Opinion Polling For The United Kingdom General Election, 2015

Opinion polling for the United Kingdom general election, 2015
In the run up to the general election on 7 May 2015, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intention. Results of such polls are
displayed in this article. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the
British Polling Council(BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules.
The date range for these opinion polls is from 6 May 2010 (the date of theprevious general election) to 7 May 2015.
Most opinion polls cover only Great Britain (England, Scotland and Wales). Separate polls covering constituent countries of the UK and English regions
are reported further below while polling of individual constituencies and groups of them (such as groups of mar
ginals) is covered in a separate article.
In the event, the actual results proved to be rather different from those indicated by the opinion polls. Opinion polls conducted in the last few months of
Polling results for the 2015 UK
the campaign, and even in the last few days, had indicated a very close result between the Conservatives and Labour in terms of numbers of votes, General Election, compared to the
suggesting that one of the main parties would have to form a perhaps complex coalition with smaller parties in order to govern. actual result
However the actual results showed a stronger performance by the Conservatives, which gave them an overall majority, since Labour also had a weaker
performance than the polls had suggested.[1][2][3] When the exit poll was initially presented, some commentators and politicians doubted it, with Paddy Ashdown even declaring "If this poll is correct I
will publicly eat my hat on your programme" in response to the apparently poor results for the Liberal Democrats.[4] The exit poll was eventually proved to have in fact overestimated the Liberal
Democrats' performance. If the Survation telephone poll (6 May) had been published it would have produced results within 1% of the election results.
Contents
Graphical summary
Poll results
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Sub-national polling
England
Scotland
Wales
Northern Ireland
London
Detailed poll results
Methodology
See also
References and notes
External links
Graphical summary
15-day average trend line of poll results from 6 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line corresponding to a political party
.
Labour Party
Conservative Party
Liberal Democrats
UK Independence Party
Green Party
The chart shows the relative state of the parties from 13 May 2010 to 7 May 2015, with each line's colour corresponding to a political party: red for the Labour Party, blue for the Conservative Party,
purple for the UK Independence Party, yellow for the Liberal Democrats, and green for the combined Green Party of England and Wales and Scottish Green Party. While not shown here, other parties
have on occasion polled higher than one or more of the parties represented, for example in the Lord Ashcroft poll conducted on 17–19 April 2015, where the Scottish National Party polled 6% and the
Greens 4%.[5] Each dot represents a party's results from an opinion poll displayed in the table below
.
Poll results
Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order.[6] The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's
colour. The 'party lead' column shows the percentage-point difference between the two parties with the highest figures. In the instance of a tie, no figure is shaded but both are displayed in bold.
Throughout the 2010-2015 parliament, first and second places have without exception alternated between the Conservatives and Labour. The Liberal Democrats and the UK Independence Party have
tended to hold either third or fourth place in each individual poll. The combined Green parties of England and Wales and Scotland have most frequently polled fifth and have on occasions polled fourth –
level with or ahead of the UK Independence Party or the Liberal Democrats. Included in the 'others' column are other smaller parties, the largest of which (by votes at the 2010 general election) are the
British National Party, the Scottish National Partyand Plaid Cymru. Detailed poll results that break down 'others' for some dates in 2014 and 2010 are available in a second table, below
.
2015
Date(s) Sample
Polling organisation/client Con Lab LD UKIP Green Others Lead
conducted size
7 May General Election results (GB only) [7][8] – 37.8% 31.2% 8.1% 12.9% 3.8% 6.3% 6.6%
5–7 May Populus [9] 3,917 34% 34% 9% 13% 5% 6% Tied
6 May Survation [10](unpublished) 1,045 37% 31% 10% 11% 5% 6% 6%

30 Apr–6
May SurveyMonkey [11] 18,131 34% 28% 7% 13% 8% 9% 6%
5–6 May Lord Ashcroft 3,028 33% 33% 10% 11% 6% 8% Tied
5–6 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,186 36% 35% 8% 11% 5% 5% 1%
4–6 May YouGov/The Sun 10,307 34% 34% 10% 12% 4% 6% Tied
5–6 May ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News 1,007 35% 34% 9% 12% 4% 6% 1%
4–6 May Survation/Daily Mirror [n 1] 4,088 31% 31% 10% 16% 5% 7% Tied
3–6 May ICM/The Guardian [n 2] 2,023 34% 35% 9% 11% 4% 7% 1%
3–6 May ICM/The Guardian [n 3] 1,560 35% 35% 9% 11% 3% 7% Tied
1–6 May Panelbase [12] 3,019 31% 33% 8% 16% 5% 7% 2%

4–5 May Opinium 2,960 35% 34% 8% 12% 6% 5% 1%
4–5 May Survation/Daily Mirror 1,504 33% 34% 9% 16% 4% 4% 1%
3–5 May ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News 1,011 35% 32% 9% 14% 4% 6% 3%
3–5 May BMG/May2015.com, New Statesman 1,009 34% 34% 10% 12% 4% 6% Tied
30 Apr–4
TNS 1,185 33% 32% 8% 14% 6% 6% 1%
May
2–3 May YouGov/The Sun 1,789 34% 33% 9% 12% 5% 7% 1%
1–3 May Lord Ashcroft 1,001 32% 30% 11% 12% 7% 9% 2%
1–3 May Populus 2,054 34% 34% 10% 13% 5% 5% Tied
1–2 May YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,967 34% 33% 8% 13% 5% 7% 1%
1–2 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 2,128 31% 34% 8% 17% 4% 6% 3%
30 Apr–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,575 33% 34% 8% 14% 5% 5% 1%
May
30 Apr–1
Survation/Daily Mirror 1,117 33% 34% 9% 16% 3% 5% 1%
May
Question T ime featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Miliband broadcast on BBC One ;
30 Apr
Ask Nicola Sturgeon , Ask Leanne W ood and Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
29–30 Apr YouGov/Sun on Sunday 1,970 34% 35% 9% 12% 5% 6% 1%
29–30 Apr Populus 2,016 33% 33% 9% 15% 4% 5% Tied
29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,729 34% 35% 8% 12% 5% 6% 1%
29–30 Apr Panelbase 1,020 32% 34% 8% 17% 4% 7% 2%
ComRes/Independent on Sunday , Sunday
28–30 Apr 1,002 33% 33% 8% 13% 7% 6% Tied
Mirror
28–30 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,956 35% 34% 8% 13% 5% 5% 1%
26–29 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,010 35% 30% 8% 10% 8% 9% 5%
27–28 Apr ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,005 35% 35% 7% 11% 6% 6% Tied
25–27 Apr BMG/May2015.com [13] 1,013 35% 32% 11% 14% 3% 5% 3%
23–27 Apr TNS 1,186 34% 33% 7% 15% 5% 5% 1%
24–26 Apr Lord Ashcroft 1,003 36% 30% 9% 11% 7% 7% 6%
24–26 Apr ICM/The Guardian 1,004 35% 32% 9% 13% 5% 6% 3%
24–26 Apr Populus 2,072 33% 36% 8% 14% 5% 4% 3%
24–25 Apr YouGov/Sunday T imes 2,271 32% 34% 9% 14% 6% 5% 2%
24–25 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,004 33% 30% 9% 18% 4% 6% 3%
22–23 Apr Populus 2,051 32% 35% 8% 14% 5% 6% 3%
22–23 Apr Survation/Daily Mirror 1,205 33% 29% 10% 18% 4% 6% 4%
21–23 Apr Panelbase 1,012 31% 34% 7% 17% 4% 7% 3%
21–22 Apr ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,003 36% 32% 8% 10% 5% 9% 4%
16–20 Apr TNS 1,199 32% 34% 8% 15% 5% 6% 2%
17–19 Apr Lord Ashcroft 1,002 34% 30% 10% 13% 4% 9% 4%
17–19 Apr Populus 2,048 32% 34% 9% 15% 4% 6% 2%
16–17 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,713 34% 34% 9% 14% 5% 5% Tied
16 Apr Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
15–16 Apr Populus 2,048 33% 34% 9% 14% 4% 5% 1%
15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,939 34% 34% 7% 14% 5% 6% Tied
14–16 Apr Panelbase 1,025 33% 34% 8% 16% 4% 5% 1%
9–13 Apr TNS 1,192 34% 32% 9% 14% 5% 6% 2%
10–12 Apr Lord Ashcroft 1,003 33% 33% 9% 13% 6% 8% Tied
10–12 Apr Populus 2,036 33% 33% 8% 15% 5% 6% Tied
10–11 Apr YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,887 34% 34% 7% 13% 6% 6% Tied
8–9 Apr Populus 2,020 31% 33% 8% 16% 6% 7% 2%
7–9 Apr Panelbase 1,013 31% 37% 8% 16% 4% 4% 6%
7–8 Apr ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,013 34% 33% 12% 12% 4% 6% 1%
2–7 Apr TNS 1,207 30% 33% 8% 19% 4% 7% 3%
2–6 Apr Populus 2,008 31% 33% 10% 15% 4% 7% 2%
2–3 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,974 33% 33% 7% 14% 7% 5% Tied
2 Apr Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
31 Mar–2
Panelbase 1,006 33% 33% 7% 17% 5% 5% Tied
Apr
31 Mar–1
Populus 2,057 32% 34% 9% 15% 5% 5% 2%
Apr
31 Mar–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,678 36% 34% 8% 13% 4% 5% 2%
Apr
30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,566 35% 36% 7% 12% 5% 5% 1%
30 Mar Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
29–30 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,001 35% 35% 8% 12% 5% 5% Tied
26–30 Mar TNS 1,197 33% 32% 8% 16% 5% 7% 1%
28–29 Mar ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,005 36% 32% 9% 12% 5% 7% 4%
27–29 Mar Lord Ashcroft 1,004 36% 34% 6% 10% 7% 6% 2%
27–29 Mar Populus 2,004 34% 34% 8% 15% 4% 5% Tied
27–28 Mar YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,799 32% 36% 8% 13% 6% 5% 4%
26 Mar First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
25–26 Mar Populus 2,049 31% 33% 9% 16% 5% 6% 2%
24–26 Mar Panelbase 1,007 34% 34% 5% 15% 6% 6% Tied
24–25 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,959 34% 33% 8% 13% 7% 3% 1%
24–25 Mar Survation/Daily Mirror 1,007 32% 33% 8% 18% 4% 5% 1%
18–23 Mar YouGov/The T imes 8,271 34% 33% 8% 14% 5% 6% 1%
20–22 Mar ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 1,001 35% 35% 8% 10% 7% 6% Tied
20–22 Mar Lord Ashcroft 1,003 33% 33% 8% 12% 5% 9% Tied
20–22 Mar Populus 2,035 31% 33% 9% 16% 5% 5% 2%
20–21 Mar Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,008 30% 34% 10% 17% 3% 6% 4%
18–19 Mar Populus 2,020 31% 34% 9% 17% 5% 4% 3%
18 Mar United Kingdom Budget, 2015 read to Parliament by The Chancellor of the Exchequer .
13–16 Mar TNS 1,188 33% 32% 7% 17% 4% 7% 1%
13–15 Mar ICM/The Guardian 1,001 36% 35% 8% 9% 4% 8% 1%
13–15 Mar Populus 2,041 34% 34% 8% 15% 5% 5% Tied
12–13 Mar YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,669 34% 34% 7% 14% 5% 6% Tied
ComRes/Sunday Mirror , Independent on
11–13 Mar 2,002 33% 35% 7% 16% 4% 5% 2%
Sunday
11–12 Mar Populus 2,041 29% 32% 8% 18% 6% 7% 3%
8–11 Mar Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,025 33% 34% 8% 13% 6% 6% 1%
6–8 Mar Populus 2,026 32% 33% 9% 15% 6% 6% 1%
3–6 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,961 34% 34% 8% 14% 7% 5% Tied
4–5 Mar Populus 2,063 31% 33% 8% 16% 5% 5% 2%
27 Feb–1
Lord Ashcroft 1,003 34% 31% 7% 14% 7% 8% 3%
Mar
27 Feb–1
Populus 2,056 32% 34% 8% 14% 5% 7% 2%
Mar
26–27 Feb YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,959 34% 34% 8% 14% 5% 5% Tied
25–27 Feb Populus 2,005 31% 33% 9% 16% 6% 5% 2%
25–26 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,638 33% 34% 8% 13% 6% 6% 1%
24–26 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,948 34% 35% 6% 14% 6% 6% 1%
24–25 Feb YouGov/The Sun 1,581 33% 33% 8% 15% 6% 5% Tied
23 Feb Survation/Daily Mirror 1,046 28% 34% 10% 19% 4% 5% 6%
20–23 Feb ComRes/Daily Mail 1,004 34% 32% 8% 13% 8% 6% 2%
20–22 Feb Lord Ashcroft 1,004 32% 36% 7% 11% 8% 6% 4%
20–22 Feb Populus 2,059 32% 32% 9% 15% 6% 6% Tied
19–20 Feb YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,568 33% 34% 8% 13% 6% 6% 1%
18–19 Feb Populus 2,011 31% 32% 9% 17% 6% 5% 1%
12–16 Feb TNS 1,193 28% 35% 6% 18% 7% 6% 7%
13–15 Feb Populus 2,012 31% 33% 10% 15% 5% 5% 2%
13–15 Feb ICM/The Guardian 1,000 36% 32% 10% 9% 7% 7% 4%
11–12 Feb 2,017 32% 34% 7% 16% 4% 7% 2%
Sunday
11–12 Feb Populus 2,055 31% 34% 9% 14% 6% 6% 3%

