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Powerful Earthquake Near Iran-Iraq Border Kills More Than 400 Senators
What’s
Support
News
Business & Finance
Rollback
ozens of banks received
Of Bank
D the biggest signal yet that
they may soon be freed from
some of the most onerous
rules put in place after the fi-
Oversight
nancial crisis, as senators Dozens of banks received
from both parties agreed to a the biggest signal yet that they
plan to ease regulations. A1 may soon be freed from some
of the most onerous rules put
GE’s new CEO outlined a
in place after the financial cri-
restructuring plan that will
sis, as lawmakers from both
slash the annual dividend by
parties agreed to a plan that
$4 billion and streamline the
would enact sweeping changes
industrial giant’s operations.
to current law.
ABEDIN TAHERKENAREH/EPA/SHUTTERSTOCK
U.S. NEWS
Ex-Eli Lilly Official Is Picked to Run HHS
BY STEPHANIE ARMOUR will be a star for better health In a July interview with Fox
AND LOUISE RADNOFSKY care and lower drug prices!”
Mr. Trump wrote in the tweet.
Business, Mr. Azar expressed
support for a Senate Republi-
Drug Prices criticism for raising prices for
some of its drugs, including a
President Donald Trump
announced he was nominating
The choice of a detail-ori-
ented lawyer familiar with the
can bill that sought to disman-
tle major portions of the ACA,
Rose at Lilly more than doubling in the U.S.
list price for Humalog insulin
Alex Azar as secretary of workings of the federal govern- saying, “The status quo is between 2011 and 2016.
health and human services, ment drew praise from Repub- bad—any change can only be a President Donald Trump Lilly has said it pays undis-
picking a former George W. licans, who said that Mr. Azar good thing.” said in a tweet Monday that closed rebates and offers dis-
Bush administration official would bring significant institu- Mr. Azar got his start in his nominee for secretary of counts to health insurers and
who has criticized the Afford- tional knowledge to the job. Washington with a clerkship Health and Human Services pharmacy-benefit managers
able Care Act to lead the Some consumer groups for Supreme Court Justice An- will be a “star” for his ability to that reduce the cost of its prod-
agency that is tasked with car- criticized Mr. Azar’s pharma- tonin Scalia. He also worked lower drug prices, but during ucts, including Humalog. In 2016,
rying out the health law. ceuticals background, saying for Independent Counsel Ken- Alex Azar’s Career Alex Azar’s tenure as an Eli Lilly said the average U.S. list
Mr. Azar, who served as he might neglect to focus on neth Starr, who investigated Lilly & Co. executive prices price across all of its drugs rose
deputy secretary of HHS be- lowering drug costs. President Bill Clinton, calling Most recent job: president of rose dramatically for some of 14%, but the average net price
fore becoming president of an Democrats also said they Mr. Starr “my mentor” in a Eli Lilly & Co.’s U.S. unit, the the company’s top drugs. after rebates and discounts
Eli Lilly & Co. affiliate, would would press broad objections Yale Law alumni profile. After company’s largest. Mr. Azar, who served as a went up by just 2.4%. Those av-
inherit a $1 trillion agency to the administration’s desire working for Mr. Bush’s presi- deputy HHS secretary in the erages can obscure significant
charged with overseeing the to overturn the ACA during his dential campaign in 2000, Mr. Education: Dartmouth College, George W. Bush administration, price boosts on individual drugs.
2010 health law in the wake of confirmation process. Azar became general counsel 1988 A.B. degree, summa cum joined the Indianapolis com- Moreover, a growing num-
congressional Republicans’ Mr. Azar, 50 years old, has at HHS. laude; Yale Law School, 1991. pany in 2007 as senior vice ber of patients don’t benefit
failed effort to repeal it. already been confirmed twice At the end of Mr. Bush’s president of corporate affairs from the discounts, because
If confirmed, Mr. Azar by the Senate for appoint- first term, Mr. Azar was asked u Clerked, U.S. Supreme and communications. He rose they have high-deductible
would succeed Tom Price, who ments at HHS. He has exten- to stay on as deputy secretary. Court Justice Antonin Scalia. through the ranks and in 2012 health-insurance plans that re-
resigned in September over sive knowledge of regulatory His smooth Senate confirma- was promoted to president of quire them to pay the full list
his use of private-jet and mili- process, cutting his teeth at tion back then could be an as- u Associate independent Lilly’s U.S. pharmaceuticals unit. price for drugs, or a portion of
tary flights. Mr. Azar had been HHS by implementing the set for Mr. Trump now, given counsel in office of Mr. Azar oversaw sales it, for at least part of the year,
considered the front-runner Bush administration’s flagship the turmoil over the adminis- Whitewater Independent teams for drugs including the until they meet their deduct-
for the position, but the tim- health-care effort, the Medi- tration’s intentions to disman- Counsel Kenneth W. Starr. erectile dysfunction treatment ibles. That helped drive public
ing of the announcement on care Part D prescription-drug tle the ACA. Cialis and the blood thinner Ef- anger about insulin prices.
Monday came as a surprise program. Democrats on Monday u Member of Washington, fient. He also oversaw negotia- Other insulin makers, in-
when Mr. Trump made it on Since then, he has called for promised a challenging confir- D.C., law firm Wiley, Rein and tions with health insurance cluding Sanofi SA and Novo
Twitter on the final leg of an limited federal involvement in mation process, though their Fielding, until 2001. plans aimed at persuading Nordisk A/S, also were criti-
Asian trip. health policy and voiced sup- ability to block Mr. Azar would them to pay for Lilly’s products. cized for raising prices sub-
“Happy to announce, I am port for key conservative be limited, because Republi- u HHS general counsel, then While Mr. Azar headed the stantially.
nominating Alex Azar to be ideas. Mr. Azar couldn’t be cans hold a 52-48 advantage deputy secretary, until 2007. U.S. business, Lilly came under —Peter Loftus
the next HHS Secretary. He reached to comment. in the Senate.
U.S. WATCH
We perfect each part of this watch by hand. HEALTH CARE
Even the ones that you can’t see. Hospital Group Sues
Over Subsidy Cuts
The American Hospital Asso-
ciation and other powerful indus-
try groups have sued the Trump
administration to stop $1.6 bil-
lion in cuts to lucrative drug sub-
sidies for some hospitals.
The lawsuit, filed in U.S. Dis-
trict Court for the District of Co-
CORRECTIONS SOCCER
U.S. NEWS
©T&CO. 2017
Moore Faces GOP Pressure
Party leaders move to
block Senate nominee
as another woman
alleges misconduct
BY JANET HOOK
AND NICOLE HONG
Republican leaders in
Washington stepped up their
efforts to block Alabama GOP
candidate Roy Moore from
taking a Senate seat as a new
woman went public with accu-
sations of sexual misconduct
by the former judge.
LUCAS JACKSON/REUTERS
U.S. NEWS
Democrats’ Test: Don’t Blow New Opportunity ahead of Republican Roy Put simply, Democrats ha- next year,” says Mr. Ryan, a thing, “we’re still waiting for wants to more than double
Moore amid allegations that ven’t definitively proven they political centrist. “But it’s just this trillion-dollar infrastruc- that credit for some workers,
Mr. Moore once made sexual can succeed in the hardest the beginning. We have a long ture bill he talked a lot about which he argues would help
advances on a 14-year-old task before them: marrying way to go over the course of in the campaign.” In blue-col- make up for four decades of
girl. President Donald Trump the energy on the party’s pro- the next year.” lar America, that idea trans- wage stagnation.
is bumping along at a 39% gressive left with votes from Specifically, he says, “we’ve lates not only into fixing
M
job-approval rate, and GOP traditionally Democratic got to continue to sharpen crumbling roads and bridges, r. Ryan sides with his
Senators Jeff Flake and Bob working-class whites in the the economic message for our but into jobs. party’s progressives
CAPITAL JOURNAL Corker have delivered a more center. Until they do, their party.” Many of the congres- He also says that, while by advocating a gov-
By Gerald F. Seib cutting indictment of his per- march back to power will re- sional districts Democrats Mr. Trump is challenging ernment-run, single-payer
formance than any Democrat main an uphill one, because need to win next year, he trade deals he calls unfair to health system, but separates
could offer. turning the 24 House seats adds, won’t contain an area the U.S., he has failed to call from them in arguing it’s a
For Democrats, it must that would add up to a major- like northern Virginia, where out the “inadequate provi- mistake to emphasize at-
S
seem as if the skies have o life is good for Demo- ity will require exactly that. sions” in those pacts for deal- tempts to impeach Mr. Trump.
opened and begun showering crats. They now have le- So how do they accomplish ing with labor and environ- At the end of last year, Mr.
good news down upon them.
In the elec-
gitimate hopes of win-
ning back control of the
that task? A good way to ex-
plore that question is to talk
The party now has mental standards important
to Democrats. And he says
Ryan had the audacity to run
against Rep. Nancy Pelosi to
tion that really House of Representatives next with Rep. Tim Ryan of Ohio, a legitimate hopes of Trump economic and tax pro- become his party’s House
matters this
year, in Vir-
year.
But can they still blow it?
rising Democratic star. He
represents not one of his
winning control of the posals do little to discourage
companies from outsourcing
leader. He failed. Now it’s cer-
tain that Republicans will try
ginia, they not Of course they can. party’s safe coastal enclaves, House next year. work abroad. Democrats to make Mrs. Pelosi the lib-
only retained That’s true in part because but rather the kind of blue- should call our corporations eral face of Democratic cam-
the governor’s American politics in the last collar district around Youngs- for cheating on taxes, he says, paigns nationwide next year.
seat but generation has featured a re- town where Trump voters without being “hostile to Mr. Ryan agrees that kind
scored victories down-ballot curring cycle of each party in emerged in force last year. a combination of young pro- business.” of GOP campaign is inevita-
in state legislative races. They turn overplaying a good hand. Such voters used to be reli- fessionals and upper-income In some ways, the biggest ble, but adds that Republicans
also won the New Jersey gov- This time, Democrats can able Democrats, but Hillary suburbanites helped propel Ryan initiative has been his have their own unpopular
ernor’s race and flipped state miss their chance by deciding Clinton won just 51% of the Democrat Ralph Northam to advocacy of an enormous in- leaders to cope with. More
legislative seats in Georgia that simply running against vote in his district last year. victory in the governor’s race. crease in the earned-income important, he says, if Demo-
and Washington state. an unpopular president is suf- “Obviously there’s a lot of “So we’ve got to, I believe, tax credit, a program that crats offer a cogent economic
In Alabama, of all places, ficient, and failing to come up intensity within the Demo- call out the president’s inade- gives a tax benefit to low- message to swing voters, both
their U.S. Senate candidate, with an economic message cratic party, so I think that’s a quacies in dealing with the and moderate-income fami- inside and outside their party,
Doug Jones, is running even that recaptures the kinds of really good thing that will real economic problems of lies, even if they don’t owe they won’t “get caught up in
or, in one new poll, slightly voters they lost to Mr. Trump. continue to benefit us for the the country,” he says. For one federal income taxes. He this left-right dichotomy.”
WASHINGTON WIRE
IMMIGRATION FEDERAL GOVERNMENT
Justices Take Up Abortion-Speech Case
BY BRENT KENDALL
Part of Travel Ban Budget Deficit Rose AND JESS BRAVIN
Can Start, Court Says Sharply in October
WASHINGTON—The Su-
The Trump administration can The federal government be- preme Court agreed to take up
implement part of its third ban gan its new budget year with an an appeal by antiabortion preg-
on travelers from certain coun- October deficit of $63.2 billion, nancy centers challenging a Cal-
tries while litigation over the up sharply from a year ago. ifornia law that requires them
policy is continuing, an appeals The Treasury Department re- to tell patients about the avail-
court said Monday. ported Monday that the October ability of publicly funded preg-
The Ninth U.S. Circuit Court deficit was 37.9 percent higher nancy services, including abor-
of Appeals, based in San Fran- than the $45.8 billion deficit re- tion.
cisco, trimmed back a Hawaii corded in October 2016. The case, Nifla v. Becerra,
federal judge’s order from last The deficit for the 2017 bud- was one of three First Amend-
month that blocked the adminis- get year, which ended on Sept. ment-related appeals the high
tration from implementing any 30, totaled $666 billion, up 13.7 court added to its docket Mon-
of its latest planned travel re- percent from a 2016 deficit of day. The justices also agreed to
strictions on people from six $586 billion. consider whether states can ban
Muslim-majority countries. —Associated Press political buttons and apparel
The appeals court said Trump from polling stations, and
JOHN MINCHILL/ASSOCIATED PRESS
officials for now can impose the RUSSIA PROBE whether local officials in Flor-
ban on would-be travelers who ida can be sued for arresting a
don’t have close connections to Sessions to Appear resident who criticized their
people or organizations in the Before Committee land-use policies at a public
U.S. But the administration can’t meeting.
apply the ban to travelers, in- Attorney General Jeff Ses- The abortion speech case
cluding extended family mem- sions returns to Capitol Hill this adds another highly charged is-
bers, who have bona fide rela- week amid growing evidence of sue to a docket that already is
tionships with U.S. residents, the contacts between Russians and filled with divisive cases, in-
Ninth Circuit said. associates of President Donald cluding one next month that ex- The high court will review a Minnesota law against political messages at polls, including the
—Brent Kendall Trump, bracing for an onslaught amines whether a baker can re- Gadsden flag favored by tea-party groups.
of lawmaker questions about fuse to make wedding cakes for
how much he knew of that out- same-sex couples. was necessary because the tar- sage about the availability of or issues on the day’s ballot.
reach during last year’s White California’s Democratic Gov. geted facilities, in their efforts state-funded abortion. The final case involves a
Crafted in gold & platinum
House campaign. Jerry Brown signed the abor- to discourage abortions, “often In a separate case, the court long-running dispute before the
Order by
The appearance before the tion-clinic measure in 2015 and confuse [and] misinform said it would decide whether a Supreme Court. In 2013, the
12/20 House Judiciary Committee on it took effect last year. The law, women” about their rights and state ban on political buttons or court ruled for Fane Lozman af-
for the Tuesday follows a guilty plea the Reproductive FACT Act, re- available benefits. apparel within a polling station ter the city of Riviera Beach,
Holidays
from one Trump campaign aide quires certain licensed preg- Religiously affiliated anti- is constitutional. In 1992, the Fla., invoked maritime law to
who served on a foreign policy nancy-related centers to post abortion pregnancy centers, court upheld a Tennessee law seize the houseboat on which
council that Mr. Sessions notices and include disclaimers and an organization represent- prohibiting “campaign materi- he had lived.
chaired, as well as statements in their literature advising pa- ing such facilities, petitioned als” within 100 feet of a polling In the current case, Lozman
from another adviser who said tients that Medi-Cal, the state’s the Supreme Court. They said place. The law now at issue, a v. Riviera Beach, Mr. Lozman
he had advised the then-GOP version of Medicaid, covers the law violates free-speech and Minnesota state statute, sweeps was arrested for disorderly con-
Your Anniversary Immortalized Alabama senator about a com- abortions for eligible low-in- religious-exercise protections more broadly, prohibiting mate- duct after refusing to leave the
In Roman Numerals ing trip to Russia. come residents. because it forces them to com- rials that suggest political views lectern at a November 2006
JOHN-CHRISTIAN.COM 888.646.6466 —Associated Press The Legislature said the law municate a government mes- beyond the specific candidates City Council session.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, November 14, 2017 | A5
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A6 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 * *** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
U.S. NEWS
BANKS load.
For stress tests alone, build-
ing a system to meet the Fed’s
expectations could cost firms
judgment of firms’ riskiness.
“$50 billion? $250 billion?
Why is that number any better
than another?” U.S. Bancorp’s
In brokering the deal, Mr.
Crapo left off key Republican
goals such as attacking the
Volcker rule, a ban on proprie-
Continued from Page One tens of millions of dollars or chief financial officer Terry tary trading.
growth by limiting the capac- more. Liquidity rules govern- Dolan said in an October inter- “This is the first proposal
ity of banks and other busi- ing banks’ cash holdings are view. His firm has about $459 that has a legitimate shot at
nesses to serve customers and another expensive regulatory billion in assets. making it to the president’s
hire new workers. While it exercise that the legislation PNC said in a statement desk,” said Milan Dalal, an at-
isn’t clear that any rule reduc- could allow the Fed to ease. Monday it was disappointed in torney at lobbying firm
tion will bolster the economy, Regional banks have said lawmakers’ proposal. “As a Brownstein Hyatt Farber
efforts to scale back the 2010 their smaller size and lack of Main Street Bank, PNC’s busi- Schreck in Washington and a
Dodd Frank financial overhaul interconnected trading busi- ness model and risk profile are former aide to Sen. Mark War-
law and other policies amount nesses makes it unlikely that very similar to that of other ner (D., Va.), who backed Mon-
to a bet that a freer environ- their demise could create sys- regional banks, and very dif- day’s deal.
ment will pave the way for in- temic risk that would threaten ferent from the systemically Republicans hold just 52
creases in investment, spend- the economy as Lehman Broth- important Wall Street banks,” seats in the Senate and gener-
ing and hiring. ers’ failure did in 2008. Their it said. ally need support from at least
Analysts said it isn’t clear critics say regional banks can Monday’s deal is co-spon- eight Democrats for legislation
that lending would actually in- be risky, pointing to the 2008 sored by nine Republicans, in- to pass a needed 60-vote
crease, given that demand for failure of IndyMac Bank. cluding Tim Scott of South threshold. The House, also
commercial loans this year has The deal marks a setback Carolina and Bob Corker of controlled by Republicans,
been weak. But banks that had for regional banks with assets Tennessee, along with nine would need to act for the plan
been avoiding mergers, such above $250 billion, including Democrats, including Joe Don- to clear Congress.
as those that didn’t want to go U.S. Bancorp and PNC Finan- nelly of Indiana and Heidi Mr. Crapo released a sum-
over the $50 billion line, could cial Services Group Inc., which Heitkamp of North Dakota. mary of the legislation Mon-
be more inclined to deal-mak- have urged policy makers to That is enough to clear both day, without unveiling its text.
ing, said Brian Klock, an ana- do away with asset-size the banking panel and the full It appears to send a message
lyst at Keefe, Bruyette & thresholds altogether. They fa- Senate, assuming all Republi- that Congress wants regula-
Woods. vor allowing regulators to ap- cans in the chamber support tors to lighten the burden,
The deal could dramatically ply rules based on their own the bill. though regulators still have
lighten the regulatory burden broad authority to apply tough
on a wide swath of banks from rules to banks they view as
Utah’s Zions Bancorporation to risky.
M&T Bank Corp. in Buffalo, Regulators could immedi-
N.Y. Those banks in recent ately exempt firms with assets
years have had to submit to between $50 billion and $100
detailed financial and risk ex- billion from stress tests and
ams in order to pay dividends other rules that were manda-
ANDREW HARRER/BLOOMBERG NEWS
Marketing
Data Onboarding | IDMP | Customer Intelligence | Audience Targeting | Measurement | Analytics
WORLD NEWS
Trump, Duterte Bond, Skirt Tough Issues
U.S., Philippine leaders man rights briefly came up,”
adding that the conversation—
discuss trade, security, on the sidelines of a meeting
avoid alleged abuses, of Southeast Asian nations—
focused on Islamic State, ille-
Chinese sea claims gal drugs and trade.
The two leaders also ap-
BY JAKE MAXWELL WATTS peared to sidestep the issue of
competing territorial claims to
MANILA—President Donald the South China Sea, resource-
Trump and Philippine leader rich waters that are claimed
Rodrigo Duterte found com- by the Philippines, China and
mon ground during their first several other nations. China
extended meeting, but skirted claims almost the entire sea
be shot by his comrades as he “Our side heard gunshots, on the South Korean side operation in the western Pa-
crossed the border at the and then we found him near around 3:30 p.m., the spokes- cific since 2007. The three
most sensitive area of the Freedom House,” the spokes- man said, and a team from the groups carry about 200 jet
heavily armed demilitarized man said, referring to the South Korean side secured the fighters that can conduct
zone that divides the Korean main building on the South wounded North Korean soldier around-the-clock military op-
Peninsula. Korean side of the border, after about 25 minutes, he erations.
The North Korean soldier, near where the armistice said. Although tens of thousands
who tried to cross over at the agreement declaring a cease- The incident follows by of North Koreans have de-
A surgeon speaks with a South Korean soldier at a hospital where Joint Security Area, where fire to the Korean War was days an attempt at a surprise fected to the South through
a North Korean soldier was taken on Monday for treatment. troops from North and South signed in 1953. visit by President Donald third countries, including
The spokesman said the China, it is relatively rare for
North Korean soldier had been soldiers to cross the heavily
taken by helicopter to a hospi- fortified DMZ by land, given
tal for treatment.
The soldier, who was the land mines, barbed-wire
It wasn’t clear whether any taken to a hospital, fences and artillery on both
South Korean or U.S. person- sides.
nel were wounded in the inci-
apparently defected to The most recent known de-
dent, but a person briefed by the South on Monday. fection of a North Korean sol-
the South Korean Joint Chiefs dier over the DMZ was in June
of Staff and a spokesman for at a different part of the bor-
the South Korean Defense der.
Ministry said the North Ko- Trump to the Joint Security The JSA, which has been a
rean soldier was the only per- Area during his stop in South venue for talks and prisoner
son hurt. Korea last week. exchanges among North and
The enduring beauty of a The U.S. maintains about Mr. Trump’s trip was can- South Korea and the U.S., isn’t
Byzantine necklace 28,500 troops in Korea. celed after his helicopter en- typically the scene of skir-
The Defense Ministry countered thick fog, though mishes, although violent inci-
spokesman said it wasn’t clear Secretary of Defense Jim Mat- dents there aren’t unheard of.
