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27 Apr 2010

Thailand: WARNING: Situation remains tense but calm in Bangkok; defer all but business-critical
travel to capital

The authorities early on 27 April temporarily suspended all BTS Skytrain services after supporters of the
opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts')
used tyres to block railways at the Chidlom and Rajadamri stations of the capital Bangkok. The
suspension of the services resulted in significant traffic disruption as many roads leading to the city
became heavily congested, particularly Sukhumvit and Rama IV roads. The authorities subsequently
restored the BTS Skytrain service at 10.00 (local time). Meanwhile, elsewhere, UDD supporters blocked
main roads leading to the capital to prevent the deployment of additional police and military from other
provinces. Road blockades have been erected in the provinces of Samut Sakhon, Phetchabun,
Chachoengsao, Lop Buri, Sara Buri and Khon Kaen. The security forces have managed to pass through
the blockades in Phitsanulok province; however, it's unclear whether they have been dismantled.

The pro-government People's Alliance for Democracy (PAD, commonly known as the 'Yellow Shirts') on
26 April retracted an earlier warning that it would hold a mass rally if the government failed to resolve the
crisis. However, the group has called for a demonstration on 29 April in front of the 11th Infantry
Regiment on the capital's Pahon Yothin road to request that the army put an end to the UDD protests.
King Bhumibol Adulyadej on the same day made his first public appearance since the UDD campaign
began on 12 March. However, he did not address the current political crisis.

Comment and Analysis

The latest developments come amid a continuing political stalemate between the government of Prime
Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva and the UDD. Rumours of an impending dispersal of UDD supporters from their
protest sites continue, but no major military build-up or movement has been seen to this point. The
security forces continue to adopt a defensive stance. The number of UDD supporters has decreased over
the past two days, which is typical after the weekend. Many UDD members have exchanged their red
shirts for regular clothing, making it easier to access the main protest site at Ratchaprasong Intersection
without interference from the security forces. This will also make an exit from the site much easier for
them if a military dispersal takes place. The potential clearly exists for a swift deterioration in the security
environment at the demonstration sites. Personnel in the vicinity of protest sites risk exposure to violence
during any further confrontations between UDD members and the security forces.

While Abhisit and army chief Gen Anupong Paochinda have appeared on television together to show
unity between the government and top military leadership and maintain they will retake the UDD's main
protest site, neither of them appear to be ready to use force to end the stand-off. However, growing
frustration among the local population and the continued economical impact from the forced closure of
stores, businesses and hotels will continue to mount pressure on the government to react. Bhumibol's
failure to address the current situation signals that he is unwilling to intervene in the crisis at this point.
While dispersal does not appear imminent, any serious provocation by the UDD can be expected to lead
to a swift and severe retaliation. However, the UDD leaders, who are likely to already know this, prefer to
maintain a non-confrontational stance at the moment.

The capital remains under a state of emergency, which also applies to the provinces of Samut Prakan,
Nonthaburi, Nakhon Pathom and Ayutthaya. Among other provisions, the measure bans public gatherings
of more than five people. In addition, the Internal Security Act (ISA), which gives the security forces
enhanced powers to tackle unrest, has been imposed in Bangkok, Nonthaburi province and Samut
Prakan province. The protesters have entrenched themselves significantly, which means that any attempt
to disperse them will require a considerable deployment of security personnel. In addition, further small-
scale attacks by radical elements of the UDD remain possible. Previously, these incidents mainly targeted
government buildings, military installations and local commercial outlets known to have links to Abhisit's
administration. However, the grenade attacks on Bangkok's Silom Road, which appeared to target pro-
government demonstrators who had gathered to protest against UDD supporters, have heightened the
risk to bystanders. Frustration among the local population with the UDD is growing and continued attacks
targeting innocent bystanders will further exacerbate this situation, increasing the risk of clashes between
UDD and pro-government elements and compound the already significant travel disruption in central
Bangkok.

Travel Advice

 Defer all but business-critical travel to Bangkok until the situation has stabilised. Normal travel to
and transit through Bangkok's Suvarnabhumi Airport (BKK) can continue.
 Personnel in Bangkok should avoid all travel to Lumpini Park, as well as the Ratchaprasong and
Silom business districts because of a credible risk of further violence. In the event of further
violence foreigners are unlikely to be directly targeted but may be at significant incidental risk.
Personnel should also minimise time spent in the vicinity of sensitive locations outside these
districts; these include media outlets, the offices of political parties, and government buildings.
 Normal travel to most areas of Thailand is possible. We continue to advise against all but
essential travel to the southern provinces of Yala, Narathiwat, Pattani and the southern districts of
Songkhla province as well as remote border areas with Myanmar (Burma), Laos and Cambodia
(see Standing Travel Advice).

For personnel already in Bangkok or undertaking business-critical travel to the city:

 There is currently no need to evacuate Bangkok. Travellers should be fully briefed prior to travel
and be confident in their transport and accommodation arrangements. Hotels should be carefully
selected to ensure that they are well away from protest areas and that they allow safe access to
offices and meeting locations. Travellers should ensure meetings are held in locations not
affected by demonstrations.
 Utilise all available local resources; register with your embassy, liaise closely with local contacts
and hotel staff on the location of protest sites and security forces operations, and monitor the
local media (though personnel should be prepared for and not unduly alarmed by the potential for
local news blackouts).
 Avoid travel on foot in central areas of the city. Personnel should use a taxi, or private vehicle and
driver at this time of heightened tension; local drivers are best placed to avoid demonstrations
and in the event of encountering protests, to find a safe alternative route. Do not self-drive unless
very familiar with the city.
 Avoid all large gatherings, and expect – though not be unduly alarmed by – a heavy presence of
security forces in public areas. In the event of encountering protesters or a large group of security
forces vacate the area immediately; do not stop to watch or photograph them.

28 Apr 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Clashes break out between opposition protesters, security forces on
northern outskirts of Bangkok

Riot police personnel on 28 April fired rubber bullets at supporters of the opposition United Front for
Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts') when the latter attempted to
break through a security checkpoint at the National Memorial, in Khu Khot district of Pathum Thani
province, located about 19 miles (30km) north of the capital Bangkok. The troops also fired live
ammunition in the air to disperse the protesters, who occupied a gas station in the area. The security
forces have closed the Don Muang tollway, located near Don Muang International Airport (DMK) on
Vibhavadi Rangsit road, causing significant traffic disruption.
Travel Advice

 Minimise movement in the area until the situation becomes clear.


 Allow extra time to reach DMK.

28 Apr 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Several injured in scuffles between opposition protesters, riot police
on northern outskirts of Bangkok (Revised 10.50GMT)

At least 16 people, including a soldier, on 28 April were injured when riot police personnel fired rubber
bullets at supporters of the opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly
known as the 'Red Shirts') who were attempting to break through a security checkpoint on Phahon Yothin
road, in Khu Khot district of Pathum Thani province, located about 19 miles (30km) north of the capital
Bangkok. Unconfirmed reports suggest that a soldier was killed in the clashes, which broke out near the
National Memorial. The police also fired live ammunition in the air to disperse the protesters, who
retaliated by hurling stones and metal balls at them; the protesters have since started retreating to their
main protest site, in Bangkok's Rathchaprasong shopping district. The security forces closed the Don
Muang tollway, located near Don Muang International Airport (DMK) – which caters for domestic flights –
on Vibhavadi Rangsit road, causing significant traffic disruption.

Comment and Analysis

While UDD leaders claimed that the incident at Pathum Thani occurred during a protest against the arrest
of 11 opposition activists in the province on 26 April, it may have constituted an attempt by the protesters
to remove the checkpoint in order to spread to another area, amid a continuing political stalemate with the
government of Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva. The targeting of a checkpoint far from the UDD main
protest site in central Bangkok could also point to the effectiveness of the security blockades that were
set up around the capital to prevent additional protesters from entering the city. Although the latest
incident does not mark a deterioration in the overall security situation, it underlines a credible risk of
further low-level and localised clashes to erupt as the authorities increase indirect pressure on the UDD
movement.

The protesters have entrenched themselves significantly in the capital, which means that any attempt to
disperse them will require a considerable deployment of security personnel. Although the security forces
continue to adopt a defensive stance, the potential clearly exists for a swift deterioration in the security
environment at the demonstration sites. Personnel in the vicinity of protest sites risk exposure to violence
during any further confrontations between UDD members and the security forces.

Travel Advice

 Allow extra time to reach DMK.

28 Apr 2010

Thailand: WARNING: Political stand-off continues; government erects additional checkpoints


around main protest site

The security forces on 28 April clashed with supporters of the opposition United Front for Democracy
against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts') when the latter attempted to break
through a security checkpoint at the National Memorial in the Khu Khot district of Pathum Thani province,
located around 18 miles (30km) from the capital Bangkok. The troops also fired live ammunition into the
air to disperse the protesters, who had occupied a petrol (gasoline) station in the area. The incident
prompted the security forces to close the Don Muang tollway on Vibhavadi Rangsit Road in an attempt to
control the situation. At least eight people were injured during the incident. Meanwhile, in Bangkok, a
grenade attack targeted a Bangkok Bank branch located on Boromratchonnani Road in the Taling Chan
district in the city's west; no injuries were reported.

The latest violence followed a UDD statement on 27 April that announced plans to send teams to different
parts of the capital in an attempt to clarify its intention and actions to the public. While the government
indicated that it would not allow the protesters to spread beyond the Ratchaprasong intersection, the UDD
announced that they would break through checkpoints if necessary. Checkpoints have been established
around the main protest site on Phya Thai, Sala Daeng, Phong Praram, Narathiwat, Silom, Henri Dunant
and Asoke-Montri intersections. According to a spokesman for the Center for Resolution of the
Emergency Situation (CRES), which is responsible for monitoring and controlling the anti-government
campaign, the checkpoints will be used to prevent demonstrators from bringing weapons into the protest
area. The CRES has also announced that military and police personnel are permitted to use weapons if
necessary to protect themselves and warned that individuals who attempt to block roads would be
arrested. This warning came after UDD supporters in the provinces of Samut Sakhon, Phetchabun,
Chachoengsao, Lop Buri, Sara Buri and Khon Kaen erected blockades on 26 April, preventing soldiers
and the police from deploying to Bangkok.

Meanwhile, security has been increased at all BTS Skytrain stations following the temporary suspension
of services on 27 April when UDD supporters used tyres to block railway tracks at Chidlom station in the
capital. BTS authorities have announced that trains will operate from 06.00 to 20.00 (local time) each day
until further notice. The MRT (subway) will operate normal services at most stations from 06.00 to 23.59,
though Silom station will close at 19.30.

Anti-Red Shirt protests have been continuing in the capital; a rally is scheduled to take place between
16.00 and 18.00 on 28 April at the Victory Monument. Another demonstration has also been planned to
commence at 15.00 on 3 May at Royal Plaza square, on Ratchadamnoen Road, in Bangkok's Dusit
district. Additionally, the pro-government People's Alliance for Democracy (PAD, commonly known as the
'Yellow Shirts') on 29 April will rally in front of the 11th Infantry Regiment on the capital's Pahon Yothin
Road to request that the army put an end to the UDD protests.

