Beruflich Dokumente
Kultur Dokumente
إﻟﻰ اﻟﯿﺴﺎر:ﻣﻨﺴّﻖ
Abstract:
Purpose: Tax evasion empirical research has been the subject of numerous studies during the
last decade in developed and emerging economies. The purpose of this article is to: (i) make a
clear cut-distinction between tax evasion and neighboring notions, (ii) present the theoretical
justifications for the determinants of tax evasion, (iii) discuss some methodological issues
related to the measurement of tax evasion and (iv) finally review the main results related to
this topic and provide suggestions for future research.
Findings: This review shows that evidence is still limited, several approaches to measure tax
evasion remain unexplored, results are mixed and four categories of variables have been
identified in tax evasion literature including (i) demographic, (ii) cultural and behavioural,
(iii) legal and institutional and (iv) economic variables.
Originality: This literature review represents a historical record and an introduction for
researchers who aim to examine this topic in the future.
Key words: Tax evasion, micro direct approach, macro indirect approach, tax evasion
determinants.
1
The determinants of tax evasion: a literature review
1. Introduction
Tax evasion is a crucial problem for countries since economic development can be severely
hampered by lower public revenues due to the lack of tax compliance (Picur and Riahi-
Belkaoui, 2006). Accordingly, it becomes important for policy makers to identify the causes
behind tax evasion to undertake reforms and reduce the adverse effects of this phenomenon
worldwide. According to Gemmell and Hasseldine (2012), such a topic has attracted a
Development (OECD). Given this importance, this study reviews the empirical literature
specifically devoted to the determinants of tax evasion worldwide. Since the empirical work
of Riahi-Belkaoui (2004)1, this topic has been gaining momentum in tax empirical literature.
The aim of this paper is to trace the development of this stream of research by (i) making a
clear cut-distinction between the notion of tax evasion and neighbouring concepts, (ii)
identifying the theoretical frameworks that justify the determinants of tax evasion, (iii)
reviewing the tools used to measure tax evasion in tax literature and (iv) summarising the
empirical literature dealing with the determinants of tax evasion over the last decade.
Recently, several literature reviews have been undertaken in tax avoidance literature (e.g.
Hanlon and Heitzman, 2010; Shackelford and Shevlin, 2001) and tax methodologies (e.g.
Gemmell and John Hasseldine, 2012). This review offers distinguishing features since it
focuses only on tax evasion determinants and summarises the related empirical research by
suggesting future research avenues. Several reviews2 have examined tax evasion topic. To the
1
Richardson (2006) considers the paper of Riahi-Belkaoui (2004) entitled “Relationship between tax compliance
internationally and selected determinants of tax morale” as a pioneering in the determinants of tax evasion empirical
literature.
2
The following studies have reviewed tax evasion literature Jackson and Milliron (1986) Kinsey (1986), Cuccia (1994, a),
Andreoni et al. (1998) and Long and Swingen (1991). However, the literature review conducted by Jackson and Milliron
(1986) represents the first review that attempts to identify the key determinants of tax evasion.
2
best of our knowledge, this is the first review that attempts to summarise the new trend of
This literature review identifies four categories of tax evasion determinants including (i)
demographic, (ii) cultural and behavioural, (iii) legal and institutional and (iv) economic
variables. Besides, it documents that several methods under micro direct and macro indirect
approaches are not used and tax evasion empirical literature still rely on surveys’ results
the limited number and the explorative feature of tax evasion studies reduce the capability to
This literature review intends to serve as a historical record, an introduction for doctoral
students and other interested parties, and a guide for identifying important unresolved issues
in the literature. It also contributes to the extant literature by providing suggestions for future
research.
The reminder of this paper is organised as follows. Section 2 presents the theoretical
underpinnings. Section 3 describes the approach used to measure tax evasion. Section 4
reviews and summarises the empirical literature dealing with the determinants of tax evasion.
Finally, section 5 concludes the paper and provides directions for future research.