A delightful mix of exquisite Italian whether there were any civil- tis visited last month. In August 1976, North Ko-
craftsmanship and 18kt gold over sterling. ians at the JSA at the time of It also comes as the U.S. op- rean troops killed U.S. Army
the incident. The JSA—a sym- erates three carrier strike Capt. Arthur Bonifas and First
That extra dash of elegance that defines your bol of the Cold War—is one of groups in the waters just east Lt. Mark Barrett at the JSA, in
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WORLD NEWS
nitude-7.3 quake was in Iran likely to be hit by a default. said some of the abstainers are
about 20 miles south of Halab- S&P downgraded Venezuela’s thinking of joining and have until
jah, a city in Iraq’s Kurdish re- long-term debt rating to selective December to decide, when the
gion. It took place at 9:18 p.m. default late Monday after it said pact becomes legally binding.
on Sunday. the government failed to make —Julian E. Barnes
“The magnitude of the di- two bond coupon payments. and Robert Wall
saster is huge,” Esmail Najjar, The missed payments could
the head of Iran’s National Di- allow investors to declare the FRANCE
saster Management Organiza- government in default, which
tion, said on Iranian state tele- would enable bondholders to ini- Paris Remembers
vision. “It is unprecedented in tiate defaults in other Venezue- 2015 Attack Victims
this area.” lan debt and set off a scramble
Iranian officials said that in for assets among the country’s Families of the victims of
addition to 407 killed in Iran, many and varied creditors, law- France’s deadliest terror attacks
at least 6,700 were injured. In Iranians mourn over the body of a victim of Sunday’s earthquake along the Iran-Iraq border. yers and analysts say. stood alongside President Em-
Iraq, the Interior Ministry said —Julie Wernau manuel Macron on Monday to
seven people were killed and died there, Iranian authorities Sulaymaniyah, an Iraqi Kurd- said. and Anatoly Kurmanaev honor the 130 people killed two
321 injured. said. The toll in Qasr e-Shirin ish city. Turkey also offered to While there are no major years ago when Islamic extrem-
In Iran, military forces were was 28. assist. population centers in the im- EUROPEAN UNION ists attacked the City of Light.
mobilized, and authorities Hospitals near the epicenter On Monday, the Trump ad- mediate vicinity of the quake’s A crowd joined them on the
sent helicopters to transport were damaged, and the one in ministration issued a brief epicenter, a mountainous area Majority Agrees memorial sites to lay roses and
the injured. Hundreds of aid Sarpol Zahab couldn’t con- statement offering condo- pockmarked with small vil- On New Defense Pact light candles in memory of the
workers and rescue teams tinue operating, state televi- lences to those affected. lages, it lies about 46 miles victims.
were dispatched to provide sion said. Qasr e-Shirin’s hos- “The United States ex- southeast of Sulaymaniyah, The governments of 23 EU Dozens of families and Pari-
food, tents and blankets, state pital was destroyed, according presses its sincere condo- the capital of a province esti- countries agreed to a new de- sians gathered outside the Bata-
television said. to an official. Authorities were lences to all of those affected mated by the Iraqi govern- fense arrangement aimed at im- clan concert hall, where extrem-
The worst-affected areas in setting up field hospitals. by the earthquake in Iran and ment in 2007 to have around proving military cooperation ists opened fire on a dancing
Iran were Sarpol Zahab, Qasr A European Union spokes- Iraq. We keep the families of 1.9 million residents. within the bloc in an agreement crowd and held hundreds hos-
e-Shirin and Salas Babajani, man said humanitarian part- those who were killed, and in- Hospitals in Sulaymaniyah that is scheduled to come into tage in an hourslong standoff
three towns close to the bor- ners in the region were start- jured, in our thoughts as well received about 83 people af- force next month. with police. Ninety people were
der with Iraq, according to ing to provide emergency as the communities that have fected by the quake Monday The permanent structured co- killed. —Associated Press
state television. assistance. The World Health suffered damage to homes and morning. Tremors were felt as
Sarpol Zahab was hit espe- Organization sent a response property,” State Department far as the United Arab Emir-
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. NY Tuesday, November 14, 2017 | A11
WORLD NEWS
JAMAL SAIDI/REUTERS
gional struggle between Saudi “We have handed over our
Arabia and Iran, pushing yields fate to God a long time ago,
on Lebanese government bonds so we do not care about
higher and increasing the cost these developments,” said
of buying insurance against a Walaa Hammiyeh, a 20-year-
possible default. Both are signs old college student who was
that investors regarded Leba- sitting in a garden in down- A Lebanese artist painted a portrait of Prime Minister Saad Hariri, who resigned this month, during a marathon in Beirut on Sunday.
non as a higher risk. town Beirut on Monday.
In an interview, Bank of Having endured a civil Mr. Hariri, in his Sunday
Lebanon Governor Riad war from 1975 until 1990, Coalition to Reopen Monday’s announcement by” Yemen’s internationally rec- interview, said he “will not
Salameh said he expects yields and a brief but deadly con- from the Saudi mission at the ognized government, which the allow a regional war in Leba-
to fall back over coming days flict between Hezbollah and Yemen’s Airports United Nations came after the Saudi-led coalition backs, the non.” The country’s Christian
and that the country’s banks Israel in 2006, turbulence is And Sea Facilities coalition fighting Yemen’s mission’s statement said. Those president, Michel Aoun, an
haven’t reported an unusual a familiar state of affairs in Houthi rebels and their allies ports are in Aden, Mocha and ally of Hezbollah, on Monday
outflow of funds. Lebanon. The country didn’t faced widespread international Mukalla. said he looked forward to Mr.
Mr. Hariri said Sunday he have a government for 29 Saudi Arabia said the coali- criticism over the closure, with For ports in rebel-held or Hariri’s return to Lebanon.
would return to Beirut from months, until about a year tion fighting Shiite rebels in Ye- the U.N. and aid groups saying disputed territories, such as In Lebanon, many also
Riyadh within days, one of a ago. Meanwhile, the Syrian men will begin reopening air- it could bring millions of people Hodeida, the mission said it play down the possibility of
number of recent develop- conflict next door has left ports and seaports in the Arab closer to “starvation and death.” had asked the U.N. to send a a confrontation with Saudi
ments that Mr. Salameh said Lebanon with more than one world’s poorest country, days af- “The first step in this pro- team of experts to discuss Arabia. “They are practicing
had helped cool the crisis. million refugees. ter closing them over a rebel cess will be taken within 24 ways to make sure weapons psychological warfare on us.
Meetings between political “We have a blessing that ballistic-missile attack on the hours and involves reopening can’t be smuggled in. That is the only thing that
parties within Lebanon have we are able to accommodate Saudi capital, Riyadh. all the ports in areas controlled —Associated Press they are doing,” said a Leba-
“helped to stabilize the unity all situations,” said Leba- nese security officer.
in the country,” he said. non’s Economy Minister Tens of thousands of peo-
The price of Lebanon’s five- Raed Khoury. the region. That triggered a meet with Lebanon’s foreign bloc, forced him to quit. Peo- ple turned out on Sunday to
year dollar-denominated bonds Lebanon’s current chal- new political crisis in a minister on Tuesday. “We ex- ple familiar with the matter run in and watch the Beirut
has fallen by 7% in the past lenges stem from being country already strained by pect no external interference said Saudi officials pressured marathon. After the event,
week, while the cost of insuring caught in the middle of a ri- sectarian tensions. in this national agenda and the premier to step down people danced and sang as a
its debt has risen to its highest valry between two regional The U.S. and its European we believe it is essential to over his refusal to take a DJ pumped out pop tunes.
level this year amid concerns powers: Saudi Arabia and allies have appealed against avoid importing into Leba- more hard-line stance against “What is happening is
about default. Iran, an important backer of outside interference in Leba- non regional conflicts, re- Hezbollah, which both Saudi worrying, but people forget
Mr. Salameh said he be- Shiite Muslim Hezbollah. non’s internal affairs. gional dynamics, regional Arabia and the U.S. consider how used to this we have be-
lieved those moves have gone Saad Hariri, the leader of The European Union’s for- tensions that have to stay a terrorist organization. come,” a man who provided
too far, and “a correction Lebanon’s main Sunni Mus- eign-policy chief, Federica out of the country,” she said. In a live interview he gave only his first name, Ahmad,
should be in place through the lim political bloc, abruptly Mogherini, said the bloc’s Mr. Hariri announced his on Sunday night to Future said as he watched his wife
natural forces of the market.” stepped down from the posi- head of delegation in Riyadh resignation from Riyadh, TV, a television channel and daughter dance nearby.
But he didn’t rule out action by tion of prime minister on met with Mr. Hariri on Mon- arousing suspicions that linked to his political party, —Laurence Norman, Summer
the central bank to nudge the Nov. 4, citing the negative day for the second time in Saudi Arabia, the chief pa- Mr. Hariri said he would re- Said and Raja Abdulrahim
market in the desired direction. role of Hezbollah and Iran in four days and said she would tron of Mr. Hariri’s political turn to Lebanon within days. contributed to this article.
THOUGHT POSSIBLE
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A12 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Miles
Ahead
More than double the print
customers, Mon–Fri.
Sources: Circulation data from AAM Quarterly Data release for quarter ending
September 2017. Calculations made by WSJ based on the quarterly data.
Pew Research Center: Political Polarization & Media Habits, 2014. America’s Most Trusted Newspaper
© 2017 Dow Jones & Co., Inc. All rights reserved. 6DJ6155
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. NY Tuesday, November 14, 2017 | A13
WORLD NEWS
from July until November?” in 2018 earnings. The company Hughes fell 3.2% on Monday. decision we took lightly.” some ill-timed deals in the oil
she said. changed CEOs earlier this year GE also unveiled a restruc- The company, one of the and power markets. While the
Mr. Flannery said he wasn’t as it began to struggle to reach turing of its board of directors, original members of the Dow company changed substantially,
surprised by Monday’s sharp that target. saying it would reduce its Jones Industrial Average and it didn’t increase cash flow.
selloff. “We announced a major Mr. Flannery compared his membership to 12 people, in- one of the most widely held Earlier this year, under pres-
cut in our dividend and a major first 100 days as CEO to his cluding three new members. U.S. stocks, has paid a dividend sure from Trian, Mr. Immelt
cut in our guidance in 2018,” previous role running GE’s GE Chief John Flannery said GE currently has 18 directors, since 1899. GE last cut its divi- pledged to cut annual spending
he said after the meeting. “We health-care division. There was conditions will be difficult. including Mr. Flannery and Ed dend in 2009, when it reduced by $2 billion. After lowering fi-
had disappointing news to- pressure to sell that unit when Garden, a co-founder of activist the payout to 10 cents a share nancial targets last month, Mr.
day—no sugarcoating that.” he arrived as CEO in 2014, but He appointed a new finance Trian Fund Management, from 31 cents. Flannery pledged to cut an ad-
It may be a challenge for Mr. he found a way to fix the unit’s chief and head of GE Power, which is a large GE investor. When he was named CEO in ditional $1 billion in spending,
Flannery to fetch top prices for problems while still keeping and two GE veterans, the head The new quarterly dividend June, Mr. Flannery said the though he gave few new details
some of the businesses he open the option to unload it. of marketing and the top inter- will be 12 cents a share, down dividend was safe, but he re- Monday on his cost-cutting
identified as noncore, since The CEO, who has been with national executive, recently an- from 24 cents a share. GE cently warned that his thinking plans. He did promise to cut
some of them are in cyclical in- the company for three decades, nounced their departures. On would reduce the payment had evolved during his portfo- $400 million from GE’s digital
dustries that are under pres- said he is building a leadership Monday, Mr. Flannery said he from $8.4 billion to $4.2 bil- lio review. On Monday he said efforts, which had been a pri-
sure. GE also has owned some team of “fresh eyes and people is revamping compensation for lion, or a dividend yield of the company’s cash flow pro- ority during Mr. Immelt’s ten-
of the businesses for decades, with institutional memory.” senior executives, lowering the about 2.5% based on Monday’s jections have changed dramati- ure.
meaning it could face a big tax Since he took over he has made cash portion and giving 50% of close. cally. “Fundamentally that divi- —Cara Lombardo contributed
hit on a straight sale. Mr. Flan- several management changes. their pay in equity. The industrial giant is one dend was predicated on us to this article.
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A14 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
IN DEPTH
mix of the “Game of Thrones” heart valve. While the dancing ject, the better the dance,” said two adjoining pentagons. An
soundtrack meant to explain cow and pig, stand-ins for an John Bohannon, a contributor to arm disappears across the yel-
how a mutated tumor suppres- animal-based artificial valve, Science who created the contest low-painted edge of one penta-
sor affects metabolizing nutri- embrace the hula-hooping a decade ago when he was gon and reappears at the yellow
ents. Past videos have had woman (representing blood), Nancy Scherich, a mathematician, dances out her Ph.D. thesis. working on his own Ph.D. in mo- edge of the other. Then a leg.
soundtracks ranging from another blood cell gets shoved lecular biology and wanted to Then the rest of the dancer, rep-
Tchaikovsky to Notorious B.I.G., into a pool by a tap-dancing duo has now been seen by an awful and choreographing a dance in- jazz up a party for colleagues. resenting the connectivity
and dancers playing characters representing a mechanical valve. lot of people.” spired by her thesis, titled Some scientists take a across planes.
with titles like “photon,” “sper- “Every scene was a couple of His performance has gar- “Braids: Discrete Representa- more literal approach. “It’s art, in addition to being
matocyte” and “Polio virus.” years of thinking,” Dr. Brubert nered more than 80,000 views tions of the Braid Groups.” Diana Davis, now a visiting math,” Dr. Davis said of the fin-
Nancy Scherich, the Ph.D. said. “It just seemed like the on YouTube since last fall. She said she had known of assistant professor of mathe- ished product. She lists the pro-
candidate at the University of coolest, craziest way to turn a This year’s winner, Ms. the contest for years but strug- matics at Swarthmore College, duction—which won the physics
California, Santa Barbara, who rather large book that will prob- Scherich, spent about two gled to imagine her own work in produced and danced in a 2012 category—on her résumé and
engineered the aerial perfor- ably only be read by a handful months mapping out her perfor- terms of dance. “I never really video about her thesis, “Cutting shows it regularly during aca-
mance, recruited friends from of people into something that mance, sketching storyboards thought that math could lend it- sequences on translation sur- demic speaking engagements.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. * * NY Tuesday, November 14, 2017 | A14A
turned into a viral social me- social change. Another, titled Mr. MacArthur said that if a
dia campaign dubbed “Herstory,” touches on her book deduction for medical expenses
#1000blackgirlbooks. Within a drive, which has now collected also is preserved, as the Senate
month, people from around more than 10,000 books. bill proposes, most New Jersey
the world sent Marley more “The only books we’d read residents should benefit. “I
than 4,000 books. with black characters at school have gone through every tax
Now 12 years old, the were slave narratives set in the bracket from the very poorest
eighth-grader from West Or- eighteenth and nineteenth cen- Marley Dias, in Honolulu in August, has traveled the U.S. talking about the need for diversity in books. to the very wealthiest,” he said.
ange, N.J., has written the turies,” Marley writes. “Which, “I have yet to find anybody
book she felt was missing from while extremely important his- carries a significant amount of release, Marley has traveled ued to meet children who feel whose taxes don’t go down.”
public schools: a story about a torically, can get depressing. weight,” Mr. Hush said. the country emphasizing the they can’t relate to what they Rep. Josh Gottheimer, a
black girl by a black girl. The range of black girl experi- Andrea Pinkney, executive importance of diverse charac- are studying in school. Democrat who represents parts
“Marley Dias Gets It Done: ences is so much broader, and editor of the trade publishing ters in school books. She has “I feel like when I’m older— of northern New Jersey’s
And So Can You!” is being pub- deeper, and richer than that!” division of Scholastic, said she met former first lady Michelle like older, older—I guess I’ll feel wealthy Bergen County, said
lished by Scholastic Inc. and will Lionel Hush, principal of hopes the book encourages Obama, ballet dancer Misty like, ‘Wow, when I was doing his constituents would see tax
be released Jan. 30. Marley said Marley’s current school, Roose- children to “galvanize their Copeland, singer Rihanna and that, that was a lot for a 12- hikes. “There’s no way to cut
she wanted to use her own ex- velt Middle School, said her strengths.” She declined to filmmaker Ava DuVernay. Mar- year-old to do,’ ” Marley said. these numbers that it’s not an
perience in activism to show campaign improved the school’s specify the value of Marley’s ley has almost 15,000 follow- “But now it’s part of my life. Not increase on New Jersey and a
anyone can make positive literature offerings. “Coming book deal. ers on Instagram. just being in the public eye but huge favor to other states at
changes in their communities from a student’s perspective, it In anticipation of the book’s Marley said she has contin- thinking about social change.” our expense.”
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A14B | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 NY * * THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
‘Meteor Shower’ Lights Up Broadway BY CHARLES PASSY Shower,” which is still in pre- major names associated with meshed in what the show de-
views. The comedy, which offi- “Meteor,” including Mr. Martin scribes as a “marital free fall,”
Call it a meteoric success, cially opens Nov. 29 and is and the Tony Award-winning was produced at a cost of $3.9
Broadway-style. slated to run through Jan. 21, director Jerry Zaks. The cast million, according to Mr.
“Meteor Shower,” the Steve looks to continue the box-of- also features Keegan-Michael Parnes. Insiders say it is on
Martin play that stars Amy fice success in the weeks ahead Key, who is best known for his track to recoup its investment.
Schumer, took in $1 million at because it already has at least work with Jordan Peele on A major celebrity’s involve-
the box office last week, ac- $7 million in advance sales, ac- “Key & Peele,” a show on the ment with a show doesn’t
cording to the Broadway cording to Joey Parnes, one of Comedy Central network. guarantee box-office success.
League, the trade group that the lead producers. When all the elements are Consider Mr. Martin’s pre-
tracks the theater industry. Show insiders and industry factored into the production’s vious Broadway effort, the
That figure represented 104% of observers say the sales speak equation, Mr. Parnes said, “the 2016 musical “Bright Star,”
ASSOCIATED PRESS
the show’s potential standard to the drawing power of Ms. whole is greater than the sum which he created with the pop
gross. The extra sales came Schumer, the stand-up comic of its parts. Every single name singer-songwriter Edie Brick-
from premium tickets, which and film and television veteran on our creative team is one ell. The show closed after four
ran as high as $323 last week. who is making her Broadway form of entertainment royalty.” months into an open-ended
It was the first full eight- debut with the production. “Meteor Shower,” which run, though it is now playing
Amy Schumer stars in ‘Meteor Shower,’ a play by Steve Martin. performance week for “Meteor Mr. Parnes noted the other chronicles two couples en- on tour.
Christopher DeJesus, center, and Thad Maceira of Cano’s Car Wash clean a customer’s car at the intersection of Westchester and Forest avenues in the Bronx. Sam ‘Cano’ Pesante, below left, owns the
pop-up car wash operation. Below right, a New York Police Department officer asks Mr. Pesante if he will be available to detail his personal car after he finishes his patrol.
way,
A legislative hearing on Gov. Mayor Bill de Blasio’s admin-
Andrew Cuomo’s economic-de- istration wants advice from
velopment programs has raised companies about how to expand
tensions between his adminis- affordable high-speed internet
tration and upstate legislators. access citywide by 2025.
Mr. Cuomo, a Democrat, has The city on Tuesday plans to
sought to revive the ailing up- issue a request for information
a better
state economy through a num- to internet-service providers and
ber of tax-break programs and other stakeholders. The request
public-spending initiatives, but is short of a formal solicitation
parts of western New York have for proposals for a build-out that
continued lagging in job growth. could challenge cable giant Char-
On Monday, at an annual hear- ter Communications Inc.’s market
way
ing in Albany, Mr. Cuomo’s eco- dominance in New York City.
nomic-development czar, Howard The request is meant to “max-
Zemsky, presented a rosier pic- imize the benefits of competition,”
ture, saying the confluence of according to a draft reviewed by
economic initiatives is having a The Wall Street Journal.
“transformative impact” through- “One thing we know for sure
out upstate and western counties. is that business as usual won’t
State lawmakers are skepti- work, which is why we’re keep-
cal. Assemblyman Ray Walter, a ing the door open to new ideas
Republican representing Erie that will help us achieve success
County, said Mr. Zemsky only of- in this critical endeavor,” Miguel
fered “platitudes,” and didn’t Gamiño Jr., the city’s chief tech-
convince him that there was a nology officer, said in an emailed
LIFE&ARTS
TURNING POINTS | By Clare Ansberry
Cultivating a
Life of
Gratitude
The strangers who helped a woman’s family during
FROM TOP: ROSS MANTLE FOR THE WALL STREET JOURNAL; YOLANDA AVRAM WILLIS (3)
WWII gave her a clearer view on giving thanks
A SIMPLE “THANK YOU” isn’t
always enough.
Yolanda Avram Willis has spent
much of the past two decades
finding out as much as she could
about the families who risked their
lives to save her Jewish family
during the Nazi occupation of
Greece. She wanted to chronicle
their good deeds and give thanks—
and do so before it was too late.
“I’m 83,” she says. “I don’t
know how long I am going to be
around. I wanted to do this while I
have my mind.” Her mother and
aunts suffered from some forms of
dementia.
Ms. Willis recently completed a
book about her family’s experience,
“A Hidden Child in Greece: Rescue Most people aren’t very good at ing advantage of them, Ms. Kaplan Yolanda Avram Willis, pictured in her Pittsburgh home, wrote a book about her
in the Holocaust,” which she self- it. Only 52% of women and 44% of found—even though it actually en- family’s experience in Greece during the Holocaust. Ms. Willis as a child with
published through Authorhouse. men express gratitude on a regular courages success. (Some 81% of her younger brother, left. Her father’s false identification papers, below.
The process helped her, too, giv- basis, according to a 2012 gratitude people in the survey said they
ing her purpose and deepening her survey of 2,000 people in the U.S. would work harder for a grateful
appreciation, says her son, Martin. funded by the John Templeton boss.)
“The act of writing can help flesh Foundation, a philanthropic organi- People can get better at being
out experiences and makes you un- zation that supports academic re- grateful, but it takes practice. Dr.
derstand things better,” he says. search. Those who are religious or Emmons recommends keeping a
Feeling gratitude starts with a spiritual tend to be more grateful, gratitude journal. Writing one to
realization of what we have re- as are married couples, says Janice three times a week about people,
ceived from others and what it Kaplan, author of “The Gratitude events and things that make you
cost them, says Robert Emmons, a Diaries,” who conducted the survey. feel grateful is more effective than
psychologist and author at the Younger people—18-to-24-year- daily entries—and don’t worry
University of California, Davis, olds—express gratitude less often about grammar. It’s important to
who researches the effects of grat- than any other age group, and when be specific so you can realize all
itude. It isn’t surprising then, he they do, it’s often for self-serving that went into an effort.
says, that someone like Ms. Willis reasons: in the hopes that people Paul Mills tried out the idea
“has overwhelming gratitude.” will be nicer to them in return. with a group of about 50 to 60
Gratitude is good for us in many Family and freedom top the list heart patients at the Center of Ex-
ways. Studies have shown that it of things that those surveyed are cellence for Research and Training
strengthens our immune systems, most grateful for, Ms. Kaplan says. in Integrative Health at the Uni-
helps us sleep better, reduces Jobs rank last, except among those versity of California, San Diego,
stress and depression and opens who earn $150,000 or more. Ap- where he is director. The patients
the doors to more relationships. parently we don’t appreciate our kept journals for two months, re-
But to reap those rewards, we co-workers, or at least we don’t cording things they were grateful
need to do more than feel grateful. tell them. Only 10% of the 2,000 for. Family, friends and nature
“The word ‘thanksgiving’ means people surveyed said they thanked topped the lists.
giving of thanks,” says Dr. Em- their colleagues. One reason: a per- Some wrote only a few words, lis in, saying she was their god- of their past. She made the first of
mons. “It is an action word. Grati- ception that expressing any grati- others wrote pages several days a daughter whose parents couldn’t several trips back to Greece in 1994
tude requires action.” tude could lead to co-workers tak- week. But everyone who kept a afford to feed her. Later, she lived and was reunited with her rescuers.
journal was less depressed, slept with a widower. Ms. Willis never Over the course of decades and
better and had lower levels of in- knew her parents’ whereabouts, interviews, Ms. Willis discovered
flammation than those who re- the thinking being that if she was that the baker and his family who
ceived the usual care but didn’t captured, she might reveal their took her in were forced into hiding
keep a journal, Mr. Mills says. location. After four years in hid- and hunted by the Nazis for hiding
People are understandably most ing, Greece was liberated and the her. “It took multiple encounters
grateful when something good family was reunited. for the story to come out,” she
happens. Finding gratitude in Ms. Willis devoted herself to says. She remembers weeping in
heartache, loss, pain or trauma is her studies and eventually went to her hotel room while listening to
more difficult. But it can also help the U.S. on a Fulbright Scholarship her taped interviews.
us become more resilient and to study chemistry. She settled in In her book’s dedication, Ms.
deepen our appreciation of what Pittsburgh, married, raised three Willis lists each of the 20 people
we do have, including the people children and obtained her Ph.D. in who helped along the way. Many
who helped us through. sociology from the University of of them have died, but some of
Ms. Willis, who wrote about her Pittsburgh. their children and grandchildren
experiences during the Holocaust, Her parents and brother re- are alive. It’s important for them
was 6 when war broke out in mained in Greece; her father died to know their parents’ selflessness,
Greece, forcing her well-known Jew- in 1965 and her mother in 1987. In she says. Ms. Willis also dedicated
ish family to flee their home. For 1992, her brother died. Troubled her book to her parents, “who
the next four years, they were con- and erratic as a child, Yannis was taught me gratitude.” During one
stantly relocating to avoid capture. eventually diagnosed as paranoid of her return trips to Greece, she
She and her younger brother, schizophrenic. learned that her grateful father
Yannis, were separated from their Although they were never close, had returned to Crete every Easter
Ms. Willis’s family had fled to Crete and was in hiding there when German parents, Salvator and Karolla. A Ms. Willis says, his death touched to celebrate the Christian holiday
troops began an airborne attack of the island on May 20, 1941. baker and his family took Ms. Wil- her deeply and sparked her search with her rescuers.
and the U.K. The world drank 1.7 ing and business meetings, even in pay that kind of money for a tea
trillion cups of tea last year, com- typically tea-drinking nations such bag in hot water.”
fortably above the 984 billion cups as the U.K. and India. Tea companies are hoping bet-
of coffee consumed, according to Tea has struggled to spark the Please see TEA page A16
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A16 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Worcester, Mass.
