Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
QUARTER BY
NUMBERS
Q2 2017
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
CONTENTS
THE BIG PICTURE
Message from Laura McCullough....03
ASIA AT A GLANCE
COUNTRY SNAPSHOT
Australia.......08
China.11
Hong Kong.......14
India......17
Indonesia.....20
Japan....23
Malaysia...26
Myanmar......29
New Zealand.......32
Philippines.......35
Singapore.....38
South Korea........41
Taiwan.............44
Thailand...........47
Vietnam...............50
IN THE INDUSTRY
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
THE BIG PICTURE
MESSAGE FROM LAURA MCCULLOUGH
Pockets of Growth seems to be a recurring theme amidst an era of economic
change, modest growth and evolving consumption patterns. Across the board,
growth in FMCG is getting harder to achieve but if you scratch below the
surface, there are many examples of companies, segments and channels
performing strongly.
Laura McCullough Last quarter, we focussed on the huge potential e-commerce has in this region
FMCG Leader, where internet connectivity and consumer adoption continues to expand at rapid
Growth and
Emerging Markets
rates. This quarter, we focus on those companies that are managing to achieve
growth ahead of their peers.
Without a doubt, winners can be found across all sectors and markets - big and
small, global, regional. But where we see continued and sustained growth is
among local players in the region. As world markets hunker down under a guise
of protectionism, the Go Local song has never been stronger. The prestige that
global brands once held in developing markets appears to be losing some gloss
as local brands compete on quality, often with more competitive pricing and
more targeted marketing.
Nielsen conducted an analysis of the Top 100 FMCG players across Asia Pacific
in 2016 representing approximately 85% of FMCG.
In 2016, local players held the lions share of the FMCG market in Asia Pacific
at 53% while global and regional players account for 39% and 9% share
respectively. The real story though comes from who is driving the growth of
FMCG and here local players success is resounding, accounting for 73% of
FMCG growth over the last 3 years.
53 LOCAL
73
REGIONAL
9
GLOBAL
38 12
16
While the strength of local players does differ by market, their impact on FMCG
growth is incredibly consistent.
Go to our In the Industry section to see how players are performing across
individual markets
Source: Nielsen Retail Analysis Total FMCG* Share 52 w/e Q3 2016 vs 2014
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company
THE BIG PICTURE
Only a few years back, multinationals dominated modern trade while locals strength lay in
traditional retail formats. This too is changing with local players driving 90% of FMCG growth
in Modern Trade and 63% in Traditional Trade.
Other traditional stereotypes are also being smashed. Food and Beverage categories have
long been hailed as the stronghold of local players, given their local expertise for consumer
tastes and preferences. But again, local companies are moving in and taking global ground in
household and personal categories as well. It is in beverage categories that global
companies are driving most growth today.
In general, local players are offering increasingly better quality products at competitive
pricing. They often have strong on the ground presence and a sustained distribution network
that ensures their products are readily available to all consumers not just those in the top
tier cities but in secondary cities and regions where consumption is accelerating. In many
markets like India, governments are promoting the Made in India theme, which drives
consumers emotional connection and loyalty to local brands but also local brands
are benefiting from a deeper understanding of local regulations and taxation incentives that
these schemes provide.
Connecting consumers to your brand values and brand story is critical to success and longer-
term loyalty. In a number of markets, local brands are capitalising on a revived local pride,
leveraging a brands heritage in the way they share their story with consumers often via
social media. Focus is also a strength of local brands - be it on a specific consumer group
or specific region to ensure they maximise their impact for the resources they have available.
Big or small locals are winning the growth race! Its up to global players to take stock, dig
deep and understand the nuances by market and connect with local consumers.
Check out our latest video on Asias Pockets of Growth for more insights.
