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Floods are a major problem, particularly in developing countries like Malaysia. The document discusses a software project that uses satellite imagery from Himiwari 8 to measure rainfall rates and predict likelihoods of flooding. It does this by estimating temperatures from pixel brightness in infrared satellite images and correlating these values to rainfall data from gauges using Bayesian inference, allowing it to predict rainfall from new satellite data.
Originalbeschreibung:
Poster describing how rainfall is predicted from satellite images.
Floods are a major problem, particularly in developing countries like Malaysia. The document discusses a software project that uses satellite imagery from Himiwari 8 to measure rainfall rates and predict likelihoods of flooding. It does this by estimating temperatures from pixel brightness in infrared satellite images and correlating these values to rainfall data from gauges using Bayesian inference, allowing it to predict rainfall from new satellite data.
Floods are a major problem, particularly in developing countries like Malaysia. The document discusses a software project that uses satellite imagery from Himiwari 8 to measure rainfall rates and predict likelihoods of flooding. It does this by estimating temperatures from pixel brightness in infrared satellite images and correlating these values to rainfall data from gauges using Bayesian inference, allowing it to predict rainfall from new satellite data.
Flood Warning Flooding is a big problem: particularly for developing countries like Malaysia, where my project is going to be used, it can destroy homes, food, and takes many lives each year, so in order to identify and predict ooding we have been writing a piece of software to measure the current rainfall rate from satellite imagery, this can then go to a model of the water system which can predict the likelihood of oods. The Himiwari 8 satellite is supplying the images. It is a geostationary satellite, which means it always occupys the same point above the Earth, at a height of around 36,000km, it is collecting light at many dierent wavelengths from the visible to the infra red and sending this information down to one of eOspheres groundstations.
When light interacts with clouds it
doesn't all go through, dierent wavelengths of light interact dierently with dierent features of the atmosphere, the background image of this poster is a satellite image in an infra red band over the Indian ocean, the light reaching the sensor is almost entirely that which reects of o water vapour in the atmosphere, which is why you can't see the surface of the Earth. The temperature of each point is estimated from the brightness of each pixel and that allows us to tell the height and therefore the chance of rain fall, the upper atmosphere is cooler so water vapour condenses and it rains. The algorithm I implemented in my project was supplied by the EUMETSAT Satellite Application Facility, they built a model of the atmosphere and tted it to data from rain guages to predict rain fall amount. I also wrote a program that compares the temperature of many dierent cloudy pixels, uses a statistical technique called Baysian inference to compare these values to rain guage data to create a piece of software that can then predict rainfall from new data.