IF THE AMERICAN illustrator and
painter Winslow Homer had been
born in Italy or France a genera-
tion or two earlier, he might have
depicted grand mythological
scenes inspired by Ovid. But he
was born in Boston in 1836 and
died in Prout’s Neck, Maine, in
FROM LEFT: PHILADELPHIA MUSEUM OF ART; MILWAUKEE ART MUSEUM
PEET’S COFFEE
TEA
Unilever PLC, the world’s larg- Mighty Leaf’s green tea tropical recently launched a $9.2 million TV
est tea maker, this year launched a blend, which includes hints of campaign aiming to put a quirky
range of green and herbal teas un- pineapple and cornflowers. slant on English propriety. One spot
der its Lipton brand blended with features English indie rock band
Continued from page A15 essential oils. At Peet’s, best-selling items in- Kaiser Chiefs belting out a song at
ter tea bags, teas that make well- Wal-Mart sells a 15-bag pack clude a dirty chai latte for $5 and the Yorkshire Tea office while a re-
ness claims, and more inventive of “Stress Less” and “Soothe a matcha green tea latte—made ceptionist puts a caller on hold.
flavors could convince people to Your Tummy” for $4.38, or from finely ground green tea The tagline: “Where every-
spend more. 30 cents a bag, significantly leaves—for $4.20. thing’s done proper.”
Mighty Leaf Tea Co. sells sheer higher than the 4 cents it Such tea drinks are “big Tea companies are also spend-
hand-stitched pouches with ingre- asks for a bag of regular revenue drivers” that ing more on training staff. They
dients such as camomile flowers, black Lipton. deliver comparable say that seemingly minor things—
rose-hips peels and lemon myrtle Unilever is also try- margins to coffee, ac- when milk is added, whether fresh
from Croatia and Turkey. A pack of ing to move people cording to the company. water is used and how hot it is—
15 tea bags sells for $9.95. The away from the tea Starbucks last summer all contribute to making a good
Peet’s Coffee & Tea-owned brand bag. In 2015 it began selling iced straw- cup.
prints the suggested brew time on launched a $210 cap- berry green tea, pineapple “They need to develop the snob
the tag. sule tea machine in Eu- black tea and peach white tea appeal and connoisseurship and
TeaPigs, an 11-year-old British rope, which amends brew- in the U.S. for between $2.75 and make it like wine,” says Mark Pen-
brand available in over 35 coun- ing time and temperature $2.95—supported by a $9 million dergrast, author of “Uncommon
tries, sells tea bags in flavors like depending on the blend of tea. A TV ad campaign touting their Grounds: The History of Coffee
chocolate flake, and licorice and box of 10 Darjeeling tea capsules “feel-good” benefits. The drinks and How It Transformed Our
peppermint. sells for about $8. are flavored with fruit and botani- World.”
There’s a tea for a range of Cafes are now making more cof- cal blends. “Tea has a hugely long, fascinat-
moods and woes: when you’re fee-like tea drinks that people U.K.-based Taylors of Harrogate, ing history, and that’s something
bloated, wired or hung over. can’t easily whip up at home. which owns the Yorkshire tea brand, they need to highlight.”
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ON “IF ALL I WAS WAS BLACK” MUSIC REVIEW | By Jim Fusilli seem too pat and idealistic—and
(Anti), Mavis Staples sings of so- minus Ms. Staples’s delivery, some
cial injustice and racial discord, read as such—she makes clear that
her voice warm and loving, her
phrasing at times clipped with
suppressed anger. Exploring anew
subject matter she’s addressed
Troubled Times Call For she’s also a realist who won’t be
told to pipe down. In “Who Told
You That,” she’s advised “My, my
don’t explode / We don’t want to
throughout a career that began al-
most 70 years ago with the Staple
Singers, here Ms. Staples testifies
that she still believes that love
Love and Dialogue rock the boat,” but she immedi-
ately challenges that soft counsel:
“Who told you that? / They lie and
they show no shame.”
and dialogue are the way forward. Mr. Tweedy surrounds Ms. Sta-
She refuses to point to flaws in
her opponents without recogniz-
Mavis Staples sings of social injustice and racial discord on her new album ples with a sympathetic band in-
cluding his son Spencer and Ste-
ing the flaws in herself. But she phen Hodges on drums; Scott
also acknowledges a change in “Respect Yourself” one / To look at it Ligon on various keyboards; and
American culture: Having long ago and other hits. from your point of guitarist Rick Holmstrom and
visited with the mother of Emmett Much as it is view.” She con- bassist Jeff Turmes, who, like Mr.
Till—the 14-year-old who in 1955 here, the quest for cedes her wrath in Hodges, have been members of Ms.
was brutalized and lynched in racial equality was “We Go High.” “I Staples’s live band. A battery of
Mississippi following an accusa- a lyrical theme for have a mind to backup singers gives the music a
tion that he had flirted with a some of her other bury them whole,” gospel lift. As a songwriter, Mr.
white woman—and sung often in contemporary re- she sings. Tweedy interprets her longstand-
support of Martin Luther King Jr., cordings, in partic- But, as she so ing positions. She believes in the
she sees that progress toward a ular the gritty often has, Ms. Sta- essential goodness of those who
more perfect union is now “We’ll Never Turn ples rises above see and savor the shared humanity
thwarted and that vile, anti-Amer- Back,” the 2007 al- hate and the hate- and she won’t obsess over those
ican forces that seemed van- bum in which she ful. Certain that who don’t. She offers her hand to
quished have returned. and Ry Cooder re- God and justice those who may view it with in-
“If All I Was Was Black,” which visited the civil- are on her side, creasing and inexplicable suspicion
arrives on Friday, is her third col- rights movement. she offers solu- and disdain. If those who live to
laboration with Wilco’s Jeff Her early 2016 tions that require loathe reject it, so be it: “Oh I
Tweedy, who wrote and produced disc, “Livin’ on a patience, commit- won’t be afraid / If that’s how you
the album. Musically, it is of a High Note,” pro- Mavis Staples, top and above, with Jeff Tweedy, who wrote and ment and a will- want to stay / I’ve got love,” she
piece with her run of five earlier duced by M. Ward, produced the singer’s new disc, ‘If All I Was Was Black’ ingness to accept sings in the title track.
21st-century studio recordings that concluded with a disproportionate A subtly provocative commen-
constitute a very satisfying late “MLK Song,” folk blues in which Staples and Mr. Tweedy cite cur- amount of responsibility for strife. tary on the country’s troubling,
period. It links to the Staple Sing- Ms. Staples sang excerpts from a rent events in the new songs. “People are dyin’ / Bullets are unrestful state, “If All I Was Was
ers’ easygoing blend of pop, gospel 1968 King sermon. For the most “Poor kid, they caught him with- flyin’ / No time for tears / We’ve Black” is yet another high mark in
and light funk while tossing in a part, though, Ms. Staples offered out his license / That ain’t why got work to do” is how she puts it the long and eventful career of Ms.
pair of folk blues; and most tracks songs of faith, both traditional and they shot him,” she sings in “Little in “No Time for Crying.” “Little bit Staples, who has seen much and
would slide in without quarrel on recently composed, many informed Bit.” In “Build a Bridge,” she from you and a little bit from me,” knows what it means.
a mixtape with the Staples Sing- with an optimism that now seems states: “When I say my life matters she sings in “Little Bit,” adding,
ers’ “If You’re Ready (Come Go misplaced. / You can say yours does too / But “Simple as it gets / We set each Mr. Fusilli is the Journal’s rock
With Me),” “I’ll Take You There,” Without naming names, Ms. I bet you never had to remind any- other free.” If those sentiments and pop music critic.
SPORTS
COLLEGE BASKETBALL | By Jason Gay
Nearly six weeks into the NHL making them the second-youngest
season, the Arizona Coyotes are re- team in the NHL behind the Colum-
markably still looking for their first bus Blue Jackets.
win in regulation. The lone bright spot for the
At just 2-14-3, Arizona is on Coyotes has been the play of 19-
pace for just 30 points over a full year old forward, Clayton Keller. A
82-game schedule, which would 2016 first-round pick out of Boston
represent the sport’s worst record University, Keller has lit the lamp 11
in a generation. It took 12 games times in 19 games. No one else on
for the team to get a win of any Arizona has as many as five goals.
sort, on a goal with just 15 seconds That lack of offensive firepower
left in overtime against the Phila- has been extremely difficult to
DANIEL DAL ZENNARO/EPA/SHUTTERSTOCK
delphia Flyers. Their second victory overcome for a team whose goalies
came five nights later in a shootout are dead last in the league with a
over the Carolina Hurricanes. .881 save percentage, which is the
Things aren’t going to get eas- lowest mark in the league since
ier for the Coyotes, as 10 of their 1999-2000.
next 14 contests are on the road. In a sport where over half the
And the four home games their teams make the postseason, it
fans will “enjoy” during that appears Arizona will miss
stretch are against the top the playoffs for the sixth
three teams in the Pacific consecutive season—and
division (Los Angeles Kings, 12th time in 15 years. In
Las Vegas Golden Knights 38 seasons split between
SOCCER and San Jose Sharks) and the Winnipeg and Phoenix,
Metropolitan division-leading the franchise has only one di-
this soccer-mad nation. called it quits. “I don’t feel sorry ance as time ran out. And as Italy Washington Capitals 1976-77 32 .200
“We blew something that could for myself,” he said. “I feel sorry panicked, its game went to pieces.
Winnipeg Jets** 1981-82 32 .200
have been significant, even so- for the entire project.” “Anyone who has played knows
cially,” goalkeeper Gianluigi Buffon That said, the Italian project how difficult it is to play in games * 82-game pace **Arizona Coyotes franchise
said while weeping through his hasn’t exactly been a major factor like this one,” Buffon said. “We Source: Hockey Reference; WSJ
post-game interview. “The blame in international soccer since the didn’t manage to express our-
is shared among all of us.” Azzurri last lifted the World Cup selves. We lacked the clear heads
Italy will be the only previous in 2006. At both the 2010 and to score.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, November 14, 2017 | A19
OPINION
The ABA Jumps the Shark BOOKSHELF | By Caitlin Fitz
Looks as if the
American Bar
Association
the ABA into the process,”
the group says, it’s been
standard practice for presi-
What it means by “rude” no
one knows, because the ABA
has thrown this out there
abortion to guns to same-sex
marriage. How can a Repub-
lican judicial nominee have
Freedom
picked
nominee to
the
wrong judicial
play politics
dents to submit their judicial
candidates to the ABA for
vetting before announcing a
nomination.
while providing almost no
specifics. For good measure,
the ABA has twisted a two-
decade-old law review article
confidence these ABA posi-
tions will not adversely af-
fect the ABA’s rating?
The questions are particu-
On the March
MAIN
with. If Re- Well, yes and no. In just to suggest Mr. Grasz rejects a larly compelling given that
STREET
publicans on one indication of how politi- point he explicitly states, to the Mr. Grasz who testified at
The Expanding Blaze
By William
the Senate Ju- cized the ABA ratings have wit, that judges are bound by his confirmation hearing ear- By Jonathan Israel
McGurn
diciary Com- become, Democrats and Re- clear legal precedent—even lier this month bears no re- (Princeton, 755 pages, $39.95)
W
mittee are publicans long ago diverged when “it may seem unwise or semblance to the knuckle-
smart, they will use the ABA’s on the ABA’s role in the nomi- even morally repugnant.” dragger the ABA is making e in the United States have long liked to see our
appearance at a hearing nations process. In 2001, him out to be. So it’s crucial nation as an inspiration for liberty-lovers worldwide.
Wednesday to call the group George W. Bush halted the Republicans keep the focus on Thomas Paine called the would-be republic “an
out. practice of giving the ABA Why did the group the ABA and not let the hear- asylum for mankind.” Ralph Waldo Emerson memorialized
The object of the ABA’s at- first crack at vetting potential ing become yet another stage “the shot heard round the world.” It was up to us, Abraham
tention is Leonard Steven nominees; in 2009 Barack ask where a judicial for anonymous accusations Lincoln vowed, to prove “that government of the people, by
Grasz, a former Nebraska Obama revived it; and this nominee’s children against Mr. Grasz—especially the people, for the people shall not perish from the earth.”
chief deputy attorney general year President Trump halted because he won’t be there to In “The Expanding Blaze,” Jonathan Israel, professor emer-
who’s been nominated for the it again. went to school? defend himself. itus at the Institute for Advanced Study in Princeton, urges
a seat on the Eighth U.S. Cir- Yet even without an offi- The best revenge, of us to take these lofty visions seriously. From 1775 through
cuit Court of Appeals. The cial role, the ABA ratings still course, is getting this man 1848, he argues, the American Revolution inspired freedom-
ABA has slapped Mr. Grasz exert undue influence on So Wednesday’s hearings confirmed notwithstanding fighters around the world, from Canada and Colombia to Ire-
with a “not qualified” rating, nominations. For the real sig- offer Republicans an excellent his ABA rating. But the day land and Italy. Consider the National Assembly of revolution-
saying he’s too biased and too nal sent by a “not qualified” opening to press ABA officials after the attacks on Mr. ary France, which convened
rude to be a judge. Given that rating is: This guy is a Nean- on how they came to their Grasz at his hearing, Mr. under the stony gaze of three
much of this rating is based derthal. That in turn allows “not qualified” rating. Here’s Sasse delivered an impas- busts: George Washington,
on accusations that are not the press to portray a nomi- a few suggestions: sioned speech on the Senate Benjamin Franklin and Jean-
detailed and from accusers nee as out of the mainstream, • Why did the ABA ask floor, raising an even larger Jacques Rousseau.
who remain anonymous, it re- and it can siphon off confir- where Mr. Grasz’s children question: Since when did the Yet the American Revolution
veals more about the organi- mation votes from Republican went to school? Does the ABA Senate accept the idea that had a contested legacy, Mr.
zation that issued it than it senators nervous about the believe their Lutheran educa- its members should out- Israel argues, for it encom-
does about Mr. Grasz. rating. tion affects his fitness as a source to a third party their passed two “irreconcilable” ide-
“The ABA is running a That’s plainly what the ABA judge? constitutional responsibility ologies. On one side were radical
smear campaign based on the hopes for Mr. Grasz. The ABA’s • Is it ever appropriate for to evaluate the fitness of the “democratic republicans” like
idea that Steve is a kale-hat- statement makes clear his “not an ABA interviewer to refer to president’s nominees to the Thomas Jefferson and Paine, who
ing, puppy-kicking monster,” qualified” rating is based on “you people,” as Mr. Grasz’s federal bench? championed sweeping political,
says a fellow Nebraskan, Re- two broad worries: his “pas- did? When Mr. Grasz asked “There’s nothing wrong social and secularizing change. On
publican Sen. Ben Sasse. “But sionately held social agenda” for clarification, the inter- with a liberal organization the other side were “aristocratic
no one in Nebraska on either and complaints that he’s been viewer said he meant “Repub- such as the ABA using its republicans” like John Adams, who
side of the aisle recognizes “gratuitously rude.” licans and conservatives.” Has First Amendment rights to advocated more incremental reform,
that man.” By “passionately held so- the ABA ever referred to “you push its political agenda,” sought “anti-democratic” restrictions on voting
The ABA says its ratings cial agenda,” the ABA means people” when interviewing a says Mr. Sasse. “What’s and admired Britain’s “mixed government.” Mr. Israel argues
are based on neutral and pro- abortion; in his prior life Mr. Democratic nominee? wrong is to allow it to mas- that this divide marked “all” of the revolutions that ensued in
fessional criteria, much the Grasz defended—as a state • The ABA has taken posi- querade as fair and impartial Latin America and Europe over the next several decades.
way a medical board might deputy attorney general is tions on many of the most arbiter—and give it a special The stakes were high. Would revolutionaries champion a
evaluate a doctor. Since Presi- obliged to do—a Nebraska contentious issues before role in the process.” new world era of “universal rights”? Or would they settle for
dent Eisenhower “first invited ban on partial-birth abortion. the courts these days, from Write to mcgurn@wsj.com. what Jefferson called the “half-way house” of England’s
constitutional monarchism? To readers of Mr. Israel’s
previous books, the argument will sound familiar. A scholar
Donald Trump’s High-Wire Foreign Policy of European intellectual history, Mr. Israel has long main-
tained that the Enlightenment of the 17th and 18th centuries
encompassed similarly radical and moderate wings. Scholars
By Walter Russell Mead process enshrined in the 2016 president’s tweets sometimes rhetoric and style would sug- have praised Mr. Israel’s interpretation for its breathtaking
P
Paris climate accord. disguise this reality. gest. Working with America’s scope, but they have criticized it for weak evidence, pro-
resident Trump inher- If all this weren’t enough, When addressing its prior- traditional allies in Asia and radical bias and overstated dichotomies that miss the
ited a world in crisis, the incoming team knew that ities, the Trump administra- the Middle East against those messiness of real life and the exigencies of politics. The same
with the Pax Americana the American public was in- tion has chosen an activist regions’ revisionist powers strengths and weaknesses mark “The Expanding Blaze.”
challenged in Asia, the Middle creasingly skeptical of large approach, tightening rela- hardly amounts to a strategic A relative newcomer to U.S. history, Mr. Israel sometimes
East, Europe and the Carib- overseas commitments— tions with traditional allies revolution. brings a refreshing outsider’s perspective, as when he shows
bean. Today the White House whether to diplomacy, foreign to restore regional orders un- But if Mr. Trump’s current how the American Revolution galvanized Irish resistance to
has clear priorities—but ques- aid or war. And the journalis- der threat. This means check- goals are conventional, the British rule, or in his account of the exodus of radicals from
tions about temperament and tic and foreign-policy estab- ing Iran by working closely state of the world is not. He Germany to the United States after Europe’s failed 1848
competence persist. lishments viscerally opposed with the untested new Saudi may well fail. The challenges revolutions. Though the author concentrates on tiny circles of
Think back 10 months to Mr. Trump on personal and leadership, as well as Egypt, are large, the learning curve is intellectuals in each country, he shows how the radicals
Inauguration Day. North Korea political grounds. the United Arab Emirates and steep, and the terrain is unfor- among them strategically invoked the American example as
was regularly testing and im- Israel. giving. Allies and adversaries evidence that change was possible, and he powerfully
proving its missiles and nu- This anti-Iran phase is be- are watching the Republican captures their sense of global urgency.
clear weapons, well on its way It’s more conventional ginning in earnest now that Party’s disarray on issues like
to threatening the American the Trump administration’s health care, assessing the
mainland. China was intensi- than expected, at a original goal of destroying Is- prospects of a Democratic In the wake of American independence, ensuing
fying its multifaceted chal- time when the world lamic State’s so-called caliph- wave in 2018, and paying close revolutions worldwide likewise saw a divide
lenge to the Asian status quo. ate has been largely achieved. attention to the progress of
Iran’s expansionism threat- is more perilous. The White House also hopes the Mueller investigation. Mr. between ‘democratic’ and ‘aristocratic’ ideals.
ened to plunge the Middle the new constellation of forces Trump’s foreign policy, like his
East into chaos, and the re- will allow progress on another presidency overall, is a gamble
gime had outmaneuvered an Talleyrand, Metternich, Bis- goal: containing and maybe whose outcome the president The other part of Mr. Israel’s argument—that a
Obama administration that marck and Kissinger, working even resolving the Israeli-Pal- cannot fully control. comprehensive divide between “democratic” radicals and
was desperate for a nuclear together, would have had a estinian dispute. For now Mr. Trump is per- “aristocratic” moderates framed debates from the U.S. to Latin
deal. Russia’s annexation of difficult time managing a In Asia the administration, forming a high-wire act, jug- America to Europe—is less persuasive. The author simply
Crimea and support for break- portfolio this large, urgent working closely with Japan, is gling his way across the Indo- throws up the revolutionary barricades and pushes everyone
away forces in eastern Ukraine and unwieldy. The Trump ad- trying to assemble and Pak region even as his to one side or the other, even when they resist such easy cate-
presented legal and geopoliti- ministration has struggled vis- strengthen a coalition to administration pursues ambi- gorization. Take Jefferson, for instance, whom Mr. Israel calls
cal challenges to the post-Cold ibly to develop a coherent ap- counterbalance China—while tious goals in the Middle East. an “iconic” radical, the “most consistent” and “unambiguous”
War order. Venezuela’s pro- proach. Yet as the president’s simultaneously seeking Chi- Some of the world’s most among the Founders. Mr. Israel correctly notes that Jeffer-
gressive degradation threat- first year nears its conclusion, nese cooperation in tightening powerful countries hope that son’s antislavery urgency was waning by the early 1800s, but
ened to destabilize Latin some order has begun to the screws on North Korea. he fails, and they will do what he glosses over the ways in which slavery had long shaped
America, a region of direct in- emerge, and at least the out- The White House hopes that they can to trip him up. Amer- Jefferson’s politics. Like many of his global contemporaries,
terest to the U.S. lines of a Trump global policy offering Beijing a smooth icans, regardless of party or Jefferson was radical and retrograde, all in one.
