DPR Full

Independent Statistics & Analysis
U.S. Energy Information October 2017

Administration
Drilling Productivity Report

For key tight oil and shale gas regions
Contents
Year-over-year summary 2
Anadarko Region 3
Appalachia Region 4
Bakken Region 5
Eagle Ford Region 6
Haynesville Region 7
Niobrara Region 8
Permian Region 9
Explanatory notes 10
Sources 11
Year-over-year summary October 2017
drilling data through September
Drilling Productivity Report projected production through November
New-well oil production per rig New-well gas production per rig
barrels/day thousand cubic feet/day
November-2016 November-2017 November-2016 November-2017

3,000 18,000
2,500 15,000
2,000 12,000
1,500 9,000
1,000 6,000
500 3,000
0 0
Anadarko Appalachia Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Niobrara Permian Anadarko Appalachia Bakken Eagle Ford Haynesville Niobrara Permian
Legacy oil production change Legacy gas production change

thousand barrels/day million cubic feet/day
0 0
(100)
(30)
(200)
(60)
(300)
(90) (400)
(500)
(120)
(600)
(150)
(700)
(180) (800)
Indicated monthly change in oil production (Nov vs. Oct) Indicated monthly change in gas production (Nov vs. Oct)
60 1,200
50 1,000
40 800
30
600
20
400
10
200
0
-10 0
-20 -200
Oil production Natural gas production


5,000 30,000
4,000 24,000
3,000 18,000
2,000 12,000
1,000 6,000
0 0
U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 2

Anadarko Region October 2017
Monthly
Oil 380 November
additions November 2,530 Gas
+4 376 October from one October 2,521 +9
month over month barrels/day average rig thousand cubic feet/day month over month
Anadarko Region Anadarko Region

New-well oil production per rig Rig count New-well gas production per rig Rig count
barrels/day rigs thousand cubic feet/day rigs
new-well oil production per rig new-well gas production per rig
800 300 4,800 300
rig count rig count
700
250 4,000 250
600
200 3,200 200
500
400 150 2,400 150
300
100 1,600 100
200
50 800 50
100
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(10) (50)
(100)
(20)
(150)
(30)
(200)
(40) (250)
(50) (300)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Indicated change in oil production (Nov vs. Oct) Indicated change in natural gas production (Nov vs. Oct)
+48 -39 +9 +318 -280 +38
50 400
40 300
30
200
20
10 100
0 0
Oct Production Legacy Net Nov Oct Production Legacy Net Nov
465 from production change 474 5,956 from production change 5,994
Mbbl/d new wells change Mbbl/d MMcf/d new wells change MMcf/d

Oil production Oil +9 Natural gas production Gas +38
thousand barrels/day month over month million cubic feet/day month over month
1,000 6,000
800 5,000
4,000
600
3,000
400
2,000
200 1,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Appalachia Region October 2017
Monthly
Oil 135 November
+1 134 October from one October 14,204 -25
Appalachia Region Appalachia Region

3,000 180 18,000 180
rig count rig count
2,500 150 15,000 150
2,000 120 12,000 120
1,500 90 9,000 90
1,000 60 6,000 60
500 30 3,000 30
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(2) (150)
(4) (300)
(6) (450)
(8) (600)
(10) (750)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+10 -7 +3 +1095 -697 +398
15.0 1,200
900
10.0
600
5.0
300
0.0 0

5,000 30,000
4,000 25,000
20,000
3,000
15,000
2,000
10,000
1,000 5,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Bakken Region October 2017
Monthly
Oil 1,246 November
+20 1,226 October from one October 1,561 +4
Bakken Region Bakken Region

1,400 250 8,400 250
1,200 7,200
200 rig count 200
1,000
rig count 6,000
800 150 4,800 150
600 100 3,600 100

400 2,400
50 50
200 1,200
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(10) (10)
(20) (20)
(30)
(30)
(40)
(40)
(50)
(50) (60)
(60) (70)
(70) (80)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+64 -56 +8 +80 -57 +23
75 100
75
50
50
25
25
0 0
1,092 from production change 1,100 2,005 from production change 2,028

1,400
8,000
1,200 7,000
1,000 6,000
800 5,000
4,000
600
3,000
400
2,000
200 1,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Eagle Ford Region October 2017
Monthly
Oil 1,090 November
Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

