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AP Photo/Heribert Proepper

by JAMES DELINGPOLE 22 Aug 2017 107

Most global warming is natural and even if there had been no

Industrial Revolution current global temperatures would be
almost exactly the same as they are now, a study has found.
The paper, by Australian scientists John Abbot and Jennifer Marohasy, published in
GeoResJ uses the latest big data technique to analyse six 2,000 year-long proxy MOST POPULAR
temperature series from different geographic regions. “Proxies” are the markers scientists
use – tree rings, sediments, pollen, etc – to try assess global temperature trends in the McClatchy: Trump Aides Plot Big
days before the existence of thermometers. All the evidence suggests that the planet was Immigration Deal — That Breaks a
about a degree warmer during the Medieval Warming Period than it is now; and that there Campaign Promise
is nothing unnatural or unprecedented about late 20th century and early 21st century 4,998 comments - 2 hours ago
“climate change”.
Trump Debuts Afghanistan Strategy:
‘We Are Not Nation-Building Again,
This contradicts the claims of alarmist scientists at the Intergovernmental Panel on
We Are Killing Terrorists’
Climate Change that “man made” global warming is a worrying and dangerous
17,730 comments - 16 hours ago
phenomenon.
Graham: ‘I Am Very Pleased’ With
 Time-series profiles derived from temperature proxies such as tree rings can provide Afghanistan Plan – If Congress Votes It
information about past climate. Signal analysis was undertaken of six such datasets, Down, They’ll Own the Next 9/11
and the resulting component sine waves used as input to an artificial neural network 6,422 comments - 15 hours ago
(ANN), a form of machine learning. By optimizing spectral features of the component
Monument Madness Comes to Britain
sine waves, such as periodicity, amplitude and phase, the original temperature
With Calls to Smash Nelson’s Column
profiles were approximately simulated for the late Holocene period to 1830 CE. The
406 comments - 1 hour ago
ANN models were then used to generate projections of temperatures through the
20th century. The largest deviation between the ANN projections and measured Trump’s ‘America First’ Base Unhappy
temperatures for six geographically distinct regions was approximately 0.2 °C, and with Flip-Flop Afghanistan Speech
from this an Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity (ECS) of approximately 0.6 °C was 5,312 comments - 15 hours ago
estimated. This is considerably less than estimates from the General Circulation
Models (GCMs) used by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), and ‘Catholic’ PM Justin Trudeau Pushes
similar to estimates from spectroscopic methods. for Abortion as ‘Human Right’ in
Ireland
1,313 comments - 4 hours ago
In fact as the chart shows, recent warming is well within the planet’s natural historic
climate boundaries: Source: McMaster Fails to Brief Trump
Before ‘That’s Too Bad’ Error
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12,936 comments - 2 days ago

Pope Francis: Rights of Migrants

Trump National Security Concerns
8,027 comments - 1 day ago

Jefferson Memorial To Be Altered to

Emphasize Slave Ownership
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Donald Trump Praises Anti-Hate

Protesters in Boston, ‘We Will Heal and
Be Stronger’
19,321 comments - 3 days ago

Coming soon...

James Lovelock

According to co-author Jennifer Mahorasy – who was behind the recent exposure of the
scandal in which Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology was found to be erasing record-
breaking low temperatures from its records – global temperature has moved up and down
quite naturally for the last 2000 years.
Gun Control as a Solution to
We began by deconstructing the six-proxy series from different geographic regions – Car Attacks?
series already published in the mainstream climate science literature. One of these,
the Northern Hemisphere composite series begins in 50 AD, ends in the year 2000,
and is derived from studies of pollen, lake sediments, stalagmites and boreholes.

Typical of most such temperature series, it zigzags up and down while showing two
rising trends: the first peaks about 1200 AD and corresponds with a period known as
the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), while the second peaks in 1980 and then shows FROM THE HOMEPAGE
decline. In between, is the Little Ice Age (LIA), which according to the Northern
Hemisphere composite bottomed-out in 1650 AD. (Of course, the MWP
 corresponded with a period of generally good harvests in England – when men
dressed in tunics and built grand cathedrals with tall spires. It preceded the LIA
when there was famine and the Great Plague of London.)

