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BOGDAN VOICU and MĂLINA VOICU
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INSTITUTUL EUROPEAN
2008
Table of contents
Claudiu D. Tufiş
Comrades or citizens? Support for democracy and market
economy / 31
The simultaneity of transition to democracy and market economy / 31
A model for the analysis of support for democracy and market
economy / 34
Political culture / 34
Support for the political-economic system / 35
Diffuse support for democracy / 37
Predictors of diffuse support for democracy / 38
Diffuse support for market economy / 42
Predictors of diffuse support for market economy / 43
Results / 44
Conclusions / 55
References / 57
5
Mircea Comşa
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases / 63
The theoretic relevance of the left and right concepts / 63
How the left and right concepts are used / 67
What can be understood by left and right? / 74
Left or right? / 77
The relevance of self-placement on the left-right axis / 80
Social bases of self-placement 85
Partisan bases of self-placement 88
Attitudinal-axiological bases of self-placement 92
Ideological self-positioning: between party loyalty and values / 97
Conclusions / 104
Annexes / 107
Reference list / 111
Databases used / 114
Claudiu D. Tufiş
Institutional trust – victim of the postcommunist transition / 115
Trust – theoretical aspects / 117
Trust and risk / 117
Trust and social capital / 119
Institutional trust and interpersonal trust / 120
Trust and uncertainty / 120
Trust – analysis model / 123
Dependent variables / 123
Socio-economic characteristics / 124
Values / 124
Social position / 125
Psychological factors / 126
Evaluations / 126
Treatment of missing data / 127
Results / 128
Conclusions / 139
References / 142
Raluca Popescu
Family values in Romania and in Europe / 170
The family between change and stability / 171
Changes at a demographic level / 171
Changes in family lifestyles / 172
The importance of the family / 173
The place the family occupies in the individual’s life/ 173
The importance of marriage: is marriage an outdated
institution? / 177
The importance of marriage: tolerance for different aspects
regarding marriage and sexuality / 178
Alternative lifestyles: single mothers / 182
Alternative lifestyles: consensual couples / 183
Roles and statuses in the family / 185
Satisfaction with the family life / 187
European patterns of family value orientations / 188
Conclusions / 191
References / 192
Paula A. Tufiş
Social status and child-rearing values / 193
The role of child-rearing values in social reproduction / 197
Socio-demographic characteristics and parental values / 198
7
Mechanisms mediating the relationship between social status and parental
values / 200
Data and methodology / 205
Model and sample / 205
The measurement of parental values / 207
Determinants of parental values / 209
Results / 211
Conclusions / 220
Appendix / 223
The comparability of results between urban and rural areas / 223
Additional results / 224
References / 228
Horaţiu Rusu
Identity and axiological profile: value identifications for Romanian
young people / 232
Theories on collective identities or “How can we establish that a certain
bird is a duck?” / 233
The axiological dimension of identity / 237
Indicators and methodology / 239
What kind of value identifications can we find from young people? / 241
Young people’s values identification: which way? / 245
Conclusions/ 250
Annex / 252
Part A – The used indexes in cluster and ANOVA analysis and
in their way of construction / 252
Part B – The items in the Schwartz scale / 256
References / 257
Bogdan Voicu
Between tradition and postmodernity? a dynamic of value
orientations in Romania: 1993-2005 / 261
On modernization and post-modernization / 263
Attitudes towards environment protection / 268
Between tolerance and normativism / 269
Work ethos 272
9
Introduction.
Romania and the comparative study of values1
BOGDAN VOICU, MĂLINA VOICU
This volume discuses the situation of the Romanian society after more
than fifteen years of major social changes. We are interested in social values, as
determinants and products of the economic and social organization and also
constitutive elements of the social development mix. We place our discussion in
a comparative perspective, often making comparisons to other European
countries. Also, we are interested in the dynamics and the way values have
changed in this entire post communist period.
Before starting to discuss about Romania and Romanians’ values, there
are some issues that need clarification: what values are, what they are good for,
what is the importance of studying these values, who and how studies values in
the contemporary sociology. These are the topics that we address in the current
introduction. The order in which we have listed them gives the order of the
following sections. In the end of this introductory chapter, we discuss the
structure of the volume and the data we use.
Defining values
Talking about values was and will always be a very difficult task
because of the different connotations that are given to the term in various
scientific domains, connotations further propagated into common language. The
most frequent meaning is the one coming from the humanities. In esthetics,
philosophy and literature, the term tends to have a normative meaning. Values
become criteria that people and collectivities use in order to make the
1
We thank Dumitru Sandu for reading very attentively an earlier version of this chapter
and making very useful comments.
11
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
distinction between good and evil, between beautiful and ugly or between
desirable and undesirable (Ester and others, 1994).
After the first half of the 20th century, a still vivid debate in the social
sciences reflected the tendency of western countries to renounce normativism in
favor of accepting diversity. Without acquiring the consensus in what concerns
the way they manifest themselves, in our days, sociology, psychology,
anthropology place values at the level of the individual, but still as a main factor
in the nature of our society. They are not those clear guidelines that establish an
absolute good or an absolute beauty anymore. For psychologists, values
represent anchors that allow individuals to become oriented in the surrounding
world, acting as decoding systems of the bonuses of the potential directions of
action, benefits deriving from everyone’s scale of preference, from personal
aspirations or needs2. In turn, sociology defines values as inner to the
individual, but with an important social determinant, as expressed and at the
same time induced by norms, habits or ideologies3. In the field of sociology as
in the one of psychology too, values act like an engine in everyday choices,
helping in tiding up the individual’s priorities and personal life.
At individual level, they are consistently structured in value systems,
(Rockeach, 1973), values from a specific domain (for instance, religion, family,
social relations, work etc.) being determined and also determining the values of
all the other domains. Kluckhohn (1951:411) talks not only about values, but
also about values orientations, more generally speaking, acting as organized and
generalized conceptions, influencing behavior, regarding nature, the human
place and role, the relations with other people, what is desirable or undesirable,
no matter if these last ones are related to environment or to inter-human
relations.
Values cannot be directly observed. No one can precisely describe
which the values of somebody else are. They behave as latent realities, inner to
individuals, but with an important social determinant. Human collectivities
develop common sets of values that insure social cohesion and the possibility of
living together in the same environment, but also allow value orientations
specific of some subgroups and even of individuals who nevertheless adhere to
common values.
The inclusion of values in values systems and the pronounced social
determinacy lead to their stability. Values do not change from day to day; they
need a long time to restructure, every change practically affecting all the other
spheres of one’s life. This leads to the fact that, in studying value dynamics,
long time intervals are needed (5-10 years) so that the possible fluctuations
become visible.
2
See van Deth and Scarbrough (1994:22).
3
Deth and Scarbrough (1994:22), Parsons (1964), Voicu and Voicu (2002) and so on.
12 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Introduction. Romania and the comparative study of values
4
See Voicu, 2001.
5
See Berger, 1995.
6
Hofstede (2001), Schwartz (2003, 1994a), Inglehart (1997) and others explicitly
define values as the central element of culture.
13
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 1. The Cultural Map of the World, according to Inglehart typology
Data source: EVS/WVS 1999-2001. The positioning of every country on the two axes
must be interpreted in a relative way (for example: Sweden is more modern than the
USA, but not necessarily completely modernized). The two displayed dimensions are
the full factor scores described by Inglehart (1997), not their reduced version used by
Inglehart-Welzel (2005).
We will start with the cultural map of the world (Inglehart, Welzel,
2005). The literature discussing about social change has been dominated for
many decades by the analysis of two major processes: modernization and
postmodernization. Modernization can be schematically reduced to the
preference for rationalization and planning to the detriment of tradition as a
generation element of the majority of everyday decisions. Likewise, the
reductionist perspective of cultural postmodernization can be represented by a
striking orientation for self expression, for the satisfaction of superior needs.
The type of analysis proposed by Inglehart (1993, 1997) presumes taking into
account the two dimensions built as aggregates7 of the values in the following
domains: work, family, relations between sexes, social relations, politics,
environment protection, religion and so on. Based on data provided by the
7
Factor scores.
14 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Introduction. Romania and the comparative study of values
European Values Survey and World Values Survey (see the following section),
such an approach allows structuring a cultural map of the world (figure 1). This
facilitates the comparative analysis of the contemporary human societies. For
example, Romania’s position is somewhere at the periphery of the ex-
communist countries group, being more traditional and less oriented towards
superior needs. Besides, the differences between the East and the West and
between the North and the South can be easily recognized on the map. The
American exceptionalism is also visible: The US, where modernization
developed differently from Europe in what concerns, for example,
secularization (Lipset, 1996; Baker, 2005; Inglehart and Welzel, 2005), display
a much more traditional society than Western European countries and even
some ex-communist countries. Except for this outlier, the cultural map of the
world roughly overlaps the map of development, no matter if the development
is measured through the human development index or through its components,
such as GDP/capita, life expectancy, or level of education.
A second example is connected with the evolution of the ideas of the
political parties’ supporters. For a long time, the left-right distinction has been a
common place in social sciences and also in common language. Placement on
this continuum defines, in a reductionist way, the parties’ and electors’ opinion
on most political problems. Figure 2 considers the sympathizers of the main
Romanian political parties and shows the dynamics of their self-positioning on
the left-right scale between 1996 and 20038. Several major tendencies can be
noticed: at the beginning, on average, the groups of voters of all the major
parties seem to go toward the center. In the second half of the 90s, the cross-
party differentiations become more and more visible. The voters of PSD (former
FDSN, PDSR and so on) represent the group that heads towards the left and
strengthen its position in this area. At the opposite, PNL voters gravitate
towards the right, occupying alone this area, after PNŢ-CD stops attracting
supporters. PRM voters oscillate around the middle value on the scale (5.5),
reflecting the concern of the sympathized party for combining nationalist,
xenophobic discourse, specific to the extreme right with the communist sort of
demagogy, specific to the extreme left.
8
For details related to the main Romanian parties, please check the appendix at the end
of the current volume. This book also includes an excellent chapter written by Mircea
Comşa which focuses on the self-positioning on the left-right scale. In this introduction
we do not go into so much detail like the mentioned analysis, but we offer an example
about the way values structure the domain of political choices.
15
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 2. The evolution of self identification with the political left or right of the
main Romanian political parties’ electors between 1993 and 2006
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
FSN UDMR
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
UDMR PNŢ-CD
Nov. 1999
PD PNL
UDMR PDSR
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
PRM/ PNŢ-CD
PUNR
Nov. 2005
PSD PRM UDMR PNL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
PD
Oct. 2006
PSD PRM PNG UDMR PNL
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
PD
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
PNG PD
LEFT RIGHT
Sources: EVS&WVS Romania, the waves in July, 1993, November, 1999, November,
2005, respectively the survey Values ’97 realized by the University of Bucharest
(coordinator Dumitru Sandu) in November, 1997 and the November 2006 wave of the
Public Opinion Barometer of the Foundation for an Open Society (BOP-FSD). The
scores represented graphically are the averages for every party’s electors, of the answers
given to the question: Related to politics, people talk about “left” and “right”.
Generally speaking, where would you place yourself on the below scale? 1 – “left”…
10 – “right”. The electors are the ones who claimed that they would vote with the
respective party in case of organizing elections right in the following weekend. Among
PNL electors, we counted all the liberal parties’ electors (PNL–AT, PL, PL’93, NPL,
PAC, PNL–CD, PNL–C, UFD and so on depending on the reference year). For 1993,
1997 and 1999, PRM and PUNR electors were considered part of the same group.
Figure 3. The dynamics of values orientations towards the maximal or minimal state
for the supporters of several Romanian political parties between 1993 and 2006.
The
10 state
should take more
responsibility to ensure that
everyone is provided for
9
PSD
6 PRM
PSD PRM
UDMR
5
PD
UDMR
4 PNL
PD
PNL
3
1993 1997 1999 2005 2006
Sources: EVS&WVS Romania, the waves in July, 1993, November, 1999, November,
2005, respectively the survey Values ’97 realized by the University of Bucharest
(coordinator Dumitru Sandu) in November, 1997 and the November 2006 wave of the
Public Opinion Barometer of the Foundation for an Open Society (BOP-FSD).
The scores represented graphically are averages, every party’s electors, of the answers
given to the question: Which of the two remarks written on the vertical axis is more
representative for the one who answers? The answers can be granted a number from 1
to 10. The electors are the ones who claimed that they would vote with the respective
party in case of organizing elections right in the following weekend. Among PNL
electors, we took into consideration all the liberal parties’ electors (PNL – AT, PL,
PL’93, NPL, PAC, PNL – CD, PNL – C, UFD and so on, depending on the reference
year). For 1993, 1997 and 1999, PRM and PUNR electors were considered part of the
same group.
17
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
In the case of the PD, the party’s identity oscillations are accompanied
by similar oscillations in the way electors define themselves. Initially placed
rather to the left side of the political spectrum, they advance gradually to the
right, with a recoil lately manifested and probably given by the separation
attempt from the PNL and also by the tendency of the sympathizers’ rising
number and – implicitly – of their diversification.
Finally, but not accidentally, PNG voters have an average of self
identification with the left or the right that does not significantly differ from the
one of the PRM electors.
PSD electors assume the extreme left position, with a more accentuated
involvement of the state in the social life than in the case of other parties. At the
counter pole, there is the PNL, whose electors assume rather a liberal position,
allowing the individual to be more responsible for his/her own wellbeing.
In the early ‘90s, there was a general tendency of decreasing the
orientation towards the maximal state. An increasing number of people claimed
that individuals should be more responsible for their own welfare, while the
state should reduce the scope of its intervention. However, such a position was
threatened at its turn in the following years, and the change modified again its
direction by inverting it. From this point of view Romania could be
characterized as being in the process of modernization9.
On the other hand, orientation changes in case of the voters of the
parties are also accompanied by changes of the socio-demographic structure of
these electorates. This is the case of the PD and PRM, parties for which the
value differences are the result of the actual change in the voters’ body.
9
Traditionally, the state has a reduced role in providing welfare, because people,
families and communities take care of it. Modern state, in its European version, tended
to become “a wellbeing state”, with slight variations resulting from its liberal, socio-
democratical, conservatory or Mediteranean character, where the state assumed a very
important role in social services promotion and redistribution.
10
For a relevant discussion about the increasing number of value studies and on the
increasing impact of studying values in various fields, see Ester, Braun, Mohler, (2006).
18 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Introduction. Romania and the comparative study of values
11
For detailed description of EVS/WVS, see Halman (2001), Inglehart and others
(2004), Voicu and Voicu (2002), Arts and others (2003) and so on.
19
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
12
The internet search was realized on the 12th of January, 2006, using Google.
13
Self-enhancement versus self-transcending.
20 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Introduction. Romania and the comparative study of values
14
Petterson, 2004, 2006.
15
Traditional – secular and survival values – self expression values.
16
Hofstede (2001) relates about 70 investigated societies.
21
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
where they live. For Hofstede, this dependency is not a local one, but it
represents an evidence for the influence of the “national” culture over the value
orientations of the individuals.
All these above-described approaches try to reduce the complex space
of values, trying to theoretically and/or empirically build a reduced number of
dimensions, more easily to analyze and interpret. The difficulties that such
attempt encounters are, undoubtedly, remarkable, especially in what concerns
values measurement, whose latent character is one of the few points of
methodological consensus (Jagodinski, 2004).
Apart from “dimensionalists”, there are some other groups approaching
the problem of values cross-culturally. Such a group is the one which studies
“cultural traumas” as sources of social change, marking some communities’
cultural identity for long-term periods, if not even permanently (Smelser &
Alexander, eds., 1999; Sztompka, 2000; Alexander et al., 2004). Another group
is the one built around the discussion about diversity of modernity, different
from a culture to another (see Sachsenmaier, Riedel, Eisenstadt, eds., 2002).
These streams focus for the moment on theoretical construction of their
explanations, generally avoiding to empirically validate their assumptions at the
individual level.
In social sciences literature written in Romania, all these streams from
the study of social values have had rather a minor impact so far. Early ‘90s did
not bring almost any global systematic approach of cultural modernity or values
dynamics. During the last years, a few writings on this topic have been
published, some of them (Roth, 2002; Chiribucă, 2004; Vlăsceanu, 2001) taking
over and presenting modernization and postmodernization theories, others
(Sandu, 1996; Voicu, 1999, 2001, 2005; Vlăsceanu, 2007) drawing out personal
syntheses and more elaborate explanatory frameworks. They had already been
anticipated by punctual empirical analyses, promoted mainly by Dumitru Sandu
(1999, 2003) and also by the team working on the study of values in Romania
(see the appendix). It is interesting to remark that all these analyses use, as a
theoretical basis, only the modernization and postmodernization theories17.
17
The only Romanian article that we know, presenting some other types of dimensional
approaches belongs to us (Frunză, Voicu, 1996). In the respective paper, we mention
Schwartz’s and Triandis’ approaches rather vaguely. Also, Voicu (2005) uses the
arguments in the theory of cultural trauma, as they appear at Sztompka.
22 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Introduction. Romania and the comparative study of values
the way it is today and the way it developed through the communist period. We
are interested in changes at the level of social values in the spheres of family,
voting behavior, religion or attitude towards democracy and so on.
Each of the materials included in the volume is conceived as an analysis
focusing on the case of Romania. However, the general principle that guides our
approach is to refer, whenever it is necessary, a larger context, namely the
European framework. We do not discuss the impact of values in all its possible
facets, in all imaginable domains. It would be practically impossible to achieve
such a goal. What we do is to characterize the dynamics of the social values in
Romania between 1993 and 2006 in few domains connected to our research
interests. A first grouping includes three articles dedicated to value orientations
towards the element of social organization of the public space. Claudiu Tufiş
opens the volume with a study dedicated to the orientations towards democracy.
Mircea Comşa discusses in detail an element of the political behavior in a study
that provides – for the first time in Romania – an empirical and conceptual
material dedicated to electors’ self positioning on the left-right scale. Then,
Claudiu Tufiş devotes a chapter to confidence in institutions.
A second set of articles begins with Mălina Voicu’s analysis over
religiosity in Romania, seen from a comparative perspective. This marks the
passage to value orientations which manifest particularly in sphere of private
relations. Raluca Popescu discusses the social values inside the family, also
referring briefly to gender relations problems. Paula Tufiş brings to foreground
parents’ value orientations in what concerns children’s socialization, another
domain practically unexplored up to the moment in Romanian literature.
At the end of the volume, Horaţiu Rusu tries to describe the way in
which our days teen-agers differ from teen-ager generations in 1999 and in the
early ’90s. A more global perspective over values evolution closes the volume.
Bogdan Voicu comes up with an aggregate analysis over Romania’s position
and dynamics, from a cultural modernity point of view, in comparison to the
rest of the European countries.
In our studies we use several data sets, paying the most attention to the
EVS/WVS Romanian waves. The first data are from 1993, because, in the 1990
wave of the EVS/WVS, Romania collected data two years later than the rest of
the Europeans. The survey was conducted by the the Research Institute for the
Quality of Life, under Ioan Mărginean’s coordination, while Marian Preda
assured the coordination of the network of field operators.
In the 1995-1997 wave of the WVS, because of some communication
deficiencies, Romania is practically absent. A mixed team from the University
in Bucharest and the Research Institute for Quality of Life under Dumitru
Sandu’s18 coordination received a CNCSIS (National University Research
18
Mălina Voicu was also part of the team. She was the coordinator of the data
collecting process and she also participated in designing the questionnaire together with
23
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Dumitru Sandu, Lucian Pop and Mihai Surdu. Among the authors of the current
volume, Paula Tufiş and Bogdan Voicu collaborated during the different stages of the
data collecting process.
19
Bogdan Voicu, Paula Tufiş, Claudiu Tufiş, Cosmina Rughiniş, Ruxandra Noica,
Elena Gheorghiu and Monica Şerban were also part of the team.
20
http://www.iccv.ro/romana/teme/EVS/evs.htm.
21
Dumitru Sandu, Gabriel Bădescu, Manuela Stănculescu, Cosima Rughiniş, Ovidiu
Voicu, Mihaela Ştefănescu.
24 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Introduction. Romania and the comparative study of values
WVS 2005 questionnaire. The Gallup Organization Romania was the data
collecting agency for the respective 2005 wave.
A new wave of European Values Survey is scheduled to take place in
2008. The team, hosted by RIQL and led by Mălina Voicu, includes all the
authors of this volume, to which adds Marian Vasile. Data collection is
scheduled for April-May 2008, and the results will start to be presented to the
public in the autumn of 2008.
The series of the data sets resulting from the value surveys allows the
analysis of the dynamics of the Romanian values. It also provides an empirical
support for the comparison to the rest of the European countries22. This is the
main data source for the papers collected in this book.
A few other sources complete the empirical material of the current
volume: the complete series of the Public Opinion Barometer of the Foundation
for an Open Society (BOP-OSF), data bases of the Research Institute for the
Quality of Life, etc.
The present volume does more than just exploiting these numerous
empirical resources. At the beginning, each one of the chapters tries to make an
incursion in the scientific information already existing in that field of expertise.
The main concepts and explanatory theories structuring the perspective that we
adopted are presented. At least from two points of view – ideological self
positioning and values of children’s socializing – the theoretical information
touched upon in the volume is new in the Romanian literature. In their turn, the
rest of the chapters offer interesting syntheses too for the analyzed domains.
The conceptual framework that we provided serves to the elaboration of
some hypotheses that are tested empirically through various statistic procedures.
In the entire volume, we tried to avoid technical language and to offer intuitive
explanations to the readers who are not familiar with the different statistic
procedures that we used and, also, to maintain the text at a reasonable standard.
Most of the commentaries referring to analysis procedure that we used are
usually included in footnotes and they appear properly in the body text only in
the short sections, where the discussion is rather methodological. Even on these
occasions, technical explanations are rather succinct. Still, the authors are very
open to offer details and any comment is welcome.
There are several colleagues that supported us in our current project. To
a large extent, the volume is due to the contribution of all those who helped at
data collecting in the previous waves of values surveys, either the ones we
already mentioned – coordinators, members of the research team, or field
22
Waves 1990-1993 and 1999-2001 are more useful in this respect because they cover
the majority of the European Countries. The wave in 2005-2007 had not finished the
data collecting process when we were writing this article and that is why data were
available only for Romania, Italy, Poland, France, Slovenia, Finland, Sweden, Great
Britain, Germany, Holland, Andorra and Russia.
25
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
operators. We thank them all. Special regards are directed to the people
involved in the program for the Public Opinion Barometer of the Foundation for
an Open Society, the one that contributed to the financing of the WVS 2005
data collecting. The Research Institute for the Quality of Life was the proper
environment for developing a group to study social values and the help coming
from its management board (Cătălin Zamfir and Ioan Mărginean) was very
important from this point of view.
Finally, two CNCSIS grants (AT-102/2006 and ID-56/2007),
coordinated by Bogdan Voicu and including all the authors of the current
volume as team members, supported writing, translating and publishing the
volume.
This English edition of the book reproduces the Romanian version
(published in 2007). The initial English translation was done by the authors for
chapters 1, 3, 4 and 7. Irina Nicula initially translated the rest of the book, with
the authors substantially reviewing the translation. Dean Hufstetler further
reviewed the entire book, contributed to this version with the final language
proofing, and with several valuable suggetsions.
As compared to the Romanian edition, we have added an appendix
including a map of Romania, with its main regions, as well as a description of
the Romanian political parties. Both the regions and the political parties are
often referred to in the book, and the short presentation from the Appendix may
be useful for the non-Romanian readers.
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Schwartz, Shalom. 1994. Are there Universal Aspects în the Content and Structure of
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Schwartz, Shalom. 2004. Mapping and Interpreting Cultural Differences around the
World, in Vinken and others eds., 2004, p. 43-73.
Smelser, Neil J., Jeffrey C. Alexander, eds. 1999. Diversity and Its Dscontents: Cultural
Conflict and Common Ground in Contemporary America, Princeton:
Princeton University Press.
Spini, Dario. 2003. Measurement equivalence of value types across twenty-one
countries. Journal of Cross-Cultural Psychology, 33, 3-23.
Sztompka, Piotr, 2000. Cultural Trauma. The Other Face of Social Change, European
Journal of Social Theory, 3(4): 449-466.
Vinken, Henk, Soeters, Joseph, Peter Ester, eds. 2004. Comparing Cultures:
Dimensions of Culture in a Comparative Perspective, Leiden: Brill.
Vinken, Henk, Soeters, Joseph, Peter Ester, eds. 2004. Cultures and dimensions. Classic
perspecives and new opportunities in ‘dimensionalist’ cross-cultural studies,
in Vinken and others., eds., 2004, p. 3-27.
Vlăsceanu, Lazăr, 2001. Politică şi dezvoltare. România încotro?, Trei Publishing
House, Bucharest.
Vlăsceanu, Lazăr. 2007. Sociologie şi modernitate. Tranziţii spre modernitatea
reflexivă, Polirom Publishing House, Iaşi.
Voicu, Bogdan, 1999. Modernitatea între tradiţie şi postmodernism, Revista de
Cercetări Sociale, no. 3-4/1999, 36-59.
Voicu, Bogdan, 2001. România pseudo-modernă, Sociologie Românească, 1-4/2001:
36-59.
Voicu, Bogdan. 2001. Dezvoltare socială, în Luana-Miruna Pop, coord., Dicţionar de
politici sociale, Bucharest, Expert Publishing House, p. 258-275.
Voicu, Bogdan. 2005. Penuria Pseudo-Modernă a Postcomunismului Românesc.
Volumul I. Schimbarea socială şi acţiunile indivizilor, Iaşi: Expert Projects.
Voicu, Mălina, Bogdan Voicu. 1999. Programe sociale ale partidelor politice româneşti,
în Cătălin Zamfir (coordonator), Politici sociale în România: 1990-1998,
Expert Publishing House, Bucharest, 1999, p. 583-691.
Voicu, Mălina, Bogdan Voicu. 2002. Studiul valorilor europene: un proiect de cercetare
internaţională, Calitatea Vieţii no. 1-4/2002.
29
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Civil Society and Ethnic Minorities in a Changing World. Roundtable for
young social scientist, Lejpaia, 10-13 June, 2005.
Bogdan Voicu. 2005a. Penuria Pseudo-Modernă a Postcomunismului Românesc.
Volumul I. Schimbarea socială şi acţiunile indivizilor, Iaşi: Expert Projects.
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Volumul II. Resursele, Iaşi: Expert Projects.
CLAUDIU D. TUFIŞ
31
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
been introduced at the same time in any other country (Schopflin 1994; Hall
1995; Offe 1997; Pickel and Wiesenthal 1997). Given the record of previous
attempts to simultaneously switch to democracy and market economy, scholars
have been rather skeptical about the success of the postcommunist transitions:
“many scholars have identified the economic decline that accompanies
economic restructuring as the essential dilemma of the dual transition, arguing
that if the well-being of the majority of a population is substantially harmed by
reforms, popular support for democracy will erode” (Kullberg and Zimmerman,
1999: 326). Similar arguments could also be found in Przeworski (1991),
Diamond (1992), Haggard and Kaufman (1995), Nelson (1995), Gati (1996), or
Mărginean (1999). These warnings were extremely important, if we take into
account the fact that, according to the literature, “if democracy and capitalism
are to take root in the former communist states, it is necessary not only to create
the institutions and processes intrinsic to those systems, but also to foster
popular attitudes that are accepting and supporting of them” (Mason and
Kluegel, 2000: 11). The citizens’ support is not only necessary for the good
functioning of the new systems; it is necessary for the existence of the
democratic systems (Easton 1965; Miller 1974; Norris 1999).
This is, in fact, one of the key ideas in the literature: democratic
consolidation is not possible in a society that does not accept democracy’s
ideals. The stability of a democracy depends on the degree of consistency
between the basic principles of the political system and the political values of
the citizens (Almond and Verba 1963; Dahl 1989; di Palma 1990; Diamond
1993; Sørensen 1993; White, Gill and Slider 1993; Hahn 1995). This argument
is not without its critics. Barry (1970: 48-52) argued that a country can become
a stable democracy even if it lacks, initially, a sufficiently large number of
people with democratic values, because democracies educate their citizens with
such values. Przeworski (1991) completely eliminates citizens from the
democratization process, arguing that all democracy needs in order to survive is
a self-enforcing equilibrium (although many times this equilibrium is not a real
democracy).
How people react when faced with major social changes is perhaps one
of the most important elements during the transition: “the people are the
ultimate movers of reforms” (Sztompka, 1996a: 127) and, at the same time, they
are “the main obstacle to reform” (Przeworski, 1993: 185). In addition to this
attitudinal congruence, the behavior of the citizens also has an important role in
the process of democratic consolidation (Bunce, 2003: 170). Democracy
requires the active involvement of its citizens (Dalton and Wattenberg 2000;
Norris 2002).
Democracy needs democratic citizens. During the last days of 1989,
twenty-two million comrades witnessed the fall of the communist system under
which they lived for more than forty years. Fifteen years later, in 2004, twenty-
two million citizens voted for their fifth time, choosing their third
1
See, also, Diamond (1992), Haggard and Kaufman (1995), Nelson (1995), or Gati
(1996) for similar discussions.
33
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Political culture
Talking about political culture change from a culturalist perspective is
somewhat problematic, this approach being often criticized for its difficulties in
explaining change. Eckstein (1988) acknowledged that the postulates of
culturalism (oriented action, orientational variability, cultural socialization, and
cumulative socialization) do indeed lead to an expectation of continuity but, at
the same time, he argued that this is not an unsolvable problem and presented a
general culturalist theory of change. His theory deals with both gradual (normal,
every-day) and drastic (social discontinuity) changes. Eckstein suggests that, in
the case of drastic changes, “cognitions that make experience intelligible and
normative dispositions (affect, evaluative schemes) must be learned again, and
learned cumulatively […] changes in political cultures that occur in response to
social discontinuity should initially exhibit considerable formlessness”
(Eckstein, 1988: 796)2.
Starting from Merton’s (1957: 141-157) types of individual adaptation
– ritualism, innovation, retreatism, rebellion, and conformism – Eckstein
presents the following as a set of strategies available for dealing with drastic
changes: ritual conformity (characterized by an individual’s rejection of the
cultural goals and acceptance of the norms), self-serving conformity (the new
goals are accepted but the norms are not), retreatism (both goals and norms are
rejected), and intransigent resistance to authority (the goals and norms are not
only rejected, they are replaced). These strategies lead, eventually, to new
cultural models and themes.
Swidler proposed a similar theory, built around the concept of strategy
of action, defined as patterns of organizing action, allowing the achievement of
different life goals. In a departure from the traditional view of culture, Swidler
2
Similar arguments can be found in Lipset (1960) and Huntington (1968).
34 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Comrades or citizens?Support for democracy and market economy
argued that strategies of action are more stable than goals, the result of this
being that during unsettled lives people might prefer goals for which they
already have a strategy of action (Swidler, 1986: 277). This view may be
helpful in explaining, for instance, why some groups accept the ideals of a
market economy, while others reject them or accept them only after significant
delays (needed for updating their strategies of action).
These two theories suggest that changes in political culture are possible
and they complement each other to indicate a likely scenario for this change.
The fall of the communist regime led to new goals (democracy and market
economy) and new functioning rules for the society, and these need to be
accepted by the citizens. The adaptation from the old goals and norms to the
new ones is a long-time process, characterized by competition among different
ideologies. During this process, people can use any of the strategies discussed
by Eckstein.
Given the duality of the postcommunist transition, it is possible that
different combinations of strategies will be used, depending on the relative
importance of different goals and norms for the citizens. It should be noted that
some combinations have a higher probability of being used than others. For
instance, conformism with respect to both democracy and market economy is
likely to be a very common combination. Partial adaptation, especially through
conformism with respect to democracy and ritualism with respect to market
economy can also be a common combination, characteristic to those that are
afraid of the negative effects of the transition to market economy. A third
frequent combination is defined by ritualism with respect to both democracy
and market economy, characterizing those who are not convinced by the goals
of the new ideology but that are following its norms. Over time it is expected
that only some of the combinations will function and that those that fail will be
abandoned. It is also expected that more and more people will adopt the ideal
combination for the success of the transition: conformism with respect to both
democracy and market economy.
3
For a detailed discussion of the political regime as an object of support, see Easton
(1965: 190-211).
35
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
4
Easton (1965: 267-340) and Easton (1975: 444-453) offer a detailed discussion of
diffuse support.
36 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Comrades or citizens?Support for democracy and market economy
those considering that the state economy could survive the fall of communism
to those that were arguing for gradual economic reforms and to those proposing
a “shock” reform as the only solution to Romania’s economic problems.
37
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
5
Bogdan Voicu writes about traditionalism, modernism, and postmodernism in the
Romanian society in his chapter in this volume.
38 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Comrades or citizens?Support for democracy and market economy
have smaller chances of being negatively affected by the transition, are more
modern, and have more resources to adapt to the new system, all these
suggesting that the level of support for democracy increases with education.
Hahn (1991), Finifter and Mickiewicz (1992), Gibson, Duch, and Tedin (1992),
and Bahry (1997) showed that education has significant positive effects on
support for democracy. The education variable has five categories: four grades
or less, five – eight grades, nine – eleven grades, high school or post-high
school, and university or post-university.
The next variables in the group are used as control variables. Income is
measured as deciles of income per capita. Ethnicity is coded 1 for Romanians
and 0 for other ethnicity. Religion is coded 1 for Christian-Orthodox and 0 for
other religions. The last variable in the group is the size of the locality of
residence, measured through six categories: village, commune center, small
city, medium city, large city, and very large city. This variable also
distinguishes between rural and urban areas. Rural areas are characterized by
traditionalism, low education, high poverty, and an aged population, all factors
that create an environment that is hostile to change and that suggest that people
living in rural areas support democracy less.
The second group of variables I use in the model measures respondents’
activities in the political life: interest in politics, NGO membership, and protest
activities. All variables in this group should have significant positive effects on
diffuse support for democracy because they indicate to what degree respondents
use standard methods of expressing their opinions in a democratic regime.
Interest in politics can be interpreted as “an indicator of citizens’
cognitive involvement in the political process” (Plasser, Ulram, and Waldrauch,
1998: 130). It also seems to be related to attitude formation and to political
participation (van Deth 1990; Niedermayer 1990; Maravall 1997). From a
theoretical perspective, “it is a central tenet of classical democratic theory that,
if popular sovereignty is to have meaning, citizens should be informed about the
issues confronting society and should care about their resolution. […] some
minimal levels of interest, knowledge and participation would appear to be
essential” (Hahn, 1991: 415). This view is consistent with Almond and Verba’s
(1963) understanding of the different types of political culture. I measure
interest in politics using an additive score composed of two variables: interest in
politics and the importance of politics in the respondent’s life. The correlation
between the two components is 0.526. The variable ranges between 0 and 6.
The two variables included in this index are standard measures that have also
been used in previous studies (see Gabriel and van Deth 1995; Plasser, Ulram
and Waldrauch 1998; Mishler and Rose 2001; or Martin 2003).
In developed democracies citizens have at their disposal a series of
points of access to the political system, through which they can express their
wishes or their discontent: voting, party membership, NGO membership, lobby
activities, protest activities, etc. Although most of these points of access also
39
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
exist in Romania, they do not function with the same efficiency. As I have
shown in the chapter on trust in this volume, political parties are the institutions
Romanians trust least. Even more, most of the parties are highly centralized,
most of the decisions being made by the party leadership without taking into
account the opinions of the regular party members. Romania also does not have
a lobbying law, paving thus the way toward semi-legal forms of lobbying. The
election turnout, which decreased significantly between 1990 and 2004, is,
probably, the most widespread political activity among the general population,
but the fact that a person votes every four years does not say very much about
its political activism.
Membership in NGOs is one of the best indicators of participation to
the social life. Given that in Romania membership in NGOs is lower than in
developed democracies, it can be said that the Romanian civil society is
underdeveloped (Carothers 1996; Verdery 1996; Rupnik 1997; Tismăneanu
1998). Even more, it can also be characterized as being dominated by elites. It
should be noted that several important political figures have entered the political
arena coming from the civil society. Some of the most significant examples
include Emil Constantinescu (founding member of the Civic Alliance who
became president), Victor Ciorbea (former trade union leader who became
prime minister), Miron Mitrea (former trade union leader who became
minister), and Monica Macovei (former president of the Romanian Helsinki
Committee who became minister). Regular citizens seem to have more
difficulties in organizing into groups meant to protect and promote their own
interests. Howard (2002), analyzing civil society in former East Germany and
Russia, suggests that postcommunist citizens refuse to become active members
of civil society because of their experiences during the communist regime, when
voluntary participation in different organizations was mandatory. Based on the
previous discussion, I consider NGO membership as a strong indicator of a
person’s activism. The variable that I use is coded 0 for people that do not
belong to any voluntary organization and 1 for people that are members (active
or inactive) in any of the following organizations: religious or church
organizations, sport or recreation, education, art or music, trade unions, political
parties, environmental organizations, professional associations, charitable
organizations, consumer organizations, or other.
The third variable in this group is represented by protest activities,
coded 0 for people that never took part in a protest action, and 1 for a person
that participated in at least one of the following types of protest: signing a
petition, boycotting, or participating in demonstrations. The fact that a person
has been active in protest activities shows that the person decided to express its
dissatisfaction using one of the few means at his/her disposal. I consider such a
person to be much more attached to democracy, compared to an individual that
is just as dissatisfied, but considers the expression of its lack of satisfaction to
be a useless act. If the first person considers they have a chance to solve their
problems by their actions, the second one has a more cynical view on
democracy.