1,800 350 9,000 350
new-well oil production per rig 300
new-well gas production per rig 300
1,500 7,500
rig count 250 rig count 250
1,200 6,000
200 200
900 4,500
150 150
600 3,000
100 100
300 50 1,500 50
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(20) (100)
(40)
(200)
(60)
(80) (300)
(100)
(400)
(120)
(500)
(140)
(160) (600)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+90 -88 +2 +357 -339 +18
150 400
100 300
50 200
0 100
-50 0

1,800 10,000
1,500 8,000
1,200
6,000
900
4,000
600
300 2,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Haynesville Region October 2017
Monthly
Oil 34 November
+1 33 October from one October 7,735 -17
Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

1,400 300 8,400 300
1,200 250 7,200 250
rig count rig count
1,000 6,000
200 200
800 4,800
150 150
600 3,600
100 100
400 2,400
200 50 1,200 50
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(100)
(200)
(1)
(300)
(400)
(2)
(500)
(600)
(3) (700)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+2 -2 +0 +377 -231 +146
2.0 400
1.5 300
1.0 200
0.5 100
0.0 0

2,000 12,000
1,600 10,000
8,000
1,200
6,000
800
4,000
400 2,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Niobrara Region October 2017
Monthly
Oil 1,084 November
Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

1,400 140 8,400 140
1,200 120 7,200 120
rig count rig count
1,000 100 6,000 100
800 80 4,800 80
600 60 3,600 60
400 40 2,400 40
200 20 1,200 20
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(10) (30)
(60)
(20)
(90)
(30)
(120)
(40) (150)
(50) (180)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+48 -39 +9 +187 -137 +50
80 200
60 150
40 100
20 50
0 0

1,000 6,000
800 5,000
4,000
600
3,000
400
2,000
200 1,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Permian Region October 2017
Monthly
Oil 568 November
additions November 998 Gas
-4 572 October from one October 998 0
Permian Region Permian Region

new-well oil production per rig
800 600 4,800 600
rig count new-well gas production per rig
700
500 4,000 500
600 rig count
400 3,200 400
500
400 300 2,400 300
300
200 1,600 200
200
100 800 100
100
0 0 0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

0 0
(20)
(40) (50)
(60)
(100)
(80)
(100)
(150)
(120)
(140) (200)
(160)
(180) (250)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

+216 -166 +50 +379 -225 +154
200 400
150 300
100 200
50 100
0 0

3,000 18,000
2,500 15,000
2,000 12,000
1,500 9,000
1,000 6,000
500 3,000
0 0
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

Explanatory notes October 2017
The Drilling Productivity Report uses recent data on the total number of drilling rigs in operation along
with estimates of drilling productivity and estimated changes in production from existing oil and natural
gas wells to provide estimated changes in oil1 and natural gas2 production for seven key regions. EIAs
approach does not distinguish between oil-directed rigs and gas-directed rigs because once a well is
completed it may produce both oil and gas; more than half of the wells do that.
Monthly additions from one average rig

Monthly additions from one average rig represent EIAs estimate of an average rigs 3 contribution to
production of oil and natural gas from new wells. 4 The estimation of new-well production per rig uses
several months of recent historical data on total production from new wells for each field divided by the
region's monthly rig count, lagged by two months. 5 Current- and next-month values are listed on the top
header. The month-over-month change is listed alongside, with +/- signs and color-coded arrows to
highlight the growth or decline in oil (brown) or natural gas (blue).
New-well oil/gas production per rig

Charts present historical estimated monthly additions from one average rig coupled with the number of
total drilling rigs as reported by Baker Hughes.
Legacy oil and natural gas production change

Charts present EIAs estimates of total oil and gas production changes from all the wells other than the
new wells. The trend is dominated by the well depletion rates, but other circumstances can influence the
direction of the change. For example, well freeze-offs or hurricanes can cause production to significantly
decline in any given month, resulting in a production increase the next month when production simply
returns to normal levels.
Projected change in monthly oil/gas production