8–10 Feb Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,010 34% 36% 6% 9% 7% 8% 2%
6–8 Feb Populus 2,003 33% 34% 8% 15% 4% 4% 1%
4–5 Feb Populus 2,056 31% 34% 8% 16% 5% 6% 3%
30 Jan–2
Populus 2,040 31% 34% 8% 14% 5% 6% 3%
Feb
29 Jan–2
TNS 1,182 27% 33% 6% 18% 8% 8% 6%
Feb
30 Jan–1
Lord Ashcroft 1,002 31% 31% 8% 15% 9% 6% Tied
Feb
29–30 Jan YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,550 32% 35% 7% 15% 6% 5% 3%
27–30 Jan Opinium/The Observer 1,975 32% 33% 5% 18% 6% 6% 1%
28–29 Jan Populus 2,020 34% 35% 10% 14% 4% 3% 1%
28–29 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,593 34% 34% 6% 14% 7% 5% Tied
26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sun 1,655 34% 33% 7% 14% 7% 5% 1%
23–26 Jan TNS-BMRB/BBC Radio 4 W oman's Hour 975 28% 39% 4% 14% 8% 7% 11%
25 Jan Survation/Daily Mirror 1,014 31% 30% 7% 23% 3% 6% 1%
23–25 Jan ComRes/The Independent 1,001 31% 30% 8% 17% 7% 7% 1%
23–25 Jan Populus 2,039 34% 35% 9% 13% 6% 3% 1%
22–25 Jan Lord Ashcroft 1,001 32% 32% 6% 15% 9% 6% Tied
22–23 Jan YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,578 32% 32% 7% 15% 7% 6% Tied
21–22 Jan Populus 2,049 32% 36% 9% 13% 6% 4% 4%
16–19 Jan ICM/The Guardian 1,002 30% 33% 11% 11% 9% 7% 3%
15–19 Jan TNS 1,188 31% 31% 8% 16% 7% 7% Tied
16–18 Jan Lord Ashcroft 1,004 29% 28% 9% 15% 11% 8% 1%
16–18 Jan Populus 2,036 35% 36% 8% 13% 4% 4% 1%
14–15 Jan YouGov/Sun on Sunday 1,763 31% 33% 7% 16% 7% 6% 2%
14–15 Jan 2,023 33% 34% 7% 18% 3% 5% 1%
Sunday
14–15 Jan Populus 2,070 32% 35% 9% 14% 6% 4% 3%
11–13 Jan Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,010 33% 34% 8% 11% 8% 6% 1%
9–11 Jan Populus 2,056 32% 37% 10% 13% 4% 4% 5%
8–9 Jan YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,684 32% 32% 7% 18% 6% 5% Tied
7–8 Jan Populus 2,046 33% 34% 8% 14% 6% 5% 1%
6–8 Jan TNS 1,201 28% 35% 6% 18% 5% 8% 7%
2–4 Jan Populus 2,046 34% 36% 9% 12% 5% 5% 2%
30 Dec–2
Opinium/The Observer 1,970 32% 33% 8% 17% 4% 7% 1%
Jan
2014
Date(s) Sample
conducted size
19–23 Dec Opinium/The Observer [n 4] 2,003 29% 33% 6% 19% 6% 7% 4%
21–22 Dec YouGov/The Sun 1,642 32% 36% 6% 16% 5% 5% 4%
19–21 Dec Populus 2,051 35% 35% 9% 12% 4% 5% Tied
18–19 Dec Survation/Daily Mirror 1,009 30% 33% 10% 21% 3% 3% 3%
18–19 Dec YouGov/Sunday T imes 2,109 32% 34% 6% 15% 8% 5% 2%
16–19 Dec Opinium/The Observer 1,427 29% 36% 6% 16% 5% 8% 7%
17–18 Dec Populus 2,069 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% 4% 1%
16–17 Dec YouGov/The Sun 2,087 33% 33% 8% 14% 7% 5% Tied
12–16 Dec ICM/The Guardian 1,001 28% 33% 14% 14% 5% 6% 5%
13–15 Dec Ipsos Mori/Evening Standard 1,012 32% 29% 9% 13% 9% 8% 3%
11–15 Dec TNS 1,180 28% 35% 5% 19% 7% 6% 7%
12–14 Dec ComRes/The Independent 1,002 29% 32% 12% 16% 5% 6% 3%
12–14 Dec Populus 2,074 34% 36% 10% 12% 5% 4% 2%
11–12 Dec YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,941 32% 32% 7% 16% 7% 5% Tied
10–12 Dec ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday 2,014 33% 34% 8% 18% 2% 5% 1%
10–11 Dec Populus 1,140 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% 3% 1%
5–7 Dec Lord Ashcroft 1,001 30% 31% 8% 19% 5% 7% 1%
5–7 Dec Populus 1,323 33% 36% 8% 15% 4% 4% 3%
4–5 Dec YouGov/SundayT imes 1,838 32% 32% 6% 17% 7% 7% Tied
3–4 Dec Populus 1,271 33% 35% 9% 14% 4% 5% 2%
3 Dec Annual Autumn Statement made by the Chancellor of the Exchequer .
30 Nov–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,763 32% 32% 8% 15% 6% 6% Tied
Dec
28–30 Nov ComRes/The Independent 1,005 28% 31% 9% 18% 7% 7% 3%
28–30 Nov Lord Ashcroft 1,003 30% 32% 7% 16% 6% 8% 2%
28–30 Nov Populus 2,053 32% 35% 9% 14% 5% 5% 3%
27–28 Nov YouGov/Sunday T imes 2,018 32% 34% 7% 15% 6% 6% 2%
26–27 Nov Populus 2,048 32% 37% 9% 14% 4% 5% 5%
26–27 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,970 31% 31% 8% 17% 6% 6% Tied
25–27 Nov TNS 1,194 30% 31% 6% 19% 6% 8% 1%
25–26 Nov YouGov/The Sun 2,067 33% 32% 6% 16% 7% 5% 1%
14–24 Nov Lord Ashcroft [n 5] 20,011 30% 33% 7% 19% 6% 5% 3%
21–23 Nov Populus 2,049 31% 36% 9% 15% 5% 4% 5%
20–21 Nov YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,970 33% 33% 7% 16% 6% 5% Tied
19–21 Nov YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 2,314 33% 34% 8% 15% 5% 4% 1%
20 Nov Rochester and Strood by-election
19–20 Nov Populus 2,013 33% 36% 9% 14% 4% 4% 3%
18–20 Nov Opinium/The Observer 1,948 30% 33% 7% 19% 4% 7% 3%
14–17 Nov Opinium [14] 1,947 34% 33% 5% 18% 5% 6% 1%
14–16 Nov Populus 2,054 35% 36% 7% 11% 5% 6% 1%
12–14 Nov ComRes/Independent on Sunday , Sunday 2,000 30% 34% 8% 19% 3% 6% 4%
Mirror
Mirror
12–13 Nov Populus 2,052 33% 35% 9% 13% 4% 5% 2%
8–10 Nov Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,011 32% 29% 9% 14% 7% 9% 3%
7–9 Nov ICM/The Guardian 1,002 31% 32% 11% 14% 6% 6% 1%
7–9 Nov Populus 2,047 34% 36% 8% 13% 4% 5% 2%
7 Nov Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,020 29% 34% 6% 23% 4% 4% 5%
5–6 Nov Populus 2,011 33% 35% 9% 14% 4% 4% 2%
31 Oct–2
Lord Ashcroft 1,002 30% 29% 10% 16% 6% 9% 1%
Nov
31 Oct–2
Populus 2,019 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% 4% 1%
Nov
31 Oct–1
Survation/The Mirror 2,012 27% 31% 9% 24% 3% 6% 4%
Nov
30–31 Oct YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,808 31% 32% 7% 18% 6% 6% 1%
29–30 Oct Populus 2,035 34% 34% 8% 15% 5% 3% Tied
29–30 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,883 33% 32% 7% 15% 7% 6% 1%
26–27 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,629 32% 32% 8% 18% 6% 4% Tied
24–26 Oct ComRes/The Independent 1,002 30% 30% 9% 19% 4% 7% Tied
24–26 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,003 31% 31% 7% 18% 5% 7% Tied
24–26 Oct Populus 2,004 34% 36% 8% 13% 3% 4% 2%
23–24 Oct YouGov/Sunday T imes 2,069 33% 33% 7% 16% 6% 6% Tied
21–24 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,972 33% 33% 6% 18% 4% 5% Tied
22–23 Oct Populus 2,029 33% 35% 9% 15% 3% 4% 2%
17–19 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,000 28% 31% 7% 18% 8% 8% 3%
17–19 Oct Populus 2,058 34% 36% 9% 13% 3% 5% 2%
15–16 Oct 996 29% 31% 7% 24% 5% 5% 2%
Sunday
15–16 Oct 1,004 31% 34% 7% 19% 4% 5% 3%
Sunday
15–16 Oct Populus 2,031 33% 35% 10% 14% 4% 3% 2%
11–14 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,002 30% 33% 8% 16% 5% 8% 3%
10–12 Oct ICM/The Guardian [15] 1,001 31% 35% 11% 14% 4% 6% 4%
10–12 Oct Populus 2,067 35% 36% 9% 13% 3% 4% 1%
10 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,003 31% 31% 7% 25% 2% 4% Tied
9 Oct Clacton and Heywood and Middleton by-elections.
8–9 Oct Populus 2,055 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% 5% 1%
7–9 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,968 28% 35% 9% 17% 4% 7% 7%
3–5 Oct Populus 2,037 31% 37% 8% 15% 3% 4% 6%
1–2 Oct Populus 2,014 33% 38% 8% 13% 3% 4% 5%
30 Sep–1
YouGov/The Sun 2,068 31% 38% 7% 15% 5% 4% 7%
Oct
29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,106 31% 36% 7% 15% 5% 6% 5%
26–28 Sep ComRes/Independent 1,007 29% 35% 10% 15% 4% 7% 6%
26–28 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 32% 8% 17% 4% 8% Tied
26–28 Sep Populus 2,024 34% 36% 7% 14% 5% 3% 2%
25–26 Sep YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,992 31% 36% 6% 15% 6% 6% 5%
24–26 Sep 2,003 29% 35% 7% 19% 4% 6% 6%
Sunday
23–26 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,984 32% 34% 7% 17% 4% 6% 2%
24–25 Sep Populus 2,034 33% 37% 9% 13% 3% 4% 4%
19–21 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 27% 33% 9% 17% 6% 8% 6%
19–21 Sep Populus 2,048 33% 37% 9% 12% 4% 4% 4%
19 Sep "No" wins the Scottish independence referendum .
17–18 Sep Populus 2,268 32% 36% 9% 15% 4% 5% 4%
12–16 Sep Survation/Bright Blue 1,052 29% 34% 11% 18% 4% 4% 5%
12–14 Sep ICM/The Guardian 1,002 33% 35% 10% 9% 7% 6% 2%
12–14 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 33% 33% 9% 14% 6% 6% Tied
12–14 Sep Populus 2,052 34% 35% 9% 13% 3% 5% 1%
12 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,090 31% 35% 8% 19% 3% 4% 4%
10–11 Sep Populus 2,010 33% 37% 9% 13% 2% 4% 4%
10–11 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,068 31% 35% 7% 16% 5% 6% 4%
8–9 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,099 30% 36% 8% 16% 5% 5% 6%
6–9 Sep Ipsos MORI 1,010 34% 33% 7% 15% 6% 5% 1%
5–7 Sep Populus 2,058 34% 36% 9% 12% 4% 6% 2%
3–4 Sep Populus 2,026 32% 38% 8% 14% 4% 4% 6%
31 Aug–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,704 34% 35% 7% 14% 5% 6% 1%
Sep
29–31 Aug ComRes/Independent 1,001 28% 35% 9% 17% 6% 5% 7%
29–31 Aug Populus 2,010 32% 36% 9% 15% 3% 5% 4%
28–29 Aug YouGov/Sunday T imes 2,010 32% 36% 7% 16% 4% 4% 4%
26–29 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,974 30% 36% 7% 16% 4% 7% 6%
27–28 Aug Populus 2,006 35% 34% 8% 13% 5% 4% 1%
27–28 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,046 33% 36% 7% 13% 5% 6% 3%
22–25 Aug Populus 2,062 32% 38% 8% 15% 3% 4% 6%
20–22 Aug ComRes/Sunday Mirror , Independent on 2,058 32% 34% 8% 18% 3% 5% 2%
Sunday
20–21 Aug Populus 2,065 33% 39% 9% 11% 3% 4% 6%
15–17 Aug Populus 2,049 32% 37% 9% 14% 3% 5% 5%
13–14 Aug Populus 2,018 32% 35% 9% 14% 5% 7% 3%
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,984 35% 35% 8% 12% 5% 5% Tied
9–11 Aug Ipsos MORI 1,003 33% 33% 7% 13% 7% 6% Tied
8–11 Aug Populus 2,031 33% 37% 9% 12% 3% 5% 4%
8–10 Aug ICM/The Guardian 1,002 31% 38% 12% 10% 4% 5% 7%
6–7 Aug Populus 2,050 36% 35% 9% 11% 3% 5% 1%
1–3 Aug Lord Ashcroft 1,002 30% 33% 8% 18% 6% 5% 3%
1–3 Aug Populus 2,021 35% 37% 9% 12% 3% 4% 2%
31 Jul–1
YouGov/Sunday T imes 2,083 35% 38% 7% 12% 4% 4% 3%
Aug
29 Jul–1
Aug
30–31 Jul Populus 2,027 35% 36% 8% 13% 4% 4% 1%
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,023 34% 38% 8% 13% 4% 3% 4%
25–27 Jul ComRes/Independent 1,001 27% 33% 8% 17% 7% 6% 6%
25–27 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 34% 9% 14% 6% 5% 2%
25–27 Jul Populus 2,024 33% 37% 9% 12% 4% 5% 4%
24–25 Jul YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,741 35% 36% 8% 13% 5% 3% 1%
23–24 Jul Populus 2,035 35% 37% 9% 9% 4% 6% 2%
18–20 Jul Populus 2,035 32% 37% 9% 13% 4% 5% 5%
16–18 Jul 2,054 31% 34% 9% 17% 4% 5% 3%
Mirror
16–17 Jul Populus 2,007 35% 35% 8% 14% 3% 5% Tied
15–17 Jul TNS BMRB 1,191 29% 36% 7% 19% 9% 7%
15–17 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,967 30% 34% 9% 17% 4% 5% 4%
12–15 Jul Ipsos MORI 1,000 32% 35% 8% 12% 8% 5% 3%
11–13 Jul ICM/The Guardian 1,000 34% 33% 12% 9% 4% 7% 1%
11–13 Jul Populus 2,055 34% 37% 9% 12% 5% 3% 3%
9–10 Jul Populus 2,052 34% 36% 8% 12% 3% 7% 2%

4–6 Jul Populus 2,053 31% 38% 9% 14% 4% 4% 7%
2–3 Jul Populus 2,029 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% 4% 1%
30 Jun–1
YouGov/The Sun 2,073 33% 38% 8% 11% 5% 5% 5%
Jul
29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,729 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 5% 2%
27–29 Jun ComRes/Independent 1,005 30% 32% 7% 18% 5% 8% 2%
27–29 Jun Populus 2,049 33% 37% 10% 12% 4% 4% 4%
27–29 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,006 33% 31% 9% 15% 6% 6% 2%
27 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 27% 36% 7% 22% 5% 3% 9%
26–27 Jun YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,936 33% 37% 8% 14% 5% 3% 4%
25–26 Jun Populus 2,021 34% 35% 8% 13% 5% 5% 1%
20–22 Jun Populus 2,062 32% 37% 9% 13% 3% 5% 5%
18–19 Jun Populus 2,032 34% 36% 8% 13% 3% 6% 2%
17–19 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,946 31% 35% 7% 17% 5% 5% 4%
14–17 Jun Ipsos MORI 1,001 31% 34% 8% 14% 8% 5% 3%
13–15 Jun ICM/The Guardian [15] 1,001 31% 32% 10% 16% 6% 5% 1%
13–15 Jun Populus 2,036 33% 37% 9% 13% 4% 4% 4%
11–13 Jun 2,034 32% 34% 7% 18% 4% 5% 2%
Mirror
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 2,337 33% 36% 8% 14% 5% 4% 3%
11–12 Jun Populus 2,051 32% 35% 8% 15% 5% 5% 3%
10–12 Jun TNS BMRB 1,195 29% 35% 6% 23% 7% 6%
6–8 Jun Populus 2,039 35% 36% 9% 14% 3% 4% 1%
4–6 Jun Populus 2,006 34% 35% 9% 14% 5% 4% 1%
5 Jun Newark by-election .
30 May–1
Jun Lord Ashcroft [16] 1,000 25% 34% 6% 19% 7% 8% 9%
30 May–1
Populus 2,062 32% 37% 10% 13% 3% 5% 5%
Jun
28–29 May Populus 2,010 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% 4% 1%
23–26 May Populus 2,060 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% 4% 2%

23–26 May Populus 2,060 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% 4% 2%
23–25 May Lord Ashcroft [16] 1,000 29% 31% 8% 17% 7% 10% 2%
25 May 2014 European Parliament election results declared.
23 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,017 27% 32% 9% 23% 3% 6% 5%
20–23 May Opinium/The Observer 1,968 32% 33% 7% 19% 4% 5% 1%
22 May United Kingdom local elections, 2014 .
21–22 May Populus 2,045 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% 4% 2%
20–21 May YouGov/The T imes, The Sun 6,124 33% 36% 9% 13% 4% 5% 3%
16–18 May ComRes/Independent 1,008 30% 35% 8% 14% 5% 8% 5%
16–18 May Populus 2,026 35% 34% 8% 14% 3% 6% 1%
14–15 May 2,045 29% 33% 8% 19% 4% 7% 4%
Mirror
14–15 May Populus 2,043 32% 36% 10% 13% 3% 6% 4%
9–11 May ICM/The Guardian [15] 1,000 33% 31% 13% 15% 4% 5% 2%

9–11 May Populus 2,056 35% 36% 8% 13% 3% 5% 1%
7–8 May Populus 2,006 32% 36% 8% 16% 4% 5% 4%
2–5 May Populus 2,034 33% 36% 8% 14% 4% 5% 3%
30 Apr–1
YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 1,844 33% 36% 10% 15% 2% 4% 3%
May
30 Apr–1
Populus 2,060 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 5% 1%
May
30 Apr–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,813 33% 36% 10% 14% 3% 4% 3%
May
2 Apr–1
Populus/Financial T imes 18,448 34% 36% 10% 13% 3% 4% 2%
May
25–27 Apr Populus 2,052 32% 35% 10% 15% 3% 5% 3%
23–24 Apr Populus 2,055 35% 35% 9% 13% 3% 5% Tied
17–21 Apr Populus 2,049 33% 36% 10% 13% 3% 4% 3%
15–16 Apr Populus 2,069 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 5% 1%
11–13 Apr ComRes/The Independent 1,000 30% 36% 9% 12% 4% 9% 6%
11–13 Apr ICM/The Guardian [15] 1,000 32% 37% 12% 11% 2% 6% 5%
11–13 Apr Populus 2,011 33% 35% 11% 13% 2% 6% 2%

