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INTRODUCTION
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1.1 Introduction
Agriculture holds the 80% of India’s economy and is the backbone of India.
Agriculture mainly refers to human activities and how they bring up crop cultivation to
satisfy the needs of every individual, a connection with all irrigation fields, drip and
flood irrigation types, production and harvesting process. Although agriculture
products are observed in our daily life, we are not aware of the happenings in
agriculture in depth. In terms, to practice and take up agriculture in our day to day
life is to use natural resources to that is, "produce commodities which maintain life,
including food, fibre, forest products, horticultural crops, and their related
services." Agriculture is the principal source of every individual and the main form of
livelihood for more than 40 percent of the population of Tamil Nadu.
Agri sector also helps on the growth of our economy and that plays key role for the
nation growth. Such dealing with the economy is called as agricultural economy.
Agricultural economics refines and relates as "production, distribution and
consumption of [agricultural] goods and services". On the history of agriculture, it
deals with the combining agricultural production with general theories of marketing,
business and economics, as a discipline of study began in the late 1800s, and grew
significantly through the 20th century. Agricultural science covers a broad area of
multidisciplinary field in biology that encompasses the parts of exact, natural,
economic and social sciences that are used in the practices and understanding the
concepts of agriculture.
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1.2 Theoretical Background of the Study
The Gross Domestic Product popularly known as GDP of an economy requires
contribution from major industries to be healthy. India is largely an agrarian economy;
so agriculture makes the major contribution to the GDP. India is a global agricultural
powerhouse. It is the world’s largest producer of milk, pulses, and spices, and has
the world’s largest cattle herd (buffalos), as well as the largest area under wheat, rice
and cotton. It is the second largest producer of rice, wheat, cotton, sugarcane,
farmed fish, sheep & goat meat, fruit, vegetables and tea. The country has some 195
m ha under cultivation of which some 63 percent are rain fed (roughly 125m ha) while
37 percent are irrigated (70m ha). In addition, forests cover some (65m ha) of India’s
land.
While agriculture’s share in India’s economy has progressively declined to less
than 15% due to the high growth rates of the industrial and services sectors in the
recent years, the sector’s importance in India’s economic and social fabric goes well
beyond this indicator. Initially, around three-quarters of India’s families depend on
rural incomes. Second, the majority of India’s poor (some 770 million people or about
70 percent) are found in rural areas. And third, India’s food security depends on
producing cereal crops, as well as increasing its production of fruits, vegetables and
milk to meet the demands of a growing population with rising incomes. To do so, a
productive, competitive, diversified and sustainable agricultural sector will need to
emerge at an accelerated pace. This research study is mainly focused on analysing
why the agriculture sector dipping its contribution towards the GDP growth rate and
also the researcher analyzes whether the future generation would take up farming.
Table1.1: Statistical data in agriculture and its amount if share to the economy.
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The table 1.1 explains about the agriculture and allied sector shares
17.32% and GVA is around of 23.82 lakh crore INR from the years 2011-2017. We
could see the improve mention the agricultural sector yet a serious hit on quitting
farming.
The below diagram Fig1.0 explains about the Gross Value Added (GVA) for the
agricultural sector On Today’s update as of 2017, 2011-12 prices, composition of
Agriculture & allied, Industry, and Services sector are 15.11%, 31.12%, and 53.77%,
respectively.
Few key facts are analyzed from the agricultural sector around the globe:
More than 90 percent of the 570 million farms worldwide are managed by an
individual or a family and rely primarily on family labour.
Family farms produce more than 80 percent of the world’s food in value terms,
confirming family farming’s central importance in world food security today and for
future generations.
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The vast majority of the world’s farms are small or very small. Farms smaller than
2 hectares account for 84 percent of all farms and control only 12 percent of all
agricultural land.
Many of the larger farms are family-owned also.
Public policies that recognize the diversity and complexity of the challenges faced
by family farms are key to end hunger and achieve inclusive and efficient agricultural
and food systems.
The future scenario is also recorded and the future is analyzed. Amongst all
uncertainty and concern and the laggings in agriculture, the agricultural industry will
stay strong and help in increase in Indian economy; it will continue to be more volatile
than it has been in the past yet it will remain an active stage and an improving
industry. Scrutiny and regulations will continue to grow due to concerns over food
safety and sustainability in crop and harvesting. Integration within the industry is
expected to have a possible increase, leading to an ever evolving trade under
agricultural industry. As with most other industries, the agricultural industry will
continue to evolve and the level of innovation is expected to continue at recent high
levels. In many countries, this industry is subsidized into local government to make
up for tight gross profit margins, but still, the world population is growing and this
industry must grow in proportion with it.
The growth of the agriculture is analyzed for the present year in USD released by
the ministry of Agriculture.
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The fig1.2 explains about the in the statistical format explaining about the values
added to the agricultural products in USD.
The rapid growth of the world’s population has caused an increase in demand for
food production. Now, the agricultural industry has caused serious changes and
problems. Many farmers do complain about the negative environmental impacts on
large-scale cultivation, such as soil erosion, the loss of ecosystems and eco balance
as they are turned into an arable land, land pollution from harmful chemical fertilizers
and also more amount if usage of fertilizers. As interest in bio fuels continues to
grow, farmers also make their expectations at a higher price of crops used to
produce these fuels to increase as well. Finally, there are concerns about increased
usage of genetically modified organisms (GMOs). GMOs basically allow for cheaper
agricultural products, however; it is still stays to be a huge issue with commodity
prices rise. This increase in commodity prices impacts the agricultural industry in two
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ways: it raises the price of inputs (fuel and fertilizer) while also raising the price of
outputs (actual food products).
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happenings, low supply of water and inputs such as chemical fertilizers, seeds,
pesticides and improved agronomic practices, extension services etc and achieved
one sided success.
The researcher’s main scope of this study is to make the data useful for the
Agricultural University for Coimbatore city and make it efficient for the farmers to
provide their crop funds, issue new schemes, allot compensation schemes for the
drought period and help in the growth of the city.
Indian agricultural productivity is a cyclical order, with high growth periods followed
on a routine basis. The sector is now in the latter phase; resulting in annual growth
rates of 4% across the 11th Plan period. There is a change in the data and it has
been stuttering at 1.7% three years into the 12th Plan. The government wholly relies
on—the dependence on the monsoons—with the guidance of Pradhan Mantri Krishi
Sinchai Yojana. The main idea of this plan is to extend irrigation and to cover every
farm for crop cultivation and maximize water-use efficiency with an outlay of
Rs.50,000 crore over five years.
Rural people still feel electrification, the missing link. NITI Aayog’s Raising
Agricultural Productivity and Making Farming Remunerative for Farmers report, talks
about India—stated to be a water-stressed country as per international norms and
also finding the change in sliding into water-scarce status—which has created
irrigation potential through existing infrastructure of 81% of its ultimate irrigation
potential, estimated to be around 140 million hectares. The only financially
sustainable with electric pump-sets—also plays a major role in the agriculture where
it happens to be a form of supply of water to crop cultivation. Hence electricity also
plays a part of the agricultural plan in rural areas.
The NITI Aayog report also points to the most critical and long-running
inefficiencies in the agricultural sector, the mandi system. The main reason is the lack
of rural infrastructure and constraints of the various states’ Agricultural Produce
Marketing Committee Acts that has created a long supply chains and has compelled
farmers to depend on intermediaries. This has a continuous effect that prevails:
farmers receive a low share of the rupee that leads to increased demands for
minimum support prices and consequent food inflation and this intern causes
changes in our GDP.
