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345352, 2017
2017 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://
creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
0736-4679/$ - see front matter
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jemermed.2017.05.025
Selected Topics:
Prehospital Care
, AbstractBackground: The American Heart Associa- decrease unwarranted treatments. 2017 The Authors.
tion and European Resuscitation Council guidelines for Published by Elsevier Inc. This is an open access article un-
cardiopulmonary resuscitation present rules for termination der the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.
of resuscitation (TOR) in cases of out-of-hospital cardiac org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
arrest (OHCA). In Japan, only doctors are legally allowed
TOR in OHCA cases. Objective: This study aimed to develop , Keywordsasystole; cardiopulmonary resuscitation;
a new TOR rule that suits the actual situations of the decision support techniques; out-of-hospital cardiac arrest;
Japanese emergency medical services system. Methods: specificity
Five different combinations of the TOR rule criteria were
compared regarding specificity and positive predictive value
(PPV) for 1-month survival with unfavorable neurologic out-
comes. The criteria were unwitnessed by emergency medical INTRODUCTION
service personnel, unwitnessed by bystanders, initial
unshockable rhythm in the field, initial asystole in the field, Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains a major
no shock delivered, no prehospital return of spontaneous public health problem worldwide. Regardless of the prog-
circulation, unshockable rhythm at hospital arrival, and ress in resuscitation practices, OHCA outcomes remain
asystole at hospital arrival. Results: A total of 13,291 cases poor (1,2). The American Heart Association (AHA) and
were included. The following combination provided the high- the European Resuscitation Council (ERC) guidelines
est specificity and PPV for predicting 1-month unfavorable for cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) have rules for
neurologic outcomes and death: unwitnessed by bystanders,
the termination of resuscitation (TOR) for OHCA
initial asystole in the field, and asystole at hospital arrival.
patients in an out-of-hospital setting (37). For
The specificity and PPV for the combination of the three
criteria for predicting 1-month unfavorable neurologic out- example, the basic life support (BLS) TOR rule, which
comes were 0.992 and 0.999, and for predicting death at has been the most recommended, has three criteria:
1 month after OHCA were 0.986 and 0.998, respectively. arrest was not witnessed by emergency medical service
Conclusions: OHCA patients fulfilling the criteria unwit- (EMS) personnel, no shock delivered, and no
nessed by bystanders and asystole in the field and at hospital prehospital return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC)
arrival had universally poor outcomes. Termination of (6). However, EMS personnel are legally prohibited
resuscitation after hospital arrival for these patients may from terminating resuscitation in Japan (810). Almost
all OHCA patients, including those with minimal
This work was supported by the Japanese Association for potential for survival, are transported to a hospital,
Acute Medicine of Kanto. which expends medical resources on patients unlikely
345
346 SOSKANTO 2012 Study Group
BLS = basic life support; EMS = emergency medical service; ROSC = return of spontaneous circulation; SOSKANTO = Survey of Sur-
vivors after Cardiac Arrest, conducted in the Kanto Area of Japan in 2012; TOR = termination of resuscitation.
348 SOSKANTO 2012 Study Group
DISCUSSION
Figure 1. The study flow diagram. ROSC = return of sponta- We attempted to develop a new TOR rule that has higher
neous circulation; ECG = electrocardiogram.
specificity and PPV than Gotos TOR rule or the BLS
shockable rhythm in the field, and 1168 of 13,291 TOR rule for use in emergency departments. Among
(8.8%; 95% CI 8.3%9.3%) had prehospital ROSC. the five different combinations of TOR rules tested in
The 1-month survival of all OHCA patients was 632 the present study, number 5, SOSKANTOs TOR rule
of 13,291 (4.8%; 95% CI 4.4%5.1%), and 385 of 3, showed the highest specificity and PPV for predicting
13,291 (2.9%; 95% CI 2.6%3.2%) had favorable unfavorable 1-month neurologic outcomes, although
1-month neurologic outcomes. Gotos TOR rule and BLS TOR rule also have high
Initially, the five different TOR rules were compared specificity. SOSKANTOs TOR rule 3 includes the
in terms of 1-month neurologic outcomes (Table 3). following three criteria: unwitnessed by bystanders and
Among the five combinations of criteria, number 5 had asystole initially and at hospital arrival.
the highest score in terms of both specificity and PPV. The SOSKANTO 2012 study had a smaller sample
Second, the five different TOR rules were compared in size than the All-Japan Utstein Registry of the FDMA,
terms of 1-month mortality (Table 4). Among the five but had more accurate outcomes (9). In addition, the
combinations of criteria, number 5 had the highest score SOSKANTO 2012 population received more advanced
in terms of both specificity and PPV. and more uniform treatment after admission. Once we
revalidated the TOR rules for OHCA patients by using
the data of the SOSKANTO 2012 study, SOSKANTOs
Table 2. Characteristics and Outcomes of the Study
patients TOR rule 3, including the criteria of asystole initially and
at hospital arrival had the highest specificity and PPV.