The next set includes three variables that indicate respondents’ general
value orientations: preference for left or right6, preference for liberty or
equality, and position on the materialism – postmaterialism dimension.
The variable of self-identification with left or right is used as a control
variable. Theoretically, there are no arguments to sustain that supporters of the
left are more pro-democratic than supporters of the right or the opposite. On the
other hand, it is possible that both extreme left and extreme right supporters are
less attached to democracy, but both extremes are rarely visible in the
Romanian society.
Preference for liberty or equality is coded 0 for those that prefer
equality and 1 for those that consider liberty as being more important. This
variable indicates different value profiles and should have a significant effect on
diffuse support for democracy, with those preferring liberty being more oriented
toward democracy.
A respondent’s postmaterialism level should also influence support for
democracy. The materialism – postmaterialism index is composed of 12 items,
using the standard method, and it ranges between 0 (the respondent did not
choose any of the postmaterialism values) and 6 (the respondent selected all six
postmaterialist values). For more details on this index, see Inglehart (1971,
1977, 1981, 1990) and Inglehart and Abramson (1999). Although people
characterized by postmaterialism may be dissatisfied with the functioning of
democracy and may want some aspects of the political system to change, the
goal of their demands is improving democracy, postmaterialists being more
attached to democratic values than materialists.
Returning to Easton’s model, it should be noted that diffuse support for
democracy is the most stable form of support. Yet, Easton shows that diffuse
support can be influenced by specific support (which is determined by
evaluations of the performance of the political system). Starting from this idea,
the fourth group of variables in the analysis model includes a series of variables
testing the significance of these relationships. The first variable in this group is
an index of trust in the state’s institutions7. This index measures specific (or
generalized, according to some scholars) support for the structure of the
political system and should have a significant positive effect on diffuse support
for democracy. The second variable in this group is satisfaction with the way
democracy functions in Romania. This variable, which measures specific
support for the actions of the political system and is determined by how people
evaluate the functioning of democracy, should have a significant positive effect.
6
See Mircea Comşa’s chapter in this volume for the analysis of the left-right dimension
in the Romanian society.
7
For details on this variable see my chapter on trust in this volume.
41
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
8
See, for instance, Duch (1993), McIntosh et al (1994), Firebaugh and Sandu (1998), or
Gibson (1996: 968).
43
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
were directed toward large and very large cities, leading to their rapid economic
development, while smaller cities and the rural areas had to survive only with
the economy they inherited from the communist regime.
Respondents’ values are represented by the second set of variables,
which includes preferences for left or right and preferences for liberty or
equality. Those that feel closer to the left should have more support for the
social-democratic model of market economy, while followers of the right
should be more attracted to the liberal model of market economy. With respect
to preferences for liberty or equality, I expect this variable to have an effect
only on the social-democratic model (with those preferring equality supporting
more this model), but not on the liberal model of market economy.
Evaluations of the current personal, local, or national economic
situation and optimism or pessimism about the future personal economic
situation can have a significant effect on diffuse support for market economy.
The more satisfied a person is with the current situation and the more optimistic
about his/her future situation, the more attached to the values of market
economy this person should be. The variables included in this group correspond
to the theories developed in the literature to explain voting decisions: the
pocketbook theory (prospective and retrospective) and the sociotropic theory
(see Fiorina 1981, Kiewiet 1983, Lewis-Beck 1988, and MacKuen, Erikson and
Stimson 1992).
The last group of variables used in this mode attempts to capture the
effects of other types of support on diffuse support for market economy. This
group includes: trust in the state’s institutions (as an indicator of specific
support for the structure of the political system), satisfaction with the
functioning of market economy in Romania (as indicator of specific support for
market economy), and satisfaction with the cabinet’s actions in different areas.
The last two variables should have the strongest effects on diffuse support for
market economy.
Starting with the next section I present the results of statistical analyses
for three models: diffuse support for democracy, diffuse support for market
economy (the social-democratic type) and diffuse support for market economy
(the liberal model). In addition to these models I also present some results
related to tolerance for minority groups and to the way Romanians define
democracy.
Results
In analyzing the data for this chapter I used the Norm software (Schafer
2000). Thus, for those respondents who did not answer all questions I estimated
their answers based on the principles described in the chapter on trust included
in this volume.
100
Democracy (%
pro)
Military regime
(% con)
75
Technocratic
regime (% con)
Authoritarian
regime (% con)
50
25
0
1999 2005
There can be, however, significant differences between what people are
saying and what they are really thinking or doing. Is it true that almost all of the
Romanians are strongly democratic beings? Figure 1 also presents three
variables measuring attitudes toward three alternatives to a democratic regime: a
military regime, a technocratic regime (in which experts, and not the
45
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
government, take the important decisions for the country), and an authoritarian
regime (in which there is a strong leader who does not bother with elections and
the parliament). These variables are often used in the literature as indicators of
(anti-) democratic attitudes.
More than three quarters of the Romanians consider that a military
regime would not be good for Romania, a result that is consistent with the
previous variables. If we look at attitudes toward a technocratic or an
authoritarian regime, however, we obtain a completely different image, in
which the real support for democracy is lower than the declarative support (see
Voicu 2005): only a quarter of the respondents believe a technocratic regime
would be bad for the country, and only 22% have a negative opinion about an
authoritarian regime that does not have a parliament and elections. How can
these differences be interpreted?
A possible explanation could be that when respondents are asked about
their attitudes toward democracy they automatically offer the answer they
consider to be correct (or expected from them) as result of social pressure. The
differences could also be explained by the fact that the last two variables do not
measure only democratic attitudes; they capture other attitudes as well. In the
case of the variable on technocratic regime, a positive answer should be
interpreted as indicating a favorable attitude toward decisions made by experts
rather than a negative attitude toward decisions made by one of the key
institutions of a democratic regime. Similarly, a positive answer on the variable
referring to an authoritarian regime should not be interpreted as an anti-
democratic answer, but rather as an indicator of a poor opinion about the quality
of the Romanian parliament and elections. These two variables do not show
acceptance of non-democratic alternatives. They actually show preference for
an efficient governing act, with decisions that are made quickly, by people that
know what they are doing. They also indicate a negative vote given to
Romanian politicians, suggesting that Romanians see the MPs as wasting time
on useless debates rather than adopting necessary legislation and do not
consider the cabinet as being composed of experts. If one remembers cases such
as the fight to replace Adrian Năstase from the leadership of the House, then it
is easy to understand why Romanians prefer a strong leader that does not waste
time with the parliament. It should also be noted that, for three of the four
variables presented here, the percentage of people with democratic attitudes has
significantly increased between 1999 and 2005.
Tolerance is one of the most important attitudes for a democratic
regime. In the 2005 survey, respondents received a list of ten groups of people
and were asked to indicate those they would not like having as neighbors. I have
eliminated from this analysis two groups, because in their case intolerance can
be justified and does not represent an anti-democratic behavior: people that are
dependent on drugs (76% of Romanians would not like having them as
neighbors) and alcoholics (more than 68% of the Romanians would not like
such neighbors). The rest of the results are presented in Figure 2.
Less than 20% of the respondents have an intolerant attitude with respect to
five of the eight groups included in analysis: cohabitating couples, immigrants, and
people of other race, ethnicity, or religion. These results are consistent with those
presented above and create the image of a relatively tolerant population.
75
50
25
0
Homosexuals Gypsies AIDS Other race Immigrants Cohabitating Other Other
infected couples religion ethnicity
47
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Data source: WVS 2005. The variables are measure on a scale from 1 (not essential for
democracy) to 10 (essential for democracy).
Intercept 4.760 *** 4.647 *** 4.494 *** 4.040 *** 3.699 *** 3.719 ***
Deciles income per capita 0.063 *** 0.058 *** 0.054 *** 0.043 ** 0.028 * 0.027 *
Protest 0.304 *** 0.293 *** 0.323 *** 0.296 *** 0.293 ***
Satisfaction with functioning of democracy 0.142 *** 0.136 *** 0.135 ***
49
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
9
I estimated the models in SPSS 14.0.2. using the OLS (Ordinary Least Squares)
regression. The starting model includes as independent variables only the socio-
economic characteristics of the respondents. For each group of variables I introduced in
analysis I estimated a new model. The coefficients in the table are unstandardized
regression coefficients (b). The last row in the table (R2 change) shows the increase in
the explanatory power of the current model compared to the previous model. The
coefficients on this row are a measure of the importance of different groups of variables
in explaining diffuse support for democracy. For instance, in Table 1, Model 2 differs
from Model 1 by the political activism variables. By adding these variables, compared
to Model 1, the explanatory power of Model 2 increased with 2.9%, from 5.0% to 7.8%.
50 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Comrades or citizens?Support for democracy and market economy
51
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
support for the social-democratic model of market economy (one in which the
state intervenes to eliminate the inequalities generated by the market economy).
100
75
50
Individual
welfare
Income
25 differences
Competition
Private
property
0
1993 1997 1999 2005
Data source: WVS 1993, WVS 1997, WVS 1999, and WVS 2005. The data represent
percentages of population with positive attitudes toward the four components of market
economy.
Diffuse support for the liberal model of market economy presents minor
fluctuations, but it remains at approximately the same level throughout the
whole period of time: around 90% of the Romanians have a positive attitude
towards competition and about 63% have a positive attitude towards private
property. Support for the social-democratic model of market economy,
however, increases significantly between 1993 and 2005. If in 1993 only 40%
of the population considered that the state should be responsible for individual
welfare and that income differences should be reduced, by 2005 almost two
thirds of the population supports these values.
It should be noted that the social-democratic model, which asks the
state to intervene on the market to protect its citizens, is ideologically opposed
to the liberal model, which considers that the state should not intervene (or it
should do so only to a small extent) on the market. It is interesting then to find
out that even if support for the social-democratic model increases, this is not
followed by a decrease of support for the liberal model, suggesting that
Romanians support market economy and, at the same time, require state
intervention to help those who suffered during the transition.
53
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
supporters of the left seem to be more attached to the ideals of the social-
democratic model. At the same time, those who consider liberty more important
than equality have higher levels of support for the liberal model, while those
who value equality more have higher levels of support for the social-democratic
model (moreover, the effect of this variable on support for the social-democratic
model is twice as large than in the case of the liberal model).
Deciles income per capita 0.300*** 0.285*** 0.274*** 0.256*** -0.276*** -0.252*** -0.146** -0.113*
Ethnicity: Romanian -0.019 -0.017 -0.005 -0.016 -0.136 -0.141 -0.224 -0.193
Religion: Orthodox 0.033 0.025 0.026 0.001 -0.123 -0.110 -0.093 -0.074
personal economic situation play an important role: people who consider they
are worse off now than a year ago show higher levels of support for state
intervention on the market, and this effect is amplified if the same person
expects its economic situation to get worse during the next year. Evaluations of
the national economic situation do not have a significant effect on support for
the social-democratic model. These results confirm both variants of the
pocketbook theory (retrospective and prospective) but do not offer any evidence
for the sociotropic theory.
The last group of variables in the model measures the effect of other
types of support on support for market economy. Satisfaction with the cabinet’s
actions increases support for the liberal model of market economy and
decreases support for the social-democratic model. The latter is also influenced
by satisfaction with the functioning of market economy in Romania: the more
satisfied a person is with how market economy is working, the more it rejects
the social-democratic model and the opposite. Given that some of the main
reasons for being dissatisfied with the transition to market economy include the
increasing inequalities and the decreasing standard of living, one can understand
why these factors generate favorable attitudes toward state intervention on the
market.
Overall, the results presented in Table 2 suggest that the differences in
support for the two models of market economy are determined by the
respondents’ experiences during the transition. The more a person lost during
the transition, the more reasons it has to support the social-democratic model of
market economy, in which the state should be responsible for individual welfare
and should reduce income differences. If the economic situation in Romania
will improve (and this scenario seems less a fantasy in 2007 than it seemed only
years ago) and if this improvement will not be reflected only in macroeconomic
indicators but also in everyday life, then it is likely that people will not feel such
an acute need for the state’s corrective intervention on the market and will
support the liberal model more and more.
Conclusions
What are the answers to the questions stated at the beginning of this
chapter? Are Romanians truly democratic citizens or are they only declaring
themselves as such? As I have shown, most of the Romanians support the idea
of a democratic political system in Romania, and the percentage of supporters
has significantly increased between 1999 and 2005 (see Figure 1). Although
many Romanians still support non-democratic alternatives, I believe this can be
explained by the fact that these indicators capture not only support for
democracy but also dissatisfaction with some problems that were common
during the transition. It should be noted, however, that these problems are not
55
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
in multiple subgroups based not only on income, but also on gender, education,
and residential area. It seems that market economy still has some way to go in
order to gain the same level of support that democracy has.
Moreover, there is not yet a clear consensus with respect to the type of
market economy preferred by Romanians. Some support the liberal model,
while others (and the results suggest they are primarily those who had more to
suffer during the transition) prefer the social-democratic model, according to
which the state has to intervene in order to correct the disequilibria generated by
the market economy. It is possible that support for this model represents in fact
a type of delay in adapting from the planned economy to the market economy,
but the results presented in Figure 4 show that more and more people support it,
suggesting that the explanation resides in the economic problems of the
transition and not in the inadequate adaptation to the new economic system.
According to these results, the new political and economic system
seems to enjoy diffuse support coming from a large proportion of the
population. If one also takes into account the fact that during the last several
years Romania has become a country that is governed more and more
democratically, and that the state is increasingly withdrawing from the
economy, paving the way for a “real” market economy, it can be argued that the
story of the Romanian transition, although marked at times by dramatic
moments, is approaching a happy end.
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Fairly often we here media talk about left and right wing politics: “that
party is moderate left; that candidate is right wing; that policy is left wing, and
so on”. Gradually, in Romania too, the actors’ positioning on the left-right axis
has become somewhat common practice, at least in the media or in the
politician’s speeches1. But what do these labels mean for the common people?
Do these concepts have a (well defined) content, a shared meaning? And, if so,
how close are the laymen’s views and those of the specialists? What is the
percentage of those that self-position on the left-right dimension and, related to
them, what is the percentage of left-oriented, right-oriented or centre persons?
Has the Romanians’ self-placement on the left-right axis changed over time? In
comparison with the citizens of other countries (either former communist
countries or from the EU), where are Romanians placed on the left-right axis? Is
there any connection between self-placement and the individuals’ socio-
demographic characteristics? What about a connection with values or
preferences for the parties? These are the main questions that the current text
tries to answer to. In the beginning we will analyze, at a theoretical level, some
relevant aspects of self-placement on the left-right dimension.
1
This statement represents more of an intuition, an approximation, rather than an
observation of some content analysis of the political programs or media speeches.
63
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
moral values (equality vs. freedom). Surely, in certain times and contexts, the
self-placement process on the left-right axis was closely connected to these
conflicts, approaches and values (van der Eijk et al., 2006). Consequently,
according to the first perspective, left and right politics can refer to ideal types
of socialism and capitalism (Kitschelt, 1992: 12), to the distribution of material
and economical goods (Inglehart, 1990, 1994), or to the opposition between
equality and freedom (Noelle-Neumann, 1998: 329). Many occidental empirical
studies make the distinction between two meanings associated with the left-right
axis: one tied to economy and the other to the socio-political domain. From the
economical perspective, the left refers to the equal distribution of resources and
state intervention, and the right refers to the free market and to justified
inequality. From the political perspective, to the left, the focus is on rights and
social freedoms, and to the right, on order, discipline, tradition (Evans and
Whitefield, 1998). Other analysis (Knutsen, 1995a) lead approximately to the
same conclusions: the left is associated with traditional, secular values, to socio-
democracy and post-materialistic directions, whereas the right is associated to
religious values, economic liberalism and post-materialistic directions.
On the other hand, the meaning of the left and right terms is the
collective result of the way in which the various social actors interact politically
(what matters is their verbal and symbolic interactions) (van der Eijk et al.,
2006: 181). Consequently we can not refer to a constant definition of these
terms, as they are being continuously redefined by the social actors through
interacting, as a consequence of new problems, conflicts and strategies. Briefly,
the meaning of the left and right terms is politically built through the sustained
process of cooperation and political conflict (van der Eijk et al., 2006).
Consequently, according to the second perspective, the left and right concepts
are devoid of all content, and given meaning by each particular individual
(Knutsen, 1998b: 393). The political left and right are viewed as some kind of
“empty containers ready to be filled with political content, which happens at
different times and among different political and social groups” (Tarchi, 1995:
187, apud Knutsen, 1998a).
Of course, the two perspectives are not self-exclusive, and it’s possible
that a part of the meanings associated with the left and right concepts be
relatively widespread (in both space and time), whereas the other part be
contextually definable (in accordance to space, time and social class). Some of
the analyses show that, even if common elements do exist, the meaning of the
left and right political labels vary on more than one dimension: between
countries, over time and in certain social classes. Thus, the meanings vary in
accordance to age and political group (Inglehart, 1984; Fuchs and Klingemann,
1989); to the elderly the left is associated with the attitudes and the
controversies of socioeconomic nature (social program support, class interests,
the influence of syndicates), and the right with limiting the intervention of the
government, support for the middle class and the influence of the business
65
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
sector. For the youth, the protection of the environment, social inequality and
lifestyles are connected together with socio-economic interests, the left being
associated with the opposition of nuclear energy, sex-equality support, pro-
disarming and the approval of social programs (Dalton, 2002).
The content of the left and right concepts varies not only by country (as
opposed to Europe, in the US the left is tied to liberalism and the right to
conservatory politics), but even in the same country, by time period (especially
for countries on the path of becoming democratic). Some analyses uphold this
kind of variation. In Russia, the meanings of these labels were inverted during
the 90s (with the passing from the communist regime to capitalism and an open
market economy); the left came to be associated with free market, democracy
and liberalism, and the right to the meaning of the communist and socialist
regime (Evans and Whitefield, 1998). Thus, the associated meanings are
flexible in times of political change, and fixed in times of stability. A similar
conclusion obtained through a different kind of analysis (the analysis of party
documents and the investigations of political elites) shows that the placement of
parties and politics on this dimension at different moments in time or in
different countries is subject to change (Gabel and Huber, 2000). In stable
democratic systems, once set, the meanings associated with the left-right
dimension become relatively persistent, as they are being sustained by multiple
mechanisms, both institutional and informal (parties, syndicates, the media, the
family unit, the local networks, etc) being propagated through these mediums as
well (Evans and Whitefield, 1998).
No matter the chosen perspective, if they are to be used as a means of
obtaining knowledge, the ideological labels have to meet certain criteria. Often,
the criteria mentioned by some authors are different in number and specificity.
And so, Zechmeister (2006) proposes two generally formulated conditions:
“first, they must reference relevant political divisions and actors and, second,
they must be understood and used in consistent manners” while Todosijevic
(2004) identifies five conditions that he formulates empirically2. The most often
used arguments for supporting the relevance of self-placement in the left-right
2
These are the following: (c1) the elite uses the left-right dimension in a coherent
manner (in agreement with the parties positioning on the axis; with a correlation
between the preferred positions and politics); (c2) the public uses the left-right
dimension in a coherent manner as well (the voters are to perceive the position of their
party on the axis; a correspondence is to be between the perceived positions of the
parties on the left-right axis, and their real positions); (c3) the public and the elites
coherently use the dimension in the same way; (c4) the relevance of the dimension for
voting (that is for a relation to exist between the preference in politics and voting; the
public is to prefer the parties situated as close as possible to their own position on the
axis); (c5) to be a congruence between the voters preferences in politics and those of the
elites of the voted parties (the electors are to vote with the parties that promote the
politics they prefer themselves).
66 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
dimension are the usage of this direction by the population (the percentage of
individuals that self-position) and the positioning of parties on the axis (the
percentage of individuals that correctly position themselves on this axis) and by
how “correct” one should understand “according to the expert opinion or to the
party program”. Another possible criterion is the one of coherence between self-
placement and the voted party. The coherence position is valid when the voter
prefers one of the parties situated on the axis closest to his own position (if
another choice is made, a situation of incoherence appears) (Boy et al., 1997).
There are two ways to find out the degree in which Romania’s
population correctly uses the concepts of left and right, based on the available
data (BOP, EVS & WVS). The first method is the identification of the meanings
associated with these ideological labels through an open question that, even
though limited3, can offer a direct representation of the aforementioned
concepts. Another possibility is the analysis of the relationship between self-
placement and certain variables with which, according to the theory and to
empirical analysis performed in other European countries, it should be
associated, in a particular frame. The possible variation categories are those
socio-demographical (gender, age, education, income, social status, job, living
conditions), different attitudinal and axiological scales (economic liberalism,
attitude towards democracy, communism, authoritarianism, nationalism, etc),
the political actors (the party or leader vote, the party loyalty, the faith in the
party and the leaders, etc). In a more general way, our approach follows the
search for an answer to the question: “In what degree can we speak of stability
and consistency in the belief and political values system in Romania?” To
answer this question, we will analyze one by one, aspects of the left-right
dimension usage, the meanings of the left and right terms, self-positioning on
the left-right axis, and its social, axiological and partisan bases.
3
The percentage of those who answer the open questions is generally lower in
comparison to the same questions, but with different possible answers (Comşa, 2003).
What is more, in the case of certain population categories, the meanings may exist in a
form that is difficult to put into words, and even at a level of low consciousness.
67
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 1. In politics, left and right are commonly used terms. Have you heard
about these things?
NA
6%
Yes
49%
No
45%
4
„ In young democracies, where the components of democratic politics are relatively
new and often in flux, the meanings of ideological labels are likely to be less developed
and evolving.” (Zechmeister, 2006).
5
The fact that the percentage of those who self-position is larger in comparison to those
who have heard of these labels is not surprising and is found in other democracies as
well (Lambert et al., 1986). The difference can be explained through the tendency of the
individuals to respond even when they do not have an answer (the first question of
notoriety acts as a filter) or through the memory anchor (the explicit connection of the
left and right concepts with the position of some parties or with their own individual
position).
68 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
had placed themselves on the axis, and 3% didn’t answer at all (BOP-FSD,
October 2006)6.
Who are those that do self-position? Are they any different than those
that don’t, and if yes, how? According to other empirical and theoretical
analyses we expect that the two population groups would be very different, at
least in what concerns the gender, age, education level, social class, living
conditions, media exposure and interest towards politics. More to the point it is
to be expected that this percentage is higher with men, and that it would rise
along with all of the aforementioned factors. The analyzed data (Fig 2) confirm
these differences7. Thus, men self-position in a percentage of 60% and women
in a percentage of 44%; people having only middle school self-position in a
percentage of 34% whereas those with higher education 68%; the people from
the lower classes are at 36%, those from the middle classes are at 67%; the
people not interested in politics are at 27%, whereas those with a high interest in
politics are at 80%; those who use one information source at most are at 23%
and those who use more than 5 are at 78%. The data show associations with the
age (the elderly use self-positioning less) as well as with the type of locality (the
percentage is higher in the urban areas), but these are mainly the result of some
differences associated with urban – rural divide. Following from this difference
in the structure of the population (and because of the different media access),
the percentage of people who self-position is different in these two living
environments. Similarly, the elderly are less educated and less interested and
informed (they have lower access because of the rural living environment) and
consequently they use the discussed dimension in a smaller extent.
6
In conformity to some analysis (Krosnick and Berent, 1990), the usage of the ordinal
scale with possible answers labeled only in the extremes increases the percentage of the
non-answers. Consequently, it is possible that part of those who do not self-position will
have difficulties in this respect. Data shows that, even when clearly defined labels are
offered (right, center-right, center, center-left, left), 43% of the subjects are not able to
identify with one of the five offered ideological options, considering that the ideology is
irrelevant (Mungiu-Pippidi, 2002) (the percentage of those who’s self-position grows by
a small amount). On the other hand, when the ideological labels take the form of the
main ideological orientations (social-democratic, liberalism, socialism, etc.), the
percentage of those who are able to declare their attachments is larger. Thus, when
looking at the closed questions (that offer possible answers), the percentage of those
who feel they are near an ideological orientation is somewhere between 64-72% (MMT
research, 2000).
7
All associations are statistically significant (p = 0.000). The intensity of associations
(given the fact that the variables are nominal, the volume of the population constant and
the number of degrees of freedom is relatively close, I used the contingent coefficient)
is ordered by interest (0.37), information (0.29), education(0.26), subjective class (0.20),
locality type (0.19), gender (0.15) and age (0.14).
69
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 2. The variation in the percentage of individuals who self-position,
depending on certain characteristics (%)
total 51
rural - peripferal 41
male 60
rural - center 47
female 44
small urban 46
18-34 years 57
big urban 64
35-54 years 57
8
The SEM model (structural equation modeling) built with AMOS 7. The values
presented in the model are standard regression coefficients. In case of each dependent
variable, the overall explained variance (R2) is marked in the upper right, in relation to
the input field. All the variables have been measured at an ordinal level (4-5 categories),
with the exception of the “the usage of the left-right axis” and gender variables, who
both had 2 categories. The reference categories for the gender variable was “female”
and for the dependent variable “usage”.
70 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
Figure 3. A model explaining the usage of the left-right dimension
age
.05
-.30 -.05 e4
.14 .09
.30 .15 political interest
education .06
e1 .15
.46 .34
.35
-.10 -.22 .06
.33 e6
-.07 .23
gender
.29 L-R usage
-.06 .07
-.09 subjective class
e3 .14
.29 .12
.36 .35
.08
.42 income information
e2 e5
.26
.06
.08
locality type
Source: Analyses based on EVS&WVS 2005 data. The values associated with the
arrows represent the standardized coefficients; the upper right values, related to each
dependent variable, show the total explained variance.
9
The hypothesis of the dependence of ideological self-placement on the level of
education and the degree of political information (Inglehart and Klingemann, 1976) is
confirmed by the data in Romania’s case too.
71
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
the total effect is indirect) (Table 1). The largest part of indirect influences of
gender and education take place by means of interest towards politics (women
and individuals with less education are less interested in politics, and therefore,
a lower percentage of them are capable of self-positioning on the left-right
axis). In the case of gender, a significant part of the influence is transmitted
through variable information (men use more sources of information, and
therefore a higher percentage of them manage to self-position). Similar
conclusions appear in the case of other analysis referring to Romania as well
(Comşa, 2006: 146-7). In these analysis too, differences in gender are
maintained even when a series of socio-demographic variables are controlled.
Different interest towards politics and the ability to use political concepts are
the result of differences in gender socialization (on the other hand, the
differences tend to decrease from a generation to the next one).
Table 1. A model explaining the usage of the left-right dimension (the standardized
effects significant for p=0.000)
Effect Locality Sex Educatio Individual Subjectiv Interest
Age Information
type type (female) n income e class in politics
Direct 0.06 -0.07 -0.05 0.06 0.00 0.07 0.34 0.12
Indire
0.11 -0.10 -0.04 0.15 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.00
ct
Total 0.17 -0.17 -0.09 0.21 0.04 0.11 0.35 0.12
10
The same stability in self-positioning (although at higher rates) can be seen in the
case of countries in Western Europe between 1973 and 1990 (Knutsen, 1998a).
11
In this research (MMT), following a similar methodology, the percentage of
individuals who chose to self-position has been somewhat close to the same value (66%
in 1999, and 57% in 2001).
12
These kinds of differences between institutions, given the conditions of similar
methodologies and similar questions, have been observed in other analysis as well
(Voicu, 1999; Sandu, 2004, in another internal analysis over BOP-FSD data).
72 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
Figure 4. The percentage of individuals that position on the left-right axis (1993-2006)
82
76
63 63 66
61
55 51
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
Source: Analysis based on BOP-FSD 2006 data; EVS&WVS 1993, 1998, 1999 and
2005; ICCV 1997; CSES 1996 and 2004. The figures represent the percentages of the
total sample group.
13
In Canada from the 80s, almost the same value could be observed, regarding both
self-positioning and the usage of this dimension in the description of the political parties
(Lambert et al., 1986).
73
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 5. The percentage of individuals capable of self-positioning on the left-right
axis in the former communist countries
92 95
87
84
77 77 78 79 80
76
72
67 67 67 67 67 68 69
62 63 64
52 55
Moldavia
Slovakia
Azerbaijan
Latvia
Montenegro
Slovenia
Macedonia
Czech Republic
Hungary
Romania
Lithuania
Russian Federation
Bulgaria
Estonia
Serbia
Poland
Armenia
Georgia
Croatia
Albania
Belarus
Data Source: EVS/WVS 1999-2000, and WVS 1995-1997 for Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia.
The clearer the public policies presented by the parties are, the highest
the degree in which the individuals’ left-right axis orientation’s are structured
(according to the social factors, controversies and policies). It is difficult to
establish what the causal direction is: is this taking place because the parties’
policies are more clearly defined or because individuals have a more structured
conception of the left and right concepts and therefore are able to better
differentiate the parties in this dimension? It seems that the leading part is now
the way in which parties present their position regarding certain policies (how
structured these positions are) (Freire, 2006). It is highly probable that the low
percentage of individuals that are capable of self-positioning on the left-right
axis is determined by the fact that the opinion leaders (political individuals,
journalists and political analysts) have used these terms too little or not at all in
the post-December public space, preferring positional concepts more familiar to
the public when explaining certain attitudes, events or public policies. This way
of positioning includes the communist–ex-communist and reforming–anti-
reforming dimensions, and more recently (starting mainly with the general
elections of 2000), the corruption – anti-corruption dimension as well.
poverty 1 corruption 2
PNTCD 3
equality 2
Christians 4
PRM / Vadim 2
democracy 9
extremism / radicalism 3
governing party 9
welfare / something positive 5
14
The number is close enough to the one obtained in another research project (Mungiu-Pippidi,
2002). Reported to the entire adult population, in 1999, the percentage of individuals to be
considered ideologically competent (the ones that have made correct associations with regard to
the labels of political left and right) is estimated to be 25% at the most.
15
We do not believe that this situation is specific to Romania; it is very probable that
this is the case in other countries too (Bulgaria, the countries of the former USSR); the
values are relatively the same with the ones registered, under similar conditions, in
Canada, during the 80s (40% of the electorate was able to provide a definition; Lambert
et al., 1986).
75
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
As expected, the definitions for the concepts of political left and right
are, for the most part if not entirely, antonymic, as belonging to opposing
political currents. Thus, for the sample group, left means „communism /
socialism” (31%) and right means „liberalism” (11%).16 As it can be seen, the
ideological content is predominant, more in the case of the left concept. This
happened because, in the case of the left, the form of political organization and
that of economic organization are the same (sometimes not only at the level of
the common people), whereas in case of the right concepts, the two are
different, but connected aspects, with the same degree of importance.
Of course, at the level of the popular definitions, there are some aspects
that can be found in the vicinity of one of the two poles, as well of some
common conceptual aspects. Between the contents that only relatively appear at
one of the two poles, in case of the left concepts, there is an association with the
social protection (12%) and equality (2%); in case of the right concept an
association with capitalism and market economy (11%). With regard to the
common notes, both the left and the right concepts are identified (sometimes in
different degrees) with the opposition (14-13%), with the governing party /
power (14-9%), with welfare (5-15%), democracy (4-9%), extremism (5-9%)
and corruption (2-2%). If, in case of some attributes like welfare, extremism,
corruption and democracy, the association is (or could be) correct and
correspondent to reality, what is surprising is the high percentage (28% for the
left and 22% for the right) of individuals that associate the two poles with the
power and opposition (in almost the same degree). On the other hand, in
relation to the moment of the data collecting process, almost a half of those that
identify the concepts of power-opposition are right (indeed, PSD, the governing
party in 2003, is a left oriented party and a large part of the opposition is right
oriented).
The meanings provided by the respondents for the left and right labels
can be analyzed from another perspective as well. According to a somewhat
spread typology, ideological labels can have three significant cognitive
components: symbolic, of public policy and of valence (Zechmeister, 2006).17
The aspects connected to these components are: the symbolic component, which
refers to a political group and even to an important actor (especially in the
countries in which the political space is highly personalized); the aspect of
public policy signals the preference for a certain opinion, related to a public
policy; then, the valence signals the importance of a goal (the reduction of
16
In the 80s, the Canadians associated in a large extent the left with socialism and the
right to conservatism and free initiative (Lambert et al., 1986).
17
To this, an affective component can be added. This refers to the attachment towards a
certain label, the ideological label in this case (this can be used in a non-ideological
manner, whereas individuals can react only to hearing the name of the label) (Jacoby,
2001).
76 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
Left or right?
Today, at most 6 out of 10 Romanians are capable of self-positioning
on the left-right axis. Although it is expected that they understand different
things to a certain extent, with regard to these labels (see previous data), an
important part of the population that self-position, generally has a correct
definition of the concepts; this definition is close to what the political science
understands them to be. Consequently it is relatively fair to group positioning
and to identify them with the proper labels. To simplify the analysis we have
chosen to group the ten possible positions in groups of two, resulting in five
categories of respondents. Related to the total number of individuals who self-
position, these elector categories have the following percentages: 9% for the
left, 16% for the centre-left, 41% for the centre, 20% for centre-right and 15%
for the right (BOP–FSD 2006). Related to this population, these percentages are
much lower (due to the high percentage of those who do not self-position): 5%
for the left, 10% for the centre-left, 25% for the centre, 12% for the centre right
and for the right 9%.
The meanings the population attribute to the left and right probably
differ over time, but we believe that the differences are more or less
significant.18 Therefore it is correct to compare the evolution of the percentages
for the different orientations over time (Figure 7).
18
For Romania, the empirical data necessary to uphold this affirmation are lacking. The
ones we did have access to (BOP-FSD and the research of Metro Media Transylvania)
cover a small time period, (2000-2003), insufficient to sustain or infirm this affirmation.
But with regard to this small timeframe, we observed no differences in the meanings
attributed to the terms.
77
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
2005 9 10 43 21 17
1999 9 10 49 19 13
1997 5 10 55 20 10
1993 4 15 53 23 6
Source: Analyses based on BOP-FSD 2006; EVS&WVS 1993, 1997, 1999 and 2005
(the percentages were calculated related to the ones who expressed an option).
19
The results of the regression equations defined by the values of every ideological
orientation (dependent variable) and time (independent variable) support these
tendencies. With the exception of the categories centre-left and centre-right, the other
categories show a significant evolution from a statistical point of view in the mentioned
direction (F test shows that they are significant and R2adj takes values between 75% and
85%).
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Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
Czech Republic
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Russian Federation
Azerbaijan
Hungary
Montenegro
Slovenia
Slovakia
Albania
Poland
Lithuania
Moldavia
Bulgaria
Macedonia
Armenia
Romania
Ukraine
Belarus
Serbia
Latvia
Estonia
Georgia
Croatia
Source: Analyses on the basis of the data provided by EVS/WVS 1995-1997 and 1999-
2000 (values related to the ones who self-positioned).
20
In Russia, in conditions of the high stability of the self-placements on the axis (as
percentages), a slight tendency of polarization is observed (as a result of the percentage
decrease of the ones who cannot use these concepts) (Evans and Whitefield, 1998).
21
For 1973-1990 timeframe, in Western Europe, on the contrary, a rising tendency of
the ones who self-position in the centre of the scale is observed. This tendency is
explained through socio-demographic characteristics and political involvement. The
rising of self-positioning in the centre is higher in the case of the persons with less
education and in women’s case (but not among the persons who are the most politically
uninvolved) (Knutsen, 1998b).
79
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
As we saw before, the meanings of the terms left and right show variations from
one country to another. As a consequence, the comparisons among countries
(especially among countries which, generally speaking, are very different from
a cultural point of view and, particularly, they are different also in terms of
political culture) are just partially right. Still, we present informatively a few
figures and conclusions resulting from the analysis of some data provided by
some international comparative researches (EVS & WVS 1995-1997 and 1999-
2000). Although we would expect Romania’s place rather among the left-
orientated countries (where most of the former communist countries place), the
data show a different situation. Therefore, from a total of 78 countries (both
EVS&WVS waves), Romania placed 55th with an average of the registered
values of 5.8 (on a scale from 1 to 10, where 1 represents the left and 10, the
right), that means that it is among the “centre-right” countries (equal to Finland,
Iceland, New Zealand, Malta, Lithuania, Turkey and Bulgaria). Even if we take
into account only the communist countries, Romania places rather to the right,
together with Bulgaria, Lithonia, Estonia and the Czech Republic (Figure 8).
We should also take into account the fact that in the years following
exactly after the fall of the communist system, Romania’s position was almost
the same. Among the countries that participated in the 1989-1993 wave of the
EVS/WVS, only Romania, the Czech Republic and Poland had electorates with
an average of self-position above 5.5, which is rather an orientation of the right.
In Romania’s case, it is very likely that the average of a rather right self-
placement be, at least partially, the combined result of the low percentage of the
ones who self-position and of the differences in self-placement depending on
education (more educated persons are able to self-position in a larger extent and
they self-position, on average, to the right). Besides this, in Romania, right-wing
self-defining seems to be desirable (Chiribucă, 1996). Consequently, the data
show a population more oriented to the right than in reality.
22
According to the Inglehart and Klingemann analysis (1976), in the Europeans’ case,
the feeling of belonging to the left or to the right reflects more toward the affiliation to a
party and less concerning the preference for a certain policy or certain values.
