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Causal Loop Quick Tutorial Traffic Congestion

General Points

1. File operations and cutting/pasting work in the standard manner for


Windows programs.

2. Most of the operations you need to routinely do to use Vensim can be


carried out from the various toolbars. Many of the menu items are
duplicates of toolbar buttons.

3. Nomenclature: The term click means to press and release the left
mouse button. The term drag means to press and hold the left mouse
button, and then move the mouse. The term right-click means to press
and release the right mouse button.

4. Vensim works using a workbench metaphor. That is, you create and
modify a model by using the various tools on the toolbars. At all times
there is a Workbench Variable which is the model variable that some
tools automatically apply to. This variable is shown in the centre of the
Title Bar.

5. In Vensim, a causal loop diagram is referred to as a sketch.

Vensim SKETCH Page

The picture below shows the sketch page/workbench, which the Causal
Loop Diagrams/Sketches are created.
The main items on this sketch page (or Workbench) that you need to focus
on are:

Variable Tool (also accessed by the number 3 numeric keypad).

Arrow Tool (also accessed by the number 5 numeric keypad).

Move/Size Tool (also accessed by the number 2 numeric keypad).

It is with these three tools that you enter variables, link them together with
arrows, and then move them around as you build and refine your Causal
Loop Diagram (CLD).

Delete Tool
Menu

Arrow Tool Main Tool Bar


6. Variable Tool
Comment Tool Sketch Tools
Move/Size Tool
Lock Tool

Analysis Tools

Build (Sketch) Window

Status Bar
1. Tell a Story

Over the past few years ago, the Traffic Control Authority has dealt with the
problem of increasing traffic congestion with an expanding program of
freeway construction. Today, they face a different problem yes, for a
while, the traffic congestion problem eased as a result of each new
expansion of the freeway system, but the traffic congestion problem returned
and was worse than what they had faced initially.

You have been called in because of your capacity to think systemically


about issues that bite-back.

2. Draw a BOT Graph

Firstly, you uncover from the Traffic Control Authority a pattern of


behaviour as outlined in the story above. You draw this up in the form of a
behaviour over time graph as follows:

Traffic

Congestion

1999
1996
1993
1990
Time

Your inquiry further reveals that contrary to the assumptions the Authority
had made regarding traffic congestion, an unintended consequence of the
policy solution of freeway construction was that driving a car became far
more attractive than catching public transport. Subsequently, drivers were
choosing to travel more by private vehicle, which increased traffic
congestion. You suspect that the Traffic Control Authority had not
understood the stakeholder value proposition involved for the motorist.

3. Draw a Causal Loop Diagram

You immediately consider this a systemic problem, and recognise the


archetypal pattern of fixes that fail. You sketch out the following causal
loop diagram:

TRAFFIC
CONGESTION

S
Freeway
Traffic Congestion B Construction
S O

R
Attractiveness to S
Drive
In this tutorial, you will create the causal loop diagram shown above. Use
the following steps:

1. Start Vensim, and click the New Model button on the Main Toolbar.

The Time Bounds for Model dialog will display. You only need to
worry about this for simulation models.

Click the OK button.

A blank Build Window will appear. This is where you create your causal
loop diagram. (A diagram in the Build Window is referred to as a
sketch.)

2. Select the Variable tool from the Sketch Tools by clicking on it.

Click on the spot in the Build Window where you want to place the
variable Traffic Congestion.

An editing box will open.

3. Key Traffic Congestion, and press the Enter key.

Repeat this process to create the variables Freeway Construction and


Attractiveness to Drive, as shown in the diagram below.

(Hints: If you discover that you have incorrectly spelled a variable name,

select the Variable tool, and click on the incorrectly spelled name. This
will open the editing box for the variable. If you wish to completely
remove a variable, or other element, from a sketch, select the Delete
tool from the Sketch Tools, and click on the element to remove it.

You can move a variable by dragging it using the Move/Size tool or


you can also drag using the Variable tool after you have keyed the
variable.)
4. Select the Arrow tool from the Sketch Tools by clicking on it.

Click on the variable Traffic Congestion in the Build Window,


release the mouse button, and then click on the variable Freeway
Congestion.

A straight arrow will appear from Traffic Congestion to Freeway


Construction.

Select the Move/Size tool, and drag the handle (small circle) on this
arrow to curve it as shown in the next picture below:

(Hint: As a shortcut, you can also drag using the Arrow tool. Put the tip
of the curved arrow mouse Move/Size over the handle of the arrow in
the sketch, and then press the mouse button to drag.)

5. Repeat this process to draw arrows from Freeway Construction to


Traffic Congestion, Freeway Construction to Attractiveness to
Drive, and Attractiveness to Drive to Traffic Congestion as shown
in the sketch below.
6. You can move a variable by dragging it using the Move/Size tool. Note
that as you move a variable, the arrows connected to that variable
rearrange themselves to remain connected to the variable.

7. Place a delay symbol on the arrow from Freeway Construction to


Attractiveness to Drive, as shown in the sketch at the top of this
tutorial, by right-clicking with the Move/Size Tool on the arrows
handle (small circle) in the Build Window.

Check the Delay marking option in the upper centre part of the
dialog box that is displayed.

8. Add the s & o signs shown in the sketch above to the arrows by
selecting the arrows in the sketch, and then clicking on the Set
polarity on selected arrows button on the Status Bar.

Select the s & o signs from the displayed options.

(Hint: Move the s signs to positions near the heads of the arrows if they
are not already there by right-clicking on each arrows handle in turn and
selecting Position polarity mark at the arrowhead.)
Note that you can also position the polarity marks on the Outside or on
the Inside, as shown in the sketch at the top of this tutorial, by selecting
the appropriate option from the dialog that is displayed when you right-
click on each arrow. For the arrow from Freeway Construction to
Traffic Congestion, you will have to select Inside and the other
arrows as Outside. (If you wish, you can also change the size of a plus
or minus sign by changing the Font for the arrow from this same
dialog.)

9. Place the positive/reinforcing feedback loop symbol inside the positive


feedback loop as follows:

Select the Comment tool from the Sketch Tools by clicking it.

Click inside the positive feedback loop on the sketch. From the
Comment Description dialog that opens, select a Shape of Loop
Clkwse. Type the letter R in the comment field for reinforcing
loop, and click on the OK button.

The negative/balancing feedback loop symbol can be added to the sketch


in an analogous manner.

10.Finally, we need to add the title TRAFFIC CONGESTION.

Select the Comment tool, clicking on the sketch above the feedback
loops, and entering TRAFFIC CONGESTION into the
Comment box.

11.Experiment with printing the diagram, and copying it into the Clipboard
and then pasting it into a word processing document. Note that the
printed or copied diagram does not have the handles (small circles)
shown on the sketch. Note that you must select the diagram to copy it
into the Clipboard.

You can do this by selecting Select All from the Edit menu, or by
dragging across the entire diagram with the Move/Size tool.
(Hint: If you use Select All, portions of curved arrows near the edge of
the sketch may be chopped off in the copied diagram.)

12.If you wish, save your diagram using the Save button on the Main
Toolbar.