11–13 Apr Populus 2,011 33% 35% 11% 13% 2% 6% 2%
9–10 Apr 2,003 29% 35% 7% 20% 4% 5% 6%
Mirror
9–10 Apr Populus 2,051 34% 35% 11% 12% 2% 6% 1%
4–6 Apr Populus 2,034 34% 37% 9% 14% 3% 4% 3%
4 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,001 29% 36% 10% 20% 2% 4% 7%
2–3 Apr Populus 2,067 33% 37% 10% 13% 2% 5% 4%
2 Apr Broadcast of The European Union: In or Out debate ahead of the European Parliament election .
31 Mar–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,981 33% 37% 10% 12% 2% 6% 4%
Apr
28–30 Mar Populus 2,008 34% 37% 10% 11% 3% 5% 3%
5–30 Mar Populus/Financial T imes 16,424 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 5% 3%
27–28 Mar Populus 2,066 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 5% 2%
26 Mar LBC radio debate on the European Union between Nick Clegg and Nigel Farage .
21–23 Mar ComRes/Independent 1,024 31% 36% 9% 11% 5% 8% 5%
21–23 Mar Populus 2,039 34% 35% 10% 13% 2% 6% 1%
20–21 Mar Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 34% 35% 9% 15% 2% 5% 1%
19–20 Mar Populus 2,122 34% 38% 9% 12% 2% 5% 4%
14–16 Mar Populus 2,053 32% 36% 10% 13% 3% 6% 4%
12–13 Mar ComRes/Independent on Sunday/Sunday Mirror 2,001 32% 35% 9% 16% 3% 5% 3%
12–13 Mar Populus 2,053 34% 35% 10% 13% 2% 6% 1%
7–11 Mar ICM/The Guardian [15] 1,003 35% 38% 12% 9% 3% 3% 3%
7–9 Mar Populus 2,058 34% 38% 9% 12% 3% 4% 4%
5–6 Mar Populus 2,025 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 5% 3%
28 Feb–2
ComRes/Independent 1,004 30% 38% 10% 11% 4% 7% 8%
Mar
28 Feb–2
Populus 2,055 34% 37% 10% 12% 3% 4% 3%
Mar

26–27 Feb Populus 1,131 33% 38% 9% 13% 3% 5% 5%
5–27 Feb Populus/Financial T imes 14,203 33% 37% 10% 14% 3% 3% 4%
21–23 Feb Populus 2,052 32% 37% 10% 15% 2% 4% 5%
19–20 Feb Populus 2,066 32% 38% 9% 13% 3% 5% 6%
14–16 Feb Populus 2,031 33% 38% 10% 13% 3% 3% 5%
13 Feb Wythenshawe and Sale East by-election .
12–13 Feb Populus 2,015 32% 38% 9% 14% 3% 4% 6%
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday
12–13 Feb 2,031 32% 37% 9% 15% 2% 5% 5%
Mirror
7–9 Feb ICM/The Guardian [15] 1,002 34% 38% 10% 11% 3% 5% 4%
7–9 Feb Populus 2,013 34% 36% 11% 12% 3% 4% 2%
5–6 Feb Populus 2,015 33% 36% 9% 15% 2% 5% 3%
31 Jan–2
Populus 2,043 32% 41% 11% 9% 3% 4% 9%
Feb
29–30 Jan Populus 2,044 32% 39% 11% 10% 3% 4% 7%
24–26 Jan ComRes/Independent 1,002 32% 33% 9% 14% 5% 7% 1%
24–26 Jan Populus 2,052 33% 40% 11% 8% 3% 5% 7%
22–23 Jan Populus 2,051 32% 40% 11% 9% 3% 5% 8%
17–19 Jan Populus 2,027 32% 39% 12% 9% 3% 5% 7%
15–16 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,029 30% 35% 8% 19% 3% 5% 5%
15–16 Jan Populus 2,039 33% 40% 13% 9% 2% 3% 7%
14–15 Jan Survation/Sky News 1,005 30% 34% 12% 18% 2% 4% 4%
10–12 Jan ICM/The Guardian [15] 1,005 32% 35% 14% 10% 3% 6% 3%
10–11 Jan Populus 2,079 33% 38% 12% 9% 3% 5% 5%

8–9 Jan Populus 2,012 33% 40% 11% 8% 3% 5% 7%
3 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,001 31% 35% 11% 16% 2% 5% 4%
30 Dec–2
Jan
2013
Date(s) Sample
conducted size
20–22 Dec Populus 2,013 35% 37% 12% 9% 3% 4% 2%
18–19 Dec Populus 2,055 32% 40% 12% 8% 3% 5% 8%
13–15 Dec ComRes/Independent 1,003 32% 37% 9% 10% 5% 7% 5%
13–15 Dec Populus 2,058 33% 40% 13% 8% 2% 4% 7%
11–13 Dec ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,027 29% 36% 8% 18% 4% 5% 7%
11–12 Dec Populus 2,024 33% 38% 13% 9% 3% 4% 5%
7–9 Dec Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,011 33% 37% 9% 10% 5% 6% 4%
6–8 Dec Populus 2,027 33% 41% 11% 7% 3% 5% 8%
4–5 Dec Populus 2,038 34% 38% 13% 7% 3% 5% 4%
29 Nov–1
Populus 2,012 33% 40% 10% 9% 3% 5% 8%
Dec
27–28 Nov Populus 2,025 35% 38% 12% 7% 3% 5% 3%
22–24 Nov ComRes/Independent 1,002 32% 37% 9% 11% 3% 8% 5%
22–24 Nov Populus 2,075 34% 39% 12% 7% 2% 6% 5%
21–22 Nov Survation/Daily Star 1,006 29% 36% 10% 18% 3% 4% 7%
20–21 Nov Populus 2,028 33% 38% 11% 11% 2% 5% 5%
15–17 Nov Populus 2,010 32% 41% 10% 9% 2% 6% 9%
13–15 Nov ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,023 29% 35% 10% 17% 5% 4% 6%
13–14 Nov Populus 2,051 31% 40% 11% 10% 3% 5% 9%
7–11 Nov TNS BMRB 1,210 30% 38% 8% 12% 4% 7% 8%
8–10 Nov ICM/The Guardian 1,004 30% 38% 13% 10% 3% 7% 8%
8–10 Nov Populus 2,053 31% 39% 11% 10% 3% 6% 8%
6–7 Nov Populus 2,019 32% 39% 12% 9% 3% 5% 7%

1–3 Nov Populus 2,014 34% 39% 10% 10% 3% 4% 5%
25 Sep–3
Populus 14,701 34% 39% 12% 9% 3% 3% 5%
Nov
31 Oct–1
Nov
29 Oct–1
Nov
30–31 Oct Populus 2,015 33% 40% 11% 9% 2% 5% 7%
25–27 Oct ComRes/Independent 1,003 28% 36% 11% 12% 5% 8% 8%
25–27 Oct Populus 2,065 33% 38% 12% 9% 3% 5% 5%
25 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 29% 35% 12% 17% 2% 5% 6%
23–24 Oct Populus 2,011 34% 39% 11% 10% 3% 3% 5%
18–21 Oct Survation/Free Speech Network 1,004 29% 37% 10% 16% 3% 4% 8%
18–19 Oct Populus 2,018 34% 37% 14% 8% 3% 4% 3%
16–18 Oct ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,001 32% 35% 9% 16% 3% 5% 3%
16–17 Oct Populus 2,043 33% 39% 12% 9% 2% 5% 6%
12–15 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,004 35% 35% 9% 10% 4% 7% Tied
10–14 Oct TNS BMRB 1,207 34% 36% 9% 13% 3% 5% 2%
11–13 Oct Populus 2,042 34% 39% 12% 8% 3% 4% 5%
11 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,017 27% 37% 11% 18% 2% 5% 10%
9–10 Oct Populus 2,013 34% 39% 12% 8% 3% 4% 5%
4–6 Oct Populus 2,050 33% 40% 10% 10% 3% 4% 7%
2–3 Oct Populus 2,014 33% 38% 11% 10% 3% 5% 5%
30 Sep–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,914 31% 41% 8% 12% 2% 5% 10%
Oct
27–29 Sep ComRes/Independent 1,001 33% 37% 11% 11% 3% 5% 4%
27–29 Sep Populus 2,006 36% 39% 11% 7% 3% 4% 3%
25–26 Sep Populus 2,015 34% 37% 12% 9% 2% 6% 3%
14 Aug–22
Populus 14,616 33% 38% 12% 9% 3% 5% 5%
Sep
20–22 Sep Populus 2,036 33% 39% 14% 9% 2% 3% 6%
18–19 Sep Populus 2,043 33% 39% 11% 9% 3% 5% 6%
18–19 Sep ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,003 28% 36% 10% 17% 4% 5% 8%
17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,853 36% 36% 10% 12% 2% 4% Tied
12–16 Sep TNS BMRB 1,224 29% 39% 9% 14% 2% 7% 10%
13–15 Sep ICM/The Guardian [15] 1,000 32% 36% 14% 9% 4% 5% 4%
13–15 Sep Populus 2,053 33% 40% 11% 9% 2% 5% 7%
11–12 Sep Populus 2,018 34% 41% 10% 7% 3% 5% 7%
7–9 Sep Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,000 34% 37% 10% 11% 3% 5% 3%
6–8 Sep Populus 2,025 34% 37% 13% 9% 2% 5% 3%
4–5 Sep Populus 2,036 33% 37% 14% 8% 3% 4% 4%
29 Aug–2
TNS BMRB 1,230 28% 39% 11% 13% 3% 7% 11%
Sep
30 Aug–1
Lord Ashcroft 1,005 30% 35% 11% 14% 4% 6% 5%
Sep
30 Aug–1
ComRes/Independent 2,000 31% 37% 12% 10% 4% 6% 6%
Sep
30 Aug–1
Populus 2,020 34% 38% 12% 8% 3% 4% 4%
Sep
30 Aug Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,002 29% 37% 11% 17% 2% 5% 8%
28–29 Aug Populus 2,041 33% 39% 12% 9% 2% 5% 6%
23–26 Aug Populus 2,044 33% 37% 13% 10% 2% 5% 4%
21–22 Aug Populus 2,050 30% 38% 12% 12% 3% 5% 8%
16–18 Aug Populus 2,034 32% 38% 12% 11% 3% 4% 6%
14–15 Aug Populus 2,050 36% 39% 10% 8% 2% 5% 3%
14–15 Aug ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,001 28% 37% 8% 19% 3% 5% 9%
MORI-Political-Monitor-August-2013.aspx Ipsos
10–12 Aug 1,007 30% 40% 10% 11% 6% 3% 10%
MORI/Evening Standard
9–11 Aug ICM/The Guardian [15] 1,001 32% 35% 14% 10% 3% 5% 3%
9–11 Aug Populus 2,014 33% 39% 12% 10% 2% 4% 6%

2–4 Aug Populus 2,006 33% 38% 12% 9% 3% 5% 5%
31 Jul–1
Populus 2,027 29% 40% 11% 12% 3% 5% 11%
Aug
31 Jul–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,995 34% 40% 10% 11% 3% 2% 6%
Aug
26–28 Jul Populus 2,049 34% 39% 11% 8% 3% 5% 5%
25–27 Jul ComRes/Independent 1,001 34% 37% 10% 12% 4% 4% 3%
24–25 Jul Populus 2,005 32% 39% 11% 10% 3% 5% 7%
18–22 Jul TNS BMRB 1,232 28% 38% 9% 16% 2% 7% 10%
19–21 Jul Populus 2,049 32% 39% 12% 9% 2% 6% 7%
17–18 Jul Populus 2,004 31% 39% 12% 10% 3% 4% 8%
12–14 Jul ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,003 36% 36% 13% 7% 3% 5% Tied
12–14 Jul Populus 2,044 31% 38% 13% 10% 4% 4% 7%
11–12 Jul Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,006 28% 36% 9% 20% 4% 3% 8%
10–11 Jul ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,021 28% 36% 8% 18% 4% 6% 8%
3 Jul Survation/Mirror 1,085 23% 36% 10% 22% 4% 5% 13%
30 Jun–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,620 33% 38% 8% 12% 2% 6% 5%
Jul
27–28 Jun YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,967 33% 38% 11% 11% 2% 5% 5%
21–23 Jun ComRes/Independent 1,000 30% 36% 10% 14% 5% 4% 6%
12–13 Jun ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,041 26% 35% 10% 19% 4% 6% 9%
8–10 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,023 31% 35% 10% 12% 4% 8% 4%
6–10 Jun TNS BMRB 1,208 27% 36% 8% 19% 3% 7% 9%
7–9 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,002 29% 36% 12% 12% 2% 8% 7%
3 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,387 31% 38% 10% 16% 2% 3% 7%
30 May–3
TNS BMRB 1,190 24% 37% 10% 19% 3% 7% 13%
Jun
31 May–2
Lord Ashcroft 1,007 27% 37% 9% 15% 12% 10%
Jun
30 May Survation/Sun on Sunday 1,007 25% 36% 10% 20% 4% 5% 11%
17–29 May Lord Ashcroft 20,062 27% 38% 9% 18% 3% 5% 11%
24–26 May ComRes/Independent 1,000 30% 34% 10% 17% 2% 7% 4%
22–24 May ComRes/Open Europe 2,003 26% 37% 9% 20% 3% 5% 11%
17–18 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,000 24% 35% 11% 22% 0% 8% 11%
15–16 May ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,017 29% 35% 8% 19% 4% 5% 6%
14–16 May TNS BMRB 1,264 28% 37% 7% 18% 4% 6% 9%
10–12 May ICM/The Guardian 1,001 28% 34% 11% 18% 2% 7% 6%
8 May Queen Elizabeth II delivers her speech at the State Opening of Parliament .
2 May United Kingdom local elections, 2013 , and South Shields by-election, 2013 .
30 Apr–2
May
30 Apr–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,784 33% 39% 10% 13% 2% 3% 6%
May
26–28 Apr ComRes/Independent 1,001 32% 38% 9% 13% 4% 4% 6%

12–13 Apr Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,004 27% 39% 8% 16% 3% 7% 12%
10–11 Apr ComRes/Independent/Sunday Mirror 2,012 30% 38% 8% 15% 3% 6% 8%
4–8 Apr TNS BMRB 1,184 25% 40% 10% 14% 4% 7% 15%
21–25 Mar TNS BMRB 1,204 27% 37% 10% 17% 3% 7% 10%
22–24 Mar ComRes/Independent 1,003 28% 38% 12% 14% 3% 5% 10%
14–18 Mar TNS BMRB 1,205 26% 39% 13% 13% 2% 6% 13%
13–14 Mar ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,015 28% 37% 9% 17% 4% 5% 9%
7–11 Mar TNS BMRB 1,191 25% 38% 11% 15% 3% 7% 13%
8–10 Mar ICM/The Guardian 1,002 31% 39% 15% 7% 2% 6% 8%
28 Feb–4
TNS BMRB 1,194 29% 38% 11% 14% 3% 6% 9%
Mar
28 Feb–1
Mar
28 Feb Eastleigh by-election, 2013 .
22–24 Feb YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,964 32% 43% 11% 9% 2% 3% 11%
22–24 Feb ComRes/Independent 1,005 31% 43% 8% 9% 4% 5% 12%
14–18 Feb TNS BMRB 1,211 29% 38% 11% 12% 3% 7% 9%
13–14 Feb ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,002 31% 36% 8% 14% 4% 6% 5%
7–11 Feb TNS BMRB 1,197 31% 41% 10% 10% 3% 5% 10%
8–10 Feb ICM/The Guardian 1,001 29% 41% 13% 9% 2% 6% 12%
31 Jan–4
TNS BMRB 1,199 28% 41% 10% 11% 3% 7% 13%
Feb
31 Jan–1
Feb
25–27 Jan ComRes/Independent 1,002 32% 39% 10% 10% 5% 4% 7%
25 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,005 31% 38% 10% 14% 2% 5% 7%
24–25 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,004 30% 39% 10% 12% 3% 6% 9%
23–25 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent 2,035 33% 39% 11% 10% 2% 5% 6%
22–24 Jan TNS BMRB 1,237 31% 41% 8% 12% 3% 6% 10%
18–20 Jan ICM/The Guardian 1,001 33% 38% 15% 6% 2% 5% 5%
11–14 Jan TNS BMRB 1,198 31% 37% 9% 13% 3% 7% 6%
7 Jan Coalition Government Mid-Term Review published.
4–7 Jan TNS BMRB 1,221 29% 39% 10% 12% 3% 7% 10%
5 Jan Survation/Mail on Sunday 790 29% 38% 11% 16% 3% 4% 9%
2012
Date(s) Sample
conducted size
19–23 Dec ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,002 32% 40% 13% 7% 3% 5% 8%
13–17 Dec TNS BMRB 1,190 30% 43% 7% 12% 4% 4% 13%
ComRes/The Independent on Sunday; The
15–16 Dec 2,002 28% 39% 9% 14% 4% 6% 11%
Sunday Mirror
14–16 Dec Populus/The T imes 1,512 28% 41% 10% 11% 3% 7% 13%
14 Dec Survation/The Mail on Sunday 1,003 30% 38% 9% 14% 2% 7% 8%
13–14 Dec YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,794 33% 45% 9% 8% 2% 3% 12%
8–10 Dec Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,023 35% 44% 9% 7% 3% 2% 9%
6–10 Dec TNS BMRB 1,171 26% 41% 8% 16% 3% 6% 15%
4 Dec Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,005 28% 42% 10% 11% 3% 6% 14%
29 Nov–3
TNS BMRB 1,172 28% 40% 10% 12% 2% 8% 12%
Dec
30 Nov–1
YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,773 31% 44% 10% 10% 2% 4% 13%
Dec
29 Nov By-elections in Croydon North , Middlesbrough and Rotherham .
27–29 Nov Opinium 1,949 29% 38% 9% 13% 3% 8% 9%
22–26 Nov TNS BMRB 1,212 31% 41% 8% 10% 3% 7% 10%
22–23 Nov YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,812 33% 44% 9% 8% 2% 4% 11%
16–18 Nov ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,001 32% 40% 13% 7% 2% 6% 8%
14–16 Nov TNS BMRB 1,156 31% 39% 11% 7% 4% 8% 8%
15 Nov Police and Crime Commissioner elections . By-elections in Corby Cardiff South and Penarth and Manchester Central .
13 Nov Opinium 1,957 32% 39% 8% 10% 3% 8% 7%
8–12 Nov TNS BMRB 1,161 31% 41% 9% 9% 3% 7% 10%
1–5 Nov TNS BMRB 1,194 31% 42% 9% 8% 3% 7% 11%
31 Oct–1 YouGov/The Sun 1,743 33% 44% 9% 7% 3% 4% 11%
Nov
Nov
31 Oct–1
Opinium 1,966 30% 41% 9% 10% 3% 7% 11%
Nov
25–29 Oct TNS BMRB 1,164 31% 42% 11% 8% 2% 6% 11%
25–26 Oct YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,858 35% 42% 9% 7% 3% 3% 7%
20–24 Oct Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,005 33% 43% 9% 6% 3% 6% 10%
18–22 Oct TNS BMRB 1,154 30% 44% 8% 7% 3% 8% 14%
16–18 Oct Opinium 1951 31% 40% 9% 10% 4% 6% 9%
11–12 Oct Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,009 31% 43% 8% 8% 3% 7% 12%
11–15 Oct TNS BMRB 1,196 29% 42% 7% 10% 4% 8% 13%
2–4 Oct Opinium 1,965 30% 41% 9% 11% 4% 5% 11%
30 Sep–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,710 34% 43% 9% 7% 7% 9%
Oct
27–28 Sep YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,671 35% 40% 10% 7% 3% 6% 5%
25 Sep Opinium 1,969 29% 39% 10% 10% 4% 8% 10%
21 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,012 29% 41% 10% 12% 3% 5% 12%
19–21 Sep TNS BMRB 1,140 28% 44% 8% 7% 5% 8% 16%
18–21 Sep Opinium 1,964 30% 42% 8% 10% 4% 6% 12%
19–20 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,016 30% 40% 10% 12% 2% 6% 10%
15–17 Sep Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,006 30% 41% 13% 4% 8% 4% 11%
10–12 Sep Opinium 1,961 32% 40% 10% 9% 3% 6% 8%
30–31 Aug Opinium 1,947 31% 42% 8% 9% 3% 7% 11%
30–31 Aug YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,739 35% 41% 9% 7% 2% 5% 6%