23
An illustrating example is the following: in the framework of an analysis related to
the function of associative membership in shaping democratic civic and political
attitudes or, more generally speaking, of the social capital, a modification of the
operationalization of the associative membership (taking into account the former
membership) triggers different conclusions (associative membership has an effect over
democratic attitudes), concordant with the theoretical expectations (Hooghe, 2003).
81
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
More recent analyses (Freire, 2006) show that when the social bases are
defined only in accordance with the structural dimension (status and the
frequency people go church), the explained variance is really low (most often,
below 10%).24 But, when the social bases are defined through the three
dimensions, the social component of self-placement is bigger (comparatively
with the partisan and axiological components) in 11 out of 24 analyses25.
What happens meanwhile with the relation between self-placement and
the socio-demographic variables or between the electoral options and the value
orientations?
The gradual effect of the modernization process is the weakening of the
relation between the social structure and the preferences, orientations and
political behavior (van der Eijk et al, 2006: 167). Consequently, it is expected
that the intensity of the relation between the social structure and the political
ground is lower. Empirical analyses realized by different authors show different
tendencies from a certain point of view. Therefore, in some analyses, the
variance explained by the social structure stays relatively constant (van der Eijk
et al, 2006: 172) or lowers in most of the Western European countries (Freire,
2006). Also, it has to be added that, in both analyses, social bases were defined
24
The conclusions are similar with the ones obtained related to previous periods by
Inglehart and Klingemann (1976) or van der Eijk (2006).
25
In total, 24 models of multivariate analysis have been built (for each year and
country), and the explained variance is larger than 49% for 10 of these models. The
identification with a party was replaced in the analysis with the voting option (the first
was not part of the questionnaire) and the non-voters have been excluded, which leads
to the overestimation of the partisan component. Even in these conditions, in 11 of the
cases, the social component was the most important element of self-positioning (in 9 of
the cases, the partisan component, and in the other 3 the value component) (Freire,
2006).
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Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
only through the structural dimension. When the social bases included both
organizational and subjective dimensions (Freire, 2006), the variance explained
stood relatively constant in time (4 states), lowered (5 states) or rose (2 states),
but as an average tendency we may talk about a decrease (erosion of the social
determinacy of ideological self-placement). Different conclusions appear in
what concerns the effects due to the cohorts: they do not exist (van der Eijk et
al., 2006) or, on the contrary, it has been observed a difference between the
people born before and after 194526 (Freire, 2006). In what concerns the
intensity of the relation between the vote for the parties and self-placement, it
has been observed that there has been a gradual decrease at the level of the
whole electorate, but this happened on the background of different variations
(van der Eijk et al, 2006).
Following a simple logic, the perspective presented before can be
continued, starting from the same remark: the size of the ideological component
is connected to the socio-economic development. According to some analyses,
(Dalton, 1988) the size of the ideological component of the left-right dimension
is connected to the process of cognitive mobilization. By cognitive mobilization
it is understood that there is a process through which the voters come “to
possess the political resources and abilities necessary for them to be self-
sufficient related to politics” (Dalton, 1988: 18). Briefly, the situation can be
described as the following. In typical industrial societies, the voters are
characterized by low levels of cognitive mobilization. Middle voters in these
societies are little educated and, when he/she encounters the complexity of
politics, they base their loyalty mainly on the affiliation to specific social or
party organizations (the so-called external mobilization). As a consequence,
self-placement on left-right axis is made depending on the identification with a
party and the vote is cast for a party in accordance with the affiliation to a
specific social group. At the same time with the rise of the educational level
(especially of the number of people with superior studies), citizens become
more sophisticated from a political point of view and the rise of the access to
mass-media makes them even more informed. As a consequence of these
transformations, in advanced industrial societies, self-placement and selection
of a party are based more on value orientations (this component is more
important in these societies) (Knutsen, 1997). A series of analyses (Knutsen,
1997) realized at a bivariate and at a multivariate level at the same time, using
data provided by Eurobarometer 16 and EVS II, supported this hypothesis. In
this way, the variance explained (as part of a variance analysis model with self-
placement as a dependent variable) by the common component of partisan and
axiological dimensions rises between 1980-1990 and, in an interval of only 10
years, it becomes almost as important as the partisan component. At the same
26
In most of the countries, the explanatory power of the social component is bigger in
the case of persons born after 1945.
83
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
time, analyses show a rise of the value-based component (but the rise is little).
Generally, within the total of the explained variance, 40-50 % reverts to each of
the partisan or combined components, and 10-20 % reverts to the value-based
components (Knutsen, 1997).
The results of the analyses presented before differ significantly. Mainly,
the differences are the result of the different way in which the social component
and the type of statistical analysis were operationalized. Therefore, if we
include all the three dimensions of the social component, its explanatory power
rises significantly and in many cases it surpasses the one of partisanship. At the
same time, the differences among the models are connected with the type of
statistical analysis (regression, respectively, variance analysis), but especially
with the method of specifying the models. The three factors (social, partisan,
axiological) can have independent influences over self-placement or we can
consider that values and partisanship have a common component (common
variance explained). If this common component is attributed to values, on the
basis of the assumption that these are previous to partisanship, the variance
explained by the value-based component comes to be equal to that of the
partisan component (Knutsen, 1997).
Consequently, in accordance with the method that was chosen, the
empirical results differ and, at a general level, the implications will also differ.
If self-placement is less connected with social position and more with the
electoral options, this shows not the irrelevance of left and right concepts, but
the fact that the political system is, to a certain extent, independent and that
political phenomena can be explained through other political phenomena (van
der Eijk et al, 2006)27. In this case, self-placement doesn’t represent a simple
reflection of the social position or, more generally said, the political phenomena
are not a derivation of other phenomena from other spheres (social structure,
modernization etc.), but have a high degree of autonomy. The discussion related
to the absolute or relative importance of the social basis of ideological self-
placement has an implication at a more general level. The extent to which
ideological self-placement represents or does not represent a reflection of the
social position is tightly connected with the debate about autonomy,
respectively about the systems in a society (or even more than that, the
prevalence of the social system, in our case, over the other systems).
Theoretical and empirical differences related to the self-placement
bases impose the reconstruction of the analyses and interpretations with other
data, related to other spaces and political times. This is our main objective in
what follows.
27
Even if, at the beginning, the situation was not like this, in the end, either the political
conflicts that led to these cleavages were solved, or the people got used to them (van der
Eijk et al, 2006).
84 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
28
Testing the significance of differences was done with chi2 (the association analysis)
and also with F (the variance analysis).
29
In SPSS, “optional scaling” from regression; through procedure, the level of variables
measuring was defined as nominal. Consequently, we considered that the relations
among variables can take any shape, which means that total explained variance is
maximal (if we considered the relations are linear, total explained variance would have
been significantly smaller).
85
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
30
Adjusted R2.
31
The statements are made on the basis of a measure of relative importance
(“importance” in SPSS), proposed by Pratt (Meulman and Heiser, 2005).
86 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
32
The explained variance is approximately 10% if we take into account only the
structural dimension, respectively 10-20% of all three dimensions are taken into account
(Freire, 2006).
33
Such an approach may seem strange. But a few analyses (Evans and Whitefield,
1998) show that, in the case of the societies affected by deep changes, a situation also
characterizing Romania, the sense of relations can invert. So, in the case of Russia, if, in
1993, the class the most right-oriented was composed of workers, and the most left-
oriented one of entrepreneurs, in 1996, the situation is almost the other way round
(Evans and Whitefield, 1998).
87
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
34
In the case of a few models, some predictors lacked (for example, the subjective class
was measured just by two sets of data), but this affects the explained total variance very
little (due to the strong connection between it and education or salary).
35
For example, the association between the vote and self-placement is very low in
Ireland and very high in Denmark (van der Eijk et al., 2006).
36
Explicitly, 73% of the total population considers that the fact that a candidate is left or
right doesn’t affect the vote (Mungiu-Pippidi, 2002).
37
This substitution often happens in case of other analyses, too (Knutsen, 1997; Freire,
2006), especially with data referring to European countries, from similar reasons.
88 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
instead of it. In order to have a clearer image of the relation between the vote
and self-placement we calculated the percentages offered to the parties in
different types of electorates (Table 3) and also the percentage of the voters of a
certain type inside the electorate of a party (Table 4). Also, we reduced the
number self-placement categories from 10 to 538.
Table 4. Self-placement on the left-right axis depending on the vote for parties
Center Center
Party Left Center Right Total
Left Right
D.A. Alliance 4 12 38 26 19 100
PD 4 10 48 19 20 100
PNG 23 10 29 23 16 100
PRM 15 21 34 17 13 100
PSD 20 32 32 10 7 100
PNL 5 3 38 22 31 100
UDMR 0 4 56 30 11 100
Another one 0 7 43 21 29 100
Total 9 15 39 20 17 100
Source: Analyses based on BOP-FSD data from 2006. Way of interpreting: 48 % of the
ones who will vote with PD self-positioned to the centre. The cells on grey background
indicate the highest frequencies for each row.
38
1-2 = left, 3-4 = centre- left, 5-6 = centre, 7-8 = centre-right, 9-10 = right.
89
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
The data shown demonstrate that the electors who self-position to the
left or in centre-left vote in a bigger extent to PSD, the ones in the centre with
DA Alliance and PD (less with PSD), the ones in centre-right with DA Alliance
and with PD and the ones who self-position to the right with DA Alliance, PD
and PNL (Table 3). If we refer to the electorate of a certain party, the relation is
the same clear (Table 4). PD Alliance, PD and PNL are voted by the electorate
placed in the centre or to the right (with percentage differences), PSD by the
electorate placed in the centre or to the left, UDMR by the electorate in the
centre or in centre-right and, finally, PNG and PRM by all the electorates in
almost the same extent (even if a little bit more by the centre electorate)39.
If we use a synthetic measure of self-placement on the left-right axis
(the average of the self-placement of a party’s voters), we can arrange political
systems on this axis as it follows:
Figure 10. Placement of the parties on the left-right axis on the basis of their
voters’ self-placement
7.0
PNL
6.5
UDMR
6.4
D.A. Alliance
6.4
5.9 PD
5.8Total
Not decided yet
5.5
PNG
5.4
Do not vote
5.3
PRM
4.5
PSD
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
left center right
Point 5.5 is the centre of the axis and current voters (the ones who
indicated a party) place at 5.9, so the average of voters is placed rather to the
right of the centre. Only one party clearly placed to the left is PSD, at the centre
PRM and PNG and to the right, DA Alliance, PD, UDMR and PNL. The fact is
significant that PD is placed much more closely to DA Alliance (the values are
almost identical) in comparison with PNL, placed more to the right. The
arrangement of the parties on the left-right axis on the basis of the average
position of their voters seems to be the same one with the intuitive40 one built on
the basis of self-placements made by the parties (through direct or indirect
39
The existence of differences is supported by the high values of standardized residuals.
40
As far as we know, in Romania’s case, there is no analysis of the parties’ programs or
of the leaders’ speeches from this perspective (positioning on left-right axis).
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Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
41
In Russia’s case, an inversion of the sense of the association (Evans and Whitefield,
1998) and implicitly, of positioning the parties on the left-right axis can be noticed.
42
This practice is often met in similar analyses and the explanations are very simple. On
one hand, in Europe, its identification in rarely measured, and, on the other hand, the
ignorance related to the ones who don’t have any vote option rises artificially the
intensity of the relation between the two variables (as it can be seen in the case of this
analysis, too).
43
It must not be forgotten the fact that a part of social influence over positioning can be
transmitted immediately, through vote.
44
To what extent this tendency is a real one or rather represents the result of the
differences in collecting data or in collecting the selection variations is a question to
which the answer can be given after testing the relation on other data sets, too.
91
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Table 5. The intensity of the relation between self-placement and vote (explained variance)
45
Explained variance(%) 1993 1997 1998 1999 2005 2006 average
Voters 18 13 20 17 18 11 16
Electors 14 10 17 11 14 7 12
Voters 18 17 15 16
Electors 14 13 11 12
45
Eta2parţial obtained through univariate analysis of variance.
46
The data from Germany, but also from other countries show that there is a connection
between the respondents’ position on the left-right axis and the preference for liberty
versus equality (with the meaning of social justice) (Noelle-Neumann, 1998).
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Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
47
In Russia, the direction of the correlations between the left-right scale and other
scales (economic liberalism, political liberalism, nationalism, democracy, etc.) inverted
between 1993 and 1996 (Evans and Whitefield, 1998).
93
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 11. The relation between self-placement on the left-right axis and different
value preferences
7.0 7.4
Equality is 6.1 5.7
6.8
Freedom is
more
more important
important than
than equality
freedom
Salary’s 5.3 5.7 Salary’s
5.0
differences 4.1 3.7 differences
should be should be
lower higher
State property 5.4 6.0 Private
4.6 4.5 4.6
should property
expand and should expand
develop and develop
Each
The State
individual
should 5.1 5.5 5.6
should assume
assume more 3.7 3.8
more
responsibility
responsibility
for everyone’s
for his/her own
welfare
welfare
Competition is
Competition
good. It helps
is a bad thing. 3.7
2.7 3.2 3.4 3.5 people to work
It highlights
harder and
the worst part
develop new
in people.
ideas
Success is Long term,
mostly a 3.1 3.6 3.4 3.7 3.3 work usually
matter of luck makes a better
and relations life
People can 7.2
become rich 6.2 5.7 6.1 6.3 Welfare can
only on rise for
others’ everyone
account
6,8 7,3
Everything in 6,2 5,8 6,4 Every person
life is chooses his or
determined by her own
destiny. destiny
left centre-left centre centre-right right
* For each polar pair, on the rows, each respondent evaluated its position on a 10 point scale,
where 1 means complete accord with left side statement, and 10 complete accord with the right
one. For each point on the left-right dimension, the mean evaluation of the respondents from the
respective class was computed and graphically represented in the figure.
Way of interpreting: The respondents who self-positioned to the left are in a higher degree in
accord with the statement „The State should assume more responsibility for everyone’s welfare”,
and those who self-positioned to the right are in a higher degree in accord with the statement
„Each individual should assume more responsibility for his/her own welfare” (the mean rises
from the left to the right).
Source: Analyses based on BOP-FSD data from 2006; EVS&WVS 1993, 1997, 1998,
1999 and 2005
The sign "-" means that the item wasn’t asked in that year/survey. Parentheses indicate
the fact that the relations are not significant (p>0.05). Calculating the averages was done
also including some statistically not significant coefficients.
95
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
The multivariate analysis shows the same tendency, which is the total
explained variance falling over time. 50 Therefore, if we look just at the common
items, the explained variance decreases from 13% in 1993 to 5% in 2005-6. As
a conclusion, in relation with the attitudinal-axiological directions, we cannot
speak of a clarification in the meaning of left and right concepts, but rather of an
opposite process (de-crystallization). 51
The overall explained variance by value orientations related to Romania
is placed at approximately half the average of the other UE countries. If in
Romania a decrease tendency can be observed in the explained variance of the
value orientations, in the other EU countries the situation is reverse. Thus, the
48
In the case of a similar analysis referring to Russia, the relation between left-right
scale and other scales (economic liberalism, politic liberalism, nationalism, democracy,
etc.) was tested. It was noticed that between 1993 and 1996 there was a rise of the
correlation indexes. The same conclusion emerged through the multiple regression
analysis (R2 rose) (Evans and Whitefield, 1998), but this concordance is not mandatory.
49 2
R adj was obtained by multiple linear regressions.
50
The data shows a relatively large variation from year to year regarding the total
explained variance. It is more likely that the differences are the result of a fluctuation in
the sampling, in the construction of the questionnaires (regarding the order and place of
the questions, as the actual phrasing of the questions was nearly identical), or in the data
gathering process.
51
The decrease of the explained variance over time shows that the left-right dimension
has shared meanings, at the level of the population, only in a low degree (either less
shared meanings, or the existing ones but to a lower extent). Consequently we cannot
speak of a clarification of meaning or definition with regard to this dimension.
96 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
52
As opposed to the EU situation, in Romania the religious values are not highly
associated (depending on how they are used) with ideological self-positioning; for this
reason they are not included in the multivariate analysis. Consequently, in a study
(Knutsen, 1997) that took into account EVS data from 13 countries from Western
Europe, it has been concluded that religious values (measured through the question:
“How important is God in your life?”) correlate with self-positioning to a high degree
(0.12-0.30). The correlation of the same variables in the case of Romania is 0.00
(EVS&WVS, 2005).
53
Some of the presented analysis is multivariate as well. What is being attempted here
is to estimate the concurrent influence of the variables that are in relation to the party
and axiological base of self-positioning; multivariate refers to the fact that we take into
account more than one dimension (each with more than one indicator).
54
The value orientations and the voting options are associated, and the univariate
analysis of variance shows that there is a significant interaction between them (the
percentage of the explained variance is sometimes larger than the interaction between
these components, over the value component).
97
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
for a causal explicative model (Bartle, 1998).55 If, in case of the socio-
demographic variables56, it is somewhat clear that they represent the antecedents
(preconditions) for the values and political option, the relation between these
last two is less clear. Building on the assumption that the self-positioning
variable is dependent,57 at least on the theoretical level, the relations between
the three variables involved (values, voting options and self-placement, with the
last being considered as dependent) may take different forms, two of which are
synthesized in Figure12.
In the case of model A, the relation between the axiological orientation
and the party orientations is ambiguous, with some of the explained variance
overlapping (there is a common part). If we introduce an ordering relation
between these two variables, using the value orientation anterior to the voting,
the relation changes into that of model B. In the case of this model, the common
variance is attributed to the axiological orientations. In both models, it is
considered that self-placement is a function of two parameters: the value
orientation and the voting option. In other words, individuals with certain
values, or individuals who prefer a certain party are consequently positioned,
without necessarily having a clear picture of what this positioning entails
(Inglehart and Klingemann, 1976).
55
If we want to explain self-positioning, we have to go by the condition of variables
temporal ordering. If we are only after a prediction, following that condition is not
necessary, therefore we may use regression models as well.
56
It may be added that, even among the socio-demographic variables there is a certain
temporal order, and therefore their influence is not only direct but indirect as well (for
example, the gender variable may influence self-positioning both directly or through the
socio-economic status).
57
Theoretically, the relation between the voting option and self-positioning may be of
two-ways: (1) “I” prefers the X party, where X is a left party, therefore “I” is positioned
to the left, or (2) “I” orientation is for the left, X is a left party, therefore “I” votes with
X. The bivariate analysis shows that the influence is indeed bi-directional, but also that
the level of influence of voting is larger than the influence of self-positioning (if the
dependent variable is vote, then Eta is 0.27, and if the dependent variable is self-
positioning, then Eta is 0.42; EVS&WVS, 2005).
98 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
Figure 12. The alternative causal models of value orientation variables, voting
options and ideological self-positioning
A B
Experimental classical design Hierarchical decomposition
Ambiguous relation between Values before voting
values and voting options
Values Values
Vote Vote
58
The two tables, A and B, are the result of the two different methods used in the
explained variance calculation regarding the three components (a partially different
method was used in the calculation of the axiological component).
59
Given the relatively high variance of values from year to year (most probably because
of the rather small samples on which these analyses have been performed and as a
99
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Table 8A. The link between voting options values and left-right self-positioning:
the variance explained by the unique party component (vote), the unique value
component and the compounded component
The percentage of the explained
A Explained variance (%) The decomposed explained variance (%)
variance (%)
unique
unique to
values voting total common to the values common voting
Year the value
(1) (2) (3) (5) vote (7) (8) (9)
(4)
(6)
1993 15 12 20 8 7 5 38 36 26
1997 3 8 10 2 0 8 20 5 75
1998 11 16 22 7 4 11 30 19 51
1999 5 9 12 3 1 7 28 11 61
2005 3 13 15 2 1 12 11 7 82
2006 9 7 12 6 3 4 48 24 28
Average 7 11 15 5 3 8 29 17 54
1993 15 12 20 8 7 5 38 36 26
97-99 6 11 15 4 2 9 27 14 59
05-06 6 10 14 4 2 8 27 15 58
Average 9 11 16 5 4 7 32 23 45
Building this table included the following steps: (a) the explained variances of value is
calculated (multiple linear regression, with self-positioning as the dependent variable
and the axiological orientations as the independent variables); after that, the variances
explained by vote intentions are calculated (using univariate analysis of variance, with
self-positioning as the dependent variable and the voting option as the independent
variable, were the undecided are included); the explained variances in both voting
options and values are simultaneously calculated (using univariate analysis of variance,
with self-positioning as the dependent variable and both voting options and axiological
orientations as the independent variables); in the table, these variances are shown in the
columns 1 to 3; (b) the variance is calculated for the two unique components and for the
common one; for the unique component representing the voting option (column 6), a
subtraction is made from the total variances of the value component (column 3 –
column 1); for the unique axiological component (column 4) another subtraction is
made from the total variance of the voting option component (column 3 – column 2);
for the common component (column 5), the variance of the unique components (column
4 and column 6) is subtracted from the total variance; (c) the percentages of the
explained variances for the three components are calculated (columns 7 through 9) by
dividing the variance of each component by the total variance (columns 7 to 9, each
divided by column 3). The items used for the measurement of the value component have
been different year by year (only 4 of them are common, the ones with the higher
degree of explanatory power). For a higher degree of certainty regarding data validity
further result of the small percentage of those who self-position or have a party option)
it is more secure to work related to the average values of close years.
100 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
we have redone the analysis using only the common items and the obtained values are
nearly identical (the explained variance of values has decreased to a very small extent).
Table 8B. The link between voting options values and left-right self-positioning:
the variance explained by the unique party component (vote), the unique value
component and the compounded component
2 2 The percentage of the
B R Eta partial
explained variances (%)
Year total total values interaction voting values interaction voting
1993 16 21 7 5 9 33 22 45
1997 10 15 0 5 10 3 32 65
1998 19 24 8 2 14 32 10 58
1999 9 14 0 5 8 3 36 61
2005 15 18 2 3 13 12 16 73
2006 13 16 8 2 6 48 12 40
Average 14 18 4 4 10 22 21 57
93 16 21 7 5 9 33 22 45
97-99 13 18 3 4 11 13 26 61
05-06 14 17 5 2 10 30 14 56
Average 14 19 5 4 10 25 21 54
The table presents in a synthetic manner, the results of a group of models used in
univariate analysis of variance (SPSS Base 15.0 User’s Guide, 2006; Page et al, 2003;
Lawrence et al, 2006). The dependent variable is self-positioning and the independent
variables are value orientations (the covariate variable, built through factorial analysis
of the common variables of value) and the voting options (the factor variable; included
here are the non-voters, the undecided and the non-respondents); the interaction
between the two was also included. Starting with the presupposition that the value
orientations precede voting options, the used method for the calculation of the sum-of-
squared deviations was hierarchical decomposition (type I in SPSS), with the variable
taking part of the model in the following order: values, values * voting, voting. The
explained variances appearing in column R2 and Eta2partial differ (the latter is larger than
the first) because of the fact that R2 is calculated based on the assumption that the
relations are linear.
Source: Analyses based on BOP–FSD 2006; EVS&WVS, 1993, 1997, 1998, 1999 and
2005 data.
The data shown here indicates that the self-positioning on the left-right
axis is dependent only in a relatively small extent on the value orientations or on
voting options (independent or not). Only in two situations (1993 and 1998) the
total explained variance was above 20%, with the average on all the other years
situated at 15-19% (depending on the measurement methods). From a series of
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
similar models created for other Western European countries (Knutsen, 1997),
in the 1990s, only Ireland and Belgium had a total explained variance of similar
proportions, with all the other countries rising to as much as 52%, and an
average of 40%, double in comparison with Romania. In conclusion, in the case
of Romania, the link between voting or values and self-positioning is much
weaker.
The explained variances of the three components are close enough, but
the unique component representing the voting option is clearly the largest. Thus,
the average explained variance of the unique component of voting options is 8%
(10%), whereas that of the unique value component is at 5% and that of the
common component at 3% (4%) (the values differ if the years are
compounded). The relative percentage of the explained variance in each of these
three components does not differ much in relation to the means of the
calculation. Thus, in the case of variant A, the percentages are as follows
(between parenthesis the B variant): the unique component of vote option 45%
(54%), the unique component of values 32% (25%) and the common component
23% (21%). It can be therefore concluded that, in Romania, self-positioning
depends more on the party preference and less on the values orientation. Even
more, the influence mediated by the voting procedure of the values over self-
positioning is low too. In comparison with other European countries (Knutsen,
1997), in Romania the unique component of the voting option has a similar
percentage (the average over 13 countries, in the 90s is 47%), with the
percentage for the unique component of value a little higher (14%) and that for
the common component a little lower (39%). As it can be seen in these
countries, the influence mediated by the voting process over self-positioning
which is comparable with that of voting itself. What follows from these
observations is that the causal model that corresponds to Romania is largely
similar to a type A model, whereas the B model fits more with Western
European countries. Still, taking into account that we consider the values as
being anterior to the voting options, the two factors determine in an
approximately equal extent the value of self-positioning on the left-right axis;
the situations is similar to the averages observed in case of other EU countries
(Knutsen, 1997).
What is happening to the size of the explained variance over time? In
both calculation models, it can be observed that the total explained variance
slowly decreases in time, with the fall being concentrated in the 1993-1999
period. Thus, if at the beginning of this period, the total explained variances
were at 21% (20%), the average for the 1997 to1999 interval had decreased to
15% (18%), and at the end of the period being as low as 14% (17%). What’s
more, this decrease is completely the result of the lowering of the unique and
common value variances, given the fact that the variance of the unique
component of voting option is constant or slowly growing. The observed
tendency in the case of Romania cannot be found in the EU space (where the
total explained variance is measured in the 1981-1990 period, with the average
over 13 countries at approximately 36%; Knutsen, 1997).
Another difference which can be observed is related to the variance of
the three components percentages over time. Considering similar analysis
(Knutsen, 1997), for the 1981-1990 period, in Western European countries a
small growth can be observed in the unique value component and a decrease in
the voting option component. What’s more, further observation shows that the
percentage of the common component tends to grow when the development
level of the country is more evolved (the two aspects have a strong correlation
to one another). 60 As a result of these observations, we may expect that, in
Romania’s case as well, the percentage of the common component would be
relatively smaller at the beginning of the reference period, and also that it would
grow over time. The analysis result shows a different tendency instead. The
percentage of the common component is high enough at the beginning of the
period and, contrary to what was believed, it decreases during the reference
period, as opposed to the percentage of the voting option unique component that
tends to go slowly up. On the other hand, the aforementioned tendencies take
place in the 1993-1999 timeframe. After this period, the level of the explained
variance of each of the three components remains approximately unchanged, or
it tends to come back to the level it was at in 1993 (in relation to the years
average and taking into account both methods of calculus).
In conclusion, in comparison with the EU countries, in Romania the
situation looks a little different, regarding the following aspects: (1) the total
variance explained by voting options and values, related to self-positioning on
the left-right axis is much lower in Romania (about half of the EU average); (2)
the relative percentages of the three components in relation to the total
explained variance differ: the unique components (voting options and value
orientations) each has a larger percentage in Romania, whereas the common
component has a lower percentage; (3) the absolute size of the unique voting
component slowly increases over time, while the size of the common
component decreases and (4) the percentage of the unique voting component
increases over time, while the size of the common component decreases.
What is the significance of this observation? Briefly, it concerns the
motion between conflicts based on class and conflicts based on value
orientations. If this tendency is present in Western countries (Knutsen, 1995b),
in Romania, things seem to be just the opposite, at least in the 1993-1999
timeframe. 61 The cognitive mobility that characterizes advanced industrial
60
They are measured through the PIB indicators in relation to each individual and the
percentage of the service sector.
61
They only “seem to be”, given the fact that for the beginning period of democracy in
Romania, we have only one set of data available (1993). To be sure that was the state of
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
societies has, over time, determined their citizens to vote more and more by
taking into account value orientations and also to self-position themselves on
the left-right axis relating to both party preference and value orientations. In the
case of Romania, the self-positioning process is carried out mainly related to
voting options, without a strong relation between value orientations and voting
options. On the other hand, if the common percentage is attributed to values,
these tend to have a percentage similar to that of the voting option (directly or not).
Conclusions
Romania’s population is characterized by an average level (related to
the used scale) of ideological identification.62 Thus, only a little over a half of
the sample group manages to self-position on the left-right axis. Related to other
cultural environments, the level of identification is very low, and in most of the
European countries, the percentage of individuals that are capable of self-
positioning on the left-right axis is significantly larger.
Even though only a half of the sample group believe that they know the
meaning of the concepts of political right and left, only a third are capable of
attributing to these labels one of the meanings that is recognized to be correct.
In comparison with other countries, the level of ideological sophistication63 of
the Romanians is significantly lower.
The level of ideological identification varies to a large extent with the
different characteristics of the individual from the sample group. The usage of
the left-right axis is larger among men, or among individuals with a higher
education, a higher social status, a higher degree of political involvement or
information. Although we may see a rise in the level of ideological
identification over time, the data appear to be relatively stable. In comparison
with other countries (ex-communist or not, with the exception of the countries
of the former USSR), Romania is among the ones with the lowest level of
ideological identification. The irrelevance of the left and right terms for
approximately half of Romania’s population is mainly the result of their
absence from the public vocabulary of the opinion leaders (political or non-
political) after 1989.
things at that moment, the replication of the analysis would be necessary using another
set of data from that year or from a close year.
62
This signifies the usage of the left-right axis in the description of the political space,
without necessarily attributing the same meanings to the terms (Fuchs and Klingemann,
1990: 205).
63
This signifies both the usage of the left-right axis as well as the usage of the same
meanings for the terms (Fuchs and Klingemann, 1990: 205).
104 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Ideological self-placement: identification, sophistication, bases
64
The percentages are computed by reporting the total number of individuals that
answered with a definition.
105
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Annexes
Table 9. Total standardized effects of the explanatory model of the left-right
dimension usage
Type of Sex Salary per Subjective Interest in
Total effects
locality (feminine) Age Education person class politics Information
Education 0.42 -0.10 -0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Salary per
0.45 -0.05 0.01 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
person
Subjective
0.27 -0.05 -0.10 0.46 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00
class
Interest in
0.08 -0.24 0.00 0.18 0.02 0.07 0.00 0.00
politics
Information 0.32 -0.14 -0.12 0.48 0.13 0.15 0.15 0.00
Usage of the
0.17 -0.17 -0.09 0.21 0.04 0.11 0.35 0.12
dimension
Source: Analyses based in EVS&WVS data from 2005.
Table 10. Direct standardized effects of the explanatory model of the left-right
dimension usage
Type of Sex Salary per Subjective Interest in
Direct Effects
locality (feminine) Age Education person class politics Information
Education 0.42 -0.10 -0.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Salary per
0.26 0.00 0.15 0.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
person
Subjective
0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.29 0.00 0.00 0.00
class
Interest in
0.00 -0.22 0.05 0.15 0.00 0.07 0.00 0.00
politics
Information 0.08 -0.06 0.00 0.35 0.08 0.14 0.15 0.00
Usage of the
0.06 -0.07 -0.05 0.06 0.00 0.07 0.34 0.12
dimension
Source: Analyses based on EVS&WVS data from 2005.
Table 11. Indirect standardized effects of the explanatory model of the left-right
dimension usage
Indirect Type of Sex Salary per Subjective Interest in
Age Education Information
effects locality (feminine) person class politics
Education 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Salary per
0.20 -0.05 -0.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
person
Subjective
0.27 -0.05 -0.10 0.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
class
Interest in
0.08 -0.02 -0.05 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00
politics
Information 0.24 -0.08 -0.12 0.13 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00
Usage of the
0.11 -0.10 -0.04 0.15 0.04 0.04 0.01 0.00
dimension
Source: Analyses based on EVS&WVS data from 2005
107
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Table 12. The evolution of self-placement within different categories of population
Average of the self- The difference between the average
Population placement of the category and the average of the
(1=left; 10=right) population
Year 1993 1998 1999 2005 1993 1998 1999 2005
Total population 5.7 5.3 5.8 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Men 5.6 5.3 5.8 6.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Women 5.7 5.3 5.8 6.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-34 years 5.9 5.4 6.2 6.2 0.2 0.1 0.4 0.2
35-54 years 5.7 5.3 5.7 6.1 0.0 0.0 -0.2 0.1
55+ years 5.5 5.2 5.6 5.6 -0.2 -0.1 -0.2 -0.4
At most comprehensive
5.5 5.1 6.3 5.5 -0.1 -0.3 0.5 -0.5
school
Apprentices, unfinished
5.7 5.2 5.5 5.8 0.0 -0.1 -0.3 -0.2
college
College, further education,
5.7 5.3 5.9 6.1 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.1
unfinished faculty
Faculty, M.A., PhD 5.9 5.9 5.5 6.5 0.2 0.6 -0.3 0.5
Lower class - 4.9 - 5.6 - -0.4 - -0.4
Labor class - 4.9 - 5.6 - -0.4 - -0.4
Down part of the
- 5.6 - 6.2 - 0.3 - 0.2
middle class
Upper part of the
- 5.6 - 6.6 - 0.3 - 0.6
middle class
Low salary 5.5 5.2 6.3 5.7 -0.1 -0.1 0.4 -0.3
Medium salary 5.7 5.3 5.6 5.9 0.0 0.0 -0.3 -0.1
High salary 5.8 5.6 5.8 6.2 0.1 0.3 -0.1 0.2
Rural-peripheral 5.5 5.3 5.5 5.7 -0.2 0.0 -0.3 -0.3
Rural-center 5.5 5.0 6.4 5.9 -0.2 -0.3 0.6 -0.1
Small urban 5.7 5.2 5.6 6.1 0.0 -0.1 -0.2 0.1
Big urban 5.8 5.6 5.8 6.1 0.2 0.3 -0.1 0.1
Employed - high 5.9 5.8 5.7 6.6 0.2 0.4 -0.1 0.6
Employed - medium 5.6 5.2 5.8 6.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.2
Employed - low 5.8 4.9 5.5 5.8 0.1 -0.5 -0.3 -0.2
Retired person 5.5 5.4 6.1 5.6 -0.2 0.1 0.3 -0.4
Housewife, stay-at-home 5.7 5.7 6.3 6.1 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.1
Student/pupil 6.6 5.3 6.6 6.1 0.9 0.0 0.8 0.1
Unemployed 4.0 5.6 5.7 6.2 -1.7 0.3 -0.2 0.2
Trade union’s
member/professional 5.9 5.5 5.7 6.7 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.7
association’s member
Non-member of a
trade
5.6 5.9 5.7 5.9 0.0 0.6 -0.1 -0.1
union/professional
association
No confidence in trade
5.9 5.4 5.8 5.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 -0.2
unions and companies
High confidence in trade
5.5 5.2 5.9 6.1 -0.2 -0.1 0.1 0.1
unions and companies
109
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Table 13. Parties’ self-placement on the left-right axis (the average of the self-
placements of the party’s voters; 1=left; 10=right)
Political formation 1993 1997 1998 1999 2005 2006
PNTCD 6.8 6.8 6.3 7.5
PNL 6.4 6.9 6.9 7.4 7.4 6.9
PD 5.8 5.7 5.7 6.9 6.4
CDR 6.3 6.1
PNL - PNTCD - AC - PE 7.1
DA Alliance 6.7 6.4
FSN 5.3
FDSN 5.1
PDSR 4.7 3.9 5.1
PSDR 4.2 3.3
ApR 4.6 4.8 5.8
PSD 4.4 4.5
PUNR 5.3 4.8 5.0 5.0
PRM 4.6 5.3 4.2 5.1 5.7 5.3
UDMR 6.4 5.7 6.0 5.0 6.6 6.6
AC 6.1
PNL-Youngsters 6.6
PDAR 5.2
PSM 4.2
PNG 5.5
Source: Analyses based on BOP–FSD 2006; EVS&WVS 1993, 1997, 1998, 1999 and
2005
Table 14. The relative importance of different attitudes in explaining the self-
positioning on the left-right axis
Item 1993 1997 1998 1999 2005 2006 medie
materialism vs. postmaterialism 0.11 - 0.00 0.04 0.00 - 0.04
equality vs. freedom 0.10 0.00 - - 0.01 0.18 0.07
equal vs. unequal salary - - - - 0.00 - 0.00
economy vs. environment - - 0.04 - 0.00 - 0.02
differences among salaries: bad vs.
0.30 0.05 0.09 0.16 0.15 0.25 0.17
good
property: state vs. private 0.16 0.19 0.13 0.15 0.11 0.02 0.13
responsibility for the living conditions:
0.05 0.15 0.07 0.14 0.27 0.00 0.11
state vs. individual
competition: bad vs. good 0.06 0.03 0.23 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.09
success: luck and relations vs. work 0.03 0.10 0.04 - 0.07 0.04 0.05
richness rises: on others’ account vs. for
0.08 0.14 0.07 - 0.21 0.26 0.15
everyone
one’s way in life: destiny vs. self-
- - - - 0.11 0.18 0.15
determinacy
Source: Analyses based on BOP-FSD data from 2006; EVS&WVS 1993, 1997, 1998,
1999 and 2005 *Pratt coefficients obtained by regression with categorical variables
Table 15. Relative importance of common attitudes for different research made for
explaining self-placement on the left-right axis
Item 1993 1997 1998 1999 2005 2006 average
differences among
0.61 0.26 0.20 0.31 0.26 0.48 0.35
salaries: bad vs. good
property: state vs.