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Several attempts were taken to work around this and to bring up changes. Under
this, a new model has been created, that is, the centre’s Model APMC Act of 2003
provided a template for state governments to adopt and act accordingly. Only 16
have been done and satisfied as of now, and the other initiative suffers from
ultimately working within the framework of the mandi system, yet the result is
considered to be flawed at its core. The establishment of a new portal called,
National Agriculture Market as an electronic trading portal, approved by the cabinet
last year, gave a better chance and showed some serious effect with the mandias by
enabling farmers’ options for sale and access to markets, also in the form of auction
basis sale. On the other hand, investment to enable transport and storage of produce
is provided for it to be used efficiently for the system to function— but it turned out to
be complicated by regulatory inefficiencies and was hit by the foreign direct
investment in multi-brand retail that scared away private investment.
Other schemes like the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee
Scheme and interest rate subvention on farmer loans can help to waive off the bad
loans and also MGNREGA has brought up new job opportunities in farming. The bulk
of the demand for MGNREGA funds this year has come from middle-income states,
and not those hit by drought which explains us the demand is high in the middle
income groups. Reserve Bank of India, have questioned the efficacy of farm loan
subsidies. Most of the credit is absorbed by farmers with larger holdings than the
ones are the lower bottom, while the rest—two-thirds of farm holders have less than
one hectare of land— and they continue to depend on money lenders, on interest
basis and it results in high levels of indebtedness in the end.
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Ho: There is no significant difference between the earlier and present scenario in
agriculture
Ha: there is a significant difference between the earlier and present scenario in
agriculture sector in Tamil Nadu.
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CHAPTER 2
REVIEW OF LITERATURE
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1HAROLD D. GUITHER made a study about Families who quit farming. This
paper deals with why families left farming. It reveals that about 34 percent faced
financial problems due to shortage of money to meet expenses and too low return
on capital and labour and some also had the ability for higher paying off-farm
employment. About 19 percent left due to the sale of farm or termination of lease.
About 26 percent decided to retire due to age constraints and 11 percent of the
people suffered physical health problem and decided to find other employment.
About 10 percent of the operators faced some family or other sociological problem
that caused them to leave farming. The farm families who leave farming represent
a small but important group that frequently need some educational assistance.
Extension workers in federal, state and county positions could provide some
assistance. But in doing so they would depart from some of the traditional
extension programmes usually provided to farm families. Since most operators
who leave farming know about the Extension service, the extension worker has a
unique opportunity in performing needed educational services for this group. He
could do the jobs needed educational services for this group. While the extension
agent might not be the authority in all the subjects in which instruction is needed,
he could be the leader in organizing the program, bringing the audience together
and building confidence amongst the farmers and their wives.
1
Guither, H. D. (1965). Families Who Quit Farming. Journal of Cooperative Extension. Ill,(Fall, 1965), 173-9.
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2Kyösti Pietola, Minna Väre and Alfons Oude Lansink made study about
Farmers’ exit decisions and early retirement programs in Finland. The Authors
through this paper estimates farmer decisions between three discrete occupational
choices. This paper estimates the timing and the type of exit decisions among
farmers who have the option to exit from farming or continue farming while
retaining the option to exit later. The results suggest that the timing and the type of
farmer exit decisions respond elastically to farmer and farm characteristics and
economic environment, such as farmer age, farm land area, prices and retirement
benefits. Nevertheless, as the exit decision is delayed and the age of farmer is
increased, the probability to transfer the farm for new entrant will decrease. Less
young farmers will enter farming and the structural development will be
accelerated in the long run.
2
Pietola, K., Vare, M., & Lansink, A. O. (2002). Farmers’ exit decisions and early retirement programs in Finland. Zaragoza (Spain), 28,
31.
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3Srijit Mishra (2007) made a study on Risks, Farmers’ Suicides and Agrarian
Crisis in India: Is There a Way Out. The policy implication from the above-
discussion calls for an emphasis on the larger crisis; that of low returns and
declining profitability from agriculture and that of poor non-farm opportunities. Risk
management in agriculture should address yield, price, credit, income or weather
related uncertainties among others. Improving water availability will facilitate
diversification of cropping pattern, but this should go hand in hand with policies
that increase non-farm employment. Improving agricultural extension that
addresses deskilling because of technological changes and also facilitates
appropriate technical know-how for alternative forms of cultivation such as organic
farming will be of help. Availability of affordable credit requires revitalisation of the
rural credit market. There is also a strong case for regulating private credit and
input markets. A challenge for the technological and financial gurus is to provide
innovative products that reduce costs while increasing returns. Organising farmers
through a federation of self-help groups (SHGs) with government, banks and other
stakeholders playing a pro-active role would be welcome. Besides, public
institutions, there is need for a greater involvement from the civil society. Long
term strategies requires more stable income from agriculture, and more
importantly, from non-farm sources. Private credit and input markets need to be
regulated. A challenge for the technological and financial gurus is to provide
innovative products that reduce costs while increasing returns. The institutional
vacuum of organising farmers needs to be addressed through a federation of self-
help groups (SHGs) or alternative structures.
3
Mishra, S. (2008). Risks, farmers’ suicides and agrarian crisis in India: Is there a way out?. Indian Journal of Agricultural
Economics, 63(1).
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4Sukhpal Singh and Shruti Bhogal made a study on Depeasantization in Punjab:
status of farmers who left farming. It deals with the total number of smaller land
holdings has been rising and the larger farm holdings have been following a
declining trend, contrastingly in Punjab, the number of smaller land holdings is
declining unlike the large land holdings whose number is increasing. The process
of depeasantization in Punjab began since 1991 and has gathered momentum
since the mid-1990s. A considerable proportion of marginal and small farmers are
pushed out of agriculture because it is non-viable and majority of them have joined
other sectors like wage labour. It is significant to note that about one-third of the
marginal and small farmers were dissatisfied with their new occupations and
wanted to shift to another profession. In such a situation, it is of utmost importance
to address the problem of the small farmers who are leaving farming. There is a
need to look into the viability of the farming sector, particularly small farmers.
4
Singh, S., & Bhogal, S. (2014). Depeasantization in Punjab: status of farmers who left farming. Curr Sci, 106(10), 1364-8.
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5Schirmer J.1,2, Peel D.1 and Mylek, M.1(2015) made a study on The 2014
Regional Wellbeing Survey Farmers and Agriculture. The authors highlight that
many farmers are experiencing positive wellbeing and are in good financial health
on the farm. However, farmers are almost twice as likely as non-farmers to be
experiencing moderate to high levels of psychological distress, and a substantial
proportion are experiencing financial difficulties on the farm. In particular our
findings highlight the strong association between poor farm financial performance
and poor wellbeing: farmers experiencing farm financial stress typically have much
lower levels of life satisfaction, and higher levels of psychological distress. These
are likely to reinforce each other: financial stress places pressure on wellbeing,
and a person with poorer wellbeing has less capacity to successfully manage their
farm back to a position of financial security While these were not the only farmers
experiencing difficult times on the farm, a much larger proportion of these types of
farmers were experiencing difficulty than was typical across all farmers. Other
farmers were more commonly experiencing positive personal and farm financial
wellbeing, particularly dairy and rice farmers.
5
Schirmer, J., Peel, D., & Mylek, M. (2015). The 2014 Regional Wellbeing Survey: Farmers and Agriculture. University of Canberra,
Canberra.