OHCA Patients Because the implementation of TOR rules for OHCA
Characteristics (n = 13,291)
patients is ethically challenging, we tried to establish a
Age, y, median (IQR) 71 (6284) new TOR rule with higher specificity. SOSKANTOs
Male patients, n (%) [95% CI] 8031 (60.4) [59.661.3] TOR rule 3 could have specificity >0.99 for predicting
Cardiac arrest witnessed 6409 (48.2) [47.449.1]
by bystanders, n (%) [95% CI] unfavorable 1-month neurologic outcomes.
Bystander CPR, n (%) [95% CI] 4721 (35.5) [34.736.3] OHCA patients meeting SOSKANTOs TOR rule 3,
Presumed cardiac etiology, 6409 (48.2) [47.449.1] unwitnessed by bystanders and asystole initially and at
n (%) [95% CI]
Initial shockable rhythm in 931 (7.0) [6.67.5] hospital arrival, accounted for 39% of all patients, which
the field, n (%) [95% CI] is lower than the 57% and 63% reported by Goto et al.
Time from call to EMS personnel 8 (610) and Morrison et al., respectively (6,9). The higher
at scene, min, median (IQR)
Time from call to hospital arrival 35 (2741) specificity and PPV of our results compared with those
time, min, median [IQR] obtained by Goto et al. and Morrison et al. are possibly a
Initial shockable rhythm at 399 (3.0) [2.73.3] consequence of this lower percentage. We did consider
hospital arrival, n (%) [95% CI]
Prehospital ROSC, n (%) [95% CI] 1168 (8.8) [8.39.3] that the specificity and PPV should preferably be as high
Outcomes as possible for the introduction of a new TOR rule in Japan.
1-mo survival, n (%) [95% CI] 632 (4.8) [4.45.1] These three conditions that constitute SOSKANTOs
1-mo favorable neurologic 385 (2.9) [2.63.2]
outcomes, n (%) [95% CI] TOR rule 3 are plain and simple to assess clinically. In
addition, OHCA is a sudden contingency and an
CI = confidence interval; CPR = cardiopulmonary resuscitation; unacceptable fact for the patients family. If a physician
EMS = emergency medical service; IQR = interquartile range;
OHCA = out-of-hospital cardiac arrest; ROSC = return of sponta- terminates resuscitation of an OHCA patient to
neous circulation. pronounce him or her dead at an emergency site, the
Terminating Resuscitation in OHCA Patients 349
Table 3. 1-Month Neurologic Outcomes After Resuscitation of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Patients Matching Each of Five
Rules
Sensitivity
Rule CPC $3 CPC 1 or 2 (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI) PPV (95% CI) NPV (95% CI)
1. BLS TOR 0.771 (0.7640.778) 0.961 (0.9370.978) 0.999 (0.9980.999) 0.111 (0.1000.122)
Met criteria 9949 15
Did not meet criteria 2957 370
2. Goto 0.492 (0.4830.500) 0.979 (0.9600.991) 0.999 (0.9981.000) 0.054 (0.0490.060)
Met criteria 6344 8
Did not meet criteria 6562 377
3. SOSKANTO 1 0.488 (0.4790.497) 0.974 (0.9530.988) 0.998 (0.9970.999) 0.054 (0.0490.059)
Met criteria 6298 10
Did not meet criteria 6608 375
4. SOSKANTO 2 0.436 (0.4270.444) 0.987 (0.9700.996) 0.999 (0.9981.000) 0.050 (0.0450.055)
Met criteria 5621 5
Did not meet criteria 7285 380
5. SOSKANTO 3 0.403 (0.3950.412) 0.992 (0.9770.998) 0.999 (0.9981.000) 0.047 (0.0430.052)
Met criteria 5202 3
Did not meet criteria 7704 382
BLS = basic life support; CI = confidence interval; CPC = cerebral performance category; NPV = negative predictive value; OHCA = out-of
hospital cardiac arrest; PPV = positive predictive value; SOSKANTO = Survey of Survivors after Cardiac Arrest, conducted in the Kanto
Area of Japan in 2012; TOR = termination of resuscitation.
ECG waveform showing asystole is more convincing and incidental hypothermia. We designed the study to include
less ambiguous than other waveforms. hypothermic patients because it is difficult to instanta-
EMS personnel are prohibited by law from terminat- neously distinguish incidental hypothermia from hypo-
ing resuscitation in countries such as Japan, Taiwan, thermia resulting from time passed from cardiac arrest
Singapore, and Korea (1820). In addition, in most in an emergency department. In addition, in previous
countries, only a physician can make a diagnosis of research (e.g., BLS TOR rule and Gotos TOR rule),
death in the absence of obvious signs of death (4). such patients with hypothermia also were not excluded
The TOR rule that our physicians use to terminate resus- from analyses (6,9). However, the principle of several
citation after a patient arrives at the hospital might also guidelines is that in the absence of signs incompatible
be applicable to such countries. This TOR rule can also with life, No one is dead until warm and dead,
be applied to cases when an EMS provider is hesitant to regardless of body temperature (24). The National
terminate resuscitation by applying an existing TOR Association of EMS Physicians position statement on
rule before hospital arrival or when prehospital termina- prehospital TOR guidelines for TOR rules in the preho-
tion of resuscitation is not promoted (2123). spital setting suggest that hypothermic patients be
The 3 patients who met this new TOR rule and excluded from prehospital termination (25). Therefore,
survived for 1 month with good neurologic outcomes when applying the TOR rules, we might exclude severe
all had body temperatures of #30 C, indicating severe hypothermic OHCA patients.