GDP and Inflation reflect % change per annum to Q2 2017 Source: Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU)
CONSUMER SENTIMENTS IN
ASIA PACIFIC
50
40
30
20
10
APAC AU CN HK ID IN JP KO MY NZ PH SG TH TW VN
The economy -5 -1 -4 -6 4 -7 -6 -3 -8 -1 -4 -9 -2 -3 0
Hea l th 2 -4 3 3 2 6 -2 2 1 -2 3 2 1 2 -4
APAC AU CN HK ID IN JP KO MY NZ PH SG TH TW VN
Putti ng i nto s a vi ngs 3 -2 7 1 -5 2 3 3 4 3 -6 1 6 -2 -13
Hol i da ys / va ca ti ons 8 0 14 -3 -2 2 7 5 10 -2 3 -3 10 -4 3
Bars reflect Q2 2017. Table shows comparison to Q4 2016
MAT YA MAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
5.7%
4.6% 4.5%
4.3% 4.1% 3.4%
3.6% 3.8%
3.6%
2.1% 2.1% 2.3%
1.3% 3.0% 1.5%
0.7% 2.1%
2.4% 1.9%
0.5%
2.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.2% 2.2% 2.1% 2.3% 2.3%
1.8% 1.7%
CHINA (+1.4%)
JAPAN (-1.6%)
TAIWAN (+1.7%)
HONGKONG (-3.8%)
INDIA (+11.7%) PHILIPPINES (+2.4%)
VIETNAM (+5.2%)
MALAYSIA (-4.1%)
SINGAPORE (-2.9%)
INDONESIA (+0.6%)
AUSTRALIA (+0.2%)
Value growth in the FMCG sector is flat in Q2 and down quite dramatically versus previous
quarters. The annual picture, however, is much more stable with value growth at 2.8% - in
line with 2016.
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
AP AU
GDP (% change pa)
Inflation,consumer prices (% change pa)
MAT YA MAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
4.4% 4.4%
4.1%
3.7% 3.4%
3.4%
2.8% 2.8% 3.5%
2.7% 2.3%
3.5%
2.2% 1.8% 3.3% 1.1%
0.9%
-0.1% 1.0% 1.1%
1.0% 0.1% 0.8% 0.7%
0.6% 1.0% 0.2%
0.0%
0.1% -0.6%
3%
13.4%
2.6%
97%
Online
Bricks and Mortar
2.8%
5% 6% 4.4%
14% 8% 4.7%
2.5%
7% 0.4%
1.5%
6% 26%
3.6%
4% 4.5%
0.7%
19% 5% 7.0%
-4.1%
Total FMCG Frozen Food Health & Beauty exc med equip/acc
Chilled Foods Household exc vacuum cleaner bag Dry Grocery
Pet Supplies Confectionery Beverages
Fresh Produce Other
7% 2.8%
4.6%
22%
40%
1.2%
-1.1%
3.0%
20%
11% 6.0%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
114
6.7 6.7 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.7 112
111
109
108 108
107
106 106
105
2.2 2.2 2.3
1.8 1.4 1.5
Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
0.7% 5.2%
3.1%
3.4% 2.6% 4.0%
3.1% 2.2%
3.3% 3.3%
2.3% 2.8% 2.4% 3.0%
3.4% 2.0% 1.7%
0.2% 3.2%
0.7% 3.4% -0.2%
0.0%
-2.6% -1.1% -1.4%
-1.7% -2.8%
-1.4%
-5.1%
Nat CityTgTs
9% H/S'mkt/CVS Total 2.9%
Offline Nat CityTgTs
32%
FMCG 59% 3.2%
Grocery Total
Other 7.0%
9.7%
Specialty Baby Stores
and
Online 31.2%
Online
Health and premium trends are the driving force behind Food and
Beverage growth.
3.3%
20% 4.5%
30%
6.5%
10% -0.2%
-0.8%
19% 20% 6.7%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
4.3
3.8
109 111 114
108 107
3.1 3.2 102
95 93
2.8 88 87
2.6
2.0 2.0
1.8
1.2
1.0
0.5
Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
1.1%
0.9%
1.3%
1.5% 1.4% 1.9%
0.1% 1.4% 0.2% -0.2% 0.9% 0.8%
0.3%
-0.3% -0.5% 0.0%
-0.5% -2.4%
-1.0%
-0.4% -1.2% -0.7% -0.3%
-1.7% -4.3% -1.5%
-2.6% -2.5%
-3.4%
-3.0%
20%
-9.0%
0.9%
80%
Premiumization was the key driver behind Cigarettes, Frozen Food and
Personal care categories performance.
