Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS
MGCR 382, Winter 2017
Assignment #1
REMARKS
● This is a group assignment. You have been assigned to a group and the groups are binding. Any
group change requires explicit permission.
● Answer all the problems in the space provided. Clearly show your work and reasoning, and
encircle your final answer.
● No information can be exchanged between members of different groups.
● The due date is February 15, 4PM at Darlene Fowler’s office in Bronfman 454.
● Assignment is to be submitted in print form. No electronic submissions accepted.
● Late submissions will not be accepted.
● Round answers to 2 decimal places.
a) Graph the production possibilities for Spain and Portugal for their production of grapes and leather
footwear (2 POINTS)
The line at the top represents Spain and the line at the bottom represents Portugal
MGCR 382 Assignment #1
b) Which country has the comparative advantage in grapes? In leather footwear? (1 POINTS)
Spain is 17/11 (1.54) times better than Portugal in producing grapes but only 5/4 (1.25) times
better in leather footwear production. Portugal is only 11/17 (0.65 ) times as good as Spain in
producing grapes and 4/5 times (0.8)as good in leather footwear production.
Therefore:
Comparative advantage in grapes: Spain
Comparative advantage in leather footwear: P
ortugal
c) What is the range of possible exchange rates? Provide the ranges in both grapes/footwear and
footwear/grapes. (2 POINTS)
a) A forecast predicts a 5% CND depreciation. What is the value of the exchange rate that this
individual is predicting? (2 POINTS)
- 0.05 = ( X - 0.15) / 0.15
Solve for X
b) Another forecast is predicting a 12% SEK appreciation. What is the value of the exchange rate that this
individual is predicting? (2 POINTS)
Solve for X
c) Do the forecasters in a) and b) agree or disagree with each other? Explain. (1 POINTS)
The forecasts in a) and b) disagree on the amount change in the exchange rate. However, they
agree with each other on the direction of the forecast because a depreciation in the CAD in
comparison to the SEK means that for each canadian dollar, you will get less swedish krona.
This is equivalent to an appreciation in the SEK, which means that you will be able to purchase
1CAD for less swedish krona.
MGCR 382 Assignment #1
a) Determine the implied BRL/1 £ cross rate. (4 POINTS)
£/ 1 BRL = 1.17 £/1 € ÷ 3.36 BRL/1 € = 0.348 £/ BRL
b) Suppose that the Real to pound exchange rate were 3.19 BRL/1 £. Is there any arbitrage opportunity?
Explain. (2 POINTS)
Yes, since the currency rates do not match. A dealer is offering a 2 .87 BRL/1 £ as opposed to the
rate of 3.19 BRL/1 £ which is superior. Someone holding Real currency can exchange their money into
euros, and then exchange their euros into pounds to then change it back to BRL at a higher exchange
rate which would result in a profit.
c) Assume you have 1000 BRL. What is your profit in BRL? (4 POINTS)
Exchange 1000 BRL for 297.62 1 € at a rate of 3.36BRL/1 €
Exchange 297.62 € into 348.22 £ at a rate of 1.17£/1 €
Exchange 348.22 £ for 1110.82 BRL at a rate of 3.19BRL/£
a) How many Australian Dollars will you need to buy 100 USD? (2 POINTS)
133 AUD (1.33 AUD/USD *100 USD)
b) How many Euros will you need to sell to get 200 Australian Dollars? (2 POINTS)
200 AUD/ (1.41 AUD/EUR) = 141.84 EUR
c) How many USD will you receive if you sell 50 Australian Dollars? (2 POINTS)
50 AUD/(1.3 AUD/USD) = 38.46 USD
d) How many Australian Dollars will you need to buy 1000 Euros? (2 POINTS)
(1.43 AUD/EUR * 1000 EUR)= 1430 AUD
e) How many USD will you need to buy 75 Australian Dollars? (2 POINTS)
75 AUD / (1.33 AUD/USD)= 56.39 USD
MGCR 382 Assignment #1
Is covered interest arbitrage worthwhile? If so, calculate the profit after one year assuming that you
have 500,000 Yuan.
500 000 Yuan invested at one-year interest rate of 2.58% which will give me 512,900 Yuan (500 000 *
1.0258)
Convert 500, 000 Yuan at spot rate into 8 264 600 Yen. After that, invest at the one year yen rate of
2.85% which will give me 8 500 141.1 Yen after one year ( 8 264 600 * 1.0285)
Exchange 8 500 141.1 Yen into Yuan using the one-year forward exchange rate. This will result in 561
369.26 Yuan.
Arbitrage profit= 561 369.26 - 512, 900 = 48, 469.26 Yuan
The interest arbitrage is worthwhile because it generates a risk-free profit, since the exchange rate will
not fluctuate thanks to the forward exchange rate.
MGCR 382 Assignment #1
Canada and the EU are currently negotiating a trade deal which would reduce tariffs significantly.
What are the implications for Canadian companies? What are the implications for Canadian
consumers? Why would regions have potentially wanted to block the deal? How could this deal affect
Belgium? Italy? (Please include your sources)
The trade deal currently being negotiated between Canada and the EU is the Comprehensive
Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA), which aims to “open new markets in the EU for our exporters
and generate significant benefits for all Canadians” (Justin Trudeau, 2016) . According to the
government of Canada, once CETA is fully implemented “98 percent of EU tariff lines will be duty-free
for Canadian goods, and an additional one percent will be eliminated over a seven-year phase out
period. Tariff elimination will provide enhanced export opportunities into the EU market for Canadian
producers, processors, and manufacturers, as well as for agricultural and agri-food products, fish and
seafood, forestry goods, and the full range of industrial goods ” ( Government of Canada, 2016).