Table 4. 1-Month Mortality of Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Patients Matching Each of Five Rules
Rule Death Survival Sensitivity (95% CI) Specificity (95% CI) PPV (95% CI) NPV (95% CI)
1. BLS TOR 0.781 (0.7740.789) 0.886 (0.8590.910) 0.993 (0.9910.994) 0.168 (0.1560.182)
Met criteria 9892 72
Did not meet criteria 2767 560
2. Goto 0.499 (0.4900.508) 0.948 (0.9270.964) 0.995 (0.9930.996) 0.086 (0.0800.093)
Met criteria 6319 33
Did not meet criteria 6340 599
3. SOSKANTO 1 0.496 (0.4870.504) 0.946 (0.9260.963) 0.995 (0.9930.996) 0.086 (0.0790.092)
Met criteria 6274 34
Did not meet criteria 6385 598
4. SOSKANTO 2 0.443 (0.4340.452) 0.973 (0.9570.984) 0.997 (0.9950.998) 0.080 (0.0740.087)
Met criteria 5609 17
Did not meet criteria 7050 615
5. SOSKANTO 3 0.411 (0.4020.419) 0.986 (0.9730.994) 0.998 (0.9970.999) 0.077 (0.0710.083)
Met criteria 5196 9
Did not meet criteria 7463 623
BLS = basic life support; CI = confidence interval; NPV = negative predictive value; OHCA = out-of hospital cardiac arrest; PPV = positive
predictive value; SOSKANTO = Survey of Survivors after Cardiac Arrest, conducted in the Kanto Area of Japan in 2012; TOR = termination
of resuscitation.
350 SOSKANTO 2012 Study Group
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Tokyo Medical and Dental University (Yasuhiro Otomo, MD); care. Circulation 2015;132:46582.
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Juntendo University Nerima Hospital (Manabu Sugita, MD);
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Nihon University School of Medicine (Kosaku Kinoshita, Resuscitation Council and the European Society of Intensive Care
MD); Toho University Ohashi Medical Center (Takatoshi Medicine. Resuscitation 2014;85:177989.
Sakurai, MD); Saiseikai Yokohamashi Tobu Hospital (Mitsuhide 13. Nakahara S, Tomio J, Ichikawa M, et al. Association of bystander
Kitano, MD); Nippon Medical School Musashikosugi Hospital interventions with neurologically intact survival among patients
with bystander-witnessed out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in Japan.
(Kiyoshi Matsuda, MD); Tokyo Rosai Hospital (Kotaro Tanaka, JAMA 2015;314:24754.
MD); Toho University Omori Medical Center (Katsunori Yoshi- 14. Perkins GD, Jacobs IG, Nadkarni VM, et al., Utstein Collaborators.
hara, MD); Hiratsuka City Hospital (Kikuo Yoh, MD); Yokosuka Cardiac arrest and cardiopulmonary resuscitation outcome
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MD); National Medical Center for Children and Mothers (Taka- Council on Resuscitation, Heart and Stroke Foundation of Canada,
shi Muguruma, MD); Chiba Aoba Municipal Hospital (Tadanaga InterAmerican Heart Foundation, Resuscitation Council of Southern
Africa, Resuscitation Council of Asia); and the American Heart
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352 SOSKANTO 2012 Study Group
ARTICLE SUMMARY
1 Why is this topic important?
Currently, termination of resuscitation (TOR) in the
field is not possible in Japan; therefore, it is necessary to
develop a new TOR rule based on the assumption that
most out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) patients
may arrive at the emergency department.
2 What does this study attempt to show?
This study attempted to develop a new TOR rule that
suits the actual situations of the Japanese emergency med-
ical services (EMS) system. Because the implementation
of TOR rules for OHCA patients is ethically challenging,
we tried to establish a new TOR rule with higher speci-
ficity.
3 What are the key findings?
We compared five TOR rules developed by combining
witnessed status, initial prehospital rhythm, prehospital
shock, prehospital return of spontaneous circulation, and
presenting hospital rhythm. A new TOR rule including
the criteria of unwitnessed by bystanders and asystole
both initially and at hospital arrival had the highest spec-
ificity and positive predictive value for predicting 1-
month unfavorable neurologic outcomes.
4 How is patient care impacted?
After validation, the TOR rule may allow physicians to
terminate futile resuscitation efforts immediately upon
hospital arrival. This information will be valuable in set-
tings where EMS personnel are prohibited by law from
terminating resuscitation.