Up until the 1990s, this was widely accepted by the climate science community. But then
came a concerted effort led by alarmists including Michael “Hockey Stick” Mann to erase
the Medieval Warming Period from the records. Scientists who argued otherwise – among Trump’s Merkel
them Willie Soon and Sallie Balliunas – were harassed for their “incorrect” thinking. Moment? West Wing
Dems’ Plan to Keep
DACA Will Increase
However, the new study would appear to confirm that the skeptics were right all along – Illegal Immigration
and that it’s the alarmists who have some apologizing to do. Pull Factors
380 Comments

To be clear, while mainstream climate science is replete with published proxy

temperature studies showing that temperatures have cycled up and down over the
last 2,000 years – spiking during the Medieval Warm Period and then again recently
to about 1980 as shown in Figure 12 – the official IPCC reconstructions (which
underpin the Paris Accord) deny such cycles. Through this denial, leaders from
within this much-revered community can claim that there is something unusual
about current temperatures: that we have catastrophic global warming from McClatchy: Trump
industrialisation. Aides Plot Big
Immigration Deal —
In our new paper in GeoResJ, we not only use the latest techniques in big data to That Breaks a
Campaign Promise
show that there would very likely have been significant warming to at least 1980 in
4,998 Comments
the absence of industrialisation, we also calculate an Equilibrium Climate Sensitivity
(ECS) of 0.6°C. This is the temperature increase expected from a doubling of carbon
dioxide concentrations in the atmosphere. This is an order of magnitude less than
estimates from General Circulation Models, but in accordance from values generated
from experimental spectroscopic studies, and other approaches reported in the
scientific literature [9,10,11,12,13,14].

Monument Madness
The science is far from settled. In reality, some of the data is ‘problematic’, the
Comes to Britain
underlying physical mechanisms are complex and poorly understood, the literature With Calls to Smash
voluminous, and new alternative techniques (such as our method using ANNs) can Nelson’s Column
give very different answers to those derived from General Circulation Models and 406 Comments

remodelled proxy-temperature series.

Read More Stories About:

Big Government, Environment, Australia's Bureau of Meteorology, Climate Change, global
temperature trends, Global Warming, Industrial Revolution, Intergovernmental Panel on
Climate Change, Jennifer Marohasy, John Abbot, Medieval Warm Period
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Could Put Trump’s
Presidency at Risk
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Delingpole: Global
Show One New Comment
Warming Is Almost
Entirely Natural,
RobL_v2 • 2 hours ago Study Confirms
107 Comments
And right now there aint even any warming...

But the interesting thing is... when there was warming, and it seems we did have a
warming phase in the 19th and 20th Centuries, the warming began before CO2 levels
rose. And... today as CO2 levels are ever increasing, there is no warming.

Seems scientists need to go back to Science 101 and learn about cause, effect and
confounding.
Black Lives Matter
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of Demands to White
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And for Extra Credit: 379 Comments

https://www.youtube.com/wat...
11 △ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

fahgettaboudit 2.0 > RobL_v2 • 2 hours ago

""Global Warming Is Almost Entirely Natural, Study Confirms""

But, but,...but...the Leftist Progressive Computer Models... George Clooney

(That we punched in our own numbers)...show you're wrong !! Donates $1M to
Southern Poverty
Just ask Al Gore !!! Law Center to Fight
He won a Palme d'Or for his piece of BS Documentary..."An inconvenient ‘Bigotry and Hate’
Truth" 223 Comments

FOOLS....Every Damn One Of Them !!!!!!!!!!!!