11% -1.2%
6% -2.1%
-3.7%
13%
55% 4.8%
6.0%
15%
-3.9%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
The Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) score for India in Q2 2017 was 128 , 8 points lower
than Q4 2016, where India was highest at 136. This short-term anxiety is likely to be due
to the major events such as demonetization and the rollout of the GST creating a larger
formal economy that will lead to re-defining of jobs and re-skilling as businesses and
business processes restructure themselves. Consumer perceptions on prices due to the
GST tax implementation could also be the cause for consumers exercising caution around
spending. While Indias confidence dropped from the top spot globally, at rank two on the
index, the country continues to reflect high confidence levels that it has held for the past
three years.
Government expenditure is also aiding overall growth. Due to the early presentation of the
union budget this year, non-interest government expenditure expanded by 26% in Q2
2017. After poor rains for two consecutive years in 2014 and 2015, monsoon was normal in
2016 and 2017 is expected to be close to normal. As a result, advanced estimates for crop
yields this year is positive. The positive monsoon season and strong agricultural yields has
lined consumers pockets resulting in strong FMCG performance in Q2 2017.
Overall, the economic outlook for the country seems healthy with controlled inflation,
upward GDP estimates for 2017-18, and healthy agricultural production. FMCG
manufacturers need to be vigilant about the GST era. As the tax bands change, there is a
lot of room to fine-tune price-promo combinations of products to develop a winning edge. In
the short term, companies also need to support products to maintain stock pressure in the
trade as retailers might not have the expertise to harness the change.
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
AP IN
Source Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU)/India Central Statistics Office
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
19.9%
8%
12.8%
8.8%
92%
Traditional Trade Modern Trade
7% 12.5%
19%
13.6%
23%
11.2%
14%
15.3%
16% 12.0%
22%
9.9%
13.2%
12.5%
23%
31% 10.3%
18.0%
11% 12.2%
16.8%
15%
20% 10.5%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
Consumer confidence remains high and Indonesia continues to be one of the top 3 most
Agus Nurudin
optimistic countries in the region. However despite consumer optimism, consumers are shifting
Managing Director,
Indonesia their spending priorities as income increases are not keeping up with price increases. In the
last 6 months, it appears FMCG value and consumption has slowed due to a shift in consumer
spending behaviour. Indonesian consumers focus on three main spending areas :
1.Food necessities covering rice, fruit vegetables, meat and poultry; 2.Education considered
necessary spending for future; 3.Leisure and Lifestyle e.g. vacation, fashion, and durables
including smartphones. Different socio-economic groups have different priorities. Middle
income groups seem able to adjust their spending and still increase consumption, while upper
income groups try to rationalize spending by seeking more promotions and switching to more
affordable brands Lower income groups (46% of population) have limited spending leverage
and tend to sacrifice volume consumption including FMCG.
In this environment, small format outlets e.g. mini-markets and traditional trade have an
advantage as consumers reduce planned, often larger shopping trips in favour of smaller top-
up shopping. E-commerce in Indonesia, while still below 2% is seeing significant growth over
the past year mostly driven by promotion buying.
Looking forward, companies need to address the stratification of consumer needs in Indonesia.
While consumers seek value, it is critical to manage promotion strategies carefully to avoid
promotional dependence. Given the size and importance of the lower income group, companies
must consider pricing strategies from the full portfolio to ensure an affordable entry level tier for
this consumer group. Finally, consumers are looking for excitement, so it is critical to drive the
emotional connection with brands through consumer events and product innovation.
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
4.0%
42%
58%
5.4%
3%
18% 4.6%
4.1%
35% 2.1%
8%
7.1%
3.1%
35% 2.9%
14% 4.6%
26% 2.9%
1.3%
24% 9.7%
13% 3.5%
4.6%
24%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
Consumers are showing increasing optimism with the consumer confidence index at 87
points, an increase of 14 points since Q4 2016 - the highest over the past two years. This
increase was across the 3 key indicators of job prospects, state of personal finances and the
Toshihiro
right time to buy the things they want/need in the next 12 months. Japanese consumers
Fukutoku
Managing Director, continue to prioritise putting spare cash into savings but spending on holidays and out-of-
Japan home entertainment has expanded. The economy, war, and health rate as the top concerns
among Japanese consumers. Tensions in the region with North Korea may be driving the
concern of war which rose 9% since Q4 2016.
