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Before 1930, Classical Economy did not give any importance to National Income
.because according to them, there is always full employment
But from 1929 to 1933, there was a depression in the world poverty , unemployment
and hunger spread all over the world then in 1936 John Keynes wrote a book "
general theory of employment , interest and money" and said that there is not full
. employment because no country is self-sufficient in natural resources
DEFINATION
According to professor pigou" The money value of all the final or finished goods and
services produce in a country during one year is called National Income"
The word macro is derived from a Greek letter 'MACROS' which means 'large' so
macro economics studies the economy as whole or studies the aggregate economic
behavior of people, such as, national income, output and employment, total
consumption, aggregate saving and investment and the general price level. According
to Boulding' Macro economics deals not with individual incomes, not with individual
prices but with the price level, not with individual outputs but the national output, In
:macro economics we generally discuss the following
Various Concept of NI
1-Gross National products
The current market value of all the final goods and services produced in a
country during one year is called GNP.
Y = C + I + G + {X –M}
5. Personal Income:
The money received by all the individuals during one year is called PI.
4. Indirect charges
The indirect taxes must be deducted from the prices of goods which have been needed
by the government on the commodities produced for sale.
NI = GNP – DEP –Indirect taxes
INCOME METHOD
According to this method the reward of four factors of production. {Land, labour,
capital, and organization} should be added up in the, interest and profit during one
year. In other words
NI = Rent + Wages + Interest + profit
Precautions:
There are following precautions.
1. Transfer payment: The transfer payment like pension, scholarship, zakat and
unemployment allowances may not be included in NI because they are already
calculated.
2. Illegal earnings: The illegal earnings like smuggling may not be included in
national income.
EXPENDITURE METHOD
In this method the final expenditure from the house hold sector,
business sector, government sector and foreign sector should be added up after one
year to get national income from expenditure method.
Y = C+I+G+{X-M}
Y = NI C = house hold sector I = business sector G = Govt sector
X-M = foreign sector
Precautions:-
There are following precautions which are as
1. Transfer payments
Transfer payments made by the Govt are not included in national income.
2. Final expenditures :
4. Depreciation allowances
TRADE CYCLE
The trade cycle refers to the ups and downs in the level of economic activity which
.extend over the period of several years
The term business cycle has been defined in various ways by different economists.
Professor Haberler’s definition is very simple when he says, “The business cycle in
the general sense may be defined as alternation of periods of prosperity and
depression of good and bad trade.” Keynes’s definition in his Treatise of money is
more explicit: “a trade cycle is composed of periods of good trade characterized by
rising prices and low unemployment percentages, altering with periods of bad trade
”.characterized by failing prices and high unemployment percentages
These phases are recurrent and uniform in the case of different cycles. But no phase
has definite periodicity or time interval. As pointed out by Pigou, cycles may not be
twins but they are of the same family. Like families they have common
characteristics that are capable of description. Starting at the trough or low point, a
cycle passes through a recovery and prosperity phase, rise to a peak, declines through
a recession and depression phase and reaches a through. We describe below these
characteristics of a business cycle.
1- Depression:
In the period of depression economic activity is low and there is fall in national
income, employment and production. There is considerable reduction in the
production of goods and services, employment, income, demand and prices. The
general decline in economic activity leads to a fall in bank deposits. Credit expansion
stops because the business community is not willing to borrow. Bank rate falls
considerably. In the word this phase occurred in 1710, 1837, 1873, 1893, 1907 &
1929. According to Professor Estey, “This fall in active purchasing power is the
fundamental back ground of the fall in prices. That, despite the general reduction of
output, characterizes the depression.” Thus a depression is characterized by mass
unemployment; general fall in prices, profits, wages, interest rate, consumption,
expenditure, investment, bank deposits and loans; factories closedown; and
construction of all types of capital goods buildings, etc.—comes to a standstill.
2- Recovery:
We start from a situation when depression has lasted from some time and revival
phase or the lower-turning point starts. The “originating forces” or “starters” may be
exogenous or endogenous forces. Suppose the semi-durable goods wear out which
necessitate their replacement in the economy. It leads to increased demand. To meet
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3- Boom period:
In this phase economic activity increases the production, prices, employment, wages,
interest rate, profit volume of credit at investment, also increases new plants and
factories are setup and old once are fully utilized, demands for labour increases and
there is a rich profit. Larger profit expectations further increase investment which is
helped by liberal bank credit. Such investments are mostly in fixed capital, plant,
equipment and machinery. They lead to considerable expansion in economic activity
by increasing the demand for consumer goods and further raising the price level. This
encourages retailers, wholesalers and manufacturers to add to inventories. In this
way, the expansionary process becomes cumulative and self-reinforcing until the
economy reaches a very high level of productions, known as the peak or boom.