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6Sreya Mozumdar, Gayatri Mahar, Pranab R. Choudhury, Tapan K. Padhi, Arman
Mohanty and Akshaya Kumar Samal made a study on A study on Farmer Suicides
in Odisha. This report tries to provide compelling queries and experiences that
were gathered during the process of this study. A few weeks into the study, we
were compelled to ask ourselves: Is this an enquiry into suicides by a few farmers
or is it also a narrative of a large section of the farmers who have been in the
same/worse plight than the ones who committed suicide. A large number of
farmers have been contemplating giving up farming, running away from the
challenges that they are pied against and may have even contemplated suicide,
but, were strong enough not to take the drastic step. A large section of the farmers
want to give up farming, but have not been able to do so as they are not left with
any other options for livelihood. Farmers, in general, and small and marginal
farmers, in particular, have been forced into an agricultural practice that they are
not quite able to carry forward. In the prevailing situation, input intensive farming is
not their cup of tea. Small holdings, no irrigation, inadequate arrangement for
institutional credit, ever minimum support prices, ineffective safety nets,
inadequate extension services, incomplete knowledge of new farming and, over
and above, an exploitative market, cripples the farmers on all fronts. May be the
new input intensive agriculture with all its imperfections is not working for the small
and marginal farmers. In a state where small and marginal farmers account for
more than 90 per cent of the holdings, they should have been at the centre of
agricultural planning by design. But unfortunately this is not the case. SMFs are
being forced to fit into the design of new agriculture. It is time that the state and
agricultural scientists think of out of the box solutions to put these farmers in the
driver’s seat for agricultural growth. The state also needs to play an effective role
in enacting SMF sensitive policies, creating an enabling environment, protecting
the farmers from an overpowering market and providing safety nets for climate
change uncertainties; else, the farmers will continue to quit farming and give up on
themselves.
6
Indo-Global Social Service Society (2017). Why farmers quit? A study on farmers’ suicides in Odisha, conducted by
Baitarani Initiative, IGSSS, New Delhi
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7Ika Darnhofer, David Gibbon and Benoît Dedieu made a study on Farming
Systems Research: An approach to inquiry. Farming Systems Research took the
farm as a starting point for an analysis of a broad range of issues linked to
agricultural production. Soon afterwards, it was recognised that to understand
farming, the scale of analysis needed to be broadened, to capture the interactions
between farms and their natural, social and economic context. Topics of research
now range from on farm issues such as interactions between crop production and
animal husbandry, to farmer pluriactivity, civic food networks, and how cultural
landscapes are shaped by farming activities. Underlying this breadth of topics,
three characteristics are identified as being constituent of Farming Systems
Research: systems thinking, inter-disciplinarity and a participatory approach to
research. In this chapter we discuss these three characteristics, and the
challenges they pose in their operationalization. Given these challenges, we
discuss the reasons why Farming Systems Research is demanding, and we
highlight that the core quality of a researcher is reflexivity, in designing, in
implementing and in evaluating research. In the 20 years since its introduction to
Europe, it has developed a strong identity. It now offers unique insights on how to
understand farming, and proposes a range of participatory methods to work with
farmers and other actors to shape a sustainable future. Interdependencies need to
be understood as having simultaneously a material and a value dimension; they
cannot be reduced to only one of these dimensions. Farming Systems Research
has done much to highlight this connection. It is well placed to go further, and to
develop its ability to capture both the complexity, diversity and the dynamics of
contemporary farming.
7
Darnhofer, I., Gibbon, D., & Dedieu, B. (2012). Farming systems research: an approach to inquiry. In Farming systems research into
the 21st century: The new dynamic (pp. 3-31). Springer Netherlands.
19
8Jennifer Leavy and Sally Smith (June 2010) made a study on Future Farmers:
Youth Aspirations, Expectations and Life Choices. This paper explains about the
youth aspirations, expectations and life choices. It describes the processes
through which aspirations are formed on this by economic context, social norms
and customs, parental and peer influence, media, previous attainment and gender
relations, and relates this to the agrarian context of sub-Saharan Africa. The paper
concludes about youth aspirations, how they link to choose their career rural
African context, and the implications for agricultural policy and practice. This paper
maps the research terrain relating to young people’s aspirations, focusing on
defining and conceptualising aspirations and expectations, and themes emerging
from empirical studies focusing on the African agricultural setting. This paper maps
the research terrain relating to young people’s aspirations, focusing on defining
and conceptualising aspirations and expectations, and themes emerging from
empirical studies focusing on the African agrarian setting. Initial, tentative,
hypotheses are set out based on ‘stylised facts’ suggested by the literature and
Discussion Paper situating young people’s aspirations and expectations within
their ‘opportunity space’ in the rural African agrarian context. This will form the
basis for new research under the Future Farmers theme of the Future Agricultures
Consortium.
8
Leavy, J., & Smith, S. (2010). Future farmers: youth aspirations, expectations and life choices. Future Agricultures Discussion
Paper, 13, 1-15.
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9Aragaw Sergo (2014) made a study on Aspirations of Rural Youth towards
Agriculture: The Case of Hulet Eju Enese Woreda. The data presented in this
thesis is drawn from in-school and out of school rural youth that have been
categorized in to four different age groups to understand how and why aspiration
and hopes change in the life course of young people. The study also showed that
in spite of most rural youth non-agricultural aspiration, an attempt to start and/or
do agriculture as a last resort is also challenging since it is constrained by many
structural factors. The constraints are more sever particularly for youth who were
in school empty handed. Land problem, asset problems like shortage of money,
the problem of agricultural input, attitudinal problem, backwardness of agricultural
tools are among constraints to mention few of them. Moreover, the young people
should be at the forefront of revitalizing agriculture since they tend to be more
innovative. In addition to these, the continued migration of the rural youth to city by
aspiring city life can be the problem not only to the prospects of agriculture but
also to urban areas by increasing youth unemployment. Thus, the constraints
facing rural youths in agriculture should be examined to improve participation in
agriculture.
9
ARAGAW, S. (2014). ASPIRATIONS OF RURAL YOUTH TOWARDS AGRICULTURE: THE CASE OF HULET EJU ENESE WOREDA, EAST
GOJJAM ZONE (Doctoral dissertation, AAU).
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10Tahir Munir Butt, Muhammad Zakaria Yousuf Hassan, Shahbaz Talib Sahi,
Muhammad Atiq, Abdual Jabbar, Irfan Ahmad, Muhammad Luqman and Wasif
Shafique (2009) made a study on Role of rural youth in agricultural and rural
development: A self-perceived case study of Okara District, Punjab, Pakistan. The
study reveals that agricultural production in Pakistan is affected by a number of
factors including lack of continuity in agricultural policies, politicized environment in
agricultural support institutions, isolation of agricultural education, research and
extension wings, unfavourable prices, buyer’s and middleman “Mafia”, absence of
necessary infrastructure for farm exports, deficient management and marketing
skills, a large number of small operators. These problems may be overcome with
the help of youth-serving organizations and the practitioners who work with them.
During critical hours, they extend learning through rewarding growth and
development experiences. They also foster caring environments that optimize the
development of young people in community settings. It was concluded that youth
were the important asset of the nation but was exploited by the different agencies
and their capabilities/competencies were not fully utilized by the Government or
nation Government should initiate various agricultural developmental programmes
for the betterment of Rural Youth. Government should establish technical and
vocational institutes in villages for the training of Rural Youth.