With population declines and low profits, many Japanese companies look for growth beyond
domestic borders and have shifted their markets overseas. Although traditionally, it was
only local giants that focussed on market expansion outside of Japan, medium sized local
players are following this strategy for growth. While the Japanese retail environment is
challenging, opportunities can be found for companies with a genuine understanding of
consumers wants and needs. Consumers today do not purchase on price alone, rather they
evaluate the total product based on criteria that matters most to them. It is critical that
product development encompasses a high-quality offer as well as providing benefits (e.g.
joy, convenience, uniqueness.) consumers seek.
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
3.6%
3.3%
2.8% 2.9%
1.9% 1.2% 1.8%
1.2%
1.7% 1.6% 1.6%
0.5% 0.6%
1.6% 1.4% 1.8% 1.7% 1.1% 1.3%
1.1% 0.5% 0.3%
0.2% 0.6% 0.4%
-0.3%
-2.3% -0.7%
-1.0%
-1.8%
17%
-0.8%
3%
2.3%
1.8%
Source: INTAGE : a Japan based partner sourcing RMS data to Nielsen Japan HC: Home Centre. DS: Discount store
0.2%
4% 12%
1.1%
21% 7%
2.0%
-0.4%
1.4%
-3.1%
56%
Total FMCG Personal Care Home Care Foods Beverage Paper Product
Source: INTAGE : a Japan based partner sourcing RMS data to Nielsen Japan
The recent Ramadhan period was flat, although Drugstores and Pharmacies
reported strong growth this quarter, coming from the cosmetics category post-
festive sales. Nevertheless, all other key categories showed a decline, with
beverages having the largest impact.
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
1.9 1.7
1.3
Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YA MAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
8.0%
5.7% 5.4% 5.2%
4.3% 0.9%
3.6% 2.1% 8.1%
1.8% 3.2% 1.9%
2.0% 2.3% -1.9%
2.1% 3.3% 2.5% 2.1% 2.2%
1.5% 0.5%
-0.4% -0.1% -0.2%
-1.4% -6.3%
-2.4% 1.6%
-4.1%
2%
1.6%
26%
-5.5%
72%
-1.8%
2% -0.4%
9%
25% -0.2%
-6.2%
19% 3.4%
-2.9%
8% 4.6%
26% 1.7%
10%
11.7%
-0.4%
18%
24%
-3.5%
0.5%
0.9%
25% 4.2%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
Myanmars invitation to join the ASEAN Economic Community (AEC) in the next 16 months
provides opportunity for local companies to learn and adopt best practices from the region
and benefit from foreign direct investment to enhance trade. Local companies however face
challenges by AEC entry with increased competition creating a need to elevate product
quality in the manufacturing sector and greater trade financing support required in the banking
sector. The government continues to enhance its investment laws to attract foreign
investors. It is an exciting time for Myanmar as new policy will make it easier for foreign
companies to do business within its borders. Companies should be prepared with strong
local knowledge to get ahead of the game
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
8.0
7.3 6.9 7.0
6.5 107
5.5
105
Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
15.3% 14.6%
13.4%
14.5% 14.0%
12.5%
0.9% 0.7%
0.6%
8% 14.6%
11% 17%
37%
12%
11%
12%
26%
3%
33%
4%
14.6%
16%
13.6%
14.9%
43%
20.3%
23% 11.4%
7.2%
13%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31 -100 100+
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
4.4
4.1
3.9 3.7
3.5 114
111
108 109
107
2.2 103 103
101
1.7 99
1.3 96
0.4 0.0
0.4 0.4
Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YA MAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
4.7%
3.5% 3.5% 3.7%
5.0% 2.9% 2.7% 2.9% 2.7% 2.5% 2.6%
5.5% 2.7%
2.8% 4.6% 8.9% 3.1% 2.8%
0.1% 3.0% 2.9% 1.0%
-2.0% -0.3% -0.4%
-1.5% -1.9% -0.2% -0.1%
-4.2%
2.9%
23% 23%
1.1%
0.6%
10% 3.2%
23%
3.1%
21% 5.2%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
In the second quarter of 2017, optimism amongst Filipino consumers was the most bullish
Stuart Jamieson globally at 130 despite a slight dip of two points from Q4 2016 While the three confidence
Managing Director, indicators remain high, slight decreases (-2% ) were noted across job optimism, immediate
The Philippines spending intentions and state of personal finances compared to Q4 2016. Job security and
health are the top two major concerns of Filipino consumers. Most notable is the rising
concern of Filipino respondents over terrorism 20% compared to 6% in Q4 2016 which was
not surprising after the Resorts world incident and the start of the Marawi siege.
