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Edgemont Debate Cites – 1

Affirmative
Advantage 1 is Naval Nationalism

China’s is rising peacefully now, but US containment efforts change that


Kreg S. Stonestreet, 5-21-2010, Supervisory Special Agent, FBI, “Power and Stability: Promises and Perils of an Economically Strong China,” School of Advanced Military Studies,
United States Army Command and General Staff College, Fort Leavenworth, KS, http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf&AD=ADA523211

These were prescient …shakers of history.”247

That causes naval nationalism in response to US presence


Kaplan, 10
(Robert, national correspondent for The Atlantic and a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, “The Geog ra phy of Chi nese Power,” Foreign Affairs, NJ)

GETTING SEA LEGS … still immature one.

And, naval nationalism drives modernization and kills relations – only reducing presence solves
Ross, 9
(Robert S, Professor of Political Science at Boston College, Associate of the John King Fairbank Center for East Asian Research at Harvard University, “China’s Naval Nationalism,”
International Security, Vol 34, Number 2, Fall 09, Project Muse, NJ)

Nearly all Chinese …“cares most about.”

And, a strong relationship is key to prevent conflict


Roy, 3
(J. Stapleton, Managing Director at Kissinger Associates, “U.S-China Relations in the Twenty-first Century”, pg 106, NJ)

At the moment, …as I see it.

And, naval nationalism gives China the means to go to war


Ross, 9
(Robert S, Professor of Political Science at Boston College, Associate of the John King Fairbank Center for East Asian Research at Harvard University, “China’s Naval Nationalism,”
International Security, Vol 34, Number 2, Fall 09, Project Muse, NJ)

Despite post–Cold War … post–Cold War era.

And, it gives them the motive to go to war


Kaplan, 10
(Robert, national correspondent for The Atlantic and a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, “The Geog ra phy of Chi nese Power,” Foreign Affairs, NJ)

There is, however, …track capabilities instead.

And, multiple incidents at sea put us as the brink of miscalc


Gertz, 9
(Bill, Defense and national security reporter for The Washington Times, wrote a bunch of books about IR, “Blair: China Gets ‘More Aggressive’ Against U.S. Ships,” Washington Times,
http://www.studentnewsdaily.com/daily-news-article/blair-china-gets-more-aggressive-against-us-ships/, NJ)

Director of National … Pentagon official said.

And, miscalc raises the risk of conflict


Kaplan, 10
(Robert, national correspondent for The Atlantic and a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, “The Geog ra phy of Chi nese Power,” Foreign Affairs, NJ)

This is why … has only continued since.

And, that conflict necessarily goes nuclear


Jones, 8
(Rodney, President of Policy Architects International, “Nuclear Stability and Escalation Control in South Asia: Structural Factors,” Stimson,
http://www.stimson.org/southasia/pdf/ESCCONTROLCHAPTER2.pdf, NJ)

The all-out conventional …to the existing arsenals.8

And, that means extinction


Edgemont Debate Cites – 2
Straits Times, 2k
(6-25-2000, “No One Gains in War Over Taiwan,” p L/N, NJ)

Conflict on such …above everything else.

And, containment strategies only ensure conflict


Barron, 2
(Michael J, Legislative Assistant to the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, “China's Strategic Modernization: The Russian Connection,” US Army War College,
http://www.carlisle.army.mil/USAWC/Parameters/Articles/01winter/barron.htm, NJ)

Today China is, …policy of engagement.

This makes all global conflicts more likely


Henry C K Liu, 8-20-2005, chair of a New York-based private investment group, “Trade wars can lead to shooting wars,” Asia Times,
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/global_economy/GH20Dj01.html

A China forced …country's superpower status.

And, containment forces other countries into tough diplomatic positions


Shambaugh, 10
(David, September 2010, professor at George Washington University and a non-resident senior fellow at the Brookings Institution, former Fulbright senior research scholar at the Institute of
World Economics and Politics, a part of the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, “A New China Requires a New US Strategy,” Current History Vol 109 Iss 728, p. 222)

For most Asian …military in particular.

Advantage 2 is Regional Alliances

Reducing presence allows for regional alliances with China involved


Kaplan, 10
(Robert, national correspondent for The Atlantic and a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, “The Geog ra phy of Chi nese Power,” Foreign Affairs, NJ)

A Greater China …drama of the age.

These alliances are effective

Doug Bandow, Spring/Summer 2010, Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute, frmr Special Assistant to President Ronald Reagan, “Promoting Long-Term Economic Growth: America and
East Asia Working Together” International journal of Korean Studies, http://www.cato.org/pubs/articles/doug-bandow-ijks-xiv.pdf

The best means … together to preserve it.

Subpoint A is China

These alliances are uniquely key to prevent and check Chinese naval nationalism and Cyber warfare
Bandow, 9
(Doug, Robert A. Taft Fellow at the American Conservative Defense Alliance, former special assistant to President Reagan, senior fellow at the Cato Institute, “First Among Equals,” The
National Interest, http://nationalinterest.org/article/first-among-equals-2968, NJ)

That doesn't mean … in everyone's interest.

Cyber war causes accidental launch


Cimbala, 99
(Stephen, professor of political science at the Pennsylvania State University Delaware County Campus, Summer 1999, Armed Forces & Society: An Interdisciplinary Journal, NJ)

The nuclear shadow … have unfortunate byproducts.