The peak or prosperity may lead the economy to over full employment and to
inflationary rise in prices. It is symptom of the end of the prosperity phase and the
beginning of the recession.
4- Recession:
If on boom period the businessman wants to hire a new business. The cost being
increase then the prices, because the business man employed the sufficient factor of
production at higher cost. At this point profit will disappear. Recession starts when
there is a downward descends from the ‘peak’ which is of a short duration. “It marks
the turning period during which the forces that make for contraction finally win over
the forces of expansion. Its outward signs are liquidation in the stock market, strain in
the banking system and some liquidation of bank loans, and the beginning of the
decline of prices.” As a result, profit margins decline further because costs start
overtaking prices. Some firms close down. Others reduce production and try to sell
out of accumulated stocks. Investment, employment, incomes and demand decline.
This process becomes cumulative.
Recession may be mild or severe. The latter might lead to a sudden explosive
situation emanating from the banking system or the stock exchange, and a panic or
crisis occurs. “When a crisis, and more particularly a panic, does occur, it seems to be
associated with a collapse of confidence and sudden demands for liquidity. This crisis
of nerves may itself be occasioned by some spectacular and unexpected failure. A
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firm or a bank or a corporation announces its inability to meet its debts. This
announcement weakens other firms and banks at a time when ominous signs of
distress are appearing in the economic structure. Moreover, it sets off a wave of fright
that culminates in a general run on financial institutions…Such was the experience of
the United States in 1873, in 1893 and in 1907.” In the words of M.W.Lee, “A
recession, once started, tends to build upon itself much as forest fire, once under way,
tends to create its own draft and give internal impetus to its destructive ability. Then
recession period comes to on end and goes on depression period. These all phases
(Depression, Recovery, Boom and Recession) go on replacing each other with the
passage of time.
BALANCE OF TRADE
The difference in value between the total exports and total imports of a nation during
a specific period of time. Balance of trade is the difference between the value of
export and imports of visible goods of country after one year. If a value of visible
items exports exceed then the value of visible goods imports then balance of trade is
.said favorable in other vise unfavorable
BALANCE OF PAYMENT
A systematic record of a nation's total payments to foreign countries, including the
price of imports and the outflow of capital and gold, along with the total receipts from
abroad, including the price of exports and the inflow of capital and gold. Balance of
payment is difference between the value of export and import of visible and invisible
goods during a given period of time. If the values of visible and invisible items exceed
then the value of visible and invisible items of exports then balance of payment said
.to be favorable and vice versa
BANKS
Banks are classified into following categories according to the functions and services
:they perform in particular field
Central Bank is at the head of the head of the Banking structure of the world has now
its own Central Bank. It controls monetary and banking system of a country. It is not a
profit hunting concern like other Banks. It is the note issuing authority and controller
of foreign exchange of the country. State Bank of Pakistan is the central bank of our
country. It was establish in July 1st, 1948, under the State Bank of Pakistan Ordinance
1948. The present structure, operation and authority of the State Bank are based upon
the State Bank of Pakistan Act 1956. The State bank of Pakistan has been divided in
:to three main departments as under
Issue Department: This department is responsible to issue currency notes to -1
various denomination such as Rs.5/-, 10/-, 100/-, 500/-, 1000/-, 5000/-the total amount
of notes issued by the bank is backed to the 30% by gold reserve, foreign exchange
.reserve and foreign approved securities and bills
Banking Department: This department looks after the operation of commercial -2
banks. It also makes suggestions for improvement in the banking business in the
.country
Foreign Exchange Control Department: This department is directly responsible -3
to control foreign exchange business and implement government policies relating
foreign exchange transaction
.
FUNCTIONS OF STATE BANK:
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Monopoly of Note Issue: State Bank has the sole right of issuing of currency notes -1
of denominations of Rs.5/- to Rs.1000/-against gold and approved foreign exchange
reserve up to 33% of total notes issued. However, the Government of Pakistan has
.retained with it prerogative of issuing metallic currency and one and two rupee notes
Banker’s to State: State Bank also acts as a banker’s to Federal and Provisional -2
Governments. It maintains the cash deposits and other accounts of these governments.
