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FVn = PV×(1+r)n
FVn
PV
(1 r ) n
3
n
FV CFt 1 r
nt
t1
n
1
PV CFt
1 r
t
t 1
r =7% 1000 1000 1000 1000 1000
FV: Ordinary
annuity: 0 1 2 3 4 5
(1 r ) n 1 FV?
FV PMT
r
1 2 3
Growing perpetuity PMT(1+g)1 *(1+g)
1 2 3
Frequency of Compounding
r (annual interest rate)
PV FV ?
year
0 1/2 1 3/2 2
m n
r
FVn PV 1
m
EAR 1 1
m
Learning outcomes
After studying this topic, you will be able to
• Understand bond & bond valuation
• Explain the relationship between YTM & coupon
rate
• Explain the relationship between bond prices &
interest rates
• Understand the term structure of interest rates
• Understand the characteristics of long term debt
financing (cost of long term debt)
• Describe the types of long term debts (public issue
9
vs private issue)
4.1 Valuation Basics
10
4.1 The Fundamental Valuation
Model
CF 1 CF 2 CF n
P0 = 1
+ 2
+ . . . + n
(1+ r ) (1+ r ) (1+ r )
P0 = price of asset at time 0 (today)
CFt = cash flow expected at time t
r = discount rate (reflecting asset’s risk)
n = number of discounting periods (usually years)
Annual coupon
Coupon yield
Bond price 13
4.2 Bond valuation: The basic
equation
• +Par Value Single cash flow
C C C C Ordinary annuity
r% …
0 1 2 n‐1 n
PV of coupons PV of par value
PV of ordinary annuity PV of single cash flow
C 1 M
P0 1 n
r 1 r (1 r ) n 14
M = Par value
Example 1: Bond valuation
• On 1 January 2012 Platypus United had an
outstanding bond with a coupon rate of 9.125%
and a face value of $1000.
• At the end of each year this bond pays
investors $91.25 in interest (0.09125 x $1000)
and it matures at the end of 2022. Assume a
return of 8%.
• The bond has two types of cash payments,
an eleven year annuity and a lump-sum of 15
$1000 at maturity:
Figure 4.1 Time line for example 1
C 1 M
C = 91.25 P0 1 n
r = 0.08 r 1 r (1 r ) n
n = 11
M = 1000
$91.25 1 $1000
= 1 11
+
0.08 (1+ 0.08 ) (1+ 0.08 )11
= $651.43 $428.88 $1080.31
17
4.2 Yield to maturity (YTM)
• Estimate of return investors earn if they buy the
bond at P0 and hold it until maturity.
• The YTM on a bond selling at par will always equal
the coupon rate.
• YTM is the discount rate that equates the PV of a
bond’s cash flows with its price.
• When a bond’s coupon rate exceeds its YTM >
bond trades at premium.
• When a bond’s coupon rate falls short of YTM >
bond sells at a discount.
18
Premium bond
• Bought a10% coupon bond last year at par $1000, term to
maturity = 5 years
Bond A: 100 100 100 100 100 + par value
r%
10%
coupon 0 1 2 3 4 5
10% x 1000=100
100 1 1000
Price of Bond A 1 1066 .24
0.08 1 0.08 4 (1 0.08) 4
20^
Discount bond
• This year: remaining term to maturity = 4 years
Bond A: 100 100 100 100 + par value
r%
10%
coupon 0 1 2 3 4
100 1 1000
Price of Bond A 1 939 .25
0.12 1 0.12 4 (1 0.12 ) 4
21
4.2 Bond premiums and
discounts
• What happens to bond values if the required return is not equal
to the coupon rate?
• The bond’s price will differ from its par value.
r% C C C+Par
0 1 2 n
0 1
1 1 2 n
1
2 2
C/2 1 M 23
P0 1
r / 2 r r 2n
2 n
M = Par value
1 1
2 2
4.2 Semi-annual compounding
Note: F (Face value), M (Maturity value) and P (Par value) are the same.