Comment and Analysis

The latest developments come amid a continuing political stalemate between the government of Prime
Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva and the UDD. Rumours of an impending dispersal of UDD supporters from their
protest sites continue, but no major military build-up or movement has been apparent. The security forces
continue to adopt a defensive stance, including at the most recently established locations around the
Ratchaprasong intersection. The trend of reduced numbers of UDD supporters has continued during the
week at the two main protest sites of Ratchaprasong intersection and the Silom business district; both
locations will remain the flashpoints for possible violence, though the anti-Red Shirt protesters are moving
away from the main UDD protest sites, reducing the risk of clashes between the rival groups. Many UDD
members have exchanged their red shirts for regular clothing, making it easier to access the main protest
site at Ratchaprasong intersection without interference from the security forces. This will also make an
exit from the site much easier for them if a military dispersal takes place. The potential remains for a swift
deterioration in the security environment if protesters attempt to expand into other areas of Bangkok or
attempt to block the movement of security forces within the city. Personnel in the vicinity of protest sites
risk exposure to violence during any further confrontations between UDD members and the security
forces.

While Abhisit and army chief Gen Anupong Paochinda have appeared on television together to show
unity between the government and top military leadership and maintain they will retake the UDD's main
protest site, neither of them appear to be ready to use force to end the stand-off. However, growing
frustration among the local population and the continued economical impact from the forced closure of
stores, businesses and hotels will continue to mount pressure on the government to react. King Bhumibol
Adulyadej's failure to address the current situation signals that he is unwilling to intervene in the crisis at
this point. The capital remains under a state of emergency, which also applies to the provinces of Samut
Prakan, Nonthaburi, Nakhon Pathom and Ayutthaya. The protesters have entrenched themselves
significantly, which means that any attempt to disperse them will require a considerable deployment of
security personnel. Any such operation does not appear imminent but if it commences it is not expected
to come as a surprise to the protesters, and any serious provocation by the UDD can be expected to lead
to a swift and severe retaliation. In addition, further small-scale attacks by radical elements of the UDD
remain possible.

Travel Advice

 Defer all but business-critical travel to Bangkok until the situation has stabilised. Normal travel to
and transit through Bangkok's Suvarnabhumi Airport (BKK) can continue.
 Personnel in Bangkok should avoid all travel to Lumpini Park, as well as the Ratchaprasong and
Silom business districts because of a credible risk of further violence. In the event of further
violence foreigners are unlikely to be directly targeted but may be at significant incidental risk.
Personnel should also minimise time spent in the vicinity of sensitive locations outside these
districts; these include media outlets, the offices of political parties, and government buildings.
 Normal travel to most areas of Thailand is possible. We continue to advise against all but
essential travel to the southern provinces of Yala, Narathiwat, Pattani and the southern districts of
Songkhla province as well as remote border areas with Myanmar (Burma), Laos and Cambodia
(see Standing Travel Advice).

For personnel already in Bangkok or undertaking business-critical travel to the city:

 There is currently no need to evacuate Bangkok. Travellers should be fully briefed prior to travel
and be confident in their transport and accommodation arrangements. Hotels should be carefully
selected to ensure that they are well away from protest areas and that they allow safe access to
offices and meeting locations. Travellers should ensure meetings are held in locations not
affected by demonstrations.
 Utilise all available local resources; register with your embassy, liaise closely with local contacts
and hotel staff on the location of protest sites and security forces operations, and monitor the
local media (though personnel should be prepared for and not unduly alarmed by the potential for
local news blackouts).
 Avoid travel on foot in central areas of the city. Personnel should use a taxi, or private vehicle and
driver at this time of heightened tension; local drivers are best placed to avoid demonstrations
and in the event of encountering protests, to find a safe alternative route. Do not self-drive unless
very familiar with the city.
 Avoid all large gatherings, and expect – though not be unduly alarmed by – a heavy presence of
security forces in public areas. In the event of encountering protesters or a large group of security
forces vacate the area immediately; do not stop to watch or photograph them.

13 May 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Gunfire, explosions reported near opposition protest site in Bangkok

Several explosions and gunshots on 13 May were reported to have occured in the vicinity of the
opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts')
protest site at Ratchaprasong intersection in the capital Bangkok. Gunfire has also been heard in the
Lumpini Park area, located to the south of the protest site. A UDD leader, major general Khattiya
Sawasdipol (popularly known as Seh Daeng) was seriously injured after he was shot in the head at
around 17.25 (local time) near Sala Daeng intersection on Rama IV Road. Unconfirmed reports indicate
that the army has moved in to disperse protesters encamped at Ratchaprasong intersection; electricity
supply to the area has been cut off.

Travel Advice

 Account for personnel who may be in central Bangkok


 Avoid all travel to Lumpini Park, as well as the Ratchaprasong and Silom business districts.
 Personnel already in central areas should minimise movement until the situation becomes
clearer.
 Personnel should return to their accommodation, if it is possible to do so safely.

13 May 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Opposition leader seriously injured in shooting attack near
Ratchaprasong protest site in Bangkok (Revised 18.13 GMT)

An explosion and gunshots on 13 May were reported to have occurred in the vicinity of the opposition
United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts')'s protest
site at Ratchaprasong intersection in the capital Bangkok. Gunfire was also heard in the Lumpini Park
area, south of the protest site. Local sources indicate that the shooting has not continued and appears to
have been a one-off incident; a UDD leader, Major Gen Khattiya Sawasdipol (popularly known as Seh
Daeng), was seriously injured after he was shot in the head at around 17.25 (local time) near Sala Daeng
intersection on Rama IV Road. Contrary to media reports, there has been no significant movement of
troops in the city. However, the authorities have deployed additional security personnel to cordon off a
few key roads in the vicinity of the protest site, including Rama IV Road.

Earlier, media reports on the same day stated that the army had announced that it would at 18.00 seal off
the opposition protest site at Ratchaprasong intersection. Prime Minster Abhisit Vejjajiva on the same day
said that he had withdrawn his earlier offer to hold elections on 14 November, as the protesters had so far
refused to disperse. The military authorities reportedly said that armoured vehicles would be deployed to
the area to block roads leading to the site; protesters would be prevented from entering the area, but
would be allowed to exit. The army also ordered businesses in the vicinity of the UDD protest camp to
close by 18.00; reports indicated that a number of skytrain stations had been closed and other public
transport diverted. The US, British and Dutch embassies have also suspended visa services on 14 May;
they will review the situation before resuming services.

Meanwhile, UDD leaders refused to adhere to a midnight deadline issued by Abhisit the previous day for
protesters to disperse. The prime minister had earlier indicated that a failure to end the protests by the
stated deadline would amount to a rejection of his reconciliation plan and that the government would then
move forward with its prepared plans to resolve the situation. However, the Center for the Resolution of
Emergency Situations (CRES) postponed the implementation of an earlier decision to cut power and
water supplies to the Ratchaprasong intersection area at midnight, after complaints from residents. UDD
leaders insist that they will not disperse despite the government threats; they continue to demand that
Deputy Prime Minister Suthep Thaugsuban surrender himself to the police for his involvement in the
violent 10 April crackdown on protesters that killed 25 people and injured hundreds of others. Some
media reports indicate that the UDD has called for reinforcements of activists from the countryside in
anticipation of a military operation to forcibly disperse them.

Comment and Analysis

Although the targeting of Seh Daeng could raise tensions, it is unclear who was responsible for the
attack. The incident highlights the continuing likelihood of small-scale violent incidents in the capital.
However, it remains unlikely that the army will launch a crackdown against the protesters at this stage.
There have been several previous instances where reports in the media of impending crackdowns by the
security forces have later been found to be untrue; the government has nothing to benefit from using
force to disperse protesters as it would not help to restore order. That the prime minister's earlier deadline
passed without any agreement from the UDD and its supporters to leave the capital was expected. The
group has persistently delayed its formal acceptance of the reconciliation plan, continually adding
preconditions for Abhisit to satisfy first. While Suthep did appear before state investigators over charges
of his involvement in the 10 April crackdown, it does not come as any surprise that this did not satisfy
UDD demands; the group will continue to demand that he turn himself in to the police.

It remains unclear if the government will cut off power and water supply to the UDD sites – many threats
issued by the CRES have failed to develop into action over the past few weeks. If enacted, the measures
will have more of an effect on businesses in the area than the protesters, as the UDD is likely to be able
to find ways to work around them; the group already has its own generators at the main protest site.
Additionally, there are hospitals in the area, making the cutting of water supplies problematic. Despite the
continued rhetoric, the likelihood of the use of force to remove the protesters remains low as negotiations
to resolve differences will continue. However, there remains a credible risk of clashes between the UDD
and the security forces going forward, especially if the government implements the new stringent
measures. Furthermore, radical elements within the UDD may attempt to instigate unrest or a security
force response through small-scale attacks; the risk of such incidents happening will be heightened
during any withdrawal from the protest sites.

Travel Advice

 Travel to the capital Bangkok should be for essential purposes only until the situation has
stabilised. Normal travel to and transit through Bangkok International Airport (BKK) can continue.
 Personnel should avoid all travel to the Lumphini Park, Ratchaprasong and Silom business
districts of the city because of a credible risk of violence. Personnel should also minimise time
spent in the vicinity of sensitive locations outside these districts. These include media outlets,
offices of political parties and government buildings. Foreigners are unlikely to be directly targeted
during any unrest but may face significant incidental risks.
 Avoid travel on foot in central areas of the city. Personnel should use a taxi or private vehicle and
driver at this time of heightened tension; local drivers are best placed to avoid demonstrations
and in the event of encountering protests, to find a safe alternative route. Do not self-drive unless
very familiar with the city.
 Avoid all large gatherings and expect – though not be unduly alarmed by – a heavy presence of
security forces in public areas. In the event of encountering protesters or a large group of security
forces, vacate the area immediately; do not stop to watch or photograph them.
 Travellers should be fully briefed prior to travel and be confident in their transport and
accommodation arrangements. Hotels should be carefully selected to ensure that they are well
away from protest areas and that they allow safe access to offices and meeting locations.
Travellers should ensure meetings are held in locations not affected by protests.
 Utilise all available local resources; register with your embassy, liaise closely with local contacts
and hotel staff on the location of protests and security forces operations, and monitor the local
media (though personnel should be prepared for and not unduly alarmed by the potential for local
news blackouts).
 Normal travel to most areas of Thailand is possible. We continue to advise against all but
essential travel to southern provinces of Yala, Narathiwat, Pattani and the southern districts of
Songkhla province as well as remote border areas with Myanmar (Burma), Laos and Cambodia
(see Standing Travel Advice).

