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Abstract
The aim of this study is to summarize the evidence on the dose–response relationship between body mass index (BMI) and mortality
in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD).
We performed a systemic literature search in PubMed, Embase, and Web of Science for relevant studies that were published until
June 2015. A random effects meta-analysis was used to estimate the pooled relative risks (RRs) of all-cause mortality in COPD
patients with normal weight compared with those who were underweight, overweight, or obese. In addition, a dose–response meta-
analysis was conducted to explore the dose–response relationship between BMI and all-cause mortality in COPD patients.
A total of 17 observational studies involving 30,182 COPD patients among 285,960 participants were included. Compared with the
reference category, the RRs of underweight, overweight, and obese individuals were 1.40 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.20–1.63),
0.80 (95% CI, 0.67–0.96), and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.62–0.95), respectively. A significant nonlinear relationship between BMI and mortality
of COPD patients was found by using a random effects model. COPD patients with BMI of <21.75 kg/m2 had a higher risk of death.
Moreover, an increase in the BMI resulted in a decrease in the risk of death. The risk of death was lowest when BMI was 30 kg/m2
(RR = 0.69; 95% CI, 0.53–0.89). The BMI was not associated with all-cause mortality when BMI was >32 kg/m2.
Our findings indicate that overweight is associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality among patients with COPD whereas
underweight is associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality in these patients. However, there is limited evidence to support the
association between obesity and the risk of all-cause mortality in patients with COPD.
Abbreviations: BMI = body mass index, CI = confidence interval, COPD = chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, HR = hazard
ratio, kg = kilogram, NOS = Newcastle–Ottawa scale, OR = odds ratio, RR = relative risk.
Keywords: body mass index, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, dose–response meta-analysis, mortality
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patients with COPD were included in this meta-analysis. No ended, we assumed that the open-ended interval length was the
language restriction was imposed. same as the adjacent interval. A nonlinear relationship between
Two investigators (YG and TZ) conducted a systematic BMI and mortality in COPD was used when performing the
literature search by using the electronic databases PubMed (from dose–response analysis. To derive the dose–response curve, BMI
1965 to June 2015), Embase (from 1965 to June 2015), and Web was modeled using restricted cubic splines with three knots in
of Science (from 1986 to June 2015). Searches were performed fixed percentiles (10%, 50%, and 90%) of the distribution. We
using Medical Subject Heading terms and free keywords estimated the P-value of the null hypothesis that the coefficient of
(“COPD” OR “Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease” the second spline was equal to zero. The details of the methods
AND “Body Mass Index” OR “Overweight” OR “Obese” used have been described by Larsson and Orsibi.[10,11]
OR “Obesity”). Moreover, a manual search of the reference lists R software version 3.1.2 with doseresmeta and metafor
of the obtained articles was performed. packages was used to obtain the pooled analysis, dose–response
Eligible studies met the following inclusion criteria: (a) they analysis, and to retrieve the plots. All statistical tests were two-
were observational studies (retrospective reviews, retrospective sided. A P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
cohort studies, and prospective cohort studies); (b) the study The I2 test and Q test were used to explore the heterogeneity
population included individuals diagnosed with COPD; (c) the among the studies.[12] The Egger’s regression test[13] was
outcome was all-cause mortality; (d) the studies reported either performed to assess publication bias. In case of significant
the relative risk (RR), odds ratio (OR), or hazard ratio (HR), publication bias, a nonparametric trim and fill method[14] was
together with the 95% confidence interval (CI) for the used to explore the adjusted pooled effects.
relationship between BMI and mortality in COPD, or the total A sensitivity analysis was performed by excluding the studies
number of patients with events. The studies included in the one at a time and observing any substantial changes in the pooled
dose–response analysis should have three or more BMI results.
categories, and each BMI category should have an effect value.
The studies with less than two BMI categories were not included
in the dose–response analysis. The studies were selected
independently by two investigators (YG and TZ). Potentially relevant articles identified in data base
searching (n=9405)
PubMed (n=2573)
2.2. Data extraction and quality assessment Web of science (n=1657)
Embase (n=5175)
The following information was extracted from each eligible study
(when available): the names of the first author; year of
Duplicates removed (n=4701)
publication; countries where the study was conducted; propor-
tion of male participants; number of years of follow-up; sample
size; BMI and either RR, OR, or HR, together with the 95% CI
for each BMI category; number of cases; and sample size for each Potentially relevant articles (n=4704)
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Table 1
Characteristics of studies included in meta-analysis.
