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Day(April) Price Day(May) Price Day(June)

1 1 4654 1
2 2 4727 2
3 3 4423 3
4 3908 4 4423 4
5 3908 5 4487 5
6 3908 6 4204 6
7 4412 7 4423 7
8 4718 8 3626 8
9 5242 9 4164 9
10 5069 10 4423 10
11 4718 11 4706 11
12 4527 12 4527 12
13 4885 13 4164 13
14 5499 14 3626 14
15 5058 15 3847 15
16 5058 16 3847 16
17 4727 17 4500 17
18 5058 18 3847 18
19 4727 19 4475 19
20 5122 20 3847 20
21 5058 21 3510 21
22 5383 22 3847 22
23 4654 23 3965 23
24 4727 24 3626 24
25 4727 25 3626 25
26 5383 26 3793 26
27 5805 27 3626 27
28 5321 28 2986 28
29 5058 29 2986 29
30 4727 30 3057 30
31 3581
Price
3320
2986
2986
2986
2613
2613
2986
2986
2986
2986
2613
2613
2613
2986
3056
2986
3005
2613
2613
2613
2613
3056
2986
2986
2986
4166
2613
2613
2986
2613
Yatra MMT
Weekly Monthly Weekly Monthly
2018 Day(April) Price Price Price Price
Sunday 1
Monday 2
Tuesday 3
Wednesday 4
Thursday 5
Friday 6
Saturday 7 4660 4660 3990 3990
Sunday 8 4391 4391 3823 3823
Monday 9 3823 3823 3990 3990
Tuesday 10 3823 3823 3823 3823
Wednesday 11 3823 3823 3337 3337
Thursday 12 3721 3721 3337 3337
Friday 13 3823 3823 3823 3823
Saturday 14 3498 3498 3498 3498
Sunday 15 3774 3774 3774 3774
Monday 16 3498 3498 3498 3498
Tuesday 17 3774 3774 3774 3774
Wednesday 18 3774 3774 3498 3498
Thursday 19 3469 3469 3469 3469
Friday 20 3823 3823 3823 3823
Saturday 21 4391 4391 4391 4391
Sunday 22 4391 4391 4393 4393
Monday 23 3990 3990 3990 3990
Tuesday 24 3823 3823 3823 3823
Wednesday 25 3721 3721 3721 3721
Thursday 26 3721 3721 3721 3721
Friday 27 3823 3823 4198 4198
Saturday 28 3498 3498 3498 3498
Sunday 29 4360 4360 3823 3823
Monday 30 4282 4282 4360 4360

Monthly Average 3903.0833 3807.292


YATRA
Weekly
2018 Day(April) Price
Sunday 1
Monday 2
Tuesday 3
Wednesday 4
Thursday 5
Friday 6
Saturday 7 4660
Sunday 8 4391
1 Monday 9 3823
2 Tuesday 10 3823
3 Wednesday 11 3823
4 Thursday 12 3721
5 Friday 13 3823
6 Saturday 14 3498
Week2 7 Sunday 15 3774
1 Monday 16 3498
2 Tuesday 17 3774
3 Wednesday 18 3774
4 Thursday 19 3469
5 Friday 20 3823
6 Saturday 21 4391
Week3 7 Sunday 22 4391
1 Monday 23 3990
2 Tuesday 24 3823
3 Wednesday 25 3721
4 Thursday 26 3721
5 Friday 27 3823
6 Saturday 28 3498
Week4 7 Sunday 29 4360
Monday 30 4282
Yatra MMT
Weekly Monthly Weekly Monthly

2018 Day(May) Price Price Price Price


Tuesday 1 4834 4834 4834 4834
Wednesday 2 4360 4360 4360 4360
Thursday 3 3990 3990 3990 3990
Friday 4 4351 4351 3990 3990
Saturday 5 4198 4198 4198 4198
Sunday 6 4834 4834 4834 4834
Monday 7 4655 4655 4398 4398
Tuesday 8 4282 4282 4282 4282
Wednesday 9 4289 4289 3823 3823
Thursday 10 3823 3823 3823 3823
Friday 11 3823 3823 3823 3823
Saturday 12 3990 3990 3990 3990
Sunday 13 4391 4391 4351 4351
Monday 14 4782 4782 4282 4282
Tuesday 15 4282 4282 4282 4282
Wednesday 16 3823 3823 3823 3823
Thursday 17 3921 3921 3823 3823
Friday 18 4264 4264 4264 4264
Saturday 19 4264 4264 4264 4264
Sunday 20 4834 4834 4834 4834
Monday 21 4834 4834 4834 4834
Tuesday 22 3921 3921 3921 3921
Wednesday 23 4282 4282 3990 3990
Thursday 24 4282 4282 4264 4264
Friday 25 4264 4264 4264 4264
Saturday 26 4264 4264 4264 4264
Sunday 27 4834 4834 4834 4834
Monday 28 4540 4540 4540 4540
Tuesday 29 4351 4351 3823 3823
Wednesday 30 3990 3990 3921 3921
Thursday 31 4264 4264 4264 4264