15 May 2010

Thailand: WARNING: Situation around protest site in Bangkok remains tense as additional road
blockades erected following violence

Reports from early on 15 May indicate that confrontations between the security forces and the opposition
United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts') protesters
have continued and spread to the northern areas of Ratchaprarop and Din Daeng in the capital Bangkok;
two phone booths were set alight and a police booth seriously damaged at the intersection of Wireless
Road and Rama IV Road, while reports of gunfire and explosions, which appear to be loud fire crackers,
at around 11:40 (local time) near the Sala Daeng intersection, Rama IV Road and Lumphini Park area
have also emerged. The UDD remain entrenched at the main protest site around Ratchaprasong
intersection, and have stated their determination to continue their campaign. Reports have also emerged
of troops blocking shipments of food into the Red Shirt encampment area, though the opposition group's
spokespeople have indicated that there is no concern as the demonstrators have ample supplies.
Meanwhile, the casualty toll from the sporadic clashes on the previous day has risen to 16 killed and 157
others injured, representing clearly the violent day since 10 April, when 25 people were killed and more
than 800 injured. Security incidents on 14 May occurred at several different locations around the main
protest site, including near the Suan Lum night market, and along Wireless nd Rama IV roads; the
neighbourhood on 15 May is reportedly virtually deserted but for soldiers and Red Shirt protesters.

There is still no significant movement of troops in the capital, though the authorities have deployed
additional security personnel to cordon off key roads near the protest site:

 Wireless Road has been closed.


 Rama IV Road has been closed between Klong Toey and Sam Yan.
 Entry has been restricted to Ratchaprarop due to continuing clashes in the area.
 Ratchadamri Road has been closed.
 A section Henri Dunant near the main protest site has been closed.
 Ploenchit Road is closed between Chit Lom and Sukhumvit roads, though open from where it
becomes Sukhumvit Road after the intersection at Chalerm Maha Nakhon Expressway, and no
westbound traffic is allowed along Sukhumvit.
 UDD blockades have sealed off Chit Lom Road and Asok Road, both of which cross Ploenchit
Road.

Most businesses in the vicinity of the protest site, as well as the US, British and Dutch embassies, that
were closed on 14 May remain shut. Additionally, all skytrain (BTS) and metro (MRT, subway) services
are suspended until further notice. Mobile telecommunications reportedly remain operational in the area.

An explosion and gunshots late on 13 May occurred in the vicinity of UDD's site and in the adjacent
Lumphini Park area, south of the main protest venue; a UDD leader, Maj-Gen Khattiya Sawasdipol
(popularly known as Seh Daeng), was shot in the head at around 17.25 near Sala Daeng intersection on
Rama IV Road, apparently by a sniper; he remains in hospital in critical condition for the second
consecutive day. The military had earlier singled Seh Daeng out as a threat to security and an important
element hindering the military's efforts to disperse the UDD; the military has, however, denied
responsibility for the shooting.

Comment and Analysis

The latest events, including the shooting of Seh Daeng, represent a significant escalation in tensions and
the prospects for sporadic clashes and violence, which have continued to break out early on 15 May and
shown indications of spreading beyond the limits of the UDD encampment, though all of the activity has
occurred within a limited radius from the main Ratchaprasong site. It remains unlikely that the army will
launch a full-scale crackdown against the protesters at this stage. There have been several previous
instances where media reports of impending crackdowns by the security forces have later proven untrue;
the government has nothing to gain by using force to disperse protesters as it will not help to restore
order. Bystanders in the vicinity of UDD protest locations nevertheless face significant incidental risks
during clashes between the security personnel and protesters or sporadic incidents of targeted or
indiscriminate violence.
Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva on 13 May withdrew his earlier offer to hold elections on 14 November, as
the protesters had so far refused to disperse. So far, the UDD has persistently delayed its formal
acceptance of the reconciliation plan, continually adding preconditions for Abhisit to satisfy. While Deputy
Prime Minister Suthep Thaugsuban did appear before state investigators over charges of his involvement
in the 10 April crackdown on protesters as per the UDD's demands, this unsurprisingly failed to satisfy the
opposition group, which will continue to call for him to turn himself in to the police. The army on 13 May
announced that it would seal off the UDD protest site at Ratchaprasong intersection, preventing
protesters from entering the area, but allowing anyone to exit; however, there is presently no indication
that this was achieved. Sporadic and isolated incidents of violence occurred on the streets surrounding
the UDD encampment overnight on 13-14 May ahead of Seh Daeng's shooting; notable events included
scuffles near the Nana intersection before dawn involved security personnel firing tear gas and water
cannon to disperse protesters and the Red Shirts vandalising a number of vehicles and clashing with the
police at the intersection of Sathorn North and Rama IV roads.

Abhisit had earlier indicated that a failure to end the protests by 13 May would amount to a rejection of his
reconciliation proposal and that the government would then move forward with its plan to resolve the
situation. However, the Center for the Resolution of Emergency Situations (CRES), a government body
directly involved in managing the response to the continuing crisis, postponed the implementation of an
earlier decision to cut power and water supplies to the Ratchaprasong intersection area, following
complaints from residents. If enacted, the measures will have more of an effect on local businesses than
the protesters, as the UDD is likely to be able to find ways to work around them; the group already has its
own generators at the main protest site. In addition, hospitals are situated in the area, making the cutting
of essential supplies problematic. UDD leaders have insisted that the demonstrators will not disperse,
despite the government's threats. Some media reports indicate that the UDD has recently called for
reinforcements from the countryside in anticipation of a military operation to forcibly remove the
protesters. It remains unclear if the government will, as per earlier official threats, cut off power and water
supply to the UDD sites – many threats issued by CRES have failed to develop into action in recent
weeks.

16 May 2010

Thailand: WARNING: Sporadic incidents of violence continue as authorities tighten blockade


surrounding Ratchaprasong intersection in Bangkok; security situation remains volatile

The Center for the Resolution of Emergency Situations (CRES), which is managing the government's
response to the continuing crisis, on 16 May cancelled its plan to impose a curfew in parts of the capital
Bangkok. However, the agency has declared the Phetchaburi Expressway intersection on Phetchaburi
Road and the stretch from Ratchathewi intersection to Sam Yan intersection on Phaya Thai Road as no-
entry zones, in an attempt to gain control of the Ratchaprasong intersection protest site, where supporters
of the opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red
Shirts') have been camping for several weeks. Meanwhile, the police and various non-governmental
organisations will continue until 15.00 on 17 May to persuade UDD activists to leave the protest site.
CRES has said it will assist residents in the vicinity of the protest site to leave and provide them with
alternative accommodation.

Meanwhile, incidents of violence continue in areas beyond the Ratchaprasong protest side and those
reported on 16 May include the burning of tyres at the Din Daeng intersection and the looting of a shop on
Rama IV Road in the Bon Kai area as well as scuffles between protesters and the police there, in which
three people were injured. In addition, our local sources indicate that minor clashes between the police
and the protesters occurred overnight on 15-16 May at the Pratunam intersection, Ratchaparop, Soi Moh
Leng, Rama IV Road, Soi Bon Gai, Lumpini Park, Lumpinee Boxing Stadium and Sala Daeng
intersection. There is still no significant movement of troops in the capital, though the authorities have
deployed additional security personnel to cordon off key roads near the Ratchaprasong intersection
protest site:

 Wireless Road has been closed.


 Rama IV Road has been closed between Klong Toey and Sam Yan.
 Entry has been restricted to Ratchaprarop due to continuing clashes in the area.
 Ratchadamri Road has been closed.
 A section of Henri Dunant near the main protest site has been closed.
 Ploenchit Road is closed between Chit Lom and Sukhumvit roads, though Sukhumvit Road is
open.
 UDD blockades have sealed off Chit Lom Road and Asok Road, both of which cross Ploenchit
Road.

The US State Department on 15 May upgraded its travel warning and is now advising US citizens to defer
all travel to Bangkok. It has also relocated its personnel in Bangkok who live in areas that are in the
military's containment zone as shops in these locations are running low on food supplies. Most
businesses in the vicinity of the protest site, as well as the US, British, New Zealand, Japanese and Dutch
embassies, have remained closed since 14 May. Chulalongkorn hospital will be indefinitely closed from
17 May and only emergency cases will be handled. Moreover, all skytrain (BTS) and metro (subway)
services are suspended until further notice. However, mobile (cellular) telecommunications remain
operational.

Comment and Analysis

Despite CRES' decision not to impose a curfew, the prospects for sporadic clashes and violence – which
have shown indications of spreading beyond the limits of the UDD encampment – persist, though all of
the activity has occurred within a limited radius of the main Ratchaprasong protest site. It remains unlikely
that the army will launch a full-scale crackdown against the protesters at this stage. There have been
several previous instances where media reports of impending crackdowns by the security forces have
later proven unfounded; the government has nothing to gain by using force to disperse protesters as it will
not help to restore order. Bystanders in the vicinity of UDD protest locations nevertheless face significant
incidental risks during clashes between security personnel and protesters, or in the event of sporadic
incidents of targeted or indiscriminate violence.

The announcement of additional no-entry zones indicates the authorities' resolve to isolate the protesters
by preventing the latter from entering the area, though people are still allowed to exit. However, the
‘containment cordon' of the area is still very porous and some supplies are likely to get in, but the looting
of a shop in Bon Kai could indicate a shortage of essential supplies among UDD activists, pointing to
some level of tactical success on the part of the government. Moreover, the announcement by
Chulalongkorn hospital to suspend operations and an offer of an alternative accommodation by the
authorities could be an indication that CRES might be considering to cut power and water supplies to the
Ratchaprasong intersection area, a decision which was earlier postponed due to complaints by residents
and the fact that the action would have a more negative impact on local businesses and hospitals, than
the protesters, who already have their own generators at the site.

Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva had said that the UDD's failure to end their protests by 13 May would
amount to a rejection of his reconciliation proposal and that the government would then move forward
with its plan to resolve the situation. However, the UDD leaders have insisted that the demonstrators will
not disperse, despite the government's threats. Some media reports indicate that the UDD has recently
called for reinforcements from the countryside in anticipation of a military operation to forcibly remove the
protesters. The casualty toll from the clashes in recent days has increased to 24 killed and 198 others
injured, representing clearly the most violent day since 10 April, when 25 people were killed and more
than 800 injured.

17 May 2010
Thailand: WARNING: Luxury hotel targeted, emergency decree expanded as violence in Bangkok
continues for fourth consecutive day

A luxury hotel located on Rama IV Road, near the main opposition United Front for Democracy against
Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts') protest site in the capital Bangkok, overnight on
16-17 May was damaged by an explosion and gunfire, necessitating the relocation of guests to the
basement of the building. No injuries or fatalities were reported and the hotel was subsequently closed.
However, fighting in the area reportedly resulted in the killing of a soldier, and rumours on the ground
indicate that the hotel may have been targeted because the sniper who earlier shot Maj-Gen Khattiya
Sawasdipol (popularly known as Seh Daeng) was believed to be in the building. Seh Daeng succumbed
to his injuries on 17 May.