6△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Michael Vaughan > fahgettaboudit 2.0 • an hour ago

They are not fools but crooks who knew exactly what they were doing
to cause mass histeria and collect money from everyone. That is what
Claire Lopez on
liberals do....cause people to hate or fear by lying and concealing the Trump Afghanistan
truth and convinving that they need money or power to solve the Strategy: ‘Why are
problem that they are the only ones that have a solution. We Fighting to
5△ ▽ • Reply • Share › Preserve a Regime
under Sharia Law?’
Bert! > fahgettaboudit 2.0 • 16 minutes ago 23 Comments

I thought that it was the Face Palm d'Or Award Gore won., wasn't it?

I could be wrong.
 I could be wrong.
2△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

UnipartySchmuck > RobL_v2 • 2 hours ago

Nice. TY
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›
WATCH — Kassam
ken1496 • 2 hours ago Tells MSNBC: ‘We
Are at War with
I love these stories, give me warm fuzzies knowing liberal heads are exploding.
Sharia’
8△ ▽ • Reply • Share › 13 Comments

Arec Bardwin • 23 minutes ago

Not surprising, since global warming is caused by the desire for increased tax
revenue.
6△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

james gossett • 30 minutes ago

PayPal Restores
Gore reads article. Realizes his whole life has been a sham. Strokes out. Jihad Watch and
Well I Can Dream can't I? AFDI Accounts
6△ ▽ • Reply • Share › One other person is typing… Following Backlash
from Supporters
Stuffitcommies > james gossett • 28 minutes ago 19 Comments

He knows damn well his life is a sham. That is what makes it even more
egregious.
3△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

jackcandobutwont > james gossett • 12 minutes ago

A dream with a happy ending!! ha ha ha
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Arec Bardwin > james gossett • 12 minutes ago

He, won't stroke out. Gore doesn't even believe his own B.S. He travels the
world on a private jet, consumes 25x more energy than the average American
in his homes, and profits to the tune of Billions. Charlatan's are like that.
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Keysrat > james gossett • 25 minutes ago

As long as he gets paid he could give a rats a.ss
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

TauntYou ASecondTime • 39 minutes ago

So...the only thing that is settled is that SCIENCE is NEVER settled. True science of
ANY type is dynamic and decidedly UN-settled...which is what makes it true
science...and not agenda-driven DOGMA.
5△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

IMME • 39 minutes ago

What? The Left is wrong again? That's nearly 100 years of being wrong every time. I'm
starting to sense a trend here.
8△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Arec Bardwin > IMME • 9 minutes ago

The trouble with our liberal friends is not that they're ignorant, it's just that they
know so much that isn't so.
-Ronald Reagan
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Chris Hoffmanski > IMME • 31 minutes ago

You must be another Trump Nazi...nice..
 You must be another Trump Nazi...nice..
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

FinbarOS > Chris Hoffmanski • 12 minutes ago

You'll think differently when puberty kicks in.
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

hankthetank > Chris Hoffmanski • 15 minutes ago

name calling. The sign of the defeated.
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Dallas Aerospacer • 39 minutes ago

Liberals will never admit they are wrong because they have a financial stake in the
global warming hoax.
7△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

SmithCassidy > Dallas Aerospacer • 5 minutes ago

Yeah, cause all those energy companies don't have any financial stake in
maintaining the status quo. Way to think that argument through to the end.
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Colin Kelley • 27 minutes ago

IT IS CALLED WEATHER. SEEMS TO HAPPEN EVERYWHERE.
4△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Keysrat > Colin Kelley • 22 minutes ago

Weather you say.
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

TxTea > Colin Kelley • 24 minutes ago

ban the weather!
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Kubla Khan • an hour ago

"Almost" .. what do you mean "almost" ... what a bunch of crap ... it is "entirely"

The only part of "global warming" "climate change" that isn't "natural" is the
fraudulent data manipulation by NASA/NOAA and the rest.
4△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

UzUrBrain • 2 hours ago

The most compelling fact that AGW is a farce is that the envirowhackos are shutting
down more zero CO2 producing nuclear power plants. Why?
4△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

The Trumpinator • 24 minutes ago

No dammit, the science is settled.......hahahaha.
3△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