10
Extension and Journal of Agricultural Rural Development Vol. 3(2), pp. 23-28, February 2011, ISSN 2141-2154 ©2011 Academic
Journals
22
11Abdul Aziz Abdullah (2013) made a study on Factors That Influence the
Interest of Youths in Agricultural Entrepreneurship. The paper explains about the
interest of youth to become entrepreneurs with agriculture as their career. The
study also identified the factors such as family support, government support and
promotion through of festivals and carnivals. The finding indicated that the attitude
and acceptance has significant relationship with the interest of youth to become
entrepreneur while the knowledge has no significant relationship with interest of
youth to become entrepreneurs. The study concluded that the decision on whether
to be involved in agriculture entrepreneurship is not only based attitude,
acceptance and knowledge but is also determined by the other factors such as
family support, government support and the intensity of promotion by related
government agencies and related authorities. The finding also indicates that
attitude and acceptances are the factors which significantly influence the youth
interest in agriculture entrepreneurship. This study also surprisingly reveals that
knowledge factor is not significant in influencing interest of youth to become
entrepreneurs. Further, the open-ended questions reveals other factors which
influenced young people to become entrepreneurs are; family support,
government support and promotion through carnivals and festivals.
11
Abdullah, A. A., & Sulaiman, N. N. (2013). Factors that influence the interest of youths in agricultural entrepreneurship. International
Journal of Business and Social Science, 4(3), 288-302.
23
12Stephen C. Mukembo, M. Craig Edwards, Jon W. Ramsey, and Shida R.
Henneberry (2014) made a study on Attracting Youth to Agriculture: The Career
Interests of Young Farmers Club Members in Uganda. The study’s multifold
purpose was to describe YFC members’ personal characteristics and their reasons
for joining the clubs. In addition, the study sought to determine the career
interests/aspirations of the Young Farmers Club members and factors influencing
their decisions about career choices. Four objectives were to describe select
personal characteristics of the YFC members, describe students’ reasons for
joining their Young Farmers club, determine the career interests/aspirations of the
YFC members and to determine factors that influenced the career
interests/aspirations of the YFC members. The development of the survey
questionnaire was done by the researchers and a panel of experts from the
Department of Agricultural Education, Communications, and Leadership at
Oklahoma State University, including three faculty members. The questionnaire
was reviewed by the panelists and three agriculture teachers in Uganda for
content and face validity. Minor revisions, as suggested by the reviewers, were
made. A field test was conducted to determine if the subjects were capable of
completing the survey instrument and understood the questions. A large majority
of the students agreed or strongly agreed that the main reason for joining the
YFCs was to improve their academic performance. Personal interest held second
place with, and gaining life skills, such as leadership, communication, and team
work, followed closely in third place. More than two-thirds either disagreed or
strongly disagreed that they joined their clubs to make money, and more than
three-fourths disagreed or strongly disagreed that it was a school requirement for
them to join their clubs.
12
Mukembo, S. C., Edwards, M. C., Ramsey, J. W., & Henneberry, S. R. (2014). Attracting youth to agriculture: The career interests of
young farmers club members in Uganda. Journal of Agricultural Education, 55(5), 155-172.
24
13William A.Masters, with Agnes Andersson Djurfeldt, Cornelis De Haan,
PeterHazell, Thomas Jayne, Magnus Jirström, Thomas Reardon (2013) made a
study on Urbanization and farm size in Asia and Africa: Implications for food
security and Agricultural Research. The study reveals that urbanization and
economic development have made global agriculture increasingly differentiated.
Many hinterland farms remain largely self-sufficient, while farms closer to markets
become increasingly specialized and linked to agribusinesses. Both semi-
subsistence and commercialized farms remain family operations, with the few
successful investor-owned farms found mainly for livestock and crops processed
on sites such as sugar, tea and oil palm. Meanwhile, demographic transition drives
rapid change in farm sizes, with less land available per family until non-farm
opportunities expand enough to absorb all new workers. Asia has saw whole has
now passed this turning points on its average farm sizes can rise, while in Africa
average farm sizes will continue to fall for many years, posing special challenges
in both hinterland and commercialized areas.
13
Masters, W.A., et al., Urbanization and farm size in Asia and Africa: Implications for food security and agricultural research. Global
Food Security (2013), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2013.07.002i
25
14Russell L. Lamb (2011) made a study on Fertilizer Use, Risk, and Off-farm
Labour Markets in the Semi-Arid Tropics of India. It deals with the opportunity to
work in the off-farm labour market allows farmers to smooth consumption in the
face of a negative weather shock. This allows farmers to make production choices
that have higher average returns, and greater risk. I develop a two-period dynamic
programming model to explain the relationship between fertilizer demand and off-
farm labour markets for a risk-averse farmer. I use a well-known sample of farmers
in the semi-arid tropics of India to test the model. I show that fertilizer demand
increases with the depth of the off-farm labour market. Controlling for exogenous
weather risk, farmers use more fertilizer the lower the unemployment rate and the
higher the share of non-agricultural work in total off-farm labour. The results have
important policy implications, suggesting that labour markets and farm production
are complementary in risky production environments.
14
Russell L. Lamb, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Vol. 85, No. 2 (May, 2003), pp. 359-371
26
15Philip G. Pardey and Jason M. Beddow made a study on Revitalizing
Agricultural Research and Development to Sustain US Competitiveness. This
paper describes the downward trends in US public agricultural research and
development (R&D) funding and argues for a doubling of such spending over the
next eight to 10 years to ensure that US agriculture maintains its global
competiveness. To address the decline, the US government can reverse current
trends in public agricultural R&D spending by creating incentives for increased
research funding from state governments and national commodity groups, much
as the new Foundation for Food and Agriculture Research is designed to leverage
private sector R&D funding. This paper also suggests ways to better coordinate
agricultural research activities both between US government agencies and
between US and international research institutions, and proposes more precise
targeting of USDA funds to those places where agricultural production actually
occurs. Unfortunately, the rapid productivity growth of the USagricultural sector
over the past half-century is unlikely to continue. Indeed, growth in US productivity
is slowing, and that trend is likely to persist since the US government spending on
agricultural R&D has flat-lined. At the same time, other countries have been
ramping up public investments in this area. As a result, the US share of global
public agricultural R&D has almost halved over the past five decades.
15
Pardey, P. G., & Beddow, J. M. REVITALIZING AGRICULTURAL RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT TO SUSTAIN US COMPETITIVENESS .
27
CHAPTER 3
RESEARCH METHODOLOGY
28
3.1 Research design
This study researches about problems faced in agriculture and prospects and findings to
know more about and bring the sustainability level high in the near future. The descriptive
research includes survey and fact finding enquiring about different kinds of categories. The
main characteristics of descriptive research are to study about the variables where the
researcher does not have control over the variables and the report is contented with the
facts and figures from the research.
29
subjects under agriculture are collected as samples and are used in the research
study.
N = number of items
30
v-bar = the average variance.
From this formula the researcher can observe the increase the number of items,
thereby resulting in high Cronbach’s alpha. On addition, if the average inter-item
correlation is low, Cronbach’s alpha will be low. As the average inter-item correlation
increases, Cronbach’s alpha increases as well, where in the inter - item are directly
proportional to the alpha value.
When the alpha coefficient is closer to 0.7 and more than that, then it can be
suggested that the items have relatively high internal consistency. Also it should be
noted that if the reliability coefficient is less than 0.70 then it is considered to be
“unacceptable” amongst most social science research situations.
Reliability Statistics
Cronbach's N of Items
Alpha
.701 10
The above table 3.1 defines about the Cronbach’s value for the reason of why farmers
are quitting agriculture.
Reliability Statistics
Cronbach's N of Items
Alpha
.708 10
The above table 3.2 defines about the Cronbach’s Alpha value for the successor’s
prospects and mindset to take up farming.
In both results we can analyze that the values are accepted under research conditions
on reliability tests.
31
Reliability of a test refers to stability of measurement over time. Reliability analysis is
done using the data which is collected through the pilot study.
1. Pilot study was conducted with 150 respondents, who were basically farmers by
professions and they belong to the nearby villages of Coimbatore city.