The government has also extended the state of emergency to five additional provinces, all of which are in
the north-east, and has rejected a UDD request for UN intervention in the crisis. The Center for the
Resolution of Emergency Situations (CRES), which is managing the government's response to the
situation, on 16 May cancelled its plan to impose a curfew in parts of Bangkok. However, the agency has
declared the Phetchaburi Expressway intersection on Phetchaburi Road and the stretch from
Ratchathewi intersection to Sam Yan intersection on Phaya Thai Road as no-entry zones, in an attempt
to gain control of the Ratchaprasong intersection area, where UDD supporters have been encamped for
several weeks. CRES has also requested that all protesters leave the site by 15.00 (local time) on 17 May
or face prosecution, having previously urged women, children and elderly people to vacate the area by
the same time. It has also indicated that it would assist residents in the vicinity of the protest venue in
leaving, and would provide them with alternative accommodation.

There is still no significant movement of troops in the capital, though the authorities have deployed
additional security personnel to cordon off key roads near the Ratchaprasong intersection protest site.
Meanwhile, outbreaks of violence continue in areas beyond Ratchaprasong; incidents reported on 16 May
include the burning of tyres at the Din Daeng intersection and the looting of a shop on Rama IV Road in
the Bon Kai area, as well as scuffles between protesters and the police there, in which three people were
injured. Several other people were injured in the clashes on the day, including a New Zealand national,
and at least ten people were killed in fighting overnight on 16-17 May; local sources indicate that minor
clashes between the police and protesters also occurred at the Pratunam intersection, Ratchaparop, Soi
Moh Leng, Rama IV Road, Soi Bon Gai, Lumpini Park, Lumpinee Boxing Stadium and Sala Daeng
intersection. At least six foreigners are among those injured in the violence since 13 May.

In the north-western city of Chiang Mai (Chiang Mai province), a crowd of about 500 UDD protesters on
16 May gathered at the main railway station on Rotfai Road before marching through the city; the
demonstrators delivered petitions to the US, British and Chinese consulates, urging those countries to
lobby the government to discontinue its use of violence against the Red Shirts in Bangkok. One bus was
also reportedly set alight in Chiang Mai province, and associated UDD demonstrations were also held in
the north-western Phayao and the north-eastern Ubon Ratchathani provinces, during which participants
burned piles of tyres on main roads. However, no clashes have occurred at any of the protests that have
taken place outside Bangkok.

Road closures and blockades

 Wireless Road has been closed


 Rama IV Road is shut between Klong Toey and Sam Yan
 Entry has been restricted to Ratchaprarop due to continuing clashes in the area
 Ratchadamri Road has been closed
 A section of Henri Dunant near the main protest site has been closed
 Ploenchit Road is shut between Chit Lom and Sukhumvit roads; Sukhumvit Road is open during
daylight hours; the road is closed at night-time between Soi 1 and Soi 4
 UDD blockades have sealed off Chit Lom Road and Asok Road, both of which cross Ploenchit
Road
 Silom Road is blocked
 Sathon Nua Road is closed from Rama IV Road to Convent Road intersection.

Embassy closures

The US State Department on 15 May upgraded its travel warning and is now advising US citizens to defer
all travel to Bangkok; it has also authorised the departure of non-essential government staff and their
family members from the city. US embassy personnel who reside in the volatile areas of the capital are
being relocated to accommodation outside the affected locations. Most businesses in the vicinity of the
protest site, as well as the US, British, New Zealand, Japanese and Dutch embassies, have remained
closed since 14 May; the Japanese mission has set up a temporary office for consular services at the
Imperial Queen's Park Hotel on Sukhumvit Road. The Australian embassy in the city has also announced
that it would remain closed indefinitely from 17 May.

Status of essential services

Chulalongkorn hospital in the capital will be indefinitely closed from 17 May and only emergency cases
will be handled. Moreover, all skytrain (BTS) and metro (subway) services are suspended until further
notice. However, mobile (cellular) telecommunications remain operational.

Comment and Analysis

Seh Daeng's killing may escalate tensions in Bangkok, where there is no end in sight to the continuing
stalemate. However, we continue to advise that evacuation from Bangkok is not required at this time, as it
remains unlikely that the army will launch a full-scale crackdown against the protesters despite the CRES
deadline for the vacation of the Ratchaprasong intersection area by 15.00. There have been several
previous instances where media reports of impending crackdowns by the security forces have later
proven unfounded; the government has nothing to gain by using force to disperse protesters. Sporadic
clashes and violence have spread beyond the limits of the UDD encampment, though all of the activity
has occurred within a limited radius of the Ratchaprasong intersection. Bystanders in the vicinity of UDD
protest locations nevertheless face significant incidental risks during clashes between security personnel
and demonstrators, or in the event of sporadic incidents of targeted or indiscriminate violence. The risk of
violence spreading further to other areas is credible.

The relocation of US embassy personnel is most likely due to logistical concerns, as it is located within
the military's ‘containment zone' on Wireless Road, and many staff reside in the general area. The military
checkpoint at the Sukhumvit-Phloenchit junction is strictly controlling access to the containment zone,
affecting the resupply of the very few stores, restaurants and hotels that remain open in the area and
prompting further closures; access to supplies is now only available on the Sukhumvit side of the
checkpoint. CRES' decision not to impose a curfew is not indicative of any change in the situation, but is
likely to be based on the need not to limit the ability of residents to obtain essential supplies. The
escalation in violence since 13 May has brought the casualty toll to 35 killed and more than 250 injured,
making it the most significant unrest the city has experienced since 10 April, when 25 people were killed
and more than 800 injured in related disturbances.

The announcement of additional no-entry zones indicates the authorities' resolve to isolate the protesters
by preventing the latter from entering the area, though people are still allowed to exit. However, the
containment zone is still very porous, particularly at its western access points, and some supplies are
likely to get in, though the recent looting of shops in the area could indicate a shortage of essential
supplies among UDD activists, pointing to some level of tactical success on the part of the government.
There is no way to ascertain how long the UDD's stockpiles of essential products and foodstuffs will last,
though the fact that the group has been able to restock using motorcycles indicates that severe shortages
are not imminent. Moreover, Chulalongkorn hospital's decision to suspend operations and an offer of
alternative accommodation by the authorities could be an indication that CRES might be considering
cutting power and water supplies to the Ratchaprasong intersection area. This decision was earlier
postponed due to complaints by residents and the fact that the action would adversely affect local
businesses and hospitals more than the protesters, who already have their own generators at the site.

18 May 2010

Thailand: WARNING: Authorities extend public holiday as opposition protest continues in


Bangkok

The government on 18 May declared the next three days public holidays in the capital Bangkok to give it
more time to resolve the continuing political crisis and consequent violent protests by the opposition
United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts'). At least 60
senators on 17 May proposed a peace plan that called for an end to the violence, though further details of
the scheme were not disclosed. The UDD accepted the proposal but demanded that pro-government
senators be excluded from any negotiations. A government minister has stated that talks can proceed
only after the UDD ends its protest.

Local sources indicated that the situation in Bangkok on 18 May was relatively calm, though sporadic
violence continued in the vicinity of the Ratchaprasong area as protesters burnt tyres and threw
projectiles at security personnel deployed at checkpoints in the area. The Center for the Resolution of
Emergency Situations (CRES), which is managing the government's response to the situation, on 18 May
reiterated that it was not considering the imposition of a night-time curfew in parts of Bangkok. A CRES
deadline on the previous day urging the protesters to disperse went unheeded. The agency has declared
the Phetchaburi Expressway intersection on Phetchaburi Road and the stretch from Ratchathewi
intersection to Sam Yan intersection on Phaya Thai Road as no-entry zones, in an attempt to gain control
of the Ratchaprasong intersection area, where UDD supporters have been encamped for several weeks.
There is still no significant movement of troops in the capital, though the authorities have deployed
additional security personnel to cordon off key roads near the main protest site.

Road closures and blockades

 Wireless Road has been closed


 Rama IV Road is shut between Klong Toey and Sam Yan
 Entry has been restricted to Ratchaprarop due to continuing clashes in the area
 Ratchadamri Road has been closed
 A section of Henri Dunant near the main protest site has been closed
 Ploenchit Road is shut between Chit Lom and Sukhumvit roads; Sukhumvit Road is open during
daylight hours; the road is closed at night-time between Soi 1 and Soi 4
 UDD blockades have sealed off Chit Lom Road and Asok Road, both of which cross Ploenchit
Road
 Silom Road is closed from Convent Road to Rama IV Road

Embassy closures

The US State Department on 15 May upgraded its travel warning and is now advising US citizens to defer
all travel to Bangkok; it has also authorised the departure of non-essential government staff and their
family members from the city. US embassy personnel who reside in the volatile areas of the capital are
being relocated to accommodation outside the affected locations. Consular services at the US embassy
have been suspended until 21 May; the mission has set up an emergency assistance centre for US
nationals at Westin Grand Sukhuvit Hotel on Sukhumvit Road. The Australian, British, New Zealand,
Dutch and Japanese embassies are shut until further notice; the Japanese embassy has set up a
temporary office for consular services at the Imperial Queen's Park Hotel on Sukhumvit Road.
Disruption to services

The Siam Commercial Bank (SCB) on 18 May closed all its branches and currency exchange facilities in
the Ratchaprasong area and suspended services at 33 ATMs (cash machines) until further notice.
Chulalongkorn hospital is indefinitely closed and only emergency cases are being treated. All skytrain
(BTS) and metro (subway) services are suspended until further notice. However, mobile (cellular)
telecommunications remain operational.

Comment and Analysis

We continue to advise that evacuation from Bangkok is not required at this time. It remains unlikely that
the army will launch a full-scale crackdown against the protesters. That no military action followed after
the passage of a CRES deadline to protesters to disperse on 17 May was not unexpected. There have
been several instances where media reports of impending crackdowns by the security forces have later
proven unfounded; the government has nothing to gain by using force to disperse protesters. Sporadic
clashes and violence have spread beyond the limits of the UDD encampment, though all of the activity
has occurred within a limited radius of the Ratchaprasong intersection. Bystanders in the vicinity of
protest locations nevertheless face significant incidental risks during clashes between security personnel
and demonstrators, or in the event of sporadic incidents of targeted or indiscriminate violence. The risk of
violence spreading further to other areas is credible.