0.29 0.39 0.22 0.13 0.17 0.14 0.22
private
the responsibility for the
living conditions: state 0.03 0.24 0.27 0.41 0.45 0.11 0.25
vs. individual
competition: bad vs.
0.07 0.11 0.31 0.16 0.12 0.27 0.17
good
Source: Analyses based on BOP-FSD data from 2006; EVS&WVS 1993, 1997, 1998,
1999 and 2005 *Pratt coefficients obtained by regression with categorical variables
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papers/Potter2001.pdf
Dalton, Russell (1988) Citizen Politics in Western Democracies. Public Opinion and
Political Parties in the United States, Great Britain, West Germany, and
France, NJ: Chatham House Publishers
Dalton, Russell (2002) Citizen politics. Public opinion and political parties in advanced
industrial democracies, NJ: Chatam House Publishers
Dieter Fuchs & Dieter Rucht (1994) Support for New Social Movements in Five
Western European Countries, in C. Rootes and H. Davis (eds.) A New Europe?
Social Change and Political Transformation, London: University College
London Press
Eijk, van der Cees. Schmitt, Hermann. Binder, Tanja (2006) Left-Right Orientations and
Party Choice, in Thomassen, Jacques (edt) The European Voter: A
Comparative Study of Modern Democracies, Londra: Oxford University Press,
pp. 167-191
Evans, Geoffrey & Whitefield, Stephen (1998) The Evolution of Left and right in Post-
Soviet Russia, Europe-Asia Studies, vol. 50, pp. 1023-1043
Evans, Geoffrey; Heath, Anthony; Lalljee, Mansur (1996) Measuring left-right and
libertarian-authoritarian values in the British electorate, The British Journal
of Sociology, vol. 47, no. 1, pp. 93-112
Evans, Jocelyn (2004) Voters&voting, Sage Publications
Freire, Andre (2006) Bringing Social Identities Back In: The Social Anchors of Left–
Right Orientation in Western Europe, International Political Science Review,
vol 27, nr. 4, pp. 359-378
Gabel, J. Matthew & Anderson, J. Christopher (2001) Exploring the European Demos
(or lack thereof): the Structure of Citizen Attitudes and the European Political
Space, CEuS Working Paper no. 4
Hooghe, Marc (2003) Participation in Voluntary Associations and Value Indicators:
The Effect of Current and Previous Participation Experiences, Nonprofit and
Voluntary Sector Quarterly, vol. 32, nr. 1, pp. 47-69
Huber, D. John (1989) Values and Partisanship in Left-Right Orientations: Measuring
Ideology, The European Journal of Political Research, vol. 17, pp. 599-621.
Inglehart, Ronald & Abramson R. Paul (1994) Economic Security and Value Change,
American Political Science Review, vol. 88, pp. 336-354
Inglehart, Ronald & Klingemann, Hans-Dieter (1976) Party Identification, Ideological
Preference and the Left-Right Dimension among Western Mass Publics, în I.
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Identification and Beyond: Representations of Voting and Party Competition,
London: Wiley
Inglehart, Ronald & Paul R. Abramson (1994) Economic Security and Value Change, în
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Page, Melanie. Braver, Sanford. MacKinnon, David (2003) Levine’s guide to SPSS
analysis of variance, New Jersey: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates Inc.
Rotariu, Traian & Iluţ, Petre (1997) Ancheta sociologică şi sondajul de opinie
[Sociological survey and public opinion survey], Iaşi: Polirom
Sandu, Dumitru (1996) Sociologia tranziţiei. Valori şi tipuri sociale în România [The
sociology of transition. Values and social types in Romania], Bucureşti: Staff
Sandu, Dumitru (1999) Spaţiul social al tranziţiei [The social space of transition], Iaşi:
Polirom
Sani, Giacomo and Sartori, Giovani (1983) Polarization, Fragmentation, and
Competition in Western Democracies, in Western European Party Systems:
Continuity and Change, Beverly Hills: Sage
Todosijevic, Bojan (2004) The Hungarian voter: left-right dimension as a clue to policy
preferences, International Political Science Review, vol. 25, nr. 4, pp. 411-433
Voicu, Bogdan (1999) Despre măsurarea intenţiei de vot în sondajele de opinie,
[Measuring vote intention in opinion surveys] in Sociologie Românească, nr. 4,
pp. 48-76
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method approach to understanding ideological labels in Mexican politics,
Political Behavior, vol. 28, nr. 2, pp. 151-173
*** (2006) SPSS Base 15.0 User’s Guide, SPSS Inc.
Databases used
Barometer of public opinion (BOP-FSD) (2003, 2006), surveys significant at a national
level for adult uninstitutionalized population, www.osf.ro
European Values Survey (EVS) (1999), series of comparative surveys significant at
national level for uninstitutionalized adult population,
http://www.europeanvalues.nl
The Comparative Study of Electoral Systems (2003) CSES Module 1 Full release
[dataset], Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan, Center for Political Studies
[producer and distributor], series of comparative surveys significant at national
level for uninstitutionalized adult population www.cses.org
World Values Survey (WVS) (1993), series of comparative surveys significant at
national level for uninstitutionalized adult population,
www.worldvaluessurvey.org
World Values Survey (WVS) (1997), series of comparative surveys significant at
national level for uninstitutionalized adult population,
www.worldvaluessurvey.org
World Values Survey (WVS) (1998), series of comparative surveys significant at
national level for uninstitutionalized adult population,
www.worldvaluessurvey.org
115
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
presented above. Mr. Escu’s morning suggests that trust is necessary for the
proper functioning of a society.
This applies even more in societies that are organized based on the
principles of democracy, because democracy cannot survive in absence of
confidence. Totalitarian or authoritarian regimes also need trust, but, in its
absence, they can survive by repression, which is an inaccessible method for
democratic regimes. The importance of trust is visible in the increasing interest
for this issue in old and established democracies, where the decreasing levels of
trust in the state’s institutions generated academic and public debates (such a
debate was organized at Camp David under the aegis of the US presidency, in
order to discuss the themes treated by Robert Putnam in Bowling Alone).
The subject is all the more important in the new Central and Eastern
European democracies: first, the institutional context of countries in transition is
not stable, but rather in a continuous and complex transformation, with the
purpose of developing a set of institutions that will fit the society’s
characteristics. Secondly, the communist past proves to be extremely
unfavorable to institutional trust: forty years of communism left as heritage a
culture of mistrust in the state and in its institutions, which was built based on
the pre-war culture. All these reasons justify any attempt to understand the
mechanisms of institutional trust.
Most of the studies of post-communist transitions focus on the role of
institutional changes: the countries in transition are assessed according to the
success they had in developing the set of democratic institutions necessary for
creating a strong democracy. There is also a second dimension of transition, just
as important: people’s values, attitudes, and beliefs – the basic components of
political culture. When the elites cooperate, the formation of the new set of
institutions of the democratic system is a fairly easy task. Post-communist
transitions, however, are a complex phenomenon, one that only starts, but does
not end, with the creation of a new institutional complex.
The transition cannot be complete without changing citizens’ attitudes
and behavior in their interactions with the new institutions, and this change is
much more difficult than implementing new institutions: “many people
anticipated that the relationship between citizens and the state would change
immediately and dramatically, but this never happened. A lot of people continue
to be afraid of the authorities and many officials, consciously or not, continue to
behave like masters, or merely refuse to act as a result of their fear to assume
any responsibilities” (Macovei, 1998). The transitions that do not manage to
modify both the institutional and the cultural dimension are destined to fail: a
democratic system that does not manage to gain its citizens’ confidence will
stop, eventually, fulfilling its functions, and this can lead to democratic
breakdown. Fortunately, these are long term predictions, meaning that state
institutions have enough time at their disposal to prove their trustworthiness.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
1
For a detailed discussion of the concept of social capital and of its applications in
Central and Eastern Europe, see Mihaylova (2004).
119
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
121
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
trust Escu; the citizen will be quick, however, to declare that they do not trust
the police as an institution.
Uncertainty is also related to the perceived efficiency of the institution.
As Luhmann argued, “trust is only possible in a situation where the possible
damage may be greater than the advantage you seek” (Luhmann, 1988: 98). In
the case of institutional trust, the efficiency of the institutions is used in
assessing the possible damage (or cost). To the extent that the citizens’ demands
follow the official channels and satisfy all the requirements, one can be sure that
the institutions of the state will engage in a series of activities triggered by one’s
demand: there is no uncertainty related to the existence/nonexistence of a
certain action. The uncertainty stems from the way in which the action will be
performed by the institution (i.e. by the incumbents of the different roles of
authority).
Gambetta incorporates many of these elements in his definition of trust
as „a particular level of the subjective probability with which and agent assesses
that another agent or group of agents will perform a particular action, both
before he can monitor such action and in a context in which it affects its own
actions” (Gambetta 1998: 217). According to this definition, trust is a variable
depending on certain personal and cultural factors that can be used to describe
both interpersonal and institutional trust. The trust relation has three
components: the truster, the trustee, and the event. The complexity of the
interaction is reduced by the trust relation. The only element missing from this
definition is the efficiency of the object of trust. Adding this element, I define
trust as a context-dependent belief that an agent will perform a particular action
that will correspond to the truster’s current expectations.
People have different positions on the trust–distrust continuum,
positions that could be explained by a series of personal and cultural factors that
form together the set of internal determinants of trust. The position on this
continuum, however, is not fixed. It can be influenced by context-dependent
factors which form the external determinants of trust. These factors are the
modifiers that make it possible so that a usually trusting person will not trust a
certain agent in a certain context. The distinction between internal and external
determinants has important methodological consequences. While internal
determinants can be identified using survey data, external determinants can be
uncovered only by a detailed description of each particular case (this approach
is often used in case studies) or by using indicators that are measured at the
macro-level. Since the analyses presented in this chapter are based on survey
data, I will discuss here only internal determinants of trust, i.e. those
corresponding to respondents’ characteristics.
Dependent variables
The 2005 WVS/EVS survey measures (on a four point scale, from very
little to very much) trust in 19 institutions that can be grouped into four
categories: state institutions (presidency, parliament, cabinet, political parties,
civil servants, police, courts, and city halls), civil society institutions
(environmental NGOs, women NGOs, charitable NGOs, trade unions,
newspapers, and television), traditional institutions (church and army), and
international institutions (EU, UN, and NATO). I did not include in the analysis
economic institutions, because they function on different principles and are
interested, primarily, in their own profitability. Although newspapers and
television are not, per se, civil society organizations, I included them in this
group because their role in the relationship with the state is similar to the role of
civil society institutions.
I used this theoretical classification as a model for creating four
dependent variables. In each of the four cases I verified through factor analysis
and reliability analysis if the variables create a scale and, for easier
interpretation, I created the dependent variables as additive scales. Thus, I use
four dependent variables in my analyses: trust in state’s institutions2, trust in
civil society institutions3, trust in traditional institutions4, and trust in
international institutions5. The correlations between the four measures of
institutional trust vary between 0.214 and 0.576. Given these correlations, it is
possible that some of the dependent variables will have a common set of
determinants. At the same time, some factors may have an effect only on some
types of institutional trust and the size of the effects of the common factors may
depend on the type of trust that I analyzed. What are the factors that may
influence the level of institutional trust?
2
Factor analysis (ML – Oblimin) extracts a single factor that explains 45.8% of the
variation. KMO = 0.864. Cronbach Alpha = 0.866. The variable ranges between 0 and 24.
3
Factor analysis (ML – Oblimin) extracts two factors, correlated at 0.371. KMO =
0.733. Cronbach Alpha = 0.779. The variable ranges between 0 and 18.
4
Trust in the army and trust in church are correlated at 0.401. The variable ranges
between 0 and 6.
5
Factor analysis (ML – Oblimin) extracts a single factor that explains 73.3% of the
variation. KMO = 0.738. Cronbach Alpha = 0.890. The variable ranges between 0 and 9.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Socio-economic characteristics
A first set is represented by a person’s socio-economic characteristics:
gender, age, education, income, ethnicity, religion, and size of locality. These
are variables that define the initial position of a person on the trust – distrust
continuum.
Gender (dummy variable coded 0 for women and 1 for men) is a control
variable: there are no reasons to expect significant differences between men and
women with respect to institutional trust. Age (recoded in eight categories:
under 21, 21-30, 31-40, 41-50, 51-60, 61-70, 71-80, and over 80) should have a
significant positive effect on institutional trust. This effect is determined mainly
by different attitudes toward authority and the state. Education (recoded in five
categories: 4 grades and less, 5-8 grades, 9-11 grades, high school and post high
school, and university or more) should have a significant negative effect. The
more educated a person is, the higher his/her capacity to understand the
institutions’ actions and the alternatives to these actions, which can lead to a
more critical attitude towards the institutions. Income (measured as deciles of
income per capita), ethnicity (dummy variable coded 1 for Romanian and 0 for
other), and religion (dummy variable coded 1 for Orthodox and 0 for other) are
used as a control variables. Ethnicity and religion indicate membership to the
majority group in the population (Romanian and Orthodox versus other
ethnicity or other religion). Trust in traditional institutions can be influenced
positively by membership to the majority group, but in all other cases these
variables should not have significant effects. The size of the locality of
residence (variable with six categories: village, commune center, small city,
medium city, large city, and very large city) should have a negative effect on
trust: the larger the locality, the more frequent the interactions between citizens
and the state, which could generate more critical attitudes towards the state’s
institutions.
Values
The second group of factors that might influence the level of institutional
trust is represented by respondents’ values. This group includes three variables:
religiosity, acceptance of deviant behavior, and interest for politics.
Religiosity is an indicator of traditionalism (which is associated with an
uncritical acceptance of authority) and should have a significant positive effect
on institutional trust. The variable is composed of two indicators (subjective
evaluation of religiosity and frequency of going to church) and it has the
following categories: atheist, non-religious person, person with low religiosity
(goes to church at most once a year), person with average religiosity (goes to
church at most monthly), and person with high religiosity (goes to church at
least once a week).
Social position
Institutional trust can also be influenced by a person’s position in the
social environment. This group of factors includes two variables: interpersonal
trust and access to relationships.
The relationship variable shows a person’s availability of relational
social capital (measured as the number of relationships a person can use to solve
a problem in nine different situations: health problems, legal problems, city hall,
police, getting credit, getting a job, business problems, problems in other
countries, and county institutions) 8. The availability of these relationships and,
especially, identifying them as a possible source for help indicate the acceptance
of a pattern of interactions with institutions that is at odds with the rules that
stand at the basis of the institutions. The fact that a person acknowledges having
a relationship that can help with a city hall problem shows low trust in the
ability of the city hall, as institution, to solve the problem. The higher the
number of relationships a person has, the lower their trust in the state’s
institutions should be.
Since I have already discussed the relationship between institutional
trust and interpersonal trust, I will only mention here that interpersonal trust
(coded 0 for those who do not trust other people and 1 for those who trust
others) should have a significant positive effect on institutional trust: a person
6
Factor analysis (ML – Oblimin) extracts a single factor that explains 64.7% of the
variation. KMO = 0.790. Cronbach Alpha = 0.817. The variable ranges between 0 and 36.
7
The correlation between the two components is 0.526. The variable ranges between 0 and 6.
8
Factor analysis (ML – Oblimin) extracts a single factor that explains 42% of the
variation. KMO = 0.873. Cronbach Alpha = 0.827. The variable ranges between 0 and 9.
125
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
who believes that most people can be trusted is a more trusting person by its
nature.
Psychological factors
The way a respondent evaluates control over his/her own life is an
indicator of locus of control. The variable I use is a 10-point scale, ranging from
0 (complete lack of control over one’s own life) to 9 (complete control over
personal life). People who feel they do not have control over their own life have
an external locus of control, associated with unrealistic expectations from the
state. If such a person cannot solve their own problems then it will expect the
state, through its institutions, to solve these problems. Flooding victims are a
good example in this case. Losing one’s house during a flood is interpreted as
inevitable and when this actually happens people ask the state’s institutions
(from the city hall to the president) to help them, without even thinking that not
the state but people themselves should be responsible for having an insurance
against such a risk. It is easy to guess how much trust these people have in the
state’s institutions. People having an internal locus of control will first try to
solve their problems by themselves and will ask for help only if they fail. It is
the latter group that should have higher levels of institutional trust.
The second variable in this group measures generalized satisfaction, as
an additive score composed of three indicators (subjective evaluation of
happiness, satisfaction with life, and satisfaction with how one lives) showing
how satisfied a respondent is with their own life9. High levels of satisfaction
should be associated with high levels of institutional trust.
Evaluations
Institutional trust can also be influenced by how respondents evaluate
the current situation (theirs or that of others) compared to the past and by how
they evaluate their future situation. Starting from the literature, I include in this
group four variables corresponding to the pocketbook and sociotropic theories
(for more details, see Fiorina 1981, Kiewiet 1983, and Markus 1988). The four
variables are: evaluations of the current personal situations compared to the
previous year (retrospective pocketbook), evaluations of the personal situation
next year compared to the current one (prospective pocketbook), evaluations of
the current local situation compared to the previous year (local sociotropic), and
evaluations of the current national situation compared to the previous year
(national sociotropic). In all four cases positive evaluations should lead to
higher levels of institutional trust, although it is unlikely that all four variables
will have significant effects in the same model.
9
Factor analysis (ML – Oblimin) extracts a single factor that explains 69.5% of the
variation. KMO = 0.703. Cronbach Alpha = 0.780. The variable ranges between 0 and 9.6.
126 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Institutional trust – victim of the postcommunist transition
The effect of the efficiency of the object of trust is captured by the last
variable in the model, evaluations of cabinet’s activities in different areas
(standard of living, public order, jobs, agriculture, privatization, health,
education, housing, industry, and environmental protection) 10. Although all
variables included in this index refer to the cabinet’s activities, it should be
noted that the cabinet is the state’s main representative and that its actions in
different areas are mediated by different institutions. In this case, this indicator
can be interpreted as an evaluation of the state’s institutions. When people
decide whether or not to trust these institutions, they take into account the
previous results of the institutions’ actions. Positive results should be rewarded
with more trust, while negative results should be penalized with a decrease of
trust. Using Easton’s terms (Easton 1965, 1975), this variable is an indicator of
specific support for the state’s institutions.
10
Factor analysis (ML – Oblimin) extracts a single factor that explains 52.7% of the
variation. KMO = 0.913. Cronbach Alpha = 0.900. The variable ranges between 0 and 30.
127
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Results
Figures 1-3 present the evolution of trust in the four types of institutions
described above, between 1993 and 2005. The values in these figures represent
the percentage of people who declared having much or very much trust in the
institutions. What do these figures tell us about Romania’s institutions in 2005?
There is a clear ranking of the four types of institutions: traditional
institutions enjoy the highest level of trust (around 85%), followed by the
international institutions (with an average of about 60%), the civil society
institutions (45% average trust), and, in the last position, the state’s institutions
(only 33% of the Romanians trust them). The results for trust in the state’s
institutions are worrying: after functioning for 15 years, they still have not
managed to convince the citizens to trust them. These results are consistent with
Uslaner and Bădescu’s conclusions, who argue that it is exactly in those cases
where trust is needed the most that trust is almost inexistent (Uslaner and
Bădescu, 2003: 221).
The fact that citizens have the highest level of trust in non-state
institutions confirms Sztompka’s ideas (Sztompka 2002: 5-6). In fact, many of
the functional substitutes of trust identified by Sztompka can be found in the
Romanian society: the high level of trust in the church is an indicator of
providentialism, high levels of trust in international institutions indicate the
externalization of trust, while the high levels of trust in political actors such as
Corneliu Vadim Tudor, Gigi Becali, or Traian Băsescu, actors who always play
the role of a severe but correct pater familias, indicate the replacement of trust
with paternalism.
The 2005 data show that two of the main institutions of the state
represent the limits of trust in the state’s institutions. At one end, more than half
of the Romanians trust the presidency. At the other end, only 13% of the
Romanians trust the political parties. Since data for trust in these institutions in
the previous years are not available the evolution of trust cannot be estimated.
In the case of the presidency, it is possible that the high level of trust recorded
in 2005 was influenced, to a certain extent, by the high level of trust in its
incumbent, Traian Băsescu. The same interpretation applies in the case of the
city hall, which seems to benefit from a similarly high level of trust in 2005: the
city hall is also a highly personalized institution, as a result of its identification
with the mayor.
100
City hall
Police
Public servants
75 Courts
Cabinet
Parliament
50
25
0
1993 1997 1999 2005
With the exception of the city hall11, in all other cases institutional trust
decreases over time. It should also be noted that trust in the state’s central
institutions (political parties, parliament, and the cabinet) is lower than trust in
local institutions (police and courts) in all years included in the analysis. This
difference can be explained, in part, by the fact that citizens have more direct
contacts with the local institutions compared to the central institutions. If this is
true, trust in central institutions is based how their activities are reported, either
by other people or by the mass media (and, as we know, good news have a
reduced chance of being published or broadcasted by the mass media12).
In the case of civil society institutions, the 2005 data do not show
significant differences between trust in NGOs and trust in the television: almost
half of the population has trust in these institutions. The available data indicate
the evolution of trust over time for only two institutions in this group. In the
case of trade unions there is some variation over time, but the difference
between average trust in 1993 and 2005 is not significant. In both years about
30% of the population has trust in trade unions. Trust in newspapers has
11
In this case data are available only for 1993 and 2005, and the two years are not fully
comparable: in 2005 respondents were asked about trust in the city hall, while in
1993the question was referring to local authorities, which can include not only the city
hall but also the prefecture or other local representatives of national institutions.
12
For more details on the role of mass media in reducing trust in the state’s institutions,
see Cappella and Jamieson 1997.
129
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
100
Television
Charitable NGOs
Environmental NGOs
Women NGOs
75
Newspapers
Trade unions
50
25
0
1993 1997 1999 2005
The traditional institutions (the church and the army) are the most
trusted institutions in Romania. More than four out of five Romanians trust
these institutions, with a slight increase of trust in the church. Given the
characteristics of these institutions (strict hierarchy, combined with respect for
order in the case of the army and ownership of the absolute truth in the case of
the church), excessive trust in them, coupled with low levels of trust in more
democratic institutions, could be interpreted as a sign that Romanians have not
developed yet a democratic culture.
Although this interpretation may be true, trust in the traditional
institutions is not the best indicator to support such a conclusion. For instance,
similar levels of trust in the church and the army can also be observed in the
case of American citizens, who can be described in many ways, but not as
lacking a democratic culture. In a modern society (I do not discuss here how
modern the Romanian society is) the main function of the two institutions is
symbolic; their image in the public’s mind is that of a citizens’ protector
(physical protection in the case of the army and spiritual protection in the case
of the church).
100
75
50
Church
25
Army
UN
EU
NATO
0
1993 1997 1999 2005
131
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
excessive bureaucracy are two of the most important problems the EU faces, at
least in the European public’s perceptions. In the case of the new member
countries, these problems are aggravated by the unrealistic expectations their
citizens had during the pre-accession period.
What is the general image offered by these results? A first conclusion
shows that the most trusted institutions are those that are quite separated from
what we usually understand by state: Romanians have the most trust in
traditional institutions, followed by extra-state institutions, then in civil society
institutions, and only then in the state’s institutions. Following the evolution of
trust over time, the main conclusion is that the state’s institutions are the only
ones that lose trust: they fail in convincing the public they are doing their job.
This should not be a surprising conclusion, given that the mass media is
reporting almost daily stories about the difficulties different institutions have in
following the law. The examples vary from business deals between politicians
and state institutions that cannot be explained by the rules of the market
economy, to businessmen that are released from prison because they develop
serious illnesses as soon as they are imprisoned, to tenders whose results are
known before the decision is made, to different judicial decisions in identical
trials, to custom officers that are able to build houses only from their civil
servants income, to students that are able to buy the subjects for the
baccalaureate exams, to patients that are left to die on the street because the
doctors are sending them from one hospital to another, to the whole leadership
of a political party supporting a colleague by joining him on his way to an
interrogation in a corruption case, to MPs sleeping in their seats or reading
newspapers during parliamentary debates, to a prime minister receiving a
fabulous inheritance from an aunt that made some business deals that MBA
holders dream about, to a president who insults journalists, and to another
president who gets out of a pub, gets behind the wheel, and drives home to the
presidential palace (and who also ends up insulting journalists). Whether these
stories are true or not or whether they can be justified or not is less important
because once the mass media has reported them, the public uses them to revise
their opinions about the institutions that are involved.
I have discussed so far the way institutional trust has evolved since
1993. What are the factors that influence the level of institutional trust? The
answer I offer is based on the theoretical model presented at the beginning of
the chapter. Tables 1-4 present the results of regression analyses having as
dependent variables institutional trust in the four types of institutions13.
13
I estimated the models in SPSS 14.0.2. using the OLS (Ordinary Least Squares)
regression. The starting model includes as independent variables only the socio-
economic characteristics of the respondents. For each group of variables I introduced in
the analysis, I estimated a new model. The coefficients in the table are unstandardized
regression coefficients (b). The last row in the table (R2 change) shows the increase in
132 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Institutional trust – victim of the postcommunist transition
the explanatory power of the current model compared to the previous model. The
coefficients on this row are a measure of the importance of different groups of variables
in explaining diffuse support for democracy. For instance, in Table 1, Model 6 differs
from Model 5 by the variable of evaluations of cabinet’s activities. By adding this
variable, compared to Model 5, the explanatory power of Model 6 increased with 7.3%,
from 14.9% to 22.2%.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Table 1 Trust in the state’s institutions (2005)
135
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
from the state, it is possible that trust in its institutions is influenced by cultural
factors that are not included in the model.
The weak performance of this model can also be explained by the fact
that civil society in communist Romania was severely underdeveloped. If
Poland had Solidarność, which managed to attract ten million members, if
Czechoslovakia had Charta 77, which played a crucial role in the Velvet
Revolution, if in Hungary the population mobilized against the communist
regime in 1956, such movements were stopped in Romania before they could
develop.
The results in Table 3 refer to trust in the church and the army. The
final model explains approximately 21% of the variation of trust in traditional
institutions, most of it being explained by only two groups of variables: socio-
economic characteristics and value (these two explain 19%).
Just like in the model explaining trust in the state’s institutions, age,
education, and the size of the locality have significant effects on trust: older
people, with low levels of education, and who live in rural areas have more trust
in the church and the army than young, educated urbanites. The most important
difference is given by the coefficients for religion and ethnicity, which have
137
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
significant effects in this model. Romanians have more trust in the church,
compared to people of other ethnicities. Similarly, Christian Orthodox
respondents have more trust in traditional institutions than people belonging to
other religions.
If we consider the connections that exist in the public’s psyche between
the idea of a Romanian state and the church and the army, as well as the fact
that religion seems to be one of the main components included in the definition
of being Romanian, then it is simple to understand why those belonging to the
majority group trust these institutions more. The respondent’s religiosity also
increases trust in the church and the army. The other variables included in the
model either do not have significant effects or have effects that are statistically
significant but that can be ignored.
The final model in the analyses presented in Table 4 explains 13.6% of
the variation of trust in international institutions. If in the previous models
gender did not have a significant effect on the level of trust, in this case,
compared to women, men have more trust in international institutions. It is
possible this effect is resulting from the fact that men tend to be more interested
in foreign affairs, obtaining, thus, more information about the international
institutions, information that can increase their level of trust. The remaining
socio-economic characteristics do not distinguish between different levels of
trust in international institutions.
Among the group of variables indicating the respondents’ values,
interest for politics is the only one having a significant (positive) effect. The
evaluation variables are the most important predictors in the model: the
evaluations of the personal situation and of the national situation can change the
level of trust by up to a point. Similarly, the evaluation of the cabinet’s activities
can modify the level of trust by up to three points. Comparing the results
presented in Tables 2 and 4, it can be observed that trust in civil society
institutions and trust in international institutions have similar determinants
(which was expected, given that the two dependent variables are correlated at
0.523).
Conclusions
As I have shown in this chapter, there are clear differences in
institutional trust, depending on the type of institutions that are analyzed, both
with respect to the level of trust and with respect to the determinants of trust.
The 19 institutions included in the analysis can be grouped, theoretically, into
four distinct categories, solution that is confirmed by the results: state
institutions, civil society institutions, traditional institutions, and international
institutions. Each of the four types has a series of characteristics that distinguish
139
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
it from the others. The state’s institutions are primarily institutions with
attributions in the political and legal domains. Civil society institutions define
themselves by opposition to the state. Traditional institutions symbolize the
state and are characterized by strict hierarchies (for a similar interpretation of
the church and the army, see Sandu 1999 and Voicu 2005). Finally,
international institutions are external actors.
These differences are reflected at the public level in different levels of
institutional trust. Romanians have the highest levels of trust in traditional
institutions, followed by international institutions, civil society institutions, and
the state’s institutions. The state’s institutions are, at the same time, the only
ones that lose trust over time. These results, combined, suggest a significant
crisis of trust in the state. If this crisis continues for a sufficiently long period of
time, it can generate problems for the democratic system in Romania. Trust in
the state’s institutions can be interpreted as specific support for democracy.
From this perspective, long periods of reduced specific support can contaminate
diffuse support for democracy (for a detailed discussion of this perspective, see
the chapter on democratization in this volume). Fortunately, the low levels of
trust in the state’s institutions are strongly influenced by how people and mass
media evaluate the institutions’ performance, suggesting that the improvement
of institutional performance can lead to an increase of institutional trust.
One should also keep in mind that the decrease of trust in the state’s
institutions is not unique to Romania. Similar trends have been observed both in
the former communist countries and in developed democracies from the
Western world. There are, however, significant differences related to the causes
of this decreasing trend. In the established democracies the decrease of trust in
the state’s institutions is determined primarily by changes in the citizens’
expectations. Low levels of trust indicate, in these countries, the existence of a
significant number of “critical citizens” (see Norris 1999) or “discontent
democrats” (see Dalton 2005). In Romania (and, probably, in the other new
democracies as well) the decrease of trust in the state’s institutions is
determined primarily by the institutions’ inefficient functioning. Thus, while
citizens of the established democracies have been satisfied with the institutions
of the state and know they can function better, the experiences of the
postcommunist citizens with the institutions of the state have generally been
negative, leading to a skeptical attitude toward the institutions’ abilities.
How will institutional trust evolve in Romania? The results in Table 1
show that an important part of the variation of trust in the state’s institutions is
positively influenced by the citizens’ evaluations of their personal situation, of
the national situation, and of institutional performance. During the last years,
one could observe signs of improvement both in the state of the national
economy and in the performance of the institutions. If these improvements will
continue, then one can expect a reversal of the decreasing trend that has
characterized trust in the state’s institutions starting with 1990 and the
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143
Religiosity and Religious Revival during
the Transition Period in Romania
MĂLINA VOICU
comments on the obtained results, while the final part is mainly a discussion on
both results and their deriving implications.
145
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
147
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
extent to which the state does not intervene and allows the market of religious
goods to develop freely, the latter attracts more and more people towards
religion. If the market is monopolized by one single dominant religion
supported by the state, like in the Northern Protestant states, the offer is very
limited, and those who do not find the elements that should satisfy their spiritual
needs in the dominant religion tend to distance themselves from religion and
church.
The situation of Eastern countries during the communist regime was a
special one from this point of view. On the one hand, the market of religious
goods was blocked by the communist regime which has encouraged in some
country’s religious monopolies of certain churches, like the case of the
Orthodox Church in Romania or Russia. On the other hand, the communist
government was attempting to impose its own religion – scientific atheism
(Froese, 2004a, 2004b). The communist period represented a drawback for the
religious market, but the liberalization that took place after 1990 opened the
market for new religious institutions, so that individuals had the possibility of a
wider choice. Nevertheless, Inglehart and Norris (2004) show that the analysis
of empirical data does not support this hypothesis. A similar conclusion was
reached by Halman and Draulans (2004) who tested the supply-side theory in
the case of European countries.
Beyond the effect of secularization and religious market liberalization,
the uplifting of the restrictions imposed by the communist regime on religion
had an expected impact on individual religiosity. The fall of the Marxist
orientation regimes created the possibility of public manifestation of religiosity
and opened the way for religious education and propaganda. The emergence of
discussions on religious topics in the media, as well as the setting up of a
religious educational system allowed the penetration, at the population level, of
religious knowledge and created the premises for religious revival. Beyond the
effects of economic decrease or of the liberalization of the market of religious
goods, the uplifting of the restrictions imposed on religious practice may have
had a contribution to the triggering of religious revitalization.
By applying the facts presented above to the Romanian case, one may
state that, taking into account the thesis of secularization under the influence of
social development, one should expect Romania’s level of religiosity to be
superior to that of strongly industrialized countries in Central and Eastern
Europe, like the Czech Republic or Eastern Germany. If the level of religiosity
depends on the level of social development, then Romania will be more
religious than more developed countries and less religious than the less
developed ones. However, one must keep in mind that human and social
development does not just refer to more money, but to a more extended human
capital. The analysis carried out in this chapter shall relate the level of
religiosity not only to material welfare indicators, but also with those of human
development.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Lytle, 1998; Stan & Turcescu, 2000; Gillet, 2001; Meyendorff, 1996). Although
oppressed by the political power, the Orthodox Church submitted to the
government, following the byzantine tradition, and managed to overcome the
communist experiment with smaller losses, as compared to other churches.
Besides, Romanians often associate the idea of orthodoxy to that of nation, as
Orthodox Christianity is strongly linked to the Romanian nation in the
collective imagination (Gillet, 2001; Gheorghe, 2004; Stan, Turcescu, 2000;
Franklin Lytle, 1998). Both the special situation of the Orthodox Church during
communism and the association of orthodox religion to national ideas
contributed, to a certain extent, to the preservation of a high level of religiosity
in Romania, towards the end of the 20th century.
Unfortunately, these two factors are difficult to translate in quantity
measures that would allow their use as predictors of a statistics analysis.
Nevertheless, we considered that they couldn’t be ignored when we attempted
to explain why Romanians believe in God and grant a higher importance to
religion than other Europeans. The analysis carried out in this chapter will
follow the evaluation of religious value orientation in Romanians, as compared
to other European people, as well as its variation in time. The analysis will
attempt to establish which elements are the ones influencing the degree of
religiosity of a people. We shall bare in mind a few contrasting hypotheses
explaining the level of religiosity, mainly the association between religiosity
and the level of social development, as well as the connection between the
religious diversity of a country and the religious values shared by the
population. By the same token, we shall try to find explanatory factors for the
religious revitalization that was reported in Central and Eastern Europe, by
using similar theoretical references.
1
See Halman (2001) for details about the research.
150 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Religiosity and Religious Revival during the Transition Period in Romania
the cumulative effect of the respective factors. We must mention the fact that
the analyses included in the present chapter were carried out at the level of a
unit, mainly, the country, the purpose being that of finding the elements that
make Romanians more religious than other people, in general. We did not
search for what influences a persons’ religious orientation, at an individual
level. On the other hand, in the context of this paper the emphasis does not lie
on explaining the degree of religiousness in other European people, but on the
private case of Romania and the transversal comparison which serves us as a
explanatory instrument.
The data analysis implied the use of two types of variables: dependent
variables, whose variation we want to explain and predictors, meaning variables
with an explanatory role in the analysis schema. The dependent variables used
were: religiosity and religious revival.
Religiosity represents the latent dimension of religious belief. This is a
reality we cannot measure directly. Religious values are translated, nevertheless,
in attitudes and behaviors. Beyond the behaviorist indicators of religiosity, the
attitudes exhibited towards the different components of the religious system
(goods, persons, dogmas) allow us to evaluate the individuals’ religious values.
Thus, the proper way of measuring religiosity resides in identifying the factors
determining the common variation of the variables referring to the attitudes
towards religious objects. The statistic method through which it can be done is
represented by factorial analysis.
The specific problem raised by comparative research in this case is
related to the possibility of identifying a way of measuring religious belief that
would be valid for all societies considered in the analysis. In order to come up
with an indicator of religiosity that should be valid for all countries, irrespective
of the moment in time when it was measured, we used a technique of data
reducing, the type of factorial confirmatory analysis. Consequently, we built up
a factorial model and carried out the analysis on the entire set of data, at one
moment in time. Then, keeping the loadings of the factors at a constant level,
that of the values resulted from the first model, we used the model for each
country and calculated the index of fit, thus making sure that I was using the
same measurement for religiosity in all countries and that I was measuring the
same thing in all cases. I then repeated the analysis for different moments in
time (1990 and 2000), making sure that the measurements were equivalent in
the different years I had considered in the analysis. A table with the indicators
of the fit of the model for each country included in the analysis at different
moments in time can be found at the end of this chapter (Table 3).
151
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Diagram 1. The factorial structure of religiosity (factorial confirmatory analysis)
The Importance of
e1
I in personal
religion t t lilife
i iviata
l
,80
The Importance of God in personal
e2 lifel ,89
Religiosity e5
,58
proves its validity:, and indicates that the factorial structure is similar in both
waves of the research. Also, separately using the model for each country
included in the data sets for each year of research (1990 and 2000), it proved its
adequacy in each case. Therefore, one may state that the model correctly
indicates the degree of religiousness for each society, such that one may make
both cross-country, as well as longitudinal comparisons. Also, the model proved
to be adequate for the Romanian WVS 2005 data set, as the appendix shows.
We must mention that the indicator has been rescaled and it takes values from 0
to 100, where 0 stands for the absence of religious belief and 100 is a maximal
religious value orientation.