FMCG looks to continue to grow despite some softening in recent quarters. A number of e-
commerce players are intensifying their efforts in the Philippines. Small store formats such
as conveniences stores and minimarts continue to grow with regional supermarket chains
rolling out their own small store outlets.
A Tax Reform Bill is being passed through legislation which includes lowering the personal
income tax over several years for lower income earners, and implementing an excise tax on
motor vehicles and petroleum products and a Sugar Tax on Sweetened Beverages. The
President also signed an Executive Order banning smoking outside of designated areas.
This will dampen cigarette consumption as fewer sari-sari stores will handle the category
given stores within 100 metres of schools are not allowed to sell and shoppers are not
allowed to light a cigarette within this zone.
As the government looks to implement a number of tax reforms it is critical for retailers and
manufacturers to understand and be prepared for how its effects will impact consumer
behaviour. While consumers will potentially find themselves with additional income, it is
uncertain how much will be spent on FMCG versus durables or savings. Anticipating price
increases that will come with a sugar tax and its impact on consumption is critical for
manufacturers to be armed for the future. Philippines continues to be a market ripe with
opportunity. It has a demographic sweet spot with a median age of 23 and as internet and
smartphone penetration continue to increase, pockets of growth will be there for the taking.
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
3.1 3.1
2.5
2.1
1.1 1.6
Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2016Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
9.3%
8.9%
8.0% 8.3% 8.2%
7.9%
6.8% 6.8%
6.1%
4.9% 4.6% 5.8% 6.6% 5.5% 5.5%
4.1% 3.6% 4.9%
3.2% 1.7%
Volume is softer with the full effect of election period (Q2 2016)
6.5%
43%
57%
7.3%
0%
27%
5%
17%
11%
5%
3%
6%
10%
1%
1%
0%
3%
11%
8% 6.8%
4.2%
17%
38%
9.2%
7.7%
22% 10.1%
16% 6.6%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
Singapores consumers are showing increasing optimism with the confidence index
at 89 up three points from Q4 2016. Easing apprehension over job prospects is
evident (36% in Q2 2017 vs 32% in Q4 2016) in line with falling unemployment.
JOHAN
VRANCKEN
However, job security and the economy remained as the top major concerns.
Managing Director, Saving is still top of mind with more than six in 10 Singaporeans putting spare cash
Singapore in savings.
The marginal improvements in the economy have not been felt in FMCG, with spend
declining at -2.7% in Q2 2017/. Decline in spend could also reflect consumer
purchases in alternative channels such as e-commerce . While overall FMCG spend
declined, shoppers are shifting towards Modern Trade retailers which offer more
frequent promotions, especially when paired with strong loyalty programmes which
offer increased value. Shoppers are also looking towards house brands/private label
as a way to save money and perceived to offer comparable quality to named
brands.
E-commerce continues to grow steadily despite the majority of grocery shopping still
happening in offline channels. This growth is expected to continue and accelerate,
especially with the impending launch of Amazon Prime in Singapore. Health and
wellness is gaining more prominence among Singaporeans, with consumers putting
in more efforts to plan for healthier meal options. The Ministry of Health recently
introduced the Healthier Ingredients Development Scheme (HIDS), that provides
funding support for food manufacturers to incorporate more whole grains and
healthier cooking oils in their products. Health supplement categories are seeing
robust growth, supported by one in four Singaporeans incorporating them into their
diets.
Economics, taste and convenience are still very important in purchase decisions.
Manufacturers should look for opportunities to combine these attributes, helping time-
crunched consumers eat healthily without sacrificing taste or breaking the bank.