It receives taxes and other revenue and makes payments on behalf of these
.governments. It gives short term loan to governments
Adviser to the Government: State Bank advices the government in monetary problem, -3
foreign exchange and also deals in the sale and purchase of securities of the
.governments
Banker’s Bank: State Bank of Pakistan also performs the duties of banker to -4
commercial banks. The member banks are directed to keep a certain percentage of their
demand and time deposits with the State bank. This ratio of cash reserve can be changed by
the State Bank to control the credit. It is lender of last resort, discounts bill of exchange and
.provides loans to member banks against securities
Clearing House: State Bank of Pakistan also provide the facility of clearing house for -5
his member banks for the settlement of mutual payments, regarding the cheques drawn on
each other. By the help of clearing house, these payments become easier without involving
.any cash
Controller of Credit: The value of money is influenced by the volume of credit. The -6
volume of credit in the country is regulated for the economic stability. This regulation of
.credit by the Central Bank is known as Credit Control
:Commercial Banks
A Commercial bank is defined as a dealer in credit. It deals with the funds of other. It
.”takes deposits from one person and lends to other. “Bankers borrow to lend
So the primary function of commercial bank is to accepting deposits & advancing
.loans
Accepting deposits: The commercial bank collects the surplus money or saving of -1
.the people of accepting deposits
Advancing loans: The commercial bank is a profit making concern. It attracts the -2
idle funds of the people and lends them to higher rate of interest to the individuals and
.businessman against securities
Agency Services: Commercial banks provide agency services to its customers. The -3
.bank purchases and sells the securities on behalf of his customers
Overdraft facility: Commercial banks provide overdraft facility to its customers. -4
.Not give the large amount but give in installment to its customers
12
Discounting bill of exchange: Banks pay the holder of the bill and amount equal -7
to their face value after deducting of interest at the current market rate for the period
.the bill has to mature. Bill of exchange is very liquid asset
Transfer of money: Commercial banks provide facility to transfer of money to one -8
.bank to another bank
Commercial bank plays very important role in economic development of our country.
Following points tells us about role of commercial bank in economic development of
:our country
:Mobilization of saving -1
Financing development project -2
Facilitate trade activities -3
Help State Bank in achieving monetary policy -4
Create climate for capital formation -5
Transfer savings in to investment -6
Commercial bank transfer the savings collected from the people in to investment and
thus increase the amount of effective capital, which helps the process of economic
.growth
INFLATION
DEFINITION OF INFLATION
Spontaneous increase in general price level is called
inflation
Or
When there is a rise in general price level for all goods and services it is known as
inflation. An inflationary movement could be because of the rise in any single price or
.a group of prices of related goods and services
Types of Inflation
There are four main types of Inflation. The various types of inflation are briefed
.below
Pricing Power Inflation: Pricing power inflation is more often called as administered
price inflation. This type of inflation occurs when the business houses and industries
decide to increase the price of their respective goods and services to increase their
profit margins. A point noteworthy is pricing power inflation does not occur at the
time of financial crises and economic depression, or when there is a downturn in the
economy. This type of inflation is also called as oligopolistic inflation because
.oligopolies have the power of pricing their goods and services
Sectoral Inflation: This is the fourth major type of inflation. The sectoral inflation
takes place when there is an increase in the price of the goods and services produced
by a certain sector of industries. For instance, an increase in the cost of crude oil
would directly affect all the other sectors, which are directly related to the oil industry.
Thus, the ever-increasing price of fuel has become an important issue related to the
.economy all over the world
Fiscal Inflation: Fiscal Inflation occurs when there is excess government spending.
This occurs when there is a deficit budget. For instance, Fiscal inflation originated in
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the US in 1960s at the time President Lydon Baines Johnson. America is also facing
fiscal type of inflation under the presidentship of George W. Bush due to excess
.spending in the defense sector
.To sum up, any type of inflation could affect the economy of a country badly
:KINDS OF INFLATION
:INFLATION ON THE BASIS OF RATE OF INFLATION
.CREEPING INFLATION. 2-WALKING INFLATION -1
.RUNNING INFLATION. 4- HYPER-INFLATION -3
Creeping inflation-1
When the rate of inflation
is up to 3 percent is called creeping inflation
Walking inflation-2
When the rate of inflation is 7 to 10 percent is called walking inflation
Running inflation-3
When the rate of inflation is 10 to 20 percent is called running inflation.