4316.6452 4231.8387

Date vs Price
12

10

4
10

0
0 2 4 6 8 10 12
Yatra
Weekly
Seasonality
2018 Date(May) Price index Deseasoned Forecast
Tuesday 1 4834 1.09 4815 4334
Wednesday 2 4360 0.98 4536 4149
Thursday 3 3990 0.90 4247 4056
Friday 4 4351 0.98 4509 4165
Saturday 5 4198 0.95 4345 4171
Week1 Sunday 6 4834 1.09 4428 4713
Monday 7 4655 1.11 4246 4733
Tuesday 8 4282 1.02 4265 4334
Wednesday 9 4289 1.03 4462 4149
Thursday 10 3823 0.91 4069 4056
Friday 11 3823 0.91 3962 4165
Saturday 12 3990 0.95 4129 4171
Week2 Sunday 13 4391 1.05 4022 4713
Monday 14 4782 1.11 4362 4733
Tuesday 15 4282 0.99 4265 4334
Wednesday 16 3823 0.89 3977 4149
Thursday 17 3921 0.91 4174 4056
Friday 18 4264 0.99 4419 4165
Saturday 19 4264 0.99 4413 4171
Week3 Sunday 20 4834 1.12 4428 4713
Monday 21 4834 1.10 4409 4733
Tuesday 22 3921 0.89 3906 4334
Wednesday 23 4282 0.98 4455 4149
Thursday 24 4282 0.98 4558 4056
Friday 25 4264 0.97 4419 4165
Saturday 26 4264 0.97 4413 4171
Week4 Sunday 27 4834 1.10 4428 4713
Monday 28 4540 1.06 4141 4733
Tuesday 29 4351 1.02 4334 4334
Wednesday 30 3990 0.93 4151 4149
Week5 Thursday 31 4264 0.99 4539 4056

Average 4317 4317


Average Seasonality I Average Weekly Demand
Mon 1.10 Week1 4428
Tue 1.00 2 4179
Wed 0.96 3 4310
Thr 0.94 4 4383
Fri 0.96 5 4286
Sat 0.97
Sun 1.09
4346 1.84

ERR
500
211
-66
186
27
121
-78
-52
140
-233
-342
-181
-322
49
-52
-326
-135
99
93
121
101
-413
133
226
99
93
121
-193
17
-159
208
SUMMARY OUTPUT

Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.081813158
R Square 0.0066933928
Adjusted R Square -0.027558559
Standard Error 207.44953319
Observations 31

ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 1 8409.804723579 8409.805 0.195416 0.661726
Residual 29 1248023.95586 43035.31
Total 30 1256433.760583

Coefficients Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%


Lower 95.0%
Intercept 4346.4217 76.3583016286 56.9214 2.6E-31 4190.251 4502.592 4190.251
X Variable 1 -1.841480462 4.1656868708 -0.44206 0.661726 -10.3613 6.678306 -10.3613

y= 4346 - 1.84x
Upper 95.0%
4502.592
6.678306
Yatra MMT
Weekly Monthly Weekly Monthly
2018 Day(June) Price Price Price Price
Friday 1 4351 4351 3990 3990
Saturday 2 3990 3990 3990 3990
Sunday 3 3990 3990 3823 3823
Monday 4 3990 3990 3990 3990
Tuesday 5 3823 3823 3823 3823
Wednesda 6 3774 3774 3771 3771
Thursday 7 3721 3721 3721 3721
Friday 8 3823 3823 3823 3823
Saturday 9 3721 3721 3721 3721
Sunday 10 3774 3774 3774 3774
Monday 11 3498 3498 3498 3498
Tuesday 12 3771 3771 3568 3568
Wednesda 13 3568 3568 3568 3568
Thursday 14 3365 3365 3365 3365
Friday 15 3721 3721 3621 3621
Saturday 16 3365 3365 3365 3365
Sunday 17 3365 3365 3365 3365
Monday 18 3300 3300 3300 3300
Tuesday 19 3144 3144 3144 3144
Wednesda 20 3144 3144 3144 3144
Thursday 21 3144 3144 3144 3144
Friday 22 3144 3144 3144 3144
Saturday 23 3064 3064 3064 3064
Sunday 24 3144 3144 3144 3144
Monday 25 3300 3300 3300 3300
Tuesday 26 3144 3144 3144 3144
Wednesda 27 3144 3144 3144 3144
Thursday 28 3144 3144 3144 3144
Friday 29 3144 3144 3144 3144
Saturday 30 3064 3064 3064 3064

3487.8 3460
Yatra MMT
Weekly Monthly Weekly Monthly
2018 Day(June) Price Price Price Price
Sunday 2944 2944 1 2944 2944
Monday 2865 2865 2 2865 2865
Tuesday 2739 2739 3 2739 2739
Wednesda 2639 2639 4 2639 2639
Thursday 2639 2639 5 2639 2639
Friday 2639 2639 6 2639 2639
Saturday 2639 2639 7 2639 2639
Sunday 2739 2739 8 2739 2739
Monday 2739 2739 9 2739 2739
Tuesday 2639 2639 10 2639 2639
Wednesda 2639 2639 11 2639 2639
Thursday 2639 2639 12 2639 2639
Friday 2865 2865 13 2639 2639
Saturday 2639 2639 14 2639 2639
Sunday 2944 2944 15 2739 2739
Monday 2639 2639 16 2639 2639
Tuesday 2639 2639 17 2639 2639
Wednesda 2639 2639 18 2639 2639
Thursday 2639 2639 19 2639 2639
Friday 2639 2639 20 2639 2639
Saturday 2639 2639 21 2639 2639
Sunday 2639 2639 22 2639 2639
Monday 2639 2639 23 2639 2639
Tuesday 2639 2639 24 2639 2639
Wednesda 2639 2639 25 2535 2535
Thursday 2639 2639 26 2639 2639
Friday 2639 2639 27 2639 2639
Saturday 2639 2639 28 2639 2639
Sunday 2639 2639 29 2639 2639
Monday 2639 2639 30 2639 2639
Tuesday 2639 2639 31 2639 2639

2682.935 2665.677

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