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Federal Aviation

U.S. Rotorcraft Accident Administration


Data and Statistics

Presented to: 2012 FAA/Industry Safety Forum


By: Lee Roskop, Operations Research Analyst
Date: Jan 2012
U.S. Registered Rotorcraft Accidents
300
30 Year History: 1982-2011
273
259
250 252

221 222
213
200
205 205
199
194 190
184 186 186 187 185
177 175
171 167 168 170 170
Accidents

157 154
150 149 149
141
134
127

100

50
42 39 41 42 41 38
34 35 37 36 33 33 35
31 29 29 29 31 28 32 28
25 26 25 24 25 24
19 19 18
0
82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11
Calendar Year

Accidents Per Year Fatal Accidents Per Year

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U.S. Registered Rotorcraft Accidents
Focus on 10 Year History: 2001-2010
250

200 205
190 185
175 170 170
141 149
150
154
Accidents

134

100

50
38 35
28 32 28
25 24 25 24 19
0
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
Calendar Year

Accidents Per Year Fatal Accidents Per Year

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Progressing from accident totals to
accident rates requires flight hours.

The FAA’s General Aviation and Part 135


Activity Survey is the source for U.S.
rotorcraft flight hour estimates used
calculations used in this presentation.

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U.S. Registered Rotorcraft Accidents
Estimated Accident Rates: 2001-2010
12.00

10.00 10.13
9.60

8.00 8.14

6.71
Accidents

6.00 6.05
5.24
4.96
4.47 4.38
4.00 3.94

2.00
1.78
1.30 1.33 1.26 1.09
0.79 0.73 0.74 0.63 0.82
0.00
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
Calendar Year

Accidents Rate per 100,000 Hours Fatal Accident Rate Per 100,000 Hours

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Administration
U.S. Registered Rotorcraft Accidents
Estimated Accident Rates: 2001-2010
12.00
Start of IHST initiative and goal to
reduce accident rate 80% in 10 years
10.00 10.13
9.60

8.00 8.14 2006 – 2010: IHST was analysis centered


2011 – 2015: IHST is implementation
6.71
Accidents

centered
6.00 6.05
5.24
4.96
4.47 4.38
4.00 3.94
IHST’s goal is a rate of 1.8 by 2016.

*
2.00
1.78
1.30 1.33 1.26 1.09
0.79 0.73 0.74 0.63 0.82
0.00
01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10
Calendar Year

Accidents Rate per 100,000 Hours Fatal Accident Rate Per 100,000 Hours

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What are the usual environmental
conditions for rotorcraft accidents?

• Based on NTSB data for U.S. rotorcraft


accidents from 2001-2010:

Over 88% occur in daylight conditions

Over 95% occur in VMC

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What industry sectors result in the
most rotorcraft accidents?

Helicopter EMS?

Federal Aviation 8 8
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What industry sectors result in the
most rotorcraft accidents?

Helicopter EMS?

Air Tour?

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What industry sectors result in the
most rotorcraft accidents?

Helicopter EMS?

Air Tour?

Offshore?

Federal Aviation 10 10
Administration
What industry sectors result in the
most rotorcraft accidents?

Helicopter EMS?

Air Tour?

Offshore?

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Rotorcraft Accidents by NTSB Classification
10 Years from CY01 to CY10 – 1,672 Accidents
6 Other Categories
6 Other Categories1.5%
1.5% External Load
External 1.9%
Load 1.9%
Aerial Observation
Aerial3.3%
Observation 3.3%
Flight Test 1.4%
Flight Test 1.4%
Business 4.7%
Business 4.7%
Positioning 4.9%
Instruction/Training
Instruction/Training Positioning 4.9%
21.7% 21.7%

Other Work 7.4%


Other Work 7.4%

EMS 7.8%
EMS 7.8%

Personal/Private
Personal/Private 20.0%
20.0%
Public Use 7.8%
Public Use 7.8%

Aerial Application
Aerial8.2%
Application 8.2%
Not Categorized
Not Categorized9.3%
9.3%

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IHST’s Analysis of U.S. Accidents
CYs 2000, 2001, 2006 – 523 accidents
Electronic New s
Electronic News
Personal/Private 18.5%
Personal/Private 18.5%
Gathering 1.7%
Gathering 1.7% Utilities
Utilities
Patrol/Construction
Patrol/Construction 2.1%
2.1%
External Load 2.7%
External Load 2.7%
Logging
Logging 2.7% 2.7%

