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COMMENTARY ^^^^=^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^=
India-China Relations:
ahead of schedule and the revised
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The The prime minister exhorted Indian
other busi-
dimension
and tranquillity in the border areas pend-
mic nessmen to think "big" and "out of the
profile of
ing China
final resolution and the special repre-
bal box" and stressed thatagainst
stage economic coopera-
sentatives are continuing the the
discussions
the tion has become the "principal driver"
economic onof centre
their respective frameworks - this ap-
"our" strategic and cooperative partner-
Manmohan pears to be the point at which matters
Singh pu
century, Asia
ship. But it was also apparent that the stand.
In- may
Few, if any, reliable (officially con- w
than dian and Chinese
50 per firmed)
approaches to some of
cent details of the discussionsof
are in
investment and financial transactions of the big issues are poles apart - the ques-
the public realm. The national sensitivities
ontoboth sides regarding this issue and
the world" (Manmohan Singh, India and tion of granting market economy status
China in the 21st Century', Speech at the China and the Chinese proposal for a free
their potential to vitiate relations become
Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, trade area: In fact, on both these issues
apparent every now and then. The devel-
Beijing, January 15, 2008). Between them,the Indian business community has for opments
the of 2003 and particularly the
India and China have a population of 2.5 present taken a negative stance - it was
Guiding Principles of 2005 had generated
billion, three-fifths of humanity, whoseclearly among the reasons, which added
some optimism regarding an early settle-
ment. But what had appeared reachable
"creative energies" are being unshackledto the postponing of the visit, originally
and only a cooperative relationship would scheduled for the last quarter of 2007. It
barely a year ago now seems to be reced-
ensure that both could benefit from the has been argued that granting market
ing further into the distance. The issue
Asian economic resurgence. It is against economy status (mes) to China at this
appears to be stuck on account of Tawang
this background that one needs to study point, before the us, eu qr Japan do and
so, the apparent shift on the part of
the speech delivered by Manmohan Singh and before China would automatically get
the Chinese with regard to the clause con-
cerning
to the huge audience attending the China- it around 2015-16, would be a more signifi- settled populations in the
India Economic, Trade and Investment cant gesture. Further, it would have mini-
Guiding Principles and Political Para-
Cooperation Summit organised by the mal impact on China's actual trade bal-meters. The process can only be described
as incremental and some comfort can
China Council for the Promotion of Inter- ance (as the Sino-us trade shows). Further,
national Trade. It outlined a "three- granting the mes would not take away be
thedrawn from the fact that it is highly
improbable that force would be used to
right to file anti-dumping cases, if neces-
pronged strategy" for restructuring trade
and in the process made it amply clear settle this dispute. This is unlikely to
sary (Anil K Gupta, 'The Future of India-
convince certain sections of the strategic
China Trade', The Economic Times, New
that sound, mutually beneficial, "win-win"
Delhi, January 14, 2008). The grant of and
bilateral economic ties must necessarily mes defence community and perceptions
be regarded as a strategic objective. here
has possibly more of a symbolic value and (as also at the general level to
some extent) will continue to be shaped
what the Indian political and economic
Commerce to the Fore by suspicions regarding China's relations
elite have to assess is whether at this point
Consider the road map charted out by it with our neighbours and a perceived
could become a useful quid pro quo. In-
the
dian businessmen are also demurringinability
prime minister: One, preparing a "long- on of India to take a strong line
vis-a-vis China.
the proposed free trade agreement as well,
term strategic perspective", which would
which has now been referred for expert
factor in future challenges and opportuni-
feedback, and which has been strongly Normalising
ties, two, developing "profitable business fa- Relations
The commitment at the highest level to
voured by the Chinese. The Indian prime
models" keeping in mind the "complemen-
tarities and competitive strengths and minister
the normalise relations has helped, even as
was probably reflecting a some-
what conservative stance when he spoke
special needs" of Indian and Chinese mar- the relationship has weathered a fair share
of a level-playing field and the need of
kets, and three, embarking on a learning forstorms. In retrospect, it has been these
high level meetings that have provided the
both governments to put in place an "ena-
process of "each other's markets, business
customs and managerial styles... the occasion to iron out differences and re-
bling environment". But some "thinking
regulatory regimes..." move misunderstandings - not to mention
out of the box" here could be the proverbi-
al shot in the arm and possibly providethe
Taken as a whole, this speech identifies In-opportunity to develop personal rap-
dia some useful leverage.