24–26 Aug ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,006 34% 39% 15% 4% 2% 7% 5%
14–15 Aug Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,012 30% 41% 11% 9% 3% 6% 11%
11–13 Aug Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,007 32% 42% 11% 4% 4% 7% 10%
7–9 Aug Opinium 1,960 31% 40% 10% 10% 3% 6% 9%
31 Jul-1
YouGov/The Sun 1,744 32% 43% 10% 8% 2% 5% 11%
Aug
26–27 Jul YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,751 33% 42% 9% 8% 3% 5% 9%
14–16 Jul Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,006 31% 44% 12% 5% 3% 5% 13%
13–16 Jul Opinium 1,951 32% 41% 9% 8% 4% 6% 9%
3–5 Jul Opinium 1,956 30% 40% 9% 9% 4% 8% 10%
26–28 Jun Opinium 1,959 31% 42% 8% 9% 4% 6% 11%
15–17 Jun Populus/The T imes [18] 1,503 33% 41% 9% 5% 5% 7% 8%
ComRes/Independent on Sunday; Sunday
13–15 Jun 2,014 32% 42% 9% 8% 3% 6% 10%
Mirror
9–11 Jun Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,016 31% 40% 10% 6% 5% 8% 9%
8–11 Jun Opinium 1,962 31% 42% 9% 8% 4% 6% 11%
31 May–1
YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,546 32% 42% 8% 7% 4% 5% 10%
Jun
29–30 May Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,005 29% 45% 9% 8% 3% 6% 16%
25–28 May ComRes/The Independent 1,001 34% 42% 11% 4% 3% 9% 8%
24–25 May YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,640 31% 43% 8% 8% 3% 6% 12%
18–20 May Populus/The T imes [18] 1,500 33% 41% 10% 5% 3% 10% 8%
18–20 May ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,002 36% 41% 11% 4% 3% 6% 5%

ComRes/Independent on Sunday; Sunday
16–17 May 2,038 32% 41% 11% 7% 3% 6% 9%
Mirror
15–17 May Opinium 1,957 30% 41% 9% 10% 3% 7% 11%
5–7 May TNS-BMRB 1,207 30% 43% 10% 4% 13% 13%
3 May United Kingdom local elections, 2012 .
30 Apr–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,744 32% 41% 9% 8% 4% 6% 9%
May
27–30 Apr Opinium 1,769 32% 39% 8% 10% 4% 7% 7%
26–27 Apr YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,717 29% 40% 11% 10% 3% 7% 11%
25–27 Apr ComRes/The Independent 2,048 34% 39% 10% 9% 2% 6% 5%
20–23 Apr Opinium 2,233 31% 38% 11% 8% 4% 8% 7%
20–22 Apr ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,000 33% 41% 15% 3% 2% 7% 8%
18–19 Apr ComRes/The Independent on Sunday/Sunday 2,048 34% 40% 11% 6% 3% 5% 6%
Mirror
Mirror
13–16 Apr Opinium 1,957 32% 37% 9% 10% 4% 8% 5%
13–15 Apr Populus/The T imes [18] 1,003 33% 42% 11% 4% 3% 9% 9%
11 Apr TNS-BMRB TBC 32% 42% 10% 9% 7% 10%
30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,567 33% 42% 8% 7% 3% 7% 9%
29 Mar Bradford W est by-election, 2012 .
25–26 Mar Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,097 31% 39% 11% 8% 11% 8%
23–26 Mar ComRes/The Independent 1,010 33% 43% 11% 3% 10% 10%
23–25 Mar Populus/The T imes [18] 1,500 34% 38% 11% 4% 5% 8% 4%
22–24 Mar Survation/The Mail on Sunday 1,097 31% 39% 11% 9% 10% 8%
22–23 Mar ICM/Sunday Telegraph [17] 1,000 37% 38% 13% 4% 5% 4% 1%
21–23 Mar Opinium 1,957 34% 39% 8% 9% 3% 7% 5%
MORIEvening-Standard-Political-Monitor-
17–19 Mar March-2012.aspx Ipsos MORI/Evening 1,014 35% 38% 12% 3% 5% 7% 3%
Standard
14–15 Mar 2,010 37% 40% 10% 6% 3% 4% 3%
Mirror
9–12 Mar Opinium 1,955 38% 36% 10% 7% 3% 6% 2%
6–7 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,018 32% 40% 10% 7% 2% 9% 8%
2–5 Mar TNS-BMRB 1,198 35% 38% 11% 8% 8% 3%
29 Feb–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,787 39% 39% 8% 5% 3% 6% Tied
Mar
25–27 Feb Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 35% 41% 12% 2% 4% 6% 6%
24–26 Feb ComRes/The Independent 1,001 37% 40% 13% 3% 3% 4% 3%
21–23 Feb Opinium 1,959 35% 39% 10% 6% 5% 6% 4%
15–16 Feb 2,014 39% 38% 10% 5% 3% 5% 1%
Mirror
10–13 Feb Opinium 1,960 36% 36% 10% 7% 4% 7% Tied
31 Jan–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,701 38% 40% 8% 5% 3% 5% 2%
Feb
27–30 Jan Opinium 1,958 38% 36% 8% 6% 4% 8% 2%
26–27 Jan YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,716 39% 40% 8% 5% 2% 5% 1%
21–23 Jan Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,007 38% 38% 12% 3% 4% 5% Tied
20–23 Jan TNS-BMRB 1,300 37% 40% 10% 2% 11% 3%
20–22 Jan Populus/The T imes [18] 1,503 37% 38% 13% 2% 2% 8% 1%

18–19 Jan ComRes/Independent on Sunday 2,050 38% 38% 11% 5% 3% 4% Tied
13–15 Jan Opinium 1,983 37% 37% 9% 6% 4% 8% Tied
3–5 Jan Opinium 1,963 36% 37% 9% 7% 4% 7% 1%
2011
Date(s) Sample
conducted size
16–19 Dec TNS-BMRB 1,231 35% 38% 11% 3% 13% 3%
16–18 Dec Populus/The T imes [18] 1,516 35% 39% 12% 2% 4% 10% 4%
15 Dec Feltham and Heston by-election, 2011 .
14–15 Dec ICM/The Sunday T elegraph 1,008 40% 34% 14% 3% 2% 5% 6%
10–12 Dec Ipsos MORI/Reuters 530 41% 39% 11% 2% 2% 6% 2%
9–11 Dec ComRes/The Independent 1,002 38% 38% 12% 2% 4% 6% Tied
30 Nov–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,748 36% 41% 11% 4% 2% 6% 5%
Dec
29–30 Nov ICM/The Sunday T elegraph 1,005 38% 36% 14% 2% 2% 8% 2%
29 Nov Annual Autumn Statement made by the Chancellor of the Exchequer .
24–28 Nov TNS-BMRB 795 35% 38% 9% 5% 4% 9% 3%
23–24 Nov Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,006 33% 42% 8% 7% 3% 7% 9%
19–21 Nov Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,006 34% 41% 12% 3% 4% 6% 7%
18–21 Nov Opinium 1,963 36% 37% 9% 7% 4% 4% 1%
18–20 Nov Populus/The T imes [18] 672 33% 41% 13% 4% 3% 7% 8%

4–7 Nov Opinium 1,962 34% 38% 10% 6% 3% 8% 4%
31 Oct–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,673 35% 41% 9% 6% 2% 7% 6%
Nov
27–31 Oct TNS-BMRB 1,261 36% 37% 11% 4% 12% 1%
28–30 Oct ComRes/The Independent 1,001 34% 38% 14% 4% 5% 6% 4%

22–24 Oct Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 34% 38% 12% 4% 4% 7% 4%
21–24 Oct Opinium 1,957 33% 39% 9% 8% 4% 7% 6%
14–16 Oct Populus/The T imes [18] 1,511 33% 41% 8% 5% 3% 12% 8%
12–13 Oct 2,004 37% 39% 10% 6% 3% 6% 2%
Mirror
7–10 Oct Opinium 1,962 36% 37% 8% 7% 5% 8% 1%
27–30 Sep Opinium 1,947 33% 40% 9% 6% 4% 8% 7%
23–25 Sep ComRes/The Independent 1,000 37% 36% 12% 4% 3% 8% 1%
20–21 Sep ICM/The Guardian 1,007 37% 38% 14% 3% 2% 7% 1%
13–15 Sep Opinium 1,960 33% 36% 9% 8% 4% 9% 3%
10–12 Sep Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,008 35% 37% 13% 3% 3% 9% 2%
9–11 Sep Populus/The T imes [18] 757 34% 38% 12% 5% 3% 9% 4%
2–5 Sep Opinium 1,952 36% 37% 9% 7% 4% 7% 1%
2–4 Sep ComRes/The Independent 1,000 37% 38% 11% 2% 6% 6% 1%
1–2 Sep Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,005 33% 39% 11% 7% 2% 8% 6%
31 Aug–1
YouGov/The Sun 2,588 36% 42% 10% 5% 3% 4% 6%
Sep

20–22 Aug Ipsos MORI/Reuters 476 34% 40% 15% 3% 5% 4% 6%
19–21 Aug ICM/The Guardian 1,004 37% 36% 17% 2% 1% 7% 1%
16–19 Aug Opinium 1,978 37% 38% 9% 6% 4% 7% 1%
17–18 Aug 2,028 38% 40% 11% 5% 2% 6% 2%
Mirror
9–11 Aug Opinium 1,963 34% 38% 9% 8% 4% 7% 4%
31 Jul–1
YouGov/The Sun 2,820 35% 42% 11% 5% 2% 6% 7%
Aug
22–24 Jul ComRes/The Independent 1,002 34% 40% 13% 4% 4% 6% 6%
19–20 Jul Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,002 34% 41% 10% 6% 3% 7% 7%
16–18 Jul Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,001 32% 39% 11% 4% 5% 9% 7%
15–17 Jul ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,003 37% 36% 16% 3% 2% 6% 1%
15–17 Jul Populus/The T imes [18] 800 34% 39% 11% 3% 3% 10% 5%
13–14 Jul 2,009 36% 40% 10% 5% 3% 6% 4%
Mirror
30 Jun–1
Jul
30 Jun Inverclyde by-election, 2011 .
24–26 Jun ComRes/The Independent 641 36% 40% 11% 3% 4% 6% 4%


15–16 Jun 1,457 37% 37% 11% 4% 3% 8% Tied
Mirror
10–12 Jun Populus/The T imes [18] 1,508 39% 40% 9% 3% 3% 6% 1%
31 May–1
YouGov/The Sun 2,657 39% 41% 9% 5% 2% 5% 2%
Jun
27–29 May ComRes/The Independent 607 37% 37% 12% 4% 3% 7% Tied
20–24 May Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,008 35% 42% 10% 2% 6% 6% 7%
ComRes/Independent on Sunday & Sunday
11–12 May 1,460 38% 39% 11% 4% 3% 6% 1%
Mirror
6–9 May Opinium 1,964 35% 38% 9% 7% 4% 8% 3%
6–8 May Populus/The T imes [18] 1,504 37% 39% 11% 2% 3% 9% 2%
5 May United Kingdom local elections .[19] Also Scottish Parliament election , Welsh Assembly election and Leicester South by-election, 2011 .
28 Apr–1
ComRes/Independent 606 34% 37% 15% 3% 5% 6% 3%
May
15–17 Apr Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,000 40% 40% 9% 3% 3% 5% Tied
ComRes/Independent on Sunday & Sunday
13–15 Apr 1,533 35% 39% 10% 6% 4% 4% 4%
Mirror
8–10 Apr Populus/The T imes [18] 1,509 36% 40% 11% 4% 3% 8% 4%

31 Mar–1
Apr
25–27 Mar ComRes/The Independent 1,000 35% 41% 13% 4% 3% 4% 6%
23 Mar 2011 budget read to Parliament by The Chancellor of the Exchequer .
18–21 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,023 32% 41% 10% 8% 10% 9%
11–13 Mar Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,000 37% 41% 10% 3% 3% 6% 4%
4–6 Mar Populus/The T imes [18] 1,511 35% 41% 11% 5% 4% 7% 6%
3–4 Mar Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,007 33% 41% 10% 6% 10% 8%
3 Mar Barnsley Central by-election, 2011 .
28 Feb–1
YouGov/The Sun 2,126 34% 43% 11% 5% 2% 5% 9%
Mar
25–27 Feb ComRes/The Independent 1,007 35% 39% 12% 3% 5% 6% 4%
23–24 Feb YouGov/The Sun TBC 38% 42% 10% 10% 4%
20–21 Feb YouGov/The Sun 2,630 36% 42% 11% 11% 6%
18–20 Feb Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 33% 43% 13% 3% 3% 5% 10%
15–16 Feb YouGov/The Sun TBC 35% 45% 10% 10% 10%
9–10 Feb 2,009 36% 42% 11% 5% 2% 4% 6%
Mirror
8–10 Feb Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,019 34% 40% 11% 6% 9% 6%
4–6 Feb Populus/The T imes [18] 1,510 36% 39% 11% 3% 4% 7% 3%
31 Jan–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,922 39% 44% 8% 4% 1% 5% 5%
Feb
27–28 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion/Sunday Express 2,323 32% 43% 11% 4% 10% 11%
25–26 Jan Angus Reid Public Opinion/PoliticalBetting.com 2,010 33% 41% 12% 6% 9% 8%
21–24 Jan Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,162 33% 43% 13% 4% 3% 4% 10%
13 Jan Oldham East and Saddleworth by-election, 2011 .
12–13 Jan ComRes/Sunday Mirror/Independent on Sunday 2,006 36% 40% 10% 5% 3% 6% 4%
4–5 Jan YouGov/The Sun TBC 40% 41% 10% 7% 1%
2010
Note: some polls in 2010 did not give an individual figur
e for the UK Independence Party or the Gr
eens. In these cases, the percentage intending to vote Green and/or UKIP is included with the 'others'.
Date(s) Sample
conducted size
17–20 Dec Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,003 35% 41% 9% 5% 3% 7% 6%
16–19 Dec ICM/The Guardian [17] 736 37% 39% 13% 2% 2% 7% 2%
17 Dec Opinium - 37% 37% 12% 14% Tied
15–16 Dec 2,017 37% 39% 11% 5% 2% 6% 2%
Mirror
10–12 Dec Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,004 38% 39% 11% 4% 4% 6% 1%
10 Dec Opinium - 37% 36% 12% 15% 1%
8 Dec Opinium - 38% 37% 11% 14% 1%
2 Dec Opinium - 38% 34% 13% 15% 4%
30 Nov–1
YouGov/The Sun 2,080 41% 38% 11% 3% 2% 5% 3%
Dec
29–30 Nov Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,004 35% 40% 13% 4% 8% 5%
29 Nov Annual Autumn Statement made by the Chancellor of the Exchequer .
26 Nov Opinium - 37% 35% 14% 14% 2%
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on
17–19 Nov 2,015 37% 38% 13% 4% 3% 5% 1%
Sunday
17 Nov Opinium - 38% 34% 13% 15% 4%
12–14 Nov Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,005 36% 39% 14% 2% 4% 5% 3%
9 Nov Opinium - 39% 33% 14% 14% 6%
5 Nov Nigel Farage is elected leader of the UK Independence Party , replacing interim leader Jeffrey T itford.
31 Oct–1
YouGov/The Sun 2,132 41% 39% 11% 4% 1% 4% 2%
Nov
29–30 Oct ComRes/The Independent 1,000 35% 37% 16% 2% 4% 6% 2%
29 Oct Opinium - 38% 35% 13% 14% 3%