Instruction/Training Firefighting
Firefighting 3.6% 3.6%
Instructional/Training
17.6% 17.6%
Offshore
Offshore 4.2%4.2%

Aerial Observation
Aerial Observation 4.2% 4.2%

Aerial Application 10.3%


Aerial Application 10.3%
Business 4.8%
Business 4.8%

Air Tour / Sightseeing 5.9%


Air Tour / Sightseeing
5.9%

Emergency Medical Law Enforcement


Em ergency Medical Law Enforcem ent 6.5%
Services 7.6% Services 7.6% 6.5%
Commercial
Com m ercial7.5%
7.5%

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2011 Analysis of U.S. Accidents
Firefighting 0.8% Offshore 0.8%
Offshore 0.8%
Firefighting 0.8%

Personal/Private 27.6%
Business 1.6%
Business 1.6%
Personal/Private 27.6%
Air Tour / Sightseeing
Air Tour1.6%
/ Sightseeing 1.6%
Utilities
Utilities
Patrol/Construction
Patrol/Construction 2.4%
2.4%
External Load 2.4%
External Load 2.4%
Law Enforcem ent 3.1%
Law Enforcement 3.1%
Aerial Observation 4.7%
Aerial Observation 4.7%
Instruction/Training
Instructional/Training
18.9% 18.9% Emergency
Em ergency MedicalMedical
Services 6.3%
Services 6.3%

Commercial 11.0%
Com m ercial 11.0%

Aerial Application 18.9%


Aerial Application 18.9%

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Administration
Hopefully the last few slides left you with a
better impression than this…

…but percentage of accidents within each


industry sector is only half of the story.
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Administration
Personal/Private
Accidents Compared to Flight Hours
U.S. Personal/Private Helicopter Accidents and Flight Hours

25%

22% 22%
21%
20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
19% 19%
18%

15%

10%

6% 6%
5%
4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
3%

0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

% of Rotorcraft Hours % of Rotorcraft Accidents

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Instruction/Training
Accidents Compared to Flight Hours
U.S. Instructional/Training Helicopter Accidents and Flight Hours

35%
31%
30%

25%
24% 24% 24%
21% 21%
20% 20%
18% 18% 17%
15% 16% 16% 16% 16%
13%
11% 12%
10% 9% 10%

5%

0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

% of Rotorcraft Hours % of Rotorcraft Accidents

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Aerial Application
Accidents Compared to Flight Hours
U.S. Aerial Application Helicopter Accidents and Flight Hours

20%
18% 18%
16%
14%
12%
10% 10%
9%
8% 8% 8% 8% 8%
7% 7% 7%
6%
5% 5% 5%
4% 4% 4% 4% 4%
3%
2%
0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

% of Rotorcraft Hours % of Rotorcraft Accidents

Federal Aviation 18 18
Administration
HEMS
Accidents Compared to Flight Hours
U.S. EMS Helicopter Accidents and Flight Hours

18%
16% 16%
15% 15%
14% 14% 14% 14%
13%
12% 12%
10% 10% 10%
9% 9% 9%
8% 8% 8% 8% 8%
7%
6% 6% 6%
4%
2%
0%
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

% of Rotorcraft Hours % of Rotorcraft Accidents

Federal Aviation 19 19
Administration
Accident rate comparison

HEMS 2001 – 2010


3.9 accidents per 100,000 flight hours

Federal Aviation 20 20
Administration
Accident rate comparison

HEMS 2001 – 2010


3.9 accidents per 100,000 flight hours

Personal/Private 2001 – 2010


29.6 accidents per 100,000 flight hours
Over 7 Times Higher than
Helicopter EMS

Federal Aviation 21 21
Administration
Another approach to examining
rotorcraft accident trends:

Cro Amsaa

Federal Aviation 22 22
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Cro Amsaa?
…is not this (Cro Magnon).

Federal Aviation 23 23
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Cro Amsaa
…is not this (Cro Magnon).

…but is this!

Federal Aviation 24 24
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Cro Amsaa Analysis

Federal Aviation 25 25
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Cro Amsaa Analysis

The value of Beta tells a story about the safety of our system
If Beta = 1: safety of the system is not changing
If Beta > 1: failures occurring faster
If Beta < 1: failures occurring slower

All Accidents CY 01 - 10
All Accidents CY 01 - 05
All Accidents CY 06 - 10

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Cro Amsaa Analysis

Bottom line:
Overall, the safety of our system got slightly better from 2001 to 2010.
Comparatively,
2001 to 2005: system safety was stagnant to slightly deteriorating
2006 to 2010: system safety was improving

All Accidents CY 01 - 10
All Accidents CY 01 - 05
All Accidents CY 06 - 10

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Cro Amsaa – All Rotorcraft Accidents

Our Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) offers further confirmation of a


system that is trending toward better safety the last 5 years:
Note the increase in the MTBF for 2006 to 2010 in comparison to 2001
to 2005.