Remember, too, President now seem clear. trade and political relation- their personal sentiments Mr. Israel’s outsider view of U.S. history sometimes leads
Trump’s skepticism of global The first task was to set ship will induce it to provide about Mr. Trump, should wish him astray. He calls the antebellum painter and inventor
engagement. He came into of- priorities, and it is obvious real help with the North Korea him success overseas. The Samuel Morse a “stalwart champion of democratizing revolu-
fice convinced that American that the White House is put- problem, even as the U.S. consequences of failure could tionary values,” perhaps unaware that Morse helped lead the
interests were being under- ting Asia and the Middle East works to persuade the North be extreme. anti-Catholic nativist movement—which Mr. Israel elsewhere
mined by the multilateral above other regions and is- Koreans that the risks of con- describes as undemocratic and “conservative.” (Here too, the
trading system, as estab- sues. The crises in Ukraine flict are real. Mr. Mead is a fellow at the author’s dichotomies seem forced.) Other statements are sim-
lished by the George H.W. and Venezuela are on the Mr. Trump’s foreign policy Hudson Institute and a profes- ply ill-considered: Slavery, Mr. Israel asserts, “was universally
Bush and Bill Clinton admin- back burner. So are climate has so far turned out to be sor of foreign affairs at Bard recognized as the prime . . . defect” of the United States. But
istrations. He disdained the and trade policy, though the more conventional than his College. what about the plight of native people, who might as easily
have pointed to territorial aggression? Jefferson, Mr. Israel
remarks, supported enfranchising “all” free people. But what
A Hedge Fund That Has a University about free women? Like most of his contemporaries, Jeffer-
son never intended to see women casting ballots; the putative
radical hoped women were “too wise to wrinkle their fore-
By Thomas Gilbert hedge fund that happens to income, meaning there would endowments as rainy-day funds. heads with politics.” Such repeated missteps by Mr. Israel are
And Christopher have a university. be no tax liability under the The Uniform Prudent Manage- distracting at best. At worst, they undermine the reader’s
Hrdlicka The proposed levy on in- GOP proposal. ment of Institutional Funds Act trust in the author’s accuracy and understanding.
W
vestment income—dividends, Instead the tax would fall is a law in 49 states that limits Ironically, although he sympathizes with radicals who
hatever you may hear, interest and capital gains—is on large, risky and illiquid the maximum endowment pay- fought for “universal human rights,” Mr. Israel has a limited
the Republican tax-re- fundamentally a tax on this funds. Endowments that make out rate between 5% and 7% a idea about whose ideas matter: Black intellectuals and
form proposal isn’t an risk-taking, not on the endow- such investment decisions can- year. Although well-intentioned, women are nearly absent from this book. Mr. Israel suggests
assault on higher education. ments themselves. By taxing not effectively protect their that and earlier restrictions that black Haitians struggled to understand the big ideas at
The House and Senate plans in- risk-driven income, the GOP schools. During the financial prevent universities from tap- stake, for example, even though recent historians have argued
clude a new 1.4% excise tax on plan doesn’t target higher edu- crisis, Harvard’s endowment ping endowments to fill the that Haitian revolutionaries urged global radicals toward a
the net investment income of cation. It goes after hedge lost nearly 30% of its value. Af- kind of budget holes they expe- broader understanding of human freedom. Similarly, he
university endowments, but the funds masquerading as univer- ter failing to sell its private- rienced in 2008. asserts that in the American Revolution most black people’s
levy applies only to private col- sity endowments. equity portfolio, the university To have the best chance of “general understanding of the slavery issue” remained
leges with at least 500 students had to institute drastic hiring improving incentives for en- “stunted by lack of education” and “dogged adherence to . . .
and endowments of more than and budget freezes. dowments, the proposed in- piety.” But historians have shown the reverse: African Ameri-
$250,000 a student. Schools Taxing endowments’ A large and risky endowment vestment tax should be accom- cans repeatedly and judiciously convinced sympathetic whites
like Harvard, Yale, Stanford and investment income also reveals a university’s poor panied by a repeal of these to act, and their religiosity strengthened their egalitarianism.
Princeton—which together hold assessment of its internal in- payout caps. But it’s a mistake Having discounted African American voices, Mr. Israel
over $100 billion—are predict- would help higher ed. vestment opportunities, such as to think that taxing risky in- devotes little attention to global 19th-century abolitionists,
ing doom. Yet this long-over- scholarships and research. If vestments by university endow- arguably the leading human-rights radicals of their time.
due tax will benefit higher edu- Harvard and Stanford have edu- ments is an attack on academia. The problem with “The Expanding Blaze” is not that Mr.
cation in the end. When an endowment is in- cational and research projects Discouraging superwealthy Israel has written about a small group of intellectuals. Men
Over the past 30 years uni- vested in safe assets such as that could benefit from addi- schools from pumping cash into like Jefferson, Locke and Montesquieu were enormously
versities have chased higher bonds, it serves as a rainy-day tional funds, why put their stocks, hedge funds and private influential, and they merit disproportionate attention. But Mr.
returns on their endowments, fund to buffer the risks a uni- money at risk in the stock mar- equity should lead to increased Israel too often views such men in isolation, without
leading them to take greater versity takes in its normal op- ket? Perhaps the answer is that spending on education and re- exploring how their ideas developed in conversation with the
risks. Our research shows erations: admitting students the opportunity to run a tax-free search. Isn’t that the purpose of claims of other social and political groups. Ideas don’t bleed,
that more than 75% of the as- on scholarship, launching new hedge fund is too attractive. In higher education? and so Mr. Israel’s account is often bloodless, an un-
sets in university endow- research laboratories and that case, why should taxpayers revolutionary treatment of a revolutionary age.
ments are now in risky in- generally expanding its educa- subsidize their activities? Messrs. Gilbert and Hrdlicka
vestments: securities, hedge tional and research missions. In colleges’ defense, states are assistant professors of fi- Ms. Fitz, a historian at Northwestern University, is the
funds and private equity. Such a safe endowment gen- have placed perverse restric- nance at the University of author of “Our Sister Republics: The United States in an
Think of Harvard as a tax-free erates almost no investment tions on their ability to use Washington. Age of American Revolutions.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
A20 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
OPINION
REVIEW & OUTLOOK LETTERS TO THE EDITOR
The Great Progressive Tax Escape Let the Military Focus on Essential Missions
D
emocrats contend that marginal tax month by promising to soak the rich even Regarding your edi-
rates don’t matter to investment and more, and his legislature will oblige. torial “Bad Marks for a
Good Military” (Nov. 7):
growth, and even some conservative The prospect of future tax hikes appears to
Saying “Congress needs
intellectuals are conceding the have propelled an exodus of to allocate enough
point. But the evidence from IRS data show an high earners from Illinois, money to adequately
wealth fleeing high-tax states accelerating flight which has a relatively low and train sailors” doesn’t
O
election time and to Congress through
ne reason men and women in business Well, sure, pharma executives are paid by appropriations, legislation and possi- Seoul’s Position on Thaad:
are reluctant to go to Washington is the shareholders to make money selling drugs. Prof- ble impeachment. Let him do his job.
reception accorded Alex Azar Monday its drive drug innovation, so there wouldn’t be DOUG SCHENK
Threat to U.S. Troops There
after President Trump said he will nominate the better treatments without profits, which some- Little River, S.C. Your editorial “South Korea’s Bow
former Eli Lilly & Co. executive to lead the Health times requires raising prices. Pardon the reality to Beijing” (Nov. 8) could be ex-
I’d be more inclined to thoughtfully panded to note that the deployment
and Human Services Department. Mr. Azar was of market economics.
consider Mr. Galston’s argument if I of the U.S.-made Terminal High-Alti-
immediately criticized for, well, knowing too No doubt Mr. Azar’s record will be parsed by tude Air Defense (Thaad) missile sys-
much about health care. Senate Democrats, but it’s always possible that tem also has, in addition to deter-
“It’s a pharma fox to run the HHS henhouse,” knowing the industry makes Mr. Azar the right Hoover Was a Visionary ring or protecting from attacks by
a talking head from Public Citizen told the Wash- man to regulate it. He can’t do any worse than North Korea, the critical role of pro-
ington Post, which headlined the same piece the Obama Administration, which cut a political Regarding Latin America tecting the 30,000 U.S. service mem-
“Trump’s pick to lower drug prices is a former deal with Big Pharma on drug pricing to win its Edward Kosner, in his review (“A bers stationed there with their fami-
pharma executive who raised them.” It seems support for ObamaCare. Mr. Azar has been a Wonder Boy on the Wrong Side Of lies and the equipment and supplies
that when Mr. Azar was president, Lilly “doubled critic of ObamaCare, which may be the real ex- History,” Books, Oct. 28) of Kenneth which support them. South Korea
the U.S. list price of its top-selling insulin drug.” planation for the instant opposition. Whyte’s “Hoover,” a new biography of may decide for itself the amount of
Herbert Hoover, neglects to make any protection to provide for its popula-
mention of the fact that it was Hoo- tion. It is another matter to allow
The Menu Label Cops Win ver who began to repair U.S. relations
with Latin America which is usually
South Korea to decide on the amount
of protection given the forces the
T
credited to his successor Franklin U.S. is dedicating to Korea’s protec-
he Trump Administration is knocking number of pepperonis on a pizza depends on the Roosevelt as part of the Good Neigh- tion. We, on the other hand, have an
down stupid or destructive regulations pie’s size and whether someone also adds onions bor Policy. overriding interest in protecting our
at a fast clip, though one of the more ri- and sausage. Taking advantage of the period be- own.
diculous Obama-era directives FDA’s guidance suggests tween his election in November 1928 If South Korea has priorities that
survives: Last week the Food How many calories are listing calorie ranges for every and his inauguration the following increase the exposure of U.S. forces
and Drug Administration is- topping. For instance: 45-60 March, Hoover embarked on a boat and their families to a less than maxi-
sued draft guidance on a long-
in a pizza slice? The calories for bacon, depending trip around South America where he mum degree, we should remove our
FDA demands to know. on the pizza’s size. The pic- experienced the furious hostility that forces and station them to a country
delayed rule for calorie boards
decades of U.S. invasions and inter- that more appreciates our protection,
at chain restaurants, and Con- tured examples then feature ventions throughout the Caribbean or we should bring them home.
gress ought to intervene. an asterisk that denotes the Basin had engendered. Hoover as- MICHAEL P. GRAFF
FDA released guidance for posting calorie estimate is based on how many calories are tutely understood how this anti- New York
disclosures at restaurants with more than 20 added to a one-topping pizza. This is hardly Americanism could negatively impact
locations, and the ostensible point is to help clear for customers. U.S. companies doing business in the
folks choose healthier foods. The regulations, The guidance allows some flexibility on ki- region. Hence, as president, Hoover Pepper ...
which are an outgrowth of the 2010 Affordable osks and computer tablets, provided stores ended the U.S. occupation of Nicara-
Care Act, are set to hit in May 2018 after years don’t have other “menu boards,” with a long de- gua and began the process for doing
And Salt
of delays. Most recently, the Trump Administra- lineation on what constitutes a menu board. so in Haiti. He also didn’t intervene THE WALL STREET JOURNAL
tion hit pause on the rules to solicit more feed- This is a waste of time. Dominos already runs in Cuban internal affairs, despite the
existence of the Platt Amendment,
back, but it appears the agency is pressing on an online Cal-O-Meter that allows customers to
and effectively abrogated Teddy Roo-
with small clarifications. tally up the damage of the Superbowl feast, and sevelt’s Corollary to the Monroe Doc-
The reason some restaurants have spent most customers order pizza online and not in trine. He would likely have done
years fighting these rules is not because execu- stores. much more had he not been stymied
tives lay awake at night plotting how to make Congress for years has sat on a bill that by the unfolding economic disaster
Americans obese. It’s because the rules are loco. would allow more flexibility on displaying in- most often associated with his one-
For instance: There was confusion over whether formation online, with more legal clarity. The term presidency.
marketing material counted as a menu board rules are so vague that companies could face a THOMAS ANDREW O’KEEFE
and thus required calorie disclosures. crush of lawsuits, which will be abetted by this New York
FDA’s guidance says a flyer generally isn’t a “nonbinding” FDA guidance.
menu—what a relief—but there are other prob- FDA has more pressing priorities than micro- Letters intended for publication should
lems. Take pizza companies, which have to dis- managing pizza companies, and perhaps Com- be addressed to: The Editor, 1211 Avenue
of the Americas, New York, NY 10036,
play per slice ranges or the number for the en- missioner Scott Gottlieb wants to wrap up this or emailed to wsj.ltrs@wsj.com. Please
tire pie. Calories vary based on what you order— fight and move on. But these rules carry real include your city and state. All letters
the barbarians who put pineapple on pizza are costs, and sanity from Congress could move are subject to editing, and unpublished “These financials look right.
consuming fewer calories than someone who millions of compliance dollars back into more letters can be neither acknowledged nor They smell right – they’re either
returned.
chooses pepperoni and extra cheese. But the productive uses. right or very clever.”
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, November 14, 2017 | A21
OPINION
T
ulty. Various studies document the vance higher education, for that
he sheer public spectacle rise of that ratio to 5 to 1 at the cen- must involve learning to evaluate
of near-riots has forced tury’s end, and to 8 to 1 a decade competing ideas, to analyze the pros
some college administra- later, until in 2016 Mitchell Lang- and cons of rival arguments and
tors to take a stand for bert, Dan Klein, and Tony Quain find concepts. Shutting down all but one
free expression and pro- it in the region of 10 to 1 and still viewpoint is done to achieve the op-
vide massive police protection when rising. posite: to pre-empt analysis and un-
controversial speakers like Ben Sha- Even these figures understate the derstanding. Only in the absence of
piro come to campus. But when Mr. matter. The overall campus figures competing ideas can the radical sect
Shapiro leaves, the conditions that include professional schools and sci- that now controls so much of the
necessitated those extraordinary ence, technology, business and campuses hope to thrive and in-
mathematics departments. In most crease its numbers, because it can’t
The Perversity of the FCC’s Ownership Limits faculty with the same limitation
teach competently? How can these
extraordinary deficiencies deserve ei-
By Preston Padden a “compelling public interest show- video and other content providers— must not—be based on political ther accreditation, or support by
T
ing” to own more than three stations, that question is more compelling views. And for all we know, the next state and federal funds?
he FCC is reconsidering some or more than two VHF stations, any- than ever. And at a time of escalating beneficiary of deregulation could The campus radical monopoly on
of its rules on the ownership of where in the top 50 markets. Of TV costs and cord-cutting, enabling have liberal views. That is what free political ideas amounts to the shut-
TV stations. These regulations course, the three entrenched net- the creation of additional free over- markets, competition and diversity ting down of liberal higher educa-
date back to a bygone era of scar- works owned more than that, but the-air programming would be a are all about. My experience with the tion as we have known it. That, not
city—predating cable television, the they were grandfathered in. great public service. television ownership rules leaves no the increasingly frequent violent
internet, video downloads, streaming, The first decade of my life in the Some oppose repeal of the TV sta- doubt that consumers will be well flare-ups, is the real crisis.
social media and other innovations industry was consumed drafting and tion ownership rules because one served by their repeal.
that give consumers an array of com- advocating for waivers of the FCC’s beneficiary of repeal might be Sin- Mr. Ellis is a professor emeritus
petitive options. TV station ownership limits and its clair Broadcasting Co., which has Mr. Padden is a consultant and of German literature at the Univer-
I have friends who believe that the top 50 policy to advance Metrome- conservative views. Those critics former media executive. This article sity of California, Santa Cruz, and
public interest requires the FCC to dia’s quest for a fourth network. De- would be the first to insist that fed- is adapted from an Aug. 28 blog post chairman of the California Associa-
keep its TV ownership rules. But my spite spending millions of dollars on eral licensing decisions cannot— for Broadcasting & Cable. tion of Scholars.
personal experience in the industry innovative programming, Metrome-
for over 40 years has shown me that dia could not overcome the handicap
imposed by the FCC’s TV station
ownership rules. Kluge failed to fulfill
For decades, rules meant his objective—and the FCC’s—of cre-
ating a fourth network.
to promote diversity stood So in 1985, Kluge sold his TV sta-
in the way of a fourth tions to Rupert Murdoch, who also
acquired the then-bankrupt 20th
major television network. Century Fox film studio. Together
with Barry Diller and Jamie Kellner, 60 YEARS OF ADVENTURE
Mr. Murdoch set out to create the
TV ownership limits intended to en- long-sought fourth network. Again, AND DISCOVERY
hance diversity often stifle competi- FCC rules got in the way. On behalf of
tion and inhibit innovation and Fox, it fell to me to seek waivers of
growth in the industry. station ownership limits and other
My first job, in 1973, was at Metro- rules intended to promote diversity,
media Inc., a company that had such as the ban on cross-ownership
emerged out of the ashes of the Du- of newspapers and the Financial In-
Mont Television Network. In the late terest and Syndication Rules. The ef-
1940s, television pioneer Allen Du- fort to create meaningful diversity
Mont warned the FCC that it must as- required the FCC to waive its rules
sign at least four VHF stations to each that were intended to create diver-
major market to ensure the survival sity. (Mr. Murdoch is executive chair-
of the four television networks. The man of News Corp, which publishes
FCC ignored his advice and proved this newspaper.)
DuMont right—his network folded, Because the benefits of granting
leaving the nation for decades with the Fox waiver requests were so obvi-
only three commercial TV networks. ous, even supporters of TV ownership
Reading this history was my first les- regulation such as Sen. Ted Kennedy
son in how well-meaning FCC rules (D., Mass.), Gov. Mario Cuomo (D.,
can have unintended consequences N.Y.) and Sen. Dan Inouye (D., Hawaii)
for competition and diversity. supported our waiver requests. Fox
As the DuMont Network was going eventually succeeded in becoming the
out of business, it spun off to share- fourth major commercial network. But
holders the TV stations it owned in it is perverse to keep in place rules in-
New York and in Washington. Busi- tended to promote competition and
nessman John Kluge acquired de diversity if they have to be waived in
facto control of the new company and order to achieve that objective.
named it Metromedia. Kluge strug- I offer this history because I lived
gled to create a fourth network. He it. On many occasions I thought: Why
aggressively sought to expand Metro- can’t the FCC see that these station-
media’s portfolio of owned television ownership restrictions are preventing
stations—the indispensable founda- the creation of meaningful entities of
tion of any network. But his efforts scale that could bring to viewers the
were thwarted by the FCC’s own benefits of greater competition and
rules limiting ownership. One partic- diversity? In today’s world—with
ularly prominent obstacle was the hundreds of cable and satellite net-
FCC’s “top 50” policy, which required works, the internet and myriad audio,
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cording to two board members. In a statement, Mr. Boies ies.” were happening as Mr. Boies CURRENCIES, B10
Weinstein Co. independent said “the board was aware of “Had we known, we would fought to keep the company’s
directors Tarak Ben Ammar, an
international movie producer,
the investments.” A person fa-
miliar with the matter said Mr.
have immediately said to David
Boies, ‘You can’t negotiate Har-
board from accessing the exec-
utive’s personnel file while
PRICES
and Lance Maerov, executive Boies’s investment in the film vey’s contract,’” Mr. Ben Am- Weinstein directors were grow- OF USED CARS
vice president at ad-agency gi-
ant WPP, said in interviews
that was distributed last year
amid contract talks was listed
mar said, calling it a conflict of
interest. Mr. Boies in his state-
ing concerned about allegations
of sexual assault that appeared
HOLD FIRM
they didn’t know Mr. Boies had in materials given to the board, ment said it wasn’t a conflict. in the media in the spring of
a film-business relationship and was reported in the trade Legal ethics expert Stephen 2015, and other alleged bad be- AUTOS, B5
High-profile litigator David Boies with the company while he was press. Gillers of New York University Please see BOIES page B2
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
B2 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 * *** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
A
Airbus..........................B3
Alaska Gasline
E
Eli Lilly........................A2
Embraer.......................B3
PepsiCo........................B1
PNC Financial Services
Group ........................ A6
BOIES questions about his expenses.
The inquiry intensified in the
spring of 2015 after Mr. Wein-
stein’s photo began appearing
2015, in a letter reviewed by the
Journal, that based on his re-
view of the file “there are no
unresolved claims that could
the film a so-called service deal
in theaters in January 2016, ac-
cording to people familiar with
the deal. With a service deal, a
Development...........B11 Euromonitor Proteus Digital Health Continued from the prior page in New York tabloids in connec- result in liability to TWC or its film’s producers give the dis-
Alphabet......................B1 International.............B1 .....................................B4 havior, according to documents tion with allegations that he directors” and “no pending or tributor a percentage of the
Altice USA..................A6 F Q reviewed by The Wall Street groped an Italian model, ac- threatened litigation.” box-office returns to get a film
Anheuser-Busch InBev Ford Motor..................B5 Qualcomm............B1,B10 Journal. cording to the documents. The board voted to renew onto movie screens, allowing
.....................................B1
G R The board fired Harvey The directors pressed to re- Mr. Weinstein’s contract as co- the producers to reap greater
B Relativity Media.........B2
Weinstein Oct. 8 after media re- view Mr. Weinstein’s personnel chairman in the fall of 2015. revenues from selling the film
General Electric
Baker Hughes...........A13 Renault........................B4 ports included on-the-record file, according to the docu- Mr. Boies, who represented to foreign markets.
......................A1,B10,B11
Bank of New York Roark Capital Group...B5 claims that Mr. Weinstein ha- ments the Journal reviewed. Al Gore in the 2000 presiden- Weinstein released “Jane”
GGP..............................B3
Mellon.......................B9 rassed or assaulted actresses or Mr. Boies argued they shouldn’t tial-election recount and argued without much marketing, and
Goldman Sachs Group B5 S
Barclays.......................B5 employees. Through his spokes- be allowed to see the file be- for marriage equality before the the film made just $1.5 million
H Snap............................A6 woman, Mr. Weinstein has de- cause they had been leaked to Supreme Court, invests in films in its opening weekend and $3
BB&T ........................... A6
Hasbro.......................B10 SoftBank Group..........B4 nied allegations of nonconsen- the media in the past, a claim through the Boies/Schiller Film million overall—a poor perfor-
Boeing ......................... B3
J SolarWorld Americas . R6 sual sex. the independent directors deny. Group, which he co-founded mance for a film that cost $25
Bombardier..................B3
Sullivan & Cromwell...B2 The dual roles Mr. Boies Mr. Boies said in his state- with his law partner’s son, Zack million to produce.
Broadcom.............B1,B10 JPMorgan Chase.........B9
Suniva..........................R6
Brookfield Property M played with Mr. Weinstein have ment that he had been articu- Schiller. Weinstein Co.’s decision to
SunTrust Banks..........A6
Partners....................B3 triggered questions from the lating Mr. Weinstein’s position The most notable investment release “Jane” this way came
Marcato Capital T
Buffalo Wild Wings....B5 Management.............B5
two directors about why the about the alleged leaks. by Boies/Schiller was a $20- shortly after Mr. Boies in 2015
C Mattel........................B10
Trian Fund Management lawyer fought so hard to keep Mr. Boies pushed to have a million share in the Natalie secured a new contract for Mr.