29 Oct Opinium - 38% 35% 13% 14% 3%
22–24 Oct Populus/The T imes [18] 1,000 37% 38% 15% 3% 3% 5% 1%

21–22 Oct ICM/News of the W orld [17] 1,025 40% 36% 16% 2% 1% 5% 4%
21–22 Oct BPIX/Mail on Sunday [20] 1,916 35% 37% 10% 18% 2%
20 Oct Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne announces the government's Comprehensive Spending Review .
17 Oct YouGov/Sunday T imes - 41% 39% 11% 8% 2%
15–17 Oct Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,009 39% 36% 14% 3% 3% 5% 3%
13–15 Oct 2,009 40% 34% 14% 12% 6%
Mirror
6–7 Oct ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1002 38% 34% 18% 2% 2% 6% 4%
30 Sep–1
Oct
30 Sep–1
Angus Reid Public Opinion 2,004 35% 38% 16% 4% 7% 3%
Oct
30 Sep–1
Oct BPIX/Mail on Sunday [20] 2,061 41% 37% 13% 9% 4%
29 Sep–1
ComRes/The Independent 2,035 39% 36% 15% 4% 3% 10% 3%
Oct
28–29 Sep ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,005 35% 37% 18% 3% 1% 6% 3%
25 Sep Ed Miliband is elected leader of the Labour Party , replacing interim leader Harriet Harman .
20–21 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,963 39% 39% 13% 3% 1% 4% Tied
17 Sep Opinium - 37% 35% 13% 15% 2%
ComRes/Sunday Mirror/The Independent on
14–16 Sep 2,028 37% 35% 15% 13% 2%
Sunday
10–12 Sep Populus/The T imes [18] 1,508 39% 37% 14% 2% 2% 5% 2%
10–12 Sep Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,004 37% 37% 15% 2% 3% 6% Tied
6 Sep Jeffrey T itford becomes interim leader of the UK Independence Party following the resignation of Lord Pearson .
3–5 Sep ComRes/The Independent 1,000 38% 34% 18% 10% 4%
1–2 Sep YouGov/The Sun - 42% 37% 12% 9% 5%
31 Aug–1
YouGov/The Sun 1,923 43% 37% 12% 3% 2% 3% 6%
Sep
13–15 Aug ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,001 37% 37% 18% 2% 2% 4% Tied
13–15 Aug ComRes/Daily Mirror/GMTV 939 39% 33% 15% 2% 3% 8% 6%
13 Aug Opinium - 39% 30% 16% 15% 9%
13 Aug Harris/Daily Mail - 38% 36% 16% 10% 2%
6–8 Aug ComRes/The Independent 1,004 39% 33% 16% 2% 4% 7% 6%
4–5 Aug YouGov/The Sun - 44% 36% 13% 7% 8%
23–25 Jul ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,009 38% 34% 19% 1% 2% 5% 4%
23–25 Jul Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,009 40% 38% 14% 8% 2%
9 Jul Opinium - 38% 34% 16% 12% 4%
5–6 Jul YouGov/The Spectator 2,214 41% 35% 16% 2% 2% 5% 6%
2 Jul Opinium - 37% 33% 18% 12% 4%
30 Jun–1
YouGov/The Sun - 42% 35% 16% 7% 7%
Jul
25–27 Jun ComRes/The Independent 1,003 40% 31% 18% 3% 2% 6% 8%
25–27 Jun ComRes/The Independent 1,003 40% 31% 18% 3% 2% 6% 8%
23–24 Jun YouGov/The Sun - 43% 34% 17% 5% 9%
23–24 Jun ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1,006 41% 35% 16% 2% 1% 4% 6%
22–23 Jun Populus/The T imes 1,003 39% 33% 18% 3% 2% 4% 6%
22 Jun June 2010 United Kingdom budget read to Parliament by The Chancellor of the Exchequer .
18 Jun Opinium - 40% 31% 19% 10% 9%
18–20 Jun Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 39% 31% 19% 2% 4% 6% 8%
18–20 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,000 39% 31% 21% 1% 2% 5% 8%
16–17 Jun ComRes/The Independent on Sunday 1,004 36% 30% 23% 3% 2% 5% 6%
10–11 Jun BPIX/Mail on Sunday [20] 2,117 39% 32% 19% 10% 7%
1–9 Jun Harris Interactive/Metro 1,906 36% 30% 25% 9% 6%
4 Jun Opinium - 42% 28% 19% 11% 14%
28–31 May ComRes/The Independent 1,000 37% 33% 21% 4% 3% 2% 4%
21–23 May ICM/The Guardian 1,001 39% 32% 21% 2% 1% 5% 7%
21 May Opinium - 38% 29% 21% 12% 9%
13–14 May YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,489 37% 34% 21% 8% 3%
12–13 May ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1004 38% 33% 21% 1% 2% 6% 5%
12–13 May 1,010 38% 34% 21% 2% 3% 2% 4%
Mirror
6 May General Election results (GB only) [21][22] – 36.9% 29.7% 23.6% 3.1% 1.0% 5.7% 7.2%
Sub-national polling
Polling is conducted in the separate constituent countries of the United Kingdom. Of the 650 seats in the House of Commons, England has 533, Scotland has 59, Wales has 40 and Northern Ireland has
18.
England
Date(s) Sample
conducted size
7 May
General Election results – 41.0% 31.6% 8.2% 14.1% 4.2% 0.9% 9.4%
2015
6 May
2015 Survation [10] 919 40% 32% 11% 11% 5% 2% 8%
5–6 May
ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News 866 38% 36% 9% 12% 4% 1% 2%
2015
5–6 May
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 2,593 35% 33% 10% 13% 7% 2% 2%
4–6 May
2015
3–6 May
2015 ICM/The Guardian [24][n 6] 1,727 37% 37% 8% 13% 4% 1% Tied
3–6 May
2015 ICM/The Guardian [24][n 7] 1,330 38% 37% 8% 12% 3% 1% 1%
4–5 May
Opinium 2,493 37% 35% 8% 12% 7% 1% 2%
2015
4–5 May
2015
3–5 May
ComRes/Daily Mail, ITV News 880 38% 34% 8% 15% 4% 1% 4%
2015
3–5 May
BMG/May2015.com, New Statesman 887 37% 34% 10% 14% 4% 1% 3%
2015
1–3 May
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 858 35% 32% 10% 13% 7% 4% 3%
1–2 May
Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,852 34% 35% 8% 19% 4% 1% 1%
2015
30 Apr–1
Survation/Daily Mirror 978 36% 34% 10% 17% 4% <0.5% 2%
May 2015
30 Apr Question T ime featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Milliband broadcast on BBC One ; Ask Nicola Sturgeon , Ask Leanne W ood and
2015 Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
28–30 Apr ComRes/Independent on Sunday , Sunday
868 35% 34% 8% 14% 8% 2% 1%
2015 Mirror
28–30 Apr
Opinium/The Observer 1,658 37% 34% 7% 14% 6% <0.5% 3%
2015
27–28 Apr
ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 872 36% 36% 8% 12% 6% 2% Tied
2015
25–27 Apr
BMG/May2015.com 877 39% 31% 11% 15% 4% <0.5% 8%
2015
24–26 Apr
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 870 37% 32% 9% 12% 8% 1% 5%
24–26 Apr
2015 ICM/The Guardian [24] 863 39% 32% 7% 15% 6% <0.5% 7%
24–25 Apr
Survation/Mail on Sunday 879 36% 31% 9% 20% 4% <0.5% 5%
2015
21–24 Apr
2015
22–23 Apr
Survation/Daily Mirror 1,072 36% 29% 10% 20% 5% <0.5% 7%
2015
21–22 Apr
ComRes/ITV News, Daily Mail 890 39% 34% 8% 11% 5% 3% 5%
2015
17–19 Apr
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 863 36% 33% 9% 14% 5% 2% 3%
17–19 Apr
2015 ICM/The Guardian [24] 863 38% 35% 9% 12% 5% 1% 3%
16–17 Apr
2015
16–17 Apr
Survation/Daily Mirror 986 35% 34% 8% 18% 3% 1% 1%
2015
16 Apr
Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
2015
12–15 Apr
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 600 35% 37% 8% 11% 8% 1% 2%
2015
10–12 Apr
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 870 34% 36% 9% 14% 6% 1% 2%
10–12 Apr
2015 ICM/The Guardian [24] 900 41% 35% 7% 8% 8% 1% 6%
8–9 Apr
2015
8–9 Apr
2015
7–8 Apr
2015
2–3 Apr
2015
2–3 Apr
2015
2 Apr 2015 Seven-way Leaders' Debate on ITV
30 Mar Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
2015
2015
28–29 Mar
2015
27–29 Mar
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 865 40% 34% 7% 11% 7% 1% 6%
26 Mar
First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
2015
24–25 Mar
Opinium/The Observer 1,690 35% 34% 9% 13% 7% <0.5% 1%
2015
24–25 Mar
Survation/Daily Mirror 851 34% 34% 8% 20% 4% <0.5% Tied
2015
20–22 Mar
2015
20–22 Mar
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 860 36% 33% 8% 14% 6% 2% 3%
20–21 Mar
Survation/Mail on Sunday 861 31% 35% 10% 19% 3% 1% 4%
2015
18–19 Mar
2015
13–15 Mar
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 863 34% 29% 8% 18% 9% 3% 5%
13–15 Mar
2015 ICM/The Guardian [24] 910 38% 37% 6% 11% 5% 3% 1%
10–12 Mar
Opinium/The Observer 1,654 35% 35% 7% 15% 7% <0.5% Tied
2015
8–11 Mar
2015
6–8 Mar
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 859 36% 31% 5% 18% 9% 1% 5%
3–6 Mar
2015
27 Feb–1
Mar 2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 860 36% 32% 8% 14% 7% 2% 4%
24–26 Feb
2015
23 Feb
2015
20–23 Feb
ComRes/Daily Mail 865 36% 32% 7% 14% 9% 2% 4%
2015
20–22 Feb
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 867 32% 38% 6% 13% 8% 2% 6%
17–20 Feb
2015
13–15 Feb
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 863 31% 31% 9% 18% 9% 3% Tied
13–15 Feb
2015 ICM/The Guardian [24] 860 38% 34% 7% 10% 8% 2% 4%
10–12 Feb
Opinium/The Observer 1,713 35% 35% 8% 15% 5% 1% Tied
2015
8–10 Feb
2015
6–8 Feb
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 860 36% 31% 9% 16% 7% 1% 5%
3–6 Feb
2015
30 Jan–1
Feb 2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 857 34% 30% 8% 17% 10% 1% 4%
25 Jan
2015
23–25 Jan
ComRes/The Independent 852 33% 29% 9% 20% 8% 1% 4%
2015
22–25 Jan
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 859 33% 34% 5% 17% 9% 2% 1%
16–19 Jan
2015 ICM/The Guardian [24] 863 32% 35% 8% 14% 10% 1% 3%
16–18 Jan
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 871 31% 27% 9% 17% 12% 4% 4%
11–13 Jan
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 854 35% 35% 8% 12% 8% 2% Tied
2015
9–11 Jan
2015 Lord Ashcroft [23] 858 37% 29% 7% 17% 8% 2% 8%
12–16 Dec
2014 ICM/The Guardian [24] 861 31% 33% 11% 17% 5% 3% 2%
13–15 Dec
2014
12–14 Dec
ComRes/The Independent 897 29% 34% 12% 17% 6% 2% 5%
2014
5–7 Dec
2014 Lord Ashcroft [23] 860 31% 31% 7% 23% 6% 2% Tied
6 May General Election Results – 39.6% 28.1% 24.2% 3.5% 1.0% 3.6% 11.5%
2010
2010
Scotland
Date(s) Sample
Polling organisation/client SNP Lab Con LD UKIP Green Others Lead
conducted size
7 May 2015 General Election results – 50.0% 24.3% 14.9% 7.5% 1.6% 1.3% 0.3% 25.7%
4–6 May 2015 YouGov/The Sun, The T imes 1,351 48% 28% 14% 7% 1% 1% 1% 20%
3–6 May 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,660 46% 26% 16% 7% 2% 3% 1% 20%
1–6 May 2015 Panelbase/Wings over Scotland 1,013 48% 26% 14% 5% 3% 2% 2% 22%
The Leaders' Debate featuring Ruth Davidson, Jim Murphy , Willie Rennie and Nicola Sturgeon broadcast on BBC One Scotland and BBC
3 May 2015
News
29 Apr–1 May
YouGov/Sunday T imes 1,162 49% 26% 15% 7% 2% 1% 0% 23%
2015
Question T ime featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Milliband broadcast on BBC One ; Ask Nicola Sturgeon programme also
30 Apr 2015
shown
22–27 Apr 2015 Ipsos MORI/STV News 1,071 54% 20% 17% 5% 1% 2% 1% 34%
22–27 Apr 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,015 51% 26% 14% 5% 2% 1% <0.5% 25%
20–23 Apr 2015 Panelbase/Sunday T imes 1,044 48% 27% 16% 4% 3% 2% <0.5% 21%
16–20 Apr 2015 YouGov/The T imes 1,111 49% 25% 17% 5% 3% 1% 0% 24%
1–19 Apr 2015 TNS 1,003 54% 22% 13% 6% 2% 2% 0% 32%
16 Apr 2015 Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
12 Apr 2015 Four-way Scottish Leaders' Debate on BBC Scotland , for Sunday Politics Scotland
8–9 Apr 2015 YouGov/The T imes 1,056 49% 25% 18% 4% 2% 1% 1% 24%
8 Apr 2015 Six-way Scottish Leaders' Debate on BBC Scotland
18 Mar–8 Apr
TNS 978 52% 24% 13% 6% <0.5% 3% 0% 28%
2015
7 Apr 2015 Four-way Scottish Leaders' Debate on STV
30 Mar–2 Apr
Panelbase/Sunday T imes 1,006 45% 29% 14% 4% 4% 2% <0.5% 16%
2015
26–31 Mar 2015 YouGov/Scottish Sun 1,864 46% 29% 16% 3% 2% 2% <0.5% 17%
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of the UK Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
13–19 Mar 2015 ICM/The Guardian 1,002 43% 27% 14% 6% 7% 3% 1% 16%
12–17 Mar 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,027 47% 26% 16% 4% 4% 2% 1% 21%
10–12 March
YouGov/The T imes 1,049 46% 27% 18% 4% 2% 3% 1% 19%
2015
6–10 Mar 2015 Survation/Unison Scotland 1,005 47% 28% 15% 4% 3% 2% 1% 19%
30 Jan–22 Feb
TNS 1,001 46% 30% 14% 3% 3% 4% 1% 16%
2015
12–17 Feb 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,011 45% 28% 15% 5% 3% 3% 1% 17%
29 Jan–2 Feb
YouGov/The T imes 1,001 48% 27% 15% 4% 4% 3% 1% 21%
2015
14 Jan–2 Feb
TNS 1,006 41% 31% 16% 4% 2% 6% 1% 10%
2015
12–19 Jan 2015 Ipsos MORI/STV News 774 52% 24% 12% 4% 1% 4% 3% 28%
12–16 Jan 2015 Survation/Daily Record 1,006 46% 26% 14% 7% 4% 3% 1% 20%
9–14 Jan 2015 Panelbase/Sunday T imes 1,007 41% 31% 14% 3% 7% 3% 10%
16–18 Dec 2014 ICM/The Guardian 1,004 43% 26% 13% 6% 7% 4% 1% 17%
15–18 Dec 2014 Survation/Daily Record 1,001 48% 24% 16% 5% 4% 1% 1% 24%
13 Dec 2014 Jim Murphy becomes Leader of the Scottish Labour Party
9–11 Dec 2014 YouGov/The Sun 1,081 47% 27% 16% 3% 3% 3% 1% 20%
27 Nov Release of Smith Commission Report
19 Nov Nicola Sturgeon becomes First Minister of Scotland
6–13 Nov 2014 Survation/Daily Record 1,001 46% 24% 17% 6% 5% 2% 1% 22%
30 Oct–4 Nov
Panelbase/Wings Over Scotland 1,000 45% 28% 15% 3% 7% 1% 1% 17%
2014
27–30 Oct 2014 YouGov/The T imes 1,078 43% 27% 15% 4% 6% 4% 1% 16%
22–29 Oct 2014 Ipsos Mori/STV 769 52% 23% 10% 6% 2% 6% 1% 29%
24 Oct 2014 Johann Lamont resigns as Leader of the Scottish Labour Party
29 Sep–1 Oct
Panelbase/SNP 1,049 34% 32% 18% 5% 6% 5% 2%
2014
19 Sep 2014 Scottish independence referendum
4–8 Jul 2014 Survation/Daily Record 786 38% 33% 17% 5% 5% 2% <1% 5%
25–26 Jun 2014 YouGov Unknown 31% 39% 16% 5% 10% 8%
6–10 Jun 2014 Survation/Daily Record 773 40% 32% 15% 5% 6% 1% 1% 8%
22 May European Parliament Elections, 2014
11–15 Apr 2014 Survation/Sunday Post 808 36% 36% 16% 6% 3% 1% 1% Tied
4–7 Apr 2014 Survation/Daily Record 803 40% 34% 15% 6% 3% 1% 1% 6%
6–7 Mar 2014 Survation/Daily Record 850 38% 36% 15% 5% 3% 1% 1% 2%
17–18 Feb 2014 Survation/Daily Mail 805 38% 33% 17% 6% 4% 2% 1% 5%
29–31 Jan 2014 Survation/Daily Mail 776 30% 39% 16% 6% 4% 2% 1% 9%
4–8 Oct 2013 Lord Ashcroft 737 31% 40% 18% 6% 2% 2% 1% 9%
22 Feb–9 May
Lord Ashcroft 6,659 23% 45% 16% 8% 5% 2% <1% 22%
2013
17–28 Oct 2012 Lord Ashcroft 703 39% 33% 17% 6% 7% 6%
17–20 Jul 2012 YouGov/Fabian Society 1,029 29% 43% 16% 8% 3% 3% 1% 14%
18–21 May 2012 YouGov Unknown 35% 40% 14% 5% 6% 5%
3 May 2012 Scottish Local Elections, 2012
22–24 Feb 2012 YouGov 1,053 30% 42% 17% 7% 4% 12%
5 May 2011 Scottish Parliament Election, 2011
26–29 Apr 2011 YouGov/Scotsman 1,108 28% 42% 17% 7% 1% 2% 2% 14%
19–21 Apr 2011 YouGov Unknown 30% 43% 15% 7% 5% 13%
13–15 Apr 2011 YouGov Unknown 28% 43% 16% 9% 5% 15%
25–28 Mar 2011 YouGov Unknown 26% 46% 17% 6% 5% 20%
18–20 Oct 2010 YouGov Unknown 26% 44% 18% 7% 5% 18%
31 Aug–3 Sep
YouGov Unknown 29% 39% 16% 11% 5% 10%
2010
6 May 2010 General Election Results – 19.9% 42.0% 16.7% 18.9% 0.7% 0.7% 1.7% 22.1%
Wales
Polling
Date(s) conducted Sample size Plaid Lab Con
organisation/client
7 May 2015 General Election results – 12.1% 36.9% 27.2%