This type of inflation put very bad impact on the middle and poor class
Hyper Inflation-4
When the rate of inflation is 20 to 100 percent in period of less then one
year is called
.hyper inflation
EFFECTS OF INFLATION: There are different effects of inflation on the particular
country which include: An increase in the inflation implies a decrease in the
purchasing power of the currency. High or unpredictable inflation rates are regarded
as harmful to an overall economy. Inflation adds inefficiencies in the market. Inflation
.make it difficult for companies to budget or plan long-term goals or achievements
CAUSES OF INFLATION
.There are many causes of Inflation in under develop country like Pakistan
1- Demand pull Inflation
2- Cost push Inflation
Demand pull Inflation-1
Increase in supply of money
Government takes loan for foreign countries to fulfill the gape of Expenditures and
.Income
16
Foreign remittances
Foreign Aid
Consumption habit
Consumption of houses
Nationalization of industries
Increase in Wages
Increase in Taxes
Cost push Inflation-2
Increase in the price of import
Increase in taxes
REMEDIES OF INFLATION
-:Inflation can be controlled by adopting following measures
Monetary measures: Monetary measures relate to the control in the supply and .(A)
.circulation of money in the country
Bank rate policy: In case of inflation, the bank rate is increased; the supply of .1
.money is controlled
Open market operation: During inflation, the central bank sells govt. securities and .2
.price bonds in the open market in order to contract the supply of money
Variable reserve ratio: In order to control inflation, the central bank increases the .3
.reservation
Credit Rationing: When there is inflationary pressure, the state bank adopts the .4
.policy of credit rationing
Fiscal Measures: Measures in connection with public borrowing, public .(B)
.expenditures and public revenues are called fiscal measures
Public Borrowing: During inflation, increase the public borrowing, during .1
.deflation, decrease in public borrowing
Public Revenues: In order to control inflation, the increase in public revenues by .2
.the Govt
Public expenditures: Inflation is also controlled by decreasing the public .3
.expenditures by the Govt
:Realistic Measures .(C)
Increase the supply of goods and services: When the supply of goods and services .1
.is increased, the prices will come down
Population planning: Control on population by adopting different measures of .2
.family planning will reduce the demand and finally prices will be controlled
Price control policy: The govt. should adopt strict price control policy against the .3
.profiteers and hoarders
Economic Planning: Effective economic planning is necessary to control the .4
.inflation in the country
:Compulsory saving
The Government may start schemes of compulsory savings to take from each person
some portion of his earnings. The purpose is to decrease the purchasing power of each
person. The accounts in the banks may encourage the people through attractive rate of
.interest
:Check on Exports
The surplus goods may be exported. But the items which are short at home market
should not be exported at any cost. The maintenance of stable price level is a
17
challenge for the Government. The essential items cannot be allowed to cross the
border of the country to combat inflation. The goods in excess supply can be allowed
to go abroad for maintaining price level.
:Price control
The Government can introduce the price control of various commodities. It is a tool in
the hands of Government to control inflation. The sellers have no option but to sell the
Goods and Services at the fixed prices. The Supply of goods may be short. The goods
may be used by poor sections of society. The Government for this purpose
Increase in Production:-
Helpful to increase the supply.
Regulate the price level.
Wages control
Restriction on the import of luxuries items
Sick industrial problems
Effective Administration
Control on Population
Cut on unproductive expenditure
;There are two types of inflation
:Demand pulls inflation (1
:Cost pushes inflation (2
:Demand pull inflation (1
This inflation occurs due to increase in the demand of the product.
When there is increase in demand it will lead to increase prices, which is called
Demand-pull inflation.
:Cost push inflation (2
.This type of inflation occurs due to increase in the cost of production of the product
:Causes of inflation
.There are many causes of inflation in underdeveloped countries like Pakistan
:Demand pull inflation (1
:increase in supply of money 1
When there is increase in supply of money the demand for goods will increase and
due to increase in demand price will increase will also so increase in prices is
inflation.
:Foreign remittance (2
The people who are living in out side from the country they send foreign currency to
their country that’s why the flow of money in the country increased and demand
increased and there is inflation.
:Foreign aids (3
Due to foreign aids the makes less amount of goods in the country and gain maximum
.price so the rising price is inflation
:Consumption habit (4
If the consumer have consumption habit than he have to purchase whether the prices
raise to the sky, due to this habit the demands for goods increases and due to increase
in demand there is inflation.
:Construction of house (5
This is the nonproductive investment so for construction of house the people spent a
lot of money, and buy the material for construction so there is increase in demand for
.material then inflation created
:Nationalization of industries (6
18
If the law tells us that the industries must be nationalize then no one wants to make an
investment so as a result buy goods from other countries and pay the huge amount for
.that goods and the prices of that goods automatically increased and inflation created
:Increase in population (7
Increase in population may increase the demand for goods and when demand
increases the price also increases as the result of this increasement there is inflation.