Charts present the combined effects of new-well production and changes to legacy production. Total
new-well production is offset by the anticipated change in legacy production to derive the net change in
production. The estimated change in production does not reflect external circumstances that can affect
the actual rates, such as infrastructure constraints, bad weather, or shut-ins based on environmental or
economic issues.
Oil/gas production
Charts present all oil and natural gas production from both new and legacy wells since 2007. This
production is based on all wells reported to the state oil and gas agencies. Where state data are not
immediately available, EIA estimates the production based on estimated changes in new-well oil/gas
production and the corresponding legacy change.
Footnotes:
1. Oil production represents both crude and condensate production from all formations in the region. Production is
not limited to tight formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include areas outside of
tight oil formations.
2. Gas production represents gross (before processing) gas production from all formations in the region.
Production is not limited to shale formations. The regions are defined by all selected counties, which include
areas outside of shale formations.
3. The monthly average rig count used in this report is calculated from weekly data on total oil and gas rigs
reported by Baker Hughes.
4. A new well is defined as one that began producing for the first time in the previous month. Each well belongs to
the new-well category for only one month. Reworked and recompleted wells are excluded from the calculation.
5. Rig count data lag production data because EIA has observed that the best predictor of the number of new
wells beginning production in a given month is the count of rigs in operation two months earlier.

Sources October 2017
The data used in the preparation of this report come from the following sources. EIA is solely
responsible for the analysis, calculations, and conclusions.
Drilling Info (http://www.drillinginfo.com) Source of production, permit, and spud data for counties
associated with this report. Source of real-time rig location to estimate new wells spudded and completed
throughout the United States.
Baker Hughes (http://www.bakerhughes.com) Source of rig and well counts by county, state, and basin.
North Dakota Oil and Gas Division (https://www.dmr.nd.gov/oilgas) Source of well production, permit,
and completion data in the counties associated with this report in North Dakota
Railroad Commission of Texas (http://www.rrc.state.tx.us) Source of well production, permit, and

completion data in the counties associated with this report in Texas
Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection

(https://www.paoilandgasreporting.state.pa.us/publicreports/Modules/Welcome/Welcome.aspx) Source
of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in
Pennsylvania
West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection (http://www.dep.wv.gov/oil-and-

gas/Pages/default.aspx) Source of well production, permit, and completion data in the counties
associated with this report in West Virginia
Colorado Oil and Gas Conservation Commission (http://cogcc.state.co.us) Source of well production,
permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Colorado
Wyoming Oil and Conservation Commission (http://wogcc.state.wy.us) Source of well production,

permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Wyoming
Louisiana Department of Natural Resources (http://dnr.louisiana.gov) Source of well production,

permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Louisiana
Ohio Department of Natural Resources (http://oilandgas.ohiodnr.gov) Source of well production,

permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Ohio
Oklahoma Corporation Commission (http://www.occeweb.com/og/oghome.htm) Source of well

production, permit, and completion data in the counties associated with this report in Oklahoma

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Independent Statistics & Analysis

U.S. Energy Information October 2017

Drilling Productivity Report

November-2016 November-2017 November-2016 November-2017

Legacy oil production change Legacy gas production change

November-2016 November-2017 November-2016 November-2017

Oil production Natural gas production

November-2016 November-2017 November-2016 November-2017

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 2

Anadarko Region Anadarko Region

Anadarko Region Anadarko Region

Anadarko Region Anadarko Region

Anadarko Region Anadarko Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 3

Appalachia Region Appalachia Region

2,000 120 12,000 120

Appalachia Region Appalachia Region

Appalachia Region Appalachia Region

Appalachia Region Appalachia Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 4

Bakken Region Bakken Region

600 100 3,600 100

Bakken Region Bakken Region

Bakken Region Bakken Region

Bakken Region Bakken Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 5

Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

Eagle Ford Region Eagle Ford Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 6

Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

Haynesville Region Haynesville Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 7

Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

Niobrara Region Niobrara Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 8

Permian Region Permian Region

Permian Region Permian Region

Permian Region Permian Region

Permian Region Permian Region

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 9

Monthly additions from one average rig

New-well oil/gas production per rig

Legacy oil and natural gas production change

Projected change in monthly oil/gas production

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 10

Railroad Commission of Texas (http://www.rrc.state.tx.us) Source of well production, permit, and

Pennsylvania Department of Environmental Protection

West Virginia Department of Environmental Protection (http://www.dep.wv.gov/oil-and-

Wyoming Oil and Conservation Commission (http://wogcc.state.wy.us) Source of well production,

Louisiana Department of Natural Resources (http://dnr.louisiana.gov) Source of well production,

Ohio Department of Natural Resources (http://oilandgas.ohiodnr.gov) Source of well production,

Oklahoma Corporation Commission (http://www.occeweb.com/og/oghome.htm) Source of well

U. S. Energy Information Administration | Drilling Productivity Report 11

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