Microsoft.....................B2
...................................A13 Mr. Weinstein’s personnel file third party, Rodgin Cohen of Portman Western “Jane Got a Weinstein, the documents the
Cboe Global Markets B10
Mitsubishi Motors......B4
Tyson Foods................B5 from them, as shown in the law firm Sullivan & Cromwell, Gun,” which Weinstein Co. and Journal reviewed show. In a
Cheniere Energy........B11
U documents. review the personnel file and Relativity Media agreed in 2013 statement, Mr. Boies said the
Citigroup......................B9 N
Uber Technologies ...... B4 After the scandal concerning write a report to the board. The to distribute. After the much- Boies/Schiller Film Group is
CME Group................B10 Nissan Motor..............B4
U.S. Bancorp...............A6 Mr. Weinstein surfaced, several directors agreed reluctantly af- delayed project cycled through still waiting to be paid by The
CVS Health..................B4 Novartis.......................B4
W
board members resigned, leav- ter failing to obtain the file talent and racked up costs, Rel- Weinstein Co. for the theatrical
D O-P ing Messrs. Ben Ammar and themselves, the people familiar ativity went bankrupt in the run of “Jane.”
Weinstein....................B1
Delta Air Lines ........... B3 Oracle .......................... B4 Maerov, the two independent with the matter say. summer of 2015. —Zolan Kanno-Youngs
Didi Chuxing Technology Otsuka Pharmaceutical Z directors, and Mr. Weinstein’s Mr. Cohen wrote on Sept. 4, Weinstein Co. agreed to give contributed to this article.
.....................................B4 .....................................B4 Zions Bancorp.............A6 brother, Bob Weinstein, on the
board. Bob Weinstein didn’t re-
spond to a request for com-
INDEX TO PEOPLE ment.
In 2015, as Mr. Boies was ne-
gotiating Mr. Weinstein’s con-
A Garden, Ed ................ A13 Mohr, Patrick ............ B11 tract with directors, the com-
Alsaadi, Nawar ........... R5 Gibbons, Thomas........B9 P pany’s five independent board
Ammar, Tarak Ben......B1 Gillers, Stephen..........B1 members were receiving “nu-
Patel, Viraj................B11
Goeler, Andy ............... B2 merous credible reports from
B Peterffy, Thomas......B10
Gordon, Kate...............R5 company insiders that employ-
Barrineau, Jim............B9 Prime, Denise ............. B9
Goyal, Anil...................B5
R ees had previously lodged com-
Boies, David................B1 H
Brito, Carlos................B1
plaints against Mr. Weinstein,
Reback, Gary...............B2
Hallam, Roger...........B11 including for sexual harass-
C Heckman, Dan...........B10
Ren, Zhiwei...............B10
ment, intimidation and physical
Castro Neves, João.....B1 I S assault,” according to an Aug.
ers that stated its “exhaustive reopen its antitrust investiga- significant case,” he said. “If it’s attorney who persuaded the Jus-
investigation” into Google tion into Google. This year, going to be just Missouri, that tice Department to sue Microsoft.
found the company’s practices when Mr. Reyes was a candi-
weren’t “on balance, demon- date for FTC chairman, Google
strably anticompetitive.” deployed Republican lobbyists
Mr. Hawley, a 37-year-old to dissuade Trump administra-
Republican lawyer who was
elected as Missouri’s attorney
tion officials from naming him
to the post, according to peo-
How much is your
general last year, announced ple familiar with the matter.
last month that he is running
for Democratic U.S. Sen. Claire
Mr. Reyes said in an email
that the FTC never replied to his
broker charging you?
McCaskill’s seat in 2018. call for a new federal probe.
Some critics and competi- “We may have to take matters
Michel Doukeris will take the reins at Anheuser-Busch Jan 1. tors of Google see state attor- into our own hands as state at-
neys general as potentially the torneys general on those and
BUD decline in Budweiser sales, most likely route to regulatory possibly other issues,” he said. US Margin Commission
even as it has moved aggres- action in the U.S. “In many ways, we can be more Loan Rates Rates
sively to expand Budweiser Mississippi Attorney Gen- effective investigating and if Comparison Comparison
distribution around the globe. eral Jim Hood has sued Google necessary, holding companies
Continued from the prior page Retail store sales of Bud several times, including in Jan- accountable at the state level.” Equity
more commercially minded per- Light, the No. 1 U.S. beer uary over its collection and use He declined to say whether his $300K Trades
son at the head of the business” brand by volume, fell 5.7% this of data on Mississippi public- office was investigating Google.
with a background in sales and year through Oct. 21, accord- school students who use its States usually team up to Interactive
marketing, Mr. Brito said in an ing to Nielsen data compiled services. Mr. Hood is looking prosecute large corporations
Brokers 2.32% 1 $2.34 2
interview. The new chief’s man- by Beer Marketer’s Insights. closely at other aspects of like Google, with bigger states
date: to boost revenue. Wholesalers, industry ob- Google’s business and consid- like New York or California lead-
Mr. Doukeris, a 44-year-old servers and former Anheuser- Fidelity 6.82% $4.95
Brazilian, joined the company Busch executives have faulted
in 1996. He worked as vice the company for frequent
president of soft drinks for changes in its Bud Light mar- Schwab 6.82% $4.95
Latin America before moving keting campaigns, high turn-
to China, where he rose to be- over in its brand leadership,
come head of the company’s and a lack of understanding of TD Ameritrade 7.50% $6.95
Asia-Pacific operations in U.S. culture among those in
2013. He is based in New York.
The new Anheuser-Busch
chief said he aims to increase
charge of reviving an iconic
American beer.
AB InBev in March ad-
why did Each firm’s information reflects the standard online trades pricing obtained from the
respective firm’s websites as of 11/3/17. Pricing and offers subject to change without notice.
BUSINESS NEWS
Brookfield
Confirms
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B4 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 * **** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
TECHNOLOGY WSJ.com/Tech
BUSINESS NEWS
40M
Number of used cars changing
said used-vehicle depreciation
has worsened because more
cars are hitting the market,
but the impact on prices
to be as precipitous as we
thought” on used vehicles, Ford
Motor finance chief Bob Shanks
said on a conference call last
Are Potential Deals
are about 7% lower than they
were two years ago on average,
according to auto-auction firm
Manheim. Used prices on midsize
as the BMW 3 Series and Audi
A6, were down about 12% in
October compared with their
average two years earlier, ac-
hands annually in the U.S. hasn’t been as bad as ex- month. That “should make it a Used-vehicle prices haven’t cars, such as the Honda Accord cording to Manheim.
pected. Black Book vehicle de- bit easier for us to do better in dropped this year as many ex- and Chevrolet Malibu, have fallen Sport-utility and truck buy-
preciation has grown 1.5% in terms of new vehicle prices.” perts predicted, but there still are about the same amount. ers trolling the preowned lot
2017, far behind the 6% rate Demand from buyers re- deals to be had. Shoppers can “Used buyers looking for won’t be so lucky.
can force auto companies to initially forecast. placing hundreds of thousands take advantage of depressed value for their money are find- Average prices on SUVs have
offer customers richer incen- Auto makers watch these of storm-damaged vehicles in prices on sedans of all sizes, which ing it in compact and midsized held steady, Manheim said. Aver-
tives or extend deeper dis- numbers so they can set resale the wake of Hurricanes Harvey have fallen out of favor over the cars,” said Anil Goyal, a senior age prices on the Ford F-150,
counts on new cars, resulting values for leases that now rep- and Irma in September helped past few years as consumers vice president at Manheim. Toyota Tundra and other large
in lower margins on fresh resent about a third of new- boost used-car values. Bar- opt for SUVs and pickup trucks. Buyers of used luxury cars pickup trucks are higher than
models rolling out of factories. car sales. Used prices also help clays analyst Brian Johnson Prices on compact cars like can get in on the action, too. they were a year ago.
But the predicted price col- determine the level of dis- said in a research note in early
lapse hasn’t happened, and counts or rebates needed to November that it won’t last:
now there is optimism that persuade a person to choose a “We expect used car pric- trend, with price increases be- strategies are driving the lon- auctions to unload gently used
the swell of vehicles that will new car over used. ing…to turn negative in the ing reported in nine of the 10 ger-term trend. Dealers and cars. Instead, they are reselling
hit the used market may not Ford Motor Co. late last coming months as hurricane months of 2017, according to rental-car agencies, which sell them through strategic market-
be as problematic for new-car year warned falling used-car benefits dissipate.” Manheim. This year’s gains a substantial portion of the 40 ing efforts, such as “certified
sales as initially feared. prices would shave $300 mil- Others say concerns about more than reverse declines re- million used cars exchanging preowned” vehicles on a deal-
The number of lease re- lion from full-year operating replacement demand drying up ported over the course of 2016. hands annually in the U.S., are ership lot or a rental-car com-
turns is expected to reach 11.3 profit but backed off the are assuaged by the longer-term Inventory-management often relying less on industry pany’s own retail network.
BUSINESS WATCH
BUFFALO WILD WINGS TYSON FOODS and sales volume offset in-
creases in live cattle supplies. A
Roark Capital Bids Demand for Beef decline in feed costs also helped
$2.3 Billion for Firm Drives Up Results as grain remained cheap.
Tyson has been working to
Buffalo Wild Wings Inc. has Strong domestic and foreign invest the profits driven by its
received a takeover bid valued at demand for beef drove revenue beef and pork operations to
more than $2.3 billion from pri- and profit growth at Tyson make changes. Tyson has cut
vate-equity firm Roark Capital Foods Inc. costs at its chicken and pre-
Group, according to people fa- Tyson, the largest U.S. meat pared-foods segments, resulting
miliar with the matter. company by sales, said the pork in $150 million in total restruc-
Roark made an offer of more market also helped results as a turing costs in the quarter.
than $150 a share in recent price increase offset a volume For the fourth quarter, Tyson
weeks, one of the people said. decline in the company’s fourth reported a profit of $394 million,
Buffalo Wild Wings shares closed quarter. or $1.07 a share, up from $391
LUCAS JACKSON/REUTERS
Monday at $117.25, giving it a Tyson said it now expects million, or $1.03, a year earlier.
market value of $1.84 billion. The sales to increase 7% in its fiscal The number of shares outstand-
stock jumped 28% to $150 after 2018, which began in October, to ing fell 3.2%, boosting per-share
hours following The Wall Street about $41 billion, helped by a re- earnings. Excluding items such
Journal’s report of the bid. cent acquisition and higher as the purchase of Advance-
Investment bankers at Bar- chicken prices. That mark is Pierre Foods and restructuring
clays PLC are working with A Buffalo Wild Wings in New York. The chain’s stock jumped sharply after hours on news of a bid. higher than the $40.4 billion an- charges, earnings rose to $1.43 a
Roark, while Goldman Sachs alysts polled by Thomson Reu- share. Revenue rose 11% to
Group Inc. is advising Buffalo ing traffic in its restaurants and chise more stores, boost profit founder and two of its nominees ters had expected. $10.15 billion. Analysts polled by
Wild Wings, the people said. had been under attack from margins, increase sales and re- to the board. Chief Executive The operating margin for beef Thomson Reuters had forecast
Minneapolis-based Buffalo Marcato Capital Management place its chief executive. Sally Smith announced she products—Tyson’s largest seg- earnings of $1.38 a share on
Wild Wings has been hurt by LP. The activist investor had In June, Buffalo Wild Wings would retire by year-end. ment by revenue—doubled in the $9.89 billion in revenue.
rising chicken prices and slump- pushed the company to fran- shareholders voted in Marcato’s —Dana Mattioli fourth quarter as higher prices —Austen Hufford
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B6 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS DIGEST
EQUITIES
Dow Jones Industrial Average S&P 500 Index Nasdaq Composite Index
Last Year ago Last Year ago Last Year ago
23439.70 s 17.49, or 0.07% Trailing P/E ratio 21.18 20.61 2584.84 s 2.54, or 0.10% Trailing P/E ratio 24.42 23.99 6757.60 s 6.66, or 0.10% Trailing P/E ratio * 26.13 23.37
High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 19.22 17.66 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 19.37 18.05 High, low, open and close for each P/E estimate * 21.32 18.87
trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 2.21 2.48 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 1.92 2.17 trading day of the past three months. Dividend yield 1.04 1.24
All-time high 23563.36, 11/08/17 All-time high: 2594.38, 11/08/17 All-time high: 6789.12, 11/08/17
Close Open
t
3.50 1.50 Mexico peso .0523 19.1284 –7.7 Iceland krona .009645 103.68 –8.2
Orlando, FL 407-422-7129 –5
Peru new sol .3084 3.243 –3.3 Norway krone .1225 8.1656 –5.5
3.00 Lake City Bank 2.49% 0.75 s Yen
t –10 Uruguay peso .03425 29.2000 –0.5 Poland zloty .2753 3.6321 –13.3
Warsaw, IN 888-522-2265 One year ago
t
New car loan Venezuela b. fuerte .100150 9.9851 –0.1 Russia ruble .01684 59.397 –3.1
2.50 0.00 –15
Broadway National Bank 2.50% Asia-Pacific Sweden krona .1193 8.3831 –7.9
1 3 6 1 2 3 5 710 30 2017 Switzerland franc 1.0036 .9964 –2.2
San Antonio, TX 210-283-6500 Australian dollar .7624 1.3116 –5.5
2.00 month(s) years Turkey lira .2584 3.8706 9.9
Cambridge Savings Bank 2.59% China yuan .1504 6.6488 –4.3
D J F MAM J J A S O N maturity Ukraine hryvnia .0378 26.4873 –2.2
Hong Kong dollar .1282 7.8009 0.6
2017 Cambridge, MA 888-418-5626 UK pound 1.3115 .7625 –5.9
India rupee .01528 65.442 –3.7
Sources: Ryan ALM; Tullett Prebon; WSJ Market Data Group Middle East/Africa
Indonesia rupiah .0000738 13558 0.2
Yield/Rate (%) 52-Week Range (%) 3-yr chg Japan yen .008801 113.62 –2.9 Bahrain dinar 2.6452 .3780 0.2
Interest rate Last (l)Week ago Low 0 2 4 6 8 High (pct pts)
Kazakhstan tenge .003004 332.92 –0.2 Egypt pound .0567 17.6295 –2.8
Federal-funds rate target 1.00-1.25 1.00-1.25 0.25 l 1.25 1.00 Corporate Borrowing Rates and Yields Macau pataca .1246 8.0287 1.4 Israel shekel .2822 3.5433 –7.9
Malaysia ringgit .2386 4.1915 –6.6 Kuwait dinar 3.3058 .3025 –1.0
Prime rate* 4.25 4.25 3.50 l 4.25 1.00 Yield (%) 52-Week Total Return (%)
Bond total return index Close Last Week ago High Low 52-wk 3-yr New Zealand dollar .6902 1.4489 0.3 Oman sul rial 2.5974 .3850 0.01
Libor, 3-month 1.42 1.40 0.91 l 1.42 1.18 Pakistan rupee .00949 105.350 0.9 Qatar rial .2611 3.830 5.2
Money market, annual yield 0.32 0.33 0.26 l 0.36 -0.11 Treasury, Ryan ALM 1456.180 2.186 2.102 2.237 1.818 1.410 1.929 Philippines peso .0195 51.192 3.2 Saudi Arabia riyal .2667 3.7502 –0.01
Five-year CD, annual yield 1.49 1.47 1.19 l 1.49 -0.06 10-yr Treasury, Ryan ALM 1725.677 2.400 2.318 2.609 2.058 0.686 1.712 Singapore dollar .7343 1.3619 –5.9 South Africa rand .0691 14.4764 5.7
30-year mortgage, fixed† 3.92 3.90 3.73 l 4.33 -0.14 South Korea won .0008929 1119.89 –7.3
DJ Corporate 376.787 3.173 3.063 3.390 2.879 4.305 3.751 Close Net Chg % Chg YTD%Chg
Sri Lanka rupee .0065087 153.64 3.5
15-year mortgage, fixed† 3.30 3.23 2.99 l 3.50 0.06 Aggregate, Barclays Capital 1934.940 2.680 2.580 2.790 2.380 2.019 2.334 Taiwan dollar .03312 30.189 –7.0 WSJ Dollar Index 87.73 0.15 0.17 –5.61
Jumbo mortgages, $424,100-plus† 4.29 4.28 4.21 l 4.88 ... High Yield 100, Merrill Lynch n.a. n.a. 5.213 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. Sources: Tullett Prebon, WSJ Market Data Group
Five-year adj mortgage (ARM)† 3.51 3.45 3.20 l 4.03 -0.13
Fixed-Rate MBS, Barclays 1983.260 2.910 2.820 3.120 2.650 1.161 2.040
New-car loan, 48-month 3.01 3.01 2.85 l 3.36 -0.23
HELOC, $30,000 4.47 5.03 4.47 l 5.30 0.11
Muni Master, Merrill n.a. n.a. 1.962 n.a. n.a. n.a. n.a. COMMODITIES
Bankrate.com rates based on survey of over 4,800 online banks. *Base rate posted by 70% of the nation's largest EMBI Global, J.P. Morgan 796.274 5.645 5.547 6.290 5.279 10.333 5.611 Commodities Monday 52-Week YTD
banks.† Excludes closing costs. Pricing trends on someClose
raw materials, or commodities
Sources: SIX Financial Information; WSJ Market Data Group; Bankrate.com Sources: J.P. Morgan; Ryan ALM; S&P Dow Jones Indices; Barclays Capital; Merrill Lynch Net chg % Chg High Low % Chg % chg
WSJ
TR/CC CRB Index -0.20 166.50
stocks, new highs/lows and mutual funds. Plus, Compare the performance of selected global stock Crude oil, $ per barrel 56.76 0.02 0.04 57.35 42.53 31.02 5.66
deeper money-flows data and email delivery of key indexes, bond ETFs, currencies and commodities at Natural gas, $/MMBtu 3.167 -0.046 -1.43 3.93 2.56 15.21 -14.96
.COM WSJ.com/TrackTheMarkets
stock-market data. Available free at WSJMarkets.com Gold, $ per troy oz. 1277.30 4.90 0.39 1346.00 1127.80 4.59 11.07
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Tuesday, November 14, 2017 | B7
COMMODITIES WSJ.com/commodities
Metal & Petroleum Futures Milk (CME)-200,000 lbs., cents per lb. Currency Futures
Agriculture Futures Nov 16.80 16.82 16.76 16.80 .03 4,327
Contract Open Dec 15.72 15.72 15.49 15.69 .10 4,497 Japanese Yen (CME)-¥12,500,000; $ per 100¥
Open High hi lo Low Settle Chg interest Corn (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. Cocoa (ICE-US)-10 metric tons; $ per ton. Nov .8798 .8826 .8798 .8806 .0002 2,376
Copper-High (CMX)-25,000 lbs.; $ per lb. Dec 343.50 344.00 341.50 342.25 –1.25 603,364 Dec 2,211 2,229 2,184 2,208 –15 16,963 Dec .8817 .8843 .8806 .8819 .0002 276,151
Nov 3.0860 3.1260 3.0860 3.1115 0.0420 557 March'18 356.00 356.75 354.25 355.00 –1.75 517,930 March'18 2,199 2,214 2,178 2,201 –11 136,060
Canadian Dollar (CME)-CAD 100,000; $ per CAD
3.0750 3.1365 3.0680 3.1165 0.0405 122,044 Oats (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. Nov .7862 .7878 .7849 .7856 –.0031 1,251
Dec Coffee (ICE-US)-37,500 lbs.; cents per lb. Dec .7883 .7891 .7851 .7860 –.0030 144,080
Gold (CMX)-100 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Dec 273.00 275.50 272.00 273.50 1.50 3,934 Dec 127.50 128.15 126.65 127.60 .05 53,318 British Pound (CME)-£62,500; $ per £
Nov 1277.00 1277.00 1277.00 1277.30 4.90 71 March'18 281.00 283.75 278.25 283.00 3.00 3,513 March'18 130.90 131.35 130.05 130.75 –.15 100,516 Nov 1.3121 1.3121 1.3077 1.3102 –.0095 530
Dec 1275.30 1279.90 1274.40 1278.90 4.70 300,989 Soybeans (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. Sugar-World (ICE-US)-112,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Dec 1.3182 1.3185 1.3074 1.3127 –.0082 174,115
Feb'18 1279.20 1284.20 1278.90 1283.30 4.80 157,003 Nov 977.25 978.00 963.25 963.50 –13.75 1,088 March 14.99 15.18 14.86 15.13 .17 407,570 Swiss Franc (CME)-CHF 125,000; $ per CHF
April 1283.00 1288.20 1283.00 1287.60 4.80 20,174 Jan'18 987.00 990.25 973.75 974.25 –12.75 322,252 May 14.97 15.12 14.87 15.04 .08 138,361 Dec 1.0059 1.0086 1.0034 1.0065 .0001 82,085
June 1289.60 1292.70 1288.70 1291.90 4.80 19,596 Soybean Meal (CBT)-100 tons; $ per ton. Sugar-Domestic (ICE-US)-112,000 lbs.; cents per lb. March'18 1.0125 1.0158 1.0106 1.0137 .0001 249
Dec 1301.50 1305.40 1301.50 1304.90 5.00 11,104 Dec 314.50 316.50 311.10 311.30 –3.20 91,804 March 27.01 27.25 27.00 27.25 .07 2,770 Australian Dollar (CME)-AUD 100,000; $ per AUD
Palladium (NYM) - 50 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Jan'18 316.80 318.50 313.30 313.40 –3.20 106,565 Cotton (ICE-US)-50,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Nov … .7642 .7642 .7642 –.0017 1,154