BARTER SYSTEM
The system under which “Goods were exchanged for goods” is known as “Barter”
.system
With the passage of time and increase in human wants, it become impossible to satisfy
all wants through direct exchange. Barter system, in some kind of trade also exists
.today, but as a medium of exchange, is not in practice
Another problem which was likely to occur was that when A had only one good but
needed to; and that A and C had the required goods and both needed A’s good. Thus,
?.how would A divide his good equally between B & C
:DIFFICULTY OF STORING VALUE -4
Another major problem was that many of the items put up for exchange had to be
exchanged immediately as they were perishable commodities such as agriculture
.products
:METALLIC MONEY -2
With the spread of civilization and trade relations by land and sea. Metallic money
took the place of commodity money. Many nations started using Silver, Gold, Copper,
.Tin etc as a money
:PAPER MONEY -3
The development of money started with Goldsmith who kept strong safe to store there
Gold as Goldsmith were thought honest merchant, peoples started keeping there Gold
with them for safe custody. In return the Goldsmith gives the depositor receipts
promising to return the Gold on demand. These receipts of the Goldsmith were given
seller by the buyer. Thus the receipts of Goldsmith were a substitute by money. Such
paper money back by Gold, and was convertible on demand in to Gold. This
.ultimately let the development of bank notes
:CREDIT MONEY -4
Another stage in the evaluation of money in the modern world is the use of on cheque
as money. The cheque is like a bank note. In that it performs same function. It is mean
of transferring money from one place to another. But a cheque is different from bank
note. A cheque is made for a specific sum and it is expire single transaction. A cheque
is not money it is simply written order to transfer money. However large transactions
are made through cheques these days and bank notes are used only for small
.transaction
:NEAR MONEY -5
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The next stage in evaluation of money has use the bill of exchange, Treasury bill,
bonds, debentures, saving certificate etc. They are known as near money. They are
.close substitute for money or liquid asset
:PLASTIC MONEY -6
The final stage evaluations of money have been the use of ATM cards, and Credit
cards as money. These make the transactions very easy for the clients of the bank and
.you can make the transaction anywhere, from any when from any time
MONEY
According to professor Crowther
Any thing which is generally accepted as a medium of exchange and also perform “
”the functions of measure of value and store of value, is money
:MONEY AS MEDIUM OF EXCHANGE -1
There is no necessity for a double coincidence of wants in a money economy. The
man with the cow, who wants to purchase a horse, need hot hunt for, a horse seller,
who wants a cow. He can sell his cow in the market for money and then purchase a
.horse with the money thus obtained
:MONEY AS A STANDARD MEASURE OF VALUE -2
One inconvenience of barter, as noted, was the lack of common measure or a common
denominator of value. In terms of which other values could be expressed and added
and accounts kept. Money removes this difficulty too. Money serves as a unit of
account. In the economy, it is easy to compare the relative values of commodities and
.services which are dissimilar and entirely different from one another
:MONEY AS A STANDARD OF DEFERRED PAYMENTS -3
Lending and borrowing, therefore, must take place in terms of a commodity which
will, reasonably speaking keep its value stable over time. Most commodities
deteriorate with his passage of time. But if the money material is properly selected
.and managed, its value can be kept more stable than that of other articles
:MONEY AS A STORE OF VALUE -4
.We also store money in long period
:MEASUREMENT OF NATIONAL INCOME-5
It is necessary for to get the correct figures of National income, the value must be in
.money term
TAX
:According to Professor Thomas
A tax is a compulsory contribution made to the government under stated condition “
”.and not a return for a specific service rendered
So you can also say that the compulsory payment by individuals and companies to the
.state is called taxation
Canon of Certainly: The tax paid by each individual should be certain but not .2
arbitrary. The time of payment, the manner of payment, the quantity to pay, should all
.to be clear and plain to the contributor
Adam Smith regards this canon as the most fundamental canon. It is not to be left to
the sweet will of the income tax department. It causes the least disturbance in the
economic arrangements of the tax-payer. Certainty is needed not only from the point
.of view of the tax payer but also from that of the state
Canon of convenience: 1st the amount of tax should be such that it can be easily -3
payable by the taxpayer. Secondly the amount of tax can be received in installment.
Thirdly if the tax is receive at that time when taxpayer finally feels better. For
Example: If the tax is collected from formers when they have harvested, it will be
.very convenient for them
Canon of Elasticity: The tax should be fairly elastic so that the rate of taxes may -7
be increase or decrease according to the changing condition of the country. Income
.tax, railway fares and postal rates are very good examples of elastic tax