2. The collected data was fed into SPSS software to test the reliability of the questionnaire
also to analysis the responds given by the famers.
3. The data was then tested for reliability using the following steps
Analysis Scale Reliability Analysis
3.5.2 Correlation
Correlation is a statistical technique which can be used to show whether and how
strongly pairs of variables are related. For this research paper the researcher can
apple correlation and analyze the problems and prospects, causes in taking up
farming or quitting farming.
Correlation is one of the most common and most useful analysis between groups
in statistics. A correlation is a single number that describes the degree of relationship
between two variables of different group. Correlation is used to measure the strength
and direction of association that exists between two variables on an interval scale.
32
3.5.3Descriptive Statistics
Descriptive statistics is the descriptive coefficients that summarize the given data
set, which can be either a representation of the entire population or a sample of it.
Descriptive statistics are broken down into measures of central tendency and
measures of variability. Measures of central tendency under descriptive statistics
include the mean, median and mode, while measures of variability under descriptive
include the standard deviation or variance, the minimum and maximum variables.
Descriptive statistics provide simple summaries about the sample and the
observations that have been made. Such summaries may be either quantitative
analysis, i.e. summary statistics, or visual, which is made much simpler to understand
graphs.
3.5.4 Regression
Regression is a statistical measure used in business analysis such as finance,
investing and other disciplines that helps to determine the strength of the relationship
between one dependent variable (normally denoted by Y) and a series of other
changing variables (known as independent variables and denoted as X). Regression
helps business persons, investment and financial managers to value assets and
understand the relationships between variables, such as commodity prices and the
stocks of businesses dealing in those commodities.
the general formula used in regression is
Y= aX+b
Where,
Y- Dependent variable
X- Independent Variable
a,b –intercepts
The two basics of regression is studied and analyzed by the researcher: linear
and non-linear regression. According to that under linear regression, simple linear
regression is performed by the researcher. Simple Linear regression uses one
independent variable to explain or predict the outcome of the dependent variable Y,
while multiple regressions use two or more independent variables to predict the
outcome.
33
3.5.5 Factor Analysis
Factor analysis is a way to take a mass of data and compress it to a smaller data
set that is more manageable and even more understandable. This analysis is also a
way to find hidden patterns, show how those patterns overlap and result what
characteristics are seen in multiple patterns. It is also used to create a set
of variables for similar items within the set (these sets of variables are called
dimensions). A “factor” is a set of observed variables that have similar response
patterns because they are associated with a variable which is not directly measured.
Factors are listed according to factor loadings, or how much variation in the data they
can explain.
3.5.7 Limitations
The data collected by the researcher from the farmers and successive
generation is based on the questionnaires and the result will be varying
according to an individual’s perspective.
Findings from the study are based on the assumptions of the respondents that
were given to the researcher in an unbiased format.
This research was exclusively in and around Coimbatore where, the population
level for this study is 1.72 lakhs.
34
CHAPTER 4
35
4.1 TEST OF NORMALITY ON PROBLEMS AND PROSPECTS: FARMING
INTO NON-FARMING OCCUPATION
Tests of Normality
gender Kolmogorov-Smirnova Shapiro-Wilk
Statistic df Sig. Statistic df Sig.
Preference to take up family male .199 125 .000 .901 125 .000
business female .210 24 .008 .878 24 .008
Preference to work for an male .199 125 .000 .898 125 .000
organization female .182 24 .038 .904 24 .026
Government attractive male .321 125 .000 .779 125 .000
subsidiaries female .297 24 .000 .807 24 .000
male .262 125 .000 .874 125 .000
Modernization agriculture
female .272 24 .000 .873 24 .006
Agriculture as an attractive male .254 125 .000 .813 125 .000
career female .226 24 .003 .861 24 .004
Less prestigious less male .226 125 .000 .869 125 .000
profitability business female .280 24 .000 .869 24 .005
male .287 125 .000 .745 125 .000
Young farmers club
female .333 24 .000 .733 24 .000
Youngsters to take up male .222 125 .000 .898 125 .000
agriculture female .215 24 .006 .887 24 .011
Agriculturist in the near male .221 125 .000 .890 125 .000
future female .244 24 .001 .882 24 .009
male .310 125 .000 .706 125 .000
Agriculture in school
female .256 24 .000 .783 24 .000
Farming to increase amongst male .247 125 .000 .811 125 .000
generation female .333 24 .000 .789 24 .000
Youngsters taking up male .209 125 .000 .870 125 .000
farming female .305 24 .000 .813 24 .000
male .220 125 .000 .861 125 .000
Agriculture degrading status
female .226 24 .003 .898 24 .020
male .371 125 .000 .697 125 .000
Agriculture helping economy
female .307 24 .000 .662 24 .000
male .240 125 .000 .873 125 .000
Low return profits
female .239 24 .001 .875 24 .006
male .198 125 .000 .863 125 .000
Poor irrigation
female .255 24 .000 .853 24 .002
male .222 125 .000 .844 125 .000
Uneven pricing
female .300 24 .000 .829 24 .001
male .327 125 .000 .773 125 .000
Expensive fertilizers
female .359 24 .000 .794 24 .000
36
male .191 125 .000 .884 125 .000
Political environment
female .326 24 .000 .842 24 .002
male .279 125 .000 .731 125 .000
Labour unavailability
female .348 24 .000 .742 24 .000
male .237 125 .000 .896 125 .000
Well paid jobs
female .283 24 .000 .868 24 .005
male .198 125 .000 .862 125 .000
Migration to cities
female .185 24 .032 .917 24 .051
male .281 125 .000 .869 125 .000
Government schemes
female .239 24 .001 .843 24 .002
male .272 125 .000 .728 125 .000
Monsoon changes
female .192 24 .022 .875 24 .007
male .192 125 .000 .891 125 .000
Real estate
female .281 24 .000 .860 24 .003
male .210 125 .000 .886 125 .000
Young farmers
female .294 24 .000 .726 24 .000
male .212 125 .000 .847 125 .000
Storage facility
female .248 24 .001 .855 24 .003
male .260 125 .000 .871 125 .000
Other incomes
female .273 24 .000 .840 24 .001
male .183 125 .000 .911 125 .000
Middle aged owners
female .282 24 .000 .840 24 .001
a. Lilliefors Significance Correction
37
Fig 4.1.1 Q-Q plot; Test of normality
Interpretation:
From the fig 4.1.1, in order to determine normality graphically, the
researcher can use the output of a normality; Q-Q plot. If the data points are
normally distributed, the data points will be close to the diagonal line. If the data
points stray from the line in an obvious non-linear fashion, the data are not
normally distributed. As the researcher can see the normal Q-Q plot below, the
data is not normally distributed.
38
4.2 FACTOR ANALYSIS: TO UNDERSTAND THE REASON FOR MIGRATION
FROM FARMING TO OTHER PROFESSIONS
Descriptive Statistics
Mean Std. Deviation Analysis N
Table 4.2.1 Factor analysis: to understand the reason for migration from
farming to other professions
Sig. .000
Table 4.2.2 KMO Value: To understand the reason for migration from farming
39
Component Matrixa
Component
1 2 3 4 5
Low profitability -.055 .518 -.498 -.228 .145
Poor irrigation -.582 .263 -.253 .164 .407
Uneven pricing .723 .359 -.079 -.015 .041
40
a. Poor irrigation
b. Uneven pricing
c. Political environment
d. Interest in well paid jobs
e. Moving to cities for better FACTOR 1
infrastructure and development
f. Real estate
g. Storage facilities
a. Drawback of monsoon
changes
b. Government schemes given FACTOR 5
to farmers.