ProFreedom • 34 minutes ago

When the rich lefties change their lifestyles , stop jet setting and running 2000$
monthly light bills at their mansions, like Al Bore does, they might make their big lie
more believable..
3△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Michael Buley • 39 minutes ago

Confusing the issue with facts: the left hates that!
5△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

SmithCassidy > Michael Buley • 6 minutes ago

 SmithCassidy > Michael Buley • 6 minutes ago
Gotcha, 2 scientists with a paper against Climate Change equals "fact", but all
the other scientists who say human actions (pollution, burning fossil fuels,
cutting down forests) is having a negative impact on the climate are lying. Is
that about right?
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Chris Hoffmanski > Michael Buley • 31 minutes ago

You must be another Trump Nazi...nice...
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

FinbarOS > Chris Hoffmanski • 19 minutes ago

The logic of your argument is quite underwhelming.
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Michael Buley > Chris Hoffmanski • 21 minutes ago

ah, yes, when you can't think of anything substantive to say ... call
names! So scary to be called that!
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

TxTea > Chris Hoffmanski • 21 minutes ago

weather denier!!!!
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Stephen Masek • 5 minutes ago

Always follow the money. The "scientists" desperate for grants, the sellers of solar
panels and windmills, the radical leftists out to tax more and more, and the anarchists
out to destroy western civilization. Even a sincere scientists would reach false
conclusions if they use bad data (e.g. move the thermometers next to heat sources, as
was done on a massive scale in the USA).
2△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

jackedup > Stephen Masek • 5 minutes ago

2 words: Carbon Tax
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

DadO6 - Deploribus Unum • 11 minutes ago

Science requires
repeatability
falsifiability
experimental controls

AGW has none of these

2△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Jim1937 > DadO6 - Deploribus Unum • 10 minutes ago

I beg to differ, he repeats that same lie over and over.
2△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

DadO6 - Deploribus Unum > Jim1937 • 9 minutes ago

Good one... :)
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Jim1937 > DadO6 - Deploribus Unum • 9 minutes ago

Thanks
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Chris King • 14 minutes ago

during the most rapid rise in CO2 concentrations, temperatures have gone down.
the entire theory is bunk.
2△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

hankthetank > Chris King • 12 minutes ago

It was never a theory. A theory has to be able to be demonstrated and
replicated. They could never achieve that.
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

onedollar298 • 16 minutes ago

But, But, Bill Nye says climate change is real! I guess if someone in Hollyweird or a
lefty says it's true, then you can count on the opposite actually being the truth.
2△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

PatriotDan > onedollar298 • 15 minutes ago

This paper isn't peer reviewed.
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

onedollar298 > PatriotDan • 8 minutes ago

Al Gore needs to check the math?
1△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Pat Frank • 19 minutes ago

The Figures in Jennifer's paper suppose proxies can provide temperatures to ±0.1 C
accuracy. In fact, they presently cannot provide temperature at all, because there is no
'proxy --> Celsius' physical conversion theory.

Jennifer has done outstanding work, and I'm sympathetic to her views, but proxy
temperature reconstructions are nothing but pseudoscience; paper here.
2△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Mange Persson > Pat Frank • 14 minutes ago

I really don't get the ignorance of some people to this - it has been escalating
since the beginning of the 20th century and we are seeing the effects of it now
- and people choose to look away...?
The climate is changing - and it is quite obvious if people open their eyes...
Coral reefs are dying as never before and that is because the temperature in
the sea is rising... And it takes a lot of time to increase the temperature of the
massive oceans for that to happen...
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

FinbarOS > Mange Persson • 3 minutes ago

Is it anthropogenic?
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Car Ramrod • 22 minutes ago

Hmmm. That is debatable. We all know it was the Chevy small block that caused the
glaciers of the last ice age to melt
2△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Michael Buley > Car Ramrod • 20 minutes ago

Clearly. Ford contributed, too, don't forget.
△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

Car Ramrod > Michael Buley • 19 minutes ago

Well the ice age bail out and all...
2△ ▽ • Reply • Share ›

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