2. Theoretical underpinnings
2.1. Differences between tax evasion and neighboring notions
The topic of tax evasion embraces many dimensions. Since there is no clear cut-distinction
between tax evasion, tax avoidance and corruption, we first need to define these notions and
With regard to the distinction between tax evasion and tax avoidance, Gabor (2012) suggests
that tax evasion is an intentional illegal behaviour leading to a direct violation of tax law to
escape the payment of tax. Sandmo (2005) adds that tax evasion is a violation of tax law
3
whereby the taxpayer refrains from reporting income which is, in principle, taxable. Tax
evasion represents the illegal practices to escape from taxation that can occur in an isolated
incident within the activity or in the informal or the shadow economy where the whole
activity takes place in an informal manner. Taxpayers will try to conceal taxable income or
Vazquez, 2003). In other words, tax evasion may represent an intentional falsification of tax
relevant information through the non-declaration of financial assets, taxable income and profit
and trade mispricing. By contrast, tax avoidance occurs within the tax system and taxpayers
exploit the legal scope for the discretion of tax laws running counter the purpose of tax
legislation. Generally, individuals or firms engage in legal activities and use discretionary tax
practices to reduce tax liabilities. These practices include the pricing of inter-company
tangible goods transactions, the increase in inter-company debt and the location of central
With regard to the distinction between corruption and tax evasion, tax evasion involves hiding
the real value of a legal contract or transaction to avoid or reduce fiscal liabilities (Tsakumis,
Curatola and Porcano, 2007), while corruption involves an operation in which one agent
typically pays a sum of money or performs a service in exchange for an illicit act by a public
official (Andreoni, Erard and Feinstein, 1998). Corruption is conventionally defined as the
exercise of public power to make private gain (Picur and Riahi-Belkaoui, 2006).
citizens and their state where individuals pay taxes in exchange of “conditions that enhance
and protect their human dignity, trigger their morality and respect for moral norms, and
assure them a piece of mind in their relations with other citizens and in the conduct of their
affairs” (p. 137). The justifications for the determinants of tax evasion are based on three
4
theoretical perspectives including general deterrence theory, economic deterrence models, and
General deterrence theory suggests that the crime rates of populations decrease by the threats
(Stack, 2010). The exact level of certainty that must be reached for punishment to deter crime
is unknown and empirical research suggests that at least 30 % of offenders should be held
accountable to reduce the crime rate (Stack, 2010). This theory refers to the capability of a
legal system (through sanctions) to reduce the phenomenon of tax evasion in one country.
The economic deterrence models focus on the cost-benefit framework since they incorporate
an economic rational taxpayer who will evade taxation as long as the pay-off from evading is
greater than the expected cost of being caught (Hasseldine and Bebbington, 1991; Devos,
2014). These models suggest that the economic, legal and institutional characteristics of one
country (e.g. level of enforcement, corruption, bureaucracy, competition laws) may influence
Finally, fiscal psychology models examine the attitudes and beliefs of taxpayers in order to
predict their behaviours (Hasseldine and Bebbington, 1991). This reasoning is based on the
fact that attitudes are unbiased proxies for the taxpayers’ behaviours. These models consist of
the examination of the taxpayers’ profiles to identify the causes behind tax evasion (Lewis,
1982a). Fiscal psychology models suggest that factors such as age, sex, social-economic
background, education level and occupation may affect the level of tax evasion. Besides, tax
morale also represents an important variable which captures taxpayer’s behaviour towards
fiscal duties.
In sum, the general implications of these theories are that tax evasion is deterred by sanctions,
can be viewed as an economic decision under uncertainty in which taxpayer estimates the
5
economic advantages and costs of tax evasion and tax noncompliance can be explained by
Belkaoui, 2004).
Tax evasion represents an important issue for developed and developing settings. Empirical
evidence regarding its determinants is still limited (The German Federal Ministry for
Economic Cooperation and Development report, 2010). According to the same report (p. 12)
“this is partly due to the fact that the extent of tax evasion and avoidance is hard to estimate
as the phenomena are difficult to observe and precise data is, thus, lacking”. Therefore, the
quantification of tax evasion and the identification of its determinants become a hard task for
researchers given the lack of high quality data. According to Tsakumis et al. (2007, p. 140)
“actual evasion is unknown and impossible to determine; thus, studies on tax evasion (tax
compliance) use surrogate measures for actual evasion. Many studies use hypothetical
measure has been shown to be better than any other measure”. This section briefly reviews
the main approaches used to measure tax evasion in tax literature. Tax evasion literature
distinguishes between micro direct and macro indirect approaches (Gemmell and Hasseldine,
2012). While micro direct approaches are based on taxpayer data,surveys and tax audit to
measure the extent of tax noncompliance, macro indirect approaches estimate the size of the
hidden economy based on macroeconomic assumptions and models. The next sub-section
presents the main methodologies applied in tax evasion literature and the approaches that
remain unexplored.