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
109 111 114
108 107
94 89
88 88 86
2.9 2.7 2.9
1.9 1.9
1.2
0.0 0.6 0.8
-0.4
-0.8 -0.9
Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
3.3%
8%
-12.3%
-1.2%
92%
-2.2%
2% 12%
-7.4%
17%
-2.0%
9% -3.2%
6% -0.1%
9% -0.7%
15% 3.3%
-4.3%
20% -2.0%
6%
5% -2.2%
11.1%
-2.2%
23%
27% -2.4%
-6.0%
10%
-2.2%
19% -1.2%
21%
-1.3%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q1 2017 Q2 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
4.8%
3.5% 3.6%
2.8% 2.8% 2.7%
4.3%
2.0% 3.0% 1.9% 1.7% 2.0% 4.0% 1.4%
1.6%
0.9% 0.7% 2.8%
0.5% 1.4%
1.1% 1.3%
1.3% 1.2% 0.8%
0.5% 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
-0.4%
FMCG growth evident in value and volume coming from lower tier
value for money offerings as well as high-end premium products.
3%
-4.4%
3.8%
97%
1% 3.5%
16% 6.0%
6% 8.8%
9% 10.8%
4% 6.3%
-3.2%
10%
3.9%
3%
-7.7%
16%
8.1%
1%
-3.8%
7% 0.7%
4% -2.9%
4% -6.2%
6% -6.1%
13% 3.6%
3.5%
6%
26% 4.7%
18%
4.9%
0.8%
16%
2.7%
33%
11.8%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
5.7% 5.6%
5.4%
4.6%
4.0% 4.1% 4.1%
3.8%
4.8% 4.4%
5.0%
2.7% 3.7%
3.9% 2.9% 0.7%
2.7%
1.7%
1.1%
1.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 0.7% 1.2% 1.2% 1.0%
1.1% 0.4%
-0.5%
19%
4.2%
3.3%
81%
4.0%
2.4% -0.5%
34% 5.3%
15% 4.4%
13% 6.5%
5% 2.4%
4% -1.2%
8% 1.6%
1% -1.7%
17% 3.1%
4.0%
21%
26% 4.9%
3.0%
9% 1.6%
3.0%
20%
22% 6.6%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
114
111 110
3.7 3.7 109
3.1 3.3 108 108
3.1 3.1 107 107
105
101
1.3
0.7 0.1
0.3 0.3
-0.5 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
5.0%
4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 4.0%
2.8%
2.8% 1.5% 3.0%
3.1% 3.1% 2.9%
1.8% 2.3% 2.5% 1.8%
1.3% 0.6% 0.9% 1.0%
0.7%
-2.1% -1.0%
-5.9%
-2.5% -3.8% -6.7%
-4.1%
-4.4%
-5.7%
-4.8%
47%
53%
-0.4%
-2.5%
13%
0.7%
32% 5%
1.4%
8%
5.7%
-4.0%
Impulse categories - Snack, Biscuit, Ice Cream, Candy and Chocolate perform
well due to new product launches and promotions, especially in convenience
14% -2.5%
-6.9%
35%
19% -4.3%
0.1%
1.2%
18% 13%
2.3%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
In spite of this, consumer confidence remains positive at 117 points a record peak
over the last 5 years. However job security is becoming a growing concern for
Huong Quynh Vietnamese consumers.
Nguyen
Managing Director, FMCG performance decelerated slightly in Q2 2017 after reaching record peaks in
Vietnam the previous 2 quarters. This performance can mostly be attributed to the low
season after Lunar New Year period. The Vietnam market has fluctuated over the
last 2 years and future performance needs to be monitored carefully for the
remainder of the year. Manufacturers should actively seek growth opportunities;
identifying white spaces of unmet consumer need and tapping into new markets and
categories to drive new sources of growth and sustainable business into the future.
More than 60% of Vietnams population live in the rural areas and there are
excellent opportunities for companies in this sector. Urbanisation, internet access
and smartphones are changing the lives of rural consumers. Increasingly connected
and exposed to a diversified media world, rural consumers are changing their
lifestyles and becoming more like their urban counterparts in towns and big cities.