Therefore, Canadian companies will be able to reach a larger customer base in order to sell their
products.
The implications of reducing tariffs significantly between the EU and Canada for Canadian
companies is highly dependent on the industry, as well as consumer demand for that particular good in
both Europe and Canada. If Canadian demand for European goods is high, Canada would import more
European goods, thus threatening Canadian companies which will now face competition from European
companies. The increase of competition due to the increase of imports in Canada could be detrimental
to Canadian companies, as they would have to lower their prices or change their competitive positioning
in order to be able to compete. Conversely, Canadian companies would benefit from this negotiation if
demand for Canadian products in Europe is high, as Canadian companies would then export more and
see an increase in revenues. In other words, many trading opportunities could arise. For example, Italy
does not produce (important quantities of) petroleum, but Canada does. Therefore, Italy could be highly
interested in importing its oil from Canada, especially if tariffs are significantly reduced by the
agreement.
The potential increase in net exports would result in increased expenditure on Canadian goods,
causing the aggregate expenditure function to shift upwards. This would result in an increase in the
equilibrium level of Canada’s GDP. According to Conference Board of Canada research, with the
agreement in place it is estimated that by 2023 the elimination of tariffs will cause a rise in exports of
$1.4 billion, as indicated by the chart in the appendix (Goldfarb, 2016). Also, if Europeans were to
consume more Canadian goods, that could affect the exchange rate since the Canadian dollar’s value
would increase, holding all other factors constant
For Canadian consumers, CETA would likely provide higher quality goods, lower prices, and a
greater variety of goods available. Commonly imported European goods such as wine, cheese, and cars
will become more affordable to Canadians with the presence of CETA. Additionally, a joint Canada-EU
study indicates that CETA would not only increase bilateral trade and Canada’s income by a projected
$12 billion annually, but provide economic growth equivalent to creating almost 80,000 new jobs (CTV
news, 2016 ).
Some regions have wanted to potentially block the deal in order to protect their local businesses
in fear that the reduction of tariffs will reduce barriers to entries, therefore allowing foreign companies
to expand to their region and overrun their local/ “infant” industries. “ Some regions in Belgium have
expressed concern that CETA will weaken environmental, consumer, as well as labor regulations” (The
Globe and Mail, 2016) . Additionally, Belgian farmers fear competition from Canadian dairy products
that would arise from the agreement. Italy exports many of their local goods to Canada, with 13,147
Italian companies exporting to Canada (European Commission, 2016). Italy will benefit from the
agreement as they will be able to more easily export local goods such as textiles, produce, and and
furniture.
To summarize, this agreement has potential pros and cons for both parties. However, there are
many other factors to consider such as transportation costs (Canada and Europe are geographically far
apart, so even after considering the reduction of tariffs provided by this agreement, Canadian or EU
companies might still be reluctant to trade due to higher transportation costs than if they were to trade
with countries geographically closer to them) and exchange rates (once again, even after considering the
reduction of tariffs implied by this agreement, some Canadian or EU companies might be more tempted
trade with other countries that would offer them a more profitable exchange rate).
Appendix
Work Cited
Service, W. (2016, October 19). Belgium's Wallonia region rejects deadline to sign EU-Canada deal.
Retrieved February 14, 2017, from
http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/international-business/european-business/belgi
ums-wallonia-region-rejects-deadline-to-sign-eu-canada-deal/article32438167/
Canada-European Union Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement (CETA). (2017, February
07). Retrieved February 14, 2017, from
http://www.international.gc.ca/trade-commerce/trade-agreements-accords-commerciaux/agr-acc/cet
a-aecg/index.aspx?lang=eng
CETA: A progressive trade agreement for a strong middle class. (2017, February 10). Retrieved February
14, 2017, from
http://www.international.gc.ca/gac-amc/campaign-campagne/ceta-aecg/index.aspx?lang=eng
Danielle Goldfarb, Special to Financial Post. (n.d.). Behind CETA's headlines: What Canadians need
to know about the deal and what's at stake. Retrieved February 14, 2017, from
http://business.financialpost.com/fp-comment/behind-cetas-headlines-what-canadians-need-to-know
-about-the-deal-and-whats-at-stake
Italy : CETA in your town. (n.d.). Retrieved February 14, 2017, from
http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/in-focus/ceta/ceta-in-your-town/italy_en.htm
Press, T. C. (n.d.). Belgian region rejects deadline to sign EU-Canada deal. Retrieved February 14,
2017, from
http://business.financialpost.com/news/economy/belgian-region-rejects-deadline-to-sign-eu-canada-
deal
How the trade agreement with the EU could benefit Canada. (n.d.). Retrieved February 14, 2017,
from
http://www.ctvnews.ca/business/how-the-trade-agreement-with-the-eu-could-benefit-canada-1.3134
117
Behind CETA's headlines: What Canadians need to know about the deal and what's at stake. (n.d.).
Retrieved February 11, 2017, from
http://www.conferenceboard.ca/press/speech_oped/16-10-21/behind_ceta_s_headlines_what_cana
dians_need_to_know_about_the_deal_and_what_s_at_stake.aspx
Canada and EU sign historic trade agreement during EU-Canada Summit. (2016, October 30).
Retrieved February 14, 2017, from
http://pm.gc.ca/eng/news/2016/10/30/canada-and-eu-sign-historic-trade-agreement-during-eu-canad
a-summit