41
Stage Cluster Stage Stage Cluster Combined Stage Cluster First
Combined Cluster Appears
First
Appears
Cluster 1 Cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster
2 1 2 1 2 1 2
1 136 150 0 0 43 2 29 37 22
2 135 149 0 0 44 20 143 0 0
3 134 148 0 0 45 104 115 0 0
4 133 147 0 0 46 75 83 39 0
5 130 144 0 0 47 63 74 40 20
6 44 142 0 0 48 52 69 0 0
7 40 138 0 0 49 58 61 0 0
8 32 130 0 5 50 8 41 0 0
9 30 128 0 0 51 32 141 28 0
10 99 113 0 0 52 35 131 31 0
11 96 110 0 0 53 26 85 0 0
12 34 146 0 0 54 7 39 25 14
13 135 140 2 0 55 10 13 0 0
14 39 137 0 0 56 62 63 29 47
15 31 129 0 0 57 2 65 43 27
16 102 116 0 0 58 72 81 26 42
17 100 114 0 0 59 36 134 0 3
18 94 108 0 0 60 117 126 0 0
19 79 87 0 0 61 98 112 0 0
20 74 82 0 0 62 105 107 0 0
21 38 136 0 1 63 88 106 0 0
22 29 133 0 4 64 22 58 35 49
23 34 132 12 0 65 21 45 0 0
24 59 76 0 0 66 33 35 0 52
25 7 55 0 0 67 12 14 0 0
26 72 80 0 0 68 37 135 0 13
27 65 77 0 0 69 32 59 51 36
28 32 40 8 7 70 18 139 0 0
29 62 79 0 19 71 119 124 0 0
30 22 31 0 15 72 49 66 0 0
31 35 38 0 21 73 22 27 64 32
32 27 145 0 0 74 5 125 0 0
33 93 118 0 0 75 99 122 10 0
34 56 57 0 0 76 16 71 0 0
35 22 48 30 0
36 59 84 24 0
37 2 34 0 23
38 100 102 17 16
42
39 75 86 0 0
40 63 73 0 0
41 4 30 0 9
42 81 93 0 33
Interpretation:
The above table 4.2.4 explains about the cluster that is formed and grouped
for the variables in this research. The level of homogeneity and level of
heterogeneity is analyzed between the groups
43
4.3 CLUSTER ANALYSIS: TO UNDERSTAND THE REASON FOR
MIGRATION FROM FARMING TO OTHER PROFESSIONS
Cases
Valid Missing Total
N Percent N Percent N Percent
151 100.0 0 .0 151 100.0
a. Average Linkage (Between Groups)
Table 4.3.1 Linkage between the clustered groups
Table 4.3.2 Final cluster groups : to understand the reason for migration
44
Interpretation:
From the table 4.3.2, the 1st cluster group we could identify that they are mostly
neutral to the above questions and also the researcher inferred that the above factors
influence very less to the group 1. They are not much concern about the changes
happening in farming. They don’t have idea of quitting farming in the future.
In the 2nd cluster group we can identify that most of the factors are affecting the
famers and they agree to the variables asked by the researcher. It is also clear that a
little change in environmental factor as well as the cost factor influence a lot in this
group. They may quit farming in the near future if these factors prevail.
In the 3rd cluster we can see the combination 1st cluster and 2nd cluster
characteristics. In this group they were influence more on certain variables and
certain variables doesn’t create more impact and they influential is neutral. The
group doesn’t have intention for quitting as well as continuing the farming they stand
neutral.
In the 4th cluster we can found that most of the people were highly agreeing the
factors influencing to them to quitting of agriculture. The farmers belong to this group
are already started quitting and have their farm land as unused.
Descriptive Statistics
Mean Std. Deviation Analysis N
45
Young farmer club 4.24 .981 150
Component Matrixa
Component
1 2 3 4 5
Preference in taking up
.397 .259 .060 -.398 -.219
family business
Preference to work for
-.002 .166 .118 .812 -.243
an organisation
Government subsidiaries .530 .115 -.464 -.118 .385
Agriculture as an
.543 .097 .300 .067 -.449
attractive career
Agriculture as less
-.414 .502 .073 .188 .466
prestigious
46
Young farmer club .736 .201 .248 .045 .101
Interest to take up
-.354 .546 -.424 .260 -.021
agriculture
Future agriculturist .558 .102 .281 .023 -.012
Farming in next
.274 .422 .604 .045 .468
generation
Youngsters to take up
.386 .595 -.472 .010 -.140
farming
Degrading your status -.598 .393 .194 -.181 -.061
Agriculture helping in
.781 .102 -.216 .229 .008
economy
Extraction Method: Principal Component Analysis.
a. 5 components extracted.
Interpretation:
In the above Table 4.4, factor analysis the researcher inferred the Kaiser-
Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling Adequacy values should be above 0.5. Here
the value is 0.674 which is above the standard value. It helps to group the
variables under different categories for the ease of analyzing the variables by the
researcher for the questionnaire 2 (youngsters taking up farming in
future).Following are the factors tahr are grouped 47ccordingly
47
modernization impact on agriculture
agriculture as less prestigious and less
profitable income
parents influence towards taking up Factor 3
agriculture
youngsters taking up farming for
supervision position
Sustainability of farming amongst the
young generation Factor 4
48
Stage Cluster Stage Stage Cluster Combined Stage Cluster First
Combined Cluster Appears
First
Appears
Cluster 1 Cluster Cluster 1 Cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster Cluster
2 2 1 2 1 2
77 51 68 0 0 116 7 8 109 96
78 33 47 66 0 117 20 64 100 101
79 10 62 55 56 118 10 49 93 106
80 28 52 0 48 119 50 120 87 0
81 32 43 69 0 120 16 19 76 0
82 89 91 0 0 121 2 7 102 116
83 100 104 38 45 122 25 37 108 68
84 32 75 81 46 123 10 44 118 98
85 22 33 73 78 124 70 89 0 112
86 72 103 58 0 125 117 119 110 71
87 50 121 0 0 126 6 16 0 120
88 97 111 0 0 127 5 98 74 103
89 95 109 0 0 128 6 54 126 0
90 89 92 82 0 129 2 3 121 115
91 2 4 57 41 130 1 51 0 77
92 7 18 54 70 131 10 56 123 113
93 10 72 79 86 132 2 36 129 59
94 3 99 0 75 133 2 20 132 117
95 28 32 80 84 134 5 50 127 119
96 8 26 50 53 135 94 95 18 89
97 2 28 91 95 136 2 25 133 122
98 44 60 6 0 137 2 10 136 131
99 100 101 83 0 138 24 94 0 135
100 20 46 44 0 139 53 70 105 124
101 64 78 0 0 140 6 117 128 125
102 2 22 97 85 141 1 2 130 137
103 98 105 61 62 142 1 5 141 134
104 7 12 92 67 143 21 53 114 139
105 53 96 0 11 144 1 6 142 140
106 49 88 72 63 145 11 23 0 0
107 56 100 34 99 146 1 11 144 145
108 25 42 0 0 147 1 24 146 138
109 7 9 104 0 148 1 21 147 143
111 3 17 94 0
112 89 90 90 0
113 56 97 107 88
114 21 67 65 0
49
4.5: CLUSTER ANALYSIS : TO STUDY THE ATTITUDE OF SUCCESSOR
Government subsidiaries 3 4 4
Modernisation in agriculture 3 4 3
50
Agriculture as less prestigious 4 4 2
Agriculture in schools 3 3 5
In the 1st cluster group we could identify that the respondents are mostly neutral and
few tend to disagree to the above questions and the researcher inferred that the above
factors have very less influence on the group 1. It is clear from the above table that the
Interpretation:
youngster neither take up farming nor do they work for organization.