A luxury hotel located on Rama IV Road was damaged overnight on 16-17 May by an explosion and
gunfire. Guests were initially relocated to the basement of the building for safety and subsequently shifted
out of the hotel. Although no one was injured in the incident, there were speculations that the hotel was
targeted because the sniper who earlier shot a key UDD leader was believed to be in the building. The
UDD leader's death exacerbated tensions in Bangkok but did not result in any significant retaliatory
violence. However, tensions are likely to remain elevated in Bangkok, as there is no end in sight to the
continuing stalemate. Previous attempts at brokering peace between the government and the UDD have
failed due to both parties' uncompromising preconditions. The latest proposal on senate-mediated
negotiations is unlikely to make a significant breakthrough as both sides remain intractable. The
government wants the protesters to disperse before talks can commence and the UDD is demanding the
withdrawal of military from protest locations before any negotiations. Additionally, the group is demanding
the exclusion of those it considers pro-government senators from any discussions and this is likely to
derail any efforts to find a mediated solution. Earlier, the government extended the state of emergency to
five additional provinces, all of which are in the north-east, and rejected a UDD request for UN
intervention in the crisis.

The relocation of US embassy personnel is most likely due to logistical concerns, as it is located within
the military's ‘containment zone' on Wireless Road, and many staff reside in the general area. The military
checkpoint at the Sukhumvit-Phloenchit junction is strictly controlling access to the containment zone,
affecting the resupply of the very few stores, restaurants and hotels that remain open in the area and
prompting further closures; access to supplies is now only available on the Sukhumvit side of the
checkpoint. CRES' decision not to impose a curfew is not indicative of any change in the situation, but is
likely to be based on the need not to limit the ability of residents to obtain essential supplies. The violence
since 13 May has brought the casualty toll to 37 killed and more than 250 injured, including six foreigners,
making it the most significant unrest the city has experienced since 10 April, when 25 people were killed
and more than 800 injured in related disturbances.

The announcement of additional no-entry zones indicates the authorities' resolve to isolate the protesters
by preventing the latter from entering the area, though people are still allowed to exit. However, the
containment zone is still very porous, particularly at its western access points, and some supplies are
likely to get in, though the recent looting of shops in the area could indicate a shortage of essential
supplies among UDD activists, pointing to some level of tactical success on the part of the government.
There is no way to ascertain how long the UDD's stockpiles of essential products and food will last,
though the fact that the group has been able to restock using motorcycles indicates that severe shortages
are not imminent. Moreover, Chulalongkorn hospital's decision to suspend operations and an offer of
alternative accommodation for residents in the vicinity of Ratchaprasong could be an indication that
CRES might be considering cutting power and water supplies to the area. This decision was earlier
postponed due to complaints by residents and the fact that the action would adversely affect local
businesses and hospitals more than the protesters, who already have their own generators at the site.

19 May 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Warning shots fired as reinforcements arrive near main rally site

Around seven armoured vehicles carrying additional troops early on 19 May moved in to Sala Daeng
intersection near Rama IV and Silom roads in the capital Bangkok, where the opposition United Front for
Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts') protesters are encamped.
The security forces subsequently fired warning shots in the area and reportedly used water hoses to
break down UDD barricades at Sala Deang intersection.

19 May 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Intensified clashes probable on 19 May as troops deployed to protest
area (Revised 02:13 GMT)

Several armoured personnel carriers carrying additional troops early on 19 May moved in to Sala Daeng
intersection near Rama IV, Wireless and Silom roads in the capital Bangkok, where the opposition United
Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts') protesters are
encamped. The security forces fired warning shots in the area, sprayed protest barricades with water
cannon to prevent the demonstrators from setting them alight and began pushing the security cordon on
Ratchadamri Road back north away from the Sala Deang intersection. Gunfights have reportedly broken
out and at least two people are said to have been fatally shot. The burning of tyres by protesters has
caused a large amount of black smoke to rise from the protest site. While a senator has stated that
decisive action was imminent, other officials have indicated that the government is still willing to negotiate
if the UDD vacates the site.

Comment and Analysis

It is becoming clear that the government has decided to escalate pressure on UDD demonstrators and
take back some territory following the failure on the previous day of another attempt to restart
negotiations. The threat of intensified violence in the capital has become increasingly salient, and there is
a strong potential for clashes to occur and possibly escalate throughout the day. The political risks the
government faces in authorising such an action means that the crackdown may occur in a restrained
manner and that calls for the UDD leaders to surrender or agree to clear the area will escalate in the
coming hours. While the developments clearly represent an immediate-term escalation in the stand-off, a
full-scale crackdown is not considered imminent at this stage, as it is more likely that the government is
engaging in a show of force and intimidation as part of its continuing efforts to isolate the protesters and
pressure them to accede to the government's demands.

19 May 2010

Thailand: WARNING: Overnight curfew imposed in Bangkok following clashes between military,
opposition protesters
The authorities implemented a citywide curfew in the capital Bangkok on 19 May, following clashes
between the military and the opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD,
commonly known as the 'Red Shirts') in the city centre. The curfew will be in place between 20.00 (local
time) on 19 May and 06.00 on 20 May. The development came after armoured personnel carriers moved
in to the UDD's main protest site at Sala Daeng intersection near Rama IV, Wireless and Silom roads
earlier in the day. The security forces fired warning shots, sprayed protest barricades with water to
prevent the demonstrators from setting them alight, and pushed the security cordon on Ratchadamri
Road back north – away from the Sala Deang intersection; at least five demonstrators were reportedly
killed and more than 50 others injured during the confrontation. The military have cleared the UDD
barricades on Silom and Sukhumvit roads, and are in control of the Lumpini Park area, though at least
1,000 demonstrators remain at the main protest site at the Ratchaprasong intersection. Meanwhile, at
least seven UDD leaders are reported to have surrendered to the police.

Following the clashes, several buildings were set on fire by UDD operatives. Although most of these
buildings are inside the UDD site, the stock exchange building, on Ratchadapisek Road was set alight;
however, trading was halted earlier in the day and the building evacuated. In addition, Klong Toey power
station is reported to be on fire, which resulting in power outages across the city. Furthermore, the
burning of tyres by protesters within the UDD site has caused a large amount of black smoke to rise from
the area, while a fire was also reported at a branch of the Kasikornbank PCL bank on Rama IV Road.
Elsewhere in the country, UDD supporters have held violent protests in the north-eastern cities of Udon
Thani (Udon Thani province) and Khon Kaen (Khon Kaen province).

Road closures and blockades

 Sukhumvit Road closed between Soi 1 to Soi 11.


 Wireless Road.
 Rama IV Road is shut between Klong Toey and Sam Yan
 Entry has been restricted to Ratchaprarop
 Ratchadamri Road
 A section of Henri Dunant near the main protest site has been closed
 Ploenchit Road is shut between Chit Lom and Sukhumvit roads
 UDD blockades have sealed off Chit Lom Road and Asok Road, both of which cross Ploenchit
Road
 Silom Road is closed from Convent Road to Rama IV Road

Embassy closures

The US State Department on 15 May upgraded its travel warning and is now advising US citizens to defer
all travel to Bangkok; it has also authorised the departure of non-essential government staff and their
family members from the city. US embassy personnel who reside in the volatile areas of the capital are
being relocated to accommodation outside the affected locations. Consular services at the US embassy
have been suspended until 21 May; the mission has set up an emergency assistance centre for US
nationals at Westin Grand Sukhuvit Hotel on Sukhumvit Road. The Australian, British, New Zealand,
Dutch and Japanese embassies are shut until further notice; the Japanese embassy has set up a
temporary office for consular services at the Imperial Queen's Park Hotel on Sukhumvit Road.

Disruption to services

The Siam Commercial Bank (SCB) on 18 May closed all its branches and currency exchange facilities in
the Ratchaprasong area and suspended services at 33 ATMs (cash machines) until further notice.
Chulalongkorn hospital is indefinitely closed and only emergency cases are being treated. All skytrain
(BTS) and Mass Rapid Transit metro (subway) services are suspended on 19 and 20 May. However,
mobile (cellular) telecommunications remain operational.
Comment and Analysis

While situation remains highly fluid in the capital, we continue to advise that evacuation from Bangkok is
not required at this time. Although a number of opposition leaders have surrendered, the stand-off
between those UDD activists who remain at the protest sites and the security forces continues. Sporadic
clashes and violence have spread beyond the limits of the UDD encampment, leading to a heightened
potential for isolated clashes between opposition supporters and the military across Bangkok and in other
provinces; the risk of violence spreading to other areas is credible. Bystanders in the vicinity of protest
locations face significant incidental risks during clashes between security personnel and demonstrators,
or in the event of sporadic incidents of targeted or indiscriminate violence.

The military action came after a deadline issued by the Center for the Resolution of Emergency Situations
(CRES), which is managing the government's response to the situation, for protesters to disperse on 17
May went unheeded. Sporadic violence took place on 18 May in the vicinity of the Ratchaprasong area as
protesters burnt tyres and threw projectiles at security personnel. CRES declared the Phetchaburi
Expressway intersection on Phetchaburi Road and the stretch from Ratchathewi intersection to Sam Yan
intersection on Phaya Thai Road no-entry zones, in an attempt to gain control of the Ratchaprasong
intersection area, where UDD supporters have been encamped for several weeks. Previously, a luxury
hotel located on Rama IV Road was damaged overnight on 16-17 May by an explosion and gunfire.
Guests were initially relocated to the basement of the building for safety and subsequently shifted out of
the hotel. Although no one was injured in the incident, there was speculation that the hotel was targeted
because the sniper who earlier shot a key UDD leader was believed to be in the building. The UDD
leader's killing, on 13 May, exacerbated tensions in Bangkok.

The relocation of US embassy personnel is most likely due to logistical concerns, as it is located within
the military's ‘containment zone' on Wireless Road, and many staff reside in the general area. The military
checkpoint at the Sukhumvit-Phloenchit junction is strictly controlling access to the containment zone,
affecting the resupply of the very few stores, restaurants and hotels that remain open in the area and
prompting further closures; access to supplies is now only possible on the Sukhumvit side of the
checkpoint. The violence since 13 May has brought the casualty toll to 37 killed and more than 250
injured, including six foreigners, making it the most significant unrest the city has experienced since 10
April, when 25 people were killed and more than 800 injured in related disturbances. Attempts to broker a
peace between the government and the UDD in recent weeks failed due to both parties' uncompromising
preconditions.