6
Given that tax evasion can not be directly observed and it is linked to shadow economy, it is
difficult for researchers to measure this variable. International reports (e.g. the Global
tax evasion as a proxy for a country’s tax evasion score. Accordingly, several empirical
For instance, Riahi-Belkaoui (2004) uses the scores on tax compliance reported in the survey
conducted by the GCR in 1995. Compliance score is a country survey rating about the degree
of compliance on a scale from 0, for low degree of compliance, to 6 for high degree of
compliance. Similarly, Richardson (2006 and 2008) uses the same reports to proxy for tax
evasion. While Riahi-Belkaoui (2004) and Picur and Riahi-Belkaoui (2006) use only one
measure for tax evasion, Richardson (2006 and 2008)3 examines two and three empirical
proxies respectively. Richardson (2006) considers two measures of tax evasion including
country rating that tax evasion is minimal (on a scale from 1- strongly disagree to 7- strongly
agree averaged for 2002–2004) and country rating of tax evasion (on a scale from 0-common
to 10-not common averaged for 2002–2004) available on the (GCR) (World Economic Forum
(WEF), 2002, 2003, 2004). These two scores are transformed to get increasing scales of tax
evasion. Richardson (2008) also bases his analysis on the (GCR) (WEF, 2002, 2003, 2004)
and uses three scores to measure tax evasion including the two previous scores in 2006 and
new score defined as the country survey rating about the under-reporting of income and the
shadow economy (on a scale from 1, less than 5% of all business, to 9, greater than 70% of all
According to Schneider (2004), the survey method represents a micro direct approach to
estimate tax evasion. One major criticism addressed to the use of scores from international
reports is that the survey conducted among taxpayers depends on the willingness of
3
Richardson (2008) suggests that the use of multiple measures of tax evasion increases the robustness of the results.
7
respondents to answer questions truthfully which will directly affect the data quality
(Schneider, 2004). In the same vein, Fuest and Riedel (2009, p. 28) suggest that “especially
with respect to the topic of tax evasion, there may be considerable doubts as to which extent
interviewees confess fraudulent behaviour”. Schneider (2007) argues that the results from
these kinds of surveys are perceived to be very sensitive to the way the questionnaire is
formulated. Gërxhani (2007) argues that gathering information on tax evasion is undisputable
challenge in developing economies and survey’s results may suffer from several weaknesses.
Tsakumis et al. (2007) base their analysis on Schneider’s (2004) estimates of the shadow
economy, defined as the size of market-based legal production of goods and services that are
deliberately concealed from public authorities, for 145 developing, transition, and developed
countries. Schneider (2004) also reports the shadow economy variable as a percentage of
official Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in each country for the years 2000–2002. Countries
with larger shadow economies (as a percentage of GDP) are viewed as less tax compliant
settings (i.e., higher (lower) under-reporting of income equates to more (less) tax evasion).
Gabor (2012) also uses the same methodology as Tsakumis et al. (2007) to estimate tax
evasion. The approach developed by Schneider (2004) represents a macro indirect method
structural equations model with one unobserved variable named the size of the shadow
researcher will be able to predict the movement and the size of shadow economy in the future
(Schneider, 2004).
Aside from these approaches used in the empirical literature, other methodologies either
micro direct or macro indirect can be applied to estimate tax evasion (Gemmell and
Hasseldine, 2012).
4
For more details about this approach, see Gemmell and Hasseldine (2012) from pages 213 to 214.