Global nuclear war


Forrow, 98
(Lachlan Forrow, M.D. et al, 4-30-1998, “Accidental Nuclear War — A Post–Cold War Assessment,” New England Journal of Medicine, http://content.nejm.org/cgi/content/full/338/18/1326-
a)

Even though both …indirect casualties worldwide.4


Edgemont Debate Cites – 3

Subpoint B is Asian Security

Alliances promote cooperation, solving conflict


Vogel, 10
(Ezra, Henry Ford II Emeritus Professor of Social Sciences at Harvard University, “Regionalism in Asia: Why we should stick with existing structures,” East Asia Forum,
http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2010/03/30/regionalism-in-asia-why-we-should-stick-with-existing-structures/, NJ)

An important key to … an important contribution.

And, reduction is key to prevent these escalatory conflicts


Doug Bandow, Spring/Summer 2010, Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute, frmr Special Assistant to President Ronald Reagan, “Promoting Long-Term Economic Growth: America and
East Asia Working Together” International journal of Korean Studies, http://www.cato.org/pubs/articles/doug-bandow-ijks-xiv.pdf

Economic cooperation has .. cooperation as well.

And, those conflicts go nuclear


Landay, 2k
(Jonathon S, national security and intelligence correspondent, “Top administration officials warn stakes for U.S. are high in Asian conflicts”, Knight Ridder)

Few if any experts … for potential disaster."

Solvency
Plan: The Department of Defense should substantially reduce its naval presence in Japan.

That solves naval nationalism


Kaplan, 10
(Robert, national correspondent for The Atlantic and a senior fellow at the Center for a New American Security, “The Geog ra phy of Chi nese Power,” Foreign Affairs, NJ)

So can the United … South Korea, and the Philippines.

And, that reduction strengthens our alliances in East Asia


Thon, 4
Scott R. Thon, 5-3-2004, Commander, Supply Corps, US Navy, “U.S. Military Overseas Presence in the Northeast Asia-Pacific Region,” US Army War College, http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-
bin/GetTRDoc?Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf&AD=ADA423938

These factors do …Congress and the President.

And, Alliances reduce coercion, providing stability


Doug Bandow, Spring/Summer 2010, Senior Fellow at the Cato Institute, frmr Special Assistant to President Ronald Reagan, “Promoting Long-Term Economic Growth: America and
East Asia Working Together” International journal of Korean Studies, http://www.cato.org/pubs/articles/doug-bandow-ijks-xiv.pdf

Maintaining peaceful relations … economic cooperation and growth.


Edgemont Debate Cites – 4
Negative
1NC – SNC Counterplan

The United States federal government should establish a trilateral security and negotiation commission with the
United States, North Korea and South Korea

A trilateral peace commission will be accepted by North Korea and spill over into a broader regional negotiation
forum
Selig Harrison ‘3
[Director of the Asia Program at the Center for International Policy, is a senior scholar of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars and director of the Century Foundation’s
Project on the United States and the Future of Korea. He has specialized in South Asia and East Asia for fifty years, “Korean Endgame: A Strategy for Reunification and U.S. Disengagement”,
p. xxi-xxii]

In answering the tension-reduction and arms-control measures.

And, The mechanism spills over


General (RET.) LEE SANGHEE ‘7
[Nonresident Senior Fellow Center for Northeast Asian Policy Studies The Brookings Institution Former Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Republic of Korea, “CHANGES IN PERCEPTIONS
OF THE ROK-US ALLIANCE AND THE WAY AHEAD TO ACHIEVE COMMON INTERESTS”, http://www.brookings.edu/fp/cnaps/events/20070711.pdf]

B. The Stable Management of north … achieve national interests of both countries in global sense.

That solves their internal links better and maintains US credibility and deterrence
Colonel Gary S. Kinne ‘4
[Colonel US Army and Training and Doctrine Command Systems Manager , peer-reviewed by Dr. Clayton Chun, prof of National security ay U.S. Army War College , “U.S. STRATEGY
TOWARDS NORTH KOREA”, http://www.dtic.mil/cgi-bin/GetTRDoc?Location=U2&doc=GetTRDoc.pdf&AD=ADA423691]

The United States, …that compromise follows.

1NC Korea Grand Strategy Disad

Withdrawal obliterates US credibility in Asia and sparks arms races turning case
Robert E Kelly ‘9
[Assistant Professor Department of Political Science & Diplomacy Pusan National University, “Should the US Pull Out of South Korea (2): No,” Foreign Policy, Korea (South), United States,
http://asiansecurityblog.wordpress.com/2009/12/18/should-the-us-pull-out-of-south-korea-2-no/]

US SecDef Gates …regional competition.

And, Asian credibility key to global primacy


Goh ‘8
[Lecturer in International Relations in the Department of Politics and International Relations at the University of Oxford, Evelyn, International Relations of the Asia-Pacific, “Hierarchy and the
role of the United States in the East Asian security order,” 2008 8(3):353-377, Oxford Journals Database]

The centrality of these … appear to be much worse.

Global nuclear omnicide


Bradley Thayer, Professor, Security Studies, Missouri State University, 11/06, The National Interest, “In Defense of Primacy.”
Those arguing for a grand strategy …, American primacy remains humanity's only practical hope of solving the world's ills.

Norm

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