PERT ASSIGNMENT

Presented by
Mervyn Malvar, M.Eng
Department of Civil Engineering
Gokongwei College of Engineering
De La Salle University
Problem 1
• Data for a simplified PERT network are given below. In addition,
the value of TE1 is zero and TE10 is 45. Also the variance for the
project duration is 3.17. All times are in days.
Problem 1
i j Activity te σ σ2
1 3 A 10.5 1.50 2.25
1 2 B 2.0 0.50 0.25
2 4 C 7.5 1.33 1.77
2 5 E 12.0 4.50 20.25
3 4 F 11.0 1.67 2.79
4 7 DUM 0.0 0.00 0.00
4 8 G ? ? ?
5 6 H 8.7 0.80 0.64
5 7 K 6.3 2.68 7.18
6 10 L 12.6 1.67 2.79
7 9 M 10.2 1.50 2.25
8 9 N 9.2 1.00 1.00
9 10 P 7.3 1.30 1.69
Problem 1
1. Provide the critical path. Show network diagram.
2. Determine the mean and standard deviation of Activity 4-8.
3. Determine the range of early project finish which meets a
probability range of 16 to 84 percent.
Problem 2
a. Determine the PERT critical path and the project mean and
standard deviation
b. Estimate the probability of completing the project in 30 days or
less
c. Estimate the probability of reaching Event 8 in 19 days or less
Problem 2
Time Estimates
i j Activity a m b te σ σ2
1 2 A 2 3 5 3.17 0.50 0.25
1 3 B 2 4 6 4.00 0.67 0.44
1 4 C 2 5 14 6.00 2.00 4.00
2 5 D 4 8 12 8.00 1.33 1.78
3 5 E 8 10 15 10.50 1.17 1.36
3 6 F 3 3 6 3.50 0.50 0.25
4 6 G 6 9 12 9.00 1.00 1.00
5 7 H 2 7 9 6.50 1.17 1.36
5 8 K 1 3 7 3.33 1.00 1.00
6 8 L 2 6 10 6.00 1.33 1.78
6 9 M 4 7 10 7.00 1.00 1.00
7 10 N 6 8 13 8.50 1.17 1.36
8 10 P 4 5 9 5.50 0.83 0.69
9 10 R 3 5 7 5.00 0.67 0.44