8
With respect to micro direct approaches, tax auditing represents another alternative to
estimate tax evasion. However, the major disadvantage of this approach is that it reflects only
the portion of the shadow economy income that fiscal authorities succeed to discover, and this
represents only a fraction of the hidden income (Schneider, 2004). In addition, researchers are
not generally allowed to have access to these data given their confidential aspects (Gemmell
With regard to macro indirect approaches5, we note that several techniques have been
developed to estimate tax evasion. Schneider (2004) lists five macroeconomic methodologies
as follows:
(i) The discrepancy between national expenditure and income statistics: this approach is based
on the equality predicted in the national accounting between the income measure of Gross
National Product (GNP) and the expenditure measure of GNP. Thus, the difference between
the expenditure measure of GNP and the income measure of GNP represents a proxy for the
(ii) The discrepancy between the official and actual labour force: this approach supposes that
the decrease of the labour force in the official activity may indicate that shadow economy is
gaining momentum in one country. Under this approach, the size of shadow economy in one
setting is estimated using the decrease in the percentage of labour force participating in the
official economy.
(iii) The transactions approach: this approach supposes that there is a constant relationship
between the volume of transactions and the official GNP. If the volume of transactions is
supposed to be equal to the total nominal GNP, the size of shadow economy can be estimated
5
For critics addressed to these approaches, see Schneider (2004).
9
(iv)The currency demand approach: this approach supposes that that shadow (or hidden)
transactions are undertaken in the form of cash payments, so that no observable traces are left
for the authorities to control. This method was developed by Cagan (1958) and it consists of
regressing the ratio of cash holdings to current and deposit accounts on some conventional
factors that can influence it. Therefore, tax evasion is proxied by the amount unexplained by
(v) The physical input (electricity consumption): this method was developed by Kaufmann
and Kaliberda (1996) based on the assumption that electric-power consumption represents the
best physical indicator of the overall (official and unofficial) economic activity. Since there is
a strong relationship between the consumption of electricity and the overall GDP6, one can
estimate the size of shadow economy by subtracting from the overall GDP the official GDP.
Overall, it seems that a wide range of techniques exists to estimate tax evasion and tax
empirical literature has only explored a small number of approaches. Future examinations of
the determinants of tax evasion have to consider other methodologies to improve our
evasion. These determinants are classified into four categories including: (i) demographic, (ii)
cultural and behavioural, (iii) legal and institutional and (iv) economic variables. Six
empirical papers dealing with the determinants of tax evasion are identified including Riahi-
Belkaoui (2004), Picur and Riahi-Belkaoui (2006), Richardson (2006), Tsakumis, Curatola
and Porcano (2007), Richardson (2008) and Gabor (2012). The common feature for these
studies is the cross-country analysis. While a number of earlier studies considered this topic,
Riahi-Belkaoui’s (2004) study represents the pioneering work for the determinants of tax
6
According to Schneider (2004), empirical evidence worldwide demonstrates that electricity consumption to
GDP elasticity is usually close to one.
10
evasion and perhaps the first rigorous empirical investigation found within the recent
literature. Accordingly, this empirical summary will commence with this study.
Riahi-Belkaoui (2004) examines the determinants of tax evasion for a sample of 30 developed
and developing countries in 1996. To measure tax evasion, he uses the direct approach which
consists of a tax compliance survey conducted by the GCR in 1996. He focuses on four
variables including the economic freedom index, the importance of equity market, the level of
serious crimes and the effectiveness of competition laws. He documents that the high level of
economic freedom, important of equity markets and the effectiveness of competition laws are
positively associated with tax compliance, while the high level of criminology reduces the
Picur and Riahi-Belkaoui (2006) extend the analysis by examining the effect of two important
legal and institutional variables, namely, bureaucracy and corruption for a sample of 30
tax government expenditures over GDP, while the corruption is proxied by a score ranging
from -2.5 to 2.5 where higher scores indicate lower corruption. They control for legal system
(1 for common law countries and 0 otherwise) in their model. They document that the low
level of corruption is positively associated with tax compliance, whereas the high level of
bureaucracy increases tax evasion. They also provide evidence that countries belonging to
Richardson (2006) extends this line of research by considering economic and demographic
variables based on the detailed review of Jackson and Milliron (1986) who consider ten key
variables including age, gender, education, income level, income source, marginal tax rates,
fairness, complexity, revenue authority initiated contact and tax morale. Tax evasion is
measured using the direct approach based on two scores collected from the GCR (WEF, 2002,
2003, 2004). He controls for legal and institutional (democracy, legal system), economic
11
(economic development), non-economic (religion), cultural7 and behavioural variables. Based
fiscal rules is positively associated with tax evasion, while the high levels of general
education, services income source, fairness and tax morale are negatively associated with the
same variable. .