4–6 May 2015 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,202 13% 39% 25%
30 Apr 2015 Question T ime featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Milliband broadcast on BBC One ; Ask Nicola Stur
28–30 April 2015 YouGov/Plaid Cymru 1,146 13% 39% 26%
22 Apr 2015 Six-way Wales Election Debate held on
16 Apr 2015 Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on
YouGov/ITV W ales,
13–15 April 2015 1,143 12% 40% 26%
Cardiff University
2 Apr 2015 Seven-way Leaders' Debate
26–31 Mar 2015 YouGov/The Sun 1,035 9% 40% 27%
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the ele
24–27 Mar 2015 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,189 11% 40% 25%
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron
5–9 Mar 2015 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,279 10% 39% 25%
19–21 Jan 2015 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,036 10% 37% 23%
8–13 Jan 2015 ICM/BBC W ales 1,004 12% 38% 21%
2–3 Dec 2014 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,131 11% 36% 23%
19–22 Sep 2014 ICM/BBC W ales 1,006 13% 39% 23%
8–11 Sep 2014 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,025 11% 38% 23%
26 Jun–1 Jul 2014 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,035 11% 41% 25%
22 May 2014 European Parliament Elections, 2014
11–22 Apr 2014 YouGov/Cardif f University 1,027 11% 45% 24%
21-24 Feb 2014 ICM/BBC W ales 1,000 15% 45% 24%
10–12 Feb 2014 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,250 11% 47% 22%
2–4 Dec 2013 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,001 12% 46% 21%
18–22 Jul 2013 YouGov 1,012 9% 48% 23%
18–20 Feb 2013 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,007 10% 51% 22%
2–4 Jul 2012 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,000 10% 54% 23%
3 May 2012 Welsh Local Elections, 2012
12–16 Apr 2012 YouGov 1,039 12% 50% 23%
30 Jan–1 Feb 2012 YouGov/ITV W ales 1,008 11% 50% 25%
5 May 2011 Welsh Assembly Election, 2011
6 May 2010 General Election Results – 11.3% 36.2% 26.1%
Northern Ireland
Polling
Date(s) conducted Sample size DUP SF SDLP
organisation/client
General Election Results

7 May 2015 – 25.7% 24.5% 13.9%
(NI only)
LucidTalk/Belfast
11–24 Sep 2014 1,089 26% 24% 15%
Telegraph
7 Mar 2013 Mid Ulster by-election, 2013 .
30 Sep 2013–28 Dec Northern Ireland Life &
1,280 22% 20% 23%
2013 Times [25]
Northern Ireland Life &
1 Oct 2012–10 Jan 2013 1,204 27% 19% 21%
Times [26]
9 Jun 2011 Belfast W est by-election, 2011 .
01 Oct 2010–18 Dec Northern Ireland Life &
1,205 24% 15% 23%
2010 Times [26]
General Election Results
6 May 2010 – 25% 26% 16%
(NI only)
London
Date(s)
Polling organisation/client Sample size Con Lab UKIP LD Green Others Lead
conducted
29 April–1
YouGov/Evening Standard 1,313 33% 46% 8% 9% 3% 1% 13%
May 2015
Question T ime featuring David Cameron, Nick Clegg and Ed Milliband broadcast on BBC One ; Ask Nicola Sturgeon , Ask Leanne W ood and
30 Apr 2015
Ask Nigel Farage programmes also shown
20–22 April
2015
16 Apr 2015 Five-way Opposition Leaders' Debate held on BBC One
30 Mar 2015 Dissolution of Parliament and the official start of the election campaign
26–30 Mar
2015
20–26 Mar
ICM/The Guardian 1,003 32% 42% 9% 7% 8% 1% 10%
2015
26 Mar 2015 First TV election interview by Jeremy Paxman with David Cameron and Ed Miliband on Sky and Channel 4
20–24 Mar
ComRes/ITV News 1,004 32% 46% 9% 8% 4% 1% 14%
2015
27 Feb–2
YouGov/Evening Standard 1,011 32% 44% 10% 7% 5% <0.5% 12%
Mar 2015
19–23 Feb
YouGov/The T imes 1,096 34% 42% 9% 8% 6% <0.5% 8%
2015
19–21 Jan
2015
15–18 Dec
2014
8–13 Aug
2014
21–24 Jul
2014
17–19 Jun
2014
6–8 May
2014
29 Apr 2014 Survation 774 26% 42% 15% 12% 2% <0.5% 16%
7–9 Apr
2014
8–10 Oct
2013
20–25 Jun
2013
24–30 Apr
Opinium 736 33% 43% 6% 10% 7% 2% 10%
2012
27–29 Apr
2012
20–22 Apr
2012
13–15 Apr
2012
12–15 March
2012
7–10 Feb
2012
10–16 Jan
YouGov 1,349 34% 44% 5% 8% 3% 2% 10%
2012
7–9 Jun
YouGov 1,215 32% 51% 3% 8% 3% 2% 19%
2011
5–8 Oct
YouGov 1,271 38% 42% 2% 13% 3% 2% 4%
2010
6 May 2010 General Election Results – 34.5% 36.6% 1.7% 22.1% 1.6% 3.5% 2.1%
Detailed poll results

The tables above show poll results just for the five largest parties. Detailed poll results are given below. Often poll companies publish a combined result for SNP and Plaid Cymru, indicated by a merged
cell below. Other cases of Party results' not being shown individually are included in the "Others" column, with the individual party's box remaining empty. Results showing <0.5% imply percentages
ranging from 0.01% to 0.49%. 0.5% to 1.49% are rounded to 1%.
Date(s) Sample SNP PC Green
Polling organisation/client Con Lab LD UKIP [n 8] [n 9] [n 10] BNP Others Lead
conducted size
2–3 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,652 33% 34% 8% 15% 4% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
28–29 Oct YouGov/The Sun 31% 34% 6% 17% 7% 3%
27–28 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,052 32% 33% 8% 17% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 1%
26–27 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,629 32% 32% 8% 18% 4% 6% 0% <0.5% Tied
24–26 Oct ComRes/The Independent 651 30% 30% 9% 19% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 3% Tied
24–26 Oct Lord Ashcroft 511 31% 31% 7% 18% 4% 1% 5% <0.5% 3% Tied
24–26 Oct Populus 2,004 34% 36% 8% 13% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
23–24 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,069 33% 33% 7% 16% 5% 6% <0.5% 1% Tied
21–24 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,462 33% 33% 6% 18% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% Tied
22–23 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,020 34% 34% 6% 15% 4% 6% <0.5% 1% Tied
22–23 Oct Populus 1,132 33% 35% 9% 15% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
20–21 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,103 32% 33% 8% 16% 4% 5% 0% 1% 1%
17–19 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,000 28% 31% 7% 18% 5% 1% 8% <0.5% 2% 3%
17–19 Oct Populus 1,190 34% 36% 9% 13% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 2%
16–17 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 1,966 32% 35% 7% 16% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 3%
15–16 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,045 31% 32% 8% 18% 4% 7% 0% <0.5% 1%
15–16 Oct 757 29% 31% 7% 24% 4% <0.5% 5% <0.5% 1% 2%
Sunday
15–16 Oct 761 31% 34% 7% 19% 4% 0% 4% 1% <0.5% 3%
Sunday
15–16 Oct Populus 1,144 33% 35% 10% 14% 3% <0.5% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
11–14 Oct Ipsos MORI 542 30% 33% 8% 16% 5% 1% 5% 1% 1% 3%
10–12 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,001 28% 32% 8% 19% 5% <0.5% 5% 2% 4%
10–12 Oct ICM/The Guardian [27] 696 31% 35% 11% 14% 3%[27] 1%[27] 4%[27] <0.5% [27] 2% 4%
10–12 Oct Populus 2,067 35% 36% 9% 13% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
9–10 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,167 32% 34% 9% 16% 4% 5% 1% 1% 2%
10 Oct Survation/Mail on Sunday 849 31% 31% [n 11] 7% 25% 4% <0.5% 2% <0.5% <0.5%

8–9 Oct Lord Ashcroft 3,956 31% 34% 8% 18% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
8–9 Oct Populus 2,055 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 1%
7–9 Oct Opinium/The Observer 1,968 28% 35% 9% 17% 4% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 7%
3–5 Oct Lord Ashcroft 1,002 32% 30% 7% 17% 4% <0.5% 7% 2% 2%
3–5 Oct Populus 1,134 31% 37% 8% 15% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
2–3 Oct YouGov/Sunday Times 2,130 36% 34% 7% 13% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 2%
1–2 Oct Populus 1,131 33% 38% 8% 13% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 5%
30 Sep – 1 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,068 31% 38% 7% 15% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 7%
29–30 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,106 31% 36% 7% 15% 5% 5% <0.5% 1% 5%
26–28 Sep ComRes/Independent 651 29% 35% 10% 15% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 3% 6%
26–28 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 32% 8% 17% 4% 1% 4% 2% Tied
26–28 Sep Populus 1,257 34% 36% 7% 14% 3% <0.5% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
25–26 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,992 31% 36% 6% 15% 5% 6% <0.5% 1% 5%
24–26 Sep 2,003 29% 35% 7% 19% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 6%
Sunday
23–26 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,984 32% 34% 7% 17% 4% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 2%
24–25 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,972 31% 37% 7% 13% 6% 5% 0% 1% 6%
24–25 Sep Populus 2,034 33% 37% 9% 13% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 4%
19–21 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 27% 33% 9% 17% 4% 1% 6% 3% 6%
19–21 Sep Populus 2,048 33% 37% 9% 12% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
17–18 Sep Populus 2,268 32% 36% 9% 15% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 4%
17–18 Sep Populus 2,268 32% 36% 9% 15% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 4%
17–18 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,072 33% 35% 8% 14% 4% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
12–14 Sep ICM/The Guardian 1,002 33% 35% 10% 9% 4% 1% 7% <0.5% 2% 2%
12–14 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,004 33% 33% 9% 14% 3% <0.5% 6% 3% Tied
12–14 Sep Populus 2,052 34% 35% 9% 13% 4% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 1%
12 Sep Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,090 31% 35% 8% 19% 2% <0.5% 3% 2% 1% 4%
11–12 Sep YouGov/Sunday Times 1,900 32% 35% 7% 15% 4% 6% 1% 1% 3%
10–11 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,068 31% 35% 7% 16% 4% 5% 1% 1% 4%
9–11 Sep Opinium/The Observer 1,960 29% 37% 7% 19% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% 1% 8%
9–10 Sep YouGov/The Sun 2,122 32% 38% 6% 14% 4% 5% 1% <0.5% 6%
8–9 Sep YouGov/TheSun 2,099 30% 36% 8% 16% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 6%
6–9 Sep Ipsos MORI 1,010 34% 33% 7% 15% 4% <0.5% 6% <0.5% 1% 1%
5–7 Sep Lord Ashcroft 1,001 28% 35% 8% 18% 2% <0.5% 6% 3% 7%
5–7 Sep Populus 2,058 34% 36% 9% 12% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2%
3–4 Sep Populus 2,026 32% 38% 8% 14% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
31 Aug – 1 Sep YouGov/The Sun 1,704 34% 35% 7% 14% 5% 3% <0.5% 1% 1%
29–31 Aug ComRes/Independent 1,001 28% 35% 9% 17% 2% 1% 6% <0.5% 2% 7%
29–31 Aug Populus 2,010 32% 36% 9% 15% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 4%
29–30 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,010 32% 36% 7% 16% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
26–29 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,974 30% 36% 7% 16% 5% 1% 4% 1% 1% 6%
27–28 Aug Populus 2,006 35% 34% 8% 13% 4% <0.5% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
27–28 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,046 33% 36% 7% 13% 4% 5% 1% 1% 3%
26–27 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,129 34% 35% 7% 14% 4% 6% <0.5% 1% 1%
22–25 Aug Populus 2,062 32% 38% 8% 15% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 6%
21–22 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,866 34% 36% 8% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
20–22 Aug 2,058 32% 34% 8% 18% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 2%
Sunday
20–21 Aug Populus 2,065 33% 39% 9% 11% 3% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
20–21 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,028 33% 38% 8% 12% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
15–17 Aug Populus 2,049 32% 37% 9% 14% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 5%
14–15 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,019 34% 38% 7% 13% 3% 4% 1% 1% 4%
12–15 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,963 28% 32% 10% 21% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 4%
13–14 Aug Populus 2,018 32% 35% 9% 14% 2% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
13–14 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,984 35% 35% 8% 12% 3% 5% 1% 1% Tied
9–11 Aug Ipsos MORI 1,003 33% 33% 7% 13% 3% 1% 7% <0.5% 2% Tied
8–11 Aug Populus 2,031 33% 37% 9% 12% 4% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 4%
8–10 Aug ICM/The Guardian 1,002 31% 38% 12% 10% 2% 1% 4% 1% 1% 7%
7–8 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 1,943 33% 37% 8% 13% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
6–7 Aug Populus 2,050 36% 35% 9% 11% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% 1%
6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,016 33% 38% 7% 12% 4% 4% 1% 1% 5%
1–3 Aug Lord Ashcroft 1,002 30% 33% 8% 18% 2% <0.5% 6% <0.5% 2% 3%
1–3 Aug Populus 2,021 35% 37% 9% 12% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2%
31 Jul – 1 Aug YouGov/Sunday Times 2,083 35% 38% 7% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
29 Jul – 1 Aug Opinium/The Observer 1,979 32% 35% 7% 15% 4% 1% 5% 1% 1% 3%
30–31 Jul Populus 2,027 35% 36% 8% 13% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,023 34% 38% 8% 13% 2% 4% 1% 1% 4%

