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Gartner projects the IT industry to grow 4.3 percent to US$3.7 trillion. Really? When you look at the
massive migration to cloud, mobile and software, can this be correct? Alternatively, is the IT
industry actually shrinking but the use of IT in lines of business (ie operations or OT) growing
faster?
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3/28/2018 Top 10 Trends for ICT in 2018
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3/28/2018 Top 10 Trends for ICT in 2018
4. IoT – Systematically combining IoT, AI, Network, Fog and Cyber for true digital
transformation
Most IoT projects are failing, despite much enthusiasm and optimism. The inaugural phase of IoT
was characterised by numerous point solutions from a multitude of new (often startup) vendors.
Typically, these solutions were designed to solve a particular societal problem such as lighting or
parking. Customers now find themselves with multiple siloes from multiple vendors that don’t
interoperate, are not cyber secure, use different protocols and generate more complexity at greater
cost. The next phase will be characterised by “platforms” that incorporate modularity,
interdependency and functionality to address multiple different sensors and applications from
different vendors. When IoT is combined with AI, smart networks, FOG (edge computing) and
security (eg Blockchain) as an “intuitive” system, there will be less failure and more successful
transformation.
5. Crypto, Blockchain – Cash is (almost) dead, long live digital, mobile and crypto
Mobile payments grew to around $5 trillion in China, almost half of the county’s GDP. The Global
Financial Crisis, royal commissions and multiple bank investigations have dispelled the assumed
trust in traditional banking systems. Payment systems are becoming decentralised, digital,
cryptographic systems underpinned by decentralized ledgers (eg Blockchain) that provide more
confidence and more data. The transition from plastic cards to mobile apps will accelerate. Fiat and
crypto currencies will combine and we can expect more government intervention and regulation.
Practical, non-currency Blockchain applications emerge.
tools, introducing complexity and fragmenting teamwork. Organisations will start consolidating
collaboration options to empower people, projects and teams. The user interface will become more
intelligent, frictionless and intuitive, leverage technologies such as AI, VR and AR and respond to
speech and presence. Digital distraction will be an increasing challenge at work and in your car.
8. Mobile – Demand for speed & richer user-experience spurs 5G & Virtual/Augmented/Mixed
Reality
Mobile data traffic is expected to surge eight-fold over the next 5 years, reaching 110 Exabytes per
month by 2023. Over 70 percent of this traffic will be video. Industry is responding to this
inexorable demand by providing better performance (primarily investing in 5G for higher speed and
lower latency) and a richer user experience (with VR, AR and MR). 5G is developing faster than
expected with the initial 5G New Radio (NR) specifications being approved 6 months earlier than
expected (by 3GPP), heralding the start of the 5G era and a new battle amongst the mobile sector's
leading players to claim industry firsts. In the long-term, industry not humans will be the chief 5G
driver. Practical AR use-cases in industry grow and scale.
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3/28/2018 Top 10 Trends for ICT in 2018
The above is a summary of my predictions of the ICT trends for 2018. They have been selected
because of their impact on the networking industry and they forecast what is expected to happen
or start happening, within the next 12 months. This information incorporates input and insights
from several sources, which are available upon request.
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