Tsakumis et al. (2007) alternatively explore the relationship between tax evasion and cultural
by Hofstede (2001). Tax evasion proxy is based on Shneider (2004) who uses a macro
developing countries, they document that uncertainty avoidance and power distance are
positively associated with tax evasion, while individualism and masculinity are negatively
associated with tax evasion. After controlling for the level of economic development, as
proxied by the GNP, they document a negative and significant association between this
Richardson (2008) extends the empirical analysis of Tsakumis et al. (2007) by considering
several proxies of tax evasion and including other legal, political, and religious variables. He
association between tax evasion and cultural dimensions. Using the micro direct approach by
collecting taxpayers’ perceptions from the GCR (WEF, 2002, 2003, 2004) and based on a
negatively associated with tax evasion, while uncertainty avoidance is positively associated
with the same variable. Contrary to Tsakumis et al. (2007), masculinity is not significantly
associated with tax evasion. Whit regard to control variables, it seems that the levels of legal
7
The concept of culture in this study is more linked to ethnicity.
12
enforcement, trust in government and religiosity are negatively associated with tax evasion
across countries.
Finally, Gabor (2012) also extends the empirical analysis of Tsakumis et al. (2007) by
considering the same model and adding two new cultural dimensions including long term
orientation and indulgence. In this study, tax evasion is measured using a macro indirect
approach based on Shneider (2004). The sample of consists of 58 developed and developing
countries and data are collected for the period from 2008-2010. Results show that these new
cultural dimensions do not affect tax evasion. In addition, masculinity is negatively associated
with tax evasion, while uncertainty avoidance is positively associated with the same variable.
Controlling for the level of economic development, he documents that GNP is negatively
Overall, it seems that the common characteristic of these studies is the cross-country and
cross-sectional analysis. Taken together, the results reviewed with regard to economic,
demographic, legal, institutional, cultural and behavioural variables do not suggest apparent
determinants of tax evasion since models generally explore new variables and subsequent
With respect to cultural dimensions and tax evasion, three studies have examined this topic.
Findings reported show that uncertainty avoidance has a significant positive effect on tax
evasion either when the latter is proxied by micro direct approach (e.g. Richardson, 2008) or
macro indirect approach (e.g. Tsakumis et al., 2007; Gabor, 2012). In addition, two studies
employing macro indirect approach show that masculinity is negatively and significantly
associated with tax evasion. For the remaining cultural dimensions, results are mixed across
13
The limited number of studies and observations (number of countries) may also reduce the
capability to identify clear determinants. In addition, studies use either micro direct or macro
indirect approach and do not consider other techniques to increase the robustness of the
results. Finally, combining developed and developing countries with a limited number of
observations may not allow researchers to re-estimate their models with respect to each group
to identify how the level of economic development may affect tax evasion determinants.
Based on these critics, it seems that this stream of research is still in its infancy. Accordingly,
five developments are suggested. First, future investigations of tax evasion determinants
should build on previous empirical models and control for variables that have been shown to
be crucial in explaining tax evasion. Second, since the above empirical literature focuses only
on one approach to estimate tax evasion variable, future examinations should consider the
micro direct and macro indirect methodologies and compare results between them. Third, the
and examine how the degree of country development moderates the examined associations.
Fourth, researchers should identify new sources of data provided by other international
institutions (e.g. The Tax Justice Network) to conduct empirical analysis. Finally, since tax
compliance is a type of social contract between citizens and their state, future empirical
investigations may focus on the association between the country’s level of social and
5. Conclusion
The purpose of this paper is to provide a review of the design and methodological issues
linked to the stream of research dealing with the determinants of tax evasion. To underscore
the importance of our focus, Gemmell and Hasseldine (2012) suggest that tax evasion
14
represents an international serious problem for policy makers since it becomes a widespread
phenomenon for many developed and developing countries (Tsakumis et al. 2007).
Accordingly, this narrative review considers the related empirical literature specifically
dealing with the determinants of tax evasion. This review reveals the following issues. First,
this stream of research is still in its infancy since only six studies have been conducted to date.