From the 2nd cluster group we can identify that most of the factors were inducing the
youngster to take up agriculture. Most of the respondents agree to the variables asked by
the researcher. It is also clear that introducing the agriculture from the school level helps
them to create more interest in taking up it as a profession. The respondents have idea of
taking up agriculture as their profession in near future.
The 3rd cluster is the combination of people who are apprehensive to take up agriculture
and people who have very strong intention to take up agriculture as their profession. This
group also have respondents who disagree to take up agriculture. So, From this cluster, it
can be inferred that respondents cannot be particularly grouped into any of the above
characteristics.
51
4.6 MANN WHITNEY TEST
Ranks
Gender N Mean Rank Sum of Ranks
Male 125 76.76 9595.00
Agriculture as attractive
female 25 69.20 1730.00
career
Total 150
Table 4.6.1 Mann Whitney test on gender ranking
Test Statisticsa
Agriculture as attractive career
Mann-Whitney U 1405.000
Wilcoxon W 1730.000
Z -.831
Asymp. Sig. (2-tailed) .406
a. Grouping Variable: gender
Table 4.6.2 Statistical data in Agriculture as attractive career
Hypothetical Analysis:
Ho: there is no significant difference between perceiving agriculture as an
attractive career and successor generation in taking up farming.
Ha: there is significant difference between perceiving agriculture as an attractive
career and successor generation in taking up farming.
Interpretation:
From the Table 4.6.2, the p-value is 0.406 which is more than 0.05 hence
accept null hypothesis therefore, there is no significant difference between
perceiving agriculture as an attractive career and successor generation in taking
up farming.
52
4.7 REGRESSION ANALYSIS
Model Summaryb
Mode R R Adjusted R Std. Error of
l Square Square the
Estimate
1 .436a .191 .179 .910
ANOVAa
Model Sum of df Mean F Sig.
Squares Square
Regressio
28.431 2 14.215 17.182 .000b
n
1
Residual 120.791 146 .827
Total 149.221 148
Table 4.7.2 ANOVA for regression in Agricultural Contribution
53
Coefficients
Model Unstandardized Standardize t Sig.
Coefficients d
Coefficients
B Std. Error Beta
(Constant) 2.836 .347 8.180 .000
Youngsters taking up
.400 .068 .436 5.862 .000
1 farming
Middle aged land
-.003 .067 -.004 -.052 .959
owners
a. Dependent Variable: agriculture helping economy
Table 4.7.3 Coefficients for youngsters taking up farming and middle aged
land owners
Interpretation:
54
4.8 CORRELATION: TAKING UP AGRICULTURE VS AGRICULTURE
DEGRADING YOUR STATUS
Preference Agriculture
to take up degrading
family your status
business
Correlation
1.000 -.133
Preference to Coefficient
take up family
Sig. (2-tailed) . .104
business
rho Correlation
-.133 1.000
Agriculture Coefficient
degrading
Sig. (2-tailed) .104 .
your status
N 150 150
Interpretation:
From the table 4.8.1, the correlation between taking up family business and
status degradation is found to be negative with the value -0.133 which is
negatively correlated. This indicates that the taking up farming by the young
generation people doesn’t create much impact on degradation of their social
status.
Descriptive Statistics
N Minimu Maximu Mean Std. Varianc
m m Deviation e
middle_keepers_l
150 1 5 3.29 1.115 1.242
and
55
cm_cost_analysis 150 2.17 4.67 3.5633 .52338 .274
Valid N (listwise) 150
Descriptive Statistics
N Minimu Maximu Mean Std. Varianc
m m Deviation e
Government
150 1 5 2.79 1.131 1.279
schemes
Government
150 1 5 3.97 1.058 1.120
subsidiaries
Valid N (listwise) 150
3.97
2.79
1 2
56
Interpretation:
From the Table 4.8.3 the mean values show the current government
subsidiaries given to farmers valued as 2.79 doesn’t not meet the expectation of
the youngsters’ who are willing to take up farming, Meanwhile, the expectations of
future announcement of subsidiaries by the government has a significant influence
on the youngsters.
Descriptive Statistics
57
Agriculture helping in
149 1 5 4.34 1.004
economy
Valid N (listwise) 149
Table 4.9.1 Descriptive Statistics: attitude of successor generation taking up
farming
Interpretation:
From the table 4.9.1, the factors such as
1. Agriculture will help to increase growth of economy has a mean value of 4.34
2. Young farmer club and other agriculture related clubs has a mean value of 4.24
3. Agriculture should be taught in school has a value of 4.03
4. Farming to increase among your generation has 4.07
5. Government subsidiaries has 3.97
6. Attractive career to be perceived in future has value of 3.81
7. Modernization impact as 3.62
These 7 were major influencing most over the successor generation taking up
farming.
T
Descriptive Statistics
58
Interpretation:
From the above Table 4.9.2, descriptive statistics is analyzed and it is clear that
people who prefer to work for an organization is slightly higher than the people
who are willing to take up farming. Thus the researcher analyses the mean value,
standard deviation and variance in descriptive statistics.
59
Poor irrigation 150 1 5 3.45 1.272 1.618
Political environment 150 1 5 2.91 1.281 1.642
Labour unavailability 150 1 5 4.23 .963 .928
Migration to cities 150 1 5 2.64 1.377 1.896
Real estates 150 1 5 3.06 1.312 1.721
Monsoon changes 150 1 5 4.13 1.076 1.158
Storage facility 150 1 5 3.56 1.298 1.684
Valid N (listwise) 150
Table 4.11.1 Environmental Analysis group containing environment
variables
Interpretation:
From the table 4.11.1 The descriptive statistics done on the above Environmental
related variables shows that the high impact on agriculture is due to Labour
unavailability valued as 4.23 and the current changes in the monsoon valued as
4.13.
These two mean values indicates that the farmers are most affected by the labour
unavailability and there also seems to be monsoon changes which can be
consider as one of the most serious environmental factors where farmers are
induced to quit farming.
Correlations
Combined Combined
mean cost mean
analysis Environmen
tal analysis
Correlation
1.000 .373**
Spearman's Combined mean Coefficient
rho cost analysis Sig. (2-tailed) . .000
N 150 150
60
Correlation
Combined mean .373** 1.000
Coefficient
Environmental
Sig. (2-tailed) .000 .
analysis
N 150 150
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Table 4.12.1 Correlation on Environmental Vs Cost analysis
Interpretation:
From the table 4.12.1, a comparison is performed between environmental factor
Vs cost analysis. Since the value of correlation coefficient is 0.373, it implies that
there is a positive correlation between the cost related variables and environment
related variables which are affecting the farmers.
Correlations
Combine Combine
mean mean
prospects problems
analysis analysis
Correlation
1.000 1.000**
Combine mean Coefficient
prospects analysis Sig. (2-tailed) . .
Spearman's N 150 150
rho Correlation
1.000** 1.000
Combine mean Coefficient
problems analysis Sig. (2-tailed) . .
N 150 150
**. Correlation is significant at the 0.01 level (2-tailed).
Table 4.13.1 Combined Mean on problems and prospects in farming
gender_
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
61
Female 25 16.6 16.6 100.0
Total 151 100.0 100.0
16%
male
Female
84%
Age
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
1-30 1 .7 .7 .7
31-50 68 45.0 45.0 45.7
Valid
51- 75 82 54.3 54.3 100.0
Total 151 100.0 100.0
Table 4.14.2 Age of farmers
Age
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative
Percent
1-20 7 4.7 4.7 4.7
Valid
21-30 113 75.3 75.3 80.0
62
31-40 30 20.0 20.0 100.0
Total 150 100.0 100.0
Table 4.14.3 Age of successive generation
AGE
100
AGE
50
0
0-30 31-50 51-75
Interpretation:
From the above Fig 4.14.2 in our respondents the researcher found that
more number of people lies in between the age group of (51-75) were highly
involved in farming activities than the other groups.