Religious revival is measured by a number of indicators, each of them
having a correspondent in the dimensions of religious involvement. Practically,
three dimensions of religious revival where constantly kept in mind: belief,
practice and affiliation. Consequently, religious revitalization was made
operational by measuring the variation between the average of the index of
religiosity for each country in 1990 and 2000, the variation of religious public
practice in each country in 1990 and 2000 and the variation of religious non-
affiliation in each country in 1990 and 2000. The practice in public space was
measured by using a standard indicator: attending church at least once a month.
In order to study the dynamics and the dimension of religious affiliation we
used a non-affiliation indicator, as from the data gathered previously we knew
that the level of religious affiliation was very high in Romania.
The predictors used in this chapter represent indicators for three series
of different phenomena, corresponding to the research hypotheses we have
presented above. In order to make a country’s level of social development
operational we used three indicators. Starting from the idea that development
does not solely refer to money and economic growth, three indicators were
introduced in the analysis: the GDP for 2001, an indicator of economic
development, the average of the higher educated population in the total of the
population and the average life expectancy, the last two being indicators of the
human capital stock of a society. Moreover, in order to measure the variations
of the economic situation in a 10 year period I used the growth of the GDP
between 1990 and 2000 as an indicator.
Religious concentration was measured by borrowing an indicator from
economic research– Herfindahl - Hirschman Index. It represents a widely used
measure in the religious sociology survey, investigating the degree of monopoly
on the religious market (see Inglehart, Norris, 2004; Halman, Draulans, 2004).
In economy, this index is used to measure concentration on the economic
market. In the case of the religious market, things are somewhat similar. The
∑
formula on which the index is based is 10 ∗ s i2 , where s i2 represents the
percentage of a religious group out of the total population. When the market is
in a monopoly situation, the value of the index tends to go towards 1000, while
when the market is shared by several denominations, the value of the index
153
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
decreases. Small values of the index show the existence of a pluralism situation,
while high values indicate the existence of monopoly. In the analysis carried out
in this chapter the initiated value of the index was divided by 100 to facilitate
the interpretation of the results.
One last indicator refers to the change which occurred in post-
communist societies after 1990, a change that could have favored religious
revitalization. An indicator of this change is the inclusion of the respective state
to the group of post-communist countries. This indicator is a relatively weak
one because it does not directly refer to the uplifting of the restrictions imposed
under the communist regime, but it is a marker of the processes and evolutions
which took place in these countries after 1990.
Eastern Germany
Czech Republic
Denmark
Estonia
Sweden
France
Netherlands
Slovenia
United Kingdom
Bulgaria
Hungary
Luxembourg
Belgium
Russia
West Germany
Latvia
Spain
Finland
Belarus
Iceland
Ucraine
Austria
Lituania
Slovakia
Greece
Croatia
Italy
Portugal
Irland
Poland
Romania2000
Romania 2005
Malta
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90
Figure 2 The variation of the average level of religiosity between 1990 and 2000 in Europe
East Germany
Great Britain
Irelanda
Spain
Hungary
France
Poland
Netherlands
Icelanda
Slovenia
Denmark
Austria
Belgium Secularizationm Religious revival
Czech Republic
West Germany
Finland
Sweden
Italy
Slovakia
Portugal
Latvia
Romania
Bulgaria
-10 -5 0 5 10 15
Source: EVS 1990-1993, 1999-2000
155
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 3 Variation of average level of religiosity by cohorts, between 1990 and 1999 in
Romania
90
80
70
60
50
40
30
1993
20 2000
2005
10
0
born after born between born between born between born between born between born between born before
1984 1974 - 83 1964 -73 1954-63 1944-53 1934-43 1924-33 1923
religious belief. They were only 5 years old or less in 1989, and were practically
socialized in an environment allowing the free manifestation of religiousness.
All data converge shows that Romania religiosity is not declining, but on the
contrary, it tends to increase.
The data referring to the non-affiliation gives other evidence suggesting
that the Romanian society is strongly oriented towards religion. The percentage
of those declaring non-affiliation significantly decreased between 1993 and
2005, nowadays almost everyone declaring to belong to a religious
denomination (see Figure 5). As compared to other European societies, only
Malta displayed a higher level of affiliation in 2000 (Halman, 2001). However,
since Romania orthodoxy used to represent an important role in defining and
preserving national identity, the high level of religious affiliation also comes as
a consequence of expressing this identity.
1993: 6%
6%
5%
4%
3%
1997: 2% 1999: 2%
2%
2003: 1%
1%
2005: 0,4%
0%
157
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
exceptions (the UK, Portugal, Austria), the rest of the societies experienced
secularization, smoothly decreasing the religious affiliation the dominant
tendency being the dominant process. One may notice that, overall, from the
point of view of religious affiliation, the 1990s were marked by religious revival
in the Eastern Europe and a continuation of secularization in the Western
countries.
In Romania, the religious revival had different paces during the 1990s.
There is a sharp increase of church frequenting immediately after the
communist breakdown, but after the mid-90s, the increase stopped, and no
significant change occurred (see Figure 7). During the whole period, the
religious practice increased from 30% to 45%. The initial increase, as well as
the later stagnation suggest that the latent religiosity, freed from the communist
constrains, became manifest at the beginning of the transition period. The
“religiosity stock” showed out, reaching a maximum, and then it remained at
this equilibrium point.
45%
1999
1997 2005
46% 2003
40% 45% 45%
43%
35%
30%
1993
25%
31%
20%
15%
10%
5%
0%
1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006
Figure 8. The variation of public religious practice between 1990 and 2000
Irland
Eastern Germany
Belgium
United Kingdom
Secularization
Poland
Netherlands
Hungary
France
Spain
Slovenia
Austria
Sweden
Czech Republic
West Gemany
Denmark
Italy
Iceland Religious revival
Finland
Portugal
Latvia
Slovakia
Bulgaria
Romania
-25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20
159
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
disappears but the model includes the average of the higher educated population
as a significant predictor. Consequently, the effect of the level of economic
development was not a real one, but it was in fact determined by the degree of
education of the population which determines and is, at its turn, determined by
the degree of economic development. In the third model we have replaced the
GDP from set of predictors with the average life expectancy (the two variables
cannot be simultaneously introduced in the regression for reasons of multi-
collinearity2), preserving the average of the higher educated population and
religious diversity in the model. In this case, too, the average of the higher
educated population is kept in the regression model as a significant predictor of
the degree social development, while the average life expectancy is eliminated
from the model. We may conclude that a populations’ level of religiosity
depends on its degree of development, but the main effect is not that of the
economic component of development, but the human capital, expressed by
means of the educational capital.
Regarding the three models as a whole, one may notice that religious
diversity is the predictor with the highest effect on the degree of religiosity of a
population. The degree of human development also plays an important part, but
the level of economic development does not have any impact when it is being
controlled for the effects of the educational stock. The models invalidate the
2
For all of the three models multi-colinearity was tested by Tolerance. For all predictors
included in the presented models Tolerance did not drop below 0,600, a fact which does
not indicate the multi-colinearity of the predictors.
161
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Malta
Romania
1,50
Poland
Irelanda
Italy Portugal
Croatia Greece
1,00 Slovakia
Lithuania
Religiosity
Ukraine
Icelanda
Austria
Belarus Finland
Latvia West Germany
Luxembourg Spain
Hungary
0,50 Slovenia
Netherlands
France
Sweden
Denmark
Czech Republic
Estonia
0,00
R Sq Linear = 0,349
East Germany
2,00
R Sq Linear = 0,293
Malta
Romania
1,50
Poland
Irelanda
Portugal
Croatia
Religiosity
Italy Greece
1,00 Slovakia
Lithuania
Austria
Icelanda
Ukraine
Belarus Finland
Spain
Russia Latvia
Luxembourg
0,50 Hungary
Netherlands
Bulgaria
Slovenia France
Sweden
Czech Republic
Denmark Estonia
0,00
Starting from the results of the three regressions we may discuss the
causes determining the existence of such a high level of religiosity in Romania.
We have seen that a population’s level of religiosity is the result of a
combination between the degree of religious pluralism and the stock of
educational capital. By considering Romania’s case, the respective model fitted
the existing situation pretty well. The graphics presented in Figure 4 and Figure
5 better illustrate what the results of the regression have revealed. The high
degree of religiosity in Romanians can by explained by the fact that the
religious market is almost a monopoly of the Orthodox Church and by the fact
that Romanians are among the European people with the lowest level of higher
education. Figure 4 presents the variation of religiosity according to religious
diversity. On the graphic, one may notice both the strong association of the two
variables and Romania’s position, in the right upper corner, next to Malta,
Poland, Ireland and Portugal, all states with one single denomination
dominating the religious market. Moreover, Figure 5 illustrates the relationship
between religiosity and the average of the higher educated population. Again,
Romania is situated next to Malta and Poland, in the upper left corner, among
163
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
countries with high religiosity and a low degree of higher educated population.
2005 WVS data support the above noticed tendency, showing a further increase
of religiosity, in a society with low religious diversity and few higher educated
people.
According to the presented results, the answer to the question, “Why
are Romanians among the most religious Europeans?” can be found in the
combination between the small religious diversity and the low average of higher
educated populations. These are the two factors which contribute decisively to
the explanation of the high level of religiosity in the Romanian population.
***p<0,001; **p<0,01
Data source: EVS 1993, 1999-2000.
By using a similar set of predictors to the one I have used to explain the
variations in the degree of religiosity, I have investigated the determinants of
religious revival which occurs mostly in ex-communist countries. The
difference from the previous models lied in the fact that the GDP used as
indicator for the level of economic growth was replaced by the GDP growth
1990-2000. While the first indicator referred to an existing state at a certain
moment in time, the second one reflected the transformations that had taken
place along a decade in the economic situation of the countries included in the
analysis. Moreover, I have also introduced a variable indicating the belonging to
the ex-communist countries in the set of predictors. By using as predictors the
growth of the GDP 1990-2000, the average of higher educated population,
religious diversity and the belonging to the group of ex-communist countries I
Conclusions
At the beginning of the millennium Romania is one of the most
religious countries in Europe, both from the point of view of religious practice,
as well as from that of belief and shared values. In a Europe that turns its face
from religion more and more, Romanians are not only among the most faithful
inhabitants of the continent, but the quantitative data demonstrate a religious
revival on several dimensions of religious involvement. The ‘90s brought up a
religious renewal in Romania and this fact had no effect on the uplifting of
restrictions the communist regime had imposed on religious practice or of the
increasing offer on the religious goods market, as one may think at a first
glance.
For European countries the degree of religiosity is the result of the
combination of two factors: the level of human development and the absence of
religious pluralism. What is important is not as much the level of economic
165
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
development, but the educational stock of the population. The more educated
the population of a country is, the lower religious belief becomes. Education
makes the surrounding world more predictable, easier to understand, and it
reduces the risks to which the individual is exposed, securing a better life for
him/her. On the other hand, the access to education takes away the “magic” of
the world, university people being more inclined to interpret the world
rationally and to know it through the logic of science. All of these reduce the
orientation towards a religious vision and decrease religiosity.
On the other hand, the data of the analysis do not support the supply-
side theory. On the contrary, it looks, as in the case of Europe, religious
diversity strongly influences the degree of religiosity, but the relation is
reversed. Reduced diversity encourages religious belief. The lack of direct
contact with other religions strengthens the main religion. The monopoly is
actually an advantage, instead of a disadvantage. One should bear in mind that
the level of religious faith is influenced by a combination of two factors and not
just by religious diversity. Indeed, Northern countries are under the conditions
of a religious monopoly, but they have a higher education level, which explains
the low religiosity.
In the case of Romania, the high level of religious faith originates in
both the situation of a religious semi-monopoly, in which the Orthodox Church
occupies the biggest share of the market, as well as in the small average of the
higher educated population. Why are the Romanians among the most religious
Europeans? The answer proved to be simple: because we have a very strong
Church and a reduced human capital. The religious revival reported in post-
communist societies is generated by the augmentation of risks and existential
insecurity. On the background of difficulties generated by economic recession,
an important number of people turned to religion so as to maintain their inner
balance. Romania suffered quite a lot during the transition period, as it had to
outgrow a moment of profound economic recession. This fact accounts, to a big
extent, the dimensions that religious revitalization was acquired in our country.
In this context the posterior evolutions of religious involvement and of faith in
Romania are very interesting. On the basis of the obtained results one should
expect that a better economic situation should bring about a long term
stagnation of religious revival and even a decrease of faith and religious
practice. But these are predictable only in the long run because values in general
and, implicitly, religious values, change slowly. The future researches may
validate or invalidate this prediction and should show us whether we are
heading towards secular Europe or we are developing a strongly religious
influenced culture.
Annex
Table 3 Indexes of fit of the factorial model in Diagram 1 for the countries
included in the analysis.
1990 2000
Country
RMSEA 1 CFI2 RMSEA CFI
Austria 0,088 0,993 0,063 0,996
Belgium 0,055 0,997 0,057 0,997
Bulgaria 0,092 0,991 0,070 0,995
The Czech
0,102 0,991 0,054 0,997
Republic
Croatia 0,146 0,983
Denmark 0,177 0,968 0,095 0,992
Estonia 0,142 0,980
France 0,046 0,998 0,063 0,996
Eastern Germany 0,057 0,997 0,121 0,987
Western Germany 0,053 0,998 0,111 0,990
Greece 0,122 0,986
Ireland 0,195 0,973 0,184 0,974
Iceland 0,160 0,978
Italy 0,086 0,994 0,120 0,998
Latvia 0,255 0,904 0,089 0,993
Lithuania 0,145 0,982
Luxemburg 0,097 0,991
Malta 0,145 0,924
Great Britain 0,074 0,995 0,082 0,993
Holland 0,100 0,991 0,083 0,994
Poland 0,193 0,975 0,180 0,977
Portugal 0,100 0,992 0,181 0,974
Romania 0,100 0,991 0,122 0,960
Russia 0,086 0,993
Slovakia 0,082 0,994 0,092 0,994
Slovenia 0,056 0,997 0,056 0,997
Spain 0,095 0,992 0,081 0,994
Sweden 0,165 0,972 0,134 0,981
Ukraine 0,079 0,994
Hungary 0,123 0,986 0,075 0,995
Romania 2005 RMSEA=0,108 CFI=0,997
Note: 1. The closer the value of RMSEA is to 0,000, the more adequate it is to the
empirical data. Given the dimensions of the samples and the number of variables in the
model, indexes smaller than 0.100 can be considered as valid.
2. The closer the value of the CFI is to 1.000, the more adequate the model is to the
empirical data. Given the dimensions of the samples and the number of variables in the
model, indexes are higher than 0.950 which indicate a satisfactory fit of the model.
167
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
References
Berger, Peter (1969) - The Sacred Cannopy: Elements of a Sociological Theory of
Religion. New York, Anchor Books
Bruce, Steve (1999) – “Modernization, Religious Diversity and Rational Choice in
Eastern Europe”, Religion, State and Society, vol. 27 (3/4), p. 265 – 276
Bruce, Steve (2001) – “The Supply-side Model of Religion: The Nordic and Baltic
States”, Journal for Scientific Study of Religion, vol. 40 (1), p. 32 – 47
Chaves, Mark (1994) – “Secularization as Declining Religious Authority”, Social
Forces, vol. 72(3), p. 749 – 774
Finke, Roger (1990) – “Religious de-regulation: origins and consequences”, Journal of
Church and State, vol. 32, p. 609 – 626
Finke, Roger, Stark, Rodney (1988) – “Evaluating the Evidences: religious Economies
and Sacred Canopies”, American Sociological Review, vol. 54, p.1054 – 1065
Franklin Lytle, Paula (1998) – “Religion and Politics in Eastern Europe”, Remet,
Sabrina (ed..) Eastern Europe: Politics, Culture and Society since 1989,
Bloomington, Indianapolis, Indiana University Press, , p. 304 – 329
Froese, Paul (2004a) – “After Atheism: An Analysis of Religious Monopolies in the
Post-communist World”, Sociology of Religion, vol. 65 (1), p. 57 – 75
Froese, Paul (2004b) – “Forced Secularization in Soviet Russia: Why an Atheistic
Monopoly Failed”, Journal for Scientific Study of Religion, vol. 43 (1), p. 35 – 50
Froese, Paul (2005) – “Secular Czechs and Devoted Slovaks: Explaining religious
differences”, Review of Religious Research, vol. 46 (3), p. 269 - 283
Gheorghe, Manuela (2004) – Religion and social change in Romania [Religie şi
schimbare socială în România], Iaşi, Axis Publisher House
Gheorghiu, Elena Iulia (2003) – „Religiosity and Christians in Post-communist
Romania” [„Religiozitate şi creştinism în România postcomunistă”],
Romanian Sociology [Sociologie Românească], nr. 3, p. 102 – 121
Gillet, Olivier (2001) – Religion and Nationalism. The Ideology of Romanian Orthodox
Church under the Communist Regime [Religie si naţionalism. Ideologia
Bisericii Ortodoxe Române sub religmul communist], Bucharest, Altfel
Company
Halman, Loek (2001) The European Values Study: The Third Wave. Tilburg, WORK,
Tilburg University
Halman, Loek, Draulans, Veerle (2004)- “Religious beliefs and practices in
contemporary Europe”, in Arts, Wil, Halman, Loek (eds.) - European Values
at the Turn of the Millennium, Boston: Brill, pp. 283-316
Iannaccone, Laurence (1991) – “The Consequences of Religious Market Structure”,
Rationality and Society, vol. 3, p. 156 – 177
Inglehart, Ronald (1971) – “The Silent Revolution in Europe: Intergenerational Change
in Post-Industrial Societies”, American Political Science Review, vol. 65, pp.
991-1017
Inglehart, Ronald (1990) – Culture Shift in Advanced Industrial Societies, Princeton
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and Political Change in 43 Societies, Princeton University Press
169
Family values in Romania and in Europe
RALUCA POPESCU
1
The source for all the macro-social data used in this chapter is from the Eurostat,
Statistical Office of the European Communities (http://epp.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/).
171
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
first marriage came to be almost 30. In Sweden it is 30.5 years for women and
32.9 years for men.
The pattern of early and universal marriage is still maintained in
Romania: the marriage rate is among the highest (6.56‰), in a slight ascending
tendency in the last years (compared to the lowest value of 5.85‰ in 2001) and
the average age at the first marriage is among the lowest in Europe, of 24.1
years for women and 27.5 years for men.
Given the fact that less and less people marry or delay the marriage, the
divorce stayed relatively constant in most of the countries, the average in the
EU countries being of 2 divorces per marriage. In Romania, in the last decades,
the value is relatively constant, at approximately 1.5 divorces per marriage.
Still, the researches that went further than simply comparing the
statistical data, demonstrate that we have to look with restraint at the pessimistic
predictions about the disintegration of the family and the disappearance of
marriage as a life contract. The unfavourable comparisons between present and
past can be misleading. The stability of the family may be a myth rather than a
historical reality. The researchers suggest that, centuries ago, the rates of the
successive marriages after the decease of one of the partners (in the context of a
high mortality rate) may be at the same height as the current ones successive to
divorce (Parkinson, 1993, p.12). Besides, the number of marriages that ended
with informal separations cannot be compared with the nowaday’s figures,
because at that time it was not recorded. The average duration of a current
marriage is comparable to the span of 100 years ago.
Due to woman’s emancipation and to her participation in the labour
market, in the context of recent value changes, more and more couples postpone
the moment of childbearing or they even renounce to have children. The
decrease of fertility under the replacement level, probably represents the most
important problem. Most often, the number of children that a woman can have
is reduced by postponing the moment of childbearing and, thus, by the
shortening the fertility period of time. The fertility at the level of EU countries
is at 1.52 children per woman, and in Romania of 1.32 children per woman. The
average age at the first child’s birth is 30 years old as well. In most countries,
this age is lower than the marriage age, in the context of the multiplication of
births outside the marriage. One third of the European children are born outside
the marriages and in some societies more than half of the new-born children are
in this situation (Island – 6%, Estonia – 58%, Sweden – 55%, Norway – 51%).
In Romania there is recorded average value of almost 30%.
political criterion. In the cathegory with highest scores we find countries from
former Yugoslavian space, more traditionalist countries like Turkey, Albania,
Malta, more conservative catholic countries like Iceland, Great Britain or
former socialist countries like Hungary. Levels comparable to the ones of
Romania can be found in Austria, Belgium, Norway, Slovakia, Denmark,
Finland, France, Spain (with values higher than 85%). The lowest scores are
registered in some socialist countries, especially in the former Soviet Union –
Russia, Belarus and the Baltic States – the only ones that, with the exception of
Germany, record values below 80%.
It is interesting to notice that in most of the countries it is considered
that the importance conferred to family should rise in the future, especially in
the countries which, at the moment, do not grant a very big importance to
family. Besides this, some other authors (Mihăilescu, 2000) noticed that “the
wish for the rise in the importance conferred to family is stronger in the
countries in which the changes in family models were deeper than in the
societies where these changes had a smaller role (...)” and the explanation could
refer to: “becoming aware of the difficulties produced by family changes and
the wish to strengthen the nuclear family or, on the contrary, to increase the
devotion to the new forms of family” (p.24). Analysing the experience of the
Western societies and, especially, of the Northern societies, it seems that the
individualization tendency rises up to a certain extent. Inglehart (1997) also
considers that postmodern value orientation is characterized, besides the
spreading of new values and lifestyles, also by the revalorization of tradition.
“The signs of a continuous individualization are counterbalanced by a rise in the
importance of the traditional values over the family structure, especially in some
of the most individualized states (...). We have got the impression that the
pendulum of individualization moves backwards, after the people had been
confronted with the consequences of the ideas that went too far” (Van der
Akker, Halman, de Moor, 1993, p. 109). The devotion to the family stays high
and it is expected to keep its values or to rise in the future.
The importance offered to family does not differ significantly according
to the individuals’ religiosity, such that for the greatest majority of the ones who
do not go to religious services, the family does not represent the most important
domain in their life. We can consider that the family represents a universal
human value, a fundamental component of the human existence.
In Romania, the attachment to family maintained a high level, being at
the same time the aspect of life that offers the biggest satisfaction to the
individuals. In the three waves, the importance conferred to the family kept high
constant values. There are not significant differences depending on sex,
education, job or the residential area. Still, the individuals’ age and marital
status influence the importance conferred to the family. For the youngsters, the
family is more important than for the old persons, as for the married persons or
for the ones who live in consensual unions compared to the persons who
Figure 1 The importance conferred to the family in the European countries (in the
present and in the future)
Source: EVS/WVS 1999-2001, for Romania WVS 2005. The vertical axis represents
the percentage of the ones who believe that the family will have a bigger importance in
the future. The horizontal axis represents the percentage of the ones who declare that the
family is “very important” or “important”.
175
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
100
90
1993 1999 2005
80
70
60
50
40
30
20
10
0
Family Work Religion Friends Leissure Politics
Note: The figures represent the cumulative percentage of the ones who answered
important and very important.
Source: EVS/WVS Romania 1993, 1999, 2005.
work on the second, a category to which the majority of the European countries
belong and “structure B”, where the family is on the first place and friends, on
the second. To the latter category, belong the states with postmaterialist values
(Inglehart 1997), for which friends and leisure time play a more important role
than work: Germany, Finland, Holland, Great Britain, North Ireland, Denmark
and Switzerland.
In the perspective of postmaterialist values, friends become the same
important as relatives. Friendships can manage to do things the family failed to
do; it represents a kind of “family that you construct”, “a family of choice”
(Hardyment, 2000, p.87). Granovetter (1974) demonstrated that friends,
neighbours, acquaintances play a very important role in the individual’s life and
even in the successful functioning of the family (Broderick, 1988, p.298),
ensuring crucial contact with the public sphere.
177
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 3. The share of population who declare that the marriage is an outdated
institution
16
14
12 14,3
12,5
10
8
8,6
6
4
2
0
1993 1999 2005
especially, they are permissive in what concerns the others than in what
concerns themselves: “Accepting the rise in the number of alternative relations
does not mean that people themselves will get involved in these kinds of
relations. Marriage is not considered indispensable anymore, but, at the same
time, marriage is still preferred (…); what changed in these areas of family life
was a rise of tolerance for the behaviours considered unacceptable before, but
not also a rise in the active involvement in such behaviours” (Elster, Halman, de
Moor, 1993, p.14).
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
2
In Robert’s Putnam terms regarding the two types of social capital: “bonding”
(relationships with the people like you, inside the affiliation group) and “bridging”
(useful relationships with individuals with different social statuses, outside the
affiliation group, with an important role in the individual fulfillment and social
development).
180 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Family values in Romania and in Europe
Table 1 Tolerance for aspects of family life and sexuality, on socio-demographic
criteria
How justifiable is:
Homo
Divorce Abortion Prostitution
sexuality
man 4.3 3.3 2.2 2.0
sex
woman 4.2 3.3 2.1 2.1
18-24 years old 4.6 3.5 2.6 2.7
25-34 years old 4.6 3.5 2.3 2.3
age
35-54 years old 4.6 3.7 2.3 2.2
55 or more years old 3.6 2.7 1.7 1.6
Elementary (up to 8 grades) 3.5 2.5 1.6 1.5
Secondary education (vocational
education 4.4 3.5 2.2 2.2
school, college)
Higher education (university
5.6 4.5 3.1 3.2
degree)
area of rural 3.6 2.7 1.8 1.7
residence urban 4.7 3.7 2.4 2.4
Total 4.2 3.3 2.1 2.1
Note: average values, on a scale from 1– never justifiable to 10 – always justifiable
Source: WVS Romania, 2005
3
The correlation coefficients are: divorce – abortion = 0,707/divorce – prostitution =
0,458/divorce – homosexuality = 0,385/prostitution homosexuality =0,686/prostitution
– abortion = 0,541/abortion – homosexuality = 0,485. All of them are significant at the
level p<0,0005.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
40%
20% 22%
15%
14%
10%
5%
0%
approve dissaprove it depends
183
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Consensual couples are not spread out in Romania. For the first time, in
the 2002 Census4 there were 828000 registered persons (only 3.9% of the total
population), 3.2% in the urban areas and 4.6% the in rural areas of people who
are living in such unions. The couples of this type represent 6.5% of all the
households. Only half of the ones who live in consensual unions are aged 20-34,
a category in which, in Western societies, cohabitations are the most numerous,
(hence, the name of “juvenile cohabitation” under which the phenomenon is
also known). The data in the WVS survey (2005) estimate an even lower
percentage of these ones, 2.8% of the investigated population declaring that
they live as if they were married. Analysing the socio-demographic
characteristics of this population (taking also into account that in the sample
there are few cases, so we cannot draw any conclusion), we can identify
surprising tendencies. Being an indicator of postmodern family lifestyles, the
higher percentage of the consensual unions in the rural areas or among the ones
with a low level of education (almost half have an elementary education) is
surprising. An important part of the population (a quarter) is represented by the
Roma people and they have low incomes (one third place in the first income
quintile). By age categories, only half of the persons who live in consensual
unions are younger than 35. The profile of the sample, similar to the one
described by the Census data, illustrates a heterogeneous composition of the
population who lives in unions in Romania.
In urban areas and especially in big cities, consensual informal unions
are more frequent with youngsters, the ones with a high level of education,
unmarried or divorced persons and with more pronounced postmaterialist value
orientations. In the rural areas we encounter cohabitations between persons of
different ages, rather single or widows and widowers, from Roma traditional
communities (they follow the pattern of the “marriage without certificate”,
established on the norms of the community and informally recognized, but
illegalized). Besides, the preference for unofficial family arrangements is
frequently found in poor communities, confronted with social disorganisation
processes. Therefore, we can estimate that the persons who live in consensual
unions in Romania form a heterogeneous class, which tends to polarize in two
different categories: one for which the cohabitation represents a contextual
option, a result of the adaptation to a problematic situation (family problems,
widowhood, the lack of a dwelling, the lack of incomes, disorganization) and
another one for which the consensual union represents a life choice, the
expression of a postmodern value orientation. It is difficult to approximate the
share of the two categories in the total number of unions of this type.
Even if the involvement in such relationships is not so spread out, the
tolerance for the unmarried couples who live together is high. Only 15%
4
According to the “Census of Population and Dwellings”, National Institute for
Statistics, 2002.
184 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Family values in Romania and in Europe
mentioned that they would not like to have such a couple among their
neighbours. Education induces significant differences, as it was expected; social
distance is more reduced in the case of the people with higher education (9%),
in comparison with the people without education (23%). The marital status also
influences the tolerance towards consensual unions. The persons who live in
unions, unmarried persons, are more tolerant in comparison with the persons
who are married, divorced, separated or widowed. Young persons are more
tolerant, but the difference from the other age categories is not statistically
significant.
The affection for/devotion to a stable relationship remains vey high. In
most of the European countries, the majority consider that a stable relationship
is necessary in order to be happy. As in the case of the perception of the
importance of the institution of marriage, former communist countries have the
highest values (above 80%). In Western countries and in Southern Europe
(Greece, Portugal, France and Italy) the belief in the ideal of a long-lasting
relationship is more encountered. The countries where the postmaterialist values
prevail (the Northern countries, Great Britain) record the lowest values (below
40%). In Holland only one fifth of the population considers that a stable relationship
is necessary for one’s own happiness. Comparatively, Romania presents one of the
highest agreements with this statement (approximately 85%).
Complementary, it is interesting to notice that among all the analysed
aspects regarding the tolerance, the strongest intolerance is the one for adultery,
the norm of the fidelity in the couple staying the same important as in the past.
In the sphere of intimate relationships, Europeans generally share the ideal of a
stable, self-sufficient relationship based on fidelity (given the fact that more and
more of the external constraints disappeared).
5
Finland confronts with a special situation – the profound economic crisis in the '90s
led to a strong recoil of the society to values of a traditional type.The family and the
church experienced a spectacular rise of their importance as social institutions in the
context of a return to traditional values (see the observations in the last chapter of this
work).
185
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
agree
50% strongly agree
45%
40%
25% 25%
20%
15%
16% 14%
10%
10%
5%
0%
1993 1999 2005
187
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
comparison with the percentage recorded in the 1999 wave. Despite this
alleviation, given the maintenance of the economic uncertainty, the worries for
the family life conditions remain widespread– approximately 80% of the people
answered that they are afraid or very afraid. The fears are more frequent for the
categories with higher responsibility in ensuring the economic function of the
family: for women, who traditionally are confronted with more household
duties, for the categories of age more active on the labour market, for the
persons living in urban areas and for the persons with a lower level of
education, more vulnerable during economic changes.
"libertine" (9)
conservative (2)
rejecting single mothers (8)
tolerant & inidvidualistic (4)
former socialist (14)
Note: The items were calculated on a scale from 1 to 10. The figures in the table
represent averages of the indicators on the rows by the cluster of countries (on the
columns). The higher a value is, the stronger the average support for the statement in the
cluster is. The maximum values on each row are marked with bold and minimum values
are marked with italics and they are also underlined.
6
We used both the Hierarchical Cluster Analysis and K-means Cluster from SPSS. The
calculation method of the distances between cases (countries) was the square Euclidian
distance. For measuring distances between clusters, Ward and BAVERAGE were used,
the result confirming the stability of the solution with 5 clusters (adjusted Rand
index=0.78). The solution explains (ETA2k=) 64% from the variation of the analyzed
items.
189
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Conclusions
The family represents the aspect of life that offers the highest satisfaction to
the individuals and is followed by work and religion. On the background of
economic improvements in the last years, the fear of aggravation of life conditions
of the family record a descending tendency. Despite this alleviation, because of the
economic uncertainty maintaining, the worries regarding the family life conditions
are widespread, being more frequent at the categories that have a higher
responsibility in assuring the economic function of the family (among women, who
are traditionally concerned with more household duties, for the economically active
age categories), for the people in urban areas and for persons with a lower level of
education, more vulnerable during economic changes.
Marriage does not represent an outdated institution, but the share of the
people agreeing with this statement is rising, especially in the youngsters’ case,
but also for a distinct category of the population with low human capital. On the
background of the consolidation of some processes of family disorganization in
certain poor communities, considering marriage an outdated institution must be
interpreted as an indicator of adjustment to poor living conditions and social
disorganization, rather than an expression of some value changes.
The devotion to a stable relationship remains very high in comparison with
the other European countries. The alternative family patterns – single mothers or
consensual couples – are not widespread and their significance can be contextually
different. The cohabiting persons in Romania form a heterogeneous class, which
tends to polarize in two distinct categories: one for which cohabitation represents
more a contextual choice, the result of adjustment to a problematic situation and
another one for which a consensual union represents a life choice, the expression of
a postmodern value orientation, being difficult to approximate the percentage of the
two categories among the overall consensual unions.
The agreement with the statement that being a housewife can be as
fulfilling for a woman as having a career is quite low and finds itself in a
descending tendency. The housewife is less and less valorised, especially by
youngsters and persons with higher education.
Romania presents among the lowest values at all the aspects concerned
with tolerance, a fact which makes it similar to the conservative countries. The
most open and tolerant attitude, with post-materialistic family values is
characteristic rather to a minority: young people in the urban areas, with higher
education and average incomes. The religious factor, the low level of education
for the overall population , the high share of the rural areas in which the
traditional values prevail, low level of trust in people and the scarce relational
social capital represent explanations for the Romanians’ conservative attitude.
The family value pattern is changing, but the postmodern tendencies are
weak, characteristic rather to a minority. The importance of family remains very
high, placing it on the first position in the values hierarchy and representing the
domain that confers the greatest satisfaction to individuals.
191
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
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1
I would like to thank Duane Alwin, Dumitru Sandu, and Claudiu Tufiş for their
valuable suggestions and comments on earlier drafts of this chapter.
193
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
mechanisms that could explain this relationship. The main starting point for the
model is Kohn’s and his colleagues’ work (Kohn, 1963; Pearlin and Kohn,
1966; Kohn, 1969; Slomczynski et al., 1981; Kohn et al., 1983; Kohn et al.,
1986; Kohn et al., 1990). In the third part of this chapter, I will detail the
methodology used for the statistical analyses and then present the estimated
empirical model results, using the 2005 Romanian data from the World Values
Survey (WVS). Since some of the theoretical assumptions present in the child-
rearing values literature may be generalized to a variety of national and cultural
contexts, while others may be sensitive to differences between national
contexts2, the present empirical analysis is mainly an exploratory one, aiming to
describe relationships in the present Romanian context. I will conclude by
reviewing some of the more important results of the analysis presented in this
chapter and discuss possible implications of these results.
In the U.S. context, empirical results (see, for example: Kohn, 1963;
1969) suggest that working class parents place more value on their children’s
ability to conform to a set of externally imposed rules, while middle class
parents focus more on developing their children’s ability for self-control and on
the development of a set of internal behavior guidelines. Parental values3 reflect
parents’ ambitions for their children and their conceptions about the most
efficient strategies to fulfill these ambitions. Two social status components
(education and occupation) play an important part in the formation of parents’
views on what constitutes an efficient strategy, through their effects on
intellectual flexibility and occupational autonomy (Kohn, 1969; Alwin, 1989).
First, based on the assumption that higher schooling levels focus more
on developing abstract and critical thinking, people with higher educational
attainments will tend to examine externally imposed rules and consequences of
following these rules in specific situations more closely. Kohn (1963)
associates higher educational levels with greater intellectual flexibility, Wright
and Wright (1976) with enlightening social experiences (such as reading,
traveling, or being active in various associations and organizations), Alwin
(1984) with openness to the idea to think for oneself, and Bowles and Gintis
(1976) find the dichotomy between conformity and autonomy precisely in the
organization of the schooling experience (the first school years versus medium
and high levels of schooling). The link between education and parental values is
thus explained by the degree of intellectual flexibility.
2
The conclusions regarding the relationship between social class or social status and
child-rearing values in the US are confirmed in other national contexts as well (Inkeles,
1960; Pearlin and Kohn, 1966; Kohn, 1969). Most of the analyses in the child-rearing
values literature refer to Western capitalist countries, but the relationship was also
confirmed to exist in Poland (Slomczynski et al., 1981; Kohn et al., 1986), Japan (Kohn
et al., 1990) and China (Xiao, 2000b).
3
In this chapter, I use the terms “child-rearing values” and “parental values”
interchangeably.
194 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
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4
See Kohn et al. (1990) for a detailed discussion of differences between social class
conceptualizations and social gradations conceptualizations in studies on child rearing values.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
For example, Kohn (1963; 1969; Kohn et al., 1990) uses the social class approach
and compares middle class parental values to working class parental values.
However, he points out that no social class is homogenous and parental values vary
within each social class, according to social status gradations within each class
(Kohn, 1963, p. 472). Other studies (Slomczynski et al., 1981; Alwin and Jackson,
1982; Alwin, 1986; Luster et al., 1989) employ the social gradations approach. In
this case, the comparison between two or more discrete groups is no longer possible
and the research problem is reformulated in terms of the magnitude of the effect of
social status on child-rearing values.
Different authors label the theoretical dimensions that appear in the
classification of parental values differently, but there is a high degree of overlap
among classifications. Duvall (1946) differentiates between developmental
parental values (children should be healthy and happy, should be able to share
and cooperate with others, should love their parents and confide in them, should
be eager to learn, should be capable of taking care of themselves and also
capable of handling different situations) and traditional parental values (the
children should be clean and neat, should obey and respect their parents, should
please their parents, should take care of their own things, should be religious,
reliable and dependable, and they should also help out around the house).
