple of targets were hit," the aftermath of the attacks on the World Trade Center.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 12 of 21

RETALIATION BAD: INDIA

IF THE US ATTACKS "THOSE WHO HARBOR TERRORISTS" INDIA WILL

LAUNCH A WAR AGAINST PAKISTAN
ELIZABETH ROCHE, Agence France Presse, September 13, 2001 Thursday 4:20 AM
Eastern Time
Commodore C.U. Bhaskar, deputy director at the Institute of Defence Studies and Analyses, said Tuesday’s
events would prove to be a watershed in the fight against global terrorism.

"After the attacks on New York and Washington, terrorism will become centre-stage as it is the US which
sets the agenda for global security discourse," Bhaskar said.

Another former foreign secretary, who declined to be identified, said he hoped Bush’s remarks on punishing
those who harbour terrorists would be translated into harsh action.

"The statement should definitely encourage India to act more decisively against militant camps in
Pakistan," he said.

INDIA WILL PUSH FOR US TO ATTACK PAKISTAN, AND JUSTIFY THEIR OWN
ATTACKS AS ANTI-TERRORISM
ELIZABETH ROCHE, Agence France Presse, September 13, 2001 Thursday 4:20 AM
Eastern Time
India hopes US vows to punish any country harbouring terrorists will translate into action against states that
New Delhi accuses of fomenting militancy in Kashmir -- particularly arch-rival Pakistan.

In his first live televised address to the nation on Tuesday following the terrorist attacks on New York and
Washington, US President George W. Bush said the United States would make "no distinction" between
the terrorists reposnsible and those who harbour them.

"Bush’s statements are definitely encouraging," a senior Indian diplomat said Thursday. "India has
constantly given evidence to the United States about Pakistan’s involvement in terrorist activities in
Kashmir since the early 1990s," said the diplomat, who declined to be identified.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 13 of 21

RETALIATION BAD: INCREASES TERRORISM

RETALIATION BACKFIRES-- INCREASES TERRORISM.

Robert Wright, The Guardian (London), September 14, 2001, Pg. 22
Many have noted that the first problem with retaliation is a practical one: identifying and finding the
attackers. But the bigger problem with retaliation, at least of the sort that most people envision, is that it
will make terrorist attacks on the US more likely in the future.

Yesterday someone asked me to discuss terrorism in game-theory terms, and I realised that you almost
cannot in this case. Game theory assumes that all players are amenable to positive and negative
reinforcement. When you are dealing with people who do not mind death - who even welcome it, in a sense
- your arsenal of negative reinforcement decreases considerably. Indeed, killing Islamic fundamentalist
terrorists (which the perpetrators almost certainly were) can be not just ineffective, but counterproductive.
If death in a holy war grants admission to the highest echelons of heaven, then the people killed become not
just martyrs, but role models. Or, at least, they become martyrs to many, and role models to a small but
consequential number of fundamentalist Muslims who themselves aspire to martyrdom.

RETALIATION JUSTIFIES GLOBAL REPRESSION, TYRANNY

The Guardian (London, September 14, 2001
The danger that others will exploit America’s war for their own purposes is also
apparent. Russia, for example, says it is happy to help crush terrorists, especially the
Chechen variety. Israel is already acting as if it had received a green light for intensified
repression in the Occupied Territories. Pakistan, pivotal in any Afghan operation, will
doubtless want a quid pro quo, perhaps over its links to Kashmiri terrorism. And what
will China’s price be? Silence on Tibet? In Washington, meanwhile, another woeful
prospect is the predicted collapse of congressional opposition to Mr Bush’s rogue-bashing
missile defence plans.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 14 of 21

BOMBING BAD: DESTROYS POLITICAL CAPITAL

BOMBING AFGHANISTAN WOULD WASTE ALL OF BUSH’S POLITICAL

CAPITAL.
Robert Wright, The Guardian (London), September 14, 2001, Pg. 22
How we go about bringing Bin Laden to justice (assuming, again, that the attack on America is his work)
will massively influence how safe Americans are in the decades to come. One thing the attack did was to
give President Bush great but temporary influence in the shaping of international anti-terrorist norms and
institutions. The Nato allies, and many other nations, will show inordinate assent to his initiatives in this
area in the coming weeks. But if Bush’s first initiative is to launch a unilateral assault on Afghanistan, then
he will spend much of his political capital with few if any good long-term effects and some bad ones. We
should consider an alternative.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 15 of 21

NMD WILL PASS

WTC GUARANTEES NMD WILL PASS
SCOTT CANON, The Kansas City Star, September 13, 2001, Thursday, Pg. A12
Bush has put his proposal to develop a national missile defense center stage in his drive to reform the
military, to adapt the country’s security to life after the Cold War, and to employ America’s high-
technology edge to fend off the attacks of America’s more unpredictable enemies.

Many observers said Tuesday’s attacks would give him political capital to push even harder. Congress is
less likely to resist Bush’s appeal for an $18 billion increase in the defense budget at a time when
Americans are prone to want more backing for the military.

"Missile defense may not be directly relevant to the attack, butit’s about safety at home," said Steve Fetter,
a nuclear arms analyst during the Clinton administration. "It’ll be hard for politicians to stand up and vote
against that."

In emotionally charged times, he said, the security promised by missile defense is bound to have added
appeal.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 16 of 21

BIPART NONUNIQUENESS

THE REPORTS OF CONGRESSIONAL UNITY ARE BOGUS-- IT’S ABOUT TO

FRACTURE
ALISON MITCHELL and RICHARD L. BERKE, The New York Times, September 13,
2001, Thursday, Late Edition - Final, Section A; Page 16; Column 5
There were still some cautious voices calling for a balance between security and civil liberties.