More surprisingly, rural consumers do not only desire quality but they are willing to
pay more for products that offer it. With many of these rural areas opening up with
greater accessibility than ever before, there is ample opportunity for manufacturers
and retailers to find fertile ground with a new customer base.
COUNTRY HIGHLIGHTS
ECONOMY WATCH NIELSEN CONSUMER CONFIDENCE INDEX
117
6.8 114
6.6
6.2 112
5.5 5.6 111
5.1 5.0
109
4.4 108 109
107 107 107
3.3
2.2 2.8
1.3
Q1 2016Q2 2016Q3 2016Q4 2016Q1 2017Q2 2017 Q1 2016 Q2 2016 Q3 2016 Q4 2016 Q2 2017
MAT YAMAT TY Q3 15 Q4 15 Q1 16 Q2 16 Q3 16 Q4 16 Q1 17 Q2 17
7.3%
6.7%
6.3%
6.0% 5.6%
5.4%
4.8% 4.7%
3.8% 4.3% 6.0% 5.5%
5.0% 5.2%
4.6% 4.9%
3.9% 2.9%
3.5%
2.3%
1.3% 1.2%
0.9% 1.0% 0.9% 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.7%
0.6%
Growth slowed down in Q217 due to low season following Tet. Majority
of growth is from overall consumption growth and less price fluctuation
10%
5.5%
10.2%
90%
6.0%
3%
8% 6.0%
6% 6.1%
41% 10.4%
15%
2.1%
7.8%
15% 8.2%
13%
-5.8%
6% 6.0%
13% 6.6%
36% 6.0%
5.8%
28% 2.1%
11.6%
17%
Total FMCG Top 1-5 Top 6-10 Top 11-30 Top 31-100 100+
AUSTRALIA
Click on icon for
industry expert view on
% SHARE OF FMCG % VALUE GROWTH Global vs Local brands
31%
LOCAL
11%
REGIONAL 4%
3%
58% MNC
-4%
CHINA
% SHARE OF FMCG
39%
63% 68% 68% 78% 7%
7% 8% 8%
0% 54%
30% 24% 24% 21%
18%
10% 12% 7% 8% 9%
3% 5%
LOCAL
REGIONAL
MNC
% VALUE GROWTH
11%10%
6% 4% 6% 8% 7%
2% 1% 4% 4%
-4% -4%
-6% -7%
INDIA
% SHARE OF FMCG
LOCAL
REGIONAL
MNC
% VALUE GROWTH
41%
30% 34%
19% 21% 18% 16%
8% 12% 10% 12% 9%
0%
-2% -8%
Nielsen Analysis: % Share 52 w/e Q3 2016 | % Value Growth 52 w/e Q3 2016 vs Q3 2014
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
WHOS FINDING GROWTH?
MULTINATIONAL, REGIONAL OR LOCAL PLAYERS
INDONESIA
% SHARE OF FMCG
27%
56% 49% 56%
79% 20%
1%
9% 8%
50% 53%
36% 11% 36%
10%
LOCAL
REGIONAL
MNC
% VALUE GROWTH 42%
30% 34% 30%31%
25%27% 26%
16% 18% 16%13% 18% 16%
7%
MALAYSIA
% SHARE OF FMCG
LOCAL
REGIONAL
MNC
% VALUE GROWTH
18% 17%
10% 9% 11%
7% 9% 7% 7% 7% 8% 6%
3% 3% 1%
Nielsen Analysis: % Share 52 w/e Q3 2016 | % Value Growth 52 w/e Q3 2016 vs Q3 2014
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
WHOS FINDING GROWTH?
MULTINATIONAL, REGIONAL OR LOCAL PLAYERS
NEW ZEALAND
% SHARE OF FMCG
15%
0%
44% 43% 43% 42%
0%
13% 14% 26% 85%
43% 58%
34% 31%
LOCAL
REGIONAL
MNC
% VALUE GROWTH
18% 17%
10% 9% 11%
7% 9% 7% 7% 7% 8% 6%
3% 3% 1%
PHILIPPINES
% SHARE OF FMCG
LOCAL
REGIONAL
MNC
% VALUE GROWTH
31%
24%
19% 17%
14% 13% 15% 12% 11%
11% 7% 10% 6%
0% 0%
Nielsen Analysis: % Share 52 w/e Q3 2016 | % Value Growth 52 w/e Q3 2016 vs Q3 2014
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
WHOS FINDING GROWTH?
