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Round Table

Diversification Strategy and


Firm Performance

C
Madhusudhan orporate diversification has long been the engine of new product
development. Yet, of all the outstanding characteristics of business
Prasad Varanasi firms, perhaps the most inadequately treated aspect is the
diversification of their activities1. This article examines the core issues behind
product diversification — its conceptualisation, categorisation and
measurement, and the rationale behind constructing a theoretical framework
of diversification – through the Traditional Theory and Neoclassical Theory
approaches of Economics, and the managerial explanation or the doctrine of
managerialism. It surveys the studies on diversification and firm performance,
in particular those that have addressed themselves to the relationship between
a firm’s degree of diversification and subsequent performance – a question
that has been in the forefront of issues relating to corporate strategy.
Diversification has been employed by business firms since early days. In its
early application, diversification came either by intuition or by accident. In
several cases, the desire to reduce the risk of an existing line of business led to
organisations embarking on a new project. Historically, in India, business
houses floated firms and projects which had great diversity of products,
processes, markets and technology.
Diversification emerged as a phenomenon coincidental with rapid spurts in
technology and breakthrough research in electronic and digital control systems
that produced revolutionary changes in consumer and capital markets and
substantially leveraged the utilisation of the resources of an organisation.
Governmental policies and regulations can also be considered as a spur to
corporate diversification in countries like India.
Montogmery2 identifies three basic reasons that drive a firm’s decision to
Madhusudhan Prasad Varanasi is Associate diversify. The first one, identified as the Market-power view, is seen in
Professor, School of Management Studies, conglomerate firms. The second reason confirms the Agency view: as a
Jawaharlal Nehru Technological University,
Hyderabad. consequence of a separation of ownership from control in modern firms, it
drvmprasad@yahoo.com.sg is in the interest of managers to adopt diversification, for it may ensure a

IIMB Management Review, September 2005 97


or forward) into one common unit or enters into markets
The problem in the area of characterised by identical distribution and other marketing
corporate diversification is the need systems. When firms produce goods and services which are
not related technology wise or market wise then the firm is
to evolve an appropriate approach
said to be following pure diversification mode or unrelated
to classify firms and then examine diversification strategy4.
the relationship between
diversification and performance, Classifying and Measuring Firm Diversity
particularly financial performance. The problem in the area of corporate diversification is the
Attempts to evolve a commonly need to evolve an appropriate approach to classify firms in
various diversification groups and then examine the
accepted measure of
relationship between diversification and performance in
diversification have met with only general and financial performance in particular.
partial success. Attempts to evolve a commonly accepted measure of
diversification have met with only partial success. Research
number of benefits to this group. It may mean enhancement
in the area has been prompted by a spectrum of academic
of status, flow of additional remunerative benefits and finally,
interests, being anchored to Business History, Economics,
provide an insurance against economic failures. The third
Business Policy, and Public Policy each with its main focus of
reason, termed the Resource view, emanates from the
study. All these studies have defined diversification in the
possibilities that arise when a firm has excess resources that
context of their respective objectives. A survey of literature
can be put into productive use elsewhere.
on diversification suggests that there are two fundamental
ways of conceptualising and measuring firm diversity viz., by
The Concept of Diversification Business Count and by Strategy.

The conceptualisation of diversification has closely followed


Business Count Approach
industry practice over a long period. The primary emphasis
of researchers has been on new products, new processes and This approach is premised on a head count of the number of
new markets as indicators of diversification by an existing products manufactured by a firm. These products are then
firm. Steiner describes diversification as entering new into a disaggregated for the revenue they generate for the firm
product or service or new markets involving significantly during an accounting period. The information thus derived is
different skills, processes and knowledge; Gort defines utilised to construct an index of diversification like the
diversification in terms of heterogeneity of output serving Herfindahl Index and Entropy Measure5. Though the business
separate markets with low cross elasticities of demand and count approach appears numerically straight and
non-shiftability of resources in the short run. Berry identifies mathematically specific, there are limitations in using the
diversification with just an increase in the number of industries business count approach for a causal relationship between
where firms are active. Kamien and Schwartz consider diversification and performance. Hence, statistically and
diversification when firms classified in one industry produce logically, the more acceptable approach is the strategy based
goods classified in another. According to Pitts and Hopkin measure.
firms diversify when they operate in different businesses
simultaneously. Booz, Allen and Hamilton perceive Strategy Approach
diversification when firms spread the base of their business Organisations the world over have chosen to follow different
to improve growth and/or reduce overall risk3. growth paths whether by intuition or accident or rational
A more recent development is the concept of related choice. In most cases, the goal was to achieve better results
diversification. This occurs when a company manufactures and financial performance, but this did not always follow.
products using a common production facility or a technology Consequently, the connection between diversification and
which is already being used by it or gets vertically integrated firm performance was not seen as an undisputed relationship.
i.e., it integrates successive stages of production (backward In the process of investigating the relationship, attempts were