29–30 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,100 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 2%
28–29 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,004 34% 35% 8% 12% 3% 6% 1% <0.5% 1%
25–27 Jul ComRes/Independent 1,001 27% 33% 8% 17% 2% <0.5% 7% 1% 3% 6%
25–27 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,000 32% 34% 9% 14% 2% 1% 6% <0.5% 2% 2%
25–27 Jul Populus 2,024 33% 37% 9% 12% 2% <0.5% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 4%
24–25 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,741 35% 36% 8% 13% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 1%
23–24 Jul Populus 2,035 35% 37% 9% 9% 4% 1% 4% 1% <0.5% 2%
22–23 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,897 34% 38% 8% 12% 3% 4% 1% <0.5% 4%
18–20 Jul Lord Ashcroft 1,007 27% 35% 7% 17% 2% <0.5% 7% 1% 4% 8%
18–20 Jul Populus 2,035 32% 37% 9% 13% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 5%
17–18 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,078 32% 37% 9% 13% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 5%
16–18 Jul 2,054 31% 34% 9% 17% 3% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
Mirror
16–17 Jul Populus 2,007 35% 35% 8% 14% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% Tied
15–17 Jul TNS BMRB 1,191 29% 36% 7% 19% 3% 6% 7%
15–17 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,967 30% 34% 9% 17% 4% <0.5% 4% 1% <0.5% 4%
12–15 Jul Ipsos MORI 1,000 32% 35% 8% 12% 4% <0.5% 8% <0.5% 1% 3%
11–13 Jul ICM/The Guardian 1,000 34% 33% 12% 9% 4% 1% 4% <0.5% 3% 1%
11–13 Jul Populus 2,055 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 3%
10–11 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 1,963 33% 38% 9% 12% 3% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
9–10 Jul Populus 2,052 34% 36% 8% 12% 4% 1% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
4–6 Jul Populus 2,053 31% 38% 9% 14% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% <0.5% 7%
3–4 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times 2,095 34% 36% 8% 13% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
2–3 Jul Populus 2,029 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
1–3 Jul Opinium/The Observer 1,946 29% 35% 7% 18% 4% <0.5% 5% 1% 1% 6%
30 Jun – 1 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,073 33% 38% 8% 11% 3% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,729 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 3% 1% 1% 2%
27–29 Jun ComRes/Independent 1,005 30% 32% 7% 18% 3% 1% 5% 1% 4% 2%
27–29 Jun Populus 2,049 33% 37% 10% 12% 3% 1% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 4%
27–29 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,006 33% 31% 9% 15% 2% 1% 6% 3% 2%
27 Jun Survation/Mail on Sunday 896 27% 36% 7% 22% 3% 1% 5% <0.5% 1% 9%
26–27 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,936 33% 37% 8% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 4%
25–26 Jun Populus 1,105 34% 35% 8% 13% 3% <0.5% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 1%
25–26 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,996 33% 38% 8% 13% 3% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
22–23 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,652 32% 36% 9% 15% 3% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 4%
20–22 Jun Populus 1,192 32% 37% 9% 13% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 5%
18–19 Jun Populus 1,122 34% 36% 8% 13% 4% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% 2%
17–19 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,946 31% 35% 7% 17% 4% 1% 5% 1% 1% 4%
17–18 Jun YouGov/The Sun 2,066 34% 38% 7% 13% 3% 5% 1% <0.5% 4%
14–17 Jun Ipsos MORI 1,001 31% 34% 8% 14% 4% 1% 8% 1% 1% 3%
15–16 Jun YouGov/The Sun 1,696 32% 36% 10% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 4%
13–15 Jun ICM/The Guardian [27] 1,001 31% 32% 10% 16% 4%[27] 1%[27] 6%[27] <0.5% [27] 1% 1%

13–15 Jun Populus 1,171 33% 37% 9% 13% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% <0.5% 4%
11–13 Jun 1,539 32% 34% 7% 18% 3% 1% 4% 1% <0.5% 2%
Mirror
11–12 Jun YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 2,337 33% 36% 8% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% 3%
11–12 Jun Populus 1,180 32% 35% 8% 15% 3% 1% 5% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
10–12 Jun TNS BMRB 896 29% 35% 6% 23% 3% 5% 6%
6–8 Jun Lord Ashcroft Summary 1,003 28% 32% 8% 17% 3% 1% 7% 4% 4%
6–8 Jun Populus 1,157 35% 36% 9% 14% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 1%
4–6 Jun Populus 1,119 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 1% 5% <0.5% 1% 1%
3–5 Jun Opinium/The Observer 1,950 31% 35% 6% 19% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 4%
30 May – 1 Jun Lord Ashcroft [28] 1,000 25% 34% 6% 19% 3% 1% 7%[28] 1%[28] 4%[28] 9%
30 May – 1 Jun Populus 1,151 32% 37% 10% 13% 3% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 5%
29–30 May YouGov/Sunday Times 2,090 33% 36% 7% 15% 3% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
28–29 May Populus 1,135 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 1%
28–29 May YouGov/The Sun 2,123 31% 38% 7% 16% 4% 4% <0.5% 1% 7%
27–28 May YouGov/The Sun 2,109 32% 36% 9% 14% 3% 5% 1% 1% 4%
26–27 May YouGov/The Sun 2,079 32% 34% 8% 15% 4% 5% 1% <0.5% 2%
23–26 May Populus 1,168 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 2%
23–25 May Lord Ashcroft 1,000 29% 31% 8% 17% 3% 1% 7%[28] 2%[28] 4%[28] 2%
23 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,017 27% 32% 9% 23% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% 2% 5%

20–23 May Opinium/The Observer 1,968 32% 33% 7% 19% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 1%
21–22 May Populus 1,150 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2%
21–22 May YouGov/The Sun 1,922 34% 34% 9% 14% 3% 5% <0.5% 1% Tied
20–21 May YouGov/The Times, The Sun 6,124 33% 36% 9% 13% 3% 4% 1% 1% 3%
19–20 May Survation/Daily Mirror 895 28% 34% 9% 20% 4% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% 6%
16–18 May ComRes/Independent 682 30% 35% 8% 14% 2% 1% 5% 1% 5% 5%
16–18 May Lord Ashcroft 1,006 29% 35% 9% 14% 3% 1% 5%[28] 1%[28] 3%[28] 6%
16–18 May Populus 1,122 35% 34% 8% 14% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1%

15–16 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,892 34% 37% 9% 13% 3% 4% 1% 1% 3%
14–15 May 2,045 29% 33% 8% 19% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 4%
Mirror
14–15 May Populus 1,116 32% 36% 10% 13% 4% 1% 3% 1% 1% 4%
12–13 May YouGov/The Sun 1,977 34% 34% 8% 15% 3% 3% 1% 1% Tied
10–12 May Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,003 31% 34% 9% 11% 4% 8% 1% 1% 3%
9–11 May ICM/The Guardian [27] 1,000 33% 31% 13% 15% 3%[27] 2%[27] 4%[27] 1% 2%
9–11 May Lord Ashcroft 1,001 34% 32% 9% 15% 3% <0.5% 5%[28] 1%[28] 2%[28] 2%
9–11 May Populus 1,180 35% 36% 8% 13% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 1%

9 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,005 28% 33% 10% 20% 3% 2% 3% 1% 1% 5%
7–8 May Populus 2,006 32% 36% 8% 16% 3% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 4%
6–8 May Opinium/The Observer 1,997 29% 33% 9% 20% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 4%
2–5 May Populus 1,133 33% 36% 8% 14% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 3%

2–5 May Populus 1,133 33% 36% 8% 14% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 3%
2–3 May Survation/Daily Mirror 837 33% 34% 8% 18% 3% 2% 4% 1% 1% 1%
30 Apr – 1 May YouGov/The Sun on Sunday 1,844 33% 36% 10% 15% 3% 2% 1% <0.5% 3%
30 Apr – 1 May Populus 2,060 34% 35% 9% 14% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% 1% 1%
30 Apr – 1 May YouGov/The Sun 1,813 33% 36% 10% 14% 3% 3% 1% <0.5% 3%
2 Apr – 1 May Populus/Financial T imes 10,301 34% 36% 10% 13% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 2%
29–30 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,898 31% 37% 9% 15% 4% 3% 1% 1% 6%
28–29 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,804 32% 37% 9% 14% 4% 3% <0.5% 1% 5%
25–27 Apr Populus 1,155 32% 35% 10% 15% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
24–25 Apr YouGov/Sunday Times 1,835 31% 36% 9% 15% 4% 4% <0.5% 1% 5%
22–25 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,965 32% 34% 7% 18% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 2%
23–24 Apr Populus 1,125 35% 35% 9% 13% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% <0.5% Tied
23–24 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,072 32% 38% 8% 14% 3% 4% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
17–21 Apr Populus 1,123 33% 36% 10% 13% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% <0.5% 3%
15–16 Apr Populus 1,173 34% 35% 9% 14% 4% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 1%
14–15 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,162 34% 37% 10% 13% 3% 2% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
11–13 Apr ComRes/The Independent 663 30% 36% 9% 12% 4% 1% 4% 1% 3% 6%
11–13 Apr ICM/The Guardian [27] 681 32% 37% 12% 11% 4%[27] 1%[27] 2%[27] <0.5% [27] <0.5% 5%
11–13 Apr Populus 1,098 33% 35% 11% 13% 3% 1% 2% <0.5% 1% 2%

9–10 Apr 1,537 29% 35% 7% 20% 3% <0.5% 4% 1% 1% 6%
Mirror
9–10 Apr Populus 1,150 34% 35% 11% 12% 4% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1%
8–10 Apr Opinium/The Observer 1,972 30% 36% 7% 18% 4% 1% 3% 1% 1% 6%
7–8 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,144 33% 37% 10% 13% 3% 2% 1% <0.5% 4%
5–7 Apr Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 1,002 31% 34% 9% 15% 3% <0.5% 4% <0.5% 1% 3%
4–6 Apr Populus 1,147 34% 37% 9% 14% 3% <0.5% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 3%
4 Apr Survation/Mail on Sunday 887 29% 36% 10% 20% 4% 0.4% 2% 0.3% 0.5% 7%
2–3 Apr Populus 1,176 33% 37% 10% 13% 3% <0.5% 2% 1% <0.5% 4%
31 Mar – 1 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,981 33% 37% 10% 12% 4% 2% 1% 1% 4%
30–31 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,696 34% 37% 11% 13% 3% 2% 1% 1% 3%
28–30 Mar Populus 1,118 34% 37% 10% 11% 3% <0.5% 3% 1% 1% 3%
5–30 Mar Populus/Financial T imes 9,162 34% 37% 9% 12% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 3%
27–28 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 1,916 33% 40% 9% 11% 3% 2% 1% 1% 7%
27–28 Mar Populus 1,169 35% 37% 8% 12% 3% 1% 3% <0.5% <0.5% 2%
25–28 Mar Opinium/The Observer 1,936 32% 33% 10% 15% 4% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1%
26–27 Mar YouGov/The Sun 2,039 35% 36% 10% 11% 3% 3% <0.5% 1% 1%
24–25 Mar YouGov/The Sun 1,958 35% 38% 10% 10% 3% 2% 0% 1% 3%
21–23 Mar ComRes/Independent 614 31% 36% 9% 11% 3% 1% 5% 1% 3% 5%
21–23 Mar Populus 1,126 34% 35% 10% 13% 4% <0.5% 2% 1% 1% 1%
20–21 Mar YouGov/Sunday Times 2,103 36% 37% 9% 11% 4% 2% 1% <0.5% 1%
2014
2013
2012
2011
4–5 Jul YouGov/The Sun 1,424 40% 36% 16% 2% 6% 4%
2 Jul Opinium - 37% 33% 18% 12% 4%
1–2 Jul YouGov/Sunday Times - 41% 36% 16% 7% 5%
30 Jun – 1 Jul YouGov/The Sun - 42% 35% 16% 7% 7%

30 Jun – 1 Jul YouGov/The Sun - 42% 35% 16% 7% 7%
29–30 Jun YouGov/The Sun – 42% 36% 15% 6% 6%
25–27 Jun ComRes/The Independent 1,003 40% 31% 18% 3% 3% <0.5% 2% 2% 1% 8%
24–25 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 2,038 43% 36% 16% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 7%
23–24 Jun ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1,006 41% 35% 16% 2% 2% 1% 1% <0.5% <0.5% 6%
22–23 Jun Populus/The Times 1,003 39% 33% 18% 3% 2% 1% 2% 2% 1% 6%
18–20 Jun Ipsos MORI/Reuters 1,002 39% 31% 19% 2% 2% 4% 3% 1% 8%
18–20 Jun ICM/The Guardian 1,000 39% 31% 21% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 8%
18 Jun Opinium – 40% 31% 19% 10% 9%
17–18 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,491 39% 34% 19% 3% 2% 1% 1% <0.5% 5%
16–17 Jun ComRes/The Independent on Sunday 1,004 36% 30% 23% 4% 3% <0.5% 2% 2% <0.5% 6%
10–11 Jun YouGov/Sunday Times 1,482 40% 32% 18% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 8%
10–11 Jun BPIX/Mail on Sunday [20] 2,117 39% 32% 19% 10% 7%
1–9 Jun Harris Interactive/Metro 1,906 36% 30% 25% 9% 6%