"Pearl Harbor led to the internment camps of Japanese-Americans," said Representative John Conyers Jr.,
Democrat of Michigan.

And not everyone agreed that the unity would last through the session. Tensions already simmered below
the surface. Secretary of Defense Donald H. Rumsfeld, in a warning to Congress about leaks of classified
information, spoke out against those who would "reveal information that could cost the lives of men and
women in uniform."

And several members of Congress who attended briefings featuring officials of the C.I.A., the F.B.I. and
cabinet agencies, complained about a lack of information.

"It was nothing I didn’t know from a variety of other sources," said Representative Robert Menendez,
Democrat of New Jersey. "It was totally inept, totally unacceptable."
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 17 of 21

SPENDING TURN

BUSH MUST BREAK THE LOCK BOX TO FINANCE RETALIATION AND

EDUCATION-- OR THE US WILL BE PARALYZED.
David S. Broder, The Washington Post, September 13, 2001, Thursday, Final Edition, Pg.
A31
And speaking of realism, this is a good moment for the president and congressional leaders of both parties
to acknowledge the reality that the economic slump has made it both impossible and undesirable to
preserve as large a budget surplus as the so-called Social Security trust fund requires. Any sum Bush
requests to strengthen American military and intelligence capabilities to deal with the threat of terrorism
will now be approved by huge congressional majorities.

That will break open the theoretical "lock box" on Social Security taxes, and in turn will enable Democrats
to add enough funds to the education budget so that they will release their stranglehold on Bush’s school
reform bill. And if the price for this short-term budget deal is suspension of the long-term tax cut Bush
pushed through when the economy and the world situation looked far different -- a tax cut that threatens the
future viability of Social Security -- that too would be a victory for realism.

This tragedy can motivate the nation -- or shock it into paralysis. This is the test, and Bush must lead.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 18 of 21

US WILL BE ISOLATIONIST LONG TERM

US WILL BECOME ISOLATIONIST BECAUSE OF WTC

Deutsche Presse-Agentur, September 13, 2001, Friday, BC Cycle
"I expect an indirect consequence ... a narrower role of the United States in Kosovo and Macedonia," said
President Vojislav Kostunica’s adviser for international politics, Predrag Simic. He expressed concern that
an "unilateral, irresponsible reaction by the United States could seriously jeopardize international
relations".

An independent political analyst, Ognjen Pribicevic, told the daily that he expects a swift retaliation against
the organizers of the bombing attacks, but a much slower shift in foreign policy.

"The shift ... the consideration of some foreign policy aspects will come later," possibly in line with
isolationist pressure within President George W. Bush’s Republican Party, he said.

"The United States will slowly abandon its role of global policeman, which it took on during Bill Clinton’s
presidency," Pribicevic said.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 19 of 21

NMD GOOD

WTC PROVES TERORIST THREAT IS REAL--WITHOUT NMD THE NEXT

ATTACK WILL MAKE WTC LOOK LIKE A TRASH CAN FIRE.
DEROY MURDOCK, Scripps Howard News Service, September 13, 2001, Thursday
12:10 PM Eastern Time
Terrorists or a nation that nurtures them could have used a missile to drop an atomic warhead that would
have made the recent explosions at the Twin Towers resemble trash can fires. The fanaticism,
organization and financial commitment that turned airliners into flying bombs make a missile attack easier
to contemplate. President Bush’s proposal for a ballistic missile defense system should be approved and
accelerated. If the Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty impedes deployment, President Bush should persuade
Russia’s already-accommodating president, Vladimir Putin, that such a system is pivotal to U.S. security
and of no worry to nations - presumably including his - that wish America peace.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 20 of 21

ALASKAN DRILLING GOOD

ALASKAN OIL DRILLING IS IMPERATIVE IN THE POST-WTC WORLD--ONLY
WAY TO GET OUT OF THE MIDDLE EAST.
DEROY MURDOCK, Scripps Howard News Service, September 13, 2001, Thursday
12:10 PM Eastern Time
Second, President Bush’s opponents have caricatured his energy plan as a license to pave
Alaska and turn its polar bears into throw rugs. Alaska and other states offer this country
the chance to end our dependence on Middle Eastern oil. Given the animus that so many
over there have toward "the Great Satan," it now is clearly in the national interest to be
able to turn our backs on Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Iraq and its neighbors. If those countries
lacked petroleum beneath their sands, they would be as crucial to us as Guyana, Laos and
Djibouti. Relying on domestic - and perhaps Mexican - petroleum would spare the U.S.
from leaving our fuel lines exposed like jugulars across a region teaming with people
who hate us.
Cross-X.com Phil Kerpen
Bush Updates, 2001-9-13 Page 21 of 21

CAPITAL GAINS CUT GOOD

ECONOMY WILL PLUNGE INTO A DEPRESSION ABSENT DRAMATIC

CAPITAL GAINS TAX CUT
DEROY MURDOCK, Scripps Howard News Service, September 13, 2001, Thursday
12:10 PM Eastern Time
Finally, with the Dow sagging well below 10,000 points, unemployment rising to 4.9
percent and growth estimates marching south, consumers and CEOs alike already had the
jitters before terror struck. Now, confused and demoralized economic actors could send
commerce into a tailspin.

Immediately increasing financial incentives could prevent that. Capital gains taxes
permanently should be halved or eliminated at once. The slow-motion, 10-year tax cut
should be hastened to return more money to taxpayers to invest or spend as they wish. If
this helps more rich people create jobs or purchase things other people produce, so be it.