MULTINATIONAL, REGIONAL OR LOCAL PLAYERS
SINGAPORE
% SHARE OF FMCG
LOCAL
REGIONAL
MNC
% VALUE GROWTH
1% 9% 9%
-4%
-18% -12% -11%-2% -3% -10% -5% -13%
-25%
-34% -41%
SOUTH KOREA
% SHARE OF FMCG
51% 41%
72% 79% 72% 6%
8%
14% 14% 41% 53%
14% 17% 14%
4%
LOCAL
REGIONAL
MNC
% VALUE GROWTH
13%
3% 6% 4%
1% 3% 2%
-1% -3%
-5% -7% -7% -3%
-12% -12%
Nielsen Analysis: % Share 52 w/e Q3 2016 | % Value Growth 52 w/e Q3 2016 vs Q3 2014
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
WHOS FINDING GROWTH?
MULTINATIONAL, REGIONAL OR LOCAL PLAYERS
TAIWAN
% SHARE OF FMCG
12%
45% 52% 37%
58% 36%
23%
28% 20%
30% 40% 52%
27% 28% 12%
LOCAL
REGIONAL
MNC
% VALUE GROWTH
14%
6% 8% 7% 4%
3% 6% 2%
5% 2%
THAILAND
% SHARE OF FMCG
15% 15%
39% 49% 48% 21%
26%
17% 10%
25% 64%
44% 59%
43%
26%
LOCAL
REGIONAL
9% 9%
8%
7%
5% 6% 6%
4%
2% 2% 2% 2%
1% 2%
-1%
Nielsen Analysis: % Share 52 w/e Q3 2016 | % Value Growth 52 w/e Q3 2016 vs Q3 2014
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
VIETNAM
% SHARE OF FMCG
23% 8%
42% 45% 5% 26%
69%
11% 2%
72% 66%
47% 21% 53%
10%
% VALUE GROWTH
50%
Nielsen Analysis: % Share 52 w/e Q3 2016 | % Value Growth 52 w/e Q3 2016 vs Q3 2014
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
WHOS FINDING GROWTH?
METHODOLOGY
Analysis referenced in The Big Picture and country specific details comes from a
deep dive analysis of Top 100 Manufacturers in each local market, which were
classified into the following segments based on Total FMCG data from Q3 2016.
These manufacturers accounting for approximately 85% of Total FMCG. Alcohol and
Tobacco is excluded from this analysis but is available on request to local client
service.
Local player: 80%+ share of sales in one market (e.g. Indofood, JS Unitrade,
Monde Nissin and Wings)
Regional player: less than 80% share of sales in one market and active in 3 or
more markets (e.g. Kao, Mayora, Unicharm and Universal Robina Corporation)
Definitions of FMCG vary by market as it does for Quarter by Numbers and can be
seen in the QBN standard Definitions. For the purpose of this analysis we grouped
all categories into 4 groups Food, Beverage, Household and Personal as indicated
by the icons respectively below.
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.
DEFINITIONS AND SOURCES
Economy Watch
% GDP per annum growth sourced from Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU)
Inflation, consumer prices % change per annum sourced from Economist Intelligence Unit
(EIU) unless sourced otherwise.
Consumer Confidence Index - Survey is based on respondents with Internet access. China
survey results reflect a mixed methodology. Index levels above and below 100 indicate
degrees of optimism/pessimism. Q1 2017 CCI results are unavailable, resulting in
comparisons made to Q4 2016.
FMCG Market Dynamics - compares overall market dynamics (value and unit growth) in the
Fast Moving Consumer Goods sector based on the sales tracking Nielsen performs in the
mentioned APAC markets. The FMCG definition is based on the widest possible basket of
product categories that are continuously tracked by Nielsen in each of these countries and
channels. Japan data from INTAGE a Japan based partner sourcing RMS data to Nielsen
Japan
Super Category Performance definition of Super Categories are based on local market
definitions
Copyright 2017 The Nielsen Company (US), LLC. Confidential and proprietary. Do not distribute.