Lenski (1961) contrasts parental preferences for intellectual autonomy (the child
should think for him/herself) and preferences for intellectual heteronomy (the
child should obey others). The classification adopted by Kohn (1969) groups
parental values into values that indicate self-control or self-direction (children
should show consideration towards others, should be interested in how and why
things happen, should be responsible and should have self-control) and
conformity (they should be well-mannered, clean and neat, they should get good
marks at school, be honest and obedient). Xiao (2000a), using WVS data for the
United States, groups independence, perseverance, and imagination as measures
of parental preference for autonomy, and obedience, good manners, and
religious faith as measures of parental preference for conformity. The same
author uses a slightly different operationalization of parental preference for
conformity in China’s case – the indicators he uses are obedience, hard work,
and thrift (Xiao, 2000b).
The two types of parental values, conventionally labeled autonomy (or
self-control or self-direction) and conformity (or obedience) are treated either as
the extremes of the same dimension (for example, see Schaefer, 1959; Kohn,
1969; Kohn et al., 1990, Hagenaars et al., 2003), or as separate dimensions (for
example, see: Alwin, 1986, 1989; Luster et al., 1989; Xiao, 2000a, 2000b).
Generally, the choice is determined partly theoretically and partly empirically.
Based on results from several exploratory analyses on the 2005 Romanian WVS
data, the two types of parental values are conceptualized here as different
dimensions.
measure parental values and across a variety of national and temporal contexts).
In and of itself, the fact that parents, consciously or unconsciously, prepare their
children for the same type of occupation and the same type of social position as
theirs – in the same way schools play a role in the reproduction of inequalities
(Bowles and Gintis, 1976) – does not determine a high degree of social
reproduction, as long as parental values are not the only factor influencing the
child’s final social position.
It is undeniable that social origins do have an impact on the child’s final
social position – not only through the transmission of parental values, but also
due to financial, cultural, and social capital investments in the child that the
origin family can afford (see, for example, Blau et al., 1978; Lareau, 1987;
Coleman, 1988). However, there are resources that are not directly connected to
social origins that intervene in the social mobility process. For example, the
Wisconsin models of status attainment demonstrate the importance of socio-
psychological factors (e.g., the child’s mental ability, influences of mentors and
significant others, self-conception, or the experience of school failure or
success) in mediating the impact of social origins on social destinations (Sewell
et al., 1970; Sewell and Hauser, 1980; Sewell et al., 2001).
Pearlin and Kohn (1966) believe that this is not exclusively a process
through which parents prepare their children for the same type of occupation as
theirs. It is more likely that parents, during their occupational careers, come to
fully subscribe to the values, attitudes, and behaviors that are deemed
acceptable within their occupational group and are determined by characteristics
of their occupation. Consequently, parents believe that it is important and
beneficial for their children to adopt the same values, attitudes, and behaviors.
Furthermore, as Wright and Wright (1976) notice, the degree to which
socialization is successful (the extent to which children come to adopt the
values their parents deem important) is largely unknown (the empirical results
are contradictory). On one hand, several studies have found small correlations
between parental values and children’s values (for example, Whitbeck and
Gecas, 1988). On the other hand, a study examining the process of
intergenerational transmission of values, using data for the United States and
Poland (Kohn et al., 1986), reported moderate to high correlations (ranging
from 0.37 to 0.59) between parents’ valuation of self-direction and children’s
valuation of self-direction.
the association between social status and parental values may be attributable to
parents’ socio-demographic profiles.
Parental values may differ according to the child’s gender, but also
according to the parent’s gender (Kohn, 1969; Alwin and Jackson, 1982; Spade,
1991; Xiao, 2000a). As long as social behavior norms differ according to
gender, it is likely that parents will adopt one set of values when raising their
daughters and a different set of values when raising their sons. For example, in
traditional societies there is a clear separation between the expected behavior
for men and the expected behavior for women (Dreyer and Wells, 1966, p.83).
In modern societies, these differences in gender specific expected behaviors are
less significant, but they persist. Consequently, it is likely that the separation
between parental values for daughters and parental values for sons will also
persist. Furthermore, each of the two parents may take on different roles in
child-rearing, leading to differences between mothers and fathers in child-
rearing values5. Traditionally, mothers tend to value children’s autonomy more
than fathers do (Xiao, 2000a), and while fathers are responsible for control and
discipline in parent-child relationships, mothers tend to take on responsibilities
related to the child’s emotional support and creative development, although the
roles can differ according to cultural context, social class, and the specific
parent-child pairing (mother-daughter, mother-son, father-daughter, or father-
son) (Kohn, 1963). Even though the data used for the analyses in this material
does not allow for the identification of the child’s sex, the parent’s sex is
known, and allows us to test hypotheses regarding differences between
women’s and men’s parental values.
The length of parental experience (measured by the present age of the
first-born child) can also contribute to the explanation of the type of adopted
parental values (Duvall, 1946; McNally et al., 1991). On one hand, Duvall
(1946) finds that mothers with grown up children tend to value conformity more
than young mothers with small children. She attributes this to the fact that as
children grow up, their interactions outside the family circle increase in
frequency and both children and parents are under increased pressure to
conform to social standards. On the other hand, it is possible that new parents
will adopt a more authoritarian child-rearing style and the associated values,
given that they are confronted with a new situation and might be overly
protective of the child. As children grow up and enter their teenage years, it is
precisely their increased interactions outside the family circle that limit the
parents’ possibilities for close supervision and increase the child’s desire to be
independent. Furthermore, parents may change their parental styles and child-
rearing values according to the child’s cognitive development level, de-
5
It is difficult to determine the causal directions in the relationships among parental
roles, parental styles, and parental values. It is possible that these dimensions influence
each other, at least during the initial period of parenthood.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
6
The analyses (results are not presented here) explored the effects of the degree of
freedom of decision at the workplace on parental values. Although this indicator is
different from the ones used by Kohn and it captures a limited facet of occupational
autonomy, it may be considered as an indicator measuring occupational autonomy.
Although the correlation between this indicator and social status is moderately high and
statistically significant at any conventional significance level (r = 0.433), the bivariate
correlations between this indicator and the two types of parental values are small and
not statistically significant (r= 0.008 for autonomy and r = -0.053 for conformity). In the
multivariate analyses, the occupational autonomy indicator does not have an
independent contribution to the explanation of parental values and its addition to the
model does not diminish the effects of social status on parental values. It is possible that
a more detailed measurement model for occupational autonomy, similar to the one used
by Kohn, might produce different results. However, the data used here does not contain
the necessary indicators.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 1. Mechanisms explaining the relationship between social status and
parental values – theoretical model
personality will mediate the relationship between social status and parental
values (if the type of personality has an independent effect, over and above that
of social status, on parental values).
Moving on to orientations to work, the hypothesis that drives the
inclusion of these orientations in the theoretical model is that preferences for
certain types of jobs are determined by social status and that these preferences
can offer additional information about the type of adopted parental values. The
explanation for the existence of a relationship between orientations toward work
and parental values follows the same reasoning as in the case of the relationship
between occupational autonomy and parental values. Individuals in social
positions with higher social status are employed in jobs with a higher degree of
occupational autonomy, but they also tend to place more importance on
occupational autonomy among job characteristics, in comparison to individuals
with lower social status (Kohn, 1969). Consequently, job characteristics such as
opportunities to use initiative, the feeling that you can achieve something, and
the degree of responsibility, are probably more important for those with higher
social status (Inkeles, 1960). In addition, because financial aspects are less
problematic for people in high social status positions, non-financial aspects of a
job become more salient for these categories of individuals (Kohn, 1969).
Consequently, these individuals place greater importance both on occupational
autonomy, but also on other job characteristics such as the degree to which the
job is interesting and the degree to which it meets one’s abilities. Due to the
requirements of a job with high non-financial advantages (initiative,
responsibility, the pressure to get results and be successful), it is expected that
preferences for these types of jobs will be compatible with value orientations
focused on autonomy and self-control rather than on conformity. Under these
conditions, it is possible that workplace preferences are even more strongly
linked to child-rearing values than occupational autonomy is.
It is expected that satisfaction with different areas of life is partially
determined by socio-economic status, and, in turn, the degree of satisfaction
influences the strategies and values adopted in child-rearing. Although
subjective evaluations of satisfaction with life and of material and psychological
well-being are relatively unrelated to educational levels in some national
contexts, they are generally positively associated with absolute and relative
positions in the financial hierarchy and with occupational positions (Inkeles,
1960; Fernandez and Kulik, 1981; Veenhoven, 1995; Easterlin, 2001).
Veenhoven’s (1995) analyses suggest that in less affluent countries, the
relationships between education and income on one hand, and satisfaction on
the other hand are stronger than those in affluent countries. Considering this, it
is expected that social status is positively correlated with satisfaction in the
Romanian context.
Independently of the effect of social status, the evaluation of global
satisfaction with life can have an effect on parental values, to the extent that the
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
7
The models are estimated using FIML (Full Information Maximum Likelihood). This
method estimates model coefficients in the presence of incomplete data. The estimation
algorithm uses the information from the observed portions of the data in the presence of
an unlimited number of missing data patterns, and the estimated parameters include
information about the mean and variance of missing portions of a variable, given the
known information from the observed portions of other variables (Wothke, 2000).
FIML produces efficient and unbiased estimators when the data are missing at random,
and several simulations have demonstrated that the algorithm performs well even with
non-ignorable missing data (Wothke, 2000).
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
the model is simultaneously estimated for the two groups defined by residential
area8.
The structure of the final model is based on the theoretical model diagram
(see Figure 1), and includes social status and the socio-demographic variables as
intercorrelated, exogenous variables. All the exogenous variables influence the
variables measuring the respondent’s orientations. No causal structure is imposed
among the variables measuring orientations. Instead, in order to take into account
the associations existing among these variables that are not explained by the
influences accounted for by this model, the structural errors associated with these
variables are intercorrelated (Maruyama, 1998, p. 188)9. Both the exogenous
variables and the mediating variables cause the final two dependent variables of
interest: valuation of autonomy and valuation of conformity in child-rearing. In a
similar way, the part of the association between these variables, unaccounted for by
the other variables included in the model, is represented in a non-causal way,
through the correlation between the structural errors associated with the valuation of
autonomy and the valuation of conformity10.
In order to explore both the individual and the combined impact of the
two explanatory mechanisms on the relationship between social status and
parental values, a sequence of models is presented. The first model estimates the
effect of social status on the two types of parental values, without accounting
for any other influences. The second model estimates the effect of social status
on parental values in the presence of controls for socio-demographic variables.
The third model estimates the same effect in the presence of mediating
variables, and the final model includes both the control mechanisms and the
mediating mechanisms in the estimation of this effect. It is expected that the
effect of social status on parental values (in absolute value) will diminish once
control mechanisms and mediating mechanisms are taken into account.
8
The models are estimated using AMOS 7.0. The simultaneous group analysis implies
the estimation of a single model for both groups, resulting in a unique set of parameters
(covariances, variances, regression coefficients, and R2 coefficients) for each group.
Estimating a simultaneous group model instead of a separate model for each group,
results in more efficient parameter estimates and allows for statistical tests of parameter
differences between groups (Arbuckle, 2006).
9
Although the causal ordering of these variables might be theoretically determined (for
example the personality type influences preferences for certain job characteristics), in this
model, where these variables only play a mediating role, the causal ordering does not offer
additional information on the relationship between social status and child-rearing values.
10
In this case, the modeling choice reflects the idea that the two types of values do not
influence each other, but that they covary. For example, because of accumulated life
experiences, a person adopts parental values that focus on conformity and simultaneously
rejects parental values that focus on autonomy. Alternatively, a person may adopt a
combination of the two types of values, although it is likely that a person that scores high on
the autonomy dimension will have low scores on the conformity dimension.
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Social status and child-rearing values
11
Because the items are binary, I have used a type of cluster analysis which takes this
into account: hierarchical cluster for binary variables, with clustering on variables, using
the between-groups linkage clustering method and the Phi 4-point dissimilarity
measure.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
The results of this analysis are presented separately for urban and rural
residential areas in Figure 2. The theoretical expectations regarding the
grouping of items measuring child-rearing values are confirmed in both
residential areas: independence, imagination, and perseverance are grouped into
one cluster, and obedience, thrift, religious faith, and hard work are grouped
into another cluster. In order to construct the parental values scales12, I used the
arithmetic mean of the items belonging to a cluster. Due to the fact that each of
the items can take a value of 0 (the respondent did not mention the quality) or 1
(the respondent mentioned the quality), the two resulting parental values scales
have the same amplitude and range from 0 (none of the qualities on that parental
values dimension was mentioned) to 1 (all of the qualities on that parental
values dimension were mentioned).
The choice to measure the valuation of autonomy as a separate
dimension from the valuation of conformity is preferred here also because this
distinction allows for a more detailed description of the relationships between
social status and child-rearing values. Otherwise, parental preferences for
children’s autonomy or conformity are essentially the extreme opposites along a
single dimension of child-rearing values13. It is possible, however, that the
impact of social status on one type of parental values is different from the
impact on the other type of parental values.
Thrift Independence
Relig.faith Imagination
Independence Obedience
Perseverance Relig.faith
Imagination Thrift
12
As before, because of the binary nature of the items, I opted for scales instead of
using a latent variable in this case, given the fact that the indicators do not conform to
the multivariate normality assumption imposed by the estimation method used here
(maximum likelihood) (Arbuckle, 2006, p. 39).
13
The correlations (in absolute values) between the two measures for the two types of
parental values on one hand, and a unique measure of parental values (computed by
subtracting the number of qualities indicating a preference for conformity from the
number of qualities indicating a preference for autonomy) are very strong
(approximately 0.86).
208 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Social status and child-rearing values
14
For each of the latent variables used in the model, an exploratory factor analysis was carried
out as a preliminary step to the analysis (results are not presented here). Based on these results,
confirmatory factor models were constructed for each of the latent variables (see details on
model goodness of fit for these confirmatory factor analysis models in Table A-1).
15
This variable and all other ordinal level variables in these analyses are treated as
interval level variables.
16
In order to transform the variable measuring occupation from its original version
containing partially ordered categories into an interval level variable it is necessary to
recode it. The recoding scheme is based on recoding tables developed by Ganzeboom
and Treiman (2003). Groups with no occupation and “other” occupations are treated
differently, according to which category they belong to: students, housewives, and
unemployed respondents are allocated prestige code 0, while retired respondents and
those with “other” occupations (for whom no details were recorded regarding their last
occupation, respectively their present occupation) are treated as incomplete data, to be
taken into account by the FIML estimation procedure. I opted for treating the last two
categories of respondents in this way in order to avoid excluding them from the
analysis. The assumption here is that each of the respondents in these two categories has
an associated occupational prestige code (be it one derived from a past occupation or
one derived from a present occupation).
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
there will be more opportunities for the next generation”. In order to measure
religiosity, I have opted for the use of a single indicator, linked to one of the
dimensions of religiosity (religious faith) 17: importance of God in respondents’
lives, ranging from 1 (not at all important) to 10 (very important).
Extrovert orientation is a latent dimension, operationalized by answers to
items from the portrait-values battery: “To what extent are you similar to a person for
which it is important18: (a) to have a good time; to spoil oneself, (b) to be rich; to have
a lot of money and expensive things, (c) to have adventures and to take risks; to have
an exciting life, (d) to be successful; to have people recognize one’s achievements”.
This dimension captures two types of values with congruent motivations19: self-
enhancement and openness to change (Schwartz et al., 2001). Both types of values are
associated with extroverted personalities (Roccas et al., 2002).
Satisfaction is also a latent dimension, measured by items of
satisfaction with various domains: satisfaction with one’s life as a whole (the
scale ranges from 1 completely dissatisfied to 10 completely satisfied),
satisfaction with the state of one’s own health, with the amount of money one
has, and with one’s way of living20 (the scales for these items range from 1 not
at all satisfied to 4 very satisfied), and a global happiness measure (“Taking all
things together, would you say you are very happy (4), rather happy (3), not
very happy (2), or not at all happy (1)”).
The latent variable measuring criteria of morality/legality is constructed
using items grading (on a scale from 1 always justifiable to 10 never justifiable)
several behaviors that violate morality and legal standards: claiming
government benefits to which you are not entitled, someone accepting a bribe in
the course of their duties, cheating on taxes if you have a chance, avoiding a
fare on public transport.
The preference for non-financial aspects of a job is constructed as an
additive scale, based on a set of dichotomous items. Respondents were asked to
17
Preliminary analyses explored the effects of an additional indicator of religious
practice (churchgoing frequency). However, the indicator does not bring additional
contributions to the explanation of child-rearing values when controlling for the
religious faith measure.
18
This is a retranslation of the item as it was included in the Romanian questionnaire.
The original WVS item stated: “Now I will briefly describe some people. Please
indicate for each description whether that person is very much like you, like you,
somewhat like you, not like you, or not at all like you”.
19
According to Schwartz et al. (2001), the 10 items included in this battery of questions
describe a circular value space, in which adjacent values are compatible. As the distance
on the circle’s diameter increases, the values become incompatible. In the circular
structure described by the 10 values included in the portrait-values battery, the four
items chosen here to operationalize extrovert orientation have adjacent positions.
20
Satisfaction with the state of one’s own health, with the amount of money one has, and with
one’s way of living are country-specific items, not included in the original WVS questionnaire.
210 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Social status and child-rearing values
Results
The examination of the descriptive statistics for the subsample under
study, separately for urban (N=762) and rural (N=596) residential areas, suggest
that respondents living in urban areas are characterized by higher mean scores
on all three indicators of social status (the results are not presented here).
Respondents living in urban areas are also younger and tend to have fewer
children than respondents in rural areas.
For the mediating variables, with the exception of morality and religiosity
indicators (which theoretically were expected to display a different behavior from
the remaining mediating variables), urban residents have consistently higher mean
scores than rural residents. Generally, among the indicators used to measure the
final dependent variables, items measuring the valuation of autonomy in child-
rearing are preferred by higher percentages of parents living in urban areas, while
items measuring the valuation of conformity in child-rearing are preferred by higher
percentages of people living in rural areas (with the exception of ‘thrift’).
In general, social status is associated with all of the control variables and all
of the mediating variables – correlation coefficients are statistically significant,
except for the correlation with morality criteria in urban areas (the results are not
presented here). Older parents, single parents, and those with more children tend to
have a lower social status in all three samples (total, urban, and rural). Men tend to
have higher social statuses than women do, and in the entire sample of parents,
social status scores are higher in urban areas compared to rural areas.
Parents with a higher social status tend to have extroverted
personalities, and to prefer jobs characterized by non-financial advantages.
They also have higher levels of satisfaction. Finally, they have the feeling that
they can control their own lives, and they are more receptive to changes brought
by technological and scientific advances, these results offering support to
theoretical expectations. Parents with lower social status tend to be more
religious and more inclined to reject amoral and illegal forms of behavior. As
expected, social status is positively associated with the valuation of autonomy in
child-rearing and negatively associated with the valuation of conformity in
child-rearing, and these associations are statistically significant. The
21
These items have been included in the 2005 Romanian WVS, but they are from a
battery of items from the European Values Survey.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
correlations are low to moderate (-0.159 and -0.306 for relationships with the
valuation of conformity and 0.273 and 0.315 for relationships with the valuation
of autonomy). The association between social status and the valuation of
autonomy is relatively stronger in urban areas (the covariance is 0.191,
compared with 0.139 for the rural areas). The differences between urban and
rural residential areas are more pronounced in the case of the association
between social status and valuation of conformity (the covariance is -0.175 for
urban areas and -0.069 for rural areas).
In general, associations between valuation of autonomy in child-rearing
on one hand and socio-demographic and mediating variables on the other hand,
go in opposite directions in comparison to associations between valuation of
conformity in child-rearing and the socio-demographic and mediating variables.
This suggests that the socio-demographic and orientation profiles of parents
who adopt the two types of values are polar opposites. The associations between
the valuation of autonomy in children and socio-demographic and orientation
variables have the same signs as the associations between social status and
socio-demographic and orientation variables. In the case of the valuation of
conformity in children, the directions are reversed: associations between the
valuation of conformity and the other variables go in an opposite direction from
associations between social status and the other variables. The two parental
values dimensions are significantly correlated, with moderate to high negative
correlations (approximately -0.450). This suggests that the two types of values
are dissonant, but that, at the same time, the parental value space can include a
combination of the two types of values.
The directions of associations suggest that each of the proposed socio-
demographic and orientation variables can act as explanatory mechanisms of the
relationship between social status and parental values. Parents with higher
social status tend to value autonomy and reject conformity in children, but, at
the same time, each social status position is associated with a certain socio-
demographic and orientation profile, a profile that, in turn, may influence the
type of adopted parental values. The questions that motivate the analyses that
follow are: (a) whether this profile has an independent effect on child-rearing
values, over and above the effect of social status, and (b) to what degree the
social status effect on parental values can be explained by taking into account
the characteristics of these profiles. In order to answer the first question, the
discussion of results will focus on the statistical significance of the effects of
control variables and orientation variables on parental values when controlling
for social status. In order to answer the second question, the discussion will
focus on comparing social status effects on parental values in models that do not
control for socio-demographic and orientation profiles effects and in models
that include these controls. Table 1 through Table 4 present the main interest
effects in multivariate models, and contain both unstandardized and
standardized coefficients, in order to facilitate both comparisons between the
two residential groups and an exploration of the intensity of effects.
The first model estimates the total association between social status and
child-rearing values. The results of this model are similar to the previously
discussed results regarding the bivariate relationships between variables, except
that model 1 simultaneously estimates the influence of social status on both
dimensions of parental values. In addition, model 1 provides values of the
unstandardized regression coefficients (b coefficients). The model is estimated
only in order to obtain estimates of regression coefficients that are comparable
with results from the other multivariate models.
Model 2 estimates effects of control variables on parental values
without accounting for the effect of social status. Controlling for the other
socio-demographic variables’ influences, age and the number of children have
statistically significant influences on parental values, both in the urban and in
the rural area (negative effects on the valuation of autonomy and positive effects
on the valuation of conformity in child-rearing). Furthermore, among urban
residents, sex is also a statistically significant predictor of parental values (men,
compared to women, are more inclined to value children’s autonomy and less
inclined to value children’s conformity). The result contradicts the theoretical
expectations based on results from other national contexts. It is possible that
past social norms of acceptable behavior, during the period in which the parents
in this sample were developing their value spaces, but also more recent social
norms of behavior, during the period when parents in this sample try to develop
the values of their children, place a greater importance on conformity for girls.
Given that the effect of sex disappears when social status is controlled for (see
model 4), it is also possible that differences in parental values between men and
women are due to differences in socio-economic status between the two groups.
Marital status is not a statistically significant predictor of parental values,
neither among urban residents, nor among rural residents, when the other socio-
demographic characteristics are controlled for (see Table 1 through Table 4).
Model 3 presents the effects of parents’ orientations on child-rearing
values, without accounting for social status influences. In the prediction of the
valuation of autonomy, among the seven orientation variables included here,
two (openness to scientific and technological advances and criteria of morality)
do not have statistically significant effects when the other orientations are
controlled for (see Table 1). In contrast to effects among urban residents, in
rural areas, most of the orientation variables have small and statistically non-
significant effects on the valuation of autonomy in child-rearing (among the
orientation variables, only satisfaction and extrovert orientation have
statistically significant effects – see Table 2). Similarly, in the prediction of the
valuation of conformity, the majority of the effects of orientation variables are
small and statistically non-significant, this time both among urban and rural
residents (see Table 3 and Table 4). The only exceptions are the effects of
satisfaction and of the importance of God among urban residents, and the
effects of satisfaction and openness to scientific and technological advances
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
among rural residents. These results suggest that although in the bivariate
approach all of the parent’s orientations are statistically significantly associated
with parental values, there is some overlap among their effects on parental
values in the multivariate approach. Only in urban areas and only in the
prediction of the valuation of autonomy in children, all of the orientation
variables that were statistically significantly associated with that parental value
dimension maintain their statistical significance in the multivariate analysis.
Models 4 and 5 estimate the effects of social status on parental values,
in the presence of control variables, respectively orientation variables. In these
models, due to the collinearity of predictors, a literal interpretation of the
coefficients’ statistical significances is problematic. In general, the effects of
control variables and orientation variables diminish and become statistically
non-significant in comparison to the results of the previous two models
discussed above. Age remains a consistent and statistically significant predictor
of parental values (with the exception of its relationship with the valuation of
autonomy in rural areas). Among rural residents, the number of children
continues to be a statistically significant predictor of the valuation of conformity
in child-rearing. In model 5, with several exceptions, orientation variables
remain consistently linked to the two parental values dimensions. However,
only a few of these effects retain their statistical significance: for the prediction
of autonomy child-rearing values, among urban residents – extrovert
orientation, the valuation of non-financial aspects of jobs, and the importance of
God, and among rural residents – extrovert orientation; for the prediction of
conformity child-rearing values, among urban residents – the importance of
God, and among rural residents – openness to scientific and technological
advances (see Table 1 through Table 4).
However, the main goal of these models is to estimate the impact of
social status on parental values. Compared to the total association estimated in
model 1, controlling for the socio-demographic profile reduces the impact of
social status on valuation of autonomy by 30% among urban residents and by
27% among rural residents, and on valuation of conformity by 21% among
urban residents and by 47% among rural residents (percentages based on
unstandardized coefficients). Controlling for the effects of orientation variables
also produces a decrease in the impact of social status on parental values in all
cases, except for the relationship with the valuation of conformity in urban areas
(in this case, probably due to a higher degree of collinearity among predictors,
some of the regression coefficients bounce through 0 and this influences the
results). The decrease in the impact of social status on autonomy is of 23%, both
in the urban and the rural areas, and the decrease in the impact on conformity in
rural areas is of 20%.
The final model estimates the impact of social status on parental values
in the presence of the combined effects of control mechanisms and mediation
mechanisms. Together, the two types of variables explain 40% of the effect of
social status on valuation of autonomy among urban residents, and 30% of the
effect among rural residents. The decrease in the effect of social status on the
valuation of conformity in urban areas is modest (7%), however this result is
once again influenced by some coefficients bouncing through 0 (especially the
coefficient for criteria of morality, recording a marginally statistically
significant effect in the opposite direction from the expected direction). In rural
areas, the effect of social status on conformity is reduced by 53% (see Tables 1
through 4).
These results suggest that both the socio-demographic profile variables
and the orientation variables contribute to the explanation of the relationship
between social status and parental values. The two profiles combined (socio-
demographic profile and orientation profile) explain a greater percentage of the
relationship between social status and parental values than each profile in part,
suggesting that each profile has individual contributions to the explanation of
the relationship, although there is some degree of overlap. In all cases analyzed
here, the impact of social status on child-rearing values is reduced when
controlling for the variables that have been chosen as explanatory mechanisms
and, in the case of the relationship between social status and conformity in rural
areas, the effect becomes statistically non-significant.
In the final model, among the control variables, age continues to have a
statistically significant effect, independent of the effect of social status on
parental values (with the exception of the prediction of the valuation of
autonomy in rural areas). Additionally, the number of children remains a
marginally significant predictor of the valuation of conformity among rural
residents. Among the proposed mediating mechanisms, only a few have
statistically significant relationships both with social status (see Table A-3) and
with parental values in the model that controls for the complete set of influences
(see Table1 through Table 4): in the prediction of the valuation of autonomy, in
urban areas – the valuation of non-financial aspects of a job, and in rural areas –
extrovert orientation; and in the prediction of the valuation of conformity, in
urban areas – the importance of God1, and in rural areas – openness to scientific
and technological advances. These variables on which social status has
statistically significant effects and which, in turn, have statistically significant
effects on parental values constitute the main pathways that mediate the effect
of social status on parental values.
1
Additionally, in this case, criteria of morality are statistically significantly related both
to social status and to the valuation of conformity. This mediating variable was
excluded from the enumeration because the sign of its effect on the valuation of
conformity is reversed in comparison to the theoretically expected sign. Furthermore,
the bivariate correlation between criteria of morality and the valuation of conformity is
not statistically significant.
219
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Conclusions
Using a theoretical model proposed by Kohn and his colleagues (Kohn,
1963; Pearlin and Kohn, 1966; Kohn, 1969; Slomczynski et al., 1981; Kohn et
al., 1983; Kohn et al., 1986; Kohn et al., 1990) and the 2005 Romanian WVS
data, I have examined the relationship between parents’ social status and their
valuation of autonomy or conformity in child-rearing. The two types of parental
values distinguish between two different child-rearing strategies. The valuation
of autonomy in children denotes an increased focus on the construction of an
internal set of behavior guidelines, while the valuation of conformity in children
denotes an increased focus on obeying externally imposed rules. Although the
two child-rearing value orientations are largely discordant, this does not mean
that parents cannot adopt a combination of the two parental value types. In
general, however, the higher the valuation of autonomy in children, the lower
the valuation of conformity.
The analyses presented here show that there is indeed a significant
relationship between social status and parental values: in comparison to parents
in lower social status positions, those with higher social status tend to focus
more on developing their children’s autonomy and they tend to de-emphasize
conformity values in child-rearing. The intensity of these associations and the
analysis results regarding the relationships among social status, parental values,
and socio-demographic and orientation profiles reiterate Kohn’s (1969)
observation that the relationships between social status and parental values are
not impressive in regard to their intensity, but because of their consistency. In
the analysis presented in this chapter, the correlations between social status and
parental values are small to moderate (approximately ranging between 0.16 and
0.30 in absolute values), but the relationships between these two variables, and
the relationships of these two variables with other variables describing the
socio-demographic and orientation profiles are consistent with the theoretical
expectations.
The existence of a relationship between social status and parental
values, even if this relationship is small to moderate in intensity, raises the
problem of the intergenerational inheritance of social advantages and
disadvantages. If parents instill in their children values that characterize their
own social status position, then the process of socialization is tantamount to
preparing the child for the same social status and the same occupational position
as the parents’ position. Under these circumstances, it is important to
understand which are the mechanisms that allow social status to influence
parental values. In this chapter, I have taken into consideration two types of
mechanisms that could explain part of the relationship existing between social
status and parental values: socio-demographic profiles and orientation profiles.
First, a part of the total association between social status and parental
values may be due to social status differences between groups that are
characterized by different socio-demographic profiles and to the relationships
that may exist between the socio-demographic profile and parental values. The
results of this analysis suggest that men, urban residents, young people, married
persons, and those with fewer children tend to have a higher social status, and at
the same time, they tend to value autonomy and reject conformity in children. In
the multivariate models presented in this chapter, these socio-demographic
characteristics explain between 20% and 40% of the total association between
social status and parental values.
Secondly, another part of the total association between social status and
parental values may be due to the indirect effects of social status on parental
values. The model in this chapter examined the role of parental orientations to
different domains as mechanisms that mediate the relationship between social
status and parental values. The orientations that were examined here ranged
from domains that are more concrete to domains that are more abstract:
orientations to self, work, life, society, and religion. These are some of the
mechanisms that can intervene in the relationship between social status and
parental values. However, other important mechanisms could not be examined
here. For example, the degree of occupational autonomy and mechanisms linked
to intellectual flexibility and psychological well-being may act as mediators of
the relationship between social status and parental values, intervening in the
model that was proposed here between social status and the orientation
variables.
Among the examined mediating variables, the analysis results suggest
that social status is positively associated with extrovert orientation, the
221
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Appendix
The comparability of results between urban and rural areas
In order to ensure the comparability between estimated parameters for
urban and rural residents, for all the latent variables the measurement weights
were constrained to be equal across the two groups (Maruyama, 1998, p. 261).
For two of the four latent variables used here (criteria of morality and
satisfaction), these constraints do not have a statistically significant effect on the
model goodness of fit in comparison to the unconstrained model (see Table A-1).
For the other latent dimensions (social status and extrovert orientation),
imposing these constraints on the model produces a significantly worse model
fit, according to the Δχ2 test.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Table A-1 Tests of measurement model invariance across residential areas
Notes: A separate model is estimated for each latent variable. The unconstrained model
for the social status factor is just-identified.
Due to the fact that χ2 goodness of fit tests and Δχ2 model comparison
tests are sensitive to sample size and test an implausible hypothesis of perfect
model fit (Cochran, 1952; Jöreskog, 1969; Arbuckle, 2006), an alternative
measure of model goodness of fit (RMSEA) is also examined. Browne and
Cudeck (1993) and Arbuckle (2006) suggest that an RMSEA value of 0.05 or
less indicates a good model fit and values between 0.05 and 0.08 indicate a
model with a reasonable approximation error. For the two latent factors for
which the Δχ2 test suggested that measurement weights equality constraints
produce a significantly worse fit (social status and extrovert orientation), the
alternative model fit test (RMSEA) suggests that imposing the constraints
produces reasonably fitting models, even if the model fit is significantly reduced
in comparison with the unconstrained model. Furthermore, I considered that the
comparability of results takes precedence over the model fit. Consequently, the
sacrifices in terms of the model fit are acceptable.
Additional results
In the final model (model 6), all of the indicators have statistically
significant loadings on the factors they measure, and all standardized factor
weights are greater than 0.5, suggesting that the indicators are strongly linked to
the dimensions they measure, providing an empirical justification (in addition to
the theoretical justifications) to include them as measures of the latent variables
(see Table A-2).
Urban Rural
b ß p R2 b ß p R2
Social status
Education 1.000 (0 .783) --- 0.61 1.000 ( 0.784) --- 0.61
Occupation 6.532 ( 0.737) *** 0.54 6.532 ( 0.676) *** 0.46
Income 0.645 ( 0.630) *** 0.40 0.645 ( 0.529) *** 0.28
Extrovert orientation
Have a good time 1.000 ( 0.794) --- 0.63 1.000 ( 0.801) --- 0.64
Be rich 0.909 ( 0.705) *** 0.50 0.909 ( 0.723) *** 0.52
Take risks 0.898 ( 0.724) *** 0.52 0.898 ( 0.722) *** 0.52
Be successful 0.907 ( 0.697) *** 0.49 0.907 ( 0.701) *** 0.49
Criteria of morality (it is not justifiable to ...)
Claim undeserved benefits 1.000 ( 0.722) --- 0.52 1.000 ( 0.705) --- 0.50
Accept bribes 0.574 ( 0.625) *** 0.39 0.574 ( 0.691) *** 0.48
Cheat on taxes 1.253 ( 0.724) *** 0.52 1.253 ( 0.766) *** 0.59
Avoid a fare on public transport 1.101 ( 0.832) *** 0.69 1.101 ( 0.895) *** 0.80
Satisfaction
Happiness 1.000 ( 0.738) --- 0.55 1.000 ( 0.712) --- 0.51
Satisfaction with life 3.098 ( 0.714) *** 0.51 3.098 ( 0.700) *** 0.49
Satisfaction with health 0.877 ( 0.566) *** 0.32 0.877 ( 0.549) *** 0.30
Satisfaction with amount of money 0.958 ( 0.649) *** 0.42 0.958 ( 0.645) *** 0.42
Satisfaction with way of living 0.909 ( 0.706) *** 0.50 0.909 ( 0.674) *** 0.46
Note: --- fixed coefficients; unstandardized factor weights in the measurement model
are constrained to be equal across residential areas; *** p < 0.001, ** p < 0.01, * p <
0.05, + p < 0.1
The effects of social status on the mediating variables in the final model
are all in the expected direction (see Table A-3). Both among urban residents
and among rural residents, social status has a positive impact on extrovert
orientation, the valuation of non-financial aspects of a job, satisfaction, the
degree of control over life, and openness to scientific and technological
advances, and a negative effect on criteria of morality and religiosity. In
general, the effects are statistically significant, with a single exception (the
effect on the valuation of non-financial job aspects among rural residents). The
effect of social status on satisfaction is one of the strongest effects in the model
(β=0.623 in urban areas and β=0.478 in rural areas).
225
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
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231
Identity and axiological profile: value
identifications for Romanian young people
HORAŢIU RUSU
1
The movie is among the first 10 most successful movies, measured according to
income in the USA and also it was in the 13th position worldwide in the same year.
232 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Identity and axiological profile: value identifications for Romanian young people
2
It is a position named by some scientists called holism, or naturalism, or structuralism,
integrated or currently known in the social theories of identity and culture under the
generic name of essentialism and which postulates the existence of some
superstructures, certainties, essences, realities independent of individuals and above
233
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
them and still reproduced by them; the identity appears as existence in itself, as a priori
reality, as a structure.
3
It is a position that could be named either non-realist, or nominalist, or even
individualist. Currently, in the social theories on identity, it is known under the generic
name of constructivism and postulates that the existence of reality is produced by
individual consciences; identity emerges as a product of the self, as an independent
representation in and through conscience.
4
Theories known under names like: instrumentalism, situationalism, cognitivism, modernism,
inventionism or even postmodernism tend to be included in this group. The same happens for
authors like: Barth, Mitchell, Brass, Horowitz, Calhoun, Anderson, Jenkins, etc.
5
For example, theories like primordialism, perrenialism, sociobiologism and authors like
Shils, van den Berghe, Geertz, Isaac, Grosby, Connor, etc. tend to be included in this group.
234 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Identity and axiological profile: value identifications for Romanian young people
around which any debate on identity gravitates are: culture - heredity, structure -
action, collective - individual, affectivity -cognition, emic - ethical. If we were
to imagine that we found in a room where there are also several research fellows
in disagreement with the status of identity, we surely could select some
fragments from their dialogues, as follows: “it is natural…”; “it is invented…”;
“it is an elites’ instrument”; “it is hereditary, it is in our genes”; “it is a matter of
pure cognition”; “it is a matter of emotions and feelings”; “it is a category
created by others”, “it is a deeply subjective belief, it exists only in our
imagination”. The consequence of this so-called “fight” – existing ever since the
world began, between Eleatics and Heraclitians6, as some people would say – is
that most of the discussions are captive in an apparently sisyphic attempt to
solve the problem in an unequivocal way: is identity inherited, essential,
perennial or is it permanently socially built and re-built, fluid and imagined?