19 May 2010

Thailand: WARNING: Situation remains highly fluid after clashes between military, opposition
protesters (Revised 22.00 GMT)

The authorities imposed a curfew in the capital Bangkok on 19 May, following clashes between the
military and the opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as
the 'Red Shirts') in the city centre. The measure was later extended to 23 provinces where a state of
emergency is in place: Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Nakhon Pathom, Ayutthaya, Chon Buri, Chiang Mai,
Chiang Rai, Lampang, Nakhon Sawan, Nan, Khon Kaen, Udon Thani, Chaiyaphum, Nakhom
Ratchasima, Si Saket, Ubon Ratchathani, Nong Bua Lumphu, Mahasarakham, Roi Et, Sakhon Nakhon,
Kalasin, Muk Da Han and Samutprakarn. The ten-hour curfew in Bangkok was imposed at 20.00 (local
time) and was due to last until 06.00 on 20 May. The development came after armoured personnel
carriers moved in to the UDD's main protest site at Sala Daeng intersection near Rama IV, Wireless and
Silom roads earlier in the day. The security forces fired warning shots, sprayed protest barricades with
water to prevent the demonstrators from setting them alight, and pushed the security cordon on
Ratchadamri Road back north – away from the Sala Deang intersection; at least five demonstrators were
reportedly killed and more than 50 others injured. The military has cleared the UDD barricades on Silom
and Sukhumvit roads, and is in control of the Lumphini Park area. Meanwhile, at least seven UDD leaders
are reported to have surrendered to the police.
Following the clashes, at least 27 buildings were set on fire by UDD protesters, including the stock
exchange building, on Ratchadapisek Road, the Central World shopping centre (mall) and several bank
branches. In addition, Klong Toey power station is reported to be on fire, which has led to power outages
across the city. Furthermore, the burning of tyres by protesters within the UDD site has caused a large
amount of black smoke to rise from the area. Elsewhere in the country, UDD supporters have held violent
protests in the cities of Chiang Mai (Chiang Mai province), Udon Thani (Udon Thani province) and Khon
Kaen (Khon Kaen province).

Road closures and blockades

 Sukhumvit Road closed between Soi 1 to Soi 11


 Wireless Road
 Rama IV Road is shut between Klong Toey and Sam Yan
 Entry has been restricted to Ratchaprarop
 Ratchadamri Road
 A section of Henri Dunant near the main protest site has been closed
 Ploenchit Road is shut between Chit Lom and Sukhumvit roads
 UDD blockades have sealed off Chit Lom Road and Asok Road, both of which cross Ploenchit
Road
 Silom Road is closed from Convent Road to Rama IV Road

Embassy closures

The US State Department on 15 May advised US citizens to defer all travel to Bangkok; it has also
authorised the departure of non-essential government staff and their family members. Consular services
have been suspended until 21 May; the mission has set up an emergency assistance centre for US
nationals at Westin Grande Sukhumvit Hotel, on Sukhumvit Road. The Australian, British, New Zealand,
Dutch and Japanese embassies are shut until further notice; the Japanese embassy has set up a
temporary office for consular services at the Imperial Queen's Park Hotel on Sukhumvit Road. The British
Foreign & Commonwealth Office (FCO) on 19 May advised UK nationals against all travel to Bangkok
and all but essential travel to Chiang Mai.

Disruption to services

The Bank of Thailand, the country's central bank, has declared bank holidays on 20-21 May due to
security concerns. The Siam Commercial Bank (SCB) on 18 May closed all its branches and currency
exchange facilities in the Ratchaprasong area and suspended services at 33 ATMs (cash machines) until
further notice. Chulalongkorn hospital is indefinitely closed and only emergency cases are being treated.
All skytrain (BTS) and Mass Rapid Transit metro (subway) services are suspended on 20 May. However,
mobile (cellular) telecommunications remain operational, though some network congestion reportedly
occurred. The authorities have stated that all foreign nationals would be assisted in reaching Bangkok's
Suvarnabhumi International Airport (BKK) during curfew hours, provided they carry proper documents,
such as passports.

Comment and Analysis

While the situation remains highly fluid in the capital, we continue to advise that evacuation from Bangkok
is not required at this time. Although a number of opposition leaders have surrendered, the stand-off
between those UDD activists who remain at the protest sites and the security forces continues. Sporadic
violence has spread beyond the limits of the UDD encampment, leading to a heightened potential for
isolated clashes between opposition supporters and the military across Bangkok and in other provinces;
the risk of violence spreading to other areas is credible. Bystanders in the vicinity of protest locations face
significant incidental risks during clashes between security personnel and demonstrators, or in the event
of sporadic incidents of targeted or indiscriminate violence.
The military action came after a deadline issued by the Center for the Resolution of Emergency Situations
(CRES), which is managing the government's response to the situation, for protesters to disperse on 17
May went unheeded. CRES declared the Phetchaburi Expressway intersection on Phetchaburi Road and
the stretch from Ratchathewi intersection to Sam Yan intersection on Phaya Thai Road no-entry zones, in
an attempt to gain control of the Ratchaprasong intersection area, where UDD supporters have been
encamped for several weeks. Previously, a luxury hotel located on Rama IV Road was damaged
overnight on 16-17 May by an explosion and gunfire. There was speculation that the hotel was targeted
because the sniper who earlier shot a key UDD leader was believed to be in the building. The UDD
leader's killing, on 13 May, exacerbated tensions in Bangkok. At least 37 people have been killed and
more than 250 injured, including six foreigners, in violence since then, making it the most significant
unrest the city has experienced since 10 April, when 25 people were killed and more than 800 injured in
related disturbances. Attempts to broker a peace between the government and the UDD in recent weeks
failed due to both parties' uncompromising stance.

20 May 2010

Thailand: WARNING: Military continues to clear protesters from Bangkok's Ratchaprasong area;
curfew extended

The military on 20 May continued to clear opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship
(UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts') protesters from the Ratchaprasong intersection area, near
Ploenchit and Ratchadamri roads, in the capital Bangkok. Meanwhile, the authorities have extended a
curfew imposed the previous day until early on 23 May. The curfew currently remains in place from 21.00
to 05.00 (local time) in Bangkok and the provinces of Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Nakhon Pathom,
Ayutthaya, Chon Buri, Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai, Lampang, Nakhon Sawan, Nan, Khon Kaen, Udon Thani,
Chaiyaphum, Nakhom Ratchasima, Si Saket, Ubon Ratchathani, Nong Bua Lumphu, Mahasarakham, Roi
Et, Sakhon Nakhon, Kalasin, Muk Da Han and Samutprakarn.

On 19 May, armoured personnel carriers moved in to the UDD's main protest site at Sala Daeng
intersection near Rama IV, Wireless and Silom roads. The security forces fired warning shots, sprayed
protest barricades with water to prevent the demonstrators from setting them alight, and pushed the
security cordon on Ratchadamri Road back north – away from the Sala Deang intersection; at least five
people were killed, including an Italian journalist, and more than 50 others were injured. The military has
cleared the UDD barricades on Silom, Sukhumvit and Chit Lom roads, and is in control of the Lumphini
Park area. Meanwhile, at least seven UDD leaders have surrendered to the police.

Following the clashes, UDD protesters overnight on 19-20 May set fire to at least 27 buildings, including
the stock exchange building on Ratchadapisek Road, the Central World shopping centre (mall) near
Ratchaprasong Road and several bank branches. In addition, Klong Toey power station was also set on
fire, leading to power outages across the city. Furthermore, the burning of tyres and buildings by
protesters in the city caused a large amount of black smoke to rise from the affected areas. Elsewhere in
the country, UDD supporters held violent protests in the cities of Chiang Mai (Chiang Mai province), Udon
Thani (Udon Thani province) and Khon Kaen (Khon Kaen province).

Road closures and blockades

 A security barricade is in place on Ploenchit Road, and traffic is restricted westward from Soi
Tomson.
 Access to Wireless Road from Ploenchit Road is possible; however, northbound traffic from
Rama IV Road to Wireless Road has been closed.
 Sarasin Road near Lumphini Park is completely closed.
 Langsuan Road remains closed to vehicles, but can be accessed by motorbike or on foot.
 Rama IV Road is closed between Klong Toey and Sam Yan.
 A security checkpoint remains in place between Ploenchit and Sukhumvit roads.
 Entry has been restricted to Ratchaprarop Road.
 Ratchadamri Road is closed.
 A section of Henri Dunant near the main protest site has been closed.
 Silom Road is closed from Convent Road to Rama IV Road.

Embassy closures

The US State Department on 15 May advised US citizens to defer all travel to Bangkok; it has also
authorised the departure of non-essential government staff and their family members. Consular services
have been suspended until 21 May; the mission has set up an emergency assistance centre for US
nationals at Westin Grande Sukhumvit Hotel, on Sukhumvit Road. The Australian, British, New Zealand,
Dutch and Japanese embassies are closed until further notice; the Japanese embassy has set up a
temporary office for consular services at the Imperial Queen's Park Hotel on Sukhumvit Road. The British
Foreign & Commonwealth Office (FCO) on 19 May advised British nationals against all travel to Bangkok
and all but essential travel to Chiang Mai.

Disruption to services

The Bank of Thailand, the country's central bank, has declared bank holidays on 20-21 May due to
security concerns. The Siam Commercial Bank (SCB) on 18 May closed all its branches and currency
exchange facilities in the Ratchaprasong area and suspended services at 33 ATMs (cash machines) until
further notice. Chulalongkorn hospital is indefinitely closed and only emergency cases are being treated.
All skytrain (BTS) and Mass Rapid Transit metro (subway) services are suspended on 20 May. However,
mobile (cellular) telecommunications remain operational, though some network congestion has occurred.
The authorities have stated that all foreign nationals would be assisted in reaching Bangkok's
Suvarnabhumi International Airport (BKK) during curfew hours, provided they carry proper documents,
such as passports.

Comment and Analysis

We continue to advise that evacuation from Bangkok is not required at this time. Although the security
situation appears to be slowly stabilising, clashes between the security forces and those UDD activists
who remain at the protest sites can be expected to continue through the day, particularly near the
Ratchaprasong intersection. While the curfew is likely to reduce UDD violence during the hours of
darkness, the risk of the activists setting further buildings and properties on fire persists. Sporadic
violence has spread beyond the limits of the UDD encampment and the potential for isolated clashes
between opposition supporters and the military across Bangkok and in other provinces continues,
particularly outside curfew hours. Bystanders in the vicinity of protest locations face significant incidental
risks in the event of sporadic incidents of violence.

The military action came after a deadline issued by the Center for the Resolution of Emergency Situations
(CRES), which is managing the government's response to the situation, for protesters to disperse on 17
May went unheeded. CRES declared the Phetchaburi Expressway intersection on Phetchaburi Road and
the stretch from the Ratchathewi intersection to the Sam Yan intersection on Phaya Thai Road no-entry
zones, in an attempt to gain control of the Ratchaprasong intersection area, where UDD supporters have
been encamped for several weeks. At least 37 people have been killed and more than 250 injured,
including six foreigners, in violence since 13 May, making it the most significant unrest the city has
experienced since 10 April, when 25 people were killed and more than 800 injured in related
disturbances. Attempts to broker a peace between the government and the UDD in recent weeks failed
due.

20 May 2010

Thailand: WARNING: Security situation in Bangkok continues to stabilise though potential for
sporadic violence remains (Revised 22.00 GMT)

The security situation in the capital Bangkok continued to improve overnight on 20-21 May. The nighttime
curfew, combined with continuing military action against the remaining pockets of hardline opposition
United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the 'Red Shirts') supporters,
appears to have brought the situation under control, after rioting and arson attacks followed the operation
to clear the group's protest sites on 19 May. The authorities on 20 May said that fires had been lit in 39
separate locations across the capital on 19-20 May; however, most had since been extinguished. The
security forces are now in control of the areas previously occupied by protesters, with final clearing
operations continuing late on 20 May in Din Daeng district and around Wat Pathumwanaram in
Ratchaprasong, where the last significant group of UDD activists had remained until late-morning. A
military spokesperson said that it would take up to two days to completely clear the protest site at
Ratchaprasong. Additionally, three further UDD leaders surrendered to the police and at least 63 others
believed to have been involved in the rioting were arrested on 20 May.