Second, all reviewed studies have an explorative aspect since each one has examined new
variables without taking into account previous reported empirical findings. Third, several
approaches (either micro direct or macro indirect) remain unexplored and studies rely only on
surveys’ results collected from international reports or on Shneider’s (2004) shadow economy
estimates.
The above narrative review classifies tax evasion determinants into four categories including
(i) demographic, (ii) cultural and behavioural, (iii) legal and institutional and (iv) economic
However, it should be acknowledged that the slow progress of this stream of empirical
research is mainly caused by the difficulty faced to collect data for some countries (Gemmell
and Hasseldine, 2012). In addition, the unavailability of data for some settings in international
reports leads to reduced sample size and it becomes impossible for researchers to deepen
analyses.
Although these difficulties, several future research avenues still exist to improve our
understanding of the determinants of tax evasion worldwide. First, future investigations of tax
evasion determinants should take into account the previous significant determinants before
exploring new variables. Second, new empirical examinations of tax evasion determinants
have to apply micro direct and macro indirect approaches, subject to data availability, to give
rise to the importance and the robustness of empirical findings. Third, since tax compliance is
15
a type of social contract between citizens and their governments, future empirical studies may
focus on the relationship between the country’s level of social and environmental
sustainability and tax evasion. Finally, this study represents a simple narrative review,
manner this stream of research when a sufficient number of empirical works is available.
16
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، ﺳﻢ٢.٥ : ﻳﻤﯿﻦ، ﺳﻢ٢.٥ :ﻳﺴﺎر:ﻣﻨﺴّﻖ Table 1. Summary of the empirical results
، ﺳﻢ٢.٥ : أﺳﻔﻞ، ﺳﻢ٢.٥ :أﻋﻠﻰ
، ﺳﻢ٢١ : اﻻرﺗﻔﺎع، ﺳﻢ٢٩.٧ :اﻟﻌﺮض
:ﻣﺴﺎﻓﺔ رأس اﻟﺼﻔﺤﺔ اﻋﺘﺒﺎراً ﻣﻦ اﻟﺤﺎﻓﺔ Proxy for tax Sample Demographic Cultural and Legal and institutional Economic
ﻣﺴﺎﻓﺔ ﺗﺬﻳﯿﻞ اﻟﺼﻔﺤﺔ اﻋﺘﺒﺎراً ﻣﻦ، ﺳﻢ١.٢٥
Studies
evasion variables behavioural variables variables variables
ﺳﻢ١.٢٥ :اﻟﺤﺎﻓﺔ
Riahi-Belkaoui Tax compliance – micro 30 developed and Level of serious crimes (-) NI Effectiveness of Economic freedom (+);
(2004) direct approach- Based developing countries competition laws (+) importance of equity
on a survey in 1996 market (+)
Picur and Riahi- Tax compliance – micro 30 developed and NI NI Bureaucracy (-); corruption (-); legal NI
Belkaoui (2006) direct approach- Based developing countries system (common/ civil) (+)
on a survey in 1996
Richardson (2006) Tax evasion – micro 45 developed and Age (0); gender (0); Tax morale (-); culture (0) Tax complexity system (+); top marginal Economic
direct approach- Based developing countries education (-);the tax for individuals (0); fairness (-); tax development (0)
on a survey (2002-2003) proportion of household system complexity (+); legal system (0);
income (0); employment
democracy (0); region (0)
in the agricultural sector
(0); employment in the
service sector (-); religion
(0)
Tsakumis et al. Tax evasion – macro 47 developed and NI Uncertainty avoidance (+); NI Economic
(2007) indirect approach- Based developing countries masculinity (-); individualism (-); development (-)
on Shneider (2004) (2000-2003) power distance (+)
Richardson (2008) Tax evasion – micro 50 developed and Religion (-) Uncertainty avoidance (+); Trust in government (-); legal enforcement Economic
direct approach- Based developing countries masculinity (0); individualism (0) development (-)
on a survey (2002-2004) (-); power distance (0)
Gabor (2012) Tax evasion – macro 57 developed and NI Uncertainty avoidance (+); NI Economic
indirect approach- Based developing countries masculinity (-); individualism development (-)
on Shneider (2004) (2008-2010) (0); power distance (0); long term
orientation (0); indulgence (0)
Notes: (+) positive and significant association; (-) negative and significant association; (0) insignificant association; NI: not included.
20