the necessary framework and measures port - as was displayed between Wen
required to address the existing anomalies Jiabao and Manmohan Singh during this
The Contentious Border visit. There must therefore be a regular
in what is clearly the most dynamic fea-
After
ture of India-China relations at present exchange at the highest level, which would
- a considerable gap, the contentious
border has taken the back seat during
trade and commerce and thereby ensure a its own stabilising role in the process
play
of normalisation. Thus the Indian external
high-level visit - not entirely unsurpris-
that they do not end up as serious obsta-
ingly
cles to continued growth. In the process, it affairs
or even without reason. It is now minister would visit China in the
definitely underscores the significancefairly
of evident that the border issue is first
not half of 2008 and the Chinese foreign
only complex, but also very complicated.
the "economic" in tandem with the "politi- minister would come to India in the latter
cal", as the critical twin dimensionsEach
of side is fully cognisant of the other's
half. The Indian president is expected to
visit China in 2009 and the Chinese
stand, both have agreed to maintain peace
India's long-term strategy vis-a-vis China.
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COMMENTARY = - ^
of the concerns and questions regardingtion, they would add a new meaning and a
China Defence Dialogue and the holding
of the second round of Joint Military
the substance of the Strategic Partnershiptremendously vitalising dimension to the
Exercises some time in 2008. Another arising in recent years, though at times the India-China relations. For long academics
manifestation of this reaction is the some-
sheer range of themes encompassed seemhave been stressing the importance of
what less emphasis on a perfunctory overwhelming. How, given the current sce-comparative studies on the developmental
nario, is the vision to be realised? It needs experiences of the two Asian neighbours,
listing of the bilateral gains and losses
from the visit. Mutual assurance on not to be kept in mind that both India and China particularly as they proceed on £he uncertain
constituting a threat to the other or in-are also simultaneously involved in theroad of market reforms. This comparative
tending to be part of any containment orprocess of diversifying their relationships,exercise, which has to be a learning experi-
encircling strategies has been obviouslyexpanding their options, and taking advan-ence as well would benefit enormously
communicated to either side, which istage of the flexibility afforded by thefrom the institutional and structural
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========== =========^^ COMMENTARY
linkages, which
If we take the above aspectwould emerge
along with engagement grounded in ancient civilisa- fr
mous. In the stress laid by both leaders onit
addition the im- would
tional and historical interlinkages
provide at one
portunityportance
for of people-to-people
the exchanges,
exchange of
end and sharing a vision in looking to the hu
sources, technological and
promotion of tourism, the necessity of cul- future, at other
the other, drawing on the energies em
data and information and above all valua- tural interaction and greater understanding and experiences of 2.5 billion people. But
ble experiences in these crucial areas, of each other's problems and challenges, the present will require a degree of creati-
leading to the enrichment and refining of then we actually have the contours of an vity, clarity and commitment that could
each other's developmental strategies. extremely comprehensive architecture of prove to be the biggest challenge yet.
Goodbye Socialism
A few days later, Buddhadeb Bhattach-
arya fleshed out Basu's arguments in con-
crete terms while addressing the 22nd state
conference of the West Bengal cpi(m).
SUMANTA BANERJEE
Explaining his government's industrial pro-
gramme, he came out with major policy
is an apocryphal joke about
At the January 14-16 conference decisions. "Let industry grow", he said,
Mao Zedong. When he took Nixon "on its own momentum". He added
of the Communist Party of India
for a drive in the Chinese country- reassuringly: "There is no need for any
(Marxism's West Bengal state
side in 1972, the car reached an inter- political interference in the process of
committee, the one-point agenda
section, and the chauffeur turned to Mao industrialisation". He was reported to have
of industrialisation with the and asked: "Comrade Chairman, do we stated that decisions regarding where and
market in command took thetake the left or the right turn?" With a what type of industries should come up
side-long glance at Nixon and a twinkle in and which investors should be allowed to
centre stage. Does this indicate
his eyes, Mao said: "Give the left signal, set up bases in West Bengal, should be kept
a fundamental change in the
but turn right!" Did the warhorse have an out of the domain of either Writers' Build-
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