Dec 993.15 1001.45 986.95 989.70 –3.40 28,621 Soybean Oil (CBT)-60,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Dec 69.00 69.68 68.85 68.88 –.17 53,899 Dec .7647 .7663 .7613 .7623 –.0033 119,567
March'18 990.65 993.75 982.00 984.05 –2.85 7,144 Dec 34.82 34.83 34.28 34.33 –.48 118,315 March'18 69.14 69.63 68.85 68.93 –.21 119,776 Jan'18 .7655 .7659 t .7613 .7621 –.0033 627
Platinum (NYM)-50 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Jan'18 34.96 34.97 34.43 34.48 –.48 124,702 Orange Juice (ICE-US)-15,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Feb .7640 .7658 t .7612 .7620 –.0033 543
928.30 928.70 928.30 932.40 3.50 4 March .7641 .7657 .7611 .7619 –.0033 947
Nov Rough Rice (CBT)-2,000 cwt.; $ per cwt. Dec … … s … 160.60 –2.00
June .7651 .7651 .7614 .7617 –.0032 245
Jan'18 930.70 938.40 927.00 935.60 3.50 70,271 Nov 1112.00 1115.00 1112.00 1112.00 –4.50 17 Jan'18 162.70 169.50 s 160.45 160.60 –2.00 6,223
Silver (CMX)-5,000 troy oz.; $ per troy oz. Mexican Peso (CME)-MXN 500,000; $ per MXN
Jan'18 1144.50 1147.50 1131.00 1136.00 –6.00 9,548 Dec .05199 .05206 .05177 .05198 .00002 178,400
Nov 16.840 17.010 16.840 17.023 0.179 3 Wheat (CBT)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. Interest Rate Futures March'18 .05106 .05127 .05101 .05121 .00003 608
Dec 16.860 17.070 16.820 17.047 0.176 114,696 Dec 432.00 432.00 422.25 424.25 –7.25 183,686 Euro (CME)-€125,000; $ per €
Crude Oil, Light Sweet (NYM)-1,000 bbls.; $ per bbl. March'18 449.00 449.00 440.25 443.25 –5.75 199,423 Treasury Bonds (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% Nov 1.1659 1.1664 1.1646 1.1671 .0006 5,067
Dec 56.90 57.15 56.30 56.76 0.02 364,546 Wheat (KC)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. Dec 152-050 152-300 152-010 152-130 3.0 763,823 Dec 1.1678 1.1697 1.1659 1.1689 .0002 440,174
Jan'18 57.16 57.37 56.52 56.97 –0.01 517,089 Dec 433.00 433.00 423.75 427.50 –5.75 102,729 March'18 151-040 151-250 150-300 151-080 3.0 21,426
Feb 57.34 57.52 56.70 57.13 –0.03 176,319 March'18 449.75 450.00 439.75 444.25 –5.75 128,701 Treasury Notes (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% Index Futures
March 57.48 57.65 56.85 57.27 –0.01 271,356 Wheat (MPLS)-5,000 bu.; cents per bu. Dec 124-215 124-290 124-175 124-200 –2.5 3,218,633
June 57.30 57.50 56.79 57.18 0.05 227,770 Dec 646.25 646.50 630.00 633.25 –14.25 31,737 March'18 124-120 124-190 124-080 124-105 –2.0 57,556 Mini DJ Industrial Average (CBT)-$5 x index
55.62 55.79 55.31 55.60 0.15 268,008 Dec 23397 23429 23288 23406 24 154,141
Dec March'18 657.00 657.75 642.50 647.00 –12.25 29,107 5 Yr. Treasury Notes (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% March'18 23400 23417 23286 23399 24 1,762
NY Harbor ULSD (NYM)-42,000 gal.; $ per gal. Cattle-Feeder (CME)-50,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Dec 116-317 117-027 116-277 116-285 –3.5 3,124,434
Dec 1.9361 1.9441 1.9209 1.9321 –.0028 96,913 S&P 500 Index (CME)-$250 x index
Nov 158.175 159.375 157.550 158.700 .225 5,260 March'18 116-242 116-272 116-205 116-210 –3.7 77,557 Dec 2581.40 2585.30 s 2570.50 2581.90 2.30 62,506
Jan'18 1.9380 1.9469 1.9242 1.9353 –.0024 109,537 156.475 157.550 155.375 156.975 –.200 29,285
Jan'18 2 Yr. Treasury Notes (CBT)-$200,000; pts 32nds of 100% Mini S&P 500 (CME)-$50 x index
Gasoline-NY RBOB (NYM)-42,000 gal.; $ per gal. Cattle-Live (CME)-40,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Dec 2580.25 2585.50 2570.25 2582.00 2.50 3,179,045
Dec 107-190 107-195 107-167 107-172 –1.5 1,739,250
Dec 1.8284 1.8326 1.7854 1.7929 –.0195 107,071 Dec 120.000 121.725 119.450 120.575 … 81,209 March'18 2581.25 2585.75 s 2570.75 2582.50 2.50 76,697
Jan'18 1.8110 1.8122 1.7744 1.7832 –.0129 144,619 March'18 107-140 107-145 107-120 107-122 –1.7 79,683
Feb'18 126.000 127.675 125.225 126.400 –.350 139,401 Mini S&P Midcap 400 (CME)-$100 x index
Natural Gas (NYM)-10,000 MMBtu.; $ per MMBtu. 30 Day Federal Funds (CBT)-$5,000,000; 100 - daily avg. Dec 1826.40 1829.40 1814.70 1828.70 3.90 92,454
Hogs-Lean (CME)-40,000 lbs.; cents per lb. Nov 98.843 98.845 98.843 98.843 … 205,338
Dec 3.200 3.231 3.127 3.167 –.046 146,838 Mini Nasdaq 100 (CME)-$20 x index
Dec 62.575 62.925 61.925 62.300 –.175 64,245
Jan'18 3.291 3.321 3.225 3.262 –.044 277,692
Feb'18 70.250 70.675 69.900 70.300 .050 86,356
Jan'18 98.615 98.615 t 98.610 98.615 … 338,984 Dec 6312.5 6325.0 s 6281.0 6312.0 2.8 278,891
Feb 3.298 3.320 3.229 3.265 –.043 97,210 10 Yr. Del. Int. Rate Swaps (CBT)-$100,000; pts 32nds of 100% March'18 6327.8 6340.5 s 6297.8 6328.0 3.0 2,310
Lumber (CME)-110,000 bd. ft., $ per 1,000 bd. ft. Mini Russell 2000 (ICE-US)-$100 x index
March 3.257 3.269 3.188 3.222 –.040 181,128 Dec 100.875 100.922 100.516 100.609 –.063 29,467
Nov 470.90 472.40 s 466.60 467.40 –3.60 219 Dec 1474.90 1477.70 1463.20 1473.70 –.60 69,201
April 2.976 3.000 2.956 2.974 –.013 122,276 1 Month Libor (CME)-$3,000,000; pts of 100%
Jan'18 460.80 461.60 451.70 456.30 –3.30 5,556 March'18 1464.60 1464.60 1464.60 1474.50 –.60 80
May 2.955 2.971 2.928 2.950 –.011 91,013
Jan 98.5300 98.5300 t 98.5300 98.5275 .0025 53 Mini Russell 1000 (ICE-US)-$100 x index
Eurodollar (CME)-$1,000,000; pts of 100% Dec 1425.70 1432.40 1425.70 1430.70 1.50 296
Nov 98.5825 98.5850 98.5825 98.5825 … 102,771 U.S. Dollar Index (ICE-US)-$1,000 x index
Cash Prices | WSJ.com/commodities Monday, November 13, 2017 Dec 98.4675 98.4725 98.4650 98.4675 .0025 1,754,370 Dec
March'18
94.36
94.10
94.55
94.23
94.31
94.00
94.39
94.08
.11
.10
45,037
2,530
March'18 98.3100 98.3150 98.2950 98.3000 –.0100 1,319,832
These prices reflect buying and selling of a variety of actual or “physical” commodities in the marketplace— Dec 98.0400 98.0450 98.0100 98.0100 –.0300 1,655,176 Source: SIX Financial Information
separate from the futures price on an exchange, which reflects what the commodity might be worth in future
months.
Monday Monday Monday Bonds | WSJ.com/bonds
(U.S.$ equivalent) 16.9250 SoybeanMeal,Cent IL,rail,ton48%-u 307.30
Energy Coins,wholesale $1,000 face-a 12869 Soybeans,No.1 yllw IL-bp,u n.a. Tracking Bond Benchmarks
Propane,tet,Mont Belvieu-g 0.9870 Other metals Wheat,Spring14%-pro Mnpls-u 7.7075
Butane,normal,Mont Belvieu-g 1.0692 LBMA Platinum Price PM *937.0 Wheat,No.2 soft red,St.Louis-bp,u 4.3500 Return on investment and spreads over Treasurys and/or yields paid to investors compared with 52-week
NaturalGas,HenryHub-i 3.120 Platinum,Engelhard industrial 936.0 Wheat - Hard - KC (USDA) $ per bu-u 3.8500 highs and lows for different types of bonds
NaturalGas,TranscoZone3-i 3.070 Platinum,Engelhard fabricated 1036.0 Wheat,No.1soft white,Portld,OR-u 5.2763 Total Total
NaturalGas,TranscoZone6NY-i 3.240 Palladium,Engelhard industrial 997.0 return YTD total Yield (%) return YTD total Yield (%)
Food close return (%) Index Latest Low High close return (%) Index Latest Low High
NaturalGas,PanhandleEast-i 2.760 Palladium,Engelhard fabricated 1097.0
NaturalGas,Opal-i 2.880 Aluminum, LME, $ per metric ton *2090.0 Beef,carcass equiv. index Mortgage-Backed Bloomberg Barclays
Broad Market Bloomberg Barclays
NaturalGas,MarcellusNE PA-i 2.500 Copper,Comex spot 3.1115 choice 1-3,600-900 lbs.-u 192.93
NaturalGas,HaynesvilleN.LA-i 3.020 Iron Ore, 62% Fe CFR China-s 61.9 select 1-3,600-900 lbs.-u 175.51 1934.94 3.0 U.S. Aggregate 2.680 2.380 2.790 1983.26 2.2 Mortgage-Backed 2.910 2.650 3.120
Coal,C.Aplc.,12500Btu,1.2SO2-r,w 59.850 Shredded Scrap, US Midwest-s,w 276 Broilers, National comp wghtd-u,w 0.8612 1950.60 1.6 Ginnie Mae (GNMA) 2.870 2.570 3.090
U.S. Corporate Indexes Bloomberg Barclays
Coal,PwdrRvrBsn,8800Btu,0.8SO2-r,w 12.100 Steel, HRC USA, FOB Midwest Mill-s 610 Butter,AA Chicago 2.2500
Cheddar cheese,bbl,Chicago 170.00 2764.22 5.0 U.S. Corporate 3.260 3.030 3.520 1163.07 2.3 Fannie mae (FNMA) 2.920 2.670 3.120
Metals Fibers and Textiles Cheddar cheese,blk,Chicago 171.25
2612.09 3.6 Intermediate 2.830 2.530 3.010 1791.00 2.4 Freddie Mac (FHLMC) 2.940 2.680 3.130
Gold, per troy oz Burlap,10-oz,40-inch NY yd-n,w 0.6150 Milk,Nonfat dry,Chicago lb. 73.50
Cotton,1 1/16 std lw-mdMphs-u 0.6813 Cocoa,Ivory Coast-w n.a. 3810.17 8.4 Long term 4.210 4.100 4.710 n.a. n.a. Muni Master n.a. n.a. n.a.
Engelhard industrial 1281.82
Cotlook 'A' Index-t *79.35 Coffee,Brazilian,Comp 1.2642
Engelhard fabricated 1377.96 564.42 3.7 Double-A-rated 2.740 2.470 2.870 n.a. n.a. 7-12 year n.a. n.a. n.a.
Hides,hvy native steers piece fob-u 65.500 Coffee,Colombian, NY 1.4513
Handy & Harman base 1277.95
Handy & Harman fabricated 1418.53 Wool,64s,staple,Terr del-u,w n.a. Eggs,large white,Chicago-u 1.2750 713.22 5.7 Triple-B-rated 3.550 3.340 3.870 n.a. n.a. 12-22 year n.a. n.a. n.a.
Flour,hard winter KC 15.60
LBMA Gold Price AM *1284.45 Grains and Feeds High Yield Bonds Merrill Lynch n.a. n.a. 22-plus year n.a. n.a. n.a.
Hams,17-20 lbs,Mid-US fob-u 0.82
LBMA Gold Price PM *1284.30
Barley,top-quality Mnpls-u n.a. Hogs,Iowa-So. Minnesota-u 65.57 n.a. n.a. High Yield Constrained n.a. n.a. n.a. Global Government J.P. Morgan†
Krugerrand,wholesale-e 1330.06
Bran,wheat middlings, KC-u 86 Pork bellies,12-14 lb MidUS-u 1.2826
Maple Leaf-e 1342.85 n.a. n.a. Triple-C-rated n.a. n.a. n.a. 542.86 1.1 Global Government 1.450 1.300 1.560
Corn,No. 2 yellow,Cent IL-bp,u n.a. Pork loins,13-19 lb MidUS-u 0.8947
American Eagle-e 1342.85
Corn gluten feed,Midwest-u,w 91.0 Steers,Tex.-Okla. Choice-u n.a. n.a. n.a. High Yield 100 n.a. n.a. n.a. 755.64 0.3 Canada 2.030 1.570 2.190
Mexican peso-e 1549.97
Corn gluten meal,Midwest-u,w 492.9 Steers,feeder,Okla. City-u,w 172.13
Austria crown-e 1256.58 n.a. n.a. Global High Yield Constrained n.a. n.a. n.a. 371.34 0.6 EMU§ 1.086 0.933 1.363
Cottonseed meal-u,w 225 Fats and Oils
Austria phil-e 1342.85
Hominy feed,Cent IL-u,w 88 n.a. n.a.
Europe High Yield Constrained n.a. n.a. n.a. 710.76 0.6 France 0.840 0.710 1.210
Silver, troy oz. Meat-bonemeal,50% pro Mnpls-u,w 220 Corn oil,crude wet/dry mill-u,w 34.8500
Engelhard industrial 17.0000 Oats,No.2 milling,Mnpls-u 3.0600 Grease,choice white,Chicago-h 0.2500 U.S Agency Bloomberg Barclays 507.97 -1.3 Germany 0.480 0.210 0.620
Engelhard fabricated 20.4000 Rice, 5% Broken White, Thailand-l,w 368.00 Lard,Chicago-u n.a. 1636.90 2.0 U.S Agency 2.050 1.590 2.050 288.05 -0.04 Japan 0.410 0.240 0.460
Handy & Harman base 17.0100 Rice, Long Grain Milled, No. 2 AR-u,w 24.00 Soybean oil,crude;Centl IL-u 0.3346
Handy & Harman fabricated 21.2630 Sorghum,(Milo) No.2 Gulf-u 7.5838 Tallow,bleach;Chicago-h 0.2700 1464.52 1.2 10-20 years 1.890 1.390 1.890 560.57 -1.0 Netherlands 0.610 0.360 0.760
LBMA spot price £12.9300 Tallow,edible,Chicago-u n.a.
3344.60 7.0 20-plus years 2.980 2.730 3.460 915.23 0.2 U.K. 1.640 1.340 1.790
KEY TO CODES: A=ask; B=bid; BP=country elevator bids to producers; C=corrected; E=Manfra,Tordella & Brooks; G=ICE; H=Hurley Brokerage; I=Natural Gas Intelligence; 2448.93 4.5 Yankee 2.900 2.610 3.090 796.27 7.7 Emerging Markets ** 5.645 5.279 6.290
L=livericeindex.com; M=midday; N=nominal; n.a.=not quoted or not available; R=SNL Energy; S=Platts-TSI; T=Cotlook Limited; U=USDA; W=weekly, Z=not quoted. *Data *Constrained indexes limit individual issuer concentrations to 2%; the High Yield 100 are the 100 largest bonds † In local currency § Euro-zone bonds
as of 11/10
Source: WSJ Market Data Group ** EMBI Global Index Sources: Merrill Lynch; Bloomberg Barclays; J.P.Morgan
M
mented by academics in the in the Asia-Pacific region, arkets working better 5,000 30
early 1980s, smaller companies
have stopped beating the mar-
If big companies can which has roared past the
U.S. to become the dominant
is good for the econ-
omy, but monopoly 4,000 20
ket. It looks as though CEOs raise equity more region for new stock listings. power isn’t. Big companies
3,000 10
and founders took notice and
changed strategy to avoid the
cheaply, it makes CEOs and CFOs should know
more about their company’s
have become more dominant,
helped by complex intellectual- 1980 ’90 2000 ’10 1980 ’90 2000 ’10
higher financing costs that sense to merge. prospects than outsiders, so if property law and regulations
came from being a small com- they have a choice of ways to that make life tough for new Smaller companies used to beat the market, but haven't
pany on the stock market. finance, the one they pick is entrants, by the network ef- outperformed since the early 1980s.†
More listed companies chose probably offering a better deal. fects of new technology, by 600%
to sell to rivals to get bigger, Takeovers aren’t the full But the asset class offering the cheaper financing and, some 500
and fewer opted for IPOs in the story, though. In the past two best deal to the company is critics allege, by lax antitrust
first place. decades, money has flooded also the one offering the worst enforcement. Studies show big 400
The result is that the aver- into venture capital and private deal to the investor. companies tend to be less inno- 300
age listed company is far bigger equity, with buyout funds now Plenty of other factors affect vative and invest less in re- 200
than it was, and there are far sitting on a record $954 billion return, but if lots of companies search, which ultimately hurts
fewer very small companies, available for deals, according choose to finance via IPOs—as growth. Cheap venture finance 100
data from René Stulz, director to Preqin data. in the late 1990s—then stocks is great for innovation, but the 0
of the Dice Center for Research are probably overvalued. If link from the IPO drought to
T
–100
in Financial Economics at he small-company CEO they mostly choose to finance oligopoly is visible in the Sili-
Ohio State University, show. can choose between an via debt—as they did before con Valley startup: Where once 1930 ’40 ’50 ’60 ’70 ’80 ’90 2000 ’10
Since 1997, on average 5.6% IPO and selling to pri- the subprime crisis—then debt they fantasized about ringing *Worth less than $100 million, inflation-adjusted †Performance of long-short porfolio
of listed companies have been vate funds—and private money is probably overvalued. For the the NYSE bell after listing, now Source: Prof René Stulz, Ohio State University (total companies, proportion of small
bought each year, against just is more easily available than past few years, bonds have been their aim is to sell out to Al- companies); Kenneth French Data Library (performance)
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
3.9% in the previous two de- ever before. Why bother to list? popular again, suggesting that phabet or Amazon.
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B10 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 * *** THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
MARKETS
Treasurys
Fall, With
Tax Bills
In Focus
BY DANIEL KRUGER
budget deficits.
Adding to the confusion,
Senate Republicans’ proposal
to overhaul the tax code di-
verges in key ways from a
plan that advanced through a
House committee. Senators
would delay a corporate tax
Mattel’s shares surged 21% on news of a takeover bid from rival Hasbro, whose shares also moved higher Monday. Mattel’s booth at Comic Con in San Diego in July. rate cut until 2019, forgo es-
tate tax repeal, and eliminate
MARKETS
Pound Weakens as U.K. Faces Tumult
Jitters around British A no-deal outcome between
leadership and Brexit Political Currency Britain and its biggest trading
partner also would reduce
talks ramp up the Over the past two years the British pound and U.K. markets have been driven by major electoral forecasts for economic growth
events and the developments in the country's exit from the European Union. and likely cause the Bank of
volatility in sterling England to move more slowly
How many dollars one British pound buys in tightening monetary policy,
Whatever sterling does $1.55 which in turn would put pres-
next, it is likely to be a big June 23 Jan. 17, 2017 Sept. 22 sure on the pound. Higher
‘Leave' wins U.K. referendum Mrs. May argues Mrs. May’s speech
move. on EU membership rates typically boost yields,
‘No deal [with the EU] is suggests transition
The pound fell by as much 1.50 better than a bad deal’ period in leaving EU which make the region more
as 1% against the dollar on attractive to investors looking
for better returns, benefiting
By Olga Cotaga, 1.45 the local currency.
Saumya For now, the pound is too
Oct. 5 June 8
Vaishampayan cheap to sell, according to Val-
Prime Minister The governing Conservative entin Marinov, head of G-10
and Mike Bird 1.40 Theresa May’s speech party loses majority in
to Conservative parliamentary elections currency strategy at Crédit Ag-
Monday on concerns about the Party conference ricole.
state of British politics before 1.35 In the week to Oct. 31, spec-
recovering some of the losses, ulators held a small net bullish
one of many recent bouts of position on the pound, accord-
volatility for this currency. 1.30 ing to data from the U.S. Com-
But many market players modity Futures Trading Com-
have been holding off from Feb. 20, 2016 mission, with 1,245 more long
making big decisions as they Prime Minister David than short contracts. As re-
1.25 Cameron calls referendum
wait for political clouds to lift. cently as April, investors were
on U.K. membership of the EU
That could change soon. deeply pessimistic about ster-
Almost a year and a half af- 1.20 ling, with more than 100,000
ter the Brexit vote, Britain has more short than long contracts
made little progress in moving 2016 ’17 on the currency.
to all-important trade talks There are some silver lin-
Net bets pound will rise Yield on 10-year British government bond
with the European Union. The ings for the pound: Sterling
two sides have been bickering 20,000 contracts 2.00% could get some support from
over divorce issues such as continuing investment flows,
how much the U.K. will con- 0 1.75 for instance, some investors
tinue to pay to Brussels. It say, whether there is a deal or
should become clear at an EU –20,000 not. Foreign direct investment
1.50
meeting next month whether in the U.K. has been falling this
trade negotiations can begin. –40,000 year, but asset managers re-
“Sterling could either get a 1.25 main net buyers of the coun-
big bounce, or it could turn –60,000 try’s assets.
quickly into the biggest short 1.00 Though Hermes Investment
of 2018” if investors believe –80,000 Management, with £30.8 bil-
Brexit talks are getting no- 0.75 lion ($40.6 billion) of assets
where, said Viraj Patel, a for- –100,000 under management, has re-
eign exchange strategist at duced its overall exposure to
ING. –120,000 0.50 the U.K. stock market since
In a recent note, Commerz- 2016 ’17 2016 ’17 Brexit, it continues to buy
bank said traders and inves- Sources: FactSet (currency); CFTC (net bets); TradeWeb (yield) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. shares in those companies that
tors had yet to focus on the generate most of their revenue
December summit. So the risk Sterling could rise to its Late Monday in New York, The market moves were Mrs. May’s government has abroad. “We’re quite long
of EU leaders concluding not year-to-date high of around the pound was at $1.3115, com- triggered by a weekend report been seen by investors as be- term, so what we try and do is
enough progress has been $1.37 if Britain does make pared with $1.3191 on Friday. in the Sunday Times that 40 ing in a weak position since ensure we’re not highly con-
made to proceed isn’t priced some progress at December’s It fell 0.4% against the euro members of Parliament had she failed to win a majority centrated on a single binary
into the pound, leaving ster- meeting, said Roger Hallam, and 0.6% against the Japanese agreed to sign a letter of no government in June’s election. outcome,” said Louise Dudley,
ling vulnerable to falls, the currency chief investment offi- yen. U.K. government-bond confidence in Prime Minister Any change in leadership portfolio manager at Hermes
bank said. cer at J.P. Morgan Asset Man- yields fell along with the Theresa May. Just eight more could hamper the talks in Global Equities.
”It’s going to be crucial how agement. If the U.K. fails to do pound, closing at 1.331% from MPs are required for a formal Brussels and potentially lead —Jason Douglas
quickly we can move into the so, the pound could fall to as 1.341% Friday. Bond yields fall leadership challenge to begin, to a new leader less interested and Laurence Norman
trade talks,” Mr. Patel said. low as $1.25, Mr. Hallam said. when prices rise. according to the report. in compromising with the EU. contributed to this article.