($1000*0.04)
An example
Value a T-bond: $40 $40 $40 $40
1000
• Par value = $1000 P0 2 2 2 2
1 2 3 4
0.044 0.044 0.044 0.044
• Maturity = 2 years 1 1 1 1
2 2 2 2
• Coupon rate = 4% 24
• r = 4.4% per year = $992.43
C/2 1 M
P0 1
r/2 r
2 n
r
2 n
1 1
2 2
$ 100 / 2 1 $ 1000
= 1 +
0.06 / 2 (1 + 0.06 25 (1 + 0.06 25
) )
2 2
= $ 426 .51 $744 .09
$ 1170 .60
26
4.2 Bond prices and interest rates
27
Figure 4.2 The relationship between bond prices
and required returns for bonds with differing times
to maturity but the same 6% coupon rate
$1162.22
$865.8
28
Figure 4.2 The relationship between bond
prices and required returns for bonds with
differing times to maturity but the same 6%
coupon rate
29
Bond Price Sensitivity to YTM: The
Price-Yield Relationship
Bond price
$1,800
Coupon = $100
20 years to maturity
$1,600 $1,000 face value
Key Insight: Bond prices and YTMs
$1,400 are inversely related.
$1,200 When we say that the bond price is
negatively related to the market
$1,000 interest rate, the latter is referred to
the YTM.
$ 800
$ 600 Yield to maturity, YTM
4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16%
30
4.2 Inflation and Interest Rates
• Inflation is the rate at which the general level of prices
for goods and services is rising and, consequently,
the purchasing power of currency is falling.
• Suppose you have $100 today (at t = 0) which could pay
for 1 microwave oven. The price of the oven is $100/unit.
• You can deposit the money at the interest rate of 5% and
purchase it next year (at t = 1).
• Assume that the price of the oven rises to $103/unit at
t=1 due to the inflation of 3%.
• How many units of the same brand microwave oven you
can purchase at t = 1?
$100*(1 5%)
1.0194 units 31
$103
Inflation and Interest Rates
• The relationship between nominal (observed) and real
(inflation-adjusted) interest rates follows the equation:
1 rnominal
1 rreal
1 inflation
• That is, inflation “eats into” your savings. In the previous
example, 1 5%
1 rreal 1.0194
1 3%
rreal 1.0194 1 1.94%
• Approximately,
rreal rnominal inflation
32
Real Interest Rate
• Currently, the best interest rate for a 12-month term
deposit in Australia is about 2.90%.
• The expected inflation rate is about 1.7%.
• If you consider to put some money in the term deposit,
what is the expected real interest rate?
1 rnom
1 rreal (This formula is called the Fisher Equation.)
1 inflation
1 2.9%
1 rreal 1.011799
1 1.7%
rreal 1.18%
Moody’s handbook, Credit rating of countries
36
High-yield Bonds
• High-yield bonds are also called junk bonds.
• Bonds rated below investment grade are junk bonds
or high-yield bonds. See Table 4.3.
• Some are fallen angels: bonds received investment-
grade when first issued but later fell to junk status.
• Others are speculative grades to start with.
• The prices of junk bonds can be very volatile ---
futile ground for speculators.
• Recommended background reading: Merchants of
Debt, by George Anders.
37
4.5 Term structure of interest
rates
• Relationship between yield and maturity is called
the term structure of interest rates
• Graphical depiction called a yield curve
• Usually, yields on long-term securities are higher than on
short-term securities
• Generally look at risk-free Treasury debt securities
Demand of long term Long term interest rates 38
borrowing decreases drop
39*
What’s the shape of the yield
curve currently?
• See the current data from Bloomberg:
https://www.bloomberg.com/markets/rates-
bonds/government-bonds/australia
Long-Term Debt
Chapter 14
41
14.1 Characteristics of long-
term debt financing
• Must be registered with ASIC
(Australian Securities and Investments
Public issue Commission)
• Almost always issued with the help of
investment bankers
• Vast majority are fixed rate offerings
Marketable debt:
45
14.3 Corporate Bonds
• Debt security carrying a promise to pay cash flows
to the holder.
• Most maturities range from 10-30 years with a par
(face) value of $1,000.
46
NOT COVERED IN CH.14
• Please note that the following areas from
Chapter 14 will not be covered in this trimester
and are not examinable:
• 14.3b Legal Aspects of Corporate Bonds
• 14.3c Methods of issuing bonds
• 14.3d General characteristics of a bond issue
• 14.3e High-yield bonds
• 14.3f International corporate bond financing
• 14.3g Bond refunding options
• 14.4 Leasing 47
Learning outcomes
After studying this topic, you will be able to
• Describe main principle of valuation
• Understand bond & bond valuation
• Explain the relationship between YTM & coupon
rate
• Explain the relationship between bond prices &
interest rates
• Understand the term structure of interest rates
• Understand the characteristics of long term debt
financing (cost of long term debt)
• Describe the types of long term debts (public issue 48
vs private issue)
• End of Week 3 lecture
49