An overnight curfew will remain in place until early on 23 May. The curfew will run from 21.00 to 05.00
(local time) in Bangkok and the provinces of Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Nakhon Pathom, Ayutthaya,
Chon Buri, Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai, Lampang, Nakhon Sawan, Nan, Khon Kaen, Udon Thani,
Chaiyaphum, Nakhom Ratchasima, Si Saket, Ubon Ratchathani, Nong Bua Lumphu, Mahasarakham, Roi
Et, Sakhon Nakhon, Kalasin, Muk Da Han and Samutprakarn. The authorities have stated that all foreign
nationals will be assisted in reaching Bangkok's Suvarnabhumi International Airport (BKK) during curfew
hours, provided they carry proper documents, such as passports.

Road closures and blockades in Bangkok

 A security barricade is in place on Ploenchit Road, and traffic is restricted westward from Soi
Tomson.
 Access to Wireless Road from Ploenchit Road is possible; however, northbound traffic from
Rama IV Road to Wireless Road has been closed.
 Sarasin Road near Lumphini Park is completely closed.
 Langsuan Road remains closed to vehicles, but can be accessed by motorbike or on foot.
 Rama IV Road is closed between Klong Toey and Sam Yan.
 A security checkpoint remains in place between Ploenchit and Sukhumvit roads.
 Entry has been restricted to Ratchaprarop Road.
 Ratchadamri Road is closed.
 A section of Henri Dunant near the main protest site has been closed.
 Silom Road is closed from Convent Road to Rama IV Road.

Embassy closures

The US State Department on 15 May advised US citizens to defer all travel to Bangkok. Consular
services have been suspended until 21 May; the mission has set up an emergency assistance centre for
US nationals at Westin Grande Sukhumvit Hotel, on Sukhumvit Road. The Australian, British, New
Zealand, Dutch and Japanese embassies are closed until further notice; the Japanese embassy has set
up a temporary office for consular services at the Imperial Queen's Park Hotel on Sukhumvit Road. The
South African embassy will reopen on 21 May. The British Foreign & Commonwealth Office (FCO) on 19
May advised British nationals against all travel to Bangkok and all but essential travel to Chiang Mai.

Disruption to services

The Bank of Thailand, the country's central bank, on 20 May declared that it would allow bank branches
in department stores and shopping centres (malls) to open on 21 May, despite having declared the day a
bank holiday. However, all skytrain (BTS) and Mass Rapid Transit metro (subway) services will remain
suspended on 21 May. Mobile (cellular) telecommunications are operational, though some network
congestion has occurred.

Comment and Analysis

We continue to advise that evacuation from Bangkok is not required at this time. The security situation
appears to be stabilising and most civilian protesters are not expected to return to the former protest
sites. However, while the curfew is likely to reduce UDD violence during the hours of darkness, the risk of
the remaining hardline activists setting buildings and properties on fire persists. In addition, sporadic
violence has spread beyond the limits of the former UDD encampment and there is continued potential for
isolated clashes between opposition supporters and the military across Bangkok and in other provinces,
particularly outside curfew hours. Bystanders face significant incidental risks in the event of confrontations
involving UDD activists.

The military on 19 May moved in to clear the UDD's main protest site and dismantle barricades at Sala
Daeng intersection near Rama IV, Wireless and Silom roads following a two-month stand-off with
protesters. At least five UDD leaders surrendered to the police; however, groups of UDD supporters
rioted, setting fire to buildings including the stock exchange on Ratchadapisek Road, the Central World
shopping centre (mall) near Ratchaprasong Road, and several bank branches. Elsewhere in the country,
UDD supporters held violent protests in the cities of Chiang Mai (Chiang Mai province), Udon Thani
(Udon Thani province) and Khon Kaen (Khon Kaen province). The military action came after a deadline
issued by the Center for the Resolution of Emergency Situations (CRES), which is managing the
government response to the situation, for protesters to disperse went unheeded. Attempts to broker a
peace between the government and the UDD in recent weeks had also failed. At least 53 people have
been killed and more than 350 injured, including six foreigners, in violence in the capital since 13 May.

21 May 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Exercise heightened caution though normal travel to Bangkok can
resume following military's success in dispersing opposition protesters

Local sources on 21 May confirm that the security situation in the capital Bangkok is relatively calm and
there have been no incidents of violence. The military is continuing with follow-up operations in areas
affected by violent protests by the opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD,
commonly known as the ‘Red Shirts'). The Centre for Resolution of Emergency Situation (CRES), which
supervised the government's response to the situation, announced that special units comprising military,
police and government officials would be deployed in the city to prevent further unrest and arson by
militant elements of the UDD. CRES claimed to have secured the main UDD protest site at the
Ratchaprasong intersection and its surrounding areas. Similar measures will continue at other locations in
the capital affected by the unrest.

An overnight curfew from 21.00 to 05.00 (local time) will remain in effect until 23 May in Bangkok and the
provinces of Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Nakhon Pathom, Ayutthaya, Chon Buri, Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai,
Lampang, Nakhon Sawan, Nan, Khon Kaen, Udon Thani, Chaiyaphum, Nakhom Ratchasima, Si Saket,
Ubon Ratchathani, Nong Bua Lumphu, Mahasarakham, Roi Et, Sakhon Nakhon, Kalasin, Muk Da Han
and Samutprakarn. The authorities have stated that all travellers to and from Bangkok's Suvarnabhumi
International Airport (BKK) will be assisted during curfew hours, provided they carry proper documents,
such as passports.

Road closures and blockades in Bangkok (the list is not exhaustive)

 A security barricade is in place on Ploenchit Road, and traffic is restricted westward from Soi
Tomson.
 Wireless Road is open from Ploenchit Road to Soi Sanam Khli; however, access from Rama IV
Road is blocked.
 Sarasin Road near Lumphini Park is closed.
 Langsuan Road remains closed to vehicles, but can be accessed by motorbike or on foot.
 Rama IV Road is closed.
 Access from Silom Road to Narathiwat Road is blocked.
 A security checkpoint remains in place between Ploenchit and Sukhumvit roads.
 Ratchadamri Road is closed.
 Entry has been restricted to Ratchaprarop Road.
 A section of Henri Dunant near the main protest site has been closed.

Embassy closures

The US, Australian, British, New Zealand, Japanese and South African embassies are closed until further
notice. The US mission has set up an emergency assistance centre for US nationals at Westin Grande
Sukhumvit Hotel, on Sukhumvit Road. The Japanese embassy has set up a temporary office for consular
services at the Imperial Queen's Park Hotel on Sukhumvit Road. The South African embassy was
scheduled to reopen on 21 May, though it is not clear whether services have resumed. The Dutch
embassy will reopen on 24 May. There has been no change to the US and the British Foreign &
Commonwealth Office (FCO) travel recommendations; both countries are advising their nationals against
all travel to Bangkok.

Disruption to services

The Bank of Thailand, the country's central bank, said that its branches in Bangkok would resume normal
operations on 24 May; the bank had earlier allowed branches in department stores and shopping centres
(malls) to reopen on 21 May. However, all skytrain (BTS) and Mass Rapid Transit metro (subway)
services will remain suspended until at least 22 May. Mobile (cellular) telecommunications are
operational, though some network congestion has occurred.

Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva on 21 May stated in a televised speech that the security situation had
been brought under control and reiterated his commitment to the five-point reconciliation plan announced
earlier. While he did not announce a date for elections, he promised to ensure an independent
investigation into the recent unrest.

Comment and Analysis

The security situation appears to be stabilising in Bangkok, though isolated incidents of arson and
violence by UDD supporters are possible in the coming days. However, the security forces will respond
robustly to any provocations. Most UDD supporters are not expected to return to the former protest sites.
While the curfew is likely to reduce violence during the hours of darkness, the risk of the remaining
hardline UDD activists indulging in further incidents of arson, such as setting buildings and properties on
fire, persists. There is also continued potential for isolated clashes between opposition supporters and the
military across Bangkok and in other areas, especially in the northern and north-eastern provinces, where
the UDD has significant support and to where majority of protesters are likely to have returned after the
military operation in the capital. Bystanders face significant incidental risks associated with exposure to
areas where clashes between the security personnel and remnant UDD supporters occur or in the event
of protesters resorting to arson attacks in public places.

The military on 19 May launched operations to disperse UDD protesters following a two-month stand-off
in Bangkok. Several UDD leaders were either arrested or surrendered to the police. However, the
hardline elements of the group rioted, setting fire to several buildings, including the Stock Exchange on
Ratchadapisek Road, the Central World shopping centre near Ratchaprasong, and several bank
branches. There were incidents of arson overnight on 19-20 May, with minor fires being reported in 39
locations across the capital. Elsewhere in the country, UDD supporters held violent demonstrations in the
cities of Chiang Mai (Chiang Mai province), Udon Thani (Udon Thani province) and Khon Kaen (Khon
Kaen province). At least 53 people, including a foreign journalist, have been killed and more than 350
others, including six foreigners, injured in the unrest in Bangkok since 13 May.

22 May 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Authorities reduce curfew timings in Bangkok following military
dispersal of opposition protesters (Revised 22 May)

The authorities on 22 May announced that overnight curfew timings in the capital Bangkok and some
provinces had been reduced and would now be from 23.00 to 05.00 (local time) on the following day, after
the military successfully dispersed opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD,
commonly known as the ‘Red Shirts') protesters from their main sites in Bangkok. The security situation in
Bangkok is believed to be relatively calm and there have been no fresh incidents of violence.

The military is continuing with follow-up operations in areas affected by violent protests by the UDD. At
least 12 checkpoints have been established around the city to ensure order and prevent any remnant
groups from inciting violence. The Centre for Resolution of Emergency Situation (CRES), which
supervised the government's response to the situation, announced that special units comprising military,
police and government officials had been deployed in the city to prevent further unrest and arson by
militant elements of the UDD. CRES claimed to have secured the main UDD protest site at the
Ratchaprasong intersection and its surrounding areas, and announced the seizure of several weapons,
greandes and ammunition. Similar measures will continue at other locations in the capital affected by the
unrest.