All Accidents CY 01 - 10
All Accidents CY 01 - 05
All Accidents CY 06 - 10

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Cro Amsaa - Only Personal/Private

Personal/Private Accidents CY 01 - 10
Personal/Private Accidents CY 01 - 05
Personal/Private Accidents CY 06 - 10

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Administration
Cro Amsaa - Only Personal/Private

Although the Personal/Private sector improved from 2006 to 2010, the


sector still lags behind the beta of the overall system for every block of
years examined.

Beta values of overall


system during same
block of years
Personal/Private Accidents CY 01 - 10 0.938
Personal/Private Accidents CY 01 - 05 1.026
Personal/Private Accidents CY 06 - 10 0.849

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Cro Amsaa - Only Personal/Private

Using MTBF as a measurement, Personal/Private improved from 2006 to


2010 as compared to 2001 to 2005.

Personal/Private Accidents CY 01 –
10c
Personal/Private Accidents CY 01 - 05
Personal/Private Accidents CY 06 - 10

Federal Aviation 31 31
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Cro Amsaa - Only Personal/Private

The Personal/Private MTBF did improve by 2.5 days from 2006 to 2010 as
compared to 2001 to 2005.
But the MTBFs don’t
compare favorably to
other industry sectors,
e.g. HEMS.

Personal/Private Accidents CY 01 - 10 HEMS MTBF CY 01 – 10: 30.23


Personal/Private Accidents CY 01 - 05 HEMS MTBF CY 01 – 05: 25.05

Personal/Private Accidents CY 06 - 10 HEMS MTBF CY 06 – 10: 31.35

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Administration
Gathering data on U.S. rotorcraft can be
difficult, but we’re not so desperate that
we’ve resorted to this technique yet.

Federal Aviation 33 33
Administration
What do we know about
Personal/Private rotorcraft accidents?

• The IHST’s study of 523 U.S. accidents across 3


years provides the most complete analysis of:
– What happened (Occurrence Categories)
– Why it happened (Problem Statements)
– How it could have been prevented (Intervention
Recommendations)

• The next several slides will look specifically at


these areas for the 97 Personal/Private accidents
(18.5% of the 523 total accidents) in the IHST’s U.S.
data set.

Federal Aviation 34 34
Administration
Personal/Private Accidents:
Occurrence Categories tell “What happened?”
Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be placed in multiple occurrence
categories, so the percentages shown are not intended to sum to 100%.

Loss of Control 41%

Autorotation 27%

System Component Failure 23%

Struck an Object 21%

Fuel Related 12%

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35% 40% 45%


Percentage of Personal/Private Accidents (97 accidents)

Federal Aviation 35 35
Administration
Personal/Private Accidents:
More about “Loss of Control”

• Loss of control occurrences were further


divided into more specific sub-areas.

• For Personal/Private, the Loss of Control


sub-areas most frequently cited were (in
descending order):
– Performance Management
– Exceeded Operating Limits
– Lost Tail Rotor Authority

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Administration
Personal/Private Accidents:
Problem Statements tell “Why did it happen?”

Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be assigned multiple problem
statements, so the percentages shown are not intended to sum to 100%.

Pilot judgment & actions 90%

Safety Management 43%

Ground Duties 41%

Pilot Situational Awareness 34%

Part/system failure 23%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Percentage of Personal/Private Accidents (97 accidents)

Federal Aviation 37 37
Administration
Personal/Private Accidents:
Problem Statements tell “Why did it happen?”

Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be assigned multiple problem
statements, so the percentages shown are not intended to sum to 100%.

Pilot judgment & actions 90%

Safety Management For purposes of this 43% presentation we

will take a closer look at just a couple of


Ground Duties 41%
the problem statements.
Pilot Situational Awareness 34%

Part/system failure 23%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Percentage of Personal/Private Accidents (97 accidents)

Federal Aviation 38 38
Administration
Personal/Private Accidents:
Further details for selected problem statements

• “Pilot Judgment & Actions” problems most


frequently occurred in the following sub-areas:
– Decision Making, Landing Procedures, Procedure
Implementation, Flight Profile

• “Pilot Situational Awareness” problems most


frequently occurred in the following sub-areas:
– Awareness of External Environment, Awareness of
Visibility/Weather, Awareness of Internal Aircraft Issues

Federal Aviation 39 39
Administration
Personal/Private Accidents:
Intervention Recommendations tell “How it
could have been prevented”
Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be assigned multiple intervention
recommendations, so percentages aren't intended to sum to 100%.

