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Parikshit Jamdade
Savirtibai Phule Pune University
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above the ground level Ireland is one of highest wind V. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS MODEL
regions in Europe, but as per its wind energy potential,
In this paper two parameter Extreme Value
Ireland is utilising less. Therefore it makes necessary to
Distribution (EVD) is used to describe wind speed
study the wind resources available in Ireland.
variation if wind speed variation follows Extreme Value
III. DATA SOURCE Distribution (EVD) probability density function. The
In this study, data set of years from 2007 to 2011 are Extreme Value distribution is also referred to as the
obtained containing mean wind speed of each month in Gumbel distribution.
a year of Ireland with observaon height of 50 m above
The Cumulative Density Function (CDF) is
ground level. The chosen stations from Ireland are
V −μ
−
Name Latitude N° Longitude W°
F(V) = e −e β (2)
Malin Head Co. Donegal 55°23'N 07°23'W
Dublin Airport Co. Dublin 53°21'N 06°15'W
BelmulletCo. Mayo 54°14'N 09°58'W The Probability Density Function (PDF) is
Mullingar Co. Westmeath 53°31'N 07°21'W
V −μ
1 − V −μ −e −
Figure shows the locations of chosen sites in Ireland f(V) = e β e β (3)
β
σ 6
β= (4)
π
μ = V − 0.5772β (5)
Mean values of wind speeds lead to under estimation Yi= ln[ ln F(V)] where i = 1,2,3,........,n
of available wind energy as wind velocity is non-
constant phenomena and the mean of cubed wind The linear approximation of this data is obtained using
velocity within the hour exceeds the cube of mean wind the least square method, in the form
values. The relationship between these two values is
called energy pattern factor (Ke) by which mean power Y=aX (7)
density is adjusted [5-9]. Where, a = 1/β
255
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ADVANCED RENEWABLE ENERGY RESEARCH
Shrinivas Gautamrao Jamdade and Parikshit Gautam Jamdade, Vol. 1, Issue. 5, pp. 254- 259, 2012
PDF
2011 6.29 25.8 3.97 19.5 0.06
1.3
Malin Head Dublin Airport 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
1.5
Belmullet Mullingar
1.25
0.5
Energy Pattern Factor
1.2
ln [ ln F(V)new ]
-0.5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
1.15
-1.5
1.1
-2.5
1.05
1 -3.5
Wind Speed (m/s)
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
Year
Figure 4. Yearly ln[ ln F(V)] for Malin Head Location
0.7
0.5
0.6
0.4
CDF
0.5
0.3
0.4 0.2
0.3 0.1
0.2 0
0.1 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
0
Wind Speed (m/s)
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
256
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ADVANCED RENEWABLE ENERGY RESEARCH
Shrinivas Gautamrao Jamdade and Parikshit Gautam Jamdade, Vol. 1, Issue. 5, pp. 254- 259, 2012
0.2
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 0.14 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
0.18
0.16 0.12
0.14
0.1
0.12
PDF
PDF
0.08
0.1
0.08 0.06
0.06
0.04
0.04
0.02
0.02
0 0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
1.0
0.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 0.5
ln [ ln F(V)new ]
ln [ ln F(V)new]
0.0
-1.0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
-0.5
-2.0 -1.0
-1.5
-3.0 -2.0
-2.5
-4.0
Wind Speed (m/s) -3.0
Wind Speed (m/s)
1
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 1
0.9 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011
0.9
0.8
0.8
0.7
0.7
0.6
0.6
CDF
CDF
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
0 5 10 15 20
Wind Speed (m/s)
Wind Speed (m/s)
257
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ADVANCED RENEWABLE ENERGY RESEARCH
Shrinivas Gautamrao Jamdade and Parikshit Gautam Jamdade, Vol. 1, Issue. 5, pp. 254- 259, 2012
0.35
wind speed and average wind power corresponding to
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 coming years. Fig. 3, Fig. 6, Fig. 9 and Fig. 12 are
0.3 showing the variations in PDF values for Malin Head,
0.25
Dublin Airport, Belmullet and Mullingar respectively.
These PDF plots are skewed to the left. This shows that
0.2 for all years wind speed distribution is positively skewed
PDF
258
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ADVANCED RENEWABLE ENERGY RESEARCH
Shrinivas Gautamrao Jamdade and Parikshit Gautam Jamdade, Vol. 1, Issue. 5, pp. 254- 259, 2012
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