The authorities late on 21 May lifted the curfew in the resort city of Pattaya, but the measure will still
remain in place for the surrounding Chon Buri province. While it is unclear which provinces will adhere to
the revised timings, the overnight curfew from 21.00 to 05.00 until 23 May was also scheduled to remain
in effect in the provinces of Nonthaburi, Pathum Thani, Nakhon Pathom, Ayutthaya, Chiang Mai, Chiang
Rai, Lampang, Nakhon Sawan, Nan, Khon Kaen, Udon Thani, Chaiyaphum, Nakhom Ratchasima, Si
Saket, Ubon Ratchathani, Nong Bua Lumphu, Mahasarakham, Roi Et, Sakhon Nakhon, Kalasin, Muk Da
Han and Samutprakarn. Deputy Prime Minister Suthep Thaugsuban said the decision to extend the
curfew beyond 23 May would be made on a day-to-day basis. The authorities have stated that all
travellers to and from Bangkok's Suvarnabhumi International Airport (BKK) will be assisted during curfew
hours, provided they carry proper documents, such as passports.

Embassy closures

The US, Australian, British, New Zealand, Japanese and South African embassies are closed until further
notice. The US mission has set up an emergency assistance centre for US nationals at Westin Grande
Sukhumvit Hotel, on Sukhumvit Road. The Japanese embassy has set up a temporary office for consular
services at the Imperial Queen's Park Hotel on Sukhumvit Road. The South African embassy was
scheduled to reopen on 21 May, though it is not clear whether services have resumed. The Dutch
embassy will reopen on 24 May. There has been no change to the US and the British Foreign &
Commonwealth Office (FCO) travel recommendations; both countries are advising their nationals against
all travel to Bangkok.

Disruption to services

The Bank of Thailand, the country's central bank, said that its branches in Bangkok would resume normal
operations on 24 May; the bank had earlier allowed branches in department stores and shopping centres
(malls) to reopen on 21 May. Mass Rapid Transit metro (subway) and skytrain (BTS) services will resume
on 23 May from 08.00 until 20.00 and 22.00 respectively; however, Ratchadamri station on the Silom
route of the skytrain will remain closed. Mobile (cellular) telecommunications are operational, though
some network congestion has occurred.

Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva on 21 May stated in a televised speech that the security situation had
been brought under control and reiterated his commitment to the five-point reconciliation plan announced
earlier. While he did not announce a date for elections, he promised an independent investigation into the
recent unrest.

Comment and Analysis

The security situation appears to be stabilising in Bangkok, though isolated incidents of arson and
violence by UDD supporters are possible in the coming days. However, the security forces will respond
robustly to any provocations. Most UDD supporters are not expected to return to the former protest sites.
While the curfew is likely to reduce violence during the hours of darkness, the risk of the remaining
hardline UDD activists indulging in further incidents of arson, such as setting buildings and properties on
fire, persists. There is also continued potential for isolated clashes between opposition supporters and the
military across Bangkok and in other areas, especially in the northern and north-eastern provinces, where
the UDD has significant support and to where majority of protesters are likely to have returned after the
military operation in the capital. Bystanders face significant incidental risks associated with exposure to
areas where clashes between the security personnel and remnant UDD supporters occur or in the event
of protesters resorting to arson attacks in public places.

The military on 19 May launched operations to disperse UDD protesters following a two-month stand-off
in Bangkok. Several UDD leaders were either arrested or surrendered to the police. However, the
hardline elements of the group rioted, setting fire to several buildings, including the Stock Exchange on
Ratchadapisek Road, the Central World shopping centre near Ratchaprasong, and several bank
branches. There were incidents of arson overnight on 19-20 May, with minor fires being reported in 39
locations across the capital. Elsewhere in the country, UDD supporters held violent demonstrations in the
cities of Chiang Mai (Chiang Mai province), Udon Thani (Udon Thani province) and Khon Kaen (Khon
Kaen province). At least 53 people, including a foreign journalist, have been killed and more than 350
others, including six foreigners, injured in the unrest in Bangkok since 13 May.

23 May 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Overnight curfew to remain in place in Bangkok, several provinces
on 23, 24 May though situation remains calm

The authorities have announced that an overnight curfew will remain in place on 23 and 24 May, from
23.00 to 04.00 (local time), in the capital Bangkok and 23 provinces following the successful dispersal of
opposition United Front for Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the ‘Red Shirts')
protesters from their encampment in Bangkok. The affected provinces are Chon Buri, Nonthaburi,
Pathum Thani, Nakhon Pathom, Ayutthaya, Chiang Mai, Chiang Rai, Lampang, Nakhon Sawan, Nan,
Khon Kaen, Udon Thani, Chaiyaphum, Nakhom Ratchasima, Si Saket, Ubon Ratchathani, Nong Bua
Lumphu, Mahasarakham, Roi Et, Sakhon Nakhon, Kalasin, Muk Da Han and Samutprakarn. However,
the curfew has been lifted in the resort city of Pattaya (Chon Buri). The authorities have stated that all
travellers to and from Bangkok's Suvarnabhumi International Airport (BKK) will be assisted during curfew
hours, provided they carry proper documents, such as passports.

The security situation in Bangkok is relatively calm on 23 May and there have been no fresh incidents of
violence. Several roads closed during the crisis have reopened, including Wireless, Sathorn and Silom
roads; however, access to Ratchaprasong intersection, where the main UDD protest site was located, is
still restricted to motorbikes and pedestrians. The military is continuing with follow-up operations in areas
affected by violent UDD protests; at least 12 checkpoints have been established around the city to ensure
order. The Centre for Resolution of Emergency Situation (CRES), which supervised the government's
response to the crisis, announced on 22 May that special units comprising military, police and
government officials had been deployed in the capital to prevent further unrest or arson by militant
elements of the UDD.

Embassy closures

The US, Australian, British and Japanese embassies are closed until further notice, while the New
Zealand, South African and Dutch missions are scheduled to reopen on 24 May. The US mission has set
up an emergency assistance centre for US nationals at Westin Grande Sukhumvit Hotel, on Sukhumvit
Road. The Japanese embassy has set up a temporary office for consular services at the Imperial Queen's
Park Hotel on Sukhumvit Road. There has been no change to the US and the British Foreign &
Commonwealth Office (FCO) travel recommendations; both countries are advising their nationals against
all travel to Bangkok.

Disruption to services

The Bank of Thailand, the country's central bank, said that its branches in Bangkok would resume normal
operations on 24 May; the bank had earlier allowed branches in department stores and shopping centres
(malls) to reopen on 21 May. Mass Rapid Transit metro (subway) and skytrain (BTS) services resumed
on 23 May from 08.00 until 20.00 and 22.00 respectively; however, Ratchadamri station on the Silom
route of the skytrain will remain closed. Mobile (cellular) telecommunications are operational.

Comment and Analysis

The security situation appears to be stabilising in Bangkok. Isolated incidents of arson and violence by
UDD supporters are possible in the coming days; however, the security forces will respond robustly to any
provocation. Furthermore, most UDD supporters are not expected to return to the former protest sites.
While the curfew is likely to reduce violence during the hours of darkness, the risk of the remaining
hardline UDD activists indulging in further incidents of arson persists. There is also continued potential for
isolated clashes between opposition supporters and the military across Bangkok and in other areas,
especially in the northern and north-eastern provinces, where the UDD has significant support and to
where a majority of protesters are likely to have returned after the military operation in the capital.
Bystanders face significant incidental risks during clashes between security personnel and remnant UDD
supporters , or in the event of protesters resorting to arson attacks in public places.

The military on 19 May launched operations to disperse UDD protesters following a two-month stand-off
in Bangkok. Several UDD leaders were either arrested or surrendered to the police. However, hardline
elements of the group rioted, setting several buildings alight, including the Stock Exchange on
Ratchadapisek Road, the Central World shopping centre (mall) near Ratchaprasong, and several bank
branches. Elsewhere in the country, UDD supporters held violent demonstrations in the cities of Chiang
Mai (Chiang Mai province), Udon Thani (Udon Thani province) and Khon Kaen (Khon Kaen province). At
least 53 people, including a foreign journalist, were killed and more than 350 others, including six
foreigners, injured in the unrest in Bangkok since 13 May.

25 Jul 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Explosion in central Bangkok injures several

At least eight people were injured in an explosion at around 17.45 (local time) on 25 July at a bus stop on
Ratchadamri Road, near Ratchaprasong intersection in the capital Bangkok. Preliminary reports indicate
that it may have been caused by a device placed in a bag used for rubbish. A heightened police presence
can be expected in the vicinity of the incident as the authorities conduct an investigation.

Travel Advice:

 Avoid the vicinity of Ratchaprasong intersection and its surrounding areas until the situation
becomes clearer.
 Remain vigilant to your surroundings; report any suspicious items to the authorites.
 Anticipate increased stop-checks as the security forces conduct their investigation; allow
additional travel time and carry personal identification to ease movement through checkpoints.
 Monitor the local media and our website for updates.

25 Jul 2010

Special Advisory - Thailand: Explosion in central Bangkok highlights political tensions; expect
localised disruption (Revised 13.25 GMT)

At least nine people were injured on 25 July in an explosion at 17.51 (local time) at a bus stop outside the
Big C department store on Ratchadamri Road, near Ratchaprasong intersection, in the capital Bangkok.
Preliminary reports indicate that it was caused by an improvised device placed in a bag used for rubbish.
The impact also damaged two nearby vehicles. The police have cordoned off the site of the explosion,
suspended traffic in the area and commenced an investigation.

Comment and Analysis

The increased security force presence and associated traffic restrictions will cause localised disruption
near the site of the incident in the coming hours. Investigations are ongoing and the exact reason for the
blast is unclear; however, the incident coincided with a parliamentary by-election in the city's north-
eastern Constituency 6, which saw a government candidate pitted against a jailed opposition Puea Thai
Party (PTP) candidate, and hence may have been politically motivated. A state of emergency remains in
place in Bangkok, as well as 15 other provinces; the authorities had earlier deployed additional police for
the polls, and security is likely to remain heightened in the capital over the next few days in view of the
blast. The explosion highlights the potential for politically-motivated violence, and while further incidents
are possible, they will probably remain localised and small, possibly focusing on government installations;
foreigners are unlikely to face a direct risk from any associated unrest.

The explosion took place in front of the Big C and opposite the Central World shopping complex, which
were set alight at the end of a long-running anti-government protest organised by the United Front for
Democracy against Dictatorship (UDD, commonly known as the ‘Red Shirts'). The demonstrators
occupied Bangkok's central commercial district between 12 March and 19 May, and at least 89 people
were killed and nearly 2,000 others injured during clashes between UDD activists and the security forces
in the same area. The latest explosion occurred shortly after voting for the by-elections ended; exit polls
have indicated that Panich Vikitseth, candidate for the Prime Minister Abhisit Vejjajiva's Democrat Party
(DP) is leading the vote with nearly 53%, while the PTP candidate Kokaew Pikultong, who is facing
charges pertaining to his role in the UDD protests, has apparently received around 41%. The vote had
been seen by some as a referendum on the government's handling of the UDD unrest. While critics have
alleged that the existing emergency conditions are an exaggeration of the potential anti-government
threat, the latest incident will mean that security measures remain tight in Bangkok in the coming days.

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