Training/Instructional 87%

Safety Management 62%

Systems and Equipment 35%

Regulatory 29%

Maintenance 20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Percentage of Personal/Private Accidents (97 Accidents)

Federal Aviation 40 40
Administration
Personal/Private Accidents:
Intervention Recommendations tell “How it
could have been prevented”
Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be assigned multiple intervention
recommendations, so percentages aren't intended to sum to 100%.

Training/Instructional 87%

Safety Management 62%


For purposes of this presentation we
Systems and Equipment will take a closer35% look at only Systems

Regulatory
and Equipment 29%
recommendations.
Maintenance 20%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Percentage of Personal/Private Accidents (97 Accidents)

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Personal/Private Accidents:
A closer look at the top “Systems and
Equipment” intervention recommendations

• Post Incident Survivability


– Crash resistant fuel systems
– Install Wire Strike Protection System
– Improve helicopter specific ELT practices/standards

• Situational Awareness Enhancers


– Install proximity detection system
– Wire detection system for low altitude operations

• Cockpit Indication/Warning
– Automate carburetor anti-ice function or early warning alert
– Fuel system status

Federal Aviation 42 42
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The first recorded incident of a pilot
choosing to ignore statistical data at
the risk of his crew and passengers
happened a long time ago…

Federal Aviation 43 43
Administration
…in a galaxy far, far away.
But sir, the possibility
of successfully
navigating an asteroid
field is approximately
3,720 to 1!!

Never tell me the odds!!

Federal Aviation 44 44
Administration
What do we know about
Instructional/Training Accidents?
• Second highest number of accidents of any
industry sector studied by the IHST’s review
of U.S. helicopter accidents

• 92 accidents in Instructional Training


– 17.6% of the 523 total accidents studied

Federal Aviation 45 45
Administration
Instructional/Training Accidents:
Occurrence Categories tell “What happened?”
Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be placed in multiple occurrence
categories, so the percentages shown are not intended to sum to 100%.

Loss of Control 61%

Autorotation 54%

Abnormal Runway Contact 17%

System Component Failure 15%

Landing Zone 9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%


Percentage of Instructional/Training Accidents (92 accidents)

Federal Aviation 46 46
Administration
Instructional/Training Accidents:
More about “Loss of Control”

• Loss of control occurrences were further


divided into more specific sub-areas.

• For Instructional/Training, the Loss of


Control sub-areas most frequently cited
were (in descending order):
– Performance Management
– Interference with Controls
– Dynamic Rollover

Federal Aviation 47 47
Administration
Instructional/Training Accidents:
Problem Statements tell “Why did it happen?”
Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be assigned multiple problem
statements, so the percentage shown are not intended to sum to 100%

Pilot judgment & actions 93%

Safety Management 54%

Ground Duties 20%

Pilot Situational Awareness 20%

Part/system failure 17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Percentage of Instructional/Training Accidents (92 accidents)

Federal Aviation 48 48
Administration
Instructional/Training Accidents:
Problem Statements tell “Why did it happen?”
Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be assigned multiple problem
statements, so the percentage shown are not intended to sum to 100%

Pilot judgment & actions 93%

Safety Management For purposes of this presentation


54% we
Ground Duties
will take a closer look at just a couple of
20%
the problem statements.
Pilot Situational Awareness 20%

Part/system failure 17%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Percentage of Instructional/Training Accidents (92 accidents)

Federal Aviation 49 49
Administration
Instructional/Training Accidents:
Further details for selected problem statements

• “Pilot Judgment & Actions” problems most


frequently occurred in the following sub-
areas:
– Procedure Implementation, Landing Procedures,
Crew Resource Management, Decision Making

• “Pilot Situational Awareness” problems


most frequently occurred in the following
sub-areas:
– Awareness of External Environment

Federal Aviation 50 50
Administration
Instructional/Training Accidents:
Intervention Recommendations tell “How it
could have been prevented”
Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be assigned multiple intervention
recommendations, so percentages aren't intended to sum to 100%

Training/Instructional 92%

Safety Management 57%

Systems and Equipment 15%

Maintenance 8%

Regulatory 8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Percentage of Instructional/Training Accidents (92 Accidents)

Federal Aviation 51 51
Administration
Instructional/Training Accidents:
Intervention Recommendations tell “How it
could have been prevented”
Note: During the IHST analysis, each accident could be assigned multiple intervention
recommendations, so percentages aren't intended to sum to 100%

Training/Instructional 92%

Safety Management 57%

For purposes of this presentation we


Systems and Equipment 15%
will take a closer look at only Systems
Maintenance and
8% Equipment recommendations.