70 68.7
60
50
40
30 22
20 9.3
Series1
10
0
1 2 3
63
Education
Frequency Percent Valid Percent Cumulative Percent
schooling 14 9.3 9.3 9.3
UG 103 68.7 68.7 78.0
Valid
PG 33 22.0 22.0 100.0
Total 150 100.0 100.0
From the table 4.14.3, the maximum respondents from the education
qualification of youngster are from under Graduate group. 68% of the respondents
belong to the Under Graduate group.
The respondents who belong to Under Graduate group may step into agriculture if
the government aided them with subsidiaries and other technological supports.
Income
Frequen Percent Valid Cumulative
cy Percent Percent
5000-
70 46.7 46.7 46.7
20000
21000-
Valid 62 41.3 41.3 88.0
40000
>40000 18 12.0 12.0 100.0
Total 150 100.0 100.0
Fig 4.14.4 Income Group
64
50
45
40
35
30
25 46.7
41.3
20
15
10
12
5
0
1 2 3 4
65
CHAPTER 5
FINDINGS, SUGGESTIONS AND CONCLUSION
66
Findings
Majority of the respondents fall under the age group 51-75 years
Majority of the respondents are Male 84 % and female 16%.
From the findings the researcher analyzes that, awareness amongst female is
not very healthy.
The researcher also finds that female persons are discouraged and are of less
in number.
The researcher can infer that expensive fertilizers are one of the reasons which
discourage the farmers to quit farming. Spending more on fertilizers ends up in
low return profits.
Under comparison, the researcher finds between taking up family business and
status degradation and is found to be negative with the value -0.126 which is
negatively correlated. This indicates that the taking up farming by the young
generation people doesn’t create much impact on degradation of their social
status.
The researcher finds that there lies a significant value where famers have the
interest to perceive agriculture to be an attractive career and successor
generation in taking up farming.
The government subsidiaries and modernization has a strong relationship on
the youngsters who are interested in taking up farming and thus on findings the
researcher analyzes that there needs to some increase in agricultural schemes
and help in the modernization of agriculture.
Based on age group and successor generation there is more reliability in young
and middle generation groups to taking up farming.
The farmers are most affected by the labour unavailability and there also
seems to be monsoon changes which can be consider as one of the most
serious environmental factors where farmers are induced to quit farming.
The mean value of “uneven pricing” analyzed is 3.96 which results that there is
significantly higher than the other cost related variables.
The lowest contributor among the cost variables is the government schemes
provided to farmers, which has a value of 2.79 and hence sufficient amount
should be provided by the government to famers.
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On analysis, there is no significant relation between youngster’s preference to
work for an organization and parents’ opinion to take up farming. This also
implies that the parents’ opinion doesn’t influence youngsters’ decision to work
in organization or to take up farming.
The expectations of future announcement of subsidiaries by the government
have more influence and it seems to be more important variable to be satisfied
for future farmers.
A Finding indicates that the farmers are most affected by the labour
unavailability and there also seems to be monsoon changes which can be
consider as one of the most serious environmental factors where farmers are
induced to quit farming.
Suggestions
Most of the farmers feel that the price of the fertilizers is quite high and so the
government should find ways to reduce the price of the fertilizers.
In order to encourage the youngsters to take up farming as their career, the
government should come up with subsidiaries and introduce new technologies
in farming.
Irrigation facilities are found to be one of the major reasons to quit farming. So
the government should make necessary sustainable arrangements to solve the
problem.
Labour unavailability is yet another major problem which is faced by the
farmers. So modernisation and introduction of new equipments to substitute
the labour unavailability.
The pricing of the agricultural commodities should be made even with a good
minimum support price in order to prevent farmers from quitting agriculture.
The government may help the farmers by waiving off their loans during the
times of drought and natural calamities
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Conclusion
69
CHAPTER 6
MANAGERIAL IMPLICATIONS AND SOCIETAL IMPLICATIONS OF THE PROJECT
WORK
70
Implications
Based on the analysis we could find the major reasons which majorly
contribute for the farmers to quit agriculture. From the study, the local governing
bodies and the government can make facilities and arrangement for the better
productivity and eradication of poverty of the farmers. It suggests the socio-
economic reforms which have to be done and need of assisting the farmers
technically to adopt new technologies. Government could also find the
expectations of the farmers in terms of price fixation, procurement of commodities
and build warehouses to store the commodities. A great support is always needed
during the times of drought and other natural calamities when farmers face
extreme difficulties with no returns from cultivation, by releasing disaster funds and
waiving off their loans is also expected by the farmers.
The study also says about the expectations of the youth to step in to
agriculture and make it as their career, so that, the government can make
necessary steps to bring in more of successor generation to agriculture and it
clearly shows the importance of agriculture to be taught in school.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
72
Guither, H. D. (1965). Families Who Quit Farming. Journal of Cooperative
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Pietola, K., Vare, M., & Lansink, A. O. (2002). Farmers’ exit decisions and early
retirement programs in Finland. Zaragoza (Spain), 28, 31.
Mishra, S. (2008). Risks, farmers’ suicides and agrarian crisis in India: Is there
a way out?. Indian Journal of Agricultural Economics, 63(1).
Singh, S., & Bhogal, S. (2014). Depeasantization in Punjab: status of farmers
who left farming. Curr Sci, 106(10), 1364-8.
Schirmer, J., Peel, D., & Mylek, M. (2015). The 2014 Regional Wellbeing
Survey: Farmers and Agriculture. University of Canberra, Canberra.
Indo-Global Social Service Society (2017). Why farmers quit? A study on
farmers’ suicides in Odisha, conducted by Baitarani Initiative, IGSSS, New
Delhi
Darnhofer, I., Gibbon, D., & Dedieu, B. (2012). Farming systems research: an
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List of Websites:
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.gfs.2013.07.002i
http://www.tn.gov.in/dear/Agriculture.pdf
http://www.coimbatore.nic.in/pdf/SHB003.pdf
http://statisticstimes.com/economy/sectorwise-gdp-contribution-of-india.php
http://www.firstpost.com/india/tamil-nadu-declares-drought-as-144-farmers-die-
amid-worst-north-east-monsoon-in-140-years-3197616.html
http://statisticstimes.com/economy/sectorwise-gdp-contribution-of-india.php
https://globaledge.msu.edu/industries/agriculture/background
http://www.livemint.com/Opinion/7aPpXijuZ2517NTW4n4OWM/Indian-
agriculture-needs-smart-investment.html
https://www.ibef.org/industry/agriculture-india.aspx
74
QUESTIONNARIE
75
Problems and prospects - farming family into non farming
Occupation
Name:
Age:
Gender:
Place of residence:
8. Do you prefer to
move to cities for
better living?
9. Are you government
schemes provides
76
support for farming?
10. Are monsoon changes
a major drawback in
cultivation?
11. Is real estate a major
drawback for
agriculture?
12. Will more number of
Youngsters take up
farming in your
family?
13. Are storage facilities a
problem for
preserving the agri
products?
14. Do other incomes
discourage you to give
up agriculture?
15. Does middle age
generation want to be
only keepers of land?
77
Occupation
Age:
Education:
Income:
Area of cultivation:
Level of agreeability
78
clubs?
8. Do your parents
influence you to take
up agriculture?
9. Do you like to be an
agriculturist in the
near future?
79