The answer to this question can be given if we leave aside both the
extreme essentialist (determinist) position – which confines the idea of the free
will and transforms the individual in “cultural dopes”, the way Garfinkel
(1967:68) called it – and the extreme constructivist one (postmodern) – which,
in fact, deconstructs the social reality and, in the worst case, inducts solipsism.
The simpler the answer may seem, the more paradoxical it is: identity is, at the
same time, essential and constructed. Arguments to support this idea can be
found both on the ground of philosophy, social psychology and sociology and
on the ground of the theories of identity.
An example in this sense, familiar to identity logicians, is known under
the name of “Theseus ship”. Theseus was an Athenian hero, who defeated the
Minotaur, thus saving the lives of the young Athenians, sacrificed once every
nine months in the Labyrinth in Crete. They say that the ship on which he
traveled to the island of Crete and the way back was kept by Athenians in his
honor and at the same time as a symbol of the victory over Minos, the Cretan
king. Once a year, Athenians used to organize a parade and sail on Theseus’
ship. Of course, one may suppose that, over time, parts of the ship eroded and it
was necessary to replace them with some new parts, shaped exactly the same
way and built exactly from the same materials as the old ones. Over time, it is
normal to suppose that every part of the ship was gradually replaced. If at the
certain Tk moment in time, all parts came to be replaced, the following question
could be raised: Is Theseus’ ship fundamentally the same one?
The answer to this question can be given if we search for it not in
philosophy, or in logic, but in sociology. The solution is provided by the well-
known Thomas theorem, claiming that a situation defined as real becomes real
6
Eleatics (Xenophanes of Colofon, Parmenides of Elea, Zeno of Elea) supported the
uniqueness and immutability of world and existence, while Heraclides of Ephesus
favored the idea of continuous change, very suggestively expressed by his aphorism:
Panta Rhei.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
7
In the framework of a debate with Gellner, named “The nation: real or imagined?” (see
http://members.tripod.com/GellnerPage/Warwick0.html)
8
We may also notice as a result of a thorough study that most of the theories of identity
contain this implicit idea, the ambivalence of identity: being at the same time state and
process. In other words, identities “are constructions” (structures or essences) and “they
are built” (processes or categorizations) at the same time, as it can be seen at Durkheim
(1964), Weber (1968) or from Shils (1957) to Hall (1991).
236 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Identity and axiological profile: value identifications for Romanian young people
time, they exists only to the extent in which they are produced, reproduced and
recognized by social actors. Transposed in the field of identity, this idea can
sound in the following way: identity exists at a collective level to the extent in
which it is reproduced at an individual level.
Thus, the problem of the acknowledgment of reality, of the uniqueness,
stability and efficiency of identity raises in the register of its actualization, its
production and re-production by social9 action, be it discourse, attitude or
behavior of social actors; in other words, it becomes effective or real when it
has implications for the social actors and he/she identifies with it. Thus it can be
said, starting from this idea, that collective identity is the identification with the
others through similar “elements” or characteristics. Hence, it results the
methodology I use in the present paper. I do not search for “discovering” the
identity of a collectivity, of a collective entity a priori assumed, but I decide for
the search of common aspects of individual identities, i.e. for the elements of
common identification – be they values, memories, images, processes, or
feelings – of the social actors. In other words, not the reified constructions
themselves, but the process of identification with them is the one that gives the
reality of a collective identity (see also Barth (1969) for details regarding the
relation between categorization, (ethnical) identity and (cultural) elements).
In other words, on the collective-individual axis, the landmark of the
empirical study is represented by the individual, and the collective identity will
be an emergence of the common identifications. Thus, this is the answer which
shows “how can we establish an identity profile at a collective level” and which
allows me to pass on to the next question “Which identitary profile, at an
axiological level, do young people in Romania have?”
The spheres of identity are, as it could be inferred until now, numerous
and they have their referential, depending on the examined theories: from
common images, collective memories, values or ideologies10. In this paper, as
the title also suggests, I try to investigate only one of them, namely the
axiological dimension of the collective identity of the young people. In other
words, what I will present in the following sections is subordinated by the idea
of the study of values with which Romanian young people identify today.
9
Or “feeling”, as Bădescu says (2002:xxxiii).
10
See any of the theories of identities from Durkheim (1964) to Weber (1978) or
Cooley (1909), from Geertz (1963) to Shils (1957) to Barth (1969), Horowitz (1975),
Anderson (1983), Brass (1991), Smith (1999) and others.
237
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
own culture, during their history. Values add an important tinge, probably the
most important, to the portrait of “who is or what is”. One of the definitions
given to the value to which many research fellows refer is the one from
Kluckhohn: value is “a conception, explicit or implicit, distinctive of an
individual or characteristic of a group, of the desirable which influences the
selection from available modes, means and ends of action” (Kluckhohn, 1951:
395). They appear as elements of the symbolic, latent universe of reality and as
a support of the level of updates. “The achievement” of values thus represents
one of the reasons of all the individuals’ actions, namely the entire social life:
“the system of value standards when institutionalized in the social systems and
internalized in personalities guides the action” (Parsons and Shils, 1992: 41). As
values orientate people’s actions and options, but they cannot be studied
directly, their analysis implies the investigation of the level of actualizations,
i.e. the level of attitudes, knowledge and individuals’ behavior.
There are three theoretical and empirical models most invoked by social
scientists today11 in the study of the axiological dimension: Inglehart’s model,
Schwatz’s model and Hofstede’s model. The analyses I will make further on,
uses, as a background, especially the first two models. That is why I will present
only their main ideas synthetically.
Inglehart’s model proposes a hierarchical distinction between two types
of values: materialist and postmaterialist and, at the same time, it predicts an
evolution of orientations at the level of societies from the first to the second
type. Theoretically, this distinction bases not only on Weber’s thesis of
secularization, but also on Maslow’s (1943) thesis of the motivational pyramid.
In a practical way, Inglehart draws his hypothesis on the observation of the
solutioning of the crisis of the basic resources after World War II and on the
orientation of the political systems to solving other types of problems. His
analyses indicate the existence of a connection between the interest in satisfying
some basic needs (social security, economic prosperity, and so on), identified as
being materialist and the low economic development of a society, and the
interest in satisfying some superior, intellectual, esthetical needs (self-
achievement, preoccupation for the environment, and so on) identified as being
postmaterialist, and a strong economic development (Inglehart, 1997).
Schwartz proposes a universal typology of values. The structural
organization (the arrangement, the pattern) of values according to this model is
given by the compatibility or incompatibility between them. From the point of
view of the theoretical construction, Schwartz draws on Rokeach’s model
(1973) which shows that the differences among individuals are given rather by
the importance they confer to certain values to the detriment of others than by
their presence or absence in the individuals’ orientation system. The ten basic
values, about which Schwartz says can be identified in all the societies, are: self
11
See, for example, Arts et al. (2003); Vinken et al. (2004); Ester et al. (2006); Ramos (2006).
238 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Identity and axiological profile: value identifications for Romanian young people
12
The youngsters’ sub-samples taken into account, corresponding to the age interval 18-35
years old include 399 subjects in 1993, 369 subjects in 1999, respectively 486 in 2005.
13
on the basis of the items that can be found in all the three questionnaire and data bases
EVS/WVS, 1993, 1999, 2005.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
EVS data, two dimensions of the axiological universe (similar to both at a social
and individual level): a dimension that would represent the social-liberal
orientation (whose key features, related to postmodernism, are individual liberty
and autonomy14) and a dimension that would represent the normative
orientation (among whose features will be: the support for the traditional family,
religiosity, the strong appreciation for the social norms and so on, things that are
related to materialism). Thus, I endeavored that the values I used in the analysis
to be theoretically distributed on a conservatism/normativism – openness to
change axis. More precisely, I considered the support for: religiosity, the idea of
authority versus autonomy, intolerance (towards deviant behaviors), gender (in)
equity (as values of a conservative type) and alternative family models, equity,
permissiveness, the liberal model of a society versus the egalitarian model of a
society (as values related to the dimension of openness to change)15.
Different studies show that religiosity is not only understood, but also
measured in different ways (see Bădescu, 2002; Halman and Petterson 2006;
Voicu 2006; Rughiniş 2006). The most frequently explored dimensions of
religiosity are the faith and the religious practice. In my analysis I propose an
index that includes, besides the dimensions mentioned above, a dimension of
self-perception and another one of the positioning towards the church. Thus, the
index consists of other indexes that measure separately the importance of
religion and also God’s importance, the Christian ethos and the importance
attributed to the institution of church, an indicator that measures the religious
behavior and another indicator that measures the self-perception of religiosity
(see the annex).
Permissiveness is measured on the basis of the acceptance of some
behaviors that transcend the borders of “normality”: homosexual behavior,
prostitution, abortion, euthanasia, divorce. The index that I proposed is also
present in some other analyses, either as a simple index, or encompassing two
dimensions of permissiveness: a personal and a sexual one (for details, see for
example Arts et al., 2003).
Tolerance is generally understood as the acceptance of some behaviors
or attitudes with which we do not agree or which we do not like (Medrano &
Rother, 2006). The intolerance towards deviant people is determined in my
analysis on the basis of the non-acceptance as neighbors of some persons
belonging to some groups traditionally considered deviant: alcoholic people,
homosexuals and drug dependents.
The index I will name “authority” from now on appears frequently in
the literature under the name of authority versus autonomy and has various
14
This “type of individualism” – as the authors say – should not be interpreted in terms
of egoism, narcissism, hedonism or ethical relativism; it does not lack a spirit of
community but is socially committed; ”– Arts et al. (2003:31).
15
The practical way in which these indicators are constructed is described in the annex.
240 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Identity and axiological profile: value identifications for Romanian young people
16
For the abbreviated variant of achievement index.
17
Although I tested the way values group with the multidimensional scaling method,
obtaining similar results, I preferred to present in this paper the results obtained using
the cluster analysis method, due to the fact that the graphical representation is more
intuitive. The cluster analysis used here is a hierarchical one, with clustering on
variables, Ward method; the variables were standardized. The solution is stable, similar
results are obtained using the Baverage method.
241
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 1. The clustering of the values on the dimension conservatism/openness to change in the dynamics 1993-2005
242 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Identity and axiological profile: value identifications for Romanian young people
Note: The inclusion of the identification with the liberal/egalitarian society model in the cluster that refers to the conservative dimension
is due to an abrupt rearrangement on the liberalism/egalitarianism “axis”. In 1993 the average value is 7,02, a fact that indicates a strong
support for liberalism, and in 1999 it is 3,86 indicating a strong support for egalitarianism; in 2005 it comes back to 5,14.
243
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
The data for 2005 allow me, besides the analyses above (created having as theoretical reference Inglehart’s, Arts’ et al.,
models), to resort to some of the afferent indicators of Schwartz’s model (see the annex). In Schwartz’s original version, values are
measured according to the answers given to 21 questions. Each index of the ten fundamental values is built with 2 individual indicators,
except for universalism, built with 3 indicators. WVS/EVS questionnaire from 2005 includes only 10 items (from all the 21), one for
each value. Further on, I intend to analyze on the same theoretical axis – conservatism-openness to change – the intensity of the value
identification, with the help of Schwartz-type available items. According to Schwartz (2006), on this axis, self-direction and stimulation
(i.e. openness to change) are opposed to tradition, conformity and security (i.e. conservatism). This theoretical assumption (for the
Romanian society) of the two poles’ segregation is also confirmed by the data obtained through cluster18 analysis (Figure 2).
Figure 2. The clustering of the values on the conservatism/openness to change axis in 2005 on the basis of Schwartz items
18
The choice for the presentation of the cluster analysis results is motivated by the same principle that I have presented above, that is the
possibility of facile visual interpretation. I used a hierarchical-type cluster analysis with clustering on variables,, i.e. the Ward method. The
solution is stable, and similar results are obtained when using the Baverage method. Similar results are also obtained if the multidimensional
scalar method is used (the coefficient that measures the agreement to data Normalizes raw stress = 0,005 and the similarity coefficient Tucker =
0, 99). The same answer is obtained with the same two dimensions if the factorial analysis method is being used.
244 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Identity and axiological profile: value identifications for Romanian young people
Tradition
(2.47)
Security
(2.52)
Conformism
(2.55)
Self direction
(2.61)
Stimulation
(3.89)
Note: Each of the five dimensions can vary from a theoretical minimum value of 6 to a
theoretical maximum value of 1.
19
The significant differences for p=0,000 are situated among tradition-stimulation,
security-stimulation and conformism- stimulation, and for p<0, 1 between security-self
direction and tradition-self direction.
245
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
The global image obtained form the data presented here, indicates that
from 1993 to 1999 we assist to an intensification tendency of the identification
with the so-called conservative values (the religiosity and the preference for the
authority increase), and a stability tendency or even diminishing tendency of the
identification with values that would indicate openness to change (the support
for an unequal society model). The observation is similar for the period 1999-
2005 (religiosity is continually increasing while the support for the alternative
family model, equity and permissiveness is continually decreasing) except for
the identification with the idea of social inequality. The dynamics is more
striking in the larger period 1993-2005 (religiosity and preference for the
authority are significantly increased while the support for the model of an
unegalitarian society and the model of the alternative family and permissiveness
are significantly lowered). In a practical way, the result can be compared with
the facts indicated by the hierarchy of values built above and depending on
Schwartz’s model items. If the analysis based on Schwartz’s items indicates the
fact that conservative values are situated in 2005 in the superior part of the
identification “pyramid”, Table 1 shows that the young people in 2005 identify
themselves more than in 1993 or 1999 with conservative values and less with
those values that reflect openness to change.
Table 2 presents the results of the analyses made on the categories of
young people from different residential environments. The interpretation of this
table can be made both diachronically and synchronically. I am not going to
make an individual presentation, at the level of the indicator, but I intend to
make the “translation” globally, depending on the two axes: conservatism -
openness to change axis and rural - urban axis.
Table 2. Value identification of the young people in the urban and rural areas
Comparison Rural in
comparison with Urban Rural
Urban
1999 2005 2005 1999 2005 2005
Value orientations 1993 1999 2005 versus versus versus versus versus versus
1993 1999 1993 1993 1999 1993
Authority ∼ È È ∼ ∼ È ∼ ∼ È
Religiosity ∼ È ∼ È Ê È È ∼ È
Gender inequity È È È ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼
Intolerance ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼
Unegalitarian
society model ∼ ∼ Ê Ê È Ê Ê ∼ Ê
Permissiveness Ê Ê Ê ∼ ∼ Ê ∼ ∼ Ê
Alternative society
model ∼ Ê Ê ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ Ê ∼
Equity ∼ ∼ Ê ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼ ∼
Notes:
1. the signs È or Ê indicate a significant positive difference and a
significant negative difference respectively (p≤0,05) of the identification
with the values enumerated in comparison with the year and the residence
environment to which the reference is made;
2. the signs Ì or Ê have the same meaning only for p≤0,10;
3. the sign ~ indicates the fact that there are no differences of identification
between residence environments or significant changes regarding the years
to which the reference is made.
4. The results are based on the ANOVA analysis (For authority and the unegalitarian
society, the test I used was Bonferroni and, for all the others, Tamhane)
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Examples of interpreting:
1. The first cell in the upper left corner indicates the fact that the young
people living in the urban and rural areas were found in 1993 on the same
positions regarding the orientation to a society based on authority.
2. The first cell in the upper right corner indicates the fact that the preference
for the authority of the young people living in the rural areas is
significantly increased in 2005 than in 1993.
Although globally it seems that gender does not make evident any
difference between women and men on the dimension regarding the openness to
change, and only a few differences on the conservative dimension there are a
group of value orientations that attract attention to them; that is religiosity,
authority, and gender inequality. Synchronically analyzed, it is seen that women
are more religious in 1999 and more oriented towards gender equality than men
were in 1993 and 2005. Dynamically it can be seen that in 1999 and 2005
women are more religious and identify especially with the authority in
comparison with the men` s situation and to their own situation in the precedent
years.
The analyses (ANOVA) made on age categories (18-23, 24-29, 30-35)
did not reveal significant differences in the value identifications either
synchronically or diachronically.
Conclusions
The main question I have followed throughout the text was: „What is
the identity profile of Romanian young people, in the axiological level?” In
search of the answer I started from the idea of a theoretical definition of identity
and the search for its analysis methodology. I showed that the best method of
study is that of collective identifications. In a strict matter of speaking, the
identitary profile was not investigated in its entirety, but only its axiological
dimension. Thus, I was trying to show how these identifications are structured
and what their dynamics are during the 1993-2005 period of time. I discovered,
as was expected based on the contemporary theories of social axiology, that the
values to which the youngsters adhere to are systematically grouped into two
clusters: one indicating openness to change and the other showing a
conservative attitude. The values that have been identified as belonging to the
first cluster are: support for alternative family models, equity, permissiveness
and a liberal social model, whereas the ones belonging to the second cluster are:
religiosity, the idea of authority, intolerance and support for gender inequality.
The synchronic analysis, in which I built a hierarchy based on items of
the S. Schwartz model, has showed that in 2005, the top of youngsters’
preferences tends to be more conservative. In other words, I have noticed that
young people identify more with values labeled as conservatory (tradition,
conformity, security) rather than with those of openness to change (autonomy
and stimulation).
After a diachronic analysis of identifications with these categories of
values, I realized that, generally speaking, a relatively constant growth can be
observed (from 1993 to 1999 and from 1999 to 2005) in support of conservative
values and a decrease in values related to openness to change. While for the
differentiation between men and women, the collective-categorical interplay
250 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Identity and axiological profile: value identifications for Romanian young people
does not show great differences, for the rural-urban it shows a tendency of
differentiation that is more and more pronounced concerning identifications, as
young people in the rural area become significantly more conservative and less
open to change over time.
Thus, in the 1993-2005 dynamic, in the axiological profile of young
people, the most significant characteristic that seems to be revealed along with
the passage of time is the “conservative” trait (in which values like religiosity
and authority play the main role) while the characteristic of “openness to
change” is less pronounced and seems to keep becoming so.
Although I did not intend to analyze all of the causes that determine
these tendencies in the value identifications of young people, it is reasonable to
assume that they are part of the more general picture of social changes that the
Romanian society is experiencing20. If the post-revolutionary “euphoria” from
the beginning of the 90s has left a strong mark on youngsters’ options towards
change and liberalism, the reign of the transition that brought with it a growth in
the social risks, a diminishing of perspectives, a decline in trust and hope and a
heightening of pessimism (Rusu, & Bălăşoiu, 2005) makes these options
weaker. It is still expected that, on an average term, as the Romanian society
becomes more stable and modern, more integrated in the European complex, as
the culture of mistrust (Sztompka, 1996, 1998) will vanish, young people
(especially those in the urban areas) will reorient themselves and will identify
more with the values that belong to the dimensions of openness, change and
social liberalism.
20
For details concerning these changes related to various problems discussed by
Romanian authors from different perspectives, see Sandu (1999); Mărginean (1999);
Zamfir (1999); Bădescu (2002); Iluţ (2004) Voicu (2005a, 2005b); Voicu (2005);
Comşa (2006); Vlăsceau (2007) etc.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Annex
Part A – The used indexes in cluster and ANOVA analysis and in their way of construction
1. RELIGIOSITY
The steps in the construction process of the index are as it follows:
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
2. PERMISIVITY
Variables Communalities Saturations
1993 1999 2005 1993 1999 2005
how justified is homosexuality 0,283 0,403 0,461 0,532 0,635 0,679
how justified is prostitution 0,383 0,383 0,586 0,619 0,619 0,766
how justified is abortion 0,546 0,519 0,565 0,739 0,720 0,751
how justified is divorce 0,486 0,657 0,583 0,697 0,810 0,763
how justified is euthanasia 0,255 0,337 0,453 0,505 0,580 0,673
The explained variation 39% 46% 53%
KMO 0, 676 0, 803 0, 771
The correlation* with the Index** of
0,990 0,989 1,000
Permisivity
Note: * All of the correlations are significant for p=0,000
**The index is computed based on the saturation of the 2005 factor.
The used method of extraction: Principal Axis Factoring.
The answers to the used items were measured on a scale of 1 to 10, where 1 means not
at all justified and 10 means totally justified. The cases of a refusal to answer (I will not
answer) and in the case of indecision (I do not know) were treated as missing values.
3. INTOLERANCE
Communalities Saturations
does not accept drug addicts as neighbors 0,650 0,689 0,577 0,806 0,830 0,760
does not accept homosexuals as neighbors 0,480 0,509 0,267 0,693 0,713 0,516
does not accept heavy drinkers as neighbors 0,308 0,315 0,439 0,555 0,562 0,662
The explained variation 48% 50% 43%
KMO 0,657 0,659 0,644
The correlation* with the Index** of
0,984 0,983 1,000
Intolerance
Note: * All of the correlations are significant for p=0,000
**The index is computed based on the saturation of the 2005 factor.
The used method of extraction: Principal Axis Factoring.
The three analyzed items are dichotomist (the possible answers are
Mentioned/Unmentioned). The cases of a refusal to answer (I will not answer) and in
the case of indecision (I do not know) were treated as missing values.
The name of the index is given by the fact that most of the young
people (as the following table shows) are against the acceptance of these
categories of individuals as their neighbors.
4. AUTHORITY
The individuals in the sample group were asked to specify which are
the most important things children could learn at home. A maximum of five
choices were allowed, from a list including among others: Independence,
Feeling of responsibility, Imagination, Perseverance, Hard work, Thrift, saving
money and things, Religious faith and Obedience. Each person received a point if
choosing any of the four attributes that were not underlined and were deducted a
point if choosing any of the first four attributes (the underlined ones).
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
doing practically the same job. One finds out the other earns much more than
she does. Still, the better paid secretary is faster, more efficient and more
reliable in her job. In your opinion is it fair or not that a secretary earn more
than the other? (Possible answers: fair/unfair)
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Incomes should be made more equal There should be larger income differences
as incentives for individual effort
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1
Parts of this work were carried out at the European Data Laboratory for Comparative
Social Research (ZA-EUROLAB). Access to the ZA-EUROLAB was supported by the
European Community under the “Structuring the European Research Area” specific
programme Research Infrastructures Action in the 6th Framework Programme, (project
026142 RITA, ZA-EUROLAB 01-06-MV).
2
On the duality of the transition, see the article by Claudiu Tufiş about the support for
democracy and market economy, included in this volume.
3
Such approaches existed starting with the early 90s (see, for instance, Sztompka,
1993), but, as compared to the whole transitology literature, represented rather isolated
manifestations until the end of the respective decade.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
4
At the time of writing, the aggregate WVS 2005-2006 data set have not yet included
all the European countries, but only a few.
262 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
Tolerance
diversity
Rationalization
secularization
supernatural forces
ty
ivi
on ry
igi to
ex
efl
el n a
Religion; r
f r pla
y o ex
PM
c it the
c a st in • globalization
u
pa
st r
• dev. of technology
M
Di
• increasing prosperity
Material
security
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
market. If agriculture used to dominate the traditional society and the industry
was preponderant in the modern period, in late modernity, the technological
progress highly increases work productivity, and this, in conjunction with the
relative wealth and the extremely diversified individual needs 5, transforms the
service sector in the main employer.
Once the burden of the basic needs is eliminated, with more free time at
their disposal (due to the same high productivity, in conjunction with the life
expectancy on the rise), individuals start to be more and more motivated by the
impulse to satisfy their superior needs. The need for self-expression and self-
affirmation manifests through the pursuit of knowledge, through a higher focus
on leisure and leisure quality, through experimenting new roles and new
situations, through hedonism, etc.
Post-modernization is far from being a completely different process
than modernization. It rather represents a natural continuation of the modern
processes. Some of the tendencies seen in modernization (the growth in the
levels of tolerance, rationalization, etc) further develop in late modernity. Other
transformations are new, marking deviation from the initial path of social
change. Figure 1 symbolically suggests this.
This presentation of the processes of modernization and post-
modernization is nevertheless reductionist. The extent and the objective of this
material (the comparative description of the dynamic of values in Romania)
determines me to describe only these general tendencies, without going into
details, without mentioning different criticisms and variations of the theory.
More, the above evolutionist story is not valid as such for any society. It
broadly describes the main trajectories of European societies, particularly the
Western ones. The Eastern societies have followed similar paths, with the
syncope of the communist experiment. Communism, although a modern project
by many up of its facets and goals, has lead to a rather fake modernity or
pseudo-modernity. Sztompka (1993: 137)6 describes the respective society as a
product of the top-down modernization process, manifested however only in
certain areas of social life, and larded with many traditionalist relics, some of
which (like authoritarianism, the lack of autonomy, dependence) were imposed
by the modernization instance (the state, the communist elite) and were adorned
with symbols that, in fact, were just imitations of the Western modernity (like
the institution of voting with regards to political elections7). Social values were
5
The high productivity of work in the industrial and agriculture areas reduces the need
for workforce in these sectors. The diversification of needs is associated with a high
demand for different services (see next paragraphs), stimulating the massive
employment in the service sector.
6
For similar argumentations, see Winiecki, 1988; Voicu, 2001, 2005b; Chiribucă, 2004; etc.
7
In communist Romania for example, elections were organized every 4 years, but the
real results of the vote were never shared with the public. The official handouts always
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indicated the expected winners. In all probability, the votes were not even counted or
centralized.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
8
They agreed “in a very large extent” or “in a large extent” with the question (on a scale
from 1 to 4).
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Between tradition and postmodernity?
9
The index was calculated as a factor score, using the presented variable and two more
4-point scales, including the following: “I would agree to an increase in taxes if the
extra money is used to prevent environmental pollution” and “The Government has to
reduce environmental pollution but it should not cost me any money”. I have tested
(using Amos 4), the stability of the factor structure on the data from the 1990-1993,
1999-2002, 2005-2006 EVS/WVS waves.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
tolerance. Like most of the ex-communist countries (except for Slovenia10 and
Poland11), in 1993, Romanians did not accept as their neighbors any of the
groups deviant from the majority norm. Alcoholics, homosexuals, drug users
were all rejected in the same degree, by three quarters of the population. People
with AIDS were also categorically rejected by two thirds of Romanians.
In most of the European countries, ethnic and religious intolerance is
lower than the intolerance for the deviant groups. In 1993, a third of Romanians
did not want a person of another race as their neighbor; this percentage was
comparable with that of the individuals who did not want immigrants or foreign
workers as their neighbors. Again, as with all the former communist countries 12,
Romania was, at the beginning of the 1990s, one of the less tolerant European
societies. The same behavior could be observed with regard to the rejection of
Jews (a third of the population did not want a Jew as a neighbor) and gypsies
(three fourths of the population rejecting them).
In comparison to 1990, in 1999, most of the European countries
displayed lower levels of intolerance (Figure 2). The same situation happened in
Romania as well, and the tendency of the decreasing of intolerance manifested
all the way to 2005. The WVS wave of 2005-2006 indicates a decrease to nearly
50% of the levels registered in 1990, with regard to people with AIDS, with the
figures reaching 33% in the present day. The levels of intolerance towards
alcoholics (66%), homosexuals (59%) and drug users (74%) are still high.
Similarly, the percentages of intolerance towards immigrants and other races
dropped to 16% and 18%. In all of these cases, the levels of intolerance
registered in 1997 and 1999 are between the values of 1993 and those of 2005.
10
Slovenia is in a special situation, due to the fact that the level of development was
higher even during the communist period, as well as to the higher interaction with the
Western world. This probably explains the substantially higher level of tolerance
registered by the 1990-1993 EVS/WVS wave.
11
For Poland, data was collected in 1990, when the Polish society was still marked by
the wave of generalized enthusiasm due to the end of the communist regime. This state
of mind may be the source of a higher level of tolerance (Grzymała-Kazłowska, 2004:
156). Bulgaria, as well as the Baltic countries, displayed in the early 90s a lower
tolerance than Romania, and a much lower one as compared to Poland.
12
The exception is Poland (see the previous note). Slovenia, still involved in the very
active events with ethnical connotations that marked the independence from
Yugoslavia, showed in 1990 high levels of ethnical and religious intolerance.
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Figure 2. Intolerance in Romania in a European context (1999, 2005) and in
dynamics (1993-2005)
7 FR
6 HU
1999-2001
2005-2006
ethnical & racial intolerance
5
RO-93
RO-99
RO-2005
4
TR
RO-93
3
BG
RU AL
RO-99
HRPL
BA
2 BE RO-2005 SK EE
GR IT SI MK LI
CZ MD
SI BY
IE FI IT N.Irl PL UA
MT
FRES FI RU
1 AT GB NL
LU LA
DK DE PTDE GB
YU
SE AD NL IC
SE
0
2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
intolerance towards deviant groups
Sources: EVS/WVS 1993, 1999-2001, 2005-2006.
Note. The subjects have been asked if they would like to have as a neighbor a person from
different social groups. The intolerance index towards deviant groups sum up the number of
groups rejected as neighbors by each respondent; from the following four possible choices: heavy
drinkers, drug addicts, people who have AIDS, and homosexuals. Ethnic and racial intolerance is
related to the following two groups: individuals of a different race, respectively
immigrants/foreign workers. Each of the two indexes was later transformed so that it would vary
from 0 (maximum tolerance) to 10 (maximum intolerance).
The comparison with the rest of Europe is difficult to make for 2005,
because at the moment when this material was written, it was available data
only for a few countries. Figure 2 allows for the observation of the same gap in
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
relation to Western Europe13, but also of the similarity with the evolution of
Poland between 1999 and 2005. Additionally, if Romania and Poland register
significant growths of tolerance between 1999 and 2005, the Western countries
tend to stagnate at the same values as in 1999, while societies like Holland,
Finland, Sweden, Germany, and Great Britain become slightly less tolerant
towards the deviant groups.
The intolerance towards gypsies, although in a continuous decrease in
the post-communist period14, is still high: in 2005, 48% of the Romanian
population did not want gipsy neighbors. This percentage is close to that
registered in Slovenia (39%) and far lower than the one in Italy (74%).
Overall, in Romania, the postcommunist period marked an increase of
tolerance towards the others. Normativism is still dominant, but interactions
with the other life styles and diversity increased the knowledge that the average
Romanian has about the alterity, and facilitates a better understanding and
acceptance. However, intolerance remains high as compared to most of the
Western societies.
Work ethos
For the communist regimes, work was the central declarative value.
People got their wealth from work, and the complete occupation of the
workforce was an essential goal of these regimes. In Romania, people did not
have only the right, but also the duty to work.
The right to work is more of a modern conceptual product. In the
primitive societies, not working was equivalent to not surviving. The existence
of the individual, of the collective and, in the end, of the human species, was
conditioned by the participation of all in the productive activities, the only ones
that brought food and minimal security in the face of nature’s challenges.
Only in certain stages of modernity, characterized by unemployment
and apparent supra-population, the right to work became an element that took a
prominent place in the public debate, nowadays being guaranteed to all citizens.
The abundance of jobs was over. More than this, the work of the individual was
no longer essential for the survival of the rest. On the other hand, normativism
implied an equalitarian conception and the need that each individual participate
in the workforce. People were represented as identical beings, with needs and
pleasures that could not be anything else but identical, so that all had to work in
the same degree, so that they would not differ from the rest.
13
The violent ethnic incidents of 2005-2006 make France an atypical case from this
point of view.
14
See M.Voicu, 2007.
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Table 1. Attitudes towards work in Romania and a few other European countries
Romania Poland Italy Germany Sweden
% „approval”* 1999 2005 1999 2005 1999 2005 1999 2005 1999 2005
To fully develop your talents, you need
71% 75% 91% 87% 91% 87% 72% 61% 50% 40%
to have a job
People who don’t work turn lazy 78% 80% 76% 74% 76% 74% 74% 72% 36% 39%
Work is a duty towards society 74% 66% 71% 66% 71% 66% 66% 68% 58% 61%
Sources: EVS/WVS 1999-2001, 2005-2006. * Each of the five items are accepted
answers on a 5-point scale, expressing the agreement with the given affirmation. The
figures in the table indicate, for each country, the percentages of those persons who
declared that they “agree strongly” or “agree” to the respective affirmation.
The data reflects these tendencies. Table 1 suggests that work is more
important in countries which have a lower economic output than those societies
which are more traditionalist from a cultural perspective. Romania, Poland and
Italy are in a visible contrast with Sweden. For these countries, particularly for
Romania, work is a given without which life cannot be imagined. The position
of Italy indicates the fact that the communist tradition is not necessary the one
which determines this attitude in Romania and Poland. A more traditional
cultural pattern might be the explanation for the higher support for the salience
of work.
An index of work ethos15, synthetically exploiting the information from
Table 1, shows that most of the European societies experienced relative
stability with regard to work ethos. The index displays are at similar levels in
15
The index is built as a factor score, based on the five items from Table 1. Indecision
and the refusal to answer (“don’t know” and “no answer”) were recoded as mid-scale.
The stability of the factor structure has been tested using Structral Equation Modeling.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
1999 and 2005, and ordering the countries according to the respective values is
likely to lead to similar rankings for the two timeframes. In 1999, across
Europe, only in Turkey did the people give work more importance that in
Romania16, while a few other societies (Albany, Bulgaria, Hungary, Macedonia
and Poland) were similar to the Romanian space. The Mediterranean countries,
as well as the ex-soviet ones, displayed average levels, while in the West and
North, the place of work was not as central. In 2005, all of the European
countries for which there was available data17, including Poland, registered a
significantly lower level of work ethos than Romania.
Traditionalism is one of the possible explanations for the high
Romanian attachment toward work. One should also notice that this also reflects
in the behaviors: data from 2003 shows that across the EU member or candidate
states, except for Turkey, considering those people who had a job, the
Romanians were working the highest number of hours per week (about 50), at
more than 10 hours per week more than to the EU average (Voicu, 2006b).
Religiosity
One of the chapters included in this book discusses in great detail the
salience of religious belief in Romania. Mălina Voicu, the author of the chapter,
makes the argument that Romanians are some of the most religious Europeans,
and that their religious belief grew significantly between 1993 and 1999, and
since then has been somewhat constant. I will not reiterate this data here, but I
will mention three anecdotes, all connected to the religious practice where
Romania apparently finds an average value in comparison to the rest of the
European countries.
In February 2007, there was a meeting of the main EVS investigators of
each European country, in Sibiu. One of the present Dutch sociologists was very
surprised by the very high number of the churches in the city.
Only a short time before, I was witness to a discussion among some of
my students, about the religiosity of their generation. One of the participants, a
young woman, defined herself and acted as being not so religious in comparison
with the rest. Accidentally, it happened that later I drove her home and I noticed
that, when we passed by a church, she crossed herself. This gesture has
reawakened an older observation in me: I have never visited a country where
people would cross themselves when passing by a church as often as in
Romania.
16
All the significance tests of this chapter considers p≤0,05.
17
Mentioned in the introduction of this volume: Romania, Italy, Poland, France,
Slovenia, Finland, Sweden, Great Britain, Germany, Holland, Andorra, and Russia.
274 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
18
Until recently, each bus driver has been assigned to only one car and each bus was
assigned to maximum of two drivers.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
For Romania, the 1993 EVS/WVS wave did not included items related
to expectations for the future. However, the questions regarding the main
qualities which children can be encouraged to learn at home are available and
indicate a society that is significantly less traditionalist than Poland or Malta
and similar to Hungary, Northern Ireland, Portugal, Russia, Slovakia and
Turkey. All the other European societies are significantly less traditionalist.
Hard working and religious faith were, in 1993, close to those of perseverance
19
See Hagenaars and others, 2003 for a similar index, labeled in the same way. A
detailed analysis of the parental values of socialization, starting with the same set of
items, is proposed by Paula Tufiş in this book.
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277
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 3. Value orientations towards authoritarianism in Romania and in Europe
(1999, 2005)
„Expects more emphasis on family and a greater respect for authority”: the summative
index adds a point for each positive opinion towards of the two variables describing
“various changes in our way of life that might take place in the near future”: “more
emphasis on family” and “greater respect for authority”
Both indexes were transformed in this graphic so that they would vary from 0 to 10.
Democracy of authoritarianism?
The same discussion around authoritarianism is common for the latent
orientations towards the type of organizing society considered as being the best.
One’s position on the democracy-authoritarianism axis is directly linked to the
opposition between modernity and traditionalism. Modernity brought a social
organization that wanted to be rational, where societies are ruled by everyone’s
participation, most often by voting on both the legislative and executive
decisions. At the opposite side, the authoritarian leadership of a single person,
of military or technocratic instances20 is a way of replacing the democratic
principle of representation with the holding of power by a person or a group of
persons. These kinds of alternatives constitute traditional ways of organizing the
society.
In a chapter dedicated to democratic orientations, included in this
current book, Claudiu Tufiş discusses in detail the undoubted preference of
Romanians for democracy, stronger and stronger since 1993 until the present
day. A nuance has to be noticed: the meaning of democracy may vary.
Romania is still one of the few European societies in which the model
of an authoritarian leader “who does not have to bother with parliament and
elections” receives the approval of the majority (see Table 3). Even if it does
not gather such great support, a military regime would have far more partisans
in Romania than in most of the other European countries. Also, the governments
made of “experts” are highly supported as well as in most of the ex-communist
countries.