Email: heard@wsj.com
HEARD ON THE STREET FINANCIAL ANALYSIS & COMMENTARY WSJ.com/Heard
Dividend Cut
Isn’t What
GE’s Light Bulb Finally Goes On OVERHEARD
So far, so good for Gen- with the side effect of lean After a hiatus of more
eral Electric’s new leader- Grounded
You Think ship. But the hardest parts
of a big turnaround are still
GE’s adjusted earnings per share
times in the near future.
Management projections for
adjusted earnings of $1 to
than six years, the Singapore
Exchange reinstated its daily
one-hour lunch break Monday,
A dividend cut is generally in the future and will take $2.0 $1.07 a share in 2018 were coinciding with midday breaks
bad news for a company. But time to yield results. below the FactSet analyst on Hong Kong and mainland
not necessarily the bad news Chief Executive John Flan- consensus of $1.15. The com- China exchanges.
1.5
investors think it is. nery continued to sound the pany was discussing profit of Singapore scrapped its
General Electric cut its right notes during Monday’s $2 a share as recently as this longstanding lunch hour in
dividend by half on Monday, investor day by vowing to 1.0 summer. March 2011 to increase com-
saying it was a move it trim the company’s sprawl- What is more, GE plans to petitiveness with peers, but
needed to make to preserve ing business portfolio and sharply cut its capital spend- trading volume dried up dur-
cash for restructuring ef- focus on higher-margin 0.5 ing next year to $3.4 billion. ing what were normal lunch
forts. Investors worried that units. That will improve short-term hours anyway. Patrick Mohr,
it was really a sign that the His decision to halve the free cash flow, but it runs head of execution consulting
company, which also sharply quarterly dividend, while 0 the risk of limiting growth at Instinet, has calculated
cut its 2018 earnings fore- painful, means the company 2011 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17* ’18* prospects. that noon to 1 p.m. is the
cast, would have lower earn- will be much more likely to *Midpoint of company forecast Investor skepticism about slowest hour of the trading
ings for years to come. cover its obligations from Sources: the company, FactSet (forecast) THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Mr. Flannery’s turnaround day, with just over 5% of
The conventional wisdom the free cash flow it gener- plan certainly is understand- daily volume. Lunch hours are
is companies cut dividends ates. He acknowledged that change certain aspects of the Changing GE’s mix of able given the stock’s recent still sacrosanct in many coun-
when they think profits are complexity, a longtime gripe company’s culture. One slide businesses is, of course, history. GE’s shares rocketed tries across Asia. In 2012,
doing down and raise them of investors, has hurt the in the company presentation nothing new; former CEO higher when the company hundreds of brokers in Hong
when they think earnings company and pledged to vowed to improve the com- Jeffrey Immelt was a serial announced the exit from the Kong protested when the
will be higher. The only simplify the business metrics pany’s “say/do ratio.” reshaper of the portfolio. finance business in 2015; in- Hong Kong stock ex-
problem is that studies have it reports. Yet the biggest task, sim- The difference here is that vestors who bought the change cut its onetime two-
repeatedly found that divi- Promising to emphasize plifying the business portfo- Mr. Flannery has laid out a stock on that basis have hour midday trading
dend cuts and increases equity, rather than cash, in lio and turning around the clear plan by which investors been punished severely. break down to the current 60
aren’t a good predictor of executive compensation is prolonged share-price melt- can judge his progress. He At 19 times next year’s de- minutes. Singapore brought
the direction of future earn- another good idea after poor down, will be far easier said will have to proceed quickly, pressed earnings guidance, back its lunch break in re-
ings or cash flow. shareholder performance than done. Shares fell though, while maintaining a the stock isn’t particularly sponse to traders lobbying
But new research finds and embarrassing revela- sharply once again Monday delicate touch. expensive, but winning in- hard for its return, Mr. Mohr
dividend moves are a good tions of corporate excess. and are down about 40% this The more sensible ap- vestors back will take far said. “They’re passionate
signal of something else. And Mr. Flannery seems to year, touching their lowest proach to the company’s fi- more doing than saying. about their lunch.”
Economists Roni Michaely, grasp how important it is to level since 2011. nancial obligations comes —Charley Grant
Stefano Rossi and Michael
Weber examined U.S. finan-
cial statement data from
1963 to 2015 and found that
dividend cuts tend to lead to
U.S. Natural-Gas Bonanza With China Isn’t a Done Deal
higher volatility in cash Thanksgiving isn’t here Alaskan project might actu- ering plowing their billions Even assuming Asian prices
flows, and that dividend in- yet, but it’s already Christ- Burning Brighter ally be as high as $65 billion. into Alaska have the caution- are higher by the time the
creases portend greater sta- mas in Alaska—and West Natural-gas prices And because the Asian gas ary tale of Australia to con- project would come online in
bility. The bigger the divi- Virginia and Texas. market is forecast to be sider. Terminals greenlighted the mid-2020s, that doesn’t
dend cut, the more choppy The source of the good $20 a million BTUs oversupplied until the early there during the height of leave a lot of room for error.
future cash flows tend to be. cheer: big natural-gas deals 15 2020s at least, and LNG the commodities boom Cheniere, which already
And this makes sense: If announced in China during projects are so risky, compa- nearly all ran massively ships some cargoes to Asia,
Asia
results get lumpier, manage- President Donald Trump’s 10 nies have an incentive to overbudget. That is causing might be better placed; it
ment can’t be as certain that state visit last week. The U.S. frighten off potential com- huge problems for Aussie ex- said in 2016 that its margin
they are going to have the headline figures are impres- 5 petitors with splashy an- porters now facing Asian gas to Asia would be as much as
money they want to cover sive: a $43 billion pipeline 0
nouncements with big part- prices trading in a range of $2 a MMBtu, even with
both their needs and oppor- and liquefaction project in ners. If the Alaskan project $6 to $9 a million British Asian gas prices at just $7.
tunities. All else equal, a Alaska, $84 billion for shale 2007 ’09 ’11 ’13 ’15 ’17 goes through, it will compete thermal units, or MMBtu, So, keep an eye on gas
company with more volatile gas and chemicals in West Source: IMF with Cheniere, which in turn down from over $15 in 2015. prices and on whether any of
earnings is worth less than Virginia, and a memorandum might compete with Russian The Alaskan project, these contracts evolve into
one with stable earnings. on gas exports for Texas- and-mortar projects. That, gas supply to China, which is meanwhile, would produce at actual investment over the
Stable earnings are some- based Cheniere Energy. however, is unlikely. also under negotiation. Of a cost of about $6 to $7 a next 12 to 24 months. The
thing that GE used to be That sounds like a lot of Building liquefied natural- course, many of these multi- MMBtu, including shipping U.S. is well-placed to become
known for. Its dividend cut money and a lot of gas, and gas plants is a notoriously billion-dollar deals will never and tax breaks, according to a significant gas supplier to
may count as recognition it would be if all these non- expensive and lengthy prop- happen, trapped forever in a presentation by Alaska China. But the game is really
that those days are in its binding agreements meta- osition, one reason a 2012 the Upside Down. Gasline Development, the just beginning.
past. —Justin Lahart morphose into real brick- study found the cost of the Chinese investors consid- U.S. partner on the deal. —Nathaniel Taplin
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B12 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
1
Ericsson, June 2016; Brookings Institute, July 2012; PGIM Real Estate, February 2017.
2
Data as of 6/30/17.
© 2017 Prudential Financial, Inc. (PFI) and its related entities. PGIM Inc. is the principal asset management business of PFI. PGIM is a trading name of PGIM Inc. and its global
subsidiaries. Prudential Financial, Inc. of the United States is not affiliated with Prudential plc, which is headquartered in the United Kingdom. The PGIM logo and the Rock design are
service marks of PFI and its related entities, registered in many jurisdictions worldwide.
Alpha indicates the performance, positive or negative, of an investment when compared against an appropriate standard, typically a group of investments known as a market index.
This information is not intended as investment advice and is not a recommendation about managing or investing assets. Investing is subject to investment risk, including the loss of the
principal amount invested.
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Follo
THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. The E w
© 2017 Dow Jones & Company. All Rights Reserved.
xperTuesday, November 14, 2017 | R1
An O ts
n
Conv line
e
DETA rsation
SQUARING OFF I LS , R2
Does Nuclear
Power Have a
Robust Future
In the U.S.?
Here’s one sign that nuclear energy has been struggling:
Operators shut down six reactors in recent years before
their licenses expired, and announced plans for several
other early closings, according to the Energy Department.
Reasons given include competition from natural gas, bur-
densome regulation and market structures. Only new state
subsidies can prevent more closings, plant operators have
said.
Still, nuclear plants produced almost 20% of total U.S.
electrical output in 2016, and 63% of carbon-free electric-
ity. Faced with global warming, many agree nuclear offers
the most efficient renewable alternative to carbon-based
fuels. Meanwhile, the Trump administration has promised
to help the industry with incentives and reduced regulation.
So, will nuclear lead the way, or won’t it?
certainly cheap right now, but most vertically dustry is in crisis—and the signs don’t look
YES integrated utilities don’t want to rely on a sin- NO good for it turning around. In the past five
gle fuel source, especially one with historically years, six reactors (at five plants) have been
It’s Competitive significant price swings.
There is also nothing fundamentally expen-
It Is Up Against closed, and operators have announced plans
to shut down several more. The list is likely to
INSIDE
Should the U.S. limit Do the states have a role Should governments Will electric vehicles Will new tariffs
exports of natural gas? in making climate require utilities to make replace gas-powered hurt the U.S. solar
R2 policy? the electric grid more ones? industry?
R3 stormproof? R5 R6
R4
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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R2 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
ability to secure bilateral fair-trade agree- only about 4% of total U.S. production. And to
YES ments. NFTA countries buying our natural gas NO achieve these levels, U.S. producers must re-
are often the same countries that subsidize main competitive in global markets—in other
Exports Raise Prices their manufacturers and apply import tariffs Increasing Exports words, domestic prices of natural gas have to
to prevent U.S. manufacturers from exporting remain relatively low.
In the U.S. and Hurt products into their country. Will Have a Positive Though it is true that increasing LNG ex-
Increasing LNG exports is damaging to the ports will push domestic prices up, the im-
Manufacturing economy when prices increase to global lev- Economic Impact pacts are modest. A 2015 Energy Department
els, undermining our manufacturing competi- study on the macroeconomic impact of in-
tiveness and jobs. Even a study sponsored by creasing LNG exports finds that LNG exports
BY PAUL CICIO BY ANNA MIKULSKA
the Energy Department to justify its export have a net positive impact on U.S. GDP. And
approvals concluded that increased LNG ex- U.S. industries reliant on natural gas grow un-
YEARS AGO, Congress de- ports resulted in higher natural-gas and elec- U.S. EXPORTS of liquefied der all LNG export scenarios, even if at a
cided that if natural gas tricity prices, decreased wages, capital and in- natural gas are on the way slightly lower rate.
were to be exported to non- direct tax income, and created negative to becoming a vital part of Indeed, the U.S. natural-gas abundance has
free-trade-agreement, or impacts to manufacturing competitiveness and global trade in natural gas. already had a profound impact on gas-intensive
NFTA, countries, it would jobs. Gas producers, exporters and sharehold- The Energy Information industries, and long-term investments are pro-
have to be in the public in- ers are the winners, and everyone else loses. Administration predicts ceeding in parallel with continuing construc-
terest. But it can’t possibly Australia shows what can happen when LNG exports will more than tion of LNG export capacity. The American
be in the public interest to LNG exporters reach full export potential. Ex- triple by 2025, driven by Chemistry Council estimated that shale devel-
export as much natural gas as the Energy De- porters in Australia contracted for so much of growing international demand, record U.S. opment as of July has triggered 310 chemical-
partment has approved for the next few de- its natural gas that prices increased threefold natural-gas production and added liquefaction industry projects (completed, started or pro-
cades: an amount roughly equal to two-thirds to levels equal to what foreign LNG buyers capacity. Demand for LNG is poised to grow jected). These projects are associated with an
of all of our domestic demand last year. were paying. Manufacturers’ competitiveness particularly in Asia, including China, Japan expected $185 billion in new capital invest-
Low-cost, plentiful natural gas has been a was severely damaged and jobs were affected. and other countries that don’t share a free- ment, 464,000 direct and indirect jobs, and $26
critical contributor to the U.S. economy for Exporting LNG isn’t a big job creator. The trade agreement with the U.S. billion in new tax revenue through 2025.
years. Inexpensive natural gas has played a U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics says that from Meanwhile, some U.S. politicians and manu- Critics might look at selective years and
major role in the revival of manufacturing in 2010 to 2016, the oil-and-gas industry created facturers have repeatedly asked the Energy narrow job descriptions to try to argue that
this country. The big increase in exports that only 22,600 direct jobs, while the manufactur- Department not to issue new approvals for LNG exports won’t contribute much to job
the gas industry and the Trump administra- ing sector created 820,000. Significant job LNG exports to the so-called NFTA countries. growth. But more than 61,000 jobs were cre-
tion want will pressure supplies and increase creation attributable to natural gas can only But the Trump administration is continuing ated in the extraction of oil and gas between
the price in the U.S., as buyers overseas bid up be achieved if the gas is consumed in the U.S. the Obama-era policy of embracing LNG ex- 2004 and 2017. And if one looks at Bureau of
prices—posing a significant long-term risk to If it is exported, the countries buying the gas ports as a way to stimulate the U.S. economy Labor Statistics for extraction, drilling and
the U.S. economy. Plus, gas resource estimates will get the job-creation benefits. and facilitate broader aims of U.S. diplomacy. support activities in the oil-and-gas industry,
are highly speculative and subject to signifi- Linking our biggest, most affordable energy And there are good reasons for doing so. more than 162,000 jobs were created between
cant economic and political risk long term. source more closely to international markets To start, the U.S. already exports many man- 2007 and 2012.
When Congress passed the Natural Gas Act, will mean increasing exposure of U.S. consumer ufactured goods, services, oil, refined products, If restrictions were imposed on LNG ex-
which says that the Energy Department can’t prices to global volatility, price shocks and chemicals and agricultural goods to NFTA ports, only a few domestic manufacturers
approve exports to NFTA countries without it speculative international trading. The Energy countries. There is no reason to treat LNG dif- would gain a small advantage, while the
being in the public interest, the message was Department should define public interest and ferently. Shipping LNG is a commercial trans- broader benefits to the rest of the economy
clear: The U.S. economy as a whole is a prior- complete an analysis of proposed LNG exports action, not a reward. If the U.S. doesn’t export would be lost. Restrictions would weaken the
ity over exports to NFTA countries. that includes long-term economic risk assess- its LNG, the NFTA countries will find other U.S. position in bilateral and multilateral trade
But last year, according to the Energy De- ment. Then it should cancel NFTA approvals suppliers, including Australia, Qatar, Russia, discussions and reduce any foreign-policy ben-
partment, some 56% of U.S. LNG exports were that aren’t in the public interest, and establish Mozambique and possibly even Iran. efit that could be derived from a growing U.S.
shipped to 13 NFTA countries. Such shipments a consumer safety valve to ensure that exports Advocates of limiting exports are concerned role in the global energy market.
don’t constitute fair trade, nor do they follow won’t impose economic harm on the U.S. about depleting domestic supply and trigger-
the president’s “America First” policy for U.S. ing an increase in domestic prices, to the det- Dr. Mikulska is a nonresident fellow in en-
manufacturers. Shipping our LNG to NFTA Mr. Cicio is president of the Industrial En- riment of U.S. manufacturing competitiveness. ergy studies at Rice University’s Baker Insti-
countries rewards them for not having free- ergy Consumers of America. He can be But even if exports were to grow to six times tute for Public Policy. She can be reached at
trade pacts with the U.S. and undermines our reached at reports@wsj.com. their 2016 levels by 2018, they will constitute reports@wsj.com.
200
Where It’s Used
Natural-gas consumption by sector in
100 the U.S., 2016
Electric
LINDSEY JANIES/BLOOMBERG NEWS
Commercial Other*
–200
*Lease and plant fuel consumption, pipeline and distribution,
’07 ’08 ’09 ’10 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 ’17 vehicle fuel
Source: Energy Information Administration THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Cheniere Energy’s terminal in Sabine Pass, Texas, began exporting liquefied natural gas last year.
highlights of what is likely to happen: two sets cally, it had already banned fracking, the tech-
YES of vehicle regulations, as we have now for NO nology that extracts the natural gas that now
electric vehicles and local air pollution, and keeps its lights on.
States Can Mitigate broad regional cap-and-trade systems to re- It Won’t Work—and Meanwhile, rather than rapidly developing
duce emissions from electricity generation and its own renewable resources, the state is lead-
Damage Done by the heavy industry, like the ones already in place This Isn’t the States’ ing a nationwide backlash against wind power:
among the nine states in the Northeast or the Vermont added no wind capacity during
Federal Government California-Quebec-Ontario market. Role, Anyway 2013-16. The issue featured prominently in last
There would likely be two vehicle standards November’s gubernatorial race, which saw an
because under the Clean Air Act, California anti-wind Republican beat a pro-wind Demo-
BY ARTHUR VAN BENTHEM BY OREN CASS
was granted a unique federal waiver to adopt crat by almost 10 points. And, just last month,
stricter-than-federal vehicle policies, an ac- state legislators approved strict noise limits
GIVEN THE STATE of af- knowledgment of the state’s severe smog MOST STATE-LEVEL ef- that will further limit development.
fairs in Washington, D.C., problems. Other states have a choice—follow forts to reduce greenhouse- Vermonters can confidently reject nuclear,
states should adopt their California or stick with the federal standard. gas emissions cannot help coal, gas and wind from the comfort of their
own policies to promote re- About a dozen states, representing some 40% being incoherent and inef- warm and well-lit homes because shirking re-
newable energy and limit of the U.S. population, have followed Califor- fective. Consider Vermont, sponsibility for their energy supply has few
the emissions of green- nia’s lead on tailpipe emissions and electric- which has established a so- consequences. They can draw electricity from
house gases. car regulations that exceed federal standards. called renewable portfolio a regional power grid and import energy-in-
Ambitious governments On fuel economy, when California set a standard requiring the use tensive goods by exhaust-belching truck. Their
in China, Europe and elsewhere are ramping tougher standard and 14 states followed, it led of 75% renewable energy by 2032. That may 75%-renewable goal presumes the availability
up pressure on their companies to become to an agreement among the Obama adminis- be a laudable aspiration, but it ignores how of someone else’s nonrenewable plants to keep
world leaders in green energy, electric vehi- tration, states and auto makers on stricter energy markets work. the lights on when the wind isn’t blowing and
cles and low-carbon technologies, in an effort federal standards. In exchange, California Vermont recently shut its emissions-free the sun isn’t shining. Those plants will be op-
to seize the golden opportunity that comes abandoned its own rule. The same could hap- nuclear power plant, which accounted for the erating affordably only if other states remain
with the rise of the global green-tech market. pen with regional cap-and-trade systems, majority of the state’s electricity generation. committed to a conventional grid.
Meanwhile, the U.S. federal government is which could be linked or subsumed under a Without renewable capacity to fill the result- But Vermont is not alone. Twenty-nine
backing away from those same policies, reject- federal trading system if they spur demand for ing hole, the state began importing more elec- states have renewable portfolio standards, and
ing the Paris accord and hitting the brakes on a uniform approach. The governors of Califor- tricity from other states, generated primarily lawmakers in both Massachusetts and Califor-
fuel-economy rules and efforts to reduce car- Please see CLIMATE YES page R4 with emissions-producing natural gas. Ironi- nia have recently proposed 100%-renewable
bon emissions under the Obama administra- mandates. If everyone tries to reach their
tion’s Clean Power Plan. goals, and more states feel compelled to join
Several states, spearheaded by the gover- State Action and out-green each other, the grid will fall
nors of California, New York and Washington, Energy legislation introduced and enacted/adopted by the 50 states and D.C. in 2016 apart.
have pledged to fill the void in leadership by This is not only irresponsible, but also fails
adopting their own strict climate policies. In Introduced Enacted/adopted to address climate change. Since nationwide
principle, having a single federal policy is carbon-dioxide emissions peaked in 2007,
cheaper for industry and less prone to unin- Renewables 254 673 states with renewable portfolio standards
tended consequences. But an unwieldy patch- have achieved smaller reductions, on average,
work of 50 different state policies is an ex- Efficiency 107 321 than states without them. And even significant
tremely unlikely outcome of state initiatives. state-level achievements would mean little.
Much more likely, state efforts will eventu- Transportation 111 267 The Obama administration acknowledged that
ally spur demand for strict federal policies, its Clean Power Plan for cutting emissions in
and operate at a regional level in the mean- every state would not have meaningfully af-
Security 74 221
time. But they also could be short-circuited if fected global temperatures.
the Clean Power Plan is replaced with weak The reality of climate change is that the
federal regulation of carbon emissions that Climate 95 213 overwhelming majority of future greenhouse-
would preclude stricter state rules, or if the gas emissions will come from the developing
waiver that allows California to set vehicle Fossil fuels 101 188 world. American emissions cuts are justified
standards that are tougher than federal regu- primarily as a means of showing leadership.
lations isn’t extended. Grid/transmission 42 142 But the symbolic actions of former Vermont
It is imperative that states be allowed to Gov. Pete Shumlin and his colleagues are not
proceed unhindered. If they are, here are the Source: National Conference of State Legislatures THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Please see CLIMATE NO page R4
Given the benefits of distributed renewable days to 93% of the 7.8 million customers who
YES power, we have to think outside the box and NO lost power. Additional investments in grid re-
expand our vision and expectations of electric silience are under way as well.
Utilities Must Go utilities. If we stay with the same old assump- Government and All of this progress has occurred within the
tions and keep trying the same old tactics, we context of the extensive state and federal reg-
Beyond ‘Hardening’ will increase grid vulnerabilities. Investing in Utilities Must Keep ulations that already exist. State public utility
innovations that accelerate more distributed commissions decide whether to approve the
The Current Grid renewable generation is critical to storm- Working Together infrastructure investments proposed by elec-
proofing the grid for the future. tric companies, and determine the rates com-
A grid designed for distributed renewable panies can charge customers to pay for such
BY JENNIE C. STEPHENS BY PAUL STOCKTON
power is inherently more resilient to storms investments. At the federal level, the electric-
than the current grid system. Renewable gen- power industry also must comply with manda-
AS CLIMATE change accel- eration is modular and flexible, and when cou- ELECTRICITY companies tory reliability standards.
erates, extreme weather pled with the potential of islanding technology are already making a huge Other types of government initiatives are
events are becoming more and microgrids, when destructive storms do effort to bolster their infra- essential to combat climate change and the
frequent and more destruc- damage, the grid’s modularity allows for fast, structure. They don’t need challenges it creates. The electric-power in-
tive. Our existing grid in- segmented recovery. More distributed renew- more regulation. Instead, dustry has reduced greenhouse-gas emissions,
frastructure is ill-prepared able generation builds backups into the sys- industry and government and has cut CO2 emissions by nearly 25% from
for this, and state public tem. It creates networked redundancy, spread- leaders need to build con- 2005 to 2016. Government policies should sup-
utility commissions aren’t ing out risks and reducing the potential for sensus on how best to pre- port additional measures.
adequately promoting sufficient grid resilience cascading failures. pare for the storms to come and on how the But electricity companies already are rap-
investment for the public good. The tragedy in Puerto Rico, where Hurri- utilities should recover the costs of those in- idly incorporating clean energy into the power
More regulation is needed to ensure that as cane Maria effectively destroyed the grid, is vestments. mix. At the end of 2016, more than 70% of so-
utility companies stormproof their grids, they an opportunity to rebuild with distributed re- Resilience spending by utilities is massive lar generation and nearly all wind generation
are innovating for the good of society, and not newable design. After disruption, rather than and on the rise. In 2016 alone, the electric- was installed by electricity companies. They
just maximizing shareholder returns. recovering by reinstalling the same technol- power industry spent more than $52 billion on don’t need government rules to prod them—
Current efforts to stormproof the grid are ogy, regulators should require utilities to be modernizing and strengthening the grid. they are already leading the way. What is
inadequate because they focus too much on prepared to upgrade and innovate. These investments have doubled in the past needed is a fair way to apportion the costs of
“hardening” the current grid and restoring Requiring utilities to make grids more resil- decade. Moreover, in close coordination with maintaining the energy grid for all customers
power rather than investing in innovations that ient by adopting more distributed, renewable federal and state regulators, electricity compa- linked to it, including those who rely on solar,
would prevent power outages in the first place. energy is not easy, but regulatory change is es- nies focus this spending on especially cost-ef- wind and other intermittent sources of power.