Publication Country Male proportion Numbers of Follow-up Study Adjusted
Author year of participants (%) Age participants Study design (y) quality co-variables
Chang, C. L. 2007 New 57 69.5 (12) 81 Retrospective study 1 6 CURB-65 score (confusion, urea, respiratory
Zealand rate, and blood pressure age)
Marti, S. 2006 Spain 98 58.9 (9.7) 543 Retrospective study 3.2 7 Age, Cor pulmonale, and comorbidity
(Charlson index)
Gunen, H. 2005 Turkey 87.8 64.8 (9.7) 205 Prospective cohort 3 7 NA
Collins, P. F. 2010 UK NA NA 424 Retrospective study 1 NA NA
Landbo, C. 1999 Denmark 57.1 21–89 2132 Prospective 17 8 Age, ventilatory function, and smoking habits
Hallin, R. 2007 Nordic NA NA 261 Prospective 2 6 Age, gender, FEV1, diabetes, and center
Chailleux 2003 France 86 Man 31 (12), 4088 Prospective 7.5 8 NA
woman 34 (11)
Jordan Jr, J. G. 2010 United 59.66 64.28 2439 Retrospective cohort 10 6 Age, gender, race, smoking habits,
States present oral corticosteroid, and severity
of airway obstruction
Schembri, S. 2009 UK 50.4 NA 3343 Prospective cohort 1.9 6 NA
Prescott, E. 2002 Denmark 44.1 Man 56.6 (9.7), 1612 Prospective cohort 14 8 Age, smoking habits, and lung function
woman 55.8 (9)
Ringbaek, T. J. 2004 Denmark NA NA 221 Prospective cohort 4.9 7 NA
Yamauchi, Y 2014 Japan 80 77.8 (7.2) 263,940 Retrospective study NA 8 Age, gender, dyspnea grade, disability of
ADL, consciousness level,
emergency admission, and comorbidities
Mitja Lainscak 2011 Germany 72 70 (9) 968 Prospective cohort 3.26 7 Age, gender, GOLD stage, heart failure,
cancer, and asthma
ADL = activities of daily life, DLCO = diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide, FEV1 = forced expiratory volume in one second, GOLD = Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease, LAA% = the
percentage of the lungfield occupied by low attenuation areas, NA = not applicable, RV/TLC = residual volume/total lung capacity, VA = alveolar volume.
3.1. Description of the selected studies Compared with normal weight, the RRs of underweight,
overweight, and obese individuals were 1.40 (95% CI,
Of the 9405 articles identified via literature search, 13 1.20–1.63; P <0.0001), 0.80 (95% CI, 0.67–0.96; P <0.0001),
observational studies[15–27] involving 285,960 participants and and 0.77 (95% CI, 0.62–0.95; P = 0.0162), respectively (Figs. 2–4).
30,182 cases were included in this meta-analysis on the basis of The heterogeneity test found I2 values of 94.84%, 93.27%, and
the selection criteria. Of these, 11 studies[15–25] contained at least 86.71%, for underweight, overweight, and obesity, respectively,
3 BMI categories and therefore were included in the dose–- and all the P-values obtained in the Q statistic test were <0.0001.
response analysis. The duration of follow-up ranged between 1
and 17 years.
3.3. Dose–response analysis
The search process is depicted in Fig. 1. The general
characteristics of the selected studies are presented in Table 1. We found a significant nonlinear relationship (P = 0.0078)
between BMI categories and mortality in patients with COPD
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RR = 1 Pnon-linearity = 0.0078 difference in the risk of mortality compared with patients with a
Spline Model
BMI of 21.75 kg/m2.
BMI is relatively easy to measure and has become a part of the
Relative Risk
2.0
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Heterogeneity
Subgroup RR 95% CI I-squared P-value
Our results suggest that underweight is associated with a cutoff value for underweight, sex ratio, and the mean age of the
higher risk of all-cause mortality in COPD patients. The reasons population. Therefore, we conducted a subgroup analysis to
for this are still unclear. However, several hypotheses have been explore the source of heterogeneity.
put forward to interpret this phenomenon, including respiratory
muscle weakness, impaired gas exchange, impaired immune 5. Conclusion
response,[27] and loss of metabolically and functionally active fat-
In summary, underweight increased the risk of mortality in
free mass (FFM).[29] Underweight patients have an increased
patients with COPD whereas overweight decreased this risk.
frequency of exacerbation, which leads to a faster decline in
Furthermore, we found a nonlinear dose–response relationship
FEV1, impaired quality of life, and high mortality.[19] On the
between BMI and mortality in COPD patients. The risk of
contrary, obese patients with COPD may receive medical
mortality was lowest for a BMI of 30 kg/m2. In this context,
attention earlier than normal weight patients possibly because
nutritional support may improve the prognosis of COPD patients
obesity is also associated with dyspnea.[30]
in clinical practice.
With regard to obesity, our sensitivity analysis indicated that
the association between body weight and all-cause mortality was References
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