4 Jun Opinium – 42% 28% 19% 11% 14%
28–31 May ComRes/The Independent 1,000 37% 33% 21% 4% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 4%
21–23 May ICM/The Guardian 1,001 39% 32% 21% 2% 3% 1% 1% 1% <0.5% 7%
21 May Opinium – 38% 29% 21% 12% 9%
20–21 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,477 39% 32% 21% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 7%
13–14 May YouGov/Sunday Times 1,489 37% 34% 21% 8% 3%
12–13 May ICM/Sunday Telegraph 1004 38% 33% 21% 1% 2% 1% 2% <0.5% 2% 5%
12–13 May 1,010 38% 34% 21% 2% 1% 1% 3% 1% 1% 4%
Mirror
6 May 2010 General Election Results (GB only) N/A 36.9% 29.7% 23.6% 3.1% 1.7% 0.6% 1.0% 1.9% 1.5% 7.2%
Methodology
Each polling organisation uses slightly different methodology in their collection of data; a brief des
cription of each company's methods is as follows:
Angus Reid Public Opinioncollects its data through onlineinternet surveys, and demographically weights its data to be representative of the wholepopulation in terms of age,
gender, social class, the region of the country lived in andnewspaper readership. Past vote weighting is used, and is calculated separately for respondents from
Scotland and
respondents from England and Wales, whilst those saying they do not know how they will vote are asked which party they are leaning towards, and any responses to this are used
[29]
as a full response, whilst those still unsure being discounted from the final calculation of levels of party support.
BMG Research[30] is a Birmingham-based social research company which carried out its first political poll from 25 to 27 April 2015 for PoliticsHome, [31] May2015[32] and the
Electoral Reform Society, with the voting intention questions being commissioned by May2015. [13] BMG carries out its fieldwork online and weights for past vote and likelihood to
vote with people who did not vote at the previous General Election weighted down by 50%. [33] BMG Research is not a member of the British Polling Council but is applying for
membership and abides by BPC rules in carrying out opinion polls. It is recognised by the BPC as a market researcher .[34][35]
ComRes uses both telephone interviews and online surveys to collect its data; all polls will be conducted using one method exclusively . It is not shown explicitly in the tables in this
article whether a particular poll has been conducted by telephone or online but in general those polls with the smaller samples (~1,000) are telephone polls and those with the
larger samples (~2,000) were conducted online. The data tables will confirm how the poll was conducted. Whatever the data collection method, all respondents are weighted
according to gender, age, social class, household tenure, work status, number of cars owned and whether or not they have taken a foreign holiday in the previous three years.
Both telephone and online polls are weighted according to past vote in the last general election, whilst telephone polls also use data from the last 12 ComRes telephone-conducted
opinion polls. ComRes compensates for those respondents who says they do not know by asking them instead which party they most clearly identify with, whilst all respondents
are weighted according to likelihood to vote on a scale of one to ten, with respondents saying their likelihood of voting is less than four being discounted entirely , and respondents
saying their likelihood is more than five being progressively weighted, with a five-out-of-ten likelihood being weighted as half a response and a ten-out-of-ten likelihood being
weighted as one whole response. [36]
ICM also collects its data through telephone interviews, and also demographically weights its respondents according to their gender , age, social class, household tenure, work
status and the region of the country they live in. It weights respondents according to the levels of support a party received in the previous general election and the last 25 ICM
opinion polls and, if a past vote is given, this is used to allocate a response to those who say they do not know how they will vote, although such a response is counted as only half
of one whole response. ICM also weights its respondents as to how likely they say they are to vote, with respondents who say they are certain to vote given a higher weighting
than those who are not as certain, while if a respondent did not vote at the previous general election, their turnout weighting is automatically reduced by half.[37]
Ipsos MORI collects its data through telephone interviews, and weights its respondents to be demographically representative of gender , age, social class, work status, work sector ,
household tenure and the region of the country they live in. Data is not weighted according to the way respondents voted at the previous general election, any respondents who
say they do not know how they will vote are discounted, and only the responses of people who says they are certain to vote are included in the final calculation of levels of support
for each party.[38]
Lord Ashcroft commissions and publishes polls as Lord Ashcroft Polls. On 12 May 2014 he published the first in a series of opinion polls to be published weekly up to the 2015
UK general election.[39] These polls are carried out by telephone, and are past-vote weighted with an allowance for false recall. They are also weighted for likelihood to vote, with a
proportion of Don't Knows reallocated to how respondents said they voted at the 2010 general election. The Conservatives, Labour , Liberal Democrats and UKIP are prompted for .
Lord Ashcroft does not disclose the organisations which carry out his fieldwork, but states that a number are used. [40] Initially, the methodology of the weekly Ashc roft National Poll
[41] [42]
was said to be similar to that used by Populus before they moved to polling online. He is not a BPC member; he was initially invited to join but the BPC now states that he is
not eligible as he does not work for multiple clients.[43]
Opinium surveys are conducted online via web interviewing, drawing a sample of responses from the company's panel of around 30,000 people. This sample is representative of
the adult population of Great Britain in the areas of age, gender , regional location, working status and social grade, as according to the latest Office for National Statisticsdata.
Responses from different demographic groups are handled appropriately to compensate for dif ferential response rates in these different groups.[44]
Populus conducts its surveys over the telephone, and weights all respondents according to gender , age, social class, household tenure, work status, the number of cars they own,
and whether they have taken a foreign holiday in the past three years, to be representative of the whole electorate. Respondents are weighted according to their past vote and the
levels of support for each party recorded in the previous 20 Populus opinion polls. Respondents who say they do not know how they will vote are allocated according to how they
voted at the last general election, at a reduced weighting of 0.5 for previous Conservative or Labour voters and 0.3 for previous Liberal Democrat voters. All respondents are also
weighted according to how likely they are to vote, with those certain to vote given the highest weighting. [45]
Survation opinion polling is achieved through online surveys, and all data is weighted to represent the wider population of Great Britain in terms of gender , age, socio-economic
group, religion, how the respondent previously voted, and stated likelihood of voting in the next general election. Respondents who are either undecided or refuse to state how they
would vote are excluded from the final results, unless they have provided details of how they have voted in the past, in which case, that information is used to adjust the results. [46]
TNS-BMRB[n 12] interviews a representative sample of adults aged 18+. All interviews are conducted in respondents' homes, although the voting intention data is collected using
self-completion methods. The data is weighted twice: firstly to match population totals for age, sex, social grade, working status, presence of children, 2010 voting patterns and
[47]
region; and secondly, for voting intention questions only, an additional 'likelihood-to-vote' weight is applied.
YouGov collects its data through an online survey , and weights its respondents to be representative of the population as a whole in terms of age, gender
, social class, identification
with a political party, region of the country and newspaper readership. Respondents are weighted according to how they voted in the previous general election in order to achieve a
sample that is reflective of each party's level of support at that election, whilst those respondents who say they do not know who they will vote for are discounted from calculating
levels of support for each party.[48]
See also
Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election
Opinion polling in United Kingdom constituencies, 2010–15
Opinion polling for the United Kingdom general election, 2017
European Parliament election, 2009 (United Kingdom)
European Parliament election, 2014 (United Kingdom)
List of political parties in the United Kingdom
List of United Kingdom by-elections (1979–present)
Opinion polling for the 2010 United Kingdom general election
References and notes

Notes
6. Final General Election 2015 prediction poll(http://www.icmunlimited.com/media-centr

1. Headline figures published (https://twitter.com/Survation/status/59605774160246374
e/polls/final-general-election-2015-poll)published 7 May 2015 with an additional 463
4) to one decimal place: Con 31.4% Lab 31.4% UKIP 15.7% LD 9.6% Green 4.8 SNP
respondents added to the data published the previous day
4.7% Plaid 0.4 Others 1.9%
7. Preliminary prediction poll(http://www.icmunlimited.com/media-centre/polls/preliminar
2. Final General Election 2015 prediction poll(http://www.icmunlimited.com/media-centr
y-prediction-poll) published 6 May 2015
e/polls/final-general-election-2015-poll)published 7 May 2015 with an additional 463
respondents added to the data published the previous day 8. Only stand in Scotland
3. Preliminary prediction poll(http://www.icmunlimited.com/media-centre/polls/preliminar 9. Only stand in Wales

y-prediction-poll) published 6 May 2015 10. Polling organisations treat the two Green Parties in Great Britain, theGreen Party of
4. The question asked was "Thinking of the general election in May, for which party will England & Wales and the Scottish Green Party, together.
you vote?" rather than Opinium's usual "If there were a general election tomorrow, for 11. Unusually amongst polling companies, Survation report to one decimal place, and
which party would you vote?" reported Con 30.8%, Lab 31.2%.
5. This is the VI portion (turnout weighted, T
able 4) of Lord Ashcroft's NHS poll, released 12. Since December 2014, TNS's polls have been mostly branded as TNS or TNS
in January 2015. "VQ.2 If there was a general election tomorrow , which party would Global.
you vote for? Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote (Turnout
weighted)"
P – The dates when the fieldwork for this poll was carried out are unknown; therefore, the date of publication has been given.
References
1. Farmer, Ben. "Why the opinion polls got it so wrong, Y

ouGov president explains" (htt 13. "BMG Research expands into political polling"(http://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/voting-i
p://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/general-election-2015/11591306/Why-the-opinion-polls ntention-and-electorate-opinion-poll/). 29 April 2015. Retrieved 29 April 2015.
-got-it-so-wrong-YouGov-president-explains.html). The Telegraph. Retrieved 8 May 14. See also "Opinium poll that "slipped out" has CON ahead with the LDs down on 5%"
2015. (http://www1.politicalbetting.com/index.php/archives/2014/11/18/opinium-poll-that-slip
2. Logue, Patrick. "UK Election: Ten key points from the count"(http://www.irishtimes.co ped-out-has-con-ahead-with-the-lds-down-on-5) . politicalbetting.com. Retrieved
m/news/politics/uk-election-ten-key-points-from-the-count-1.2204349) . Irish Times. 22 November 2014.
Retrieved 8 May 2015. 15. ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major
3. Bennister, Mark. "UK Election 2015: how the votes stacked up for David Cameron"(ht party they tend to support. Percentage for Greens is based on a table that does not
tp://theconversation.com/uk-election-2015-how-the-votes-stacked-up-for-david-camer adjust for don't know/refusers.
on-41409). The Conversation. Retrieved 8 May 2015. 16. Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to
4. Selby, Jenn. "Paddy Ashdown's hat becomes the unlikely star of election night after the party they tend to support. Before 2 Jun 2014 Ashcroft percentages for Greens
the former Lib Dem leader's misguided prediction"(https://www.independent.co.uk/ne are based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
ws/people/paddy-ashdowns-hat-becomes-the-unlikely-star-of-election-night-after-the-f 17. ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major
ormer-lib-dem-leaders-misguided-prediction-10234411.html) . The Independent. party they tend to support. Percentage for UKIP and Greens is based on a table that
Retrieved 8 May 2015. does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
5. "Ashcroft National Poll: CATI Fieldwork 17-19 April 2015" (http://lordashcroftpolls.co 18. Populus adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the
m/wp-content/uploads/2015/04/ANP-Full-data-tables-150420.pdf)(PDF). Lord major party they tend to support. Percentage for UKIP and Greens at this date is
Ashcroft. 20 April 2015. Retrieved 20 April 2015. based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers.
6. "Westminster Voting Intention" (http://opinionbee.uk/polls/westminster). UK Opinion 19. "Vote 2011: England council elections"(http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/special/election20
Bee. Retrieved 31 January 2015. 11/council/html/england.stm). BBC. Retrieved 22 November 2014.
7. "Election 2015: Results - National"(http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2015/results). 20. It should be noted that BPIX is not a member of theBritish Polling Council, unlike the
BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015. other main pollsters such asYouGov, ComRes, Populus, Ipsos MORI, and ICM.
8. "Election 2015: Results - Northern Ireland"(http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2015/ Therefore, the full details of its polls are not subject to public disclosure.
results/northern_ireland). BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015. 21. "Election 2010: Results - National"(http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election2010/resul
9. Parker, George (5 May 2015)."Parties struggle to break UK election deadlock"(http:// ts/default.stm). BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
www.ft.com/cms/s/2/e4f4dbfe-f308-11e4-a979-00144feab7de.html#axzz3ZrUlCvBJ). 22. "Election 2010: Results - Northern Ireland"(http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/shared/election20
Financial Times. Retrieved 11 May 2015. 10/results/region/6.stm). BBC. Retrieved 9 May 2015.
10. Lyons Lowe, Damian (8 May 2015)."Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory"(http:// 23. Lord Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to
survation.com/snatching-defeat-from-the-jaws-of-victory/)
. Survation. Retrieved 8 May the party they tend to support. The England figures are based on a table that does not
2015. adjust for don't knows/refusers.
11. Balz, Dan (7 May 2015)."Cameron expected to emerge victorious, survey finds"(http 24. ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major
s://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/cameron-expected-to-emerge-victorious-s party they tend to support. Percentages for England are based on a table that does
urvey-finds/2015/05/07/e745447c-f4cd-11e4-bcc4-e8141e5eb0c9_story .html). not adjust for don't know/refusers.
Washington Post. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
25. The question asked (http://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/results/polatt.html)was "Which of these
12. Trevelyan, Mark (6 May 2015)."Panelbase poll on election eve puts Labour 2 points political parties do you feel closest to?", not a voting intention question.
ahead" (http://uk.reuters.com/article/2015/05/06/uk-britain-election-poll-panelbase-idU
26. "NI Life and Times Survey - 2012 : POLPART2" (http://www.ark.ac.uk/nilt/2012/Politic
KKBN0NR29B20150506). Reuters. Retrieved 11 May 2015.
al_Attitudes/POLPART2.html). Retrieved 3 January 2015.
27. ICM adjust for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those to the major 38. "Data Collection" (http://www.ipsos-
party they tend to support. Percentages for SNP/Plaid Cymru/Greens/BNP are based mori.com/researchtechniques/datacollection.aspx)
. Ipsos MORI. Retrieved 26 July
on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers. 2011.
28. Michael Ashcroft adjusts for don't know/refusers by reallocating a proportion of those 39. "Tories lead in my first weekly national poll"(http://lordashcroftpolls.com/2014/05/torie
to the party they tend to support. At this date percentages for Greens/BNP/Others are s-lead-first-weekly-telephone-poll/#more-6013) . Lord Ashcroft Polls. Retrieved
based on a table that does not adjust for don't know/refusers. 19 May 2014.
29. "Angus Reid Public Opinion Methodology"(http://www.angus-reid.com/wp-content/upl 40. "Sheffield Hallam, Doncaster North and Thanet South" (http://lordashcroftpolls.com/20
oads/2011/07/2011-07-20_UK_Method.pdf)(PDF). Angus Reid Public Opinion. 20 15/02/sheffield-hallam-doncaster-north-thanet-south/#more-7536). Lord Ashcroft
July 2011. Retrieved 26 July 2011. Polls. 7 February 2015. Retrieved 9 February 2015.
30. "BMG Research" (http://www.bmgresearch.co.uk/). 4 February 2016. Retrieved 41. "Ashcroft – CON 34, LAB 32, LDEM 9, UKIP 15"(http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/arc
4 February 2016. hives/8777). Anthony Wells. Retrieved 2 November 2014.
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. UK Polling nd-the-british-polling-council/). British Polling Council. Retrieved 1 May 2015.
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-of-labour/). May2015.com. 29 April 2015. Retrieved 5 May 2015. ampling.html). Populus. Retrieved 26 July 2011.
35. "Election 2015: New exclusive poll puts Labour and oTries on exactly 33.7 per sent 46. "Survation Poll The Budget Aftermath For The Mail On Sunday"(http://survation.com/
each" (http://may2015.com/featured/election-2015-new-exclusive-poll-puts-labour-and 2012/03/survation-poll-the-budget-aftermath-for-the-mail-on-sunday-labour-take-an-8-
-tories-on-exactly-33-7-per-cent-each/). May2015.com. 5 May 2015. Retrieved 5 May point-lead-ed-balls-now-more-trusted-than-george-osborne/). Survation. Retrieved
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External links
May2015 election polls and predictions
2015 UK parliamentary election forecast
UK Polling Report blog
UK Polling Report 2015 election guide

Ipsos MORI archive of all pollsters' polls
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Opinion polling for the United Kingdom general election, 2015

5–7 May Populus [9] 3,917 34% 34% 9% 13% 5% 6% Tied

6 May Survation [10](unpublished) 1,045 37% 31% 10% 11% 5% 6% 6%

3–6 May ICM/The Guardian [n 2] 2,023 34% 35% 9% 11% 4% 7% 1%

3–6 May ICM/The Guardian [n 3] 1,560 35% 35% 9% 11% 3% 7% Tied

1–6 May Panelbase [12] 3,019 31% 33% 8% 16% 5% 7% 2%

10–12 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,969 33% 35% 8% 14% 6% 6% 2%

7–8 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,072 31% 38% 8% 12% 5% 6% 7%

23–26 May Populus 2,060 34% 36% 9% 14% 3% 4% 2%

9–11 May Lord Ashcroft [16] 1,001 34% 32% 9% 15% 5% 6% 2%

11–13 Apr Populus 2,011 33% 35% 11% 13% 2% 6% 2%

25–28 Feb Opinium/The Observer 1,946 29% 34% 10% 19% 3% 5% 5%

10–11 Jan Populus 2,079 33% 38% 12% 9% 3% 5% 5%

6–7 Nov YouGov/The Sun 1,806 33% 39% 10% 11% 2% 5% 6%

6–7 Aug YouGov/The Sun 1,884 31% 39% 11% 11% 4% 4% 8%

15–16 Apr YouGov/The Sun 1,952 33% 40% 10% 11% 2% 4% 7%

30–31 Aug YouGov/The Sunday T imes 1,739 35% 41% 9% 7% 2% 5% 6%

18–20 May ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,002 36% 41% 11% 4% 3% 6% 5%

20–22 Jan ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,003 40% 35% 16% 2% 2% 5% 5%

18–20 Nov ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,005 36% 38% 14% 4% 4% 4% 2%

25–26 Oct YouGov/The Sun 1,672 35% 41% 10% 6% 3% 6% 6%

22–23 Aug YouGov/The Sun 2,585 37% 44% 9% 4% 2% 4% 7%

17–19 Jun ICM/The Guardian [17] 1,000 37% 39% 12% 2% 3% 7% 2%

16–17 Jun YouGov/Sunday T imes 2,451 37% 42% 10% 5% 2% 5% 5%

5–6 Apr YouGov/The Sun 2,034 36% 42% 10% 5% 2% 6% 6%

29 Oct Opinium - 38% 35% 13% 14% 3%

22–24 Oct Populus/The T imes [18] 1,000 37% 38% 15% 3% 3% 5% 1%

7 May 2015 General Election results – 12.1% 36.9% 27.2%

General Election Results

Detailed poll results

8–9 Oct YouGov/The Sun 2,049 30% 35% 9% 15% 4% 5% <0.5% 1% 5%

30–31 Jul YouGov/The Sun 2,023 34% 38% 8% 13% 2% 4% 1% 1% 4%

13–15 Jun Lord Ashcroft 1,001 29% 35% 8% 15% 3% 1% 6% 3% 6%

23 May Survation/Mail on Sunday 1,017 27% 32% 9% 23% 4% <0.5% 3% <0.5% 2% 5%

16–18 May Populus 1,122 35% 34% 8% 14% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% 1%

9–11 May Populus 1,180 35% 36% 8% 13% 3% 1% 3% 1% <0.5% 1%

2–5 May Populus 1,133 33% 36% 8% 14% 3% 1% 4% 1% 1% 3%

11–13 Apr Populus 1,098 33% 35% 11% 13% 3% 1% 2% <0.5% 1% 2%

30 Jun – 1 Jul YouGov/The Sun - 42% 35% 16% 7% 7%

1–9 Jun Harris Interactive/Metro 1,906 36% 30% 25% 9% 6%

References and notes

6. Final General Election 2015 prediction poll(http://www.icmunlimited.com/media-centr

3. Preliminary prediction poll(http://www.icmunlimited.com/media-centre/polls/preliminar 9. Only stand in Wales

1. Farmer, Ben. "Why the opinion polls got it so wrong, Y

UK Polling Report 2015 election guide

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