Regulatory 8%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
Percentage of Instructional/Training Accidents (92 Accidents)

Federal Aviation 52 52
Administration
Instructional/Training Accidents:
A closer look at the top “Systems and
Equipment” intervention recommendations

• Post Incident Survivability


– Crash resistant fuel systems
– Install Wire Strike Protection System

• Cockpit Warning/Indication
– Install low rotor warning
– Provide power available versus power required indicator
– Low airspeed indicator warning

• Situational Awareness Enhancers


– Wire detection system for low altitude operations
– Automatic hover recovery system
– Proximity detection system

Federal Aviation 53 53
Administration
The IHST study of U.S. rotorcraft
accidents went quite a bit deeper than
this.

Federal Aviation 54 54
Administration
What do we know about Aerial
Application Accidents?
• Third highest number of accidents of any industry
sector studied by the IHST’s review of U.S.
helicopter accidents.

• 54 accidents in Aerial Application


– 10.3% of the 523 total accidents studied

• Despite trailing Personal/Private and


Instructional/Training in the IHST study’s
percentage of total accidents, concerns in this
industry sector are growing.

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Administration
Percentage of Aerial Application
Helicopter Accidents – Last 5 Years
20%
19%
18% 18%
16%
14%
12%
10% 10%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
2%
0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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Administration
Percentage of Aerial Application
Helicopter Accidents – Last 5 Years
Percentages the last 2 years are comparable to
Personal/Private. Also, like Personal/Private, the
20% flight hour exposure level is relatively low.
19%
18% 18%
16%
14%
12%
10% 10%
8%
7%
6%
5%
4%
2%
0%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

Federal Aviation 57 57
Administration
Knowing when U.S. Aerial Application
rotorcraft accidents are more likely to
occur does not require much
guessing…

Federal Aviation 58 58
Administration
Aerial Application Accidents by Month:
10 years from 2001-2010

35%

30% 30%

25%

20%

15% 15%
10% 10% 10% 11%

5% 4% 4% 4%
3% 4% 3%
1%
0%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Federal Aviation 59 59
Administration
Aerial Application Accidents by Month:
10 years from 2001-2010
76% of accidents during 6
month peak U.S. growing
35% season of May - Sep

30% 30%

25%

20%

15% 15%
10% 10% 10% 11%

5% 4% 4% 4%
3% 4% 3%
1%
0%
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

Federal Aviation 60 60
Administration
Future challenges – what to do now?
• Personal/Private, Instructional/Training, and Aerial
Application pose unique problems

• Difficult population of operators to reach


– Not likely to attend major industry or government safety forums
– Less awareness/exposure to industry-wide safety initiatives and best
practices

• Small fleet sizes, often just 1 aircraft

• Have to convince them of the benefits to make any


change
– Must be low cost or no cost
– Must make the case that it will show immediate results

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Administration
The goals set by the rotorcraft community for
reductions in U.S. rotorcraft accidents will
require no higher than single digit annual
accident totals in each industry sector of
Personal/Private, Instructional/Training, and
Aerial Application.

Federal Aviation 62 62
Administration
The goals set by the rotorcraft community for
reductions in U.S. rotorcraft accidents will
require no higher than single digit annual
accident totals in each industry sector of
Personal/Private, Instructional/Training, and
Aerial Application.
This is where we stood at the end of 2011:
Personal/Private: 35 accidents
Instructional/Training: 24 accidents
Aerial Application: 24 accidents

So, there is some work to be done.


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Difficult problems sometimes lead to
a new level of cooperation and
innovation to find a solution….

Federal Aviation 64 64
Administration
Difficult problems sometimes lead to
a new level of cooperation and
innovation to find a solution….

…the results may


surprise everyone.

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If you found the portions of this
presentation that referenced the work
by the IHST useful, please go to the
following address for more
information, including detailed
analysis reports:

www.ihst.org

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Questions?

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