20
The governments of “experts” contain, in essence, a rational attitude, induced by a
division of labor that considers the specialization of jobs and professions. The
individuals who are specialized to express opinions about the development would be, in
this context, entitled to lead the society. But this invalidates another characteristic of the
democratic rationality, referring the legitimating of the political decisions through the
vote of the majority, which has to be convinced of the rationality of each of the political
decisions and has to participate in the consultation process. Implicitly, the technocratic
rule is an authoritarian one, not fully considering the individual freedoms and
autonomy.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Table 3: Attitudes regarding the political organization in Romania and in other
European countries: 1999-2005
% subjects who answered that the Romania Poland Italy Germany Sweden
following ways of governing a country
are 1999 2005 1999 2005 1999 2005 1999 2005 1999 2005
”very good” or “ fairly good”*
Having a strong leader who does not
have to bother with parliament and 57% 66% 20% 27% 15% 14% 15% 13% 21% 18%
elections
Having experts, not government, make
decisions according to what they think is 74% 60% 77% 73% 46% 44% 50% 45% 39% 35%
best for the country
Having the army rule the country 23% 17% 15% 19% 4% 6% 2% 3% 7% 5%
Having a democratic political system 75% 83% 73% 73% 92% 92% 91% 92% 95% 97%
Data source: EVS/WVS 1999-2001, 2005-2007. * The exact question was: “I’m going
to describe various types of political systems and ask what you think about each as a
way of governing this country. For each one, would you say it is a very good, fairly
good, fairly bad or very bad way of governing this country?”
21
The index is calculated as a factor score, based on the original variables, with the
indecision (‘Don’t know’) and missing values (not answering) being recoded into the
scale mid-point. The stability of the factor structure in 2005 compared to 1999 has been
tested using SEM (Amos).
280 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
statement in 1993, 11% in 1999 and 14% in 2005. The trend is similar to that of
Europe, with more and more Europeans, especially among the Western ones,
people seeing marriage as an institution from the past. It has to be noticed that,
in many other societies, in this respect, as in most of the above described ones,
the traditionalist orientations are less present than in Romania. For instance, in
1999, in France, Belgium and Luxembourg, the percentage of those who
defined marriage as outdated was as high as a third of the population (the
highest among the considered European countries).
The tendency of the European societies is to maintain family as a very
important, if not essential element of the social structure. Its form seems to be
undergoing a changing process, and marriage, as a founding event, slightly
diminishes its role. This implies only a reserved attitude towards formalizing it
in front of a representative of a public authority or a priest, which is considered
less and less necessary. In this static image, Romania finds a place rather in the
more conservative half of the European countries. However, the cross-European
variation in this respect is relatively small, as compared to the other dimensions
that are being analyzed in this chapter.
There is a domain of social life, that is traditionally linked to the
structure of family life, and which values seem to show a more pronounced
dynamic. This is the way of structuring the gender relations. Some analysis of
the values in this domain (M. Voicu, 2004; Voicu & Voicu, 2002) shows that in
1999, Romania shared a common pattern with the other ex-communist
countries: The presence of women in the marketplace was a natural reality, with
the value orientations of the population supporting it at the same levels as in the
North of the continent (less than in Sweden, but more than in Finland or
Denmark) and significantly more than in the Western societies. On the other
hand, gender equality inside the household was supported in 1999 by less
Romanians than in most of the Western, Northern, Southern and even Eastern
countries: women were, to a large extent, the only ones in charge of the
household duties. Other analyses (B.Voicu, 2006; Voicu, Voicu, Strapkova,
2006), this time referring to behaviors and not to values, allow some nuances:
Romania shows one of the more equalitarian models in Europe in relation to the
time spent by each gender doing domestic work, with the exception of raising
children, which is, almost exclusively a women’s responsibility.
In all of the three reference waves (1993, 1999, and 2005), the
EVS/WVS data allow observing the evolution over time of only two types of
values: if women should be part of the workforce22, and to what extend should
the labor market be equally open to men and women23.
22
Measured through a single item, namely the disapproval with the following statement:
“Being a housewife is just as fulfilling as working for pay”. The possible answers were
given on a 4 point scale: strongly agree, agree, disagree, strongly disagree.
23
The orientation towards that particular value is tested through a single item as well:
“When jobs are scarce, men have more right to a job than women”, accepting the
answers: “Agree”, “Disagree”, “Neither”.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 4. Gender values in the labor market: Romania in a European context
significantly to 65%, far superior to all of the societies for which the data is
available (Figure 4). Three factors probably contribute to the explanation of
these phenomena. One is in close connection with work ethos, work being one
of the central values of the traditionalist society, as we have already made the
argument in one of the preceding sections. The second explanation may find its
source in poverty: to reach a minimal living standard, only one salary is not
enough. The third factor is related to the ideology of equality in the workplace,
which was intensely promoted during communism and adopted as a powerful
value orientation.
With respect to the second dimension, things are different. Romania is
constantly placed among the traditionalist countries when looking at the
equality between men and women: if there are only a small number of jobs, men
should get an advantage. This does not affect the values of support for the
presence of women in the labor market, but, as a consequence, jobs with higher
responsibility must be occupied by men24. Such an explanation is consistent
with the higher responsibilities that Romanians confer to women in what
concerns the process of child care and the raising of children. The direct
consequence over family is, in fact, representing it as a hierarchical unit, in
which the man is the one who decides25 everything.
24
The scarcity of jobs implies the choice between committing the responsibility of
earnings to women or to men. The preference for inequality works here as an indicator
to give large responsibilities to men.
25
For some data and references about this subject, see Vlăsceanu, 2007: 205-2006.
26
The respondents were asked to indicate, from a list of four items which two were the
most important: “There is a lot of talk these days about what the aims of this country
should be for the next ten years. […]. If you had to choose, which of the things on this
card would you say is most important? 1. Maintaining order in the nation, 2. Giving
people more say in important government decisions, 3. Fighting rising prices, 4.
Protecting freedom of speech”. Individuals who chose items 1 and 3 are labeled as
materialist, and those who chose items 2 and 4 are labeled as post materialist. Any
other combination leads to the labeling of that individual as having a mixed orientation,
between materialism and post-materialism.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
maintained the same over the entire period, and practically equal (45-48%,
respectively 47-48%).
Consequently, Romania is among the European societies with a high
level of materialism, next to most of the ex-communist countries, from which it
does not differ very much. Poland, for example, in 2005 had 7% post-
materialists, the same as in 1999. In 1999, Lithuania had 6% postmaterialists,
Hungary had 2% and the Czech Republic had 10%. The Western societies and
particularly the Northern ones displayed much higher levels: in 2005, in
Germany, 20% of the population showed post-materialist orientations; in Italy
there were 19%; in Sweden - 23%; in England - 24%; and in Holland - 19%.
The structure of the population indicates for Romania a majority of materialists
and individuals with mixed orientation, both groups with equal percentages. The
pattern is common in most of the ex-communist societies, except for the Czech
Republic, Slovenia, Poland and the Baltic countries, were, like in the West,
those with mixed orientations form the larger group.
On the whole, the levels of post-materialism decreased from West to
East, and from North to South, with Romania belonging more to the group of
countries orientated towards materialism.
It is still possible that, under the impact of value contagiousness created
by the effect of the massive circulatory migration, of economic growth and of
access to university studies, the countries that today are oriented towards
materialism will see a decrease in this orientation, making room for other value
orientations guided towards superior needs.
27
Inglehart (1997), Inglehart and Baker (2000), Inglehart and Welzel (2005).
284 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
that they partially overlap. The first axis opposes in essence the modern and the
traditional value orientations. The second contrasts orientations specific to the
late modernity to the modern ones.
Both analyses similarly order the European countries on the two axes.
The relations between the two pairs of factors and other indicators (those of
economical growth or of the democratic orientation for example) are
empirically consistent for both pairs and satisfy diverse theoretical expectations.
In spite of all this, I would say that both approaches have the
disadvantage of treating the two dimensions as independent from one another.
In other words, the modernization and post-modernization processes would be
completely different and unconnected. It is true that none of the mentioned
authors presents the analyzed axes as dimensions of modernity or post
modernity. However, as I have already mentioned, the way of structuring these
factors makes them overlap with the two processes. On the other hand, the
whole literature dedicated to postmodernity28, implies continuity between the
two processes, as it has been already argued in the first section of this chapter.
Hence, the expectation that it is possible to build a model which considers two
factors of modernization and post-modernization that are not orthogonal, but
would accept to correlate29.
Such can be the one depicted in Figure 11 of the Annex30. The two
described factors from that model cover the modernity – traditionalism and
modernity – post-modernity polarities. The goodness of fit indexes shows that
the empirical data supports both the existence of two factors and of the
covariance relation that ties them.
Several important precautions should be considered before drawing any
conclusions about the theoretical consistency of the proposed model. First, it
must be noticed that a reduced number of indicators has been included, as
opposed to the two studies mentioned before. I tried to reduce the number of
variables, and to include in the model only those ones existing for the three
EVS-WVS waves which I am using, in order to be able to compute scores that
would allow the analysis of the dynamics of Romanians’ orientations towards
modernity, in comparison with other European societies. The problem is that the
three waves do not repeat all the items that might have been considered in order
to have a complete model to describe the modernization and postmodernization
28
No matter whether it uses different labels, such as late modernity, reflexive
modernity, risk society, postindustrial society, etc.
29
The option to extract orthogonal factors, rotated so that the dimensions’ interpretation
is simplified, is without any doubt a legitimate choice, at least when the goal is the
analysis of major tendencies of structuring the field of social values.
30
I have proposed another model that accepts correlations between the two factors in B.
Voicu, 2005b: p. 192. The model that I propose in this paper is a simplification and an
improvement of the previous one, also using only items that might be found in the 1990-
1993, 1999-2001 and 2005-2006 waves of the value surveys.
285
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
processes. Moreover, in some of the waves, for certain countries, not all the
relevant items are available. However, the high level of correlations between the
variables assures that, even if a smaller number of indicators are included,
similar factors will be obtained31.
Apart from the limited availability of the data, there is a technical
obstacle that requires cautious interpretation of the results. For analyzing the
data, I have employed Amos 4, which did not allow weighting systems to be
used. However, subsequent validation of the results, through analyzing the
relations with other variables (external validation) indicates a high level of
consistency for the extracted factors.
Another problem could be represented by the not very high levels of
some of the saturations observed through the analysis. A relatively recent
discussion (Jagodinsky, 2003) brings into focus the need to better explain each
of the analyzed value orientations. Jagodinsky pleads for reporting models with
higher levels of saturation. His argument is based on a potential criticism
regarding the inclusion of some of the attitudes and opinions measured through
questionnaires as being manifestations of more general value orientations, like
the orientation towards modernity. A low saturation coefficient indicates that
the respective values and attitudes would be only loosely explained by the
respective value orientations. This might implicitly require a better specification
of the models. However, particularly in the case of the individual analysis, the
errors of measurement are higher and may reduce the saturations. More than
this, as Jagodinsky shows, the models do not necessarily have to include
complete explanations for each variable. In the case of the models presented in
the current paper, as the analysis refers to the individual level and the sign of
each of the observed relations has a strong theoretical support, the model can be
considered valid, even if some of the saturations are lower.
Besides all these, the main problem of such a model is, in my opinion,
the nonlinearity of the relation between the two major processes: modernization
and post-modernization. The two processes come from one another and are
related to each other, but, as it is illustrated in Figure 1, the link between them is
not and cannot be one of direct proportionality. Postmodernization begins when
the modernity is not yet complete. At that moment, the speed of modernization
tends to decrease. Rationality has already spread in most of the social groups
and patterns of thinking, and suddenly, spectacular changes are unlikely to
occur. Any increase in the modernization level can not be sharp. On the other
hand, the postmodernization process is just at the beginning. Consequently, it
may have enormous growth potential, and the pace of the accompanying
changes can be relatively high. At least induced by the value contagion due to
the international migration and to globalization, elements of postmodernization
31
See for this Inglehart, Welzel, 2005.
286 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
may appear in the traditional societies as well where modernization has a higher
speed.
The relation is therefore complex, not following the logic of linear or at
least exponential dependency. This makes the relation very difficult to model,
particularly considering the current limitations of the structural equation
modeling software. A possible solution for this problem could be the
independent analysis of each identified factor. This is the option I will use next.
Figures 12 and 13 (from the Annex) show the structure of the factors of
traditionalism and postmodernism. These latent dimensions are the same with
the ones from the previous model; only this time they are independently
analyzed. The factor structure is the same in all in the three analyzed timeframes
(Table 4, Annex).
For certain EVS/WVS waves, the questionnaires miss few of the
considered items. Therefore, in order to be able to include most of the European
societies in the comparative analyses, I chosen to work with the reduced models
which are described in Figures 5 and 6. The respective models continue to have
acceptable goodness of fit indexes and conceptual consistency.
,21
e3
,44 ,42 Religiousity
TRADITIONALISM ,28
Materialism
e5
-,24
,64
e10 e18 ,13 ,09
e16
authority, Women
national pride e19 Family=important
nu autonimy to work
287
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
authority, Women=Men
e10 e17
not authonomy at the job
-,59 ,42
e6
,27
POST-MODERN Postmaterialism
,25
Leisure=important
,57
The factor scores computed using the reduced models show extremely
high correlations (over 0.9) with their “complete” versions, which indicate their
relevance. Even more, they positively correlate with the orthogonal factors
extracted by Inglehart, at about 0.532.
In the following sections, I will use these factors estimated through the
reduced models to describe Romania as compared to other European societies,
and to investigate the differences between different status groups within the
Romanian society.
32
The factors are practically the same, but they are not subjected to an orthogonal
rotation.
288 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
A map of Europe
The communist regime33, in its continuous search for legitimacy,
strongly promoted the idea of Romania as a modern state, relatively well
developed, with a highly educated and efficient workforce. The completely
enslaved press, the results in sport, the results of the Romanian pupils in the
international school Olympics, the promoting of the social group of writers as
exponents of the modernization levels were ways meant to convince the
population of how modern, high performing and developed Romania was.
Meanwhile, the political regime proposed an autocratic social structure,
based on traditionalist logic. The economical processes were governed by non-
rational rules as well. How much, where and under what kind of conditions one
should produce were not the results of any kind of efficiency calculi, or rational
planning, but the answers to political commands often meant to convince the
population that the society was truly functional and could, without any
difficulty, sustain the wellbeing of its citizens. In a Romania of severe penury,
as it was during the 80s, the government was involved in an obvious
conspicuous consumption: extremely expensive spectacles to praise the party
and its leader, financial help for underdeveloped societies, but with the same
role for consolidating the status of the leader, strong investments to a few top
performs in sports or education, to underline the society’s capacity to have
better results than any other country.
The visible support elements of this kind of discourse were the
modernizations of the infrastructure and housing. Although incomplete, the
post-War urban development represented a step forwards as compared to the
problems of a society almost completely lacking in public utilities,
infrastructure, urban transportation, running water and pluming, etc, as was
Romania between the World Wars.
The model proposed by the communist rulers was apparently modern
(especially through the technological differences and the changes in
infrastructure compared to the previous period), but still profoundly traditional
through the social organization, the hierarchical structure of human relations,
the generalized mistrust, the tendency for conspicuous consumption that would
be eventually transferred at the individual level as well, etc.
I have sketched in the previous sections, links between this recent past
and the value orientations in various domains, discussing the positioning of
Romania as compared to other European countries. Using the aggregate indexes
of modernism, respectively postmodernism, one may analyze how
contemporary Romanian society, in its more general cultural traits, is different
or similar to other societies, and how it has changed over the past 15 years.
33
The following paragraphs synthesize a perspective of the way the Romanian
communist regime functioned; this perspective is based on the analysis of vast
literature described in detail in B. Voicu, 2005a.
289
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
The map from Figure 7 describes the differences between the European
countries, concerning the orientation towards traditionalism. This is about
opposing the more religious, more normative, more materialist, more orientated
towards the rejection of women from the job market, to those who have
tendencies toward secularization, autonomy, gender equality, etc.
Note: The darker a country is colored, the higher the average level of modernity is. The
countries colored in light grey are more traditional than the others.
Data sources: EVS/WVS 1999-2001. *For Norway and Great Britain I have used data
from the 1990-1993 wave. For Cyprus and Andorra I have used data from the 2005-
2006 wave. For the European countries colored in white (Turkey, Georgia, Armenia,
Azerbaijan, Switzerland, Croatia) no complete data were available.
34
I have considered the level of PIB/inhabitant, the percentages of those with tertiary
education within the 25-64 year old population, and Freedom House Civil Liberties
Score.
35
Finland knows a similar trajectory in the 90s: The economic boom of the 1980s came
together with a fast cultural modernization. The recession of the 1990s, worsened by the
break of the USSR with whom Finland had a large part of its commercial relations, is
marked by the return to more traditional values. The unrealistic hopes induced by the
previous growth are shattered, and the Finns started to fear the bankruptcy of the society
and the state as a whole. Unemployment grew during the 1990s, contributing also to the
decrease of trust in the institutions of the democratic order (Listhaug, 2003) and to the
re-orientation towards the traditional ones. The re-stabilization in the second part of the
1990s and the reprised growth both meant a new orientation towards modernity (I thank
Sakari Nurmela, from the TNS Gallup Finland, for his help in clearing this
explanation.).
291
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
town: 200.000+
employee
inhab.
high school
part-time
Banat town: 1-200.000 post-high school employee
Crişana-Maramureş inhab.
unfinished man self-employed
Oltenia highschool Orthodox Romanian
town: 30-100.000 Hungarian
Protestant
Moldova inhab. VET woman Gipsy unemployed
Valahia apprentince school
town: less than
Transilvania (Roman)-
30.000 inhab.
Catholic housewife
village: commune
center lower secondary
peripheral village incomplete retired
Dobrogea lower sec.
Note: The graphs are similarly scaled and represent the average values of the
modernity-traditionalism index described in the text, for the different status groups in
Romania indicated in the image, according to the WVS 2005 data.
Figure 8 allows for a few rough comparisons. There are some groups
who are clearly more modern than the rest of the population. Romanians from
larger cities and the ones with higher education display a higher likelihood to be
more modern. At the opposite side, there are the small villages and people with
less education. The size of the village or city and the level of education are the
characteristics that determine the more contrasting differences. A large city has
its own dynamics, a lifestyle that implies overstepping from the extended
family, the contact with different individuals, renouncing to the traditional
social control, a larger individual autonomy. Similarly, higher education allows
individuals to better understand and predict the social environment and the way
in which this is organized and enable them to easier cope with higher levels of
axiological uncertainty.
293
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 9. Modernity and traditionalism in Romania, in comparison to other
European countries
MODERNITY
Sweden 2005
Germany 2005
Finland 2005
Slovenia 2005
Italy 2005
Bulgaria 1999
Bucureşti 2005
Poland 2005
TRADITIONALISM
Romania 2005 Rep. Moldova 1999
Romania 1993
Romania 1999
village:
commune center
2005
Note: The figures in the graph are the averages of the modernity-traditionalism index
described in the text, in conformity to the WVS 2005-2006 and EVS/WVS 1999-2002
data.
36
Considering the percentage of tertiary graduates in the active population, respectively
the average wages and the GDP/capita.
37
Defined by Sandu (1999), the cultural areas display homogenous groupings of
counties when looking at the development levels, groupings that in fact are smaller
segmentations of the historical regions. For example, Walachia is divided as follows:
the Northern counties are grouped together (Argeş, Dâmboviţa, Prahova), the poor
294 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
the picture changes. For instance, Bucharest does not significantly differ from
Northern Walachia or Crişana; in Moldavia the Galaţi-Iaşi grouping are
significantly more modern than the rest of the region; in Walachia, the Northern
counties are significantly more modern than the ones from the south; in
Transylvania, the Sibiu-Braşov grouping is more modern than Covasna-
Harghita and Bistriţa-Sălaj. However, some caution is necessary when
interpreting these results, given the relatively small number of cases and the
small geographic dispersion of the sampling points in such small geographic
areas.
Ethnicity and religion do not generate significant differences.
Romanian, Hungarians and gypsies do not register differences in their levels of
modernity, with the same caution related to the small number of individuals
who have declared to belong to the last mentioned group. Orthodox, Catholics
and Protestant persons are not different as well, the only important opposition
being the one between Orthodox’s and Greco-Catholics. The latter ones, with
relatively many located in smaller communities in the rural area, tend to be
more traditionalist.
Some differences are noticeable when considering the employment
status. The occupationally active individuals (employed, self-employed/
employers) are less traditionalist than the inactive ones (retired, housewives).
Similarly, women are significantly less modern than men.
I have already shown that, in comparison to other European countries,
the degree of modernity in Romania is relatively low. The more modern groups
of the society make no exception. Bucharest, where the average cultural
modernity is the highest across the country, is significantly below the European
average. High school graduates, as well as the inhabitants of cities with a
population larger than 200.000, place at an average level similar to that of
Poland, one of the societies less oriented towards modernity when considering
the European societies as a whole.
Along with education and the size of the locality, age is the third socio-
demographic factor that determines the important variations within Romania.
The younger the individuals, the more modern they are. The 20-29 years old
cohort registered in 2005 a similar level to that of Poland as well, while the age
group of 30-39 years old gravitated around the Romanian country average. All
of the other age groups were significantly more traditional.
counties of the South form a second group (Teleorman, Giurgiu, Călăraşi, Ialomiţa), and
the counties of Buzău and Brăila form the third group.
295
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 10. The inter-generational differences in cultural modernity in Romania:
1993, 1999, and 2005
1993
1993
1999
modernity level
2005 1999
2005
2005
1993
1999
before 1924 1924-1933 1934-1943 1944-1953 1954-1963 1964-1973 1974-1983 after 1984
year of birth
Figure 10 also suggests that Romania respects the same patterns that are
to be found elsewhere with respect to the relation between age and cultural
modernity. The inter-generational differences are not induced purely by age:
older people are not more traditionalist solely because they are older. The
differences are in fact structurally related to the intrinsic differences between
generations. The today older generations tend to be less traditionalist than the
previous generations were at their age. For instance, the individuals who were
born between 1944 and 1953, were of ages 50-60 in 2005, being a little more
modern than the previous generation (individuals born between 1934 and 1943)
at the same age (meaning in 1993).
On the whole, all generations knew a withdraw process towards
traditionalism in 1999 compared to 1993. This is more evident at the young
cohorts, even if they continued to maintain a higher level of modernity than the
elderly. Moreover, these young cohorts (individuals that were less than 30 years
old in 1993 and less than 42 in 2005), continued the process of re-
traditionalization after 1999 as well, when the rest of the population tended to
orient toward cultural modernity more than in the 90s. The explanations are
multiple. They may come from the higher openness to new of the young
generations. In the 1990s, the “new” has largely meant the rediscovery of
identities and ways of doing things dating back to a rather old period of history,
namely the between-Wars period, a time marked by cultural traditionalism. The
repudiation of the recent communist history has led to the need to search for the
legitimacy of other “Golden Ages”38. Taking over values from this period, in
which Great Romania had reached its maximum of economic, social, politic and
artistic development, appeared as a natural consequence.
On the other hand, these cohorts cover the bulk of a generation who has
the conscience to have provoked a fundamental societal change in 1989,
through revolution. Therefore, it is natural that they would develop stronger
feelings of belonging in relation with the rediscovered values and ways of
doing, no matter if the respective values would be traditional or not. More, this
is a generation that has rapidly conquered important positions in the social
structure39, and that tries to preserve the new order, consolidating its own
power. Both arguments lead to the hypothesis of a growth in traditionalism even
after 1999, for these younger strata of society, being consistent with what the
empirical data show.
38
The communist propaganda used to label the Ceauşescu’s rule as the „Golden Age”.
39
See numerous young business men owning profitable companies, the large number of
successful professionals, with better situations than older fellow citizens with the same
educational levels and ascribed statuses. In the political space the respective generation
held in 2005 numerous important positions, including a few ministers, the presidency of
the Chamber of Deputies, several mayor portfolios, etc.
40
See Sawka (1999), Kuzio (2001), Pickel (2002), Pickavance (1999), Stark and Bruszt
(2002), Sztompka (1999), B. Voicu (2005a: 43-47).
297
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
other hand, in the beginning of the 90s, the thinking about development was still
paying tribute to the normativism of unique models, and to institutionalism,
considering that the forms are the sufficient prerequisite to regenerate content
and to ensure an acceptable human and social development. The discussion
about cultural differences, either inherited from the pre-communist period (B.
Voicu, 2005a) or generated by communism as a cultural trauma (Sztompka,
2000), eventually represented a constant presence in the analysis of post-
communist transformations, becoming an element of interest; a process which I
would label as being the one from the fifth transition (B. Voicu, 2005a: 43-47).
Eastern Europe, as I have already shown in this article, proved to be
less modernized than the West, and even less oriented towards modern values.
Romania is no exception, being one of the more traditionalist societies in
Europe. Without doubt, the process of cultural neo-modernization is still
contextually relevant for the problem of transition.
The initial teleology of the post-communist transition is in this sense
affected by two obstacles that are difficult to overcome. First, the West does not
offer any unique model of social organization. An immediate example for this
variability may come from considering the differences between the welfare
regime of the North, the continental conservatism, and the Mediterranean model
of the South41. However, there are several common traits of European societies,
expressing a pattern that could be, principally speaking, the target of the
transition processes. Rationalization of social order, planning, democracy and
equality are all principles which were stipulated through the project for a
European Constitution, and found their sources in the modern orientations of
value.
Western modernity is a modernity in changing, a late modernity, still
unstable. The cultural changes are accompanied by essential changes in the
model of societal organization. Using the previous example of welfare regimes,
let’s note the fundamental changes that affect their essence, through the
decentralization, the privatization of social services, the pregnant orientation
towards new domains like single parent families, gender equality, solving the
problem of the inverse relation between the volume of active and inactive
individuals (see Giddens, 1998; Esping-Anderson, 2006 etc.).
Particularly this transition of the Western modernity towards
postmodernity became the second obstacle in taking the West as a model for the
post-communist transition. A variety of questions raised for the former-
communist societies, al putting the difficult task to find the most adequate
answers. What should be the first goal, building modern or postmodern
41
I refer to the models of providing welfare centered on action of the state (in the
North), of the community (in central Europe), of family and kinship (in the South). See
Esping-Andersen (1990), Liebfried (1993), and Fitzpatrick (2005) regarding quadruple
typology (triple at Esping-Andersen) of the welfare regimes in Europe.
298 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
42
Starting from Beck’s discussion on risk society, Rinkevicius (2000) argues that the
post-communist countries are societies of double risk, combining the risks of their
current modernity with the ones produced by the Western post-modernity.
43
Still very low in comparison to the European average (B.Voicu, 2005b).
299
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
44
Using the same incomplete set of data of WVS 2005-2006 as I exploit in this chapter,
Welzel (2006) observes,, a series of Western societies, decreases in the orientations
towards values which can be assimilated to post-modernity (like the survival/self-
expression dimension proposed by Inglehart).
45
In the literature, accession to the European Union is sometimes defined as a
conventional terminus point for the end of postcommunist transitions (Lavigne, 2000).
300 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
Annex
Figure 11. A two-factor model of analysis for the social value (1999)
,29
intolerance towards 'deviant groups' e1 e2 ethno-racial intolerance
e8
-,25
supports
e20
clear good-evil democracy
-,29 -,47
guidelines ,41
Religious e3
faith
predicts -,32 TRADITIONAL -,45
authoritarianism
Materialism
e9 -,26
,03 -,44
Women=Men
Marriage=outdated
at workplace
-,08 e6
-,35
Postmaterialism
POST-MODERN -,23
Ecological
-,09 concerns
-,19 e7
-,76 -,63
-,57
Source: EVS/WVS 1999-2001. N=52258. All the coefficients have been allowed to
vary freely, with the exception of the covariance between the two factors (traditionalism
and post-modernity) which was fixed at 0.5. Goodness of fit indexes: IFI=0,988;
CFI=0,988; RMSEA=0,048. The coefficients on the arrows are standardized estimates,
and are significant at p=0,05.
301
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
46
For each society, the name of that particular country was mentioned.
302 corectura 2 28 iulie 2008
Between tradition and postmodernity?
the description in the section dedicated to family and gender relationships in
the text.
¾ “Predicts authoritarianism” and “Authority, not autonomy” are the two factor
scores described in Figure 3.
¾ Materialism and postmaterialism are indexes derived from the standard scale
of postmaterialism by Inglehart (the one with four items), also described in the
text.
Figure 12. The factor structure of traditionalism (2005)
,27
intolerance towards "deviant groups" e1 e2 ethnic-racial intolerance
e8
,20
supporting
e20
clear good-evil democracy
,25 ,41
guidelines -,50
Religious e3
faith
predict ,29 TRADITIONAL ,48
authoritarianism
Materialism
e9 ,38
,00 ,59
e10 -,09 e5
,15 ,08
e19
e18 -,08 e16
mariage=outdated
Source: WVS 2005-2007, only the European countries that have available data in
October 2006 (see the text). N=15034. Goodness of fit indexes: IFI=0,987; CFI=0,987;
RMSEA=0,064. The coefficients on the arrows are standardized estimates, and are
significant at p=0,05.
303
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
Figure 13. The factor structure of postmodernism (2005)
e10
e16
e17
e11
,00 ,00
authority,
nu autonomy e6
Women=Men
Marriage=outdated
at workplace
-,59
,16 ,42
Postmaterialism
,28
POST-MODERN
Environmental
,14 concens
,56 ,25
,48 ,44 e7
Source: WVS 2005-2007, only the European countries that have available data in
October 2006 (see the text). N=15034. Goodness of fit indexes: IFI=0,997; CFI=0,997;
RMSEA=0,035. The coefficients on the arrows are standardized estimates, and are
significant at p=0,05.
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The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
unifications mark the past 15 years of PNL History, different wings leaving
and eventually re-joining the party. However, after 2000 a relative stability
is noticeable.
• PLD (The Liberal-Democrat Party) is the only wing who left PNL after the
reunification of all the liberal fractions. PLD supports Băsescu, the current
president, this being the major difference to the PNL. The name of the party
reminds the intention of Băsescu’s supporters to merge the liberal and the
democrat party. PLD have finally merged into the PD, to form the PD-L
(The Democrat-Liberal Party) in December 2007.
• PRM (the Great Romania Party) is a nationalist party, dependent on the
image of its founder and president, Corneliu Vadim Tudor, who was the
runner up in the 2000 presidential elections.
• PNG (the New Generation Party) claim to be a representative of Christian-
Democracy. However, the ideology is not important, the party being
practically bought in 2003 by its billionaire president Gigi Becali, a former
shepherd better known as owner of the football club Steaua Bucureşti.
Becali promotes populist positions, with some religious, anti-Semite,
nationalistic, and homophobic nuances.
• UDMR (the Democratic Union of Hungarians from Romania) is an ethnic
party, collecting votes almost exclusively from the Hungarian minority,
located mostly in Transylvania. They are also part of the European Popular
Party.
• PNŢ-CD (the Christian and Democratic National Party of Peasants) was
established re-established in December 1989 after the communist
interdiction to exist. They had been in power in 1996-2000, but have lost
popularity and have never managed to accede in the parliament since.
• PC (the Conservative Party, organized around the mass-media mogul Dan
Voiculescu) and PIN (The National Initiative Party, a small group who left
PD in early 2005, after a conflict with Traian Băsescu) are two other small
parties (1-2% of the voters), both with unclear ideology.
The 41 smaller regions displayed on the next page map are the Romanian
counties, corresponding to the NUTS3 statistical level.
• Wallachia and Oltenia use to have the same ruler starting with the 12th
century and they merged with Moldova in 1859 to form Romania.
• Dobrogea, ruled by the Otoman Empire, joined after the The Russo-Turkish
War of 1877–1878, known by Romanians as the Independence War.
• Crişana and Maramureş had the same rule as Transylvania starting with the
12th century, and all three provinces were incorporated with the Hungarian
Kingdom, joining Romania after the First World War (1918).
• Banat knew Hungarian rule from the 10th to the 15th century, being
incorporated into the Otomans (16-17th century), then becoming a separate
province of Habsburg Monarchy, along with Southern Crişana (Arad
County), within very fluctuant borders. In 1918, after a short independence,
and two months of Serbian occupation, the Banat Republic joined Romania
• The Northern parts of the Suceava County (Northern Moldova) were
annexed by the Habsburg Empire in the 18th century, to form the province
of Bukovina. In 1918, Bucovina joined Romania, but most of the territory
was annexed in 1939 to the Soviet Union, being included in the Soviet
Republic of Ukraine, along with the Southern Basarabia (Nothern Basarabia
is the nowadays Republic of Moldova, another part of the former
Moldavian Principate with the capital in Suceava, then in Iaşi).
TRANSYLVANIA
Botoşani
Botoşani
Satu
Satu Mare
Satu Mare Maramureş
Maramureş
Maramureş
Suceava
Sucea
Suceava
va
CRIŞANA-MARAMUREŞ MOLDOVA
Bistriţa
Bistriţa
Bistriţa
Sălaj
Săla
Sălajj Iaşi
Iaşi
Iaşi
Năsăud
Năsăud
Năsă ud
Bihor
Bihor
Bihor
Neamţ
Neamţ
Nea mţ
Cluj
Cluj
Mureş
Mureş
Mureş
Va
Vaslui
Vaslui
slui
Harghita
Harghita
Harghita Bacău
Bacău
Bacău
Arad
Arad
Alba
Alba
Alba
Covasna
Covasna
Covasna
Sibiu
Sibiu
Timiş
Timiş Braşov
Braşov
Braşov Vrancea
Vrancea Galaţi
Galaţi
Galaţi
Timiş WALACHIA
Hune
Hunedoara
Hunedoara
doara
Caraş Buzău
Buzău
Buzău
Caraş
Ca raş
Brăila
Brăila
Brăila
BANAT Severin
Severin
Vâlce
Vâlcea
Vâlceaa Prahova
Prahova
Tulcea
Tulcea
Gorj
Gorj Argeş
Argeş
Dâmboviţa
Dâmboviţa
Dâmboviţa
Mehedinţi
Mehedinţi
Mehedinţi
Bucure şti
Bucureşti
Bucureşti Ialomiţa
Ialomiţa
Ialomiţa
& Ilfov
& Ilfov
Ilfov
Olt
Olt Călăra
Călăraşi
Călăraşi
şi DOBROGEA
OLTENIA Dolj
Dolj Constanţa
Constanţa
Constanţa
Giurgiu
Giurgiu
Teleorman
Teleorma
Teleormann
BUCHAREST & ILFOV
311
The Values of Romanians: 1993-2006. A sociological perspective
About authors
Bogdan Voicu
Ph.D. in Sociology (University of Bucharest), principal research fellow with the
Research Institute for Quality of Life of the Romanian Academy of Science,
associate lecturer at the University of Bucharest. Recent books: The Pseudo-
Modern Penury of the Romanian Postcommunism (Expert Projects, 2005),
Romanian village on its way to Europe (2006, Polirom, editor), Social Sciences
perspectives on the European postcommunist societies (Psihomedia, 2005,
editor), European Integration from East to East. Civil society and ethnic
minorities in a changing world (Psihomedia, 2004, editor), Globalization,
Integration, and Social Development in Central and Eastern Europe
(Psihomedia, 2003, editor).
Mălina Voicu
Ph.D. in Sociology (University of Bucharest), principal research fellow with the
Research Institute for Quality of Life of the Romanian Academy of Science.
Member of the Executive Committee of the European Values Study. Recent
books: Religious Romania. On the European tide or behind it? (Institutul
European, 2007), Romanian village on its way to Europe (2006, Polirom,
editor), What type of welfare do Romanians want? On the legitimacy of the
social policies in Romania (Expert Projects, 2005), Social life in urban
Romania (co-author, Polirom, 2006).
Mircea Comşa
Ph.D. in Sociology (Babeş-Bolyai University of Cluj), research director with
Metro Media Transilvania, associate proffesor at the Babeş-Bolyai University
of Cluj UBB. Recent books: Lifestyles in Romania after 1989 (Presa
Universitară Clujeană, 2006), Social life in urban Romania (co-author, Polirom,
2006), General elections 2004. A sociological perspective (Eikon, 2005, editor).
Raluca Popescu
Ph.D. in Sociology (University of Bucharest), principal research fellow with the
Research Institute for Quality of Life of the Romanian Academy of Science.
She is preparing a book on family in Romania.
Horaţiu Rusu
Ph.D. in Sociology (University of Bucharest), lecturer with the Lucian Blaga
University of Sibiu. Recent books: Social Sciences perspectives on the
European postcommunist societies (Psihomedia, 2005, editor), European
Integration from East to East. Civil society and ethnic minorities in a changing
world (Psihomedia, 2004, editor), Globalization, Integration, and Social
Development in Central and Eastern Europe (Psihomedia, 2003, editor).
Claudiu D. Tufiş
Ph.D. in Political Science (Pennsylvania State University), principal research
fellow with the Research Institute for Quality of Life of the Romanian Academy
of Science. Recent books: The Romanian Higher Education System (Afir, 2007,
co-author), Roma Life Strategies: People and Communities (forthcoming,
editor).
Paula A. Tufiş
Ph.D. in Sociology (Pennsylvania State University), principal research fellow
with the Research Institute for Quality of Life of the Romanian Academy of
Science.
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