Stormproofing the grid is conventionally sential. Consider solar panels, which can con- fective improvements. Distributed and renewable generation, how-
thought to include putting some transmission tinue to provide power to buildings on which Burying some lines and other infrastructure ever, will only help stormproofing if those tech-
and distribution lines underground, expanding they are installed, even if other lines are down. helped protect electrical systems in Irma and nologies are engineered to survive catastrophic
efforts to prune trees close to poles and wires, Many utilities still aggressively resist distrib- other recent hurricanes. More electricity com- weather events. In some regions, those ap-
and reinforcing or replacing towers and poles uted solar developments. Regulators need to panies are hardening their systems by replac- proaches make sense. Elsewhere, hardening tra-
with stronger, steel structures. Smart-grid in- take a stronger stand in requiring utilities to ing wood poles with steel or concrete ones. ditional infrastructure, and building redundant
vestments, too, have helped utilities minimize accelerate distributed renewable power. Florida Power & Light has been replacing old power feeds that can rapidly restore power,
the duration of power outages by helping to lo- We are losing precious time. The longer we poles with more hurricane-resistant ones at will offer more cost-effective options.
cate and restore power more quickly. tell ourselves that existing public utility com- the pace of 16,000 a year. New regulation to stormproof the grid is
But utilities must do more. They must be missions’ plans and regulations are sufficient, No protection is perfect, however, which is unnecessary in either case, and no substitute
required to make additional smart-grid invest- and that electric utilities are already ade- why a big part of the resiliency effort is also for the cooperative efforts between regulators
ments that encourage households and build- quately stormproofing the grid, the more focused on strengthening the utilities’ ability and the power industry already happening.
ings to be self-sufficient and “island” during harm will come to our communities. to quickly respond and restore power when
a storm so that when the centralized grid is outages do occur. Electricity companies na- Dr. Stockton is managing director of the
damaged (which inevitably will happen no Dr. Stephens is the dean’s professor of sus- tionwide, for example, are investing in smart- economic and security advisory firm
matter what degree of hardening takes places) tainability science and policy at Northeast- grid technologies that enable them to locate Sonecon LLC. His clients include the Edison
power outages are minimized. And the best ern University, associate director of North- and repair storm-induced damage faster. Electric Institute. He was formerly the assis-
way to do this is for regulators to require util- eastern’s Global Resilience Institute, and co- Such investments paid major dividends tant secretary of defense for homeland de-
ities to install more distributed renewable en- author of “Smart Grid (R)Evolution: Electric during recent storms. Companies affected by fense and Americas’ security affairs. He can
ergy throughout the grid. Power Struggles.” Email: reports@wsj.com. Hurricane Irma restored electricity within six be reached at reports@wsj.com.
20
2,500 Vehicle accident 12% 483
5
500
Overdemand 0.1% 3
0 0
2012 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 2012 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16
Unknown 21% 818
Source: Eaton Blackout Tracker THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. Hurricane Irma cut power to nearly two-thirds of Florida electricity customers in September.
The U.S. is at serious risk of losing its dom- their empty political gestures to ones that
inant position in this multitrillion-dollar and damage neither the nation’s energy markets
fast-growing market. For China and Europe, nor its foreign policy.
this is an unprecedented opportunity to run
away with valuable patents, jobs and export Mr. Cass is a senior fellow at the Manhat-
markets. tan Institute for Policy Research. He can be
Just like our competitors, we need a sup- Jerry Brown of California is one of several governors pushing climate policies as the feds back off. reached at reports@wsj.com.
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
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THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. NY Tuesday, November 14, 2017 | R5
Nawar Alsaadi
Seba, an au-
thor and en-
trepreneur;
formance in cold/hot weather,
charging time and charging in-
frastructure. Having said that,
Equity investment totals have
Kate Gordon, senior adviser at electric cars could and will
the Paulson Institute, a think
tank focused on U.S.-China rela-
gain 5% to 15% market share in
the 2030s, mainly due to regu-
reached $66 trillion worldwide.
tions and sustainable economic lation, aspirational sales, inno-
growth; and Nawar Alsaadi, an vation, and improvements in
author and principal at invest- cost and performance.
ment-advisory firm Semper Au- Internal-combustion-car In the U.S. alone, equity markets have grown more than 180%
gustus Capital. Here are edited manufacturers are not ignoring since 2009. With that much at stake – for individuals as well as
excerpts. the threat. Innovation in fuel institutions – mutual funds, retirement funds and endowment
efficiency and reduced pollu-
What’s next and when? tion continue, enhancing inter- funds need a way to manage the risks of stock market fluctuations.
WSJ: Tony, how soon do you nal combustion’s appeal and CME Group gives investment professionals the tools they need to
think electric vehicles will re- longevity, as well as extending
address market exposure. This is how the financial industry can
place gas and diesel ones? the yardstick electric vehicles
MR. SEBA: By 2030, 95% of U.S. must beat. I don’t see electric offer investors the right balance between risk and reward. This is
automobile miles traveled will vehicles replacing internal- how the world advances. Learn more at cmegroup.com/finance.
be in on-demand, autonomous combustion cars under any
electric-vehicle fleets, in a new reasonable time frame. How-
business model called trans- ever, the future is infinite, and
port as a service. such switching may very well
This disruption isn’t going take place beyond the 2050
to be one where individuals time horizon.
simply trade in their gasoline MS. GORDON: I am all in favor
or diesel vehicles for electric of electric vehicles, and I do
vehicles. Both gasoline/diesel believe that their market is go-
vehicles and the individual ing to grow exponentially, es-
ownership of automobiles will pecially with China and India
be disrupted. By 2030, 60% of putting in new electric-vehicle
light-duty vehicles are ex- mandates and incentives, and
pected to be owned by fleets driving down the costs dra-
that provide transport-as-a- matically as a result.
service—think electric, autono- However, replacing the cur-
mous versions of Uber, Lyft or rent vehicle fleet with an elec-
Didi—and only 40% to be indi- tric-vehicle fleet—even if fewer
vidually owned. However, since people are driving, as Tony
fleet vehicles will drive notes—is in large part a matter
100,000 miles a year apiece, of individual owner economics.
they will contribute 95% of the The majority of Americans
total miles driven in the U.S., drive the cars they can afford,
while individuals will only con- and “affordability” is about up-
tribute 5% of the miles. Also, front cost, not cost over the
the total number of vehicles in period of ownership.
the U.S. will shrink by 80%, be- Americans are actually hold-
cause individuals will stop buy- ing on to their cars longer
ing cars for themselves and opt since the 2008 recession; in
for these services instead. fact, the share of cars 11 to 20
The day autonomous vehi- years old in the U.S. vehicle
cles are approved, the per-mile fleet increased by 33% between
cost of autonomous electric ve- 2008 and 2012. Those with
hicles will be one-tenth that of older cars often just let them
a new car, because electric ve- run down, and then buy from a
hicles last 500,000 miles and neighbor or friend.
are being designed to last at The secondhand market will
least 1 million miles. The cost increasingly include hybrids
of operating autonomous elec- and more-efficient cars, thanks
tric vehicles will be as little as to fuel-economy standards, and
one-quarter that of even a we’ll see the fleet slowly be-
paid-off gasoline car. come more efficient and more
MR. ALSAADI: It is noteworthy electric. But this won’t be a sea
that autonomous electric vehi- change—especially in low-in-
cles are required for electric come rural areas, where people
vehicles to dominate. This are most dependent on their
speaks to the fact that the cur- vehicles today.
rent generation of electric ve- We don’t have a “free-mar-
hicles can’t compete with in- ket dynamic”—we have a world
ternal-combustion vehicles in which countries with impres-
unless they are integrated with sive economic and market
a new business model. The power, like China, have ac-
technology to offer such a knowledged climate change and
transportation model remains are mandating EV sales as a re-
experimental; the financial via- sult. China combines that policy
bility of such a business model, push with the ability to manu-
assuming the technology ma- facture at speed and scale.
tures, has yet to be proved; and China’s policy will push this
the cultural acceptance of such transition faster than it would
a transportation model re- have otherwise happened.
mains questionable.
The biggest obstacle for Policy Role
electric vehicles’ wide adop- WSJ: Kate, how soon do you
tion is their failure to address think before we see electric ve-
an actual problem from the hicles replacing gas and diesel
driver’s point of view. Electric vehicles?
vehicles have less range, lower MS. GORDON: I think electric ve-
residual value, higher cost— hicles will replace internal-com-
and this includes fuel cost— bustion vehicles as new-vehicle
slow charging time, and are sales by maybe 2030. I think
adversely impacted by cold or the entire turnover of the fleet
hot weather, among other is- won’t happen for at least an-
sues. In 1917, electric vehicles other 10 years. Both will take
represented 38% of the U.S. car significant policy action, includ- CME Group is a trademark of CME Group Inc. The Globe logo is a trademark of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. All other trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
fleet; there is a reason why ing regulation, which will be Copyright © 2017 CME Group. All rights reserved.
they are at 1% today. Internal- subject to political whims.
combustion cars offer a more- MR. SEBA: Analysts today make
viable transportation option. the same mistake that experts
For personal non-commercial use only. Do not edit or alter. Reproductions not permitted.
To reprint or license content, please contact our reprints and licensing department at +1 800-843-0008 or www.djreprints.com
R6 | Tuesday, November 14, 2017 THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.
Between 2010, before tariffs were imposed, U.S. from becoming totally dependent on im-
YES and 2017, the U.S. share of global production NO ports to generate solar energy as this renew-
of crystalline solar cells and modules, never able fuel assumes a more important role in the
They Could Impede large, actually has fallen, to 0.8% from 2.2% They Level the country’s overall energy supply.
for cells and to 1.7% from 2.1% for modules, Keep in mind that increased tariffs
Demand and Bring according to data-analysis firm IHS Markit. Playing Field and Aid wouldn’t be permanent: Under U.S. law, relief
The U.S. share of global polysilicon output has can be provided for up to four years, with a
Retaliatory Tariffs plummeted, to 11.3% from 29.1%. U.S. Manufacturers possible extension for another four years, but
Raising the tariffs could do more harm than whatever relief is granted must be phased out
good. It could prod some foreign cell and over time according to a preset schedule.
BY JEFFREY BALL BY TERENCE P. STEWART
module makers to open U.S. plants. But it While increasing tariffs on imports of solar
could squeeze U.S. makers of other solar prod- cells and modules might reduce consumption
SOLAR POWER is undergo- ucts—by inducing other countries to impose THE U.S. SOLAR industry is somewhat in the U.S. from what might occur
ing a stunning revolution, retaliatory tariffs and, more fundamentally, by in deep trouble, plagued by absent tariff relief, concerns on this score are
plummeting in price and raising solar-power prices for U.S. consumers, plant closings and bank- almost certainly overblown.
surging in popularity. That impeding U.S. solar demand. That could crimp ruptcies that have sharply First, modules are a small part of the total
price drop is due partly to both the sizable U.S. solar-installation indus- reduced manufacturing ca- cost of a solar installation. A Deutsche Bank
technology, partly to gov- try and a promising clean-energy source. pacity. Without additional Markets Research paper estimates modules at
ernment subsidies and U.S. solar policy shouldn’t seek to prop up meaningful tariffs on im- 12% of total installation costs. That means even
mostly to the efficiencies of domestic manufacturing that wouldn’t be via- ports of solar cells and hefty duties would have a relatively modest ef-
globalization. The surest way to encourage so- ble without tariffs. It should seek to make so- modules, solar manufacturing is in danger of fect on the overall cost of solar power. Second,
lar’s global growth is to let that globalization lar power—which has enjoyed juicy subsi- disappearing entirely in the U.S. That would overall costs continue to fall, so that even with
proceed—not to block it with tariffs. dies—cost-efficient for the U.S. and the world. undermine the country’s energy security and high tariffs on solar cells and modules, total
Tariffs already have hurt solar in the U.S., A Stanford University study of the global technological leadership, and eliminate jobs in costs likely would remain below 2016 levels—a
and more tariffs would do more damage. solar industry that I led concluded earlier this the industry itself and far beyond it. year with the strongest growth in solar demand
The U.S. government has ruled repeatedly year that the U.S. can be a competitive solar If significant new tariffs are adopted, a host and installation in the U.S. At those prices, solar
that China’s solar manufacturers are selling manufacturer—but only in certain segments of of benefits can be expected. First, solar cell would remain competitive against alternatives
products in the U.S. at prices so low—made the industry that leverage U.S. comparative and module manufacturers, and their suppliers, like natural gas, which has seen a big increase
possible by government subsidies so high— strengths, and assuming a still-prominent Chi- in the U.S. will revive, given the ability to once in spot prices over the past two years.
that they violate trade rules. So, as global so- nese manufacturing role. Those areas include again sell their products at prices above costs. The danger that higher tariffs on solar cells
lar costs tumble, driven largely by manufac- products for U.S. use that are big or heavy, Foreign makers of solar cells and modules and modules would prompt additional retalia-
turing scale in China, the U.S. has built a tariff making them expensive to import; products are also likely to set up manufacturing plants tory Chinese tariffs on imports from the U.S.
wall against Chinese solar imports. for export that are energy-intensive to make in the U.S. if the tariff is high enough to make of the polysilicon that cells are made from is
Now the Trump administration is set to de- and thus benefit from cheap U.S. natural gas; production in this country economical for no reason not to proceed. The appropriate re-
cide whether to slap new tariffs on crystalline and the initial production of innovative new them, creating many new jobs here. And solar sponse to any Chinese action that violates in-
solar cells and modules imported from products that leverage U.S. R&D excellence. manufacturers in the U.S. will once again be ternational trade agreements is a legal chal-
China—this time because U.S. trade officials Some contend foreign solar manufacturing able to make significant investments in re- lenge. Not acting because of such a threat is
have concluded Chinese competition is signifi- imperils U.S. energy security. They’d do better search and development—something an indus- simply letting a bully prevail.
cantly harming U.S. manufacturers. Though it with this surgical strategy for an economically try in survival mode can’t do. The idea that economic efficiency dictates
might seem politically expedient to pile on sustainable U.S. solar industry than with the The benefits wouldn’t be limited to the so- that the production of solar cells and modules
more protectionist bricks, the economically blunt hammer of tariffs. Solar, now only about lar industry and its workers. A healthier, grow- should be left to China is similarly flawed.
smart—and environmentally preferable—deci- 1.5% of global electricity, will need deeper cost ing solar industry would increase tax revenue Chinese producers are lower-cost only because
sion would be to tear down the wall. cuts to become a truly meaningful energy for local and state governments as well as the of massive state involvement. Given a level
Whether the tariffs are justified is a legal source. Tariffs don’t make solar cheaper. It’s U.S. Treasury. It would also bring increased playing field, the U.S. should be able to com-
question. But their practical effect is clear. time for a smarter solar strategy. sales of goods and services of all kinds to the pete across the board in solar energy. Tariffs
They’ve eroded U.S. solar manufacturing communities where manufacturing facilities are one way to level the playing field.
where it used to be globally competitive: the Mr. Ball is scholar-in-residence at Stanford are located, as solar workers spend their
production of polysilicon, the building block University’s Steyer-Taylor Center for Energy wages, and reduce costs to governments for Mr. Stewart is managing partner of the
for solar cells. That’s because China, in re- Policy and Finance, and the former environ- benefits and services for the unemployed. Stewart & Stewart law offices in Washing-
sponse to the U.S. tariffs on Chinese cells and ment editor of The Wall Street Journal. He Moreover, a viable domestic solar cell and ton, D.C., with 38 years of experience in
modules, imposed tariffs on U.S. polysilicon. can be reached at reports@wsj.com. module manufacturing sector would keep the trade cases. Email him at reports@wsj.com.
U.S.
9 Australia 5.8 9 Australia 13.6
10 Spain 5.5 10 South Korea 12.1
0 10 20 30 40 50 60
Source: International Energy Agency, Trends 2016 in Photovoltaic Note: Projections for 2021 are based on the middle of three scenarios. A robot helps produce solar panels in a SolarWorld Americas factory in Hillsboro, Ore. The
Applications; RTS Corp. Source: SolarPower Europe THE WALL STREET JOURNAL. company recently petitioned U.S. trade officials for tariffs on imported panels.
EVs
the market, it’s disruption by be cautious about the gospel of dergo a faster disruption than
pro-electric-vehicle regulation, forever-lower battery prices. cars. While many people asso- Power Drive
since regulation is forcing Potential bottlenecks are also ciate trucking with long dis- The number of electric cars Electric cars by country, 2016
Continued from page R5 electric vehicles on consumers appearing in regards to bat- tance, more than half the world-wide (2 million total)
the electric vehicles will be at a great cost to taxpayers. tery components, such as freight in the U.S. is driven
cheaper to buy, more powerful, I am not sure why it’s as- Volkswagen’s failure to secure less than 100 miles, and 71% 1,400 thousand
China 32%
80% to 90% cheaper to fuel, sumed that a transport-as-a- sufficient cobalt supply for travels less than 250 miles.
and 90% cheaper to maintain. service fleet will be electric. their electric-vehicle plans. Electric trucks with 100- 1,200 U.S. 28
Electric vehicles will continue Car 2 Go, one of the most suc- These issues may be re- mile range are approaching the
to drop in cost so that by 2025 cessful car-sharing services in solved or addressed at some upfront purchase price of their Battery Japan 8
1,000 electric
all new vehicles will be elec- North America, eliminated point, but they could slow or internal-combustion-engine vehicles Norway 7
tric. This is a slower disrup- many electric cars from its reverse low battery-price tra- peers. Given the order-of-mag- 800
tion because it’s a 1 to 1 substi- fleet in 2016 due to a number jectory for some time. nitude savings in energy (and Plug-in Netherlands 6
tution of the existing car fleet. of issues, including lack of in- MR. SEBA: Battery costs have maintenance) of electric trucks hybrids
600
No. 2: The replacement of frastructure. been dropping faster than vs. internal-combustion-engine U.K. 4
car ownership by transport as Regulation in countries such most analysts expected. Lith- trucks, these savings alone
a service—individuals stop as China will have a meaning- ium costs have more than dou- would justify a wholesale con- 400 France 4
buying new cars altogether, ful impact on electric-vehicle bled, but lithium-ion battery version of fleets. The electric- 9.4 Germany 4
both electric vehicles and in- adoption. Chinese electric-ve- costs have still dropped by truck disruption of internal- 200
ternal combustion. In cost and hicle incentives have been sub- about 20% a year since 2010, combustion-engine trucks will 0.04 Canada 1
value, transport as a service is ject to widespread abuse, thus an even faster rate than be- start sooner and have a faster 0
dramatically better, leading to forcing the country to cut elec- fore. Cobalt may become a bot- adoption curve than the main- 2010 ’11 ’12 ’13 ’14 ’15 ’16 Other 7
a much faster disruption. tric-vehicle subsidies, which tleneck for those whose bat- stream anticipates.
There are much more powerful have had a notable impact on teries use cobalt. But 80% of MS. GORDON: The point isn’t
feedback loops here, and much the electric-vehicle sales China’s EV batteries use no co- that electric vehicles are/can A Place to Plug In
greater gains for individuals growth rate in 2017. balt. And those who do use co- be stronger and more effec- Publicly available charging stations by country, 2016
and society that will accelerate balt are learning to use it more tive. It’s that there’s a cultural
it. All these will cause policy WSJ: Nawar, We’ve seen efficiently. The increase in in- bias that plays into car owner- Public slow chargers Public fast chargers
makers to enact new legisla- steady improvement in battery vestments, R&D, learning ship. People don’t always make (212,000 outlets total) (110,000 outlets total)
tion that will accelerate the costs and electric-vehicle curve, economies of scale, and ownership decisions rationally.
disruption. range. Does your timeline de- so on will bring the cost of I agree partially about China 25%
MR. ALSAADI: I have certainly pend on those improvements batteries dramatically down. larger vehicles. Fleet vehicles
seen pro-electric-vehicle ana- slowing or coming to an end? MS. GORDON: Tony, how do you will transition sooner because U.S. 17 China
lysts mention smartphones as a MR. ALSAADI: I am taking into deal with culture? The best- they’re under the control of a Netherlands 12 81%
template for electric-vehicle account the potential decline selling vehicle in the world is single owner, usually turned
growth, yet I don’t see how this in battery cost. I am also as- the Ford F150 truck; it has over quickly and go short dis- Japan 8
is applicable to electric vehi- suming this will be offset to a been the best-selling in Amer- tances. I’m less confident
cles. Smartphones delivered a large extent by subsidy elimi- ica for years. about heavy-duty trucks, Germany 8
superior product with more nation. As for electric-vehicle MR. SEBA: Electric vehicles are which may go to hydrogen or
France 7
functionality at a higher price range, I do see improvement. far more powerful than inter- another technology rather 9%
point to existing Nokia phones However, internal-combustion nal-combustion-engine vehi- than electric because of bat- U.K. 5
at the time. Electric cars are of- cars’ efficiency will also im- cles (while being far cheaper tery size/weight issues.
fering an inferior product at a prove during the same time to maintain and fuel). When- Norway 3 Other Japan | 5% U.S. | 5%
superior price point. This is a frame, thus undermining to ever the market delivers an Mr. Totty, a former news
Canada 2
surefire formula for failure once some extent cheaper electric- electric competitor to the editor for The Journal Report Source: International Energy Agency,
subsidies are removed. ity refueling cost. F-150, it will disrupt that mar- in San Francisco, can be Global EV Outlook 2017
Other 13
If there is any disruption in Finally, I think we need to ket. Trucking will likely un- reached at reports@wsj.com. THE WALL STREET JOURNAL.