98 Diversification Strategy and Firm Performance


made to define both the dependent and the independent The primary measure of diversification is taken to be the
variables i.e. financial performance and diversification, specialisation ratio, defined as the proportion of a firm’s
respectively. Diversification has been classified and revenues that is attributable to its largest discrete product-
categorised variously. While classifications of diversification market activity. A discrete business (or product-market
such as Rumelt’s seminal one (see box) help establish a ‘pattern activity) is one that is strategically independent of the firm’s
of relationships’ among businesses, the lack of ‘objective other businesses, so that basic changes in its nature and scope
standards’ raises the possibility of several researchers studying can be made without meeting constraints imposed by the
the same firms but arriving at somewhat different firm’s other businesses and without materially affecting the
classifications6. operation and strategic direction of the firm’s other
businesses7.
Simultaneously, measures of financial performance are also
identified to reflect both the financial health and the revenue Businesses are related to one another when a common skill,
yielding capacity of the firm. The dependent variable is resource, market, or purpose applies to each. A firm’s related
invariably expressed in the form of ratios. ratio is defined as the proportion of its revenues attributable
to the largest group of businesses that are related in some
A firm’s diversification strategy is defined as its commitment
way to one other business in the group (linked relatedness),
to diversity per se, together with the strengths, skills or
though it may be related to all and all may be directly related
purposes that span this diversity, shown by the way in which
to one another (constrained relatedness).
business activities are related to one another.
There have been several attempts to build a theoretical
Categorisation of Diversification framework of diversification. Economists have attempted to
Rumelt defined four major categories of diversification, further build theories of diversification based on the traditional and
divided into sub categories. According to him in any given year neo-classical theories of firm.
a firm’s diversification strategy may be described as
corresponding to one of the following categories:
Theoretical Framework of Diversification
Single Business
Business: A firm deriving more than 95% of annual
revenues from the base business, i.e., firms that are basically The theory of the firm has yet to formally incorporate the
committed to a discrete business area. multi-product character of business enterprises in the main
Dominant Business
Business: A firm deriving 70-95% of annual revenues body of its analysis. As a first step, this may require a
from the base business. Firms that have diversified to some modification of the Neoclassical theory of the firm so that
extent but still obtain the preponderance of their revenues from the distinctive properties of organisational knowledge and
a discrete business area.
the cost properties of various transactions are emphasised. It
Dominant Constrained
Constrained: A dominant firm in which all component is also necessary to make an analytical separation between a
businesses are directly related to the base business. theory of diversification and a theory of growth since growth
Dominant Linked
Linked: A dominant firm in which all component and diversification do not seem inextricably linked. A central
businesses are related but are not related to the base business. issue for a theory of multi-product organisation is to explain
Related Business
Business: A firm deriving less than 70% of revenues why firms diversify into related and unrelated product lines
from the base business and where diversification has been rather than reinvesting in traditional lines of business or
achieved by “relating” new activities to old. This relatedness is transferring assets directly to shareholders.
defined in markets served, distribution systems, production
technologies, or the exploitation of science-based research. Firms and markets interact with each other to evolve a
configuration which continually builds on complementary
Related Constrained
Constrained: A related firm in which all component
businesses are directly related to the base business. products and yields economies in production and transaction
costs. This would imply that firms add to the range of their
Related Linked
Linked: A related firm in which component businesses
are not all directly related to the base business.
products depending on the market conditions and also on
the extent to which they can reduce their production and
Unrelated Business
Business: A firm deriving less than 70% of revenues
transaction costs. Such a situation could lead a firm to
from the base business and where diversification is unrelated.
produce a heterogeneous output which serves several
Source: Rumelt, R P, 1974, Strategy, Structure and Economic markets. Two views can be combined to work out the initial
Performance, Harvard University Press, Cambridge, M A.
constructs of a theory of diversification. One approach focuses

IIMB Management Review, September 2005 99


Neoclassical Theory
Another class of theories explaining The Neoclassical theory of firm generally assumes profit
diversification is based on the maximising entities operating in competitive product and
capital markets exhibiting zero transactions costs and
doctrine of managerialism. In Marris’s
competitive equilibrium. Under these assumptions, it is
growth maximising managerial virtually impossible to erect a theory of the multi-product
enterprise, managers bring not only firm11. A pure diversification rationale for a multi-product
firm is not valid within the context of orthodox theories of
the existing supply and demand for financial markets. Multi-product firms can merge within an
resources into line, but also their economy operating under neoclassical competitive
assumptions, but they must do so only by accident. Whether
future rates of growth. Firms are firms are organised along specialised or multi-product lines
usually multi-product, and is economically irrelevant since market arrangements and
internal organisation are perfect substitutes. Thus, divesting
diversification into new products
multi-product firms or diversifying specialised ones is a
is the main engine of transformation lacking economic significance in the context
corporate growth. of a neoclassical economy. Jensen and Meckling pointed out
that ‘the literature of economics has several references to the
on the same firm engaged in a vertical integration process as theory of firm, they actually reflect a theory of markets in
determined by market forces8 while the other focuses on which the firms are important actors’12.
two or more firms integrating together within a market
determined framework9. The principal difference between Managerial Explanation
the two can be explained in terms of the type of transactions As an adjunct to economic analysis to determine reasons and
being internalised. Whereas vertical integration internalises formulate theories as to why firms diversify, is another class
the supply of tangible inputs to a single production process, the of theories explaining diversification based on the doctrine
integration of firms (or diversification) internalises the supply of managerialism or strategic management. Marris13 and
of know-how and inputs common to two or more production Mueller14 have made important contributions in this area. In
processes. In fact, diversification can act as a vehicle for realising Marris’s growth maximising managerial enterprise, managers
interaction economies associated with the simultaneous not only bring the existing supply and demand for resources
supply of inputs and processes, geared to distinct final-product into line, but also their future rates of growth. Thus, the
markets. equating of the growth of supply of resources and that of
demand for them is in an equilibrium condition. In identifying
Traditional Theory the main determinants of the growth of demand, Marris
Traditional theories of the firm concentrate on profit recognises that firms are usually multi-product and that
maximisation as the basic tenet for manufacturing more than diversification into new products is the main engine of
one product. A multi-product firm will decide about the corporate growth. Thus, in order to grow any faster than the
amount of each product to be manufactured in a way that rate of growth of the market in which the firm establishes
the ratio of marginal revenues of each pair of products equals itself, it must carry out further successful diversification.
the ratio of their marginal costs. Such optimum solution However, there are significant costs attached to successful
strategies may, however, be disturbed in cases of imperfect diversification and these costs reduce the firm’s rate of return
competition, by the efforts of entrepreneurs to manage on capital. The growth of demand is, thus, an inverse function
uncertainty according to their respective attitudes toward of the rate of return on capital because faster growth of
risk, and the eternal quest for new products given the tendency demand via more rapid diversification either requires a lower
of on-going products to stagnate on saturated demand. profit margin, or leads to a higher capital output ratio, both
of which reduce the return on capital.
While the economic case for a maximising firm is strong, the
traditional theory ignores the non-economic reasons The core of Mueller’s theory is that managers are motivated
influencing the empirical behaviour of firms10. to increase the size of their firms further. He assumes that the

100 Diversification Strategy and Firm Performance


compensation to managers is a function of the size of the
firm and he argues, therefore, that managers adopt a lower A question that has been in the
investment hurdle rate. The lower investment hurdle rate forefront is whether firms that
prompts the managers of older, larger and mature firms to
invest more heavily than they would if they were confronted diversify into related lines of
with a higher hurdle, and represents a basic motivation for business outperform firms that
diversification. However, the basic premise of the theory that
the compensation is a function of the size of the firm is
choose conglomeration.
problematic. In a study critical of earlier evidence, Lewellen15 Investigating the relationships
found that managers’ compensation is significantly correlated
among diversification strategy,
with the firm’s profit rate and not its level of sales. Thus,
Mueller’s theory has to fall back on the non-pecuniary organisational structure and
benefits such as status and visibility in the business community economic performance, Rumelt
which managers may obtain from managing larger
enterprises. found that related diversification
Managerial motives may well explain a portion of observed strategies outperformed other
diversification activity. Diversification can also be efficiency diversification strategies.
driven. Managerial explanations delineate the nature of
possible efficiencies, thereby providing the foundations for was able to demonstrate a clearer linkage between
an efficiency-based theory of the multi-product firm. This diversification category and performance compared to other
theoretical exploration is of relevance to managers and policy researchers who used simpler measures of diversification.
analysts since a framework is developed within which it is Related diversification strategies were found to outperform
possible to assess the likelihood that economies can be the other diversification strategies on the average.
captured through corporate diversification strategies. Within
this framework, the firm is conceptualised as a structure Other researchers across nations, mainly from the UK, Europe
designed to organise the employment of various assets which and Japan, based on partial replication of Rumelt’s study, also
have greater value when employed under the internal control observed similar patterns of diversification with some
apparatus of a firm than under the external control apparatus differences. Research studies on diversification in the Indian
of a market. context though few and far between, have been found to
support Rumelt’s findings. Shekhar Choudhuri et al and
Studies on Diversification and Firm Performance George Paul21 performed a statistical analysis and found that
firms pursuing related diversification outperform firms
Studies of corporate diversification have provided much of pursuing unrelated diversification in general and in particular
the grist for managerialist theories. They have explored several on indicators of growth, profitability, safety and market
hypotheses in the field, focusing on knotty issues and evaluation. Differences in performance on account of
contributing to theory building. Over the last two decades, industry characteristics remain unaffected by diversification.
the relationship between a firm’s degree of diversification Thus, while firm level diversification is meaningful, industry
and subsequent performance has been extensively researched level diversification may not be fruitful. A study on
in the literature on strategy16. diversification and financial performance of a sample 117
A question that has been in the forefront of issues relating to Indian companies from the Forward Cash and B1 group
corporate strategy is whether firms that diversify into related listed on the Bombay Stock Exchange22, followed the
lines of business outperform firms that choose methodology similar to the Rumelt’s categorisation of product
conglomeration. Since the publication of Rumelt’s study17, a diversification and found some interesting insights into the
number of efforts have been made to replicate18, refine19 and relationship between strategic categories and financial
explain20 his diversification framework and findings. Rumelt performance.
investigated the relationships among diversification strategy, However, studies centred on the hypothesis that unrelated
organisational structure and economic performance. Using diversifiers outperform related diversifiers are growing in
a carefully conceptualised measure of diversification, Rumelt number23. At the same time there are studies which did not

IIMB Management Review, September 2005 101


diversification strategies have different risk profiles. However,
Cross-sectional studies do not different diversification strategies could also result in similar
seem to be successful in risk/return profiles30. Performance differences between
related and unrelated firms in Rumelt’s study were largely
determining the true causal
due to the over representation in the related constrained
relationship between diversification category of firms from one industry noted for high levels of
and performance for the reason profitability (pharmaceuticals). The differences noted by
Rumelt disappeared after correcting for this bias in the sample.
that they employ a number of Bettis and Mahajan31 remarked that related diversification is
diverse industrial units across a necessary but not a sufficient condition to achieve a
industry groups. The industry favourable risk/return performance. Firms in efficient clusters
(relatively high performance at a medium risk level) tend to
specific effects of diversification be in higher growth industries and have relatively lower level
which are quite powerful, and the of debt financing.
complexities of the relationship, are Apart from studies relating diversification strategies and
lost in the analytical procedure. financial performance, many researchers attempted to know
the impact of structure of the organisation, compensation,
R&D intensity, promotional intensity, internal diversification
find any relationship between diversification and
mode vs external diversification mode, nature of acquisitions,
performance24. They also found no significant difference
conglomerate mergers, managing diversification, the process
between related and unrelated diversification strategies.
of management of change, regulatory environment, intensity
Later studies employing Rumelt’s sample and diversification of monitoring, age and size of the firm, stage of industrial
categories incorporated market characteristics, such as growth, and so on.
market share, market growth and firm size, and measures of
risk in the analysis of the relationship between diversification
and performance. These studies indicated that the type of
Conclusion
market in which a firm operates affects performance and While there is much scope for further research in the area of
that related diversification aids, but does not insure favourable diversification and firm performance, there have been two
performance. Montgomery25 observed that performance major lacunae in the existing studies on diversification.
differences across diversification strategies occurred due to
• Cross-sectional studies do not seem to be successful in
differences in industry structures and performance at business
determining the true causal relationship between
unit level. Christensen and Montgomery26 noted that market
diversification and performance for the manifest reason
structure variables have a moderating effect on the
that a cross-section study employs a number of diverse
diversification- performance link. Montgomery27 found that
highly diversified firms compete in less-attractive markets, industrial units across industry groups at a given point of
have lower market share, and are less profitable than less- time and it would appear that the industry specific effects
diversified firms. Wernerfelt and Montgomery28 reported that of diversification which are quite powerful, are lost in the
efficient diversifiers, which they defined as firms pursuing analytical procedure. In fact, by examining diversification
related types of diversification focusing on specific related independent of its industry context, prior studies may have
skill, perform better than inefficient diversifiers when they glossed over the complexities of the relationship and
compete in highly profitable industries. On the other hand, performance.
they found that inefficient diversifiers were found to benefit • A more meaningful causal relationship between
more from markets with high growth compared to efficient diversification and financial performance can be focused
diversifiers. if the product-wise revenues of a business firm are
appropriately and consistently disaggregated. Most existing
Bettis and Hall29 observed that the superior returns attributed
studies have not done this, more particularly in the Indian
by Rumelt to related diversification may be due largely to
context.
industry effects. Further, unrelated firms do not have superior
risk pooling characteristics. They also noted that different Ideally speaking the relationship between diversification and

102 Diversification Strategy and Firm Performance


financial performance at the business unit level must be together in variable proportions and within given methods of
production. Likewise, known techniques of production prescribe
focused (from the stand point of building a theory of rigid proportions of two or more products. The case of crop rotation
diversification) on a product or service division of a firm. But and the interleaving of crops is noteworthy in this context. The
prime factor here is soil fertility and maintenance of yields in tact.
evaluation of performance on this basis is handicapped by Farmers do not grow a variety of crops at any one time. It will be seen
non-availability of normative criteria like divisional that in all such cases, the maximising criteria are being sacrificed.
performance evaluation bench-marks. Another important 11 See the following works for substantiation: Teece, J David, 1980,
aspect relates to the mode in which firms diversify. There are ‘Economics of Scope and the Scope of the Enterprise’, Journal of
Economic Behaviour and Organisation, Vol. 1, North Holland, pp.
two known modes in which firms can possibly diversify, viz., 273-247; Galai, D, and R W Masulis, 1976, ‘The Option Pricing
through internal business development and by acquisitions Model and the Risk Factor of Stock’, Journal of Financial Economics,
Vol. 3, pp. 53-81; Fisher, Black, and Myron Scholes, 1973, ‘The
and mergers. It is obvious that financial performance would
Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities’, Journal of Political
be variously affected when internal business development Economy, Vol. 81, No.3, pp. 637 - 654.
leads to the emergence of a ‘core competency’ or when an 1 2 Jenson, M C, and H W Meckling, 1976, ‘Theory of Firm: Managerial
existing firm acquires another firm in related or unrelated Behaviour, Agency Costs, and Ownership Structurre’, Journal of
Financial Economics, and reprinted in Buckling, P, and J Michie,
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of the two routes would be more conducive to superior p.200.
performance, differences do exist and research would 1 3 Marris, R, 1964, The Economic Theory of Managerial Capitalist,
produce mixed results. Research studies on diversification in Macmillian, London.

the Indian context are few and far between. In the light of the 14 Mueller, D C, 1977, ‘The Effects Of Conglomerate Mergers : A
Survey Of The Empirical Evidence’, Journal of Banking and Finance,
above mixed results and the impact of liberalisation,
pp. 315-347.
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1 5 Lewellen, W G , 1971, ‘A Pure Financial Rationale for Conglomerate
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2 1 Choudhuri, Shekar, et al, 1982, ‘Patterns of Diversification in Larger 3 0 Bettis, R A, and V Mahajan, ‘Risk Return Performance of Diversified
Indian Enterprises’, Vikalpa, Vol. 7, No. 1, Jan; George, Paul, Firm’.
‘Financial Performance of Diversified Companies in India’; ‘Does
Diversification Always Improve Financial Performance?’. 3 1 Ibid.
2 2 Varanasi, M P, ‘Diversification Strategy and Financial Performance
of the Indian Private Corporate Sector’.

Reprint No 05307b

104 Diversification Strategy and Firm Performance

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