Winter Storm this afternoon

and evening
Decision Support Briefing #6
As of: 1200 PM Mar 07, 2018

What Has Changed?

Storm Track Shifted 20-40 miles to the

S/E - increased snow totals over most of
the Tri-State

Winter Storm Warning Issued for Western

Suffolk County

Rain will change to snow across Metro

area after 1 PM; Eastern Long Island after
3 PM and become heavy

Storm Warning Issued for the Coastal

Ocean Waters South of the South Fork of
Long Island

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

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 Main Points
Hazard Impacts
• 12-20" of snowfall with locally
higher amounts possible.
Snowfall rates of 1-3+/hr".
Heavy Dangerous-Impossible Travel
Snow • 6-12” of snowfall with locally
higher amounts possible.
Snowfall Rates of 1-3”/hr.
Hazardous Travel
• 15-30 mph with gusts of 25-
55mph
Strong • Any downed trees and power
Winds lines will cause power outages
• Near white out conditions at
times, especially across interior
• Moderate coastal flooding.
Inundation of 2 to 3 ft above
ground.
Coastal
Impacts • Minor coastal flooding.
Inundation of 1 to 2 ft above
ground.
Weather Forecast Office
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Location Timing
Interior Portions of the
Lower Hudson Valley,
SW CT and NE NJ
Heaviest Snowfall
NYC Metro/Long Developing after 2 PM
Island/Coastal SW
CT/Interior SE CT
The Tri-State Area
(Strongest winds over
Strongest winds after 3 pm
Eastern Suffolk and
through early evening
Southern New London
County)
Vulnerable Locales along
Jamaica Bay/S Bays/Inlets
of S Nassau and SW Suffolk
This afternoon – minor
High tide early this afternoon
tonight
Vulnerable locales along NY and late tonight/early
Harbor, parts of S and E Thursday morning
Bays of LI, and LI Sound
(this afternoon and parts
tonight)
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 Summary of Greatest Impacts
Heavy Snow: (Except far southeast LI/CT)
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Strong Winds: The Tri-State Area (Strongest winds over

Eastern Suffolk and Southern New London County)
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Coastal Impacts: Vulnerable locales along NY/NJ Harbor,

Jamaica Bay, S and E Bays of LI, and W/E LI Sound
None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

Coastal New London, most of Suffolk County

None Limited Elevated Significant Extreme

a) * Impacts from wind elevated-significant due to wet

conditions, heavy snow and previous storm
impacts

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 Heavy Snow
 Storm track shifting to S/E
increased snow totals

 Heavy Snow Band NE NJ/Lower

Hudson Valley/SW CT this
afternoon

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 Strong Winds

 Wind Gusts 40-55

mph expected
over coastal areas
this afternoon and
evening

 Strongest Winds E
Suffolk/S New
London

 Downed tree limbs

and power lines
likely, especially in
coastal areas

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 Coastal Flooding

 Moderate Coastal Flooding

early this afternoon S
Queens/S Nassau/SW
Suffolk

 Minor Coastal Flooding

Elsewhere

 Minor Coastal Flooding S

Queens/S Nassau/SW
Suffolk/W LI Sound late
tonight

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 Forecast Uncertainty

 Snowfall totals increased across NYC/S CT and Long Island. Amounts

will be refined based on location of snow bands this afternoon and how
far east they develop.

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 Event Summary

 Rain changes to heavy wet snow (except far southeastern areas)

 Downed tree limbs and powerlines likely
 Snowfall rates 1 to 3+ “/hr will make for travel difficult to nearly
impossible.
 Hazardous travel conditions during evening commute

 Heaviest precipitation falls from around noon to 8 pm.

 Strong easterly winds of 20 to 30 mph with gusts 40 to 55 mph along

the immediate coast.

 Widespread minor to locally moderate coastal flooding expected during

high tide Wednesday afternoon. Widespread moderate flooding in the
southern bays of Western LI and Jamaica